Cidm been watching long time1$ plus by summer? Would love to hear some commments on CIDM? Next fubotv
Earnings
A Deeper Looking Into VIXThere are issues when it comes to the VIX volatility index's ability to project impending volatility - in part because options themselves are increasingly speculative vehicles rather than mere hedges to the underlying - but there is still a lot to glean from the the implied measures of activity.
Aside from the SKEW in implieds showing tail risk and volatility of volatility gauge showing underlying habits of jumpiness that the VIX alone doesn't well capture, I like the comparison of a shorter and longer duration gauge.
I thought we didn't have any robust short-term implied readings for the US indices space since VXST was scrapped some years ago, but apparently we now have CBOE:VIX9D - which covers is pretty self explanatory - relative to the 30-day traditional index. It's not the 'overnight' relative to '1-week' I like to pull from expensive data providers for FX volatility comparisons, but it can give useful insight.
What do the VIX9D - VIX suggest now? That we are underpricing the potential for a strong reaction (regardless of direction) heading into Wednesday CPI and Friday bank earnings.
DE - looks temptingThe recent pullback for NYSE:DE looks tempting, but I'm not adding right now. I will monitor price until we get in between the FOMC and earnings in May. I'm eying anything between 347-360 as a strong opportunity to accumulate.
DE is a core holding for me. They have strong dividend growth, low payout ratio, and a strong history of earnings beats. They are a leader in their space, switching costs are high, demand for products in their sector will continue to grow, and replacement demand can only be postponed temporarily. The management team seems to have navigated adversity well, which is critical with geopolitical tensions running hot.
DE has a history of volatility around earnings releases and outlook for industrials is influenced by monetary policy. The industrials surged 26% from the September lows to the March highs. They corrected sharply after the March FOMC and their recovery pulled back again when the ISM manufacturing PMI came in below forecast. DE's price movements coincide with its index, but it typically outperforms the S&P, where the index tends to underperform the S&P.
In this chart we see that movement into the lower portion of the rising channel are an infrequent and rewarding opportunity. Momentum and lack of meaningful company updates suggests that the current downtrend will follow the industrial index and that we may see such an opportunity. I will take any opportunity that I see near the center of the blue circled area and then likely take some profit above the solid green trendline. I've drawn a fib time zone that starts with the April 2022 drawdown. It has aligned with major price reversals and has an upcoming marker in May in between the FOMC and earnings.
Earnings season for the banksThis week is going to be a big one with US CPI and the Fed minutes on Wednesday, in addition to that the likes of JP Morgan and Citigroup are reporting earnings on Friday. We now see our green count as the likeliest outcome with a sharp move down this week and then a rally in May/June going to our ultimate target around 4300. Once we get to this area we will be looking to short the market very hard for the primary wave C with over 1000 points to take advantage of.
But as for this week, we're looking for an opportunity to short the market moving down to around 3700, which presents a nice 400 points of profit from current prices, but we'd advise caution with position sizes and stop losses this week as there is likely to be high volatility.
🐕Review of the Dogecoin(DOGE) Project🐕Hello! Today, let's review one of the ✴️cryptocurrency projects ✴️ which is the talk of the town these days, Dogecoin .
Today's project name is ⚛️ Dogecoin , shown as DOGE token⚛️.
As I have said before, I evaluate crypto projects based on various factors .👇
I have already introduced each of these factors with a brief explanation, so today, I will be looking at DOGE .
🔥Let’s get into it:
🔰🔰🔰🔰🔰🔰
✅ Project Goals : Dogecoin was created in 2013 as a joke. Dogecoin's goals are centered around creating a fun😁, friendly, and inclusive cryptocurrency that anyone can easily use and access. Dogecoin is the start of what is known today as “meme coins”. One of the main aims of Dogecoin is to be a fast and low-cost alternative to other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, making it ideal for everyday transactions and small purchases. But the aim to be an alternative to Bitcoin was made as a joke to stop the Bitcoin maximalists from spreading toxicity in the Bitcoin community💬. This is why I have rated Dogecoin’s project goals 4/10.
✅ Founders : Dogecoin was created in 2013 by two software engineers, Billy Markus and Jackson Palmer. Markus, who had previously worked for IBM, developed the technical aspects of the cryptocurrency, while Palmer, a product manager at Adobe, came up with the idea to base it on the popular "Doge" meme featuring a Shiba Inu dog🐕. Initially created as a joke or a "fun" cryptocurrency, Dogecoin gained popularity among internet communities, especially on Reddit, and became known for its friendly and inclusive culture. Markus and Palmer both stepped away from the project in 2015, with Markus citing personal reasons and Palmer expressing concerns about the cryptocurrency industry's direction. Since then, Dogecoin has been maintained and developed by a decentralized community of supporters and developers with no official leadership or centralized authority. Therefore I have scored Dogecoin’s founders 7/10.
✅ GitHub : Dogecoin's GitHub is an open-source repository where the source code for the Dogecoin cryptocurrency is stored, managed, and updated. It is a central hub for developers and contributors to collaborate on the project and make changes to the codebase. The GitHub repository also includes various resources and documentation for developers and users, such as technical guides, FAQs, and release notes. Dogecoin's open-source nature allows for transparency and community involvement in developing and maintaining the cryptocurrency. The Dogecoin GitHub repository has more than 270 contributors with over 14,000 commits. That is why I have scored Dogecoin’s GitHub 8/10.
✅ Inflation Rate : Dogecoin has a unique inflationary monetary policy that sets it apart from other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Unlike Bitcoin, which has a fixed supply of 21 million coins, Dogecoin has an unlimited supply, with 5 billion new coins added to circulation each year. The inflation rate of Dogecoin is fixed at 5.26% per year, meaning that the total supply of Dogecoin will increase by approximately 5.26% each year. This inflation rate is designed to ensure that there will always be new coins available to incentivize miners to continue verifying transactions and securing the network. I have scored Dogecoin’s inflation rate 6/10.
✅ Community : Dogecoin's community is known for its fun, friendly, and inclusive culture, which has played a significant role in the cryptocurrency's success and popularity. The community is made up of a diverse group of supporters, including investors, developers, traders, and enthusiasts, who are passionate about the currency and its mission.
