Momentum Falling on MSFT?Some of the bigger names seem to be traded with a "sell the news" response to earnings. See FB, AAPL, NFLX, for examples. All popped to highs at the open and were sold off for the next day or two, or more. Will we see the same on MSFT? If it does pop to the top, I've got 145 as a first target. If it pushes past 149, there I would take the loss, if I got short. Since it is already at all time highs, what is the likelihood of profit taking at these prices? Who is willing to pay higher prices for MSFT? I've pasted a link to another chart below. I'm looking forward to your response.
www.tradingview.com
Earningsanalysis
ROKU is a great buy before earnings!
This is a great buy before earnings! i am not predicting what happens after earnings!
The long term charts look aggressively bullish!
Current price ($129.94) has the history of being a previous support level so it has a high probability of making a u-turn and becoming bullish .
Also the current price ($129.94) is at the Fibonacci Retracement (38.20%) -> which suggests that the trend is turning bullish and it could be a great entry point.
The first candle on Monday morning can predict the movement for the week. If it is a bullish candle then it means that we are going to see a huge jump in price.
The highest price i am expecting to see before earnings is $148.64 (which is right at the trend line ).
HOME DEPOT INC EARNINGS Earnings are coming up ( be careful not to get caught gessuing).
IF EARNIGS DO NOT EFFECT THE MARKETS.
I see a potential short into a bigger cluster of buyers and sellers @195 and ultamately bouncing and following the trend upwards. I would keep this on the watch list.
IF EARNINGS ARE GOOD ***
I would buy calls and stock for long term investments as fas as possible using my options as leveradge to gain income.
IF EARNINGS ARE BAD
I would wait for a bottom. Home depot is a staple in america. Not much competition. I would hold it long term once I fundamentaly and analyticaly picked a bottom.
Use my site for my personal picks @
SuperiorCapitalMembers.com
& Please don't forget to follow my Tradingview account.
SHOP Earnings Tomorrow!With a previous 7.40% intraday surge, after the previous earnings announcement and an earnings bet of +0.13 Cent per share compared to the Wall Street consensus, we can expect SHOP to similarly behave this time around and are slightly bullish, as the company continues to grow and is on an overall uptrend. However we position ourselves neutral, as the company's stock is up by 129.69% (YTD) this year already. We expect the stock so bounce anywhere between from 293 to 342. The hype remains, growth prospects are there, but valuation is unreasonably rich at these levels.
Earnings season is open: bet on banksNext week starts the earnings season in the US (the second quarter of 2019). Leading US stock indices currently show historical highs, but analysts are quite skeptical about the upcoming financial results from leading companies.
According to a survey conducted by S&P Global Market Intelligence, it is expected that almost all 11 sectors of the S&P 500 index will show a decline in EPS (earnings per share ratio). For example, in the communication Services, as expected, EPS will decrease by more than 40% (expected change in Q2 EPS from year- earlier quarter), Materials sector will lose more than 20%, and even Information Technology sector is expected to show a decrease in EPS by more than 4%.
Explanations for this are as follows: a strong dollar lowers commodity prices and damages companies from the Materials sector; the trade wars between China and the US accompanied by US attacks on Huawei have led to problems for companies involved in Communication Services and Information Technology. Another problem is inflated capitalization (during a decade, American companies spent billions to buy their own shares, which greatly inflated the value of their stocks).
On the whole, the US stock market looks like a typical bubble, inside which, instead of air, is cheap money, which is the result of the ultra-soft monetary policy of the Fed since 2008-2009. Do not forget also about zero and negative rates in Japan and Europe, which redirected capital flows from the European and Japanese markets to the US stock market.
As a result, stock prices have rocketed to the sky, and it is very difficult to increase EPS further.
Almost the only sector of the S&P 500 index that is expected to show positive EPS change is Financials. So if you are planning to buy in the US stock market during the earnings period, then you should first pay attention to banks and financial companies. And since they are traditionally the first to report, then you need to act here and now. For example, Citigroup Inc. will report on Monday July 15, even before the market opens. JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo The Goldman Sachs will announce their financial results on Tuesday, and Bank Of America, U.S. Bancorp (USB), The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK) - on Wednesday.
