Key leves lets see how the candles react with levelskey levels are some strong they can send the price up or down
To create a leve first
1 Go to daily time frame and find 3 candles that touch exactly with red Horizontal line
when you finish drawing all lines in daily time frame go to 4H time frame and do exact the same thing that you did in daily time frame
if you found 2 key levels are to much near you can delete one take the one which touch lot of candles
2 the candles that are touching the levels called
CCL : Candle that created the level
CSL1 CSL2 CSL3 CSL4 CSL.......100 : Candle that Supported the Level
when you finish doing that change time frame to 5 or 15 minut and check how the candles react with these KEY LEVELS
Earnings
piling up bad news on semi conductor industryAMD is on a really important zone here. if this breaks, its going to be a disaster for it. we can see 59-60. most of the semi conductor names like AMAT, NVDA or just semi etf SMH are pretty close to 200 weekly moving range. we might see it next week.
MU reported ok numbers for this quarter but their guidance is awful.
• They slashed EPS by 40% and REV by 20% in guidance.
• Operating margins of this quarter are inline but they guided way lower operating margins for next quarter which shows the pressure on their raw materials
and inventory side.
• Operating cash flows for this and next quarter are also a miss but thats not surprising considering their margins going down.
• Also, CEO on call said the demand is weaker for semi’s right now which probably is why semi’s have been getting hit in the last week or so.
The biggest issue i see on MU’s ER is declining mobile sales. They have had y/y declining sales and this might spill over to big names like APPL, QCOM, QRVO and also ad spend companies like APPS, TTD.
If a new leg down starts in the market, chip manufacturers and mobile makers, ad spend and 5G network companies should be on watch.
Also, the demand weakening comment should put a lot of pressure on NVDA and AMD as there will be doubts about them being able to fulfill their guidance with weakening demand. Especially AMD guided way higher last quarter.
TSM put out news friday that majority of their big suppliers are scaling down their chip orders for rest of 2022. this consists of AMD NVDA AAPL cutting from 5-12% of their chips.
please note that this post is not for monday trading, it is intended in general for the next 3-4 months.
POWWThe ammunition industry has been far behind in production capacity to meet the enormous increase in demand. As long as crime continues to be a problem in America, there will be an outsized level of demand. POWW Just opened a state of the art ammo plant in Q2, revenues have grown from $0 in 2016 (startup) to $62.482 million in 2021; with company and analyst estimates putting 2023 @ $300-$320 million.
Ammo Inc published revenue growth of 285% for 2022 on June 30, 2022 and price is up 8.44% as of today (July 1).
NASDAQ:POWW
Earnings - www.nasdaq.com
Insider Activity - all buys, no sells - www.nasdaq.com
Potential short-squeeze on the ESG nuts - www.nasdaq.com
I am long on POWW as of today, and POWWP. POWW Preferred (POWWP is currently yielding 8.62%)
Recession is just starting and the Sox bubble comes to an endWell recession started since Q1 and yes, Q2 will be ugly too
Considering lowering of bitcoin.
Considering lowering of Nvidia+AMD stocks earnings
Considering lowering of TSMC, ASML earnings
+ end on market multiple
Then Sox have to sink deeply to 550.
The lowest value in 2009 is 168 so it's still 3 times higher than the lowest point and rich will remain rich. But latest buyer will suffer
Thanks for checking my other insight and have nice trade
Good fundamentals + Breakout ✨Hey Guys, Yurii Domaranskyi here.
Risk vs Reward = 1 to 10.59 ✨
It means if you risk here 1000$ you may make 10590$ Not bad, huh?
035. PIGGISH PLAY - Long Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD)Royal Gold Inc. is now positioned for the holy grail of bullish baggers. The bags on this trade are so big that I had to steal a pot from some greedy leprechaun in order to fit all the potential gains in one location. For a visual perspective of the potential gainz on this trade, see the upper-right-hand part of the chart for the 'Pig Pot'.
I also sometimes keep weed in there, so please leave that bag alone/let me know if you happen to find it.