The Dogecoin community is highly active on social media platforms, especially Twitter and Reddit, where they often share memes, jokes, and updates about the cryptocurrency.
One of the unique features of the Dogecoin community is its strong sense of humor and lightheartedness. The currency's logo features the Shiba Inu dog, which has become a popular meme on the internet, and the community often celebrates milestones with humorous memes and jokes.
Also, Elon Musk is an active member of the Dogecoin community with a significant impact on the project. Since Elon Musk is an extremely influential figure, he has managed to impact Dogecoin’s price through tweets, accepting CRYPTOCAP:DOGE for the sale of certain Tesla products, and even most recently that he changed Twitter’s logo to Dogecoin’s logo for a week. Due to this, I have scored Dogecoin’s community 9/10.
✅ Whitepaper : Dogecoin does not have a formal whitepaper in the traditional sense, as it was created as a fork of Litecoin and was initially intended to be a joke or a "fun" cryptocurrency. However, the original codebase for Dogecoin is publicly available on its GitHub repository, and it provides a technical overview of the currency's features and functionality. Since the project does not have a whitepaper, I have scored it 1/10.
✅ Developers : Dogecoin's development team is largely comprised of volunteers and community members who contribute to the project on a part-time basis. The original codebase for Dogecoin was created by programmers Billy Markus and Jackson Palmer, who have since left the project.
Since then, the Dogecoin development team has expanded to include several core contributors and maintainers who oversee the ongoing development and maintenance of the currency. Some of the current core contributors include Ross Nicoll, Patrick Lodder, and Max Keller, among others.
The development team works closely with the broader Dogecoin community to solicit feedback, implement new features, and address any issues or bugs that arise. The team is known for its collaborative and transparent approach to development, with regular updates and discussions on social media and other online platforms. Therefore I have scored Dogecoin’s developers 7/10.
✅ Tokenomics : Dogecoin is inflationary which means it does not have a maximum total supply. Dogecoin’s tokenomics include a few key features mentioned below:
Inflationary supply : Dogecoin has an inflationary monetary policy, with 5 billion new coins added to circulation each year.
Fixed block rewards : Dogecoin miners receive a fixed block reward of 10,000 DOGE per block. This reward is designed to incentivize miners to continue verifying transactions and securing the network.
Fast block times : Dogecoin has a fast block time of just one minute, which helps to facilitate quick transactions.
But an important factor to keep in mind is that 50% of Dogecoin’s current circulating supply is held just by the top 20 wallet addresses. This makes Dogecoin extremely centralized in terms of ownership. Therefore I have scored Dogecoin’s tokenomics 4/10.
✅ Venture Capital Investors : Dogecoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency and does not have any official VC investors. As a community-driven project, Dogecoin was initially created as a fun and lighthearted fork of Litecoin and has since gained popularity and support from a diverse group of enthusiasts, investors, and traders.
While Dogecoin does not have any VC investors, it has received attention from various high-profile individuals, including Elon Musk, who has been known to tweet about the cryptocurrency and show support for its community. Due to this, I have scored Dogecoin’s VC investors 5/10, even though it does not have any official investors.
✅ Competitor Comparison : Dogecoin is often compared to other meme-inspired cryptocurrencies, which have gained popularity in recent years. Here are some points of comparison between Dogecoin and some of its notable meme coin competitors:
Shiba Inu (SHIB) : Shiba Inu is a meme-inspired cryptocurrency that was created in 2020. Like Dogecoin, it features a cute dog as its mascot, and it has a community-driven culture. However, Shiba Inu has a larger total supply and has faced criticism for its lack of transparency and governance.
SafeMoon (SAFEMOON) : SafeMoon is a cryptocurrency that was created in 2021 and has gained a significant following in a short amount of time. It features a unique tokenomics structure that incentivizes holders to keep their coins in their wallets, which is very ponzi-like. Therefore SafeMoon has faced criticism for its lack of transparency and the potential risks associated with its tokenomics structure.
Akita Inu (AKITA) : Akita Inu is a meme-inspired cryptocurrency that was created in 2021. It features a dog as its mascot, and it has gained some popularity among crypto investors. However, Akita Inu has a smaller community and less widespread adoption compared to Dogecoin.
Therefore I have scored Dogecoin 9/10 compared to its competitors.
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🔔 In conclusion , Dogecoin obtained a total score of 6/10 which is average. But the important point is that Dogecoin is a meme coin after all, which means it will only have value as long as the community stays active and works for the project’s growth. The thing is, there is a high chance of people getting tired of one meme coin and moving on to a newer, more trending one. So if you are thinking of buying some DOGE, it’s best not to put in more money than you are completely comfortable with losing. Many great teams in the crypto space are working on the latest technology in order to build platforms, applications, and protocols that will increase crypto adoption and create a better experience for crypto users. Therefore, in my opinion, it’s best to invest your money in those types of projects instead of meme coins.
Has the price of gold peaked?Where will the gold price be adjustDue to the impact of the Good Friday market closure and waiting for guidance on non-farm payrolls data, market trading was relatively light.Overall, the US dollar bottomed out and rebounded in the previous trading day, prompting some gold bulls to take profits before the non-farm payrolls data. There is still a risk of further pullback in the short-term gold price. However, because the US dollar is still weak, US bond yields continue to fall, and the market's pessimistic expectations of US non-farm payrolls and other data have increased, and the gold price is still biased towards bulls in the future, so even if the gold price declines from its recent high, gold's bullish tendency has not changed.Therefore, we must pay attention to the support of buying on dips to the gold price.
Judging from the current gold trend, gold will be corrected in the short term, and it is currently under pressure on the first line of 2023-2024. Here, before an effective breakthrough, it will not strengthen and rise, and it is in a certain shock suppression, and there is still room for further pullback.But overall, the pullback correction is also for the bulls to gain momentum.Due to the large fluctuation base, short-term operations test the entry point more, so the entry point must be more accurate, otherwise it will be easy to be wiped out first.
Short-term trading reference:
First, sell gold in batches near the 2015-2018 position, with a stop loss level of 2023 and a take profit level of 2006. If the position is broken, the profit target is 2000.