What is the secret of Financials? Why do they show an increase in EPS, when everyone else goes under the water?
The monetary policy of the Fed has become the main driver of the financial success of banks in the United States. Until now, the increase in interest rates contributed to the growth of banks' profitability and, as a consequence, the growth of their financial indicators. The recent statements by the Fed about expected interest rates cut, in theory, should have led to negative expectations and a fall in bank margins. Instead these expectations have led to a significant decline in long-term rates, which has meant a jump in mortgage loan refinancing activity, which means more fee income for the banks.
Another argument in favor of banks in the current earnings season is the fact that bank stocks typically trade at significantly lower valuations to earnings estimates than that of the S&P 500. What is more interesting and surprising, the discount over the past five years has increased. Five years ago, the S&P 500 banks as a group traded at a weighted forward price-to-earnings ratio that was 72% of the valuation for the full index. Now the group trades at a forward P/E valuation 60% of the full index. That is, bank stocks, in fact, are traded at a discount, and therefore, relative to the market as a whole, they are undervalued.
In addition, according to Warren Koontz (head of value equity at Jennison Associates - manages $176 billion for private clients and mutual funds), the US banking sector is “in the best shape they have been in for 30 years in terms of balance sheets, the management of the companies and the capital they have to deploy”.
In general, the purchase of US bank stocks is now a kind of investment “combo”: in addition to the arguments listed above, they also give dividend payouts with “double-digit rates” growth and provide significant share buybacks. A company in another industry with those characteristics would be priced far higher than the banks are now.
And the last thing. According to analysts (the results of the FactSet survey), Wells Fargo & Co. has the greatest potential for EPS growth. (EPS is expected to grow by 20%), Bank of America Corp. (growth by 13%), Citigroup Inc. (an increase of 13%) and JPMorgan Chase & Co (10%). So stocks of these banks should be bought first.
hold for gains 1.00 a share drew picture makes a representation of normal common high volatility movment with good volume at opening will close down likely. plan on holding for over 1.00 a share. I usaully dont buy a penny stock the earnings per share is higher then the price per share. hold for gains
Ferrellgas Partners FGP delivered third-quarter fiscal 2019Ferrellgas Partners FGP delivered third-quarter fiscal 2019 adjusted earnings of 21 cents per unit, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 14 cents by 50%. The partnership generated earnings of 11 cents in the prior-year quarter.
Total Revenues
In the quarter, Ferrellgas Partners’ total revenues amounted to $480 million, down 7% from $516 million in the prior-year quarter.
Long just-before or on 20th November 2018 Earnings Release DateThe last time BBY was in a downtrend with earnings release was 16 Nov 2017. 4-weeks after that the stock was higher; this was the case even through earnings per share was a miss (0.78 versus 0.79 consensus).
This time, expect an earnings per share beat for 20 Nov 2018.
Long at or around $68, Hold until $80 the resistance of current channel. Hold position until Christmas 2018.
Apple earnings after today's closing bellApple, H4 and Daily
November 1, 2018 ·Andria Pichidi
Today, FAANG earnings announcements are reaching to an end, with the Apple being the last one releasing its third quarter earnings for 2018 after today’s closing bell on Wall Street. Apple shares, but in general stocks, moved broadly higher, globally, after a mixed session in Asia where Japanese markets underperformed.
Apple shares opened $4 higher, reaching the 20-day SMA, as market participants are looking forward ahead of third Quarter earnings report. Markets remain cautious to see whether the global trade tensions had an impact on company's growth and company's forecasts for the holiday season.
Apple's consensus recommendation is "neutral to buy", corresponding to the majority of the consensus recommendation for the Online Services peer group , as 13 out of 24 analyst firms suggest remaining on hold, and 11 propose the "buy" or "strong buy" possibility. According to Zacks Investment Research, the social network giant is expected to have $2.79 in earnings per share during the third quarter of 2018, which represents an incline by nearly 19% since the reported EPS for the fiscal quarter ending June 2018, and a yearly increase of up to 34.7%. Revenue is expected to be released at $61,558.40 billion , 13% up from the $53,265.00 billion reported in the previous quarter.
