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CARMAX ($KMX) 🏎️ | Save Your Marriage Using Only Carmax🚗 CarMax (KMX) slayed it last earnings season. While projections are grim this quarter due to the COVID slowdown, the longterm bull trend of CarMax and its general performance as a company ultimately has us looking for more upside. Not only does CarMax have a strong presence in the in-person used car economy, but it also has a strong presence in online car sales (which one would think helped it sustain COVID better than others; we'll know when the numbers come out). Another bullish thing CarMax has going for it is that some smaller used car dealers are having issues getting credit for customers, while bigger players like CarMax don't have this issue. Given all that we are betting on bullish continuation after finding support, although there is a path for the bears here if this CarMax run turns out to be lemon. Hit that 👍 button to show support for the content we produce every day and to help us grow 🐣 Support: Our first notable support for KMX is the S1 bullish S/R flip, orderblock, and gap-fill cluster. There is a lot going on here, and all that confluence makes it a logical spot for the bulls to find support. If the bulls can't hold S1, they will have to be cautious as the bears will have a path to victory in front of them. Both bulls and bears will be looking at the S2 cluster for direction. Does a test of S2 give us a dead cat up to previous support as resistance? Or, can the bulls take the S2 momentum and run with it? We won't know unless we get there, but the bulls should be hoping we never have to find out. Resistance: The first resistance for the bulls is the R1 orderblock and gap fill at the prior swing high. The logic here is simple, we are likely to find resistance at the previous top. Speaking of previous tops, the R2 orderblock cluster at the All-Time High (ATH) is bound to see a reaction if and when we test it. Of course, testing this level is something the bulls are hoping for, and there isn't much for the bears to do if we do. Summary: CarMax has been bullish for about a decade, we aren't rushing to bet against this one, to say the least. Still, a bit more correction before the bulls continue their stampede isn't out of the question. Does S1 hold? Bulls better hope so, because things get a lot less bullish below S1. Resources: www.earningswhispers.com + www.caranddriver.com
NYSE:KMX
by AlphaBotSystem
FUELCELL ENERGY ($FCEL) 🔋 | Will Fuelcell Bulls Give em' Hell?⛽📱Fuelcell energy expectations going into earnings tomorrow are poor to mixed. However, green energy stocks have been performing rather well recently, and there is a solid chance FCEL will continue to benefit from that sector-wide momentum. While we aren't ready to open a long position on this one ourselves, we will take a look at some potential levels of interest to watch depending on the market's reaction to earnings tomorrow. This outlook will be geared toward the bulls, because of the general strength in FCEL and the Green Energy sector. Support. The S1 bullish orderblock could act as support if the overall market stays bullish and earnings are good but FCEL pulls back for any reason. The S2 S/R flip is another logical level to look for support, perhaps if the market/sector pulls back with more intensity or there is an earnings upset. The S3 orderblock and S/R cluster is the last hope for bullish momentum, as it offers the chance for a higher low in the uptrend. S4 and S5 meanwhile should act as support if the uptrend is lost. Here S4 is of particular note as it is acted as a major price pivot point previously. Resistance. The R1 bearish orderblock represents the current price pivot point. Breaking this level is the bull's first order of business. The next level of interest is the R2 bearish S/R flip. If R1 is broken, R2 becomes the logical target. Summary. There are lots of important support levels for the bulls, and many chances to hold the uptrend. It is logical assuming the market and sector keep moving that even a fair earnings report will be enough to keep FCEL moving up. We don't have a clear long setup here, but these are the levels to watch. Resources: www.earningswhispers.com + www.h2-view.com 💹 Drop a comment asking for an update, we do NEW setups every day 💹 Like & Follow to help the community grow! 🐣
NASDAQ:FCEL
by AlphaBotSystem
1
WINGSTOP still looks extremely bullish going into earningsLook for the next candle on the MACD to be a lighter red color take the buy seems like it might get created on Monday morning around 10am If Wingstop sells off a bit and a new MACD lighter red candle gets created buy in more than likely its going to beat earnings and gonna keep skyrocketing as long as people are inside and Q2 earnings for every other company is on the downside then youre good on buying WING for earnings and until Q3 when a sell off might happen IF people start going back their jobs and this whole corona virus is over by Q3 earnings around September to make a long paragraph short, Buy WING until Q3 announcements or when states start opening up again then when everything begins to start going back to normal, sell everything and expect a huge sell off
NASDAQ:WINGLong
by mandujanotony31
MMM; Has Coronavirus helped 3M enough to keep them above water?!MMM; Has Coronavirus helped 3M enough to keep them above water?! ✨ We provide charts every day ✨ Like and Follow to help us grow family! 🎉 --- Let's Go! Time to see the much-anticipated earnings report from our savior 3M. We are hoping they are good and the chart may show this first hand already! --- 1. Fractal Trend showing an uptrend (Green background color) for MMM on the 1 hour chart. We are hoping this is not a false breakout like we saw previously. 2. We are currently in a quite parabolic move to the upside, thankfully we have a trailing stop riding behind this move to attempt to lockin as much profit as possible. 3. We are looking for a reaction at the R1 bearish orderblock where we hope to see Breakaway Scalper go neutral so we can get in on this tear! 4. If R1 can't hold, we will be looking at R2 and R3 as expected resistance going forward. 5. S1, S2, and S3 are all acceptable levels we are keeping an eye on but any lower and well... you guys know the rest.