I will share specific transactions and operations in real time on my channel based on intraday details.In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Earnings Q1 2023First Republic Bank $FBC shouldnt be saved by other banks because it is not there fault what CEOs did and what they managed the money. I believe they managed the money poorly and it isnt going to be hard to fix anytime soon. Short sell is at 4.83% but there still is cashflow of 55 million. This is on my top list to watch for the rest of the year. Better to long position. #bearish
Is gold making a strong comeback?Gold rose sharply during the US market session on Thursday and rushed to the 1980 mark, reaching as high as near 1985.The dollar index fell sharply during the day, narrowly guarding the 102 mark.Intraday gold currently continues to maintain a level near 1980.Judging from the daily chart, the gold price has been swept for four consecutive trading days, and the daily line alternates between yin and yang, and the overall range still maintains a sweep back and forth.
From the intraday point of view, although the daily K-line has closed the upper and lower hatched Yang lines, it has not been swallowed up by the bullish.Only the 1990 bulls on the daily line will hit the 2000 line again.Therefore, bullish below 1990 does not chase up, beware of the possibility of the main force inducing more market washing.If it breaks through 2002 strongly, it is a strong pattern. Therefore, for the time being, I am not in a hurry to fully look long. I have not yet come out of the complete long structure. At present, the 4-hour K-line is blocked and the recent high is suppressed, and the overall is still running downwards. Although the gold price rebound has a certain strength, under the premise of not breaking through 2002, I personally expect that the continuity is not strong.
Based on this trend, it returns to today's specific market trend: it is currently in a state of slightly more volatility, and gold is currently stagnant in the 1980-1985 area.In terms of support below: In the bearish form, it is safer to go long relying on strong support, that is, 1974-1975 will not break, look at the rebound.
Short-term trading reference;
1.Buy gold near the 1974-1975 position, stop loss level 1970, take profit level 1984
2.Sell gold near the 1984 position, the stop loss level is 1990, and the take profit level is near 1975
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Best Passive income cryptocurrencyMany of us have crypto store money in our bank accounts. Many ventures are exploring passive income options. It doesn’t matter what approach you take, the goal is to put your spare funds to work for yourself. One way to do this is with crypto. Let’s look at the 10 possible ways you can use crypto. Let’s quickly say that you can makepassive income from cryptocurrencies in 10 different ways. You may not always succeed. High volatility in cryptocurrency investments is a risky investment. You can lose 100% of your investment even if there is no volatile market factor such as bearish or inflation. There are eight ways to generate passive income from crypto. Many of the most popular cryptocurrencies can be used to generate passive income. It is crucial to research thoroughly and speak with financial professionals before making any investment decision. Here are the top passive income cryptos.
1. Staking cryptocurrency
2. Yield farming
3. Proof Of Work.
4. A crypto interest account.
5.Lending Platform
6.Dividends Tokens.
7.Airdrops and Forks.
8.Affiliate program.
9.Masternode cryptocurrency.
10.Decentralized Finance (DeFi cryptocurrency):
DRREDDY.... BULLISH. - Healthcare and Pharma SectorNSE:DRREDDY
This stock is fundamentally at ALL TIME HIGH but its PE at the lower band......
stock taking support of the major trendline (RED)
if it breaks 4615 level in WEEKLY TIMEFRAME with strong volume, then it can show a massive rally.
this is all for educational purpose, not a stock recommendation for trading.
invest at your own risk.
⚛️Review of the CryptoGPT(GPT) Project!!!⚛️Hello, today, let's review one of the cryptocurrency projects in the field of Artificial Intelligence(AI)🤖 from the fundamental point of view.
The reason for choosing this field is people's high acceptance of artificial intelligence🤖 in the new year; cryptocurrency projects also use this opportunity, but always check any project before investing💎.
Today's project name is ⚛️CryptoGPT(GPT)⚛️ .
As I have said before, I evaluate crypto projects based on various factors.👇
I have already introduced each of these factors with a brief explanation, so today, I will be looking at CryptoGPT(GPT).
🔥Let’s get into it:
🔰🔰🔰🔰🔰🔰
✅ Project Goals : CryptoGPT is introduced as a ZK Layer-2, allowing you to monetize your data with AI. Well, first of all, GPT stands for Generative Pre-Trained Transformer, which is basically how an AI language like ChatGPT gets massive databases pre-trained to enhance its services. So CryptoGPT is no more related to ChatGPT than being a rip-off chasing the hype around ChatGPT. Also, well-known L2s like Arbitrum and Optimism launched their tokens after their Mainnets were up and running when the users required governance control. Whereas CryptoGPT has launched its $GPT token already and states in its roadmap that the Layer-2 Mainnet Beta will launch in Q4 of 2023. So $GPT is currently no more than an ERC-20 token. The clout chasing done by this project has made our experts score the CryptoGPT project goals 2/10.
✅ Founders : There is little information about the founders of CryptoGPT. On their main website, Jamila Jelani is listed as part of the marketing team, whereas on some unofficial websites, she's introduced as the project's founder. CryptoGPT provides an AI language model called Alex, and when I asked Alex about the founders of CryptoGPT, I got the answer: "I'm sorry, but I don't have that information. However, you can visit the CryptoGPT website or do a quick online search to find the founders' names."
The fact that there is no proper information about the project's founders and the website owner is using a service to hide their identity is a huge red flag, so I have scored CryptoGPT's founders 1/10.
✅ Github : The project claims to be an AI-to-earn just like the play-to-earn games that were hyped in the crypto space during the end of 2021. Basically, how this works, according to the CryptoGPT website, is that you can turn your daily activities into data using AI and then sell it as something they call "NFT Capsules". They claim to be the only sustainable "to-earn" crypto project while also being a ZK L2 on Ethereum. But as of now, the only thing that exists is the $GPT token on Ethereum and Binance Smart Chain (BSC). There isn't a GitHub respiratory available for the project, at least none our team could find. Therefore I have scored CryptoGPT's Github 1/10.
✅ Inflation Rate : The $GPT token has a maximum supply of 3,000,000,000 (3 billion) tokens; no information is available on the circulating supply. Since there is no necessity for a project with these goals to have a token in the first place, I have scored the Inflation Rate of CryptoGPT 1/10.
