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ESI Element Solutions Inc Long Oppertinnity (Long term) Startegic - This company has a strong outlook, strong return growth, and strategic position. - With strong growth, sectors as clients that will accelerate in the upcoming interest rates investments this company should be able to grow rapidly. - I think that if the national production of chips comes back to the US, this company will profit. Fundamental - Good earnings growth. - Big call positions with PuttCallRatio of 0.29. - Biggest inflow of hedge fund positions since last quarter. Techincal - This stock has a good risk-reward setup covering. - Big volume spike on the news that interest rates will go down.
NYSE:ESILong
by leohanhart1996
AERO UPDATEGood Morning traders This is an AERO UPDATE. As I better myself, I'm finding ways to show potential and no potential. This is a FIBONACCI guidance with a very powerful Volume-Weighted Average Price. Advanced alternate forecast weight is part of my algorithm which I've recently added to my trade. This helps me determine my next move and reads Power Bull Run. There are plenty of ways to read this TA. 2 BULL Signals. Always consider BITCOIN. Never trade without analyzing BITCOIN otherwise you're going to get trapped. there is no such BULL RUN unless BITCOIN is BULLISH. It does not matter how BULLISH an ALT might look. This is 99% percent true. TRAP means I don't want to expose the price target for Smart money manipulation. Let's be ahead of them and make profits. If I'm available, send me a message, ill unveil the target but only if the target is nearby.
COINBASE:AEROUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
7
Carvana- Low Risk/High Reward EntryIt's a rare occasion when fundamentals and technicals align, and we might just have a compelling case here. Carvana stands out as one of the most heavily shorted stocks in the market. The company has been in the red for quite some time, and this quarter was no exception, with a loss of $1 per share, falling short of analysts' expectations on both EPS and revenue (they lost more than expected). Despite these challenges, the company sees a shift in demand, with buyers increasingly returning to online car purchases. The Orange number 1 on chart marks the lowest price at the open on the gap-up day ( $66.48), a +26% jump from the previous night's close. The momentum didn't stop there; the price ran another 20% to hit a daily high of $76, before settling at $69.21. Here's my strategy: - Stop: Sell if the price drops below $66.48 (allow some leeway, given the volatility) - Target: If it trades above $76, we could be looking at an elevator ride up to $150, mirroring its previous ride down from $150 to under $30 a share. I'm eyeing a 1:2 quick trade risk/reward ratio, but that's a waste and the prospect of a potential short squeeze is tantalizing (yes, I said it!). Opportunities like this are few and far between. Trade carefully, OnlyTrade2Win.
NYSE:CVNALong
by onlytrade2win
4
CSCO Layoffs Positive for the StockNASDAQ:CSCO gapped up on its earnings report even though the company has failed to reinvent and failed to change to HyperAutomation in its IT departments quickly enough. News of layoffs is considered a positive action on the part of the officers of the corporation who are responsible first and foremost to INVESTORS and cutting costs so that the company can slowly regain revenues and earnings for dividends for INVESTORS. Delaying layoffs, which may be kind and thoughtful for employees, is a negative for INVESTORS, namely the giant Buy-Side Institutions, because it extends and worsens the financial condition of the company. As more and more companies buy robots/robotics and AI technology, these will reduce payroll expenses and help to control internal business inflation, which is caused mostly by rising payroll expenses with declining productivity from the workforce of the company. This is always misunderstood by retail groups who believe layoffs are a bad thing for the "economy." The world of commerce and the financial markets is not a fair or kind place.
NASDAQ:CSCO
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
$IBM Support Levels HoldingNYSE:IBM did not have a great earnings report for the 1st Quarter 2024, but 2nd quarter improved. The stock has one of the better charts in the Dow 30 components. It has held up better than most of the Dow components, except for those stocks that are in buyback mode. It has been tapering off its buybacks for 2 quarters. So the gains holding above the support lows are not from buybacks. There are accumulation patterns and pro trader activity in the mix. One to watch for swing trading potential.
