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Moncler: A Stylish Investment on the RiseHello investors, In this report, we dissect the financial intricacies of a prominent stock, leaving no detail unexplored. From market capitalization and price-to-earnings ratio to revenue conversion and cash reserves, we analyze every facet to equip you with strategic insights. We'll go beyond the numbers and charts, painting a vivid picture of the company's financial health. Moreover will be also sharing with you at the end what is my personal expert opinion and future outlook for the financial details of Moncler. Moncler is a luxury fashion company with a market capitalization of 16.875 billion EUR. It currently trades at a Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.05, which indicates that investors are willing to pay 31.05 times the company's earnings per share (EPS). The current Basic EPS (TTM) stands at 2.01 EUR. Now, let's dive into the Revenue to Profit Conversion for the year 2022: - Total revenue: 100% - Gross profit: 68% - EBITDA: 40% - Net income: 23% The Revenue to Profit Conversion indicates that Moncler is generating a reasonable amount of revenue, but the conversion of that revenue into profits is somewhat lower. This could be an area of concern for investors, as a higher gross profit and net income conversion would generally be preferred. Next, let's examine Moncler's financial health based on key financial metrics for the years 2018 to 2022: - Debt: The company's debt has increased over the years, reaching 912.78 million EUR in 2022. This increasing debt level is a point of caution and needs to be monitored closely, as it may affect the company's financial flexibility. - Free Cash Flow: Moncler has shown a fluctuating trend in free cash flow, with significant variations from year to year. While the H1 2023 free cash flow stands at 492.72 million EUR, this could impact the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities or return value to shareholders. - Cash and Equivalents: Moncler has maintained a relatively stable level of cash and equivalents over the years, which provides a degree of liquidity and financial strength. Now, let's analyze the Financial Position based on the figures from 2022: - Short-term Assets: 1.62 billion EUR - Short-term Liabilities: 963.71 million EUR - Long-term Assets: 3.02 billion EUR - Long-term Liabilities: 773.31 million EUR Moncler's financial position seems relatively strong, with a higher value of assets compared to liabilities, both in the short and long term. However, it's important to keep an eye on the company's debt levels and how they might impact its financial position in the future. Regarding the company's earnings per share (EPS) history and projections: - EPS in 2020: 1.18 EUR - EPS in 2021: 1.53 EUR - EPS in 2022: 2.24 EUR - H1 2023: 0.54 EUR Moncler has shown an increasing trend in EPS, which is generally positive. However, the H1 2023 EPS has seen a decline compared to the previous year. This dip could be due to various factors, and it's crucial to closely monitor the reasons behind it to assess its potential impact on future performance. Now, let's review the financial statements for H1 2022, H2 2022, and H1 2023: - H1 2022: - Total revenue: 918.38 million EUR - Gross profit: 576.21 million EUR - Operating income: 180.17 million EUR - Pretax income: 168.54 million EUR - Net income: 211.25 million EUR - H2 2022: - Total revenue: 1.68 billion EUR - Gross profit: 1.19 billion EUR - Operating income: 594.38 million EUR - Pretax income: 578.79 million EUR - Net income: 395.44 million EUR - H1 2023: - Total revenue: 1.14 billion EUR - Gross profit: 731.59 million EUR - Operating income: 217.79 million EUR - Pretax income: 206.47 million EUR - Net income: 145.35 million EUR Moncler's financial statements show an overall positive trend in revenue, gross profit, and net income. However, the H1 2023 figures indicate a decline in net income compared to H2 2022. It's essential to assess the reasons behind this decline and evaluate whether it's a short-term setback or a potential cause for concern. Future Outlook: As for me, my rating for Moncler stock would be cautiously optimistic. The company has demonstrated strong financials, stable cash reserves, and a consistent revenue stream. The increasing EPS until 2022 indicates growth and profitability. However, there are some concerns that need to be closely monitored. The rising debt level and fluctuating free cash flow could impact the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives or handle unforeseen economic challenges. The decline in H1 2023 net income raises questions about the company's performance during this period. To make a more accurate assessment, it's crucial to investigate the reasons behind this decline and evaluate the company's strategies for addressing potential challenges. In conclusion, Moncler appears to be a solid luxury fashion company with growth potential, but potential investors should conduct thorough research and analysis to make informed decisions. The financial health and future outlook should be continually monitored, considering the evolving market conditions and economic landscape. Disclaimer : Please note that the future behavior of the stock is subject to market volatility, industry trends, and global economic conditions. I highly recommend you guys staying updated with the company's quarterly reports and financial statements for a more accurate evaluation of its performance and prospects. Additionally, all of the information that I used can be found in the trading view app related to MONC financial details.
