Earnings play pt.4BT is currently in a flag pattern, so is the RSI and the CCI.However, BT does not really show that much volatility in recent earnings reports. So, I would only be shorting till the 50 SMA.
Earningsanalysis
Earnings play pt2CVLT has recently broken out of a flag position and has decreased in price. However the stock hit prior support and rose in price. The RVI is showing a flag pattern, so we could see a short-term rise in volatility. Also, the RSI is has been rising for the last few days. So, I am putting my long position above the 50 ma which is providing resistance and potential support in the future. My short will be below the prior support.
Earning play pt 2IBM has gapped up since yesterdays open. Looking at prior earning reports the stock does provide us with the volatility we need to profit off this earning. The RVI is backing this idea with the breakout in the trend. However, the RSI is showing this stock could potentially be overbought and a short-term sell off could occur. Also, the 50 MA is providing the support for the stock. Potentially, a short and long hedge could be played here.
Earnings playThe Coppock curve has been broadening in the last few weeks - this could be showing a potential swing trade. Also, the stock has a 50 MA resistance which could be a defining moment if the earnings report is a beat. Furthermore, the stock has not really shown any chart pattern in the last few months, but the volume has been decreasing ever since the stock jumped. So, I have decided to hedge this trade.
Broadening wedge earnings playUSM is now in a broadening wedge pattern. Past volatility has proven profitable, hence my long order is till 50 MA and my short order is till the last low.Also, the volume has decreased showing there maybe a large breakout about to come and the Coppock curve is in a horizontal pattern and has also gone negative so it may rebound and go positive.
Apple long term buy?I remember buying AAPL at 119.00 and I sold off my shares near 140-150. Another opportunity has risen. AAPL has broken out of a head and shoulders pattern. Also, the 50 MA is providing support and the coppock curve has a lot more room to move positive so this could be a chance to get back in. (If the stock does fall then it will probably fall into the top of the head and then rebound). AAPL recently released the iPhone X so since that's so recent there is not much room for its sales and profit to be counted in today's earnings report - but maybe in Q4.
So, if the stock rises I may cancel my take profit and go long-term. But, if it falls as I previously said I may buy for a medium-term swing trade.
Tesla Head and ShouldersTesla has produced a head and shoulders pattern. It has not yet broken out of that pattern but today is earning report- so maybe the opportunity is rising to profit tremendously. The volume has been in a decreasing trend ever since the last earnings report, so I accept a large breakout. Also, the coppock curve has been in a decreasing trend line for a while. I have put the buy order and the sell order at 3.00% take-profit, to cover any potential rebound in the short term.
Earnings cup and handle patternTRI has provided a cup and handle pattern - and is currently in a short term flag. The coppock curve has been decreasing with the flag. Long order is till the open of the flag. Short is opening below 25 MA. Also, the volume is decreasing with the flag at a angle of 35 degrees - showing a potential large breakout.
Earnings Flag Breakout?DVN previously has produced a head and shoulders patterns, hence the decrease in stock price for the long period. But, recently the stock broke out of its flag pattern and it is also earning report day for DVN today. So, there is an opportunity. I have put the Long order at the next fibonacci level, as that will provide support and resistance. The Long take-profit is till the 50 MA. The Short order is until the next lower fibonacci level.
New Yearly High?BP has broken out of a flag pattern.However, is going negative in the coppock curve. Also, the total revenue has been the same for a while now. Im going to be relying on volatility. If its short it will be only short-termly i believe and if it is Long then short-term increase followed by pull-back then increase until Q4. Also, the moving average is providing support. I put my Long on the next fibonacci level.I have put the Long and short take profit at 1% but I think the price change will be much bigger so if it is - I will extend take profit.
Amazon's current issueAmazon's total revenue has been increasing quarter on quarter since 2012, this is shown by the stock price rise form that point. But the current trend is a head and shoulders pattern. the stock rose against the head and shoulders pattern which is only natural, could this mean a larger reversal is coming for the stock? I have chosen to hedge this earning report. But, AMZN doesn't really have that much volatile in times of earning report - unless the surprise is astronomical. So, I'm going to be cutting short any losses. Also, the 100 MA is providing resistance as of this point, so this may be the volatile we are looking for, as stock usually rise or fall quite bit near moving averages. So, if the stock does boom, will it be enough to over power the head and shoulders pattern?
Amazon's current issueAmazon's total revenue has been increasing quarter on quarter since 2012, this is shown by the stock price rise form that point. But the current trend is a head and shoulders pattern. the stock rose against the head and shoulders pattern which is only natural, could this mean a larger reversal is coming for the stock? I have chosen to hedge this earning report. But, AMZN doesn't really have that much volatile in times of earning report - unless the surprise is astronomical. So, I'm going to be cutting short any losses. Also, the 100 MA is providing resistance as of this point, so this may be the volatile we are looking for, as stock usually rise or fall quite bit near moving averages. So, if the stock does boom, will it be enough to over power the head and shoulders pattern?