✅ Community : CryptoGPT's Twitter account has 240K followers, its Telegram channel has more than 90K members, and its Discord channel has 20K members. Even though these numbers seem good for a crypto project's community, you should keep in mind that these are newly created accounts. For example, the Twitter account for CryptoGPT was created in February 2023, and gaining 240K followers in a month seems shady. That's why I scored CryptoGPT's community 4/10.
✅ Whitepaper : CryptoGPT doesn't have a Whitepaper yet and only provides a Litepaper for the project. In this Litepaper, the team states their goals and compares daily active users with other L2s on Ethereum, like Optimism and Arbitrum. The question is, how can they compare their users when the CryptoGPT Mainnet does not even exist yet? The thing about crypto projects is that they can claim to be unique and solve many issues in their Whitepaper, but the real thing is what's happening in the backend and coding of the project. Since this project doesn't have a whitepaper, I have scored CryptoGPT's Litepaper 3/10.
✅ Developers : The team only introduces 3 people as developers on their website. Of the three, only one is a backend developer, Emanuel Junior from Brazil. According to his LinkedIn profile, Emmanuel is a computer science graduate from a University in Brazil with more than 5 years of work experience. But just one developer isn't sufficient for a ZK Layer-2 since other L2s have huge teams of skilled devs working to improve their protocols. Since I couldn't find information about other devs working on CryptoGPT, I scored the developers 2/10.
✅ Tokenomics : According to CryptoGPT's Litepaper, the $GPT token distribution is as follows: 20% goes to the Public, 20% is allocated to Liquidity, Staking, and Market Makers, 3% goes towards the project's Marketing, 25% is allocated towards Data Mining Incentives, 16% for the team, 6% for partners and advisors, and 10% is allocated to a Development Reserve. But according to etherscan, the top 10 wallet addresses hold more than 85% of the $GPT token supply, which is extremely shady. That's why I have scored CryptoGPT's tokenomics 3/10.
✅ Venture Capital Investors : CryptoGPT has not done any funding rounds yet and therefore doesn't have any VC investors. The team might have decided to fund the project by selling their $GPT tokens which again is another red flag for investing in the project. This is why I have scored CryptoGPT's VC investors 1/10.
✅ Competitor Comparison : Compared to other ZK rollups on Ethereum, like Starknet and zkSync, CryptoGPT is basically already dead. Since these projects have amazing teams working on improving their projects and overcoming milestones, but a project like CryptoGPT just seems to want to use the hype around AI and ZK technology simultaneously without any actual creativity. Therefore I have scored CryptoGPT compared to its comparison 1/10.
🔔 In conclusion , CryptoGPT obtained a total score of 1.9/10. Does this score mean that the $GPT price will never rally? Definitely not. The $GPT token price can rally, but that doesn't change the project's fundamentals. Investing in CryptoGPT is extremely risky, even compared to other cryptos like Bitcoin and Ethereum. That's why if you want to invest in this project, it's best only to put in an amount you're completely comfortable with losing.
Why to follow 🌉Arbitrum🌉 (ARB)❗️❓As I have said before, I evaluate crypto projects based on various factors.👇
I have already introduced each of these factors with a brief explanation, so today, I will be looking at Arbitrum (ARB) , which will launch on Binance exchange on March 23rd. That is tomorrow.
🔥Let’s get into it:
🔰🔰🔰🔰🔰🔰
✅ Projects Goals : Technically, Arbitrum is an optimistic roll-up on Ethereum. To put it more simply, it is a suite of scaling solutions that provides faster speeds at a significantly
lower cost, with the same level of security as Ethereum. Since Ethereum users were very inconvenient during the last bull run due to the ridiculously high gas fees they had to pay, Arbitrum and other Layer2️⃣ scaling solutions became extremely necessary for the growth of user adoption in DeFi. That is why I have scored Arbitrum’s goals 10/10.
✅ Founders : Arbitrum is built by a company called Offchain Labs. Ed Felten, Steven Goldfeder, and Harry Kalodner are the co-founders of OffChain Labs🔬 and hence Arbitrum. Ed Felten is a computer science and public affairs professor at Princeton University. Steven Goldfeder has received a Ph.D. in philosophy from Princeton University, where he also worked at the intersection of cryptography and cryptocurrencies. Harry Kalodner also holds a Ph.D. in Computer Science from Princeton University. The co-founders' academic level and work experience made me score a 10/10 for the Arbitrum founders.
✅ Github : Since the founders are experienced computer scientists, users who are not tech-savvy don’t have to worry about Arbitrum’s code. The team is constantly working on updates to improve the Arbitrum networks🌐 making them easier to use with faster and cheaper transactions. But since there is still much more room to grow, the experts at I have scored Arbitrum’s Github 9/10.
✅ Inflation Rate : Arbitrum's $ARB token has a total supply of 10 billion and a maximum annual inflation rate of 2%. This is a decent inflation rate, so I have scored $ARB’s inflation rate 8/10.
✅ Community : Arbitrum’s user base mainly consists of OG Ethereum users who often transacted on Ethereum and started using Arbitrum due to the high gas fees. The Twitter account of Arbitrum has more than 610K followers👨🦰, and their Discord channel has more than 320K members. Also, with the launch of $ARB on March 23, the governance of Arbitrum starts, which enables the community to make decisions by themselves to grow the community further. This is why I have scored Arbitrum’s community 9/10.
✅ Whitepaper : Arbitrum’s whitepaper clearly states the project’s vision to the readers: providing scaling solutions to increase transaction speed and lower costs while staying as secure as Ethereum. The Arbitrum team has achieved many milestones till now and continues to do so, like the upcoming governance launch. This is why I have scored Arbitrum’s whitepaper 10/10.
✅ Developers : Since Arbitrum was founded by experienced computer scientists, the devs building Arbitrum are top quality which can also be realized by the number of projects building their DeFi protocols on Arbitrum. This is why I have scored Arbitrum’s developers 9/10.
✅ Tokenomics : The $ARB token distribution is as follows: 11.62% is airdropped to individual wallets, 1.13% is allocated to DAOs in the Arbitrum ecosystem, 17.53% goes to investors, 26.94% is allocated to the team, and future team, advisors, and the remaining 42.78% stays in the DAO treasury which can be governed by $ARB holders. This is an extremely fair token distribution, with the founding team receiving less than 30% of the total supply, so I have scored Arbitrum’s tokenomics 10/10.
