Earningsanalysis
Reversal or Bull trend continuationFrom the Daily chart, we could see Tesla's stock price fixed in a descending channel, bumping off from the descending channel's support and resistance. Its price is advancing towards the channel's resistance and a weekly probable resistance (supply) Zone; this means two main zones could restrain more surges in Tesla's stock price. Tesla's price appreciated after its earnings announcement on Wednesday.
GE: Strength Ahead of Earnings ReportThis old company struggled to reinvent after the banking debacle destroyed its consumer financing division. Older companies CAN reinvent and start a new life.
I'm showing the Weekly Chart first so you can see the support zone below and the strong resistance above, where the stock may head sideways for a time.
Around $67 is the high of a completed short-term bottom that provides strong support for the current price action.
The stock entered the strong resistance level of the Trading Range highs of 2021 - 2022 with what I call a "pre-earnings" run.
On the daily chart:
GE had a strong momentum run ahead of its earnings report. This was a pre-earnings run, which tend to develop 2-4 weeks ahead of the earnings release. The company is reporting Tuesday this week.
The strong reversal candle on Friday after 2 down days is also an indication that the report will be good.
SPX (S&P500 Index) - Potential Breakout Before Earnings 01/2023 The SPX (S&P500 Index) price is attempting to breakout above $4000, as earning season kicks off on 1/17/2023.
Bullish scenario: Inverse Head-and-Shoulder price pattern breaks out above $4000 resistance neckline zone. Resistance targets would then be $4085, $4300, $4600.
Bearish scenario: Double-top price pattern rejects price and drops back down to $3900, $3800, $3600. The bottom of the yellow descending wedge trendlines could be an area of support.
Note: be aware of any corporate earnings, breaking/global/fundamental news that could override technical chart setups. Fibonacci retracement levels were selected from 3/2020 to 1/2022.
What happened to Amazon today?Today, after the market closed, Amazon released its Q3 earnings and revenue, as well as other financials. It outperformed earnings per share by a significant margin, so why did Amazon drop 14% in after-hours trading? Well, the answer lies in a few things which I will cover today.
1. Amazon Web Services (Includes cloud computing, a major component of Amazon's revenue) only brought in 20.5 Bil, compared to forecast of 21 BIl.
2. Due to the above reason, Amazon's revenue was lower than expectations of 127.63 Bil, only achieving 127.1 Bil, with much, much slower growth compared to the previous quarterly earnings and revenue.
3. Amazons sluggish growth in revenue can only mean one thing -- A weaking Consumer. And as the Fed hikes interest rates quickly, Amazon's revenue may go down along with inflation.
4. Guidance from Amazon shows a weak Holiday quarter (weak sales and revenue)
So, this is just an update on the latest news to keep you updated. If you want me to continue this type of posts, please comment!
SPY to New LowsMarket Makers are selling off large caps and shifting funds into Indexes in order to hold the market up for a complete exit on large caps since they'll be hit the hardest by a crash event and another rate hike. Apple earnings are today after hours, and appear to be the last decider for this earnings weak, amazon and apple both hold the largest weight for SPY. Meta down, Microsoft down, Tesla down, Google down, Apple & Amazon are Spy's last hope, and based on not going against the trend, I'd assume these two giants do like Meta, Google, Microsoft, & Tesla. Slight chance this gets manipulated since apple is the largest holding of a lot of investors but I believe they must be exiting apple shares while pumping the indexes to maximize the exit position.
GDP was higher than expected, which can add fuel to the fire of another rate hike that can tank the market further down, US Dollar needs to go up from here, very overextended to be honest, and could lead to a ripple effect, a huge parabolic sell off.
UAL: Flying higher?United Airlines Holdings
Intraday - We look to Buy at 39.70 (stop at 36.45)
This stock has recently been in the news headlines. Our outlook is bullish. Trading within the Wedge formation. The bias is to break to the upside. A break of resistance at 40.00 should lead to a more aggressive move higher towards 49.00.
Our profit targets will be 48.57 and 52.00
Resistance: 48.60 / 61.00 / 81.00
Support: 37.00 / 31.00 / 20.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
2 earning reports to watch October 2022It’s that time of year again; earning session for US stocks. With so many other variables contributing to volatility in the US markets (e.g., inflation, Fed rate hikes, recession, oil prices, quantitative easing), anything out of the ordinary can result in huge moves in stock prices. This has already been witnessed in an early report from Nike (NYSE: NKE) last week, where it missed on some metrics and was punished with a -12.8% fall in its stock price.
