Earningsplay
GOOG - google alphabet - tonight AMC earningsGOOG
tonight AMC is the earnings report
I would stay cautios and i don't hold for those earnings, on the contrary, I may buy some puts.
There is a bearish divergence in the hourly and 1D chart.
And there is an open gap between 177-183$
So cautios is needed in here.
NFA
GOOGLE $GOOG | AD DOLLARS & AI POWER, GOOGLE'S EARNINGS Feb4'25GOOGLE NASDAQ:GOOG | AD DOLLARS & AI POWER, GOOGLE'S EARNINGS ALPHABET'S EARNINGS Feb4'25
Google Zones:
Google BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $199.00 - $215.00
Google DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $193.50 - $199.00
Google SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $180.00 - $193.50
Google Trends:
Google Weekly Trend: Bullish
Google Daily Trend: Bullish
Google 4H Trend: Bullish
Google 1H Trend: Bullish
NASDAQ:GOOG earnings are set for Tuesday, Feb 4 (post-market), will the earnings report fuel further upside, or is a pullback on the horizon? All of my timeframes on my indicator show bullish trends. NASDAQ:GOOG has been in a strong uptrend since early December, gaining ~15% since Dec 9. Leading up to earnings, price formed an ascending pattern, breaking out past resistance on Jan 30. My bullish zone projects a ~6% upside, while the bearish zone mirrors this range.
I am linking my previous NASDAQ:GOOG analysis, from nearly a year ago.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Starbucks is attempting to break above 108!NASDAQ:SBUX is looking at a potential break to the upside after the stock forms a rounding bottom at the lower gap support of 89.22. Ichimoku has formed a three-bullish golden crossover and momentum is seen returning to the upside.
Directional movement index is supporting the bullish strength and Volume is in a healthy expansion.
Should there be any correction, the next support is at 93.88
SBUX LONG 28TH JAN 2025 READ NOTESSBUX is looking good here at current price with a clear price action.
I will go long here. When ever I am trading at current price then we need to understand that it would be a riskier trade comparing it to a regular trade. It can come back to $92 if it does not go up from here
Do not blindly follow anyone without understanding the risk involved.
NOTE:RISK MANAGED & I WILL GO LONG
Earnings Season Playbook: What Traders Should Know to Stay Ahead🏈 It’s Earnings Season — Game On
Earnings season is the market’s quarterly equivalent of the Super Bowl (with just as much action) or the Oscars (minus the red carpet but with just as much drama). Every three months or so (every quarter), companies parade their financial performances, guiding traders and investors through a rollercoaster of beats, misses, and that classic "in line with expectations" snooze-fest.
It’s exciting, nerve-wracking, and, if played right, potentially profitable. So, how do you navigate this high-stakes quarterly event? With a solid playbook and a lot less stress than you might think.
🌀 Know When Things Kick Off
Timing is everything. Earnings reports trickle in on a quarterly basis and are usually released after the regular trading session (for the most part) or before the opening bell (for the banks, mostly).
Having a scheduled earnings calendar means that traders have enough time to digest the numbers — or panic — before the next batch of updates. So make sure you keep an eye on the earnings calendar — you don’t want to be caught holding ill-fated shares if Tesla TSLA announces its profit margins have shrunk because of that quirky Cybertruck, right? Preparation here means knowing who’s reporting, when, and what the expectations are.
📝 Read Between the (Income Statement) Lines
Earnings reports are more than just numbers. Of course, revenue and EPS (earnings per share) are the headliners, but the juicy details often lurk in the fine print. Look out for annualized revenue growth (or shrinkage), profit margins, and forward-looking guidance.
If a company beats earnings but lowers its full-year forecast, it’s like winning the lottery but learning half your prize is in Monopoly money. Market-fluent traders dig deep and connect the dots rather than reacting to headlines.
💡 Forward-Looking Projections: The Market’s Guiding Light
Forward projections or guidance is among the most powerful tools companies use to set the tone. A quarterly performance is old news by the time it’s reported; traders want to know what’s next.
Positive guidance can send stocks soaring, while cautious language can sink even the strongest performers. For example, if a tech company beats earnings but announces reduced hiring or slower revenue growth projections, brace for turbulence. Think of guidance as the “what’s next” teaser for a Netflix NFLX series you can’t stop binging.
Btw, Netflix really outworked everyone in the last quarter.