Aside from the EPS number, investors would probably turn their eyes on net sales, as Apple is anticipated to have boosted into the market more than 48 mln iPhones during the past 3 months. This is higher than the last September, and could push phone's price even higher, especially as iPhone XR is already out. Therefore, this along with the optimistic view on iPhone XS and XS MAX sales, Apple's total sales for the third quarter, are expected to positively surprise. Apple’s main concern seems to be the US-China trade war and Apple's wealth in China. However as Apple is the 1st trillion listed company in the world, the trade war is unlikely to have a huge impact on it.
Turning to the technical side, if the company achieves accuracy with its forecast, then a positive earnings outcome without any negative surprises could attract more bulls back into the market. This could boost price action higher and hence a correction to October's drop. In the near term, a closing today above the Resistance at $221.30 , which reflects the confluence of 50-day SMA and the latest up daily fractal. This is a crucial level as it represents also the break of 50.0% Fib. retracement level since the $233.42 high.
Therefore such move could confirm the turn of the outlook from neutral to a bullish and we could see stock retesting year's peak at $233.42.
The daily momentum indicators meanwhile comply with a neutral picture. RSI is consolidating close to 50 since mid of October, whilst MACD lines are just a breath below the neutral zone.
In the intra day chart, the sell-off sentiment pushes the stock price lower, amid a combination of events. Immediate Support holds at $213.43 , which is Tuesday's close and 2 consecutive low fractals area. Therefore a disappointing earnings outcome could extend Apple's price lower to the $213.43 Support. Further losses could lead to October's low at $207.30.
Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
Ahead of Facebook Q3 Earnings - Further Drop?FB , Daily and Weekly
October 30, 2018 - Andria Pichidi
This will be a busy and important week in the US for data and earnings, but today’s slate is rather quiet with just CB Consumer Confidence. Earnings include Facebook, Ebay, T-mobile, Morgan Stanley, Coca-Cola, GE etc. Hence as we are in the midst of Earning Season, the focus turns today to another tech giant after Amazon and Alphabet - Facebook and its third Quarter earnings release for 2018 after today’s closing bell on Wall Street.
Facebook's consensus recommendation is "strong buy", corresponding to the majority of the consensus recommendation for the Online Services peer group , as 24 out of 31 Analyst Firms recommend "Strong buy" and 3 propose the "buy" possibility, while 4 suggest remaining on hold. According to Zacks Investment Research, the social network giant is expected to have $1.47 in earnings per share during the third Quarter of 2018, which represents a decline by nearly 7% since the reported EPS for the fiscal Quarter ending September 2017. Revenue is expected to be released at $13.78 billion, 34% up from the $3.91 billion reported the previous quarter.
Aside from the EPS number, investors would probably turn their eyes exclusively to revenue and user growth outcome, as the miss on revenue and user growth the last quarter drove Facebook’s stock price down by 33%. At this stage, we have to point out that since September 2017, the company’s revenue missed expectations only once, while earnings per share always positively surprised. Despite the robust earning reports, Facebook stock price was seen sharply decreasing after the release of the earnings report the last Quarter, due to the miss of revenue, the slowdown on users growth and the huge spending on security and account fraud. The stock drifted from its $218.48 high in June 2018, to $138.78 as of today, which represents more than $200 billion in market value.
The 3 months after July 22 were dramatic for Facebook, as the company had to face regulation threats, the breach of privacy for its users, the hack of millions of accounts, the suspension of misinformation, executive departures and claims from their advertisers for manipulation of video metrics. All these barriers added further pressure on stock price and caused the dramatic decline since then. Meanwhile it seems that Facebook has not managed to overcome all these problems, since new misinformation news have been announced just last Friday. Facebook is currently fighting to eliminate misinformation ahead of the US mid-term elections.
Figure 2: Reprinted from Facebook Inc. Financial Highlights
As privacy was one of the main aids for Facebook’s underperformance, the decline in the global Equity market also weighed on stock price – USA30 is down by 7.62% QTD and USA500 declined by 9.36% QTD. Facebook is a part of both the USA500 and USA30 indices. The nagging trade/tariff concerns appeared to be vindicated by earnings shortfalls first in the semiconductor sector, then tech more broadly as follow-up misses by momentum titans Amazon and Alphabet took a bite out of the FAANGS.