NYSE:IBM
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
NMIH Bullish outlook.Fundamentels - Very strong earnings grow expectations. Management reports it excellent ( and that word is not much used in my reports) - Good price earnings spiral. - Stock should have at least been priced need the 44-45 range in my opinion. But if you look further ahead with a p/e of 15-20 the stock should be priced between 60 and 80 which is easy to estimate with these strong fundamentals. Technical - I saw a great R/R setup with stops need the bottom of this last block-range. - I think this trade volume (VWAP) drives up this price on a very fair pace. I think it with the last volume dips it's clear we heading to a time with a lag of liquidity. This could result in some volatility in the range between 38-40 with bullish pressure. Strategic - The company is a Tech-leaning Insurance company for mortgages, an interest that will grow when economic tension rises. What a great company. Making money from the insurance of the most bubbly asset in the world. Large demand I would say, probably this company will blow up in times of a housing crisis because these models will be heavily biased I guess. But if the risk department would buy CDS'S it could be a very fair business model --- if they will be covered this time ---- how could you even cover that CDS"S, please tell me in the comments.
NASDAQ:NMIHLong
by leohanhart1996
Fed Watch Tool Target Rates on the US 10 YOn this graph, we see the current priced in Interest Rates of the FED Watch Tool in compare to the US 10 Year Treasuries. We can clearly identify by how much the market is frontrunning and at what pace the market believes the Interest Rates will decline. The Orange Box below is the average Interest Rate of ~2.75% and the expected Mid/Long Term Interest Rate, until something brakes and the next Liquidity Cycle begins. I personnaly believe that we will see an even faster pace in the future, hence the Earnings showing more uncertainty in the guidance of Corporate Ameria. Additionally the job openings decline, more people are unemployed, the Yen carry trade is not yet unwinded, consumer credit and auto loans are on verge of a credit shock. Conclusion: hence TLT is pretty much the exact counterpart of the US10Y, I decided to go long TLT with leverage.
TVC:US10YShort
by derMatzeImNetz
WAB: balanced risk with long term upside due to California lawBalance Sheet Analysis Current Assets: $4,855,000,000 Non-Current Assets: $14,133,000,000 Intangible Assets: $11,985,000,000 Current Liabilities: $4,056,000,000 Long-Term Debt: $4,408,000,000 Asset to Liability Ratio A current ratio of 1.20 indicates that WAB has more current assets than current liabilities, which suggests the company is not at immediate risk of liquidity issues. However, the ratio is relatively close to 1, indicating that while the company can cover its short-term obligations, it doesn't have a substantial buffer. Income Statement Analysis Key Figures: Total Revenue: $10,217,000,000 Operating Income: $1,521,000,000 Net Income: $918,000,000 Operating Margin: 14.89% The operating margin of 14.89% is just below the 15% threshold, suggesting WAB is operating efficiently but has room for improvement. A margin close to 15% reflects good management of operating expenses relative to revenue. Statement of Cash Flow Analysis Free Cash Flow (FCF): Trailing Twelve Months (TTM): $1,487,000,000 2023: $1,015,000,000 2022: $889,000,000 2021: $943,000,000 2020: $648,000,000 WAB's free cash flow has shown a consistent increase year-over-year, which is a positive sign for the company’s financial health. Increasing free cash flow indicates that the company is generating more cash from its operations, which can be used for expansion, debt reduction, or dividends. Qualitative Analysis Brand Recognition: WAB has strong brand recognition in the rail industry, particularly in providing advanced technologies for freight and transit rail. This recognition bolsters its competitive position. News: Recent regulations in California targeting diesel-powered trains present both challenges and opportunities for WAB. The state’s push for zero-emissions technology aligns with WAB's innovation in green technologies. However, the industry faces concerns about the feasibility and costs of transitioning to zero-emission locomotives. Emerging Industries: WAB is positioned to benefit from the growth of industries focusing on sustainability and green energy. As governments and companies increasingly prioritize environmental impact, WAB's investments in green technology could drive long-term growth. Conclusion WAB appears to be a relatively stable stock with a solid balance sheet, consistent free cash flow growth, and a strong operating margin, though slightly below the desired 15%. The company’s strategic focus on innovation, especially in response to regulatory changes, could position it well for future growth. However, the relatively modest current ratio suggests that the company should continue monitoring its liquidity closely. Overall, WAB presents a balanced risk profile with potential upside in emerging green industries.