Shutterfly Earning HedgeSFLY is currently in a flag pattern. The company's total revenue has been gradually increasing over past quarters impressively. Also, since the stock has such large volatility in past earning reports - i expect the same this time. In order to create opportunity for some large returns, I have put a short order in for the previous trading days low, until the 200 MA. Also, a long market order for the price breaking 50.
Earnings ReportThe 200 MA is providing resistance and the 50 MA is providing support. This is most likely a flag pattern, and the ADX is about to go green so will most likely be bullish. But, since the earnings report is coming out today, I have chosen to create buy and sell orders.Also, due to past earning reports the volatility is very high so I expect the same to happen.
YY inc. initiated with a Buy at Goldman Sachs Goldman Sachs analyst Fan Liu started YY with a Buy rating and $101 price target, saying it is expected that the early pioneer in live streaming can sustain its leadership position.
Bullish option flow detected in YY with 1,761 calls trading, 3x expected, and implied vol increasing over 2 points to 43.16%. 9/22 weekly 65 calls and Sep-17 85 calls are the most active options, with total volume in those strikes near 840 contracts. The Put/Call Ratio is 0.54. Earnings are expected on November 21st
Analysts expect a sharply increasing business volume for the group, with high growth rates in the coming years.
Margins returned by the company are among the highest on the stock exchange list. Its core activity clears big profits.
Thanks to a sound financial situation, the firm has significant leeway for investment.
Historically, the company has been releasing figures that are above expectations.
The company's attractive earnings multiples are brought to light by a P/E ratio at 13.31 for the current year.
Growth remains a strong point in this company. In their sales forecast, analysts sound optimistic with regard to sales prospects.
Over the past year, analysts have regularly revised upwards their sales forecast for the company.
For several months, analysts have been revising their EPS estimates roughly upwards.
For the past year, analysts covering the stock have been revising their EPS expectations upwards in a significant manner.
Analysts covering this company mostly recommend stock overweighting or purchase.
The average target price set by analysts covering the stock is above current prices and offers a tremendous appreciation potential.
AMBA short at low eps estimatesBattleground: Morgan sticks by Ambarella after guidance cut, two downgrades The shares of Ambarella (AMBA) are tumbling after the chip maker reported stronger than expected quarterly results but cut its guidance. Two research firms, Craig-Hallum and Roth Capital, downgraded the stock on the heels of the report, but Morgan Stanley remained upbeat on the company's outlook in providing technology for computer vision applications. RESULTS: Ambarella, which develops chips used in video systems, reported second quarter earnings per share of 48c, versus the consensus outlook of 44c. Ambarella's revenue came in slightly higher than expected. However, it now expects its full-year topline total to fall 3%-7%, versus its previous guidance for it to come in between a decline of 3% and an increase of 3%. The company said it expects its revenue from the drone market to fall for the rest of the year. DOWNGRADES: Craig-Hallum analyst Richard Shannon cut his rating on the stock to Hold from Buy. The company reported "solid" results and guidance, driven by strength in its security and auto markets, though it is facing "headwinds" in the drone market that "will likely take a few quarters to improve," the analyst stated. Moreover, the company is increasing its investment in computer vision chips and the outlook for the sales of such chips is uncertain, Shannon said. He noted that the company believes that strong demand for the low-cost DJI Spark drone, which does not utilize Ambarella's chips, could be negatively impacting the sales of higher cost drones that do incorporate its products. The analyst does not expect Ambarella's revenue from drones to rebound quickly and he thinks the shares could remain "in a range for some time." He slashed his price target on the stock to $50 from $68. Roth's Suji Desilva cut the rating on Ambarella to Neutral from Buy. The analyst expects the company to continue to benefit from growth in its sports wearable, security and auto markets. However, the prospects for its drone market are particularly uncertain, the analyst stated. Desilva said that he "would wait for increasing stability in core demand markets" and increased visibility in demand for Ambarella's computer vision products before becoming more bullish on the stock. He cut his price target on the shares to $50 from $65. MORE BULLISH MORGAN STANLEY: Analyst Joseph Moore significantly lowered his fourth quarter and 2018 estimates for Ambarella. However, the analyst said he was encouraged by the company's comments on its computer vision products. He noted that Ambarella plans to provide samples of the products to its customers next quarter. Although Moore doesn't expect Ambarella to obtain revenue from the products until late next year, he thinks that investors could become enthusiastic about them "given the importance of machine vision," and he believes that a successful launch of the products could boost the stock. Moore lowered his price target on Ambarella to $60 from $65 but keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, Ambarella sank 20% to $43.42. GoPro (GPRO), a prominent customer of Ambarella's chips, is flat at $9.21 per share, off its earlier session highs.