✅ Venture Capital Investors : Arbitrum has a long list of VC investors, including Pantera Capital, Coinbase Ventures, Alchemy Ventures, and many more, which shows the credibility and the great vision of Arbitrum. This is why I have scored Arbitrum’s VC investors 10/10.
✅ Competitors Comparison : Arbitrum is one of the largest roll-ups providing scaling solutions for Ethereum, with over 3.5 million unique addresses on Arbitrum. But as an optimistic roll-up, Arbitrum faces heavy competition from other optimistic roll-ups like Optimisim and even ZK (Zero Knowledge) roll-ups. Each roll-up has its pros and cons, but without getting into the technical details, I have scored Arbitrum 8/10 in terms of competitor comparison.
⚠️ The overall score for Arbitrum is 9.3/10, which is an excellent score when evaluating a crypto project. But always remember that crypto tokens are generally risky assets that often face major volatility.
So you must do your research and even consider talking to an advisor before investing🤑 in any crypto project.
Dovish interest rate hike, good harvest in gold trading!The Federal Reserve is dovish and raised interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, and gold's short-term increase has expanded to more than US220, reaching as high as 1966.55.In just a few minutes, have you grasped this wave of huge profits?
Before the interest rate decision, I have reminded that the limit price is set around 1945 in advance to order a buy, the take profit is set to 1960, and the stop loss is set to 1942. Only use the loss space of 3 US dollars to gain a profit space of 15 US dollars.Obviously, we got a profit of 15 US dollars.
Why is it necessary to set a limit price in advance to order to buy instead of choosing to sell?I give the following reasons:
1.Due to the spread of the banking crisis and the credit crisis, it is impossible for the Fed to choose to raise interest rates by 50 basis points, otherwise it will cause concerns about the global economy and exacerbate panic; therefore, the Fed will choose to raise interest rates modestly or not, and dovish interest rate increases will support the rise in gold prices.
2.Even if the Fed chooses to raise interest rates by 50 basis points, it will cause concerns about the global economy and the spread of panic will promote the inflow of funds into safe-haven asset gold, so gold will continue to rise after a short-term decline.
3.In addition, multiple supports below the technical side are strong, and there is limited room for gold to fall. After the recent decline, gold has a need to repair and rebound.I don't know how to analyze the technical aspects in detail. You can choose to take a look at the analysis of the previous article.
Based on the above, that's why I chose to set a limit price near 1945 in advance to order a buy, and of course I also achieved good results.Have you kept up with the pace of trading?
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
$NKE Broadening formationNot financial advice.
$NKE currently heading to the top of broadening formation. Earnings tomorrow!
Possible Gap up in the morning to finally get to the top of broadening formation but cautious since it might get rejected there and try to fill gaps on the green on the current weeks.
Thanks Alex!
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Valuing a stock - ROIC/PE - an interesting ratio
As I am both a longer term and shorter term investor and trader the notion of the best way to estimate if a stock is undervalued or over valued interests me. There seem to me a number of ways to go about doing this but I was interested to see if I could combine two traditional metrics that people look at into one measure and see if that told me anything interesting.
The two measures I am interested in are P/E ratio - typically used as an indicator of whether a stock is under or overvalued in terms of its price to earnings and of course sometimes reflecting also the expectancy of future earnings growth or reduction.
The second measure I was interested in is ROIC - Return on Invested Capital - a fairly good measure of how well a company martials the capital it has invested into producing returns.
So I decided to start checking a ratio of these two measures for a series of companies.
The ratio I am using is ROIC /PE.
When price goes up if EPS and ROIC are same then this ratio goes lower - and vice versa.
When ROIC goes up if PE and EPS are the same then this ratio goes higher - and vice versa.
When EPS goes up if ROIC and Price are unchanged then this ratio goes higher - and vice versa.
When PE ratio goes up then this ratio goes lower - and vice versa.
I found an interesting interplay of these factors across a range of stocks and ratios varying from below 1 up to in the twenties.
I'm still thinking about what this ratio is really telling me.
Here are two current examples which were correct for prices I think it was early last week.
NVDA
ROIC 12.3 PE 137 ROIC/PE RATIO - 0.09
ON SEMICONDUCTOR
ROIC 22 PE 18.23 ROIC/PE RATIO - 1.22
Based only on this ratio and looking at the ratio for various other stocks then NVDA looks very overvalued compared to say ON Semiconductor. Some stocks cam out with really high ROIC/PE ratios and its left me wondering if these are stocks that are really undervalued.
Of course the confounding factor in this that a high PE may be there because of expectations for strong future growth. But you'd have to have really strong growth in either ROIC or EPS - or a drop in stock price - for NVDA to come into ratios more like other stocks.
Im interested in any thoughts people have on this ratio as a pointer to overvaluation or undervaluation of a stock.
Thanks. ( Its my first public post - be gentle lol.
AAPL earnings todayAAPL Q1 earnings are today, 2/2 at 4:30pm. Apple (AAPL) reported Q4 September 2022 earnings of $1.29 per share on revenue of $90.15 billion. The consensus earnings estimate was $1.26 per share on revenue of $90 billion. Revenue grew 8.1% on a year-over-year basis. The company said during its conference call it expects first quarter revenue to be less than $134 billion. The current consensus revenue estimate is $121.65 billion for the quarter ending December 31, 2022. Here's an AAPL 1 week chart with the past 8 earnings reports PE, EPS, revenue, cash & debt data indicators. Plus 2/3, 2/17 and 3/17 expiry options data.