I. Fundamental Briefing:
This will be the second Pig Play in a row where I touch upon the fundamental situation of the underlying company's financials. I usually prefer to keep it technical because that is the only moral basis to take a trade. But the fundamental picture needs to be addressed for RGLD because it is actually undervalued. That's right - in what must be the frothiest market in American history, we have ourselves a SEVERELY UNDERVALUED stock that just released a heroic quarterly report. Not only is this company operationally best-in-class, but it just cleared the remainder of its payable notes while also securing an enormous line of credit, if needed. This is an important detail because it hints at a potentially aggressive strategy with acquisitions and property expansions galore. For those less acquainted with the precious metals industry, there is a particular category of company that operates as a collector-of-sorts, whereby it simply takes a royalty from operations on the properties it owns. These properties are usually large plots of land that contain one or multiple mines that are available for digging by the mining companies that have a contractual right to do so. Once the refined product is sold to third-party retailers (presumably by the mining companies, but could be other parties at times), Royal Gold proves its namesake by collecting a royalty at the time of sale.
Aside from Royal, the other major royalty player in this space is Franco Nevada, which I also personally like, but is not nearly as undervalued as our guy here. The bottom fundamental line is that it's great! If you want to know more or don't believe me, take a glance at their latest quarterly numbers and guidance for 2022.
II. Technical Picture:
Much like what RGLD does, I have discovered the locations of the largest mines in the chart and identified them as such. The geometric form on the left side of the chart is a rather complicated arrangement of triangles and circles that are drawn to form golden rectangles and other such sacred angles. This sort of 'geometric' style of technical analysis is both difficult to teach and actually use for accurate projections. It is not a set of techniques that is practical to use intraday because of how time consuming it is to get precise projections. In any case, I have manipulated and contorted a few of the angles and distances to project out where the bullish and bearish landmine hits are likely to occur in time and in price.
It just so happens that there are a string of harmonically-spaced LANDMINES set to explode in perfect order in the days and weeks to come. I will say that I've never seen such a perfect array of bullish line extensions like this and am very excited to buy and hold and do nothing for once. For the record, its laughable that people actually brag about their success with this strategy when there is legitimately nothing to it - especially if it is an alt-coin.
To wrap this up before the opportunity disappears, the reason why this is so special is because there is a very high chance that you can use short-term options like you would any run-of-the-mill pure equity play. That is, between the dates of ~ February 11th and July 18th, there is hardly any resistance that will cause this move much trouble. If anything, it might delay the inevitable continues rally to 150+, but that can be easily dealt with by having the right options strategy (see next section).
III. Pig Spec's and Other Entry Details:
Unlike most of my plays, this one has farther-spaced contract expiration dates. There are only 4 to choose from between now and July 18th. They are as follows:
a) March 18th
b) April 14th
c) June 17th
d) July 15th - (its as if the makers know about the July 18th cutoff)
The way I am going to play this is to distribute all of my allotted capital to the April 14th expiration. That is, 100% of the capital is going toward three different strikes, all for April 14th. I am going to enter these three strikes tomorrow, see below for details:
BUY LONG CALLS ON RGLD (80% of Total Capital)
BUY LONG CALLS ON RGLD (20 % of Total Capital)
That is all for now, see reasoning section below for strategic explanation.
IV. Options Strategy Explained:
The way I would like to play this is to mimic the process of buying and holding equity with the expectation of higher prices and steady gains. This is mainly because of the very low probability that the stock trades below 115 for the period between now and mid-July. I am making this assumption based on some of the characteristics of the particular geometric structure of the chart and the timing of the major underlying trends in precious metals.
As far as strike selection goes, 110 is an extremely safe level from here on out. As it stands today, the premium structure is such that you can pay proportionately the same for the 115 and 120 strikes without incurring an additional cost for this safety. This deal exists for the 4/14 110 strike, but it will not last, so I advise entering swiftly at some point during the trading day tomorrow. The only barrier for this strike is the higher cost per contract, which is why the saying goes, "it takes money to make money." Still, with the protection it offers in this spot, Id much prefer to own half the number of contracts with less than a quarter of the implied risk.
To this last point of having to tradeoff between safety and number of contracts owned - the solution lies in the remaining 25% of allotted capital going towards the much more aggressive 130 strike for the same expiry. While I say "aggressive" with a straight face, it is a little comical to call it as such given some of the other plays I've made in the past. The point is that this trade is golden and proof of this lies in how un-aggressive the aggressive portion of the position is.
Unlike the SBUX play, this one is slower and more methodical and may last until mid-July. Therefore, I do not foresee making many changes to the above setup, in terms of the options held. I will provide an updated plan around mid-March depending on how much RGLD moves from now until then. Otherwise, I will not provide mid-play guidance for this one, unless something extremely strange happens where gold gets outlawed or something in the next couple of months.
