💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Swing: positive swing to resistance.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Release Date: 10/18 AMC
Quarter: FQ3'23
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #5
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #6
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is neutral.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
🟢BUY: If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.
⚪NEUTRAL: If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.
🔴SELL: If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise.
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings
GS Earnings and Institutional HoldingsNYSE:GS has had a sudden huge decline in its Institutional Holdings from last quarter--a whopping 12%. That's huge. This suggests that often the selling is from Buy-Side Institutions.
Goldman Sachs has a buyback program of 30 billion dollars underway, approved end of February 2023. The Buybacks started in March and have continued until recently. I showed the buyback activity on the daily chart in this article earlier this month.
The Support from corporate buybacks poses problems for selling short. The stock is also prone to HFT triggers with frequent gapping. The first Support level is just above the 2022 lows.
The company reported earnings this morning and gapped down at open but is holding onto the sideways range it's been in for 2 weeks so far.
However, Quarterly and Annual Reports are starting to show signs of weakness as this company struggles to reinvent.
NYSE:GS is also facing loss of revenues from IPO underwriting as the NASDAQ Private Market is undermining the high income usually generated from IPOs by underwriters.
IMO, the investment banking industry is slowly becoming obsolete as DeFi, Fintech, Blockchain technologies and Crypto currencies continue to advance and erode traditional revenue streams.
MSFT Showing Strength on Retest Ahead of EarningsPercentage of Shares Held by Institutions is a bit low at 69% for NASDAQ:MSFT stock right now. However, the indicators are showing some strength as it retests the lower level of resistance above its current price.
NASDAQ:MSFT reports earnings next week on Tuesday. Microsoft has focused on AI for small businesses, the market niche that helped move it out of its 16-year slump until 2016, and during the pandemic. The pandemic anomalies in revenues should be patterned out this earnings season.
The stock has ample support at the most recent lows. It is a heavily weighted component of all 3 indexes, so an important report for Q3.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Swing: positive swing to resistance.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Release Date: 10/17 BMO
Quarter: FQ3'23
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #7
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is negative.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #4
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is negative.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
🟢BUY: If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus I expect the market will buy the +surprise.
⚪NEUTRAL: If the earnings report is released with complicating press then I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.
🔴SELL: If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus I expect the market will sell the -surprise.
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Release Date: 10/19 BMO
Quarter: FQ3'23
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise for Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #5
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #9
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
"I expect the market will buy the +surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the -surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l 📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Swing: neutral swing of volatility.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Release Date: 10/17 AMC
Quarter: FQ3'23
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise for Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #4
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #8
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is neutral.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
"I expect the market will buy the +surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the -surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l 📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Swing: negative swing to resistance.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Release Date: 10/18 AMC
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: negative surprise for Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #2
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #6
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is neutral.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
"I expect the market will buy the +surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the -surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l 📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Next Swing: positive swing to resistance.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Release Date: 10/18 AMC
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise for Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #2
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #4
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive, the company trend in Revenues is positive.
📝 S Y N O P S I S
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal 💵💵💵📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Release Date: 10/18 BMO
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise for Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #3
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #6
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive, the company trend in Revenues is positive.
📝 S Y N O P S I S
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal 💵💵💵📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Release Date: 10/18 BMO
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise for Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #4
EPS Anticipations: negative surprise for EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #4
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is negative, the company trend in Revenues is positive.
📝 S Y N O P S I S
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal 💵💵💵📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Wave: sell wave to a floor.
Next Swing: positive swing to the deviation.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise for Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #4
EPS Anticipations: negative surprise for EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #5
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is negative, the company trend in Revenues is negative.
📝 S Y N O P S I S
"I expect the market will sell the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, and sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal 💵💵💵📶 S I M P L I S T I C A N A L Y S I S
Current Market Trend: neutral/no defined trend.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-5, #3.5
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & positive surprise for Revenues.
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is negative, the company trend in Revenues is negative.
📝 S Y N O P S I S
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal 💵💵💵█ 📶 SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: neutral/no defined trend.
Next Wave: buy wave to the mean.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ 💵 EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/12 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & positive surprise for Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-5, #2.5
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive, the company trend in Revenues is positive.
█ 📝 SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ 🔎 RESEARCH DEPTH: </
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
XAUUSD: Next week's gold view
Late gold view: The lower support is this week's low near 1810, no matter when it can be long. The upper resistance is near the high point of 1849 this week, and once the market effectively breaks 1849, there will be a rebound, and it is estimated that it will rise to 1880. If 1849 is blocked, gold will double dip or fall back. The daily line dipped to 1810 on Friday, and peaked at around 1835 in the evening, still very much in line with expectations.
The daily line closed long under the shadow of the Yang line, the trend on Monday to rebound mainly. Daily support near 1820, touching can be long.
If you are confused about trading, please join me, I believe you will have a great harvest!
Gazprom price retracement to the fair value 7th October 2023
Synopsis:
Despite the conflict in Ukraine, Gazprom revenue is growing and currently on its historical high while price dropped to the 2016 level in US dollars. Price to the assets including oil subsidiary is on very low level. Large buyers started accumulating position according to Accum/Dist indicator.
Entry: 1st- 1.5 USD (160 RUB), 2nd - 1.12 USD* (113 RUB)
Target 3.0 USD (300 RUB) and above
Duration: 180d
* Potential new lower low in USD based on historical rubble price
Earnings Journal 💵💵💵█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: neutral/no defined trend.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & positive surprise for Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-5, #3
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is neutral, the trend in Revenues is positive.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ RESEARCH DEPTH: </
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/12 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & positive surprise for Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-5, #4
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is negative, the trend in Revenues is positive.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ RESEARCH DEPTH: </
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Wave: buy wave to the mean.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-5, #3
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is neutral, the trend in Revenues is neutral.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ RESEARCH DEPTH: </
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Wave: buy wave to the rangeline.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence on a scale of 0-5: #3
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is negative, the trend in Revenues is positive.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ RESEARCH DEPTH: </
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Wave: buy wave to the mean.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/12 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence on a scale of 0-5: #3
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is positive, the trend in Revenues is positive.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ RESEARCH DEPTH: </
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Next Wave: buy wave to a new ceiling.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence on a scale of 0-5: #4
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is positive, the trend in Revenues is positive.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ BACKGROUND </
Research Depth: technical & fundamental glance only.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Wave: buy wave to the mean.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/10 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence on a scale of 0-5: 3.5
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is neutral, the trend in Revenues is neutral.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ BACKGROUND </
Research Depth: technical & fundamental glance only.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Trend: positive.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence on a scale of 0-5: 3.5
EPS & Revenue Trend: the trend in EPS is positive, the trend in Revenues is positive.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings hit the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings miss the Wall Street consensus."
█ BACKGROUND </
Research Depth: technical & fundamental glance only.