Q1 December 2022 Consensus:
EPS = 1.95
Revenue: $121.65B
P/E = 23.83
Q4 September 2022:
EPS = 1.29 beat +1.24%
Revenue = $90.15B beat 1.54%
Cash = $21.48B
Debt = $109.707B
Q3 June 2022:
EPS = 1.20 beat 3.86%
Revenue = $82.96B miss -0.01%
Cash = $23.82B
Debt = $94.7B
Q2 March 2022:
EPS =1.52 beat 6.21%
Revenue = $97.28B beat 3.49%
Cash = $21.95B
Debt = $103.323B
2/3/23 expiry options data:
Put Volume Total 133,490
Call Volume Total 185,439
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.72
Put Open Interest Total 236,507
Call Open Interest Total 258,742
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.91
2/17/23 expiry options data:
Put Volume Total 50,165
Call Volume Total 51,491
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.97
Put Open Interest Total 628,578
Call Open Interest Total 456,492
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.38
3/17/23 expiry options data
Put Volume Total 42,446
Call Volume Total 30,838
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.38
Put Open Interest Total 495,668
Call Open Interest Total 531,159
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.93
Good Opportunity:ETH price hits a new high during the yearEthereum, from a technical point of view, the ETH short-term 4-hour market is under pressure below 1850. The market is currently falling below the MA20 moving average to stop the decline, and the low point of the decline is slowly rising. In the short-term, the market has not fallen below the 1740 first-line support. There are signs of successful top-bottom conversion. The daily market closed on March 18th with a long shadow line of negative K, the market is rising again today, currently showing a barefoot positive K, the current daily market has a slight adjustment signal, the daily line pays attention to the support of the 1740 range below, and the market If the entity falls below the high probability, it will drop down to the 1680 line. Overall, the current short-term market is supported by the strong pressure level of the 1740 line before stepping back, the market has formed a top-to-bottom conversion, and the daily line has a slight downward signal. At the same time, the market has already touched the 1800-1900 range. Strong selling pressure level, so the current operating idea is to wait for the market to adjust, mainly to go long at low levels.
In addition, if buyers can keep interest rates above US 1700, Ethereum (ETH) may continue to grow in the medium term.In this regard, the rise may continue to the key area of about US 2000.
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The three most worthwhile potential coins to invest in in 2023Today, I will reveal what I think is the best cryptocurrency portfolio in 2023.I think this portfolio will be the best altcoin in 2023.
1.Arweave (AR)
Arweave is a Blockchain-based decentralized platform that provides a permanent and tamper-proof data storage solution.It was launched in 2017 by a group of developers led by Sam Williams.The platform aims to solve the problem of data persistence by providing a cost-effective permanent data storage solution that is accessible to everyone.
A key feature of Arweave is that it uses a new consensus mechanism called proof of access (PoA).This mechanism is designed to be more energy-efficient than traditional proof-of-work (PoW) or proof-of-stake (PoS) mechanisms, and also allows faster transaction times.The working principle of PoA is to require nodes to prove that they have stored a certain amount of data on the Arweave network in order to participate in the consensus process.
Arweave also has a unique economic model designed to motivate data storage on the network.The platform uses a local cryptocurrency called AR to pay for storage.AR is also used to reward nodes that participate in the consensus process, which helps ensure the security and reliability of the network.As of March 2023, AR has a market capitalization of more than 1.5 billion US dollars.
A significant use case of Arweave is the creation of a decentralized social media platform.Since the data stored on Arweave is permanent and immutable, it provides a feasible alternative to traditional centralized social media platforms that are vulnerable to censorship and data leakage.
In short, Arweave is a blockchain-based platform that provides a cost-effective permanent data storage solution.Its unique consensus mechanism and economic model have helped it gain attention in the blockchain community, and have the potential to revolutionize the way we store and access data in the future.
2.Chainlink (LINK)
Chainlink (LINK) is a decentralized oracle network designed to connect smart contracts to real-world data so that they can interact with the outside world in a safe and reliable way.Launched in 2017, Chainlink has quickly become one of the most popular blockchain projects, with a market capitalization of more than US10 billion as of March 2023.
The idea behind Chainlink is to solve the trust problem in smart contracts.A smart contract is a self-executing program that runs on the blockchain and is designed to be executed automatically when certain conditions are met.However, these conditions are usually based on data outside the blockchain, such as stock prices or weather data.In order to ensure the accuracy and immutability of this data, smart contracts need to rely on oracles.
The oracle is a third-party service that can provide the data required for the execution of smart contracts.However, these oracles can be centralized, which means they are vulnerable to manipulation or attack.Chainlink tries to solve this problem by creating a decentralized oracle network that can provide reliable and secure data for smart contracts.
Chainlink works by connecting smart contracts to multiple nodes in its network.These nodes are operated by independent operators, who are motivated to provide accurate data by earning LINK tokens (the native cryptocurrency of the Chainlink network).When a smart contract needs data, it sends requests to multiple nodes in the network.The node then provides its own data, which is aggregated and verified by the Chainlink protocol to ensure accuracy and consistency.
One of the key features of Chainlink is its ability to provide data from off-chain sources (such as APIs and Web services).This means that smart contracts can be connected to a wide range of data sources, including traditional financial markets, weather services, and social media platforms.
Chainlink is also very popular in the field of decentralized finance (DeFi), it is used to provide reliable and secure price information for various DeFi protocols.This price information is essential to determine the value of various assets and execute transactions in the DeFi ecosystem.
In addition to technical features, Chainlink also has a strong and active community of developers and supporters.The project is led by Sergey Nazarov and Steve Ellis, who have a long history in the field of blockchain and smart contracts.Chainlink has also established partnerships with many large companies, including Google, Oracle, and SWIFT, which has helped increase its visibility and adoption.
In general, Chainlink is a promising project that aims to solve an important problem in the blockchain field.Its decentralized oracle network has the potential to revolutionize the way smart contracts interact with the outside world, and its growing ecosystem of developers and supporters shows that it will continue to be a major player in the blockchain industry in the coming years.
3.Uniswap(UNI)
Uniswap is one of the most popular decentralized exchanges in the cryptocurrency market.Uniswap is a decentralized exchange (DEX) built on the Ethereum blockchain, allowing users to trade Ethereum-based tokens without the need for intermediaries or central institutions.It was created by Hayden Adams in November 2018 and has since become one of the most widely used DEX in the cryptocurrency space.
The core of Uniswap is the use of an automatic market maker (AMM) system, which means it relies on a set of algorithms to determine the price of a given asset.This is in stark contrast to traditional centralized exchanges, which usually use order books to match buyers and sellers and determine asset prices.
The Uniswap agreement has two main components: the liquidity pool and the Uniswap token (UNI).The liquidity pool is a place where users can deposit their tokens to provide liquidity to the exchange. In return, they can get a portion of the transaction fees generated by the platform.On the other hand, Uniswap tokens are used for governance and allow holders to vote on important decisions related to the agreement.