☎️ Earnings Calls: Raw Market Reactions
Earnings calls are where the magic — or chaos — happens. CEOs and CFOs are tasked with selling their story to analysts and investors, balancing optimism with realism. Listeners keep an ear out for key phrases like … you know it … “AI,” “generative AI” and “AI data centers”.
It’s also where you’ll catch nuggets about new projects, market conditions, and management’s confidence—or lack thereof. Pro tip: Look for a transcript if the financial jargon on live calls makes you feel like you need subtitles.
🎡 The Volatility Playground: Trading Earnings Gaps
Earnings season is a volatility wonderland. Stocks can gap up or down significantly in reaction to results, creating opportunities for savvy traders. Trading these gaps requires a blend of technical analysis and fast decision-making.
Did the stock gap down despite a solid earnings beat? That might be a buy-the-dip moment. Conversely, a massive gap up can shout overbought. The trick is understanding the context of the move — is it justified, or is it speculative?
🐏 Avoid the Herd Mentality (or at Least Try to)
Earnings season brings out the FOMO. Traders see a stock soaring post-earnings and rush in, only to get burned when the euphoria fizzles. It’s tempting to follow the herd, but disciplined traders stay cautious.
Always ask: is this stock moving on fundamentals, or is it riding a hype wave? If it’s the latter, step back and let the dust settle — the market loves to overcorrect.
🖼️ Sector Trends: The Bigger Picture Matters
Earnings season isn’t just about individual stocks; it’s a pulse check on entire sectors. If a major bank reports a sharp jump in profits, it’s a bullish sign for the financial sector (yes, we’re talking about JPMorgan’s JPM latest quarterly update ).
Similarly, a blockbuster quarter from a tech titan might lift the entire tech space. By keeping an eye on sector trends, traders can spot opportunities and avoid pitfalls. Think of it as reading the room before making your move.
🎮 Play the Long Game
Earnings season isn’t just for day traders. Long-term investors can use it to reassess their positions and look for entry points. If a company misses earnings due to short-term challenges but maintains strong fundamentals, it might be a buying opportunity.
On the flip side, a stock riding high on hype but lacking substance could be a signal to exit. Patience pays off, especially when everyone else is chasing the next shiny object.
✍️ Wrapping It Up: Stay Sharp, Stay Informed
Earnings season is as unpredictable as the plot twists in Succession. But with the right preparation and mindset, it’s also a goldmine of opportunities. Do your homework, keep your emotions in check, and don’t be afraid to sit out if the setup doesn’t feel right.
So grab your coffee (or tea, no judgment), fire up your TradingView account, and get ready for the financial fireworks.
$ELV Earnings Preview: Oversold Potential + Key Metrics AheadEarnings Estimates: Analysts forecast an EPS of $3.82 for the upcoming quarter, indicating a 32% year-over-year decline. Revenue is projected at $44.67 billion, a 5.2% increase from the same period last year.
Oversold Potential: With an oversold score of 59%, NYSE:ELV appears attractive for accumulation.
PEG Ratio: The PEG ratio stands at -0.77, suggesting undervaluation despite negative growth.
Valuation Metrics: A forward P/E of 11.03, lower than the trailing P/E of 14.14, indicates potential undervaluation.
Revenue Growth: Positive quarterly revenue growth estimates point to resilient performance.
In the previous quarter, Elevance reported an EPS of $8.37, missing the consensus estimate of $9.66, but achieved a 5.3% year-over-year revenue increase to $44.72 billion.
Guidance: In the previous quarter, Elevance Health revised its full-year 2024 adjusted EPS guidance downward to approximately $33, down from the prior estimate of $37.20, due to challenges in its Medicaid business.
Despite these hurdles, Elevance's diversified portfolio and strategic initiatives position it for potential growth.
Stock Market Logic Series #11If you are not adding the pre-and-after-hours of trading on your chart, you don't actually see the full picture of your trading analysis.
A lot of times, the market makers will push the price on the pre/after-hours times on a light volume, and will define the true low or high of the day, where you could have gotten inside with a much better price and stop placement, so when the trading hours starts, you don't feel lost that you don't have a close risk point to put your stop at.
Also, in those outside-hours, you can clearly see a much more sensible picture where the trendlines are much more clear and it is clear what the price is doing.
Also, I don't even talk about when EARNINGS are happening... and there is a high chance for gap to happen in one direction or the other.