America has outlawed gold before, so it wouldn't totally shock me. Sort of kidding, but whats great is that it represents the biggest risk that I can see with this trade.
= Bagz Galore
-King-Pig
NASDAQ:RGLD
AMEX:GLD
TVC:GOLD
TVC:SILVER
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
COMEX:GC1!
MCX:SILVER1!
AMEX:GDX
AMEX:GDXJ
FTX:PAXGUSD
A LONG idea for this stockThis stock seems to be accumulated even when the markets are down. It seems like it has strong relative strength against the general market. More over it seems like it experiences growth in the last earning reports.
Here is my long plan for the next 1-4 days. If it hits my buying point I will probably be in.
IMPORTANT: I'm not an expert and that's only my personal opinion. The risk is big :)
Square (Block) Accumulation TimeThis is retesting lows of March 2020. The bear market wiped out the last Bull market rallys gains on almost all stocks. Check the earnings reports on the growth stocks beaten down, it I'd ridiculous because they are legit and in a normal market environment would never have lead to a major sell off or any sell off for that matter. It's as if the any little excuse was found and used to dump the Stocks during this time of inflation pressure. For those who are here for the long term it would behoove you to acquire shares at these super discounted levels.
Short NasdaqAs much as I would like to see my small timeframes align with my weekly analysis, I will approach this trade with low risk and a tight stop levels. I will be looking to short Nasdaq around @ 11470. I don't want to see price trade above 11570 or I will collapse the trade. My take profit targets are 11200 and lower. If price starts trading above 11570 we might see further higher prices before we eventually see price tap into the 2020 3rd quarterly earning order block.
Disclaimer - this is not a trading signal, only use it as reference to see whether it aligns with your ideas. Don't be a lazy trader do your own analysis
Nasdaq - bearish for the next few weeks/monthsBearish until price taps back into the 2020 3rd quarterly earnings week. Where we have an order block that gave us a nice long term buy back in 2020, I believe we will still see some nice opportunities to go long (short term) around the 10900 and 10800 prices.
VEGA.CN Pulls Away from Plant-Based PeersNotwithstanding the broader downturn in both global markets and the plant-based sector, PlantX (CSE: VEGA) has been steadily tracking gains over recent weeks that leave the stock +100% over the past month as of 10:30AM Monday June 13th. Both today and Friday VEGA volume was >1M, i.e. an order of magnitude above its avg 3mo volume. From what I can see, two major catalysts may be behind this dramatic jump in SP:
-Last week the Future Markets Research Tank released an equity research report that focused in on PlantX in a broader comparison with its sectoral peers. The day following the release saw a significant jump in volume, indicating that the equity research may have exerted a strongly bullish influence on retail and institutional plant-based investor alike, in particular as liquidity contracts and investors are searching for safer plays to hedge risk to the extent possible in today's bear market.
-Today PlantX released revenue metrics for last month which are overwhelmingly positive. In May the company generated $1.5M CAD in revenue. Quoting directly from the PR, "PlantX's gross revenue for May 2022 increased by $823,842 compared to May 2021, when the Company achieved gross revenue of $717,944 net of wholesale revenue, representing year-over-year gross revenue growth of approximately 115%." Not too shabby, especially given the contraction of consumer spending power amidst sky-high inflation and worsening macro-economic conditions.
We'll see how global markets perform this week and what VEGA's trajectory forward will look like, but its safe to say that PlantX has been leading the sector in recent weeks in terms of price action gains and emerging profitibility. MACD poked its head across the x-axis today for a bullish breakthrough, and I personally am feeling optimistic.
Target 1696 ( 1 to 5 months )Super Trend in Green, so stock price action good, Earnings good, Technical and Fundamental good ......So Target 1696 Duration 1 to 5 months.......
Potential Cup and Handle Breakout$HAL showing a weak cup and handle (low volume on the lows of the cup, and an upward wedging on the lows with regard to the handle). Would've preferred a shakeout on the handle, but instead, we are getting a rising wedge and low volume at the pivot point. Tightening volume at the handle is good, but once it reaches the breakout point, either the breakout is rejected or it will be another breakout without legs, as is the case with a number of names recently
EPS growth is also not looking good, quarterly EPS has not shown significant growth when compared to the quarterly EPS of the previous years. Q4 2021 showed signs of earnings acceleration, but that quickly reversed in Q1 of 2022 (which coincides with the pullback that formed the early part of the base).
Personal Opinion: Breakout is still possible, but I'm not looking to enter a position.