Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL) Dips 16% On Earnings ReportMarvell Technology, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) faced a sharp 16% decline in premarket trading on Thursday following the release of its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report. While the semiconductor giant exceeded Wall Street’s expectations on both revenue and earnings per share (EPS), investor sentiment soured due to an uninspiring outlook.
Strong Growth, Weak Guidance
Despite the stock's decline, Marvell delivered solid earnings results for Q4:
- Revenue: $1.82 billion (+27% YoY), surpassing analyst consensus.
- Adjusted EPS: $0.60 per share, up from $0.46 a year ago.
- Data Center Segment: Revenue surged 78% YoY to $1.37 billion, reflecting strong AI infrastructure demand.
However, the market’s reaction was driven by Marvell’s fiscal Q1 guidance, which projected:
- Revenue of $1.875 billion, within analysts' expectations but lacking significant upside.
- Adjusted EPS forecast of $0.56 - $0.66, failing to excite investors anticipating a stronger AI-driven catalyst.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:MRVL now trades below key moving averages, reinforcing a bearish short-term trend. The stock’s RSI (Relative Strength Index) currently sits at 38, signaling weakness but not yet oversold territory, suggesting sellers may still have control.
Earningsplay
Dell Stock Under Pressure as AI Costs Weigh on MarginsShares of Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL) slipped in premarket trading following the company’s latest earnings report, which signaled potential margin compression in its fiscal 2026 outlook. The decline comes despite robust AI server growth projections, highlighting a complex landscape of opportunities and challenges for the tech giant.
Margin Compression and Tariff Uncertainty Weigh on Sentiment
Dell's financial outlook raised investor concerns as the company forecasted a 100 basis-point decline in adjusted gross margins for fiscal year 2026. This pressure stems largely from rising costs associated with AI server expansion and soft PC demand, which continues to be a headwind.
AI Growth Provides a Silver Lining
Despite the margin headwinds, Dell remains a major player in the AI infrastructure space, forecasting an impressive 53% year-over-year surge in AI server shipments to $15 billion.
Earnings Beat But Revenue Miss
For the fourth quarter, Dell reported:
- Adjusted EPS of $2.68, exceeding estimates of $2.53 per share.
- Revenue of $23.93 billion, slightly below the expected $24.56 billion.
- Forecasted Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.65, below analyst estimates of $1.83.
- Projected revenue between $22.5 billion and $23.5 billion, missing expectations of $23.72 billion.
- Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS expected to be $9.30**, slightly above consensus at $9.29.
Technical Outlook
NYSE:DELL stock closed down 6.26% in Thursday’s session and extended losses in Friday’s premarket trading, currently down 2.23%. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 41.16, reflecting a weak technical setup.
If the post-earnings sentiment worsens, Dell’s 1-month low could serve as a critical support pivot. Conversely, a break above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level could signal a bullish reversal, paving the way for a potential rebound.
NVIDIA's Momentum Analysis: Strong Fundamentals & TechnicalsUnpacking NVIDIA's powerful Q4 2025 performance with record revenue of $39.3B (up 78% YoY) and explosive Data Center growth of 93%. Technical analysis reveals strong support at the 50-day MA ($130-$134) with resistance at the all-time high ($153.13). Recent price action shows bullish momentum with key technical indicators pointing to continued strength. Essential viewing for investors navigating NVIDIA's post-earnings trajectory.
02/26 Special GEX Outlook: NVDA Earnings, GEX LevelsNVDA Earnings Announcement 🔥
NVIDIA reports earnings today, after market close, and this release could create significant movement. Let’s dive right into the charts and see what the technicals are telling us!
With earnings so close, I typically look only at the nearest expiration, which in this case is 02/28 (Friday).
The implied move (IV) is around 10%, or approximately 12 points in either direction. That’s what the market has priced in for this binary event.
Key Observations
The price is hovering around the Transition Zone and very close to the HVL (High Volume Level) around 130–132.
This suggests the market maker is trying to remain delta-neutral leading into earnings. Once the report hits, expect potential volatility on Wall Street! 🚀
GEX Levels for Friday
🔴 Bearish Scenario
The bottom of the Transition Zone is at 126.
If price drops below 126, the next major put support is at 120 and extends to 115 (a negative gamma squeeze zone).
In other words, a breach of 126 could lead to a quick slide down to 120.
🟢Bullish Scenario
Major call resistance stands at 150, with a secondary call wall at 145.
Above 133 (top of the Transition Zone), calls dominate, meaning the path to 145–150 could open up if we break above the HVL.
Longer-Term Perspective 📊
We’re still in an overall uptrend, but history shows that even with positive surprises on 2 out of the last 4 earnings calls, the market had already priced in those expectations—often leading to a sell-the-news reaction.