ASX:ASL Long IndicationP/E Over 24
P/B 1.11
Last yearly report, net debt was wiped by well over 100m leaving only 216m left. Debt may not be completely wiped, but a hint at dividends returning could be possible. Operating profit returned positive after two consecutive years negative. If net profit after tax exceeds 70m and debt is decreased by 50m+... This will be fantastic. The share price will exceed $3.
A stock so fundamentally strong with good earnings - this may soar.
Earnings should be strong as the price of gold has not diminished, iron ore has also returned over $60/tonne.
I have an order in for 1300 shares at $2.16 strike. I feel it is early enough to bet on earnings without getting in high and late after the pre-earnings hype.
Earnings on the 23rd.
If earnings look anything like last year... wowzers.
Which one will you trade? Bearish pattern or the bullish trend? NFLX earnings- 2 technical signals:
1) Weekly Bearish Crab Pattern
2) Bounce from weekly MA line (bullish sign)
Which one will you trade today?
Are you extremely bullish? SNAP will have its first earnings report this week.
For those of you who are extremely bullish about SNAP, perhaps this potential bearish Bat will interest you.
This is an Aggressive C trading scenario in which you buy point C and expect the price to reach point D (complete the pattern)
Obviously earnings are risky and as you can see this setup requires a wide stop loss - Make sure it fits your analysis AND your risk management rules if you think about trading it.
Also check out my latest newsletter with more trading ideas. #WeeklyMarketsAnalysis on Twitter
Amazon in the green, deserves earnings exposure.GREAT LONG-TERM TECHNICAL PICTURE, SOME RECENT WEAKNESS
- Long term uptrend took us to historical high on October 6, 2016
- Gentle uptrend over the past 6 months with a breakout late Sept.
- Some short term weakness since the top, but still in breakout mode
SOLID, PRICEY FUNDAMENTALS
- Continues to impress the investment community
- 87.5% of consensus has a buy recommendation
- Consensus target price $913/Share (+11.6%)
- Justified by impressive long term EPS growth (+48.5%)
- Improving profitability (ROE 13.64%)
- Expensive stock (P/E 203.89x and P/BV 28.8x)
EXCITING EARNINGS PUBLICATION HISTORY: VOLATILE
- Over the past 13 quarters since mid-2013
- Measured the 5-day performance before and into earnings
- Average stock performance during earnings week = +2.60%
- Min -9.94% Max +20.00%
TRADING STRATEGY: USE OPTIONS FOR EXPOSURE
- Sell Nov 18'16 $750 put = +$9.33
- Buy Nov 18'16 $850 call = -$19.00
- Total cost = $9.67 (1.18%)
- Best case: Continuation of breakout ==> Make money on both legs
- Worst case: Stock falls post earnings and you become long a great story 8% below the current price.
APPLE: EARNINGS PREVIEW - LOW BAR; 1.38EPS & REVENUE $42.34BNApple earnings to be released after market today
Expectations:
1. 1.39EPS and $42.31bn Revenue
- I personally have been an Apple bull for some time - I believe the bar for apple has been set low, with EPS 25% lower than last year and Revenue target also 15% lower than last year - I think this is achievable as Iphone SE sales will be included in the income statement for the first time this quarter which should help beat the low 42.34bn target.
Risks:
1. Obviously, if Apple misses these expectations i see downside to $89-90 immediately happening - nonetheless I think this opens up a valuable buying opp and I will be buying any 89-90 (or lower) lows, once the earnings hit/ miss flows are over as i believe apple is very cheap on a multiple basis some 10x.
Trading Strategy:
1. On an earnings beat I think because AAPL price has been depressed for so long (30% for 6m+), APPL will see significant topside e.g. to $111 so you should BUY AAPL at market and hold past the 101 breakout for 110tp.
2. Equally, if AAPL misses, we should clear existing risk at $95 and reenter APPL at the MISS bottom which should be $89, or perhaps less.
- I like owning Apple as it is one of the least leveraged companies, with over 250bn in cash & marketable securities (highly liquid) and generates 40-60bn dollars in bottom line profit, with 200bn revenue - thus it is one of the most profitable companies. With this cash, Apple in the future (under new leadership) can regain its prowess and make new highs e.g. 140-160 within the next 12-18m - before if they actually invest in M/A or some heavy R/D - poor leadership by Tim Cook is to blame for APPL's stagnant performance imo - they should have purchased Yahoo to compete with Google ad rev, Twitter to compete with FB and Netflix to grow their Apple TV business - all of which would have worked due to Apples massive worldwide brand and i believe such acquisitions can be made in the future thus I value owning Apple.
Any questions let me know.