Therefore along with the earnings report today, focus will be also on the conference that follows the release, regarding any remarks on the company’s growth and privacy problems.
Turning to the technical side, if the company achieves accuracy with its forecast, then a positive earnings outcome without any negative surprises on revenue and users growth could attract some bulls back into the market. This could boost price action higher and hence a correction to 4-month drop could be seen. In the short term, a decisive turn to the upside could find Resistance at $154.00-$155.00 area , which reflects the confluence of 20-day SMA, but importantly the confluence of 61.8% Fib level on 2-year rally and the 61.8% Fib. extension on the massive decline which occurred on July. Further potential Resistance could come near $166.00, the 50.0% Fib. level.
In the long term, after the 33% drop since July, only a spike above $176.90 could turn the outlook from bearish to a bullish one again. This strong Resistance level holds at the 50-week SMA and it is also the mid point of July to up-to-date performance. Hence if the asset manages to hold above this level, it could retest the year high at $218.49.
For now, the sell-off sentiment continues to push stock price lower, amid a combination of events. Therefore a disappointing earnings outcome could extend Facebook’s price lower. The next Support could be found at the $133.20 – $136.68 area, which includes the 200-week SMA, the 78.6% Fib. level and the 100.0% Fib. extension.
A break of this area and more precisely the $133.20 barrier is crucial as it is a “free fall” from that level downwards. This level is set at the 200-week SMA which coincides with the lower Bollinger Bands pattern. Support after this area could possibly occur around December 2016 prices, around the $114.00 level.
Technically, the weekly-term outlook for the corporation’s shares remains bearish, with trading activity taking place below 50 and 100- week moving averages, while momentum indicators comply with this as well. RSI is at 29 and falling, suggesting that there is further space to the downside. MACD lines crossed below neutral zone and signal line, while they are increasing to the downside, suggesting the potential rise of negative momentum. However as long as the floor at $133.20 – $136.68 holds, then there are still hopes for an upwards correction in the short term.
Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
Two Giants on the Same dayGOOGLE and AMAZON
On Wall Street, the USA500 closed 3.1% for the worse, and the tech-laden USA100 with a 4.6% loss. Corporate earnings and guidance have been flagging the nascent signs of a deteriorating business environment and outlook risks. As investors are loosing there faith in stock market, there pressure has moved to today's earnings reports, as two of the industry leaders Amazon and Google parent Alphabet, along with Twitter, will release their earnings reports for the fiscal Quarter ending Sep 2018, after today's closing bell on Wall Street.
Amazon and Google chart
Alphabet(Google)
Alphabet Inc. is a holding company and Google's parent company. The Company's businesses include Google Inc. (which is the largest one) and its Internet products, such as Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Nest, Verily, Waymo and X. The Company's segments include Google and Other Bets.
Alphabet's third Quarter earnings for 2018 will be reported after the US Market close today. The consensus recommendation for the company is “strong buy”, corresponding to the majority of the consensus recommendation for the Online Services peer group , as 23 out of 29 Analyst Firms recommending “buy” or “Strong buy” and 2 suggest remaining on hold, while just 4 Analyst firms propose the “Buy” possibility. Hence no Analyst Firms is making a "Sell" or "underperform" recommendation for the company.
According to Zacks Investment Research, the information service is expected to have $10.43 in earnings per share during the third Quarter of 2018, which represents a yearly change of 8.7%, since the reported EPS for the fiscal Quarter ending September 2017 was $9.57. Focus should also turn on revenues number which is projected to hit 22.6% yoy rise, to around $34.04 billion, from the $27.77 billion reported last year.
The Alphabet has faced some serious difficulties the 2nd Quarter, as EU commission accused the company for anticompetitive methods regarding its mobile search engine. The company was fined by 5.1 Billions by the EU, which it manage to handle but it also proceed in an appeal despite the fact that it already took the charge. Despite the pressure during the 2nd quarter, over the next five years, the search giant’s quarterly profits are expected to continue rising. The earnings expected to grow at an average annual rate of 17.37%, with the current year projection for EPS reaching 22.80%.