After a gap happens, if you only look on the trading hours, you have only the information of the first 5 min of the day so you have some estimation of what could be the high or low of the day, but looking at the pre-market you could see what are the possible true high or low of the day, which is completely different.
Also, after a gap happens, your indicators are "wrong", since they miss information.
As you go into a higher frame this becomes less important, but still... some crazy huge moves start in the pre/after-hours and the price just never comes back, it just flies to the moon. So why not position yourself at a better price with better stop placement?
The logic behind it, is that if BIG money wants a stock badly... he will buy it whenever it is possible and available before the other BIG money will snatch it from it...
Look how clear price action looks in this chart:
AVGO LOOKING BULLISH DEC 12 2024AVGO is looking very good to go long at cmp. If you do understand the risk then you can go ahead and trade. If you don't understand the risk of a breakout then you should stay out of it.
Do not trade options at all
I am long here at current price and expectation is a green candle.
$AI earnings play with 4hr chart analysis NYSE:AI has been in a downtrend since the middle of June '23. Over the last 3 weeks we have seen it breakout of the down trend with a massive bull flag. If you look at the longer time frames you'll see bull flags on the 1hr, 4hr, D, and W. It has clearly respected the channel, bouncing off resistance and support levels. Although earnings can mitigate all technical analysis I believe we have solid upside toward that $48- $50 dollar price range. We can easily range trade most of Monday with earnings looming over head. If we do, it will potentially complete yet another Bull Flag (outlined with the circle on support line) and break toward the upside again for a gap fill towards the PT I laid out. Again, these are just my thoughts and by no means financial advice.
Zscaler Earnings BREAKOUT Inbound? 67% UpsideEarnings Monday: Zscaler - NASDAQ:ZS 💻
A huge name within the cybersecurity space, this growth beast is reporting earnings on Monday and has beaten earning projections over 24x in a row! They clearly know how to play the game that is Wall Street. Will the streak continue?
-Cup with handle forming as we speak. $265 is the BO area. 📏$445 - 67% Upside
-Bull Flag breakout with successful retest.📏$300
-H5 Indicator is Green
-Williams Consolidation Box is thriving
-Launching off AVP Shelf
The sector is red hot with MEH quarters from the Cybersecurity leaders in NASDAQ:CRWD NASDAQ:PANW so if Zscaler can come in and knock some socks off then they will fly to $300 faster than you can say "What is a Zscaler?"
NFA #CyberSecurity
NVIDIA $NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $148.75 - $165.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $138.00 - $148.75
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $118.25 - $138.00
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bullish
NASDAQ:NVDA reports earnings today, these are the areas that I will look for significant price movement at. The market is anticipating around an 8.5% move, roughly an $11.50 move in either direction, based on ATM option prices, or an 11%-12% move, roughly $16.50 move in either direction, based on volatility calculations.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, spy, sp500, s&p, fed, federalreserve, fedrate, fedratecut, interestrate, jeromepowell, fedchair, 50bps, volatile, volatility, nvidia, nvidiapricetarget, nvdatrend, nvidiatrend, nvdasetup, nvidialongs, nvidiashorts,
Selling Opportunity setup -NVDAIn general me and my brother, we are long on NVDA, but since we noticed multiple red flags, we believe that in the short term there are more odds in favor of a correction than a continuation. We take the upcoming earnings as a trading event and we access the risks versus the potential upside return.
Our trading system gave us a signal for a long entry on the open of 19 November 2024.
We will now show you the red flags:
#1 Pattern similarity
Feels like we traded this pattern before, see the current pattern of Nvidia VERSUS an old pattern of the SPY:
You can clearly see, that there was a correction and a long sideway action, then the price did a NEW HIGH on a small upward channel of higher highs and higher lows.
#2 Not the right volume pattern
You would expect that when the price is rising and makes a new local highs, the volume will increase on the upside, but there is a rise on shrinking volume. Also most of the relative large volume is on the red bars down on the selling side.
Let us do the following thought experiment, if a small edge fund wants to book profit on NVDA which I am sure such an edge fund exists since we are at all new time highs, they would put sell orders so a big edge fund will fill them and they will book a profit. This should be manifested as a large spike in volume, especially when the stock reached a new all-time high twice. But we did not see any spike in volume!