MIL:MONC
by lucasbasoglu
Pre-Earnings Run in $UPSTNASDAQ:UPST has been running up speculatively after completing its bottom. It has mostly retail groups and smaller funds holding so that is why the stock has up and down days in an irrational trend pattern often. HFTs are in the mix regularly inspiring the speculation. The company reports Monday of next week. Looks like Pro Traders used a swing trading earnings strategy and some took profits ahead of the report. The stock has a low percentage of the shares held by institutions, so emotional trading candlestick patterns are problematic at times. It's important to buy and sell with the Pro Trader patterns in speculative stocks.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:UPST
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
7
SQ WVAP Breakdown into Earnings LONGOn the 30- minute chart BLOCK ( SQ) broke down from a VWAP pop last week into a drop this week to earnings which were a 7% beat on earnings. MACD lines are about to cross. he lower RS line in green is showing bullish divergence while the mass index signal is in the reversal zone looking to trigger with a fall. Finally the narrow range or flat candlebars at the end of the price action show the reversal is impending. I see this as a fade into good earnings worthy of a reversal long and so I will take that trade.
NYSE:SQLong
by AwesomeAvani
Is the Market Deluding Itself with a Soft Landing Fantasy?As markets surge against expectations, many are starting to believe that the impossible might unfold. The unusually low fund allocation to equities reflects a market sentiment plagued by fear, yet mega caps are continuing to rise against expectations, making some investors feel left behind. With GDP figures beating expectations and headline inflation plummeting, markets are now starting to believe the soft landing narrative. Can the Federal Reserve, after decades of economic engineering, finally dodge a recession? The bond market remains skeptical. When the yield curve inverted, everyone thought a recession was imminent. However, many overlook the lag between the onset of the inversion and an actual recession. Depending on historical context, a recession can either hit while the yield curve remains inverted or much later, once it has normalised. Thus, relying solely on the yield curve as a recession indicator can be misleading. Nevertheless, history has consistently shown that a recession follows the inversion at some point. However, the human psyche is notoriously impatient. If a predicted event doesn't manifest promptly, the market tends to discount its possibility. Remember, most people buy at tops and sell at bottoms. So, the real question isn't whether a recession will happen, but rather when. Why and When Could a Recession Happen? The Federal Reserve holds significant influence over this timeline. As long as interest rates hover around 5.5%, the recession clock ticks faster. With headline inflation plummeting (orange line) and inflation expectations paralleling this descent (blue line), we must understand what caused inflation initially to gauge where it's headed. The inflationary surge was mostly driven by the excessive expansion of the money supply. Examining the first derivative of the US money supply (M2) shows a rapid expansion followed by a subsequent decline. Comparing the growth rate of the money supply (yellow line) with the CPI year-over-year (orange line) reveals a 16-month lag. If this lag remains consistent, there's significant potential downside to inflation. Yet, the Fed continues to hike rates, despite projections of disinflation and deflation. This is because the Fed's job isn't to predict the future, but to respond to current data. Indicators showing a robust labor market and elevated Core PCE caution against prematurely reducing rates. It would be wise for the Fed to await signs of weakening in these indicators before contemplating rate cuts. This could potentially take a while to materialise, especially since unemployment doesn't seem poised to weaken in the immediate future. Unlike previous business cycles, the current situation stands out due to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data. There remains a significant number of job openings for every unemployed individual. This bolsters the resilience of the labor market, making rate cuts less probable. Furthermore, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) - a lagging indicator - remains historically high and resilient. Powell has emphasised the Fed's intent to avoid repeating the same mistakes made in the '70s, suggesting we should expect higher rates for longer in order to permanently get Core PCE to 2%. He's also highlighted the relative ease of stimulating the economy out of a recession compared to raising rates, implying it might be more straightforward for the Fed to rein in Core PCE by inducing a recession. Similarly, the government can't afford the risk of the Fed raising rates later on. Considering the government's dependency on low-cost borrowing to manage interest payments on existing debts, higher future rates could pose a big challenge. Fortunately, the Fed uses the Reverse Repo (blue line) as a strategic tool to bypass any potential liquidity crisis until they are able to finance the government's balance sheet (orange line) with cheap debt once again. Given that interest expenses are nearing 1 trillion USD, the Fed will inevitably have to cut rates to zero and initiate Quantitative Easing (QE) in the future. Remember, the sole limitation to Keynesian economics is inflation. Hence, it's logical for the Fed to avoid risking a resurgence of inflation. In essence, a recession might be essential for the Fed's future assistance to the government. Deciphering the Stock Market's Puzzle Despite Powell's frequent emphasis on a 'higher for longer' stance, the market remains skeptical. This is alarming, especially as the full implications of a 5.5% rate haven't been fully experienced by the economy. Once they manifest, job openings will plummet, unemployment figures will surge, and the 'soft landing' illusion might crumble. Historically, such scenarios are common when real