NYSE:MMM
by AlphaBotSystem
Daily Review: GOOG, AMD, and MSFTU.S. markets began the week on a strong note, led by small caps. The Russell 2000 Index finished the day up nearly 4% while the Nasdaq 100 lagged behind notching 0.5% at the end of the session. This week represents a pivotal point of the rally as earnings season hits full swing with big cap tech reporting this week. Some names on deck later this week are TSLA, FB, AAPL and SHOP of which I will be reviewing on later posts this week. Today, we search for some market clues with GOOG, AMD and MSFT. Tech Flexing It's tough to bet against tech these days. Despite a global economic shutdown, large cap tech stocks have been resilient…on the charts. It will be interesting to see how they look on the balance sheet! We begin today with Alphabet, Inc (GOOG) on a weekly view. GOOG has staged an impressive rally off the March 23 low making up nearly half its losses from its all-time high, $1532.11. At first glance, GOOG appeared to have broken through critical long term trendline support, but after review, GOOG has found support on a trendline drawn from the 2015 lows. GOOG is heading into 2020 earnings after delivering strong 18% increase of revenue year over year. However, there are questions on whether the internet advertising giant will be able to impress this time around. The COVID-19 pandemic has definitely had an impact on whether businesses invest in online advertising, a large share of GOOG's revenue. Whether the magnitude of the impact shows up in Q1 earnings is yet to be seen. Overall, GOOG bulls have enjoyed the past months worth of gains. However, there is reason to be cautious going into earnings as market strength and price begin to divert while overhead weekly resistance remains. Bias: Bearish . Technically, Beautiful Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) has been the semiconductor darling for over a year ever since breaking out from a year long cup and handle pattern on October 2019. AMD is now up 100% since that breakout and COULD be poised for more upside. I emphasized could on purpose, because on the weekly chart AMD is knocking into resistance at $59.27. Any break higher may also be met with RSI divergence. AMD in my opinion is a tough buy at these levels as the risk reward is not favorable going into earnings. On the plus side, AMD is a beneficiary of being partnered with Sony and Microsoft who are both scheduled to be releasing brand new gaming consoles later this year. How these schedules are impacted by COVID-19 is yet to be seen. Nevertheless, I would not be surprised if AMD pulled back a bit before heading higher. Overall, I like the stock long term from a technical and fundamental perspective, but on the short term I'll be waiting on a dip. Bias: Bearish . Trillion Dollar Baby Above is the daily view of Microsoft Corporation (MSFT). Trading 8% below its all-time high, MSFT is going into earnings in potentially in a make or break position for the broad market. MSFT makes up the largest percentage weight of the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) and today the index was lagging behind throughout the trading session. Either, MSFT and big tech have run out of gas or this is a healthy pause before marching back into all-time highs. If MSFT does pull back, there is not much support. The rally has been a straight shot up from the lows. MSFT is a tough buy here especially after the discouraging performance of the NDX at the start of the week. Bias: Bearish . Pivotal Week Ahead With MSFT, AAPL, GOOG, AMZN and FB all reporting fiscal year Q1 2020 earnings this week, we should get a better grasp of how the market will trade in the months ahead. We must also assume that companies will be doing their best to lay down the framework to ease in the harsh reality of Q2 earnings, which undoubtedly will more accurately reflect the impact of the global economic shutdown. Tomorrow we have Tesla, Facebook and Apple. Have a great evening!
