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Earnings

Microsoft (MSFT): Can Earnings Sustain the Trend Channel?With Microsoft set to report earnings, investors are keenly watching updates on AI-related spending, especially growth within Azure and Copilot, as well as broader financials. A significant focus will be on capital expenditures (Capex) for generative AI initiatives, expected to rise from $9.92 billion a year ago to an estimated $14.74 billion in this recent quarter. Beyond revenue and earnings, the market is waiting to see how these hefty investments are shaping the company’s growth trajectory. Technically, NASDAQ:MSFT continues to test the lower bound of its trend channel—a level that may weaken with repeated retests. The stock’s reaction to earnings will reveal if this support can hold. The formation suggests a potential head and shoulders pattern, particularly if NASDAQ:MSFT dips below the neckline support at $388 with declining volume. For now, we’re maintaining our cautious outlook. If Microsoft fails to hold its key support levels, it may confirm the bearish trend we’ve been observing. As always, we’ll provide updates if any significant developments occur after the earnings report.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by freeguy_by_wmc
$ETH Long Setup Bull Run open $2,700 to $4,000 see on chartWhy is Ethereum's price not surging? Will ever ETH price ever reach $3000 this quarter? Ethereum traders seem to be seeking an answer to the above as the Ethereum price is constantly failing to rise above $2,800. Now that the BTC price is approaching its highs, the second-largest token was expected to follow the trend as it usually did. Unfortunately, the price remains stuck within a range with fewer possibilities of breathing above the resistance. The current trade setup suggests the trader's attention has shifted away from the token as the bulls are failing to clear the resistance regardless of a substantial increase in the volume. One of the major reasons for the sluggish trend is the drop in spot trading activity. As per the recent update, Ethereum recently experienced a notable transformation, with over $750 million worth of ETH withdrawn from the major exchanges in just a week. This trend suggests that many investors are opting for long-term holding rather than selling their assets. Having said that, here’s what to expect from the ETH price for the rest of 2024. The weekly chart of the ETH price suggests the token is consolidating heavily within a narrow range, along the support of the rising parallel channel. Besides, when the price appears to be heading towards the end of the consolidation, the Ichimoku cloud has flipped into a bearish trend. This may send bearish waves across the markets but the MACD suggests a drop in selling pressure. Moreover, the levels are heading towards a bullish crossover, hence suggesting an extension of a consolidated phase. The Ethereum price, which formed a new ATH along with Bitcoin in 2021 and also in early 2024, appears to have failed to gain the required momentum. However, the liquidity flow from Bitcoin usually flows into ETH and hence the token is believed to demonstrate huge moves only after the star crypto marks new highs.
Long
by SUBROOFFICIAL
2
AMD (AMD): Trendline test coming - crucial for bullish case!Following the completion of wave 3, NASDAQ:AMD has also completed wave 4 with a near-perfect correction at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The rapid V-shaped recovery after the drop validates our count and points to continued bullish momentum as long as key support levels hold. AMD’s earnings report on Tuesday aligned with forecasts but projected slightly weaker revenue than expected for the upcoming quarter. This led to a 6% decline in after-hours trading, raising concerns about potential deceleration in AMD’s overall business, even as the company remains a key player in the AI chip sector alongside its competitor, Nvidia. From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:AMD now faces a crucial test. The stock must break through the resistance zone between $162 and $174 to confirm further upside potential. Failing to do so could result in a pullback to the trendline, a level that has been respected several times since early 2023. As long as the stock remains above the $120 level, we maintain our bullish outlook. However, losing this level would confirm a bearish trend shift. We expect continued volatility, particularly post-earnings, and will monitor for a potential move higher or consolidation around these resistance levels. We are optimistic about AMD’s prospects but await further developments at this critical juncture.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
DJT - Social truth, or financial truth?This is a difficult case to analyze, as it depends so much on one individual. The hard facts can easily be overthrown by single events, and so NASDAQ:DJT might be highly volatile. If one should try to look at the hard facts, such as financials and technical, it is a hard sell. Barchart.com rates it as a Strong Sell, Tradingview has it as a Sell with only 3 of 22 indicators saying buy. Zacks doesn’t even rate it. Looking at the chart, it is definitely a short. Price has been dropping since May, and the trend is clearly down. Price has gone up the last week or so, and some indicators (MACD, RSI) have turned up. Price has reached the top of the down channel, and a push down could be expected as I believe the rise lately is not sustainable. Because this is a stock that is solely dependent on one person, there could be irregular and unexpected moves in the stock. Said person might also win an election next month, and this might affect the stock. So be aware of non-stock related events. Judging on financials and price behavior, this stock is a sell. I will not set a target, as the price is at a low and the level it was at for a very long time up until January this year. It remains to be seen if this level holds, if price keeps following the channel we are looking at a price around $8. I believe this is not at all outrageous, given the financial state of the company, but it is uncharted territory so I will not set it as a target. Disclaimer: I am not a US citizen. I have no political inclinations, my analysis is purely based on charts and financial statements.