However, worries regarding another government intervention still hold. This in combination with the sharp decline we have seen in tech stocks the last 3 months, raise concerns whether company's earnings will manage to reach consensus.
At this stage, we have to point out that, the consensus recommendation, similarly to economic data forecasts, has a significant effect on the near term stock price, as it represents a company’s wealth picture. Hence on every earning report, stock price is highly influenced by the comparison between the outcome and the expectations. The market tends to react positively if the outcome comes better or at least in line with forecast, while the price moves lower if the reported earnings miss expectations.
Since September 2017, the company’s earnings missed expectations only once and positively surprised three times. Despite any missed earnings expectations, Google stock price was seen continuously increasing until it reached $1,272.36 high in July 1. The 4-years incline was affected by the increase of sales estimates and the general constant growth of Alphabet Inc.
The fall however, since the earnings report release for the fiscal Quarter ending June 2018 was driven by the miss on earnings, EU fine and global tech sell-off. The sell-off still holds sharply, concerns that earnings momentum is levelling off and that tighter financial conditions, coupled with ongoing trade tensions are hitting the global growth outlook, are prompting investors to rethink lofty equity valuations.
These caused the price to drop by nearly $222.00, to $1051.53.00 level since July peak.
After the sharp drop by 17.16% down, the past 3 months, a decisive turn above $1,160.00 - $1,169.00 area, could turn the attention to the northwards again. This area is significant as it coincides with 50% return of the losses seen since July, with the 50-day SMA and 20-week SMA. Hence if price action manages to sustain a move above this area, is likely to turn towards $1,230.00 (61.8% Fib. level). A move higher could take the asset towards the 100% Fibonacci extension at the $1,330.00.
For now, the sell-off sentiment continues to push stock price lower, just a breath away from the ascending trend-line set since June 2015 low and seems to fully support the asset since then. The trend-line coincides with the 20-month SMA, at $1,036.00 which provides the immediate Support level for the asset. An extension lower could be supported by April's low at $1,007.00
Technically, the medium term outlook for the corporation’s shares remains strongly bearish, with trading activity taking place below all daily MAs and below 20-and 50- week MAs, while momentum indicators comply with this as well. Weekly RSI is at 37 and falling, suggesting that there is further space to the downside. MACD lines are at neutral zone below signal line.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
Amazon:
The consensus recommendation for the company is “Strong buy”, which matches the majority consensus recommendation for the Software peer group (29/33). Amazon is expected to post $3.29 earnings per share and a revenue of $57.0 billion, which reflect to a huge increase of more than 500% on earning and a 30.2% grow on revenue on a year-over-year basis. According to Refinitiv, Amazon is expected by analysts to report a September-quarter non-GAAP net profit of $1.54 billion, compared to just $256 million a year ago.
The company’s earnings beat robustly expectations in the last 4 Quarters and it is expected to do it today as well despite the fall by 12% seen this month. There is nearly nothing to point conversely, as the 3rd Quarter was a good one for Amazon, as it manage to join Apple into the $1 trillion Market value club. During 3rd Quarter, the company will also include once of its largest shopping events, the Prime Day, which is expected to boost the quarterly revenue along with its subscription number.
Despite estimates put the giant’s earnings to post another massive growth report, the fall by 18.37% seen since $2,050.00 push Amazon's stock price further to the downside.
Taking a technical look at Amazon's stock, the drop of daily RSI and the increase of MACD oscillator further to the downside is pointing to a bearish medium-term picture. In the medium-term, the asset crossed below 20-week SMA 3 weeks ago, while it is moving below 20- and 50-day SMA and just $9 above 200-day SMA. The price movement suggest further bias towards bearish. Therefore the extension lower for Amazon price, prior to the earnings announcement or even disappointing earnings outcome, could find immediate Support at the $1,618.00 – $1,628.00 area, which is between the 61.8% Fib. level and the 61.8% fib. extension set since April's bottom.
A break of this area however is crucial as it is a “free fall” from that level downwards. Support could possibly occur around 50-week SMA, at the $1,581.00, and the $1.504.60, which coincides with the 78.6% Fibonacci level of the rally from $1,358.00 low.