NASDAQ:MSFT
by DailyClose
3 ways to play this earnings | Beyond Meat Technical Analysis3 in-depth scenarios taking you through how I plan on playing earnings with NASDAQ:BYND Scenario 1: Mini Falling Wedge (Bullish) If this is indeed a falling wedge, we should see it smack both support and resistance 3 times prior to its decision. If this is the case, I'll be looking to grab a position later this week for a short-term trade. Scenario 2: Massive Bullish Channel This is why we need to be very patient with this trade. TA would tell you we should see another retest with even lower lows before breakout long-term. If we hold under I'll back up the truck and prepare to load up the puts. Scenario 3: Beautiful Earnings Rip In the case of a massive breakout, I will aim to grab a few calls with some time (expiring 2 weeks after earnings) with a strike around $120. If we get a solid correction I'd hope we can grab something like $115 strikes for the price of the $120 strikes at open. Once again, if breakout is successful we will see price movement toward $120 before earnings most definitely. If we grab 3 or 4 $115 calls expiring may 22, we will probably be able to sell 2 for our original investment plus profit. This would allow us to hold the remaining contracts through earnings. "Risk it for the biscuit" but secure your profits at the same time :) Depending on the next 48 hours, I will choose one of these scenarios. We will ball out, this is Easy Loot. DO NOT TRADE THIS! YOU WILL LOSE MONEY... DOTCOMJACK
NASDAQ:BYND
by DotcomJack
4
DISNEY SHORT @120The Walt Disney Company. My attention was drawn to this stock due to the negative affect its news may have produced on Netflix on Friday 17/04/2020. While Netflix's stock price decreased by -3,69%, Disney's stock price increased by +4.52%. I find this paradoxical because if analyst downgraded Netflix and weren't optimistic on the Netflix's business growth due to the negative affect of unemployment on the streaming/leisure industry as well as cost cutting on secondary non-essential products and services then why did Disney go up? Disney is a direct competitor to Netflix with its new streaming service Disney+. It offers a variety of content with movies, series and original creations ranging from Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, National Geographic and many more studios. The success of the new Disney+ streaming service was iterated in an investor relations post from April 8th saying that after only 5 months Disney+ had reached more than 50 million paid users in over a dozen countries and is expected to expand to more countries over 2020. Of course, is good news for the company as it has started to make its mark in the streaming business alongside competitors such as ROKU, APPLE, AMAZON & NETFLIX. Therefore, perceived as good news by investor leading the stock price to surge up by over +7% intra-day (101.07 to 107.99). BUT In this same press-release, it is specified that it is a forward-looking statement meaning the information could be rendered irrelevant due to internal decision factors based on: - changes in domestic and global economic conditions, competitive conditions and consumer preferences;adverse weather conditions or natural disasters; health concerns; international, regulatory, political, or military developments (including government requests to delay direct-to-consumer launch in certain jurisdictions);technological developments; and labor markets and activities. As well as external factors, mainly COVID-19. The affected areas of the company by COVID-19 could be: the performance of the Company’s theatrical and home entertainment releases; the advertising market for broadcast and cable television programming; demand for our products and services; construction; expenses of providing medical and pension benefits; income tax expense; performance of some or all company businesses either directly or through their impact on those who distribute our products; and achievement of anticipated benefits of the TFCF transaction. The Walt Disney company has 5 market segments, all related to the leisure, entertainment and travel business's: 1- Walt Disney Studios Entertainment 2 - Disney Consumer Products 3 - Walt Disney Parks and Resorts 4 - Disney Media Networks 5 -Walt Disney Internet Group/Disney Interactive Media Group 1st quarter will be having poor results as all segments apart from home streaming services of Disney and channels will see increased revenue due to closed parks and resorts, cutting out a part of cash flow. Looking for a run up to results due to optimism around streaming services and neglect of other operations. Also, the stock is negatively correlated to unemployment rate which is foretasted to reach 20% and be worse than during the 2008 crisis. The plan is to short the shit out of Disney with a small position from 120 as a swing trade waiting for the stock to crash post-earnings release going into Q2 where the effects of COVID-19 will really start affecting the economy. This analysis is based on the assumption that Disney will disappoint in its earnings report. I am confident in this analysis but must remain wary because you can never be sure of how earnings release will be perceived by traders and investors. Earning estimates between last Q4 of 2019 and Q1 of 2020 are expected to drop by 16% whereas I am looking towards a higher drop meaning further disappointment. Looking to hit lower lows in end May to mid June. Might seek to buy back in once company is undervalued and how the global economy behavior evolves. PLAN: There is an interesting risk/reward on this trade. Open position @120 with TP1 @110, TP2 @100 and TP3@80 and SL@125. TIME: Swing trade with a 4-6 week time limit. NOTE: The streaming part of the business will probably be the most talked about figure, potentially creating hype. Let me know what you think in the comments as I'll respond and be updating the trade as we move forward into the week.