NASDAQ:DJTShort
by WeRideAtDawn
4
Chipotle (CMG): Awaiting strong correction in bearish waveAfter the recent 50-1 stock split, we revisited Chipotle's chart, refining our analysis for a clearer picture. With the adjusted setup, we’re more confident in our outlook for a potential bearish correction. Our initial turn-around zone was spot-on when factoring in the split, and we remain committed to our analysis. Today, NYSE:CMG reached the targeted Wave B area at the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci level. Immediate reactions are often rare, but we believe a reversal could materialize soon. We’re eyeing the range between $43-$26, near the trendline, as a potential target zone for the next phase in this corrective wave pattern. In the second quarter, Chipotle posted an 18.2% year-over-year revenue growth, boosted by an 11.1% rise in comparable restaurant sales and over 8% transaction growth. The earnings report tomorrow will likely attract more investor attention, but our approach focuses on technical entries at key levels rather than earnings reactions. We have alerts set and are prepared to buy when the scenario aligns. Until then, patience and disciplined timing will guide our approach.
NYSE:CMGShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
Ford (F): Eyeing Earnings for Potential Resistance FlipFord is set to release its earnings report in a few hours, and analysts generally anticipate that results will meet or slightly exceed consensus expectations. Currently, Ford is trading around a significant resistance level, and a breakout above this level could mark an important shift, opening the door for further gains. Our outlook remains bullish, with expectations that Ford will fill the large gap visible on the chart in the coming months. Recent analyst targets align with our view, with ratings from Barclays, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley averaging around $13 for Ford stock. This target range corresponds well with our technical analysis, reinforcing our approach to Ford. However, we’re holding off on any immediate action until after the earnings report to avoid an unpredictable reaction. We’ll be monitoring the market’s response closely, avoiding impulsive moves, as the true direction often becomes clearer after the initial post-earnings volatility. Until then, patience remains crucial—trade the plan, stay disciplined, and seize the opportunity when it aligns with our setup.
NYSE:FLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
Deutsche Bank (DBK): Earnings beat but loan losses double We missed the optimal entry for Deutsche Bank (DBK), but the analysis was accurate overall. The earnings report showed some resilience with a revenue increase of 5.2% year-over-year, reaching €7.50 billion, slightly above analyst expectations of €7.30 billion. The stock reacted with a modest dip, but nothing significant. However, Deutsche Bank reported a notable rise in loan losses, which doubled to €494 million in Q3 2024 compared to €245 million a year ago, aligning closely with the €482 million forecasted by analysts. From a technical standpoint, our primary count still appears valid, though it’s a bit on the lower side. This could indicate that wave 3 might not be the longest wave in this count, which is atypical but possible as long as it’s not the shortest. We’re targeting a potential endpoint for wave 5 within the HTF resistance zone, aligning with the 50-61.8% Fibonacci extension level, where we could look for a long position if the setup confirms. We will continue to monitor DBK closely as this potential target level nears and adjust accordingly.
