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BROOKFIELD Analysis (BN)📝 1. Introduction Brookfield is a global asset company active in a variety of industries, including Renewable Power and Transition, Infrastructure, Private Equity, Real Estate, and Credit and Insurance Solutions. With approximately 180,000 employees in more than 30 countries, the company has an extensive network of investments and operations around the world. The correlation with the S&P 500 is close to 1:1 most of the time. Given the company's scope in several sectors, its size and its history, it is important to put it on the table when carrying out a broad market analysis. 🧾 2. Fundamental Analysis 🔴 Analyzing the aspect of operating results, net revenue has been progressively falling since March 2022. It is now practically at the same level as March 2020. This reflects on the Earnings per Share, which is not following the Estimated Earnings per Share, indicating a possible excess of optimism on the part of analysts. 🤔 Will revenue drop to the same level as in June 2020? 🔴 Free cash flow is on the same path, at the same level as in March 2020 as well. 🟢 Looking at the P/E ("Price/Earnings"), we can see that the share price has become more expensive in relation to its earnings, giving a balance from the end of last year. A higher P/E can be a result of a positive expectation for the company's growth. 🟢 The P/CF ("Price/Cash Flow") is signaling a recovery, indicating an increase in the share price in relation to its available cash, which may also corroborate an optimistic expectation for the company's growth. 🟢 Finally, looking at the Balance Sheet aspect, Shareholders' Equity continues on a constant upward trend, which demonstrates financial health. 🟡 Conclusion: Said that, I don't see any problem with this fundamentalist data. My only point of attention is regarding net revenue, which is at the same levels as the start of the pandemic back in 2020. Due to the increase in the cost of money, revenue may reach the same level as June 2020 or even worse. The X of the question is how much and when. 📈 3. Graphic Analysis A buy in the region between $30 and $31 after an upward pivot becomes more attractive, offering a good risk/return ratio: Another scenario that can develop, which is easier to visualize on the line graph, is a trading range within a triangle. In this scenario, I think the price would break below the triangle to capture the bulls' stops, and only then begin an upward movement.
NYSE:BNLong
by andre_007
Netflix Has Some Downside Risks- The new partnership with a major Australian studio bodes well for the company's ability to produce high-quality content. - Netflix's recent financials have left investors doubtful of its ability to turn a profit. - Netflix's high level of long-term debt is causing concern among investors. Competitive Advantage and Pricing of NFLX Netflix is a streaming giant that has seen tremendous growth in recent years. The company's earnings and revenue have consistently exceeded expectations, making it one of the most valuable companies in the world. Netflix's original content, such as "Stranger Things," "The Crown," and "Narcos," has been particularly successful in attracting and retaining subscribers. The company has also made strategic acquisitions, such as the purchase of the Animation studio “Animal Logic”. In addition to subscriber growth, Netflix's revenue is also driven by increasing prices. The company has raised its prices several times in recent years, and this will go into effect in 2023. This allows the company to generate more revenue per subscriber, which helps to offset the costs of producing and acquiring content. Despite the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, Netflix has been able to maintain strong financial performance. The company's ability to adapt to the changing market conditions and its focus on producing high-quality content have been crucial to its success. As the streaming market continues to grow, Netflix is well-positioned to capitalize on the trend and maintain its position as a leader in the industry. In terms of the competitive landscape, Netflix faces competition from other streaming services, such as Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, and Hulu. However, the company has established a strong position in the market and has a large subscriber base. If the company is able to maintain its position in the market and continue to produce high-quality content, it could bode well for its stock performance. Netflix’s Q4 Earnings Analysis In the last quarter of 2022, Netflix reported revenue of $7.85 billion, a 2% increase from the previous year. The company also reported earnings per share of $0.12, a significant decrease from the $1.13 reported in the same quarter of 2021. EPS had been forecasted as $0.36 and therefore it was below expectations. The main reason why Netflix was not able to meet expectations is relevant to F/X measurement on EUR-dominated debt. However, NetFlix was able to hedge volatility on EUR/USD currency pairs for their debt based on EUR. How they are dealing with this is that the company approximately has $5B of EUR bonds which provides them a natural hedge mechanism on the relative value of the EUR net income. The main driver of Netflix's revenue growth is its subscriber base, which has been steadily increasing. In the last quarter of 2022, the company added 8 million new subscribers, bringing its total subscriber count to over 231 million. This strong subscriber growth is a testament to the company's ability to produce and acquire high-quality content that keeps its users engaged. NetFlix had targeted an operating margin of 19%-20% based on F/X rates at the beginning of 2022. Currently, the