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Earnings

S&P will fall to 3400And here is why: - rising FED rates: J.Powell said clearly that they will move rates to "neutral" so it means in the end of the year we'll see 2.5% or even 3% which I think is NOT already reflected in prices; - sale of bonds: Starting June 1, the FED will sell $30bn of Treasury bonds and $17.5bn of mortgage-backed securities. From September, the volume of sales will increase to 60 and 35 respectively; - risk of recession or stagflation: in Q1 2022 economy of US showed "negative growth" for 1.5%. Now wee see all decline in economic activity, rising inflation, rates growth and strong labor market. All of the above points that we are already in late business cycle which easily may transform to recession.
SP:SPXShort
by DimaYakovlev
2
Topped for next 2 yearsMany indications here that HP Inc. has topped throughout 2022. I expect the reaction to their upcoming earnings report on May 31st will be negative, whether or not they report decent earnings. Forward P/E will be revised downward. Technical Analysis from 2012 shows we have 3 major rallies. The length of price movement and time extended in each of these rallies are closely related to one another. This indicates correlation - meaning these are subwaves of a larger wave and are therefore connected and shaped by one another. A retracement back down to the .382 fib line is a minimum retracement which still indicates a -45% drop from current prices. Connecting the tops and bottoms forms a nice channel. We recently overshot the top of the channel and swung back down below indicating a rejection of further price increases. This "throw over" is a characteristic of end moves. RSI indicator shows major divergence between waves iii and v of wave 5. Also indicating a top. Currently HP Inc. is the highest valued tech stock in the computer hardware industry if you use a stock screener like Finviz.com. I found this very surprising. Again, earnings are on May 31st and the charts are foretelling a selloff. Currently many investors are hiding in tech stocks that they find "safe". So ask yourself, is it likely that HP will be selling more computers in 2023 than in 2021 and 2022?.. or is it more likely the opposite? When is the last time you looked into buying an HP computer or saw an office supplying their staff with HP? They have nothing that separates them from other computer hardware companies like Apple, Dell, Lenovo, Logitech, etc. Is there a bullish argument to be made? I am struggling to find one looking into a future of higher prices and lower consumer spending. Market Cap = 35.57B Income/Earnings = 6.52B Effective P/E ratio = 6.16 Forward P/E ratio = 7.90 (currently priced for increasing sales but should be revised downward soon as a result of inflation and future expected returns declining) *Not financial/investment advice, although I find this to be a very compelling case. I do currently own Put options on this stock. Trade at your own risk.
NYSE:HPQShort
by MonetaryRebel
1
Should you buy Futu Holdings Ltd stock? 💰💥We are not surprised by the recent downward movement, as the company reported a record net loss in the first quarter, and the U.S. is tightening regulations on Asian companies, which does not help matters.💥 The company has not performed well in the last three months, so the stock has lost more than 20% since the beginning of the quarter, and investors are concerned that this is the first time the company has made a mistake and is looking at an even bigger drop We disagree with investors, we think that despite the poor results and a rather bearish share price, Futu Holdings Limited will manage to recover faster than anyone thinks. Here's why we think so: ✅ FUTU has high-quality earnings. ✅ FUTU has become profitable over the past 5 years, with earnings growth of 76.2% per year. ✅ FUTU's earnings growth over the past year (112%) has outpaced the capital markets sector by 62.5%. ✅ FUTU has more cash than total debt. ✅ FUTU's debt to equity ratio has fallen from 139.5% to 51.6% over the past five years. ✅ FUTU's debt is well covered by cash flow from operations (55.5%). ✅ FUTU's management team is seasoned and experienced (average tenure of 5.2 years). ✅ Shareholders have not experienced significant dilution in the past year.
NASDAQ:FUTULong
by Absconse
Market Punishing Palantir Palantir $PLTR earnings came in significantly below expectations, missing by >44.5% while revenue was slightly above projection, beating estimates by nearly $3 mil (+0.66%). The market immediately reacted with PLTR losing > -27%. Risk-off environment. Unprofitable, risk-on tech-oriented speculative equities are being punished in a tightening fiscal environment. Current trend, down 84% from ATH in Jan 2021. Next fib below current price & ATH is 0.118, giving a PT of $2.87 at next earnings.
PShort
by R0MM3LL
2
Will Microsoft let itself be affected by negative events? ⚔️We tend to see triangles everywhere, we realize that this may be redundant for some, but all modes of chartist analysis are good to go. We also realize that the triangle Microsoft is forming is not the prettiest, but if it is truly a compression triangle, then we could be looking at an upside breakout. Only time will tell, I must admit that taking positions in these complicated times for everyone is a risky bet, which may or may not be taken for a good performance. Only two paths are possible, but which one will Microsoft choose?
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Absconse