Conversely, immediate Resistance to a falling stock on the back of a rebound could occur around the latest up fractal which also the mid of 2-month decline, at $1,860.00. A move above the latter is likely to restore the bullish outlook, with the shares eyeing at record high, at $2,050.00 again.
NASDAQ:AMZN
Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
Netflix ahead of Q3: Key levels to watchNETFLIX, H4 & Daily
Netflix's third Quarter earnings for 2018 will be reported after the US Market close on October 16. The consensus recommendation for the company is "strong buy", corresponding to the majority of the consensus recommendation for the Online Services peer group , as 21 out of 32 Analyst Firms recommending "buy" or "Strong buy" and 9 suggest remaining on hold, while just 2 Analyst firms propose the "Sell" possibility.
According to Zacks Investment Research, the internet video service is expected to have $0.68 in earnings per share during the third Quarter of 2018, which represents an extraordinary yearly change of 235.35%, since the reported EPS for the fiscal Quarter ending September 2017 was $0.29. Focus should also turn on revenues number which is expected to be around $3.99 billion, from the $3.91 billion reported the previous quarter.
Figure 1: Reprinted from Netflix, Inc. Analyst Forecasts Earnings Growth, retrieved from www.nasdaq.com
The consensus recommendation, similarly to economic data forecasts, has a significant effect on the near term stock price, as it represents a company’s wealth picture. Hence on every earning report, stock price is highly influenced by the comparison between the outcome and the expectations. The market tends to react positively if the outcome comes better or at least in line with forecast, while the price moves lower if the reported earnings miss expectations.
At this stage, we have to point out that since September 2017, the company’s earnings missed expectations only once and positively surprised twice, while they remained unchanged just once. Despite in line or missed earnings expectations, Netflix stock price was seen continuously increasing until it reached $423.00 high in June 2018. The constant incline was affected by the increase of revenue number, along with the sales estimates as well.
The fall since the earnings report release for the fiscal Quarter ending June 2018 was driven by the miss on sales and revenue valuations, despite the upbeat earnings. Therefore, stock market price could also be affected by subscriptions growth or revenue outcome as well.
More precisely, Netflix reported upbeat earnings per share up to $0.85 (vs $0.80) for its second Quarter, while revenue came in less than expected at $3.91 billion (vs $3.94 anticipated based on Thomson Reuters estimates) and the company’s total subscribers growth domestically & internationally also fell below projections for the first time in five Quarters. This caused the price to drop by nearly $113.00, to $310.00 level.
Figure 2: Revenue and Earnings per Share. Reprinted from Netflix Inc. Financial Highlights, retrieved from www.reuters.com .
After the overall defeat in the second Quarter, the company’s management should have followed a more conservative method for third Quarter estimations regarding subscriber additions. If the company achieved accuracy with its forecast, then a positive earnings outcome without any negative surprises on revenue and subscriptions could attract many bulls back into the market. After the sharp drop by 18.3% down, the past 2 weeks, a decisive turn above $351.30, could turn the attention to the $400.00 handle. The $351.30 reflects the confluence of 100-day EMA but importantly the 50% return of the losses seen in October which is a level of importance. Hence if price action manages to sustain a move above $351.00- $354.00 area (50-day SMA), is likely to turn to a bullish outlook again.
For now, the sell-off sentiment continues to push stock price lower, amid a combination of events such as the ongoing China-US trade friction, but mainly due to the worries over the uptrend in rates, something that is boosting the US treasury bond yields higher and gradually weakening the demand for equities. Hence the higher the yields the lower the stocks, especially “risky equities” such as tech stocks, i.e. Netflix as well. The investor’s earning season anticipation also undermines stock demand.
Contrarily, the extension lower for Netflix price, prior to the earnings announcement or even disappointing earnings outcome, could find immediate Support at the $308.00 – $310.00 area, which is the 5-month bottom and 50-week EMA. A break of this area however is crucial as it is a “free fall” from that level downwards. Support could possibly occur around April’s prices, at the $272.00 – $280.00 area, which coincides with the 150.0% and 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the decline from $386.46 peak. The 161.8% Fib. level coexists with the latest weekly low fractal.