This means as Jesse Livermore liked to put it, the stock is not acting right ! We wanted to see Nvidia making a new high on large volume and push forward to $180 as analysts forecast, but it didn't.
We suspect that the rising in price, is a retail activity being allowed by the puppet master, so the puppet master could sell out Nvidia as high as he can. Hence he is the Master, and the public is the puppet. They are being played to believe that Nvidia will get to $180 right now.
Somehow we feel it's a red flag, that NO VOLUME is entering the market on a rising price. This COULD happen in a case where all the market and public are so bullish on Nvidia that everyone just lifted up all their sell limit orders to $160 plus, so this explains the non existance of volume. However, the odds are not in favour of this behavior since it is not normal human behavior of profit taking.
#3 No shakeout of the public
Previously the market shaked out all the non believers, but now, they just let the stock price chip its way up with higher highs and higher lows to reach $150 but not break it? ... No stop loss hunting to get liquidity from the market? looks suspicious.
#4 Options Chain Large Size on the long side (calls)
At first we wanted to buy options to the long side, but since we saw we were less likely to profit from it since IV (Implied volatility) is 100%+ it made the options prices too expensive, and no room for a reasonable profit. The day after earnings, the IV will drop dramatically and we saw in our indicator that it is a losing bet UNLESS it will actually reach $180 after earnings is released and we are skeptical about it.
See the options volume leaders:
You can clearly see that Nvidia is a leader of sold call options above $150 (open interest).
I don't know if you read the options book, but statistically most options end up worthless...
This is how the market makers make their money...
and it is profitable... to collapse the price of the stock... by selling hardly the stock... so all those options will end up worthless...
Because it is PROFITABLE to make them worthless, we somehow find it hard to believe they will let all those options become at the money by a price jump to $180 right now as analysts say it expects to go. Because this means they will lose lots of money on those sold OUT OF THE MONEY options.
There are substantially more amounts of Calls than Puts. (1.61 ratio).
The volume of options is crazy, this is serious money.
The options in the interesting prices ($150 for example) are 4 times larger calls than puts.
There could be a possibility that if the market sentiment of Nvidia is so bullish that they can't sell the stock down, they will have no choice but to edge themselves, and buy the stock itself which will ultimately drive the price of Nvidia up. We estimate this low in likelihood, given recent other earnings that pushed the stock prices down when the earnings are released after hours.
So what can you expect next?
You can expect this for sure:
If the post-earning movement will be to the upside, your portfolio of other stocks (the market) will not gain the same amount of return.
If the post-earning movement will be to the downside, since all the indexes will get hurt (due to high weight of NVIDIA), the whole market will get HURT, so NVIDIA loss will be reflected also in other stocks in your portfolio.
THE SELLING SETUP is to wait for NVIDIA to crush on earnings so it will crush the market, and then it is the happiest day for DAY TRADING ! to the short side...
Since, the odds for short on the post-earning day, are very high, and it is like a present from the market, since you can prepare yourself to it by waiting for the money to be on the floor, so you just pick it up.
Ahead of $NYSE:ANF EarningsThere is an unfinished Bullish flag that formed in April and earnings may be the spark needed to propel the price to the $210 target.
NYSE:ANF may be breaking out of a wedge pattern, with the price gapping up and outside of the wedge today.
Earnings are reported on Tuesday ahead of the market open.
My plan is to open a position IF the stock remain above the wedge during Monday's trading.
GOOGLE: Where are they going after earnings? Let's talk about itWHERE WILL GOOGLE GO AFTER THEY REPORT EARNINGS ON TUESDAY?!
NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL
In this video, we will review 3 key items that give us the best probability of predicting where they will go.
1⃣ See if it meets my "High Five Setup" trade strategy
2⃣ Why it's BUY according to my Valuation Metric Tool (6/6 score) I WANT A DIP!
3⃣ Look aHEAD to find out 👇
Video analysis 4/5. Stay tuned!🔔
Like ❤️ Follow 🤳 Share 🔂
Is this MAG7 name finally going to play catchup to its siblings? Drop a comment below.
Not financial advice.
$BABA Long Ahead Of EarningsNYSE:BABA will have earnings soon and I think it will execute a breakout towards the indicated targets.
I would consider purchasing the 110 Calls with an expiration date of 2025-2-21, for a premium of approximately $3.30. Good time to buy call options!
(Credit for contract idea @TopgOptions)