So, with this in mind, here are two earning reports to watch this October.
Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD)
AMD updates the market with its earnings on Tuesday October 25, alongside some of the other major companies on the NASDAQ, including Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG).
AMD shares fell +23% in September, partly impacted by the weak report from sector compatriot Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU). It is the weak demand outlook that Micron painted for personal-computer products that makes AMD’s upcoming announcement one to watch.
Similarly, Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE: TSM) is reporting on October 13, which could serve as another barometer for the industry before AMD delivers its report.
Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX)
It may be a make or break earnings report for Netflix on Tuesday 18 October.
Netflix shares climbed +8.4% over September, and over +30% since its last market update in June, where it reported a loss of almost 1 million subscribers. In fact, Netflix was one of the top S&P 500 performers last month, where the broader market index fell by -8.0%.
In the upcoming announcement, investors will be looking out for more details concerning the company’s plan to diversify its revenue base with ad-tier subscription and its heretofore mild penetration into the gaming space.
Some surveys point to almost half of Netflix’s subscribers considering a switch to the company’s ad-tier plans, which would mean that Netflix would have to fill that subscriber revenue gap by selling $5.4 billion worth of ad space.
FDX: Overreaction?FedEx Corporation
Short Term - We look to Buy at 161.03 (stop at 148.79)
The company gave a bleak outlook for profits and plunged in the premarket by 20% .We are trading at oversold extremes. A move lower faces tough support and we remain cautious on downside potential. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher. A higher correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 206.12 and 215.00
Resistance: 200.00 / 240.00 / 320.00
Support: 160.00 / 130.00 / 100.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
WMT bigger pictureLooks like a typical cup and handle right now. The EA was good, even with this high inflation. If we consider this was really the peak of inflation, the consume will recover then if not we could see another down turn for the retail sector. But even though with high inflation WMT positioned itself in a very good state.
(For example, reducing supplier costs to keep the products as cheap as possible, also they develope the own internet platfomr even more.)
I see a possibility to see the $150+ level again
$SE 1D BUY SETUP FOR +70% MOVE!Sea Limited is good stock if you are thinking about adding a digital gaming, software and cloud communication/network stock to your watchlist/portfolio. It is currently showing a possible sign of retracing to$120 area, but I think it will report good earnings and have a positive move up from the news. It is also coming out of a contraction which always means a big move is coming!
$TGT (TARGET) POSSIBLE +20% GAP FILL!$TGT has earnings coming up and a huge +20% gap to fill, which would be a +$35 move for this week to come or even leading into next week! Price has broken resistance and is making a bullish move to the upside to fill that gap it seems! Patience is key! wait for confirmations & ride the trend!
AMD is a Beautiful Opportunity - Earnings Report HighlightsSince the beginning of the second quarter, chip stocks have been steadily rising, amid deteriorating indicators of an economic downturn, particularly in the consumer end market. The Philadelphia Exchange Semiconductor Index (PHLX) rebounded more than 20% in July after falling almost 40% in the first half of the year. To a similar degree, AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) has surged in July, marginally beating the PHLX for the month but still below the benchmark year to date. Despite industry leader and major rival Intel's (INTC) disappointing quarterly earnings and future outlook last week, the rally maintained its pace.
Investors are getting more optimistic about AMD's resiliency in the wake of Intel's recent setback, which suggests that the former is becoming a more major participant in both the high-performance PC and data centre CPU markets. T , the company's EPYC server processors are making significant headway into the data centre and high-performance computing (HPC) segments, while its powerful next-generation PC processors such as the Radeon GPUs and Ryzen CPUs are also drawing attention from Intel.
Although most chip manufacturers that have reported second-quarter results so far are warning of a plausible decline in demand and inventory build-up - especially on consumer-centric products like memory chips used in consumer electronics products, the market for semiconductors used in data centres, auto, and premium equipment like enterprise workstations remains strong. As a result, AMD benefits from positive upswings as it strengthens its technological lead in data centre, high performance PCs, automobiles, and, more recently, telecom infrastructure prospects.