As of March 2023, Uniswap has been rated as one of the top decentralized exchanges, and the market capitalization of UNI tokens exceeds US 10 billion, making it one of the top 25 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.
One of the main advantages of using Uniswap is its decentralized nature, which means that it will not be subject to the same risks as centralized exchanges, such as hacking or government intervention.In addition, since Uniswap is built on the Ethereum blockchain, it benefits from the security and reliability of the Ethereum network.
Having said that, there are also some risks in using Uniswap.For example, the value of tokens held in the liquidity pool may fluctuate significantly depending on market conditions, which may cause liquidity providers to suffer losses.In addition, since Uniswap is a decentralized platform, there is no central authority to supervise the platform, which means that users need to be careful to avoid fraud.
Overall, Uniswap is a powerful and popular decentralized exchange that provides a series of benefits for cryptocurrency traders and investors.However, as with any investment in the cryptocurrency space, it is important to conduct your own research and carefully consider the risks before investing.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
From Zero to Hero: The Art of Finding Winning Crypto Projects!!!Hello there, fellow traders👨💻! As a trader, I know that choosing the right crypto project to invest in can feel like navigating a sea of uncertainty.
But fear not mateys😎!
Today, we will set sail on a journey to discover the best crypto projects.😉
I will examine critical factors to help identify the most promising crypto projects💡.
But I won't be venturing blindly into the unknown.
Oh no, I have a trusty checklist for each crypto project to guide us on our quest.
I give a score from 1 to 10 for each factor.
With this checklist in hand✅, we will be able to evaluate each crypto project based on essential factors(But I must say that the ✨ starred factors ✨ are more important in our checklist).
So let's dive into the factors.
Founders ✨: The founders' vision, expertise, reputation, leadership, and decision-making abilities are essential to a crypto project's success and sustainability.
Project's Goal ✨: The project goal is a critical component of a crypto project that defines its purpose, attracts investors, guides development, and measures success.
Source Code ✨: The importance of source code in a crypto project lies in its ability to determine its functionality, security, and transparency. Access to source code enables security experts and auditors to review the project's security measures, identify weaknesses, and recommend improvements. Open-source projects promote transparency and accountability, building trust among stakeholders. Also, new commits submitted to the project can be analyzed through the project's repository.
Token Inflation Rate ✨: The importance of a crypto project's token inflation rate lies in its impact on the token's value, liquidity, and long-term sustainability. A high inflation rate can decrease the token's value and liquidity, while a low inflation rate can promote token scarcity and sustainability.
White Paper Analysis ✨: The importance of a whitepaper in a crypto project lies in its ability to communicate the project's vision, value proposition, and technical specifications to investors. It is a marketing tool, technical specification document, project blueprint, and credibility establishment tool.
Community ✨: This is a significant factor when analyzing a crypto project. Community in a crypto project provides the ability to support the project's growth, adoption, and sustainability. A strong community can promote adoption and awareness, provide feedback and insights, offer support and resources, and promote the project's values and mission.
Tokenomics : Can determine the token's value, utility, and sustainability. Tokenomics can help balance token supply, demand, and circulation, design token utilities that incentivize user participation, and regulate token supply to promote.
Developers : They play a crucial role in a crypto project, as they are responsible for designing, building, and maintaining the project's software and infrastructure. The importance of developers in a crypto project lies in their ability to ensure the project's functionality, security, and scalability. Developers are responsible for designing, building, and maintaining the project's software and infrastructure, promoting innovation and creativity, and promoting the project's vision and values.
Venture Capital (VC) Investors : The importance of VC investors in a crypto project lies in their ability to provide the project with funding, expertise, and connections to help it grow and succeed. VC investors can help the project overcome challenges, expand its reach, and promote its legitimacy and credibility.
Competitors : Comparing a crypto project to its competitors is essential to understand its strengths and weaknesses, assess its potential for growth and profitability, identify any potential risks, and evaluate the project's unique features. These factors are critical for making a well-informed investment decision in crypto.
👆According to the factors mentioned, getting lost in this sea is challenging.👆
With this map or lantern, you will find your way to the safe shore and the treasure.💎
Warren Buffett once said, "Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing." In today's ever-changing financial markets, staying informed and making well-informed investment decisions is more critical than ever.
So hoist the anchor and embark on this exciting adventure together.✌🏻 With this checklist and knowledge, you'll be able to navigate the treacherous waters of the crypto market and find the projects that will lead you to the ultimate booty - success! 🙏🏻😍
Share your ideas with me💡, and if you have any questions❓, you can ask in the comments.💬
Learn and always stay updated📚.
Don't forget to invest what you can afford to lose.💸
Discretion is the greater part of valor.🤗
Will the gold price continue to break through 1940 line upward?On March 16th, a large U.S. bank injected US 30 billion into First Republic Bank to rescue the bank from the widening crisis.Previously, Credit Suisse said it would borrow up to US554 billion from the Swiss National Bank to boost liquidity.The market's worries about the banking crisis in Europe and the United States have cooled, and the global stock market has generally risen. Investors need to beware of the short-term volatility and pullback of gold prices or even the risk of peaking.
In addition, the European Central Bank still raised interest rates by 50 basis points on Thursday.It is expected that the Fed will raise interest rates by 25 basis points at the March policy meeting, which will be slightly bearish for gold prices in the short term.Of course, the current risk-averse sentiment in the market has not completely subsided, and there are still certain safe-haven funds still pouring into the gold market to provide support for gold prices.
From the trend point of view, the top of the short-term gold level is basically all around 1930, and this position is firmly established.The 4-hour-level trend has continued to rise and fall. It is currently temporarily under pressure in the 1935 area. At present, there is a certain degree of deviation from the K-line and there are signs that it has begun to gradually fall below the short-term moving average, and it tends to be able to make a certain degree of adjustment in the short-term trend.On the hourly level, the current range compression is relatively small, and the technical pattern has also begun to gradually weaken, but the overall performance of gold is still relatively strong. At present, the overall range is wide in the 1900-1940 range. In the short term, pay attention to the support in the 1910 area, and pay attention to the resistance of 1935 above.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
The SVB Collapse and Why It Matters To YouInteresting situation with the collapse of SVB (SIVB), the people have yet to realize we control the market not the central planners. and the collapse of SVB is a realization of that power. So , here is what i know from the very little articles and podcasts that I listen to and I will give you guys the why its important.