rates reach unsustainable levels. Fortunately for investors, there seems to be room for the AI bubble to continue. Markets typically peak about a month before a sustained increase in unemployment. Hence, forward-looking unemployment indicators like job openings, initial claims (blue line), and continued claims (orange line) are crucial for those wishing to divest before a potential market downturn. In the current scenario, it might be wise for investors to stay away from higher-risk assets like small caps and cryptocurrencies. Historically, these haven't performed as well as mega caps during liquidity crunches. Investors might want to reconsider taking on additional risks unless there's a sustained surge in global liquidity (yellow line). Conclusion: A Time for Caution and Opportunity In conclusion, even though a recession seems inevitable, mega caps may continue their upward trend until the labor market reveals signs of distress. Therefore, it's crucial for investors to closely watch leading unemployment indicators and central bank balance sheets to ensure they're well-positioned for both the upcoming market downturn and the subsequent recovery. Disclaimer: This article is intended for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and you should conduct your own research when making a decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
NASDAQ:NDX
by ingeforberg
Cisco Pulls Back After JumpingThe Dow Jones Industrial Average has been moving lately, and today we’ll consider index member Cisco Systems. The networking giant spent about a year trapped below the $52 area. That zone marked a top in April, June and early this month. However CSCO broke above it on July 19 and ran to a new 52-week high. It retreated on Friday to hold the earlier peak. Old resistance may have become new support. Second, the pullback brought CSCO back to its 21-day exponential moving average (EMA). The 8-day EMA remains also remains above the 21-day EMA. Those points may suggest its recent short-term uptrend remains in effect. Finally, the stock rallied after its last two earnings reports. Will that positive history provide a tailwind for the shares with the next set of numbers due on August 16? TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:CSCO
by TradeStation
8
DASH a quick play on earnings LONGDASH has earnings upcoming in two trading days. Since the last earnings three months ago, on the 4H chart, DASH looks to be very healthy and decidedly bullish. The nearly continuous MACD lines above the histogram say it all. The PVT shows occasional pullbacks of the price volume product which are the ideal entries for a long-term swing trader or investor. Earnings could beat or disappoint seemingly a beat is more likely. Price just completed a mini pullback and resumed the trend. The " upper Bollinger band walk" is highly bullish. I see a long trade of perhaps 5% upside with little risk. An options trade with 5 days DTE expiring 8/4 could have far more significant profit carefully constructed to limit risk with relatively wider stop loss. Good luck to all who elect to take this trade.
DLong
by AwesomeAvani
TSLA Weekly Longterm Pre-EarningsTSLA on the weekly chart appears to be in a widening and ascending channel somewhat suggestive of a megaphone. At the same time it is below heavy resistance at 360 which is the same level as two standard deviations above the mean VWAP line anchored back to November 2021. The resistance zone is the highs of November 2021 and late March / early April 2022. The double RSI indicator shows RS rising on the higher monthly time frame slowly and steadily while the RS on the lower daily time frame has peaked at 88 and fallen below 80 consistent with bearish divergence. The zero-lag MACD indicator shows the lines perhaps impending a cross at an amplitude well extended above the histogram. Price is high in that widening ascending channel. Overall, I conclude that TSLA is a hold right now as it could be impending a significant reversal in the weeks ahead. A hold would mean not to sell existing positions nor take new positions for the time being unless one is an intraday or short time frame swing trader or stocks or options. With an earnings report impending, TSLA volatility is likely to jump in one direction or the other.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by AwesomeAvani
Tesla 2019 Vs 2023 Breakout Comparison Tesla 2019 Vs 2023 - Repeat Megaphone pattern? - Repeat Megaphone breakout? - Repeat 10% pull back before major move? If we confidently break through and close above resistance or get a 10% pull back, it could be worth putting in place a position with a stop under resistance or a tighter stop if its the 10% pull back scenario. We could still revisit the 200 Daily SMA... and we need to be aware of that. That's why you have a stop because the 200 DSMA is idyllic but given the similarities of this pattern, it could play out and it might be worth taking a position SUBJECT TO having a tight stop under the resistance level (once we break above it) or having a tight stop under the 10% decline entry. It will be interesting to see how this chart plays out. It could hardly be as exponential as 2019? but it could be a nice move. PUKA
NASDAQ:TSLA
by PukaCharts
9
$TSLA Down on Over-SpeculationNASDAQ:TSLA reported earnings after market close yesterday. Pro traders took profits before the close as the run became technically overextended. It gapped down today, but not on the extreme volume we'd expect from the usual HFT activity around earnings. Profit and Operating margins are decreasing quarter over quarter, but revenues and net income are increasing. This is not so much an onslaught of sellers but profit-taking along with a lack of buyers at this price range. As occurs often for this high-profile yet important EV company, the stock is over-speculated and needs to pattern out the excess. It could test the next support levels, but ultimately it's likely to head sideways as it challenges the resistance from Aug-Oct of last year...barring any surprises from Musk ;) Dark Pool Buy Zones are in the bottom formation. The question is: will those buy zones be moved up or not?