Technically, the medium term outlook for the corporation’s shares remains bearish, with trading activity taking place below 50-100 and 200- day moving averages, while momentum indicators comply with this as well. RSI is at 31 and falling, suggesting that there is further space to the downside. MACD lines crossed below neutral zone and signal line, while they are increasing to the downside, suggesting the potential rise of negative momentum. However as long as the floor at $308.00 - $310.00 area holds, then the complete turn to a bearish outlook cannot be confirmed.
Click HERE to read the full article: analysis.hotforex.com
Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
AMBA - High Def SCAMBA: The simple answer...Ambarella, Inc. offers semiconductor processing solutions for video that enable high-definition (HD), video capture, sharing and display.
Love this long run on sentence and now you know why the dip. Await smart driving cars for growth as likely booster.
The company's system-on-a-chip designs integrated HD video processing, image processing, computer vision functionality, audio processing, and system functions onto a single chip for delivering video and image quality, differentiated functionality, and low power consumption. Its solutions enable the creation of video content for wearable cameras, automotive cameras, and professional and consumer Internet Protocol (IP) security cameras, as well as cameras incorporated into unmanned aerial vehicles in the camera market; and manage IP video traffic, broadcast encoding and transcoding, and IP video delivery applications in the infrastructure market.
Small cap 1.4B Mkt Value Ambarella is beaten up currently with negative ROI, lower revenue growth and earnings. It is below it's normal resistance line, but ROI not ready to put in quarters. Still looking at Jukebox for play options. If you like smart car tech semiconductor, this will drive it's growth. Its system-on-a-chip design offers acquisition mindset for GOOG, APPL, etc. as other play. $38 bargain risky.
For own use. Viewers come to own investment opines/sententia.
RGEN - LEAPS & BOUNDs RGEN: Repligen Corporation is a bioprocessing company. The Company is focused on the development, manufacture and commercialization of products used to improve the interconnected phases of the biological drug manufacturing process. The Company's portfolio includes protein products, chromatography products, and filtration products.
RGEN as a mid-cap is new watch and being saved for own watch list and entry steep right now. 2.4B Mkt Cap and similiar EV. BETA 0.71 so great buy and forget stock. Debt low to cash flow.
Ownership: 80 Institution, 3 Management and insider trend has been sell. Look at chart and ask why?
Q2 Earnings in early Aug. were good, but first time below mkt expectations in awhile....so watching. Q3 E in early Nov-18.
Buylongselllong format courtesy of @MarxBabu. Format changed to add 1w MA and add resistance line for optimal entry. Comments & feedback appreciated especially if you understand the technology by Repligen.
H&S Inverse ***ON WATCH***W/ Confirmed breakout, PT ≈ 3.7.
Correvio completed CRME aquisition effective today. Also Q1ER w/ EPS miss, but REV beat. HS inverse w/ + daily detected momentum and MACD ready to cross, right after golden cross of 50 & 200 DMA on 09MAY.
My earnings analysis on EXELThere is a nice symmetrical triangle pattern that has formed just in time for earnings. A good indication that a decent move is in store for EXEL depending on the ER.
Green box : gap down here into support we could see some buying off the lower trendline and 100 day SMA, or the 200 day SMA if the price gaps that far. The latter being a much stronger area to buy.
Red box : gap up into resistance we could see some selling. However, if the move is strong enough, the resistance at $32.20 could be broken and she moves higher. At that point look to buy the rest off that old resistance, new support.
Let's see what happens tomorrow for earnings.
Good luck :D
Hammer ShortSSl recently has been recovering from a market correction. However, even tho the coppock curve and the ADX are saying this could be a buy, I see a hammer candlestick forming. This shows that the prior trend could be changing. So, I put a short position below the 50 MA. Also, volume seems to be decreasing.
Potential Option Plays for AAPL's earnings (Naked Put or BPS)To take advantage of the high volatility, I plan on selling a naked put over earnings for either the $155 or $157.5 strike price for this Friday's expiration (February 2). Most likely the $157.5 strike for around $0.80.
A less riskier option (no pun intended) is to sell a BPS about $10 below the closing price for the same February 2 expiration.
If I get put the shares, I won't mind since it's Apple. They are only the largest and most profitable company in the world. Shares + a covered call to get rid of the shares is the back up plan.