XETR:DBK
by freeguy_by_wmc
Back with another value stock for playing the next 4 years The Foxx is back. After a stellar success of ALTM, I dont think I have to mention to my esteemed followers the power of value investing. I wont give you all the jagron of the DCF and the P/E Multiples on this platform but feel free to DM me for additonal info. ENPH, my new entry. Previously, I did not mention my holdings in ALTM but to put things in perspective, i owned 100,000 stocks at 2.21 of ALTM. Sold 50,000 at 4.9 and 50,000 at 5.4 respectively. i'll let you do the math on the realized numbers. Enphase is a strong clean energy stock. and with data centres going clean and the news flash of nuclear power deals with the AMZN MSFT GOOG, people and Mr. Market is missing out on one good and important factor. Nuclear will take 5-8 years to kick in. till then it is wind and solar. so, without boring you more, I would like to announce to TV and the followers of Foxx Invest that The Foxx has initiated a position in ENPH at 83.92 of 1800 stocks with a buy order for more 1000 at 73.0 Please do not take this as investment advice. this is me sharing my position. Stick to value investing and if you have more than 2-3 lines (only trendlines) on your chart - you will take losses. Period !!!!! Take care Make money - thats the only thing that matters in life after health and family. Foxx
NASDAQ:ENPHLong
by FoxxInvest
5
$SHOP trade idea 2.0Hi everyone, I am back with a new trade idea on NYSE:SHOP ... My previous one went quite well and so the next one I followed with but didn't post. My idea is similar to the one before this one, NYSE:SHOP is at a point where it's in between 2 Gaps it has left behind during past Earnings, it does not matter that Earnings are positive or negative because I've seen that can only amplify current trends. Judging by past chart behaviour, I believe it will first fill the higher Gap as its creation is prior the new one and size/gravity is lower, it might even happen that it is filled 2 days before new Earnings strengthening my thesis (just like on 7/Aug/2024). I'll be writing down past chart behaviour and you can check yourself the movements in the chart itself. By no mean am I a fortune teller but my thesis is fair, It might even happen that it keeps going up and thanks to Christmas usual volume it hits the 1 week FVG above, only time will tell. 27/Oct/2022 Earnings - Buy in 2 days before | Massive FVG on the upside *FVG filled before next earnings *New minor FVG created on the downside (20/Jan/2023) 15/Feb/2023 Earnings - Short 2 days before | Small Gap + FVG below *Price perfectly fills gap + FVG *Creates new gap on the upside (15/Feb/2023) and leaves previous FVG unclosed 4/May/2023 Earnings - Buy in 2 days before | Gap + Previous big FVG upside *Fills in previous unclosed FVG + new Gap *Creates new major Gap on the downside (4/May/2023) 2/Aug/2023 Earnings - Short 2 days before | Major Gap on downside *Touches Gap, bounces shortly and creates new gap on the downside *Fills in own Gap and closed major Gap *Creates new major weekly FVGs + minor Daily FVG (18/Sep/2023) 2/Nov/2023 Earnings - Buy in 2 days before | Major weekly FVGs upside *Fills in weekly FVGs + daily FVGs *Leaves new massive Gap on the downside (2/Nov/2023) 13/Feb/2024 Earnings - Short 2 days before | Massive Gap downside *Heads towards massive Gap below not reaching it yet *Creates new big Gap on the upside (13/Feb/2024) 8/May/2024 Earnings - Short 2 days before | Unclosed Massive Gap downside *Closes massive Gap on the downside 2 days before new Earnings *Creates massive Gap on the upside (8/May/2024) + small Gap (1/Aug/2024) 7/Aug/2024 Earnings - Long 2 days before | Massive Gap upside *Closes massive Gap on the upside *Creates massive Gap on the downside (7/Aug/2024) 31/Oct/2024 Earnings - still to come.... *There are 2 open Gaps, one on the upside and one on the downside *The one on the upside is a minor one and has already been touched and created before the downside one *Just like on 5/Aug/2024, it might close the Gap 2 days before to then sell off
NYSE:SHOPShort
by BancoMatt
5