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
Tesla's Earnings: In the Rearview Mirror, Riding High!With Tesla's earnings now behind us, it's time to reevaluate our confidence in the company. I'm beginning to think that gross margins won't hold the same significance anymore, given Tesla's dominant position in the EV charging industry. Likewise, the recent announcement regarding " early talks for FSD licensing " seems sufficient to propel the stock price to all-time highs. Elon wouldn't have made this announcement unless the discussions had reached a mature stage. In my view, this is the ChatGPT moment for Tesla. In the short term, we might observe consolidation around the multi-year breakout levels. However, my belief is firmly rooted in the long-term perspective, where I expect the trend to continue upward, as long as the macro environment remains supportive.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by trader19009
A tight stop for Elevance Health Required Elevance Health NYSE:ELV - Long term positioning Positive earnings are causing a pump in price but be careful here though. Earnings positive since April 2020, why the pump? If i was entering a long term position here i would be waiting for the bottom of the parallel channel and RSI resistance line or at least harboring some cash on the side and splitting my position. Chart Requirements - A retest of RSI resistance line preferred - Ideal levels outlined on chart - If entering here, please place a tight stop loss as there is a more ideal entry lower
NYSE:ELV
by PukaCharts
1
The likelihood of a recession in the US is declining. Goldman Sachs sees a decline in the likelihood of a recession in the US over the next year from 25% to 20% thanks to encouraging economic data: improving consumer sentiment and slowing inflation, writes Business Insider. The bank expects only one and the last rate hike by the Fed and is quite optimistic about a "soft landing" for the US economy. The Fed's sharp rate hike for more than a year has raised fears of a "hard landing" as the economy slumps as it fights to bring inflation down to its 2% target. However, according to the latest data, consumer inflation in the US has already reached 3%, down from 9% a year ago. At the same time, fundamental signals point to further disinflation: “Used car prices are falling on the back of rising car production and inventories, and rent inflation still has a long way to go before it catches up with the median asking rent, while the labor market continues to recover from continuing downward trend in vacancies, layoffs, labor shortages and rising nominal wages.”
TVC:DXY
by aleksandr_shirin
$NYSE:HSY swing trade idea (NFA)THIS IDEA WAS CREATED WITH A LOT OF HOPIUM, DO UR OWN DUE DILIGENCE. I AM NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR. NYSE:HSY The earnings were better then expected in the last 4 earnings which resulted on average around 3-5% price increase. The earnings date is on 27th july, I expect for them to beat the earnings hence the price could increase as it did in the passed. Year on Year they are increasing assets and decreasing liabilities. Hence I think it can even be invested as long term, altho this should be taken with a grain of salt. I am not a financial advisor Also the RSI is really low, indicating the stock is in oversold territory. (it could be a great time to buy in for the long term) Stay safe.
NYSE:HSYLong
by numan_42_
Retail investors did not believe in artificial intelligence.The reason for the revival of the US stock market was the explosion of interest in AI. The market is up nearly 25% since its October low. Most interestingly, retail investors did not show active interest according to sources US retail investors were selling US tech stocks. And even more interesting is that, based on the analysis of historical data, experts draw the following conclusion - the lack of interest of retail investors in new developments is a good sign. Whenever their interest in something new was at a minimum, this "new" had a beneficial effect on the market. That is, we expect further growth.
VANTAGE:SP500
by aleksandr_shirin