company targets to deliver roughly 21%-22% operating margin in 2023. However, due to the timing content spend, NetFlix expects their operating margin to be down year over year (20% vs (25%). Overall, Netflix's earnings and revenue have been consistently strong, and the company continues to grow. The company's focus on producing original content, strategic acquisitions, and raising prices has helped to drive revenue growth, which will likely continue in the future. This puts the company in a strong position to maintain its position as a leader in the streaming industry. Regional Breakdown In the United States, Netflix has the largest subscriber base of any country, with over 60 million subscribers. This is due in part to the fact that the company was founded in the United States, and it has been able to establish a strong foothold in the market early on. In addition, the high penetration of broadband internet in the US has made it easier for Netflix to reach its target audience. In Asia, Netflix has faced more challenges in establishing a strong subscriber base. The company has had to contend with stiff competition from local streaming services, as well as cultural and linguistic barriers. However, Netflix has been able to make inroads into the Asian market by producing local content and making strategic partnerships with local media companies. In Latin America, Netflix has been able to establish a strong presence in countries such as Brazil and Mexico. The company has been able to build a large subscriber base in these countries by producing localized content and making strategic acquisitions of local media companies. In Africa, Netflix has faced some challenges in building a subscriber base due to a lack of broadband internet infrastructure and low purchasing power in some countries. However, the company has been able to make inroads in the African market by partnering with local media companies and producing localized content. Overall, Netflix has a strong global presence, but its subscriber base and financial performance vary by region. The company has been able to build a large subscriber base in the United States, Europe, and Latin America, but has faced more challenges in Asia and Africa. The company continues to expand its global reach and adapt to regional market conditions. Cashflow and Capital Structure Netflix's cash flow and capital structure are closely related to its overall financial performance. The company generates cash flow through its operations, which it uses to fund its growth and expansion. In terms of cash flow, Netflix has consistently been generating positive cash flow from operations. In the last quarter of 2022, the company reported cash flow from operations of $443.858 Million, which was a decrease from $556.810 Million. This cash flow is generated primarily through subscription revenue, which accounts for the majority of the company's revenue. Netflix's capital structure is primarily composed of debt and equity. The company has been using debt to finance its growth and expansion. As of December 2022, Netflix's debt stood at $14.3 billion, with the majority of it being in the form of long-term debt. In terms of equity, Netflix has been using a combination of internal funds and equity offerings to raise capital. The company has been able to raise capital through several equity offerings over the years, which has helped it to grow and expand its business. As the company continues to invest in content and expand its global reach, it will continue to generate positive cash flow, but it is also likely to continue to rely on debt to finance its growth. Overall, Netflix's cash flow and capital structure are closely related to its overall financial performance. The company generates positive cash flow from its operations, which it uses to fund its growth and expansion. Its capital structure is primarily composed of debt and equity, with the company using a combination of internal funds and equity offerings to raise capital. Technical Snapshot of Netflix 2022 was a devastating year for Tech stocks due to the high inflation rates and demand for commodities. These might be some reasons why Tech stocks were not shining in 2022, but it is undeniable the fact that there are always opportunities to benefit from in the market. Therefore, having evaluated NetFlix’s current earnings ratios and expectations, it can be said that the Pivot point at $300 will be a determinant of which way the stock tends to move. Final Thoughts I expect a high level of volatility and believe that the current tendency for commodities will be maintained through 2023. Therefore, some hedging strategies might be used for technology stocks to locate yourself on the safe side of trading through earnings seasons. Netflix has already reached its mature growth phase therefore the company needs to come up with new ideas, projects, or acquisitions that make everyone impressed. According to Netflix’s latest financial report, the current Price-to-sales ratio is 4.78 whilst It is 1.92, 2.20, and 1.20 respectively for Amazon, Walt Disney, and Warner Bros. After having analyzed financial reports and these terms, I would be “Bearish” on the stock. As always, do your due diligence on any stock before buying and selling. Happy Trading! :)
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by UnknownUnicorn14317765