NYSE:WABLong
by rogomezpalacio
Newmont Corp | NEM | Long at $48.00While gold prices have soared recently, gold mining stocks have lagged. Newmont Corp NYSE:NEM , the world's largest gold mining corporation, may be undervalued if the miners take off to catch up to the gold demand/price. Currently sitting near $48.00 and at a historical moving average that it will need to break to show a true trend reversal, NYSE:NEM is in a personal buy zone. Now, the price may break down at the simple moving average and test the patience of shareholders, but the long game may benefit those who can tolerate the volatility. Target #1 = $57.00 Target #2 = $71.00
NYSE:NEMLong
by WorthlessViews
Is MSFT Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?MSFT is one of the few tech stocks which trades close to all-time highs, seemingly oblivious to the brutal valuation reset that swept through the sector In the most recent quarter, MSFT delivered strong results when factoring in the tough macro environment. MSFT grew revenues by 7% (10% constant currency) and earnings per share by 10% (14% constant currency) - two achievements not necessarily typically seen under difficult economic circumstances. MSFT generated $8.64 billion of that operating income from its productivity and business processes segment, which houses its Office 365 product suite among others. As to be expected, LinkedIn revenue growth came in light at just 8%, a reflection of lower hiring demand. MSFT generated another $9.4 billion in operating income from its intelligent cloud segment. Azure grew at a 27% clip, far surpassing the 16% growth seen at competitor Amazon Web Services Investors have been cautious on the ever-valuable cloud business ever since the cloud titans all revealed cloud optimization efforts undertaken by its customers. On the conference call, management implied that they may see easing headwinds as they pass the anniversary of those optimization efforts, stating that “at some point, workloads just can't be optimized much further.” It is possible that MSFT’s partnership with ChatGPT’s creator OpenAI has something to do with that, as management noted that while they do not consolidate any operating losses due to them holding a minority equity interest, they do indeed recognize revenues generated from OpenAI using their cloud services. The other cloud titans did not offer the same bullish commentary surrounding the end of cloud optimization. MSFT continued to see headwinds from its more personal computing segment, which saw revenues decline by 9% though still managed to generate $4.24 billion in operating income. At some point the comps should become easier here, but that may still be a couple of quarters away. MSFT ended the quarter with $104.5 billion in cash versus $48.2 billion in debt. I note that the company also has another $9.4 billion in equity investments (the announced $10 billion investment in OpenAI is set to take place in parts throughout the year). The company continues to pay a growing dividend and conducted $5.5 billion in share repurchases in the quarter. It is not too often that one can get long term innovation and have the majority of free cash flow returned to shareholders as well. Looking ahead, management has noted that overall growth may struggle due to the prior year’s quarter being a tough comp, with that being their “largest commercial bookings quarter ever with a material volume of large multiyear commitments.” Management did, however, guide for up to 27% in Azure growth, which seems to imply that the bottom for that segment may be very near if not already passed. Investors may be worried about how ongoing tech layoffs may impact Office 365 growth, but management appeared unfazed by this risk, citing that they continue to see strong demand for their product suites. MSFT continues to show why it is a favorite tech stock in growth allocations, as it has shown resilient growth in the face of tough macro. The strong fundamentals have helped the stock sustain a premium valuation multiple, as the stock recently traded hands at just under 35x earnings. Valuation remains the most obvious risk with that stock trading something between 50% and 100% higher than GOOGL depending on how many adjustments applied to the latter. With the stock trading so richly on present earnings, the stock could go nowhere for 7-10 years and still be trading at around 15x earnings at that time. Unless MSFT manages to sustain double-digit earnings longer than consensus, the