FL fall on earnings miss looking for a retracementFL on the 15-minute chart has indicators showing bullish divergence after the
big drop on the earnings miss. The volume profile shows heavy trading volumes at the
15.60 level. I am looking for a long trade to the mid-fib level of $20.00. I will set
a buy stop at $ 15.60 for when price crosses over the PCO line of the volume profile
for a trade anticipated profit of about 4.5 % with a much lower risk.
Earningsmiss
APRN Gained on Big Earnings Miss SHORTAPRN on the 2H chart demonstrates continued burning of cash and the burn rate
is more than the estimates of the analysts. With the double Bollinger Band overlaid,
Price since those dismal earnings has increased up more than 50% and is now at the dynamic
resistance of the volatility bands. Confluent with its rise to the upper bands is the rise of price
to three standard deviations above the mean VWAP. I see this as a short trade setup
with the price falling to the 0.5 Fib level confluent with the POC line of the volume profile
as well as the mean VWAP which I will target in the trade. If you want my idea as to the
put option equivalent parameters, please leave a comment. ( like and follow if you are
inclined !) I am looking to get 20% out of the short sell. The put option is screaming for
at least 100% and potentially double that.
Z Zillow Group Options Ahead of EarningsIn my opinion, Zillow, a well-known online real estate platform, is poised to witness a significant drop in revenue this quarter due to various factors.
Firstly, there seems to be a lack of interest among potential customers in utilizing their services.
Additionally, with interest rates currently high, it is possible that fewer people will be interested in purchasing homes, which could further impact Zillow's revenue.
These challenges, along with other market factors, make it a tough quarter for Zillow, and the company will need to navigate these challenges carefully to maintain their market position.
Now analyzing the options chain of Z Zillow Group prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 40usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $4.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
Snap: More pain before relief?!!Snap
Short Term - We look to Buy at 13.20 (stop at 10.72)
This stock has recently been in the news headlines. The CEO reported the company will likely miss its own revenue and earnings targets. Broken out of the triangle formation to the downside. The measured move target is 13.00. We expect further downside to the measured move target zone. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip at that zone with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 21.98 and 24.00
Resistance: 18.00 / 22.00 / 30.00
Support: 13.00 / 10.00 / 5.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Target:Bargain hunt after earnings missTarget
Short Term - We look to Buy at 160 (stop at 140)
This stock has recently been in the news headlines. They reported a surprise earnings miss and this sent the share price plummeting in the premarket. This has resulted in signals for sentiment being at oversold extremes and we look for a move to the upside. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. Further upside is expected.
Our profit targets will be 219 and 240
Resistance: 180 / 200 / 220
Support: 160 / 140 / 120
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Five9 Sales Execs Leaving in Droves, Will Miss Next Earnings?Yesterday the stock fell because the company's EVP of Global Sales left the company. This follows 5-6 (yes 5 to 6!) other senior enterprise sales executives and that have left in the last six months.
No company loses this many sales executives and hits their numbers. I anticipate that Five9 is going to miss next earnings pretty badly. Next earnings are on July 31st (in 14 days)
Netflix (NFLX) - Bearish Earnings Options Action TradeOn Friday's Options Action, the crew analyzed the performance of Netflix (NFLX) stock. NFLX has recently broken out to the upside of a 10 year ascending wedge formation, which is extremely bullish. That bullish trend has however turned parabolic, which suggests that there are greater risks to the downside and primed for a possible correction. Coupled with a double top formation and earnings this week, the stock would need a signifcant beat to continue it's bullish trend. Expecting NFLX to possibly pull back on earnings, Michael Khouw suggests buying an Aug 350/370/395 Put Butterfly for a $5.00 Debit. As of Friday's close, this spread is trading at $5.00.
We've structured this trade in OptionsPlay so you can analyze and view this trade along with the supporting technical chart at your convenience.
View this OptionsPlay on AXP - app.optionsplay.com
Cost: $500
Max Reward: $2,000
Max Risk: $500
POP: 26.45%
B/E: $350.00, $390.00,
Days to Expiry: 33
Micron Tech (MU) – Bearish Options Action Earnings TradeOn Friday's Options Action, the crew analyzed the performance of the semiconductor sector. Semis have reached it's dot-com peak while underperforming the technology sector over the past few months. Micron reports earnings next week and recently failed to make a new high while underperforming the tech sector. Coupled with Micron's sell-off after last quarter's earnings beat suggests another move lower on earnings. Expecting MU to trade lower, Michael Khouw suggests buying a July 57.5/50 Put Vertical for a $2.70 Debit. As of Friday's close, this option is trading at $2.42.
We've structured this trade in OptionsPlay so you can analyze and view this trade along with the supporting technical chart at your convenience. You can also view the Options Action's video by clicking on the following link: MU Options Action
View this OptionsPlay on MU - app.optionsplay.com
Cost: $242
Max Reward: $508
Max Risk: $242
POP: 39.75%
Breakeven: $55.08
Days to Expiry: 32
Short Position in HOG This morning as I was running through my trend following screener, I found Harley Davidson. What I saw was not good. After reporting an extremely disappointing earnings seasons, HOG started its downfall yesterday. It's interesting because for the first time I'm shorting a company that emotionally I like. This is a good learning lesson. It is helping me remove emotions completely from my trading, and I like that. On the weekly chart, this weeks candlestick bar is trending lower than the 200 MA.
I wouldn't be surprised to see some pullback from this selloff, however the earnings are indeed that badly, and on a macro perspective, I have a feeling many companies will fall the way of HOG in terms of earnings reports, but that is for a longer idea back on my website.
I entered at 55.80 and put a stop at 56. Yes its super tight, but due to my emotions before the trade, I wanted to trim my stops and I only used 0.5% of my trading capital on this trade. Trying to learn when to pare back due to emotions before the trade.
All the best,
RC