Where will CRM go today?As you might now, later that day CRM will publish their earnings. What is priced in in the options and what does that tell us? IV, IM - We have a very high Implied Volatility. The calculated Implied Move is 14.90 USD according to my data. Therefore the lower Zone is at ~148 and the upper zone is at ~178. This is a 9% move! - Remember the Implied Volatility is equal to one standard deviation. Therefor the chance is 68% that the price stays within the zone from 148 - 178 after earnings. PUTS - The number of Put-Options out-of-the-money compared to the Put-Option in-the-money is 91.59%. Remember, when Put-Options will be in-the-money at expiration they are assigned. Hence Option Traders speculate on a change of price and not want to buy or sell the underlying, you can safely assume, that the vast majority (91%) of all Option Traders believe, that the price will not drop any further. - The most traded Put Option price is at 150 USD. 46% of all traders believe, the price will not drop below 150 USD. - If the price would drop below 150, many shares will be assigned and bought at that price. Therefor, 150 USD will act as natural resistance. CALLS - Calls out and in-the-money are very even. There is no signal to recognize. - The most traded Call is at 157.50. Hence Calls become worthless when they are out-of-the-money at expiration, its safe to assume that 42% of all Option-Trader that buy Callls, believe the price will be above 157.50 USD. Summarize: - Resistance at 150 due to Put Options - Strong bullish signal Put Options (91% overall, above price 163.61 USD) - Bullish signal Call Options (42% believe above 157.50 USD) (all data is analyzed with the expiration day 3.3.23)
NYSE:CRMLong
by derMatzeImNetz
3
CVR Partners $UAN a deep value play for 2023NYSE:UAN A cheap fertilizer producer with strong fundamentals is a strong bet for 2023. Latest ER reported strong Revenue and EPS beats despite Russian fertiliser exports being at all time highs. MR Quarterly production was impacted by maintenance - this work has been completed and it is likely that production volumes will return to normal this coming quarter likely boosting revenues this year. Macro factors e.g. war in Eastern Europe will likely add uncertainty to the availability of fertilizer along key transport routes to western Europe as sanctions against Russia take effect - shipping routes from Turkey will likely be impacted. I expect this stock has 20% upside by end of 2023 excluding dividend.
NYSE:UANLong
by Bullish_On_Value
1
Google earnings todayGOOG Q4 earnings are today, 2/2 at 4:15pm. Alphabet Cl C (GOOG) reported Q3 September 2022 earnings of $1.06 per share on revenue of $69.09 billion. The consensus earnings estimate was $1.26 per share on revenue of $70.64 billion. Revenue grew 6.1% on a year-over-year basis. Here's a GOOG 1 week chart with the past 8 earnings reports PE, EPS, revenue, cash & debt data indicators. Plus 2/3, 2/17 and 3/17 expiry options data. Q4 December 2022 Consensus: EPS = $1.19 Revenue = $76.48B P/E = 21.7 Q3 September 2022: EPS = 1.06 miss -16.01% Revenue = $69.09B miss -2.20% Cash = $21.98B Debt = $26.63B Q2 June 2022: EPS = 1.21 miss -6.05% Revenue = $69.68B miss -0.16% Cash = $17.94B Debt = $26.43B Q1 March 2022: EPS =1.23 miss -3.67% Revenue = $68.01B beat 0.18% Cash = $20.89B Debt = $26.25B 2/3/23 expiry options data: Put Volume Total 17,149 Call Volume Total 30,081 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.57 Put Open Interest Total 50,820 Call Open Interest Total 54,156 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.94 2/17/23 expiry options data: Put Volume Total 5,472 Call Volume Total 19,575 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.28 Put Open Interest Total 96,153 Call Open Interest Total 104,606 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.92 3/17/23 expiry options data Put Volume Total 4,332 Call Volume Total 14,527 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.30 Put Open Interest Total 156,883 Call Open Interest Total 224,859 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.70
NASDAQ:GOOG
by Options360
2
Has Block Bottomed?Block was a prominent growth stock before and during the pandemic. Like most companies of that type, it fell sharply between late-2021 and late-2022 as interest rates rose. But now it may be showing signs of bottoming and potentially turning higher. The first pattern on today’s chart is last November’s high of $75.77. SQ broke above that level in late January and held it this week. Has old resistance become new support? Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is back above the 200-day SMA for the first time in over a year. That kind of “golden cross” may suggest the longer-term uptrend has grown more bullish. Third, the lower study features our 2 MA Ratio custom script. It uses the default settings of the 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs). Notice how the fast EMA remained above the slower EMA during the latest pullback. Finally, SQ jumped on November 4 after earnings and revenue beat estimates. That may keep traders focused on the fintech with the next set of numbers due after the closing bell this coming Thursday, February 23. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
Editors' picks
NYSE:SQ
by TradeStation
5
PCT LongPureCycle Technologies, Inc. (PCT) produces recycled polypropylene (PP). PureCycle plans on developing a polypropylene recycling facility in Belgium and the company believes the facility has the potential for a total annual capacity of 500 million pounds. PureCycle is currently engaged in feedstock sourcing and financial planning with the intent to secure a final project timeline by mid-2023. Construction of the plant is expected to begin upon completion of the permitting process, which is currently anticipated in 2024. Source: www.prnewswire.com On 2/9/23, someone bought the PCT 5/19 11C 17,000x 1.07. To me, I believe they must be thinking 12.50-14.00 on a risk-reward basis, which is a a 75% move from where its trading at currently…they are either betting on incredibly good earnings or a upcoming catalyst/announcement.