stock will likely need to sustain a rich multiple in order to beat the market index. I note that this risk does not appear as large at the aforementioned mega-cap peers due to not just lower valuations but also due to MSFT appearing to already be operationally efficient with operating margins in excess of 40%. Another risk is that of potential disruption to its enterprise tech business. Wall Street appears to view the stock as being the strongest operator in any of its competing markets, but I do not share such views. In particular, I view competition from the likes of CrowdStrike (CRWD),and GOOGL’s productivity suite as being underestimated risks. It is possible that MSFT is about to face long- term disruption just as its growth story is decelerating - which would have a catastrophic impact on multiples. Due to the near term upside from OpenAI, MSFT hit ATH and now its in pullback mode, I took huge profit and waiting for more confirmation
NASDAQ:MSFT
by moonypto
2
Ranger Energy on the pullback. This is why I'm doubling down. Ranger Energy Services, Inc. NYSE:RNGR is on an 11% pullback to the $12 support following spectacular Q2 results , with a surprise in their EPS of 47%. This is one of my highest conviction plays in 2024 for the reasons that I explain below. In June, this stock surfaced to my attention due to significant insider buying activity. Essentially, the CEO, Bodden Stuart, and the CFO, Cougle Melissa, bought a total of $150,000 in shares in Ranger Energy. This is a significant value to me, given that the share price declined by 37% since October last year. My investment style favors contrarian insiders buying activity, after a significant selloff in the share price of their company. However, I consider many other things that I cover below. In Q1 2024, they had very bad results . Their EPS was down by 140% compared to what the analysts estimated. Most shareholders, especially with micro-cap companies, barely go into the details behind such a decline. They simply have a look at the EPS and Revenue results, and move on. In my case, I analyze every single detail from their quarterly reports, and earnings call transcripts. I reached the conclusion that the selloff since October was unjustified. My first argument is the unprecedentedly bad winter, which directly affected their Q1 results. As a brief side note to readers new to this company, Ranger Energy provides well completion and production services to E&P companies operating on the largest basins in the US. The very first thing that E&P companies do during bad weather is pause the work of their subcontractors, which in the case of Ranger Energy means zero revenue. An additional argument that I have for the selloff was a safety related event that resulted in 75 rig-days with zero revenue. Just let that sink in; 75 days with absolute 0 income, but having to cover the business' operating expenses, like salaries and equipment leases. During the earnings call, management discussed the decision to pivot towards services that provide a higher margin. I really favor this decision, given that I prefer companies who focus on margins, rather than volumes. Why, you might ask? Well, in the event of a recession, guess which one is going to survive? Exactly, none of them, but I will be making money anyways by shorting the one that focuses on higher volume, low margin services. Coming back to Ranger Energy, I highly value their decision to focus on pump-down services, rather than production, given the high number of new competitors bidding for production contracts at rates that are simply not profitable. In regards to their price action, I am very confident in the $8.5 and $9.2 support levels, given the high number of times that the share price bounced there. Additionally, in their Q2 earnings release, they reported an EPS that was 47% above analysts' estimate. The share price easily broke the $12 resistance level. Now, with the recent pullback following unfavorable results from the US jobs report, the share price is back on the $12 price mark. I highly believe the share price will touch the $15 resistance before the end of the year, given the strategic initiative to focus on high-margin services, and the lack of one-off events, like safety incidents or harsh winter conditions. I am planning to buy more shares and call options expiring on December this year. As a side note, the rocket symbol on the price chart represents my entry point this year.
NYSE:RNGRLong
by Deep_F_Value
1