NYSE:DISShort
by Samuelitooh
1
BP Earnings call fundamentals Bought 35.5 calls feb 20 @ 0.45 avrg price just before close monday 3rd. Calls currently @ 2.20 (06/02/20 00:42 GMT) thoughts that lead me to call BP would be up on earnings - 1. Higher production correctively offset negative effects of lower commodity and energy price structures. 2.Final purchase instalments of BHP (LON) circa April, likely asset flow from said deal is starting to take full effect on their books; consequently, boosting overall output even further. 3. Most interesting point (at least to me) and one of the main fundamental drivers, ROSN (LON) trading volume spiked from 261m value traded December to over422m in Jan, which consequently is the largest in over 10 months. BP owns 20%, so for me this was a major indicator; suspect even higher cumulative output to again offset the falling prices in the quarter. Didn’t post on TV at the time but for proof I called Monday reference reedit post under KykoKata. > next target area around 40, second 45.
NYSE:BPLong
by Brad010
Fundamental Analysis MU Earnings Micron TechnologyCheck my profile for more info! For my latest stock, I took a look at Micron Earnings $MU Stock. Darth Bear got 2Pts, while Bull Solo got 5Pts! MU is a strong company with a healthy balance sheet! Darth Bear Points 1)When comparing Q1 20' vs. Q1 19', there was a decrease in sales in all segments (Compute, Mobile, Storage, and Embedded) of the revenue. Total revenue was down ~35% 2) Outlook for Q2 2020(EPS of $0.35 +- $0.06) is still lower than Q2 2019 (EPS of $1.42). Bull Solo Points 1)MU beat earnings and revenue! 2) The company is working on projects for the future, Upgraded version of their current products + the purchase of new AI Company will help them work with AI customer needs. 3) The company has a strong shareholder return, buying shares every quarter with Annual free cash flow + buying back senior convertible note to reduce dilution count. 4) Balance Sheet is looking good! It has more cash than the total debt, which is always a great thing. Continuously paying down its debt. 5) Analyst Estimate Future EPS and revenue is growing for the next two years. Giving MU Forward P/E ratio of about ~11, If this is the bottom, then these are great numbers. $SPY $AMD $SOXL
NASDAQ:MU
by josen626
Fundamental Analysis YEXT Earnings YEXTCheck my profile for more info! For my latest stock, I took a look at YEXT Earnings $YEXT Stock YEXT is a software company the helps companies provide Perfect Answers, Straight From the Source to their customers. Darth Bear Points 1)They have negative EPS. Since the company is growing, they are using their money for sales to collect even more customers. 2) The company has negative cash flow from operations, so if not careful, it can burn off its cash. Bull Solo Points 1) Revenue growth has seen ~30% Y/Y for almost every quarter, also seeing Gross Profit increasing! 2) Strong Balance Sheet, Cash & Equ can pay off almost all their total liabilities. 3) A current ratio above 1, current assets > current liabilities means this company is not going to have a hard time continuing its business for the short term. 4) Debt to equity ratio ~1.28, not the best number, but it almost has a 1to1 ratio. The company is not overly leveraged at the moment. *Analyst project a continuation of 30% Revenue growth for next year.
NYSE:YEXT
by josen626
Fundamental Analysis CRNC Earnings CerenceCheck my profile for more info! For my latest stock, I took a look at Cerence Earnings $CRNC Stock. Darth Bear got 1Pts, while Bull Solo got 6Pts! CRNC is a new publicly-traded company, so there are many things to keep an eye out. CRNC is a software company the creates solutions to make your car "smart" Take a look if you want to invest in Software, Artificial Intelligence company. Darth Bear Points 1)Since this is a brand new company, there is no shareholder return. It is highly likely the debt or dilution of shares will be done in the future for funding reasons. *Notable mentions: This is the first quarter as a public traded company, so the 10Q and 10K reports don't have much "audited information." Bull Solo Points 1) CRNC beat earnings and revenue! 2) Comparable sales for their three revenue segments have increased compared to the previous year. 3) Future plans can be seen from their R&D expenses, which is their highest operating expense. They are hiring more engineers and innovation personal! 4) Balance Sheet is looking good! 85% of total liabilities are made up of deferred revenue, meaning this company has a backlog of work! Total assets, unfortunately, have a massive percentage of Goodwill and Intangible assets. 5) The company sees revenue growth for 2020 of about 8%. 6) Analyst Estimate Future EPS and revenue is growing for the next two years. Giving Forward P/E ratio of about ~16.8, which is kind of high for my taste but not too horrible. ETF's holding this company are: $QTUM $XSW $RYJ
NASDAQ:CRNC
by josen626
J. Alexander's good for a rally to 11.69J. Alexander's dropped hard from 11.69 to 9.50 before its earnings report, but it got a huge positive surprise (200%), reporting a profit rather than a loss, and rallied back to 10.50. After a technical pullback to 10.00, I expect the stock to move higher again from here. The earnings surprise was so large that I think we'll see the stock head all the way back up to its pre-earnings volume node at 11.69. I've drawn some trend lines to watch for bullish trend line breaks. JAX has a 9/10 analyst summary score and has recently had several analyst upgrades.
JLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
TESLA RE-VALUATION UPDATE|Q3 EARNINGS DISSECTION|+ESG INVESTING+The Q3 earnings report was surprise to everyone, kudos to Musk and his team for a job well done . There are still some questions, but it seems that most of the fundamental issues that Tesla had since the start of the year, have been solved. ****Here are the key points from the Q3 earnings report and the revaluation with the addition of ESG factors: ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1. Increase to 22.8% Gross Margin(from 18.9%) and an Operating margin of 4.1%(from -2.6% ). Argument : Improvement in their production line, Tesla's becoming more efficient at producing vehicles. (Ref #2) 2. Large improvement in cash flows, mostly because of cost cutting(15% "magical" drop in expenses) ; at the same time slightly lower revenue. More importantly their investments are having faster payoffs than expected ( China expansion and model Y development, both ahead of schedule). 3. Tesla is becoming more diversified as there are more indications that they're successfully developing their energy storage projects. Revenue from project unrelated to auto sales grew from 368(Q2) to 402 mil(Q3), and will continue to expand in 2020 .(Ref #3) 4. Obviously, since cash flows are better, so is their EBITDA(Q2-371 mil, Q3-876 mil), this is where their good EPS figure came from. Furthermore, there are indications of deferred revenue that will be realized in the following quarters." We also expect to gradually release nearly $500M of accumulated deferred revenue tied to Autopilot and Full Self Driving features." 5. US EV market seems to be saturated, but there could be an opportunity for more demand to kick in as the current ESG investing trends continue based on the current DIM(Green new deal) momentum . Tesla's European expansion will take time and won't be as profitable as the Asian expansion. Chinese expansion opportunity without a doubt will have a large long-term payoff.(Ref #4) *** Most importantly: The rest of the market could feed off the Tesla surprise. No doubt, it's been the best and most bullish surprise for the earning season so far. In times of rising recession fears, Tesla doing well as the market leader in a growing EV automarket, definitely is a major benefactor to the sentiment overall .*** _____________________________________________________________________________________________________ Have to say that I've learn to, not be dependant on wall street analysts when trading highly volatile growth stocks (extension from my previous post). But then again, going off of management's' guidance, they will always have the incentive to manipulate the numbers . It can be said that their bad start of 2019, was an existential threat to Tesla, so Musk and the team got to work. There are still some questions about profitability, but the tricky part is that Tesla's investors are motivated because of ESG factors, not by profitability . Profitability matters less to these type of investors, since the markup in valuation from having a high ESG* score, could improve long-term returns in such investments as Tesla . At these low rates, even if profitability is low, Tesla could keep financing their investments and keep growing with good fundamentals. Additionally, taking their positive ESG score into consideration- the long term looks bullish. I think that more and more portfolio managers will sacrifice potentially higher sharpe ratios in order to acquire stocks with higher ESG scores(some trade-off), as investor preferences continue to change and become more and more adaptive to the increasing popular ESG investing trends. ( Ref #1, great paper on ESG's impact on investing. This is the update on Tesla post-earnings. Learned my lesson (my bad) , short interest was just too damn high to ignore it pre-earnings. -Step_ahead_ofthemarket- *ESG stands for Environmental, Social, Governance. >>I do not share my ideas for the likes or the views. This channel is only dedicated to well informed research and other noteworthy and interesting market stories.>> However, if you'd like to support me and get informed in the greatest of details, every thumbs up and follow is greatly appreciated ! _____________________________________________________________________________________________________ References and Disclosure: 1. papers.ssrn.com ( ESG Investing paper, released about a week ago) 2. ir.tesla.com (Q3 Earnings report) 3. hypercharts.co (All the financials) 4. www.youtube.com (Good video on earnings and conference call) *https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/environmental-social-and-governance-esg-criteria.asp Full Disclosure: This is just an opinion, you decide what to do with your own money. For any further references or use of my content for private or corporate purposes- contact me through any of my social media channels.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by step_ahead_ofthemarket
6