NASDAQ:PCTLong
by airborne99
EBIX Long Options StrategyInternational SaaS and technology company Ebix offers software and e-commerce services to the insurance, financial, travel and healthcare industries. It recently announced that it closed 2022 with record volumes on AnnuityNet4 (AN4) --its annuity exchange platform that handles roughly 70% of the electronic annuity transactions in the industry, integrated with partners such as Cannex, DocuSign, OneSpan, DTCC. Other areas of business include CRM, Forex, and e-learning solutions. Fundamentally, Ebix has a market cap of 623.2M and P/E of 9.47x -- with price targets from $43-150, averaging $97. TA-oriented investors may spy some consolidation into a falling wedge as well as some possible bullish momentum. But tech stocks in general are volatile in this market, and it's hard to tell if this small cap will chop or rally. With this options strategy, capture up to 12% (20% annualized) of the potential gain while also allowing EBIX room to fall 63% before losing any of the initial investment. Hedged like this: Buy 1 $20 call Sell 1 $22.5 call Sell 3 $7.5 puts Exp 9/15/23 Capital Requirement: $2239
ELong
by oliveinvest
AMZN - Victim Of Its Own SuccessAmazon, Inc. What's wrong with that title? It's not quite the official name of the company. The company colloquially referred to as "Amazon" by anybody and everybody from my Grandfather to teenage girls at my high school, both looking to shamelessly devolve into consumerism from the nearest smartphone or web browser, has an undeniable grip on the modern world. The correct name for AMZN, as it's listed on the NASDAQ, is Amazon.com, Inc. This title, a remnant of its dotcom era IPO, indirectly serves today to remind investors of Amazon.com, Inc's massively profitable cloud computing division, which operates completely separately from its retail division, and which pushed its common stock to almost a 1.7 Trillion dollar valuation at the end of 2021. It's hard to say anything bad about Amazon.com, Inc's cloud computing business. Its market share is larger than Google and Microsoft's share combined in the same industry (Q3 2022 Data according to Statista). Big names like Netflix, Facebook, and Twitter use their services. Their service quality is high and has data centers around the globe. Its growing extremely fast. The Catch: Current macroeconomic headwinds are causing many businesses to cut back spending, and AWS is seeing this effect their bottom line. AWS still grew 20% year over year in Q4, but short of the expected 27.5%. This moderate slowing in its massive growth might be normally acceptable by investors to some degree. Except, it's not. AMZN trades at a sky-high PE of 68; After already losing more than 700 Million dollars in market cap since its peak in 2021. This ratio relies heavily on aggressive growth models for the company. AMZN's PE ratio has always been this way. Overzealous investors have been willing to pay this premium to get ahead of the massive profits AWS consistently posted. In many tech companies, excessive growth valuations have often been justified by certain rock solid keystone statistics (think: META's daily user count). Yet, growth is in practice finite, and a peak in these statistics forces multiples return to earth. The current market conditions and complex nature of the cloud computing industry could make the peak more difficult for investors to identify, but barring explosive cloud growth in future quarters, the multiple normalization process will take place. Disclaimer The information and publications here are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by Connor-Foran
Screen Setup for Fundamental AnalysisRecently I experimented with TradingView's "fundamental metrics" feature by mixing and matching up the financial information indicators. Finally, created a dedicated layout called "Fundamental analysis" and I like it a lot. Realizing that this feature is receiving less attention than it should be getting, I've decided to share my setup with everyone who's reading this to see. Setup : I've split my screen into two sides with (i) symbol, (ii) interval, and (iii) time all synced up. Left screen : Trend analysis on financial performance (the income statement) Right screen : Trend analysis on financial position (the balance sheet), along with changes in cash positions (statement statement of cash flows) They're all just high level breakdowns. We are not trying to come up with companies' intrinsic values by just staring at bundles of colorful rainbow lines. For each quadrant, I've placed the key Financial Statement Line Items (FSLIs), and key ratios (i.e. activity, liquidity, solvency, or profitability