From what i know is that SVB business model was somewhat risky in the first place, and their main consumer base was startups, and tech startups. hence the name Silicon Valley portion of Silicon Valley Bank.
Now a little money education... in the world of money and currency (remember currency as current it will become important later) there is a concept called the velocity of money, basically the volatility of money. for my stock traders think the VIX. when the VIX is low there is no money to be made because money is not moving. but when the VIX is high there is plenty of money going around so why not use your dollars as napkins, right or "fun coupons"! this is the velocity of money the faster a person can make money move the more money they stand to make. the banks know this. So when you go to the bank and deposit your check your money is already out the door into something else before you're able to but your wallet in your bag or pocket. this happens because of what is called as the "fractional reserve system" and to be honest its a "F"ed up idea but has worked thus far. what this system means for every dollar you put into the bank, the bank can lend out 10$.
A bank is a business it makes its profits by lending money, and when you save your money it cost the bank money, because of your .01% interest rate. the reason for the big push for open accounts is because the more open accounts the bank has means the more money they have liquid, which means the more they can loan out, which means the more they stand to profit. now as an insurance policy the US government makes the banks keep a fraction of their total account balances on site incase of what they call a "bank run" happens (get to what a bank run is later)
Now, normally you dont notice this or even care because when you go to the bank and want to pull 100$ from your account its no big deal whats a 100$ when your dealing with 100s of thousands. you want a 100$ you get 100$ instantly.
But want to see the system become a problem for you, if you have more than lets say 25,000$ or more in an account go try to pull ALL that money out and see what type of road blocks you encounter. they will make you give ID, reasons for shutting down the account, basically your first born child and your blood type. partly is because they really want to know why you're closing the account, because thats profits walking out the door.
but the main reason is, they have to reach out to sister branches and other banks to pool that money together to be able to give it to you and this typically happens like over night. so if you think you're about to waltz into your local bank and demand a 25,000$ check right then and there you're sadly mistaken. the same exact process happens when you take out a mortgage, now your talking $200K and up so now there are more road blocks. whether you're the buyer or the seller. you sell your house for 500K and you think that check you deposited is there right when you get it... yeah its not!
back to the currency comment money is now a currency it has to keep moving to keep its value. think of it as a river, mostly you can drink water from a river and be okay because bacteria cannot grow in moving water but drink water out of a pond and you just might catch Syphilis (sarcasm intended). money is the same way, the faster you can make it move the more you stand to make and the healthier the money is, if take money out of the river and stick it in your pond as a savings account inflation will eat it alive making it very unhealthy. Even historically before all this crazy inflation started happening the savings rate in a savings account was like 0.01% and inflation was around 2 percent.
Now the importance of this lays with the SVB. When looking at their business model it seems solid... "invest in high beta companies, or higher risk endeavors, then to off set this risk we will load up on the safest paper assets money can buy... the US 10Y bond." Officially the US hasn't defaulted on loans before... i mean we will print more money before we default. I mean it sounds like counterfeiting if you ask me, but who am I just a low key, low level, low volume trader with a computer living in my moms basement :) sarcasm... or is it?!
Well from the looks of it it would seem SVB bought a ton of these 10Y bonds in 2021 when the economy was ripping and roaring. So, when bond yields are down their prices are way up. So in the full swing of the "roaring 20's" yields were around 1.12X or keeping it simpler 1.1XX. so that must mean the value must of been sky high. My only rational thought for this type of purchase was the risk manager must of thought he could off load the bonds in the bond market for a nice profit thinking good times were going to continue. On the surface it seems okay high risk business model with a low risk counter weight.
But "We the People" were leaving SVB, and going back to what i said about taking your 25,000$ savings out, and they were running out of reserves and their bonds were worth less than the paper they were "printed" on, so they filed a loss on their report. on the surface this was fine, because only die hards read a companies 10Q or 8A but all it takes is one... and there is always that one Guy... and not this Regular Guy either. I personally dont like the instability of the tech industry. i mean i do believe we will make a full blown terminator but i dont want to gamble on which company that is regardless of what the gain is... might as well go gamble in my opinion.
So, because there was a mass exodus of accounts they were having a hard time fill orders so file your 8A detailing you're offering more stocks to drum up some money and it falls flat. people read said 8A and see that you dont have cash so the word got out and the consumers made a bank run. Dont get it twisted either this can happen to any commercial bank JP Morgan, BofA, Chase, Citi, Credit Suisse and the like.
a bank run is when the majority of depositors want their money back now and they do it in close succession of each other forcing the bank to say "we dont have your money" so they in essence "run" to the "bank" to get their worthless paper.
Now, what i just learned is back in '08 our amazing government passed legislation basically stating they will no longer bail out banks. (honestly if you guys know the piece of legislation please post it in the comments) I agree with this legislation because when I lost 15k on a bad USDCHF trade 7-8 years ago the government didnt bail me out. that was all my money... just gone in a matter of seconds. So the US government came out and said " we will make sure all depositors will get their monies back...
How?
step in Bail-Ins
And again a bail in is something i literally just learned about... i swear at this point were just making -ish up at this point... ok so we know what a bail out is... basically the US government funnels all this cash into a failing business(s) and the tax payer picks up the tab. so what is a bail-in?... glad you asked
a bail-in is when the depositors pick up the tab...
How?
well the FDIC picks up the first $250K and anything over that 250K is now funneled into bank to help offset the loss.
so if you have $500K in the bank the first $250K is yours... uncle sam gives it back via FDIC (which that money has been long gone spent, so i dont know where theyre going to pull money from to keep this facade of the FDIC up) and the next $250K is the banks... So congratulations you have just become a unwillingly silent partner of a failing bank. -ishy news is that the current administration is trying to give more power back to the IRS and bring it back to its glory days like it was in the 80's so you wont be able to claim those losses on your taxes, if you had a business friendly administration you might actually have a fighting chance.
i have a feeling the whole world is watching what is about to happen, because the entire banking system relies on high value accounts. if the US says tough luck that might send uneasy shock waves to all the high income earners and might make them want to pull their funds out of the banking system...
there is a very interesting article on Credit Suisse that i want to read
so ciao!