Recent market trends, which support a healthy demand environment for AMD's primary data centre end market, as well as indicators of significant growth in market share, lead to the chipmaker's sales and profits beat streak continuing. The following study will go deeper into three key factors supporting AMD's long-term upsides and outperformance in the face of near-term industry challenges: First, declining consumer spending, Second, data centre growth, and Third, solid fundamentals.
Given its high-growth potential, AMD is presently trading at roughly 5.5x projected EV/sales, which is still a big discount to the fabless semiconductor peer group mean of about 5.9x. Given that the company is currently lagging the PHLX, AMD remains a good buy at the moment. With investors incentivizing those who have proven perseverance this earnings season – as evidenced by last week's rigorous big tech earnings results, which supported the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 add $1.5 trillion in market value in July – AMD's eagerly anticipated solid quarterly showing makes a beneficial near-term precursor in reigniting the stock for persistent uptrend momentum.
Demand from Consumer Spending prospective
Alarms from the industry about declining chip demand from consumer end markets, especially those found in consumer electronics such as cellphones and Computers, are becoming louder, reflecting prior investor fears about a declining semiconductor cycle after an outstanding growth.
PC shipments globally have already begun to slow in the first half of the year, with first-quarter volumes falling 6.8 percent year on year to 78 million units, and second-quarter volumes falling more than 15 percent to 71 million units, as consumption and investment spending power dampens due to rising rising inflation. Global PC shipments are expected to fall by 9.5 percent this year, driven by a 13.1 percent reduction in consumer PCs and a 7.2 percent loss in corporate PCs. As a result, demand for similar chips is likely to fall by more than 5% this year. Conversely, semiconductor demand from phone manufacturers is predicted to rise by just little more than 3% this year, a major deceleration from the 25% surge seen in 2021.
Nonetheless, despite evidence of a weakening consumer end market as consumers reduce discretionary spending due to relatively close economic uncertainty, AMD's growth in this sector is projected to be robust given its minimal direct exposure. Given observations that the present PC market is migrating to higher end and more expensive sectors, supported by commercial purchases to suit the concept that hybrid and remote work is the new future, the chipmaker is confident in its ability to overcome near-term difficulties. In particular, AMD expects persistent business demand for high-performance workstations to enable a "hybrid-virtual" work environment to largely offset any near-term repercussions on consumer-centric gaming PC sales owing to unpleasant economic difficulties in the consumer end market.
This view is reinforced by recent results provided by PC makers such as Microsoft (MSFT), which verified that sales growth for its Surface devices were mostly robust in the second quarter due to sustained corporate demand. Other PC makers, such as Dell (DELL), have made similar remarks about the strength of enterprise demand, owing to the growing urgency of "modernising the technology infrastructure" to ensure intelligence, cyber-resiliency, automation, and multi-cloud adaptability" in the new baseline of remote co - operation.
While AMD has chosen to be conservative in terms of PC prospects for the current year, indicating a year-on-year reduction in negative single digits for related sales, the firm is projected to recuperate some market share by selling its flagship, more costly models. AMD also has a number of commercial machines in the works for this year, including the recent debut of the (Ryzen 6000 Series) processors for upscale laptop applications, which maintains good PC performance for 2022 despite a wider market slump. With seasonal demand from back-to-school and Christmas sales in the second half of the year, AMD continues on track to increase its PC market share.
How Data Center is ultimate strength
Global demand for data centre processors will stay high in the next years, as cloud computing remains a crucial necessity in the business sector, with no indications of abating. The market for data centre processors, in particular, is forecast to grow by at least 20% this year, more than offsetting any consumer-related slowdown that AMD may see owing to near-term macroeconomic downturn.
The positive trends have been further supported by the rising urgency of business cloud migration to accommodate a new era of remote working, as indicated in the previous section. More than half of firms anticipate that cloud adoption would account for a substantial share of investments over the next two years, propelling the worldwide cloud-computing industry to more than $800 billion by 2025. Meanwhile, the market for Artificial intellegence hardware, such as data centre chips like AMD's EPYC server CPUs, is predicted to grow at a CAGR of 42% to $1.7 trillion by the end of this decade.