ratios) that are relevant to my decision making process. This is not a standard template because every value investor is different in terms of what they want to see at first sight when presented with companies' financial statements. TradingView had by default put labels with numbers on them, I removed all of those because I'm just interested in looking at the trends. If I need the exact information, I'll either dig up the SEC filings or go get copies of analysts' reports. But before ever doing that, I want to get a quick mental snapshot of the company's financials. Example : A quick walkthrough of TSLA (by just looking at the layout as shown in the example) over 5 years; As of latest quarter: (A) Financial performance wise: - EBIT and EBITDA had increased, all thanks to ramp up of revenue, and helped by decreasing of COS and OPEX. - as a common shareholder, it's great to see basic EPS increasing, but beware of dilutive effects (B) Financial position wise: - from perspective of a shareholder, it's great to see debt decreasing over time; shown by decreasing in net debt, corresponded by decreasing of D/E. - with increase in interest cover ratio, it tells that TSLA is starting to make enough money to have enough EBIT to cover their finance costs; good - overall liquidity wise, there had been decrease in quick ratio. This is explainable due to increase of inventory as shown by the gray line. This is okay, as long as inventory turnover is stable going forward (inventory activity ratios can be added if wanted, but I just plotted total inventory; normally I just want to know whether companies hold inventories or not). Advantage of this setup : - I can go through my TradingView watchlists and spend just 5 to 10 seconds on each company to get brief insights of their fundamentals. Disadvantage of this setup : - The scale is a problem. By default, they are auto-fitted. Due to nature of different FSLIs and ratios, you cannot resize them to obtain a meaningful universal scale. Be careful when deciding to work with comparatives with this setup. Example: if you look at basic and diluted EPS, it seems like the dilutive effect is immaterial because the lines are are stacked up. But if you look at the scales, they're completely different!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by DojiEmoji
2
AMZN earnings todayAMZN Q4 earnings are today, 2/2 at 4pm. Amazon (AMZN) reported Q3 September 2022 earnings of $0.28 per share on revenue of $127.1 billion. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.22 per share on revenue of $126.4 billion. Revenue grew 14.7% on a year-over-year basis. The company said it expects Q4 revenue of $140 billion to $148 billion. Here's an AMZN 1 week chart with the past 8 earnings reports PE, EPS, revenue, cash & debt data indicators. Plus 2/3, 2/17 and 3/17 expiry options data. Q4 December 2022 Consensus: EPS = 0.15 Revenue = $145.40B P/E = 96.5 Q3 September 2022: EPS = 0.28 beat +35.53% Revenue = $127.10B miss -0.29% Cash = $35.17B Debt = $128.25B Q2 June 2022: EPS = -0.20 miss -270.72% Revenue = $121.23B beat 1.76% Cash = $37.7B Debt = $124.577B Q1 March 2022: EPS = -0.38 miss -190.58% Revenue = $116.44B miss -0.53% Cash = $36.6B Debt = $113.287B Q4 December 2022: EPS = 1.39 beat +657.12% Revenue = $137.41B miss -0.13% Cash = $36.48B Debt = $116.395B 2/3/23 expiry options data: Put Volume Total 91,854 Call Volume Total 141,512 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.65 Put Open Interest Total 232,469 Call Open Interest Total 286,708 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.81 2/17/23 expiry options data: Put Volume Total 35,737 Call Volume Total 130,457 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.27 Put Open Interest Total 368,246 Call Open Interest Total 646,114 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.57 3/17/23 expiry options data Put Volume Total 20,571 Call Volume Total 55,465 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.37 Put Open Interest Total 402,933 Call Open Interest Total 659,330 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.61
NASDAQ:AMZN
by Options360
2
On 1 Feb 2023 Indian FM Will Talk on Crypto Regulations.......On 1st Feb Indian Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is going to announce budget of India. I am expecting that she will definitely talk about crypto regulations in India. As Wazirx is leading exchange in india right now, if something positive is for indian crypto community then WRX coin and other well reputed indian tokens will pump hard on tht day. So lets trade this upcoming new This trade is completely based on news, if something unfavorable news comes WRX will dump too...
Long
by Rohit_Shinde