Even in the face of a possibly tightened economic situation in the near future, these numbers continue to support a solid demand scenario for both cloud service providers and chipmakers like AMD. Furthermore, AMD's ongoing commitment to innovation helps the company's long-term position and market share in data centre possibilities. AMD's EPYC server CPUs have been a flagship product in recent times, driving the firm's break-out growth and data centre market share increases. EPYC CPUs are currently in their 4th generation, with a family of four chips encompassing (Genoa, Genoa-X, Bergamo, and Siena), all of which are geared to optimise performance across a wide range of use cases, from cloud applications to communication system and telecom installations.
Server processors have grown into some of the most powerful and fastest CPUs utilised in HPC designs today. AMD's EPYC CPUs may now be found in 72 of the world's top 500 Fastest Super-computers, a threefold increase from 2020. The EPYC processors' dominance on the (Green-500) list attests to its power efficiency for sophisticated tasks. Till now, AMD's EPYC processors power 80 percent of the world's most efficient supercomputers, putting the company's HPC competency on able to compete with legacy competitor Intel's. AMD's growing strength in data centre and HPC prospects are also supported by key rival Intel's admission of (server market share loss) last week, which provide substantiated support for AMD's long-term growth path. All whilst, AMD's Gen 4 EPYC server cpus are well-positioned to benefit from Intel's delayed launch of its next-generation Sapphire Rapids server processor cores, which threatens to further weaken the other's market dominance.
Fundamentals Strength
Over the previous seven quarters, AMD has had a constant record of good sales and profit surprises. And we anticipate that AMD's 2Q22 earnings will be similarly robust, with top- and bottom-line growth driven by ongoing market share gains and the ramp-up of innovative products to scale.
Top-line, AMD continues to illustrate its ability to capture market share gains in an extremely competitive industry by strengthening its technological capability to attract demand and growing its total addressable market (TAM) through recent acquisitions such as Xilinx and Pensando. Especially, the merging of Xilinx and Pensando is intended to provide new synergies when combined with AMD's current competence in CPUs and GPUs, propelling the firm into new excursions to diversify its income portfolio.
AMD Total Revenue vs Total operating expenses
Free Cash Flow
be BULLISH on JUBILANT INGREVIA hey guys ,
JUBLIENT INGREVIA stock is showing bullish signs ,
This stock was moving in a downtrend for a very long time ,
but now, through the analysis, i think that this stock is starting to move in a UPTREND
the stock was moving in a downtrend , BUT IN A FIXED AREA ,
and now this stock has crossed it's resistance,
and has shown a great bullish candle .
there are 2 reasons to buy this stock ;
1. A GREAT BULLISH CANDLE HAS BEEN SEEN ABOVE THE RESISTANCE
2. 20 DAY EMA has CROSSED ❌ the 50 DAY EMA
therefore, you can bet on this stock and can try to earn high returns.
i have marked the RR RATIO , TARGET AND SL for y'all .
BUT PLS CONSIDER THE GLOBAL SITUATION FIRST,
1. INFLATION
2. WAR
3. RISING BANK RATES
AFTER CONSIDERING THESE SITUATIONS YOU CAN BUY THIS STOCK
JUBULANT INGREVIA
😀😀
What You Could Have Expected From Zoom's Earning Report?It can be tough sometimes to play ER, but I commend those who have the nerves to consistently play ER's. We know prices can go either way when dealing with earnings.
A company can beat on ER and gap down, a company can miss on earnings & gap up. Sometimes it feels like playing the lottery with ER plays.
There are some things you can notate before you play an earnings report.
Like how has the asset been performing leading into earnings? Has it been bullish? Has it been bearish?
What's the overall sentiment surrounding the asset?
How has the asset been performing against the market?
What is the market doing? Does the overall market seem bearish or bullish. Does the particular asset move with or against the market?
Don't just assume what the asset will do regardless of what the chatter is.
Leading into it's' ER, Zoom has been in a continued downtrend like a plethora of other stocks. Seeing this, along with price action leading into ER. I could expect for Zoom to pop after hours, Why?
One reason is that it has been in a steady decline. There were "trapped bulls" at the 107 area & price made a double bottom from the May 20th trading session into the May 23rd trading session around $85.
Seeing that, along with price being in a steady decline & the chatter of a earnings beat. You could have went long with 95-107 calls with a SL at 85(even though SL's are no good post-market). Nevertheless, Zoom pushed to 107 after hours before fading. Again, ER plays are tough, but there is a method to the madness as well. If you played Zoom's ER, I hope you were on the right side of it.
Catch yall on the next post.....Peaaaacccceeeee!!!!
Target:Bargain hunt after earnings missTarget
Short Term - We look to Buy at 160 (stop at 140)
This stock has recently been in the news headlines. They reported a surprise earnings miss and this sent the share price plummeting in the premarket. This has resulted in signals for sentiment being at oversold extremes and we look for a move to the upside. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. Further upside is expected.
Our profit targets will be 219 and 240
Resistance: 180 / 200 / 220
Support: 160 / 140 / 120
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
AMD Bullish outperform on the Horizon? Higher Actual Earnings?!?AMD has a History of outperforming Earnings Estimates. I believe this provides Stark Fundamentals, in order to support the TA Case for a reversal to the upside:
> Q1 2021 18% higher than expected
> Q2 2021 16% higher than expected
> Q3 2021 9% higher than expected
> Q4 2021 21% higher than expected
With the above earnings in mind. The last 4 Quarterly reports provided an average of 16% out performance for Actual over Estimated earnings.
I have become very Bullish on the Fundamentals of AMD. A company in which, I and other already consider to have stronger Financials that Nvidia. (Also bullish on NVIDIA - just more for AMD)
Even with the "Ukrainian Heroic Freedom War" effect on the companies earnings, I would expect a slight out performance to repeat.
>>I have all the earnings dates laid out with the Vertical lines<<
Technical Analysis
I believe that the Green Horizontal line, which has been substantial resistance, support, resistance and now Support. Will be the foundation for a reversal to the upside. The Tech Sector, more particularly AMD, is at one if not the most Oversold level(s) in the companies History. One must only look at the distance from the Moving Averages to see this. My Quantitative models have highlighted this as one the three most attractive equities at present on My Radar.
>>Alongside Riot Blockchain and Netflix<<
In my opinion, AMD is the most attractive from a combined Fundamentals and Technical Analysis Evaluation.
Having DCA over yesterday and today into AMD. I believe a significant short to mid term rally to the $130 range is possible.
> Supported by a bounce from the general market being oversold.
> Tax season selling finished.
> Rate hike news already over priced in the market. (Strong belief that most (not all) of the rate hikes are being used as a stick waved to slow the market and economy. Rather than a tool that will be used to brutally beat the economy into recession)
> AMD being significantly more oversold than the greater market.
> Long term pricing models, factoring earnings and industry growth would suggest a significantly higher price in the coming weeks/months.
>>Finally, don't lever up and keep some dry powder always<<
>>Keep the Long term in mind Chaps<<
This is my own opinions, analysis and a trade I am currently undertaking in my portfolios. This is not Financial advice purely my own Analysis and Research.
Will be sharing the TA modelled charts over the coming Days for those interested.
Technical Analysis for Risk AnalysisTechnical Analysis should be used for Risk Analysis, not just for deciding if and when to buy whatever it is you want to trade, whether it's stocks, crypto, forex, indexes, ETFs, REITs, mutual funds, etc.
When you know the technical patterns that point to higher risk, aka sellers gaining traction, you can get out of long positions before the retail crowd and its small fund managers react late to earnings reports.
It is NEVER the largest institutions, who we call the Dark Pools, who are selling on earnings announcements. It is ALWAYS the less informed who buy or sell on big news days.
This is what we at TechniTrader call "Relational Technical Analysis"--the application of what we know about the market participant groups to discern who is doing what in the technical patterns of a chart.
For example: UPST was a struggling IPO anyway. The typical IPO top and drop occurred in October-November. 99% of new IPOs do this. Learn to sell at the peak of a speculative new IPO. That means you must learn what speculation looks like in the charts and how to recognize the top developing so you can get out before the drop.
But today's lesson is about the specific set of negative technical patterns developing ahead of Upstart's earnings report yesterday after the market close:
1. A trading range was developing lower highs and lower lows.
2. Compression of price at the low end of the range.
3. Declining Accumulation/Distribution over the sideways action of the trading range.
These are what we at TechniTrader call the "footprints" of controlled rotation out of the stock ahead of the earnings press release date.
Please like and follow if you learned something new. Learn more at my website.