I do not recommend trading right before the earnings with a binary mindset. It’s like walking into a casino and putting all your chips on red or black—it’s pure gamble! 🎰
Call pricing skew has been on a downward trend since DeepSeek (likely referencing a volatility event), indicating that call butterflies might not be as attractive on NVDA now as they were in the past few weeks.
Fundamental Analysis 💡
NVIDIA is a hype stock, much like TSLA was a few years back. Its current price has factored in a lot of the future potential.
Based on FastGraphs and other valuation tools, NVDA 1.44%↑ seems overpriced relative to its underlying performance.
A correction might bring it closer to fair value (the “green zone”), like it did in October 2022.
Until then, I’m not considering it for a 5+ year long-term investment—no matter what the short-term price action is.
Conclusion & Post-Earnings Strategy 👉
We simply don’t know which direction NVDA will move after earnings.
Typically, implied volatility (IV) expands before earnings (~90% of the time) and collapses for the nearest expiration immediately afterward.
Even IV on farther-dated expirations can continue to drift lower for a week or two post-earnings.
My Plan
Since I haven’t opened a time spread trade, I’m focusing on post-earnings setups.
If NVDA makes a huge move (breaking out of the 120–150 range), I’ll likely wait at least one more day before placing any new position to let open interest (OI) restructure.
April expirations will be more interesting for me after the dust settles.
$NVDA Earnings SetupNASDAQ:NVDA
Nvidia needs to absolutely dominate the market with both earnings and guidance. Last time they beat by 10% and sold off. Right now is a very difficult time in the market. Many tech companies are beating earnings, then selling off. Shay expects Nvidia to report strong earnings, however, he sees Nvidia having a pullback quarter but the timing is uncertain. As long as it holds the 200 MA, he remains in position. Nvidia has cemented its position in the AI and quantum computing thematics, with its CUDA platform and NVDL Link being essential for future workloads. Doubt remains though about lowered AI cloud workloads due to compute restraints. Demand is still way higher than supply, but questions remain surrounding easing of supply constraints and whether Nvidia has another leg left for exponential growth.
Here are our key levels to watch through earnings:
Under bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $114.
Over bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $140.
Bullish Bat on APLD?Beyond the great trade setup here, I'll mention that APLD is NVDA's 2nd largest holdings on their books. Let's hope that NVDA earrnings report shows they haven't sold and maybe that'll help this little engine that could. What's your thoughts? Do you think that APLD and its market partic NASDAQ:APLD NASDAQ:APLD ipants are going to respect levels and let this Bat fly?
Allegion (NYSE: $ALLE) Prepares for Q4 Earnings: Will It Break?Allegion plc (NYSE: ALLE), a key player in the security hardware industry, is set to announce its Q4 earnings today before the market opens. The stock has gained 1.7% in premarket trading, reflecting cautious optimism from investors. With expectations of a 4.5% year-over-year revenue increase to $937.9 million and adjusted earnings of $1.75 per share, the question remains: will Allegion meet expectations or face another revenue miss?
Steady Growth Amid Mixed Performance
Last quarter, Allegion met revenue expectations, posting $967.1 million in sales, a 5.4% YoY increase. However, the company slightly missed organic revenue estimates despite surpassing full-year EPS projections. Over the last two years, Allegion has fallen short of Wall Street’s revenue expectations three times, adding an element of uncertainty heading into today’s report.
Comparing Allegion to its peers in the electrical systems sector, LSI reported a significant 35.5% revenue surge, beating estimates by 14.3%, while Vertiv grew 25.8%, exceeding expectations by 8.8%. Despite these positive trends, the sector has underperformed recently, with an average stock decline of 4.6% over the past month, and Allegion itself dropping 1.2% in the same period.
The broader market landscape in 2024 has been favorable. The Federal Reserve successfully controlled inflation without triggering a recession, leading to a "soft landing." Additionally, the election of Donald Trump in November 2024 has fueled market momentum. However, electrical systems stocks have lagged, making Allegion’s upcoming earnings report crucial for its near-term trajectory.
Technical Analysis
Currently, ALLE is up 1.95% in Tuesday’s premarket trading. The stock’s RSI stands at 54.83, indicating neutral momentum, while trading volume continues to rise ahead of earnings. If Allegion delivers strong Q4 results, it could break above its one-month high, which currently acts as a resistance zone.
On the downside, a negative earnings report could trigger a retracement toward the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. The direction of ALLE’s movement will largely depend on whether it can surpass investor expectations or confirm concerns about its revenue consistency.
What’s Next for ALLE?
With analysts maintaining stable estimates and market conditions favoring growth stocks, Allegion’s Q4 results will play a key role in determining its short-term price action. A bullish breakout could propel it towards the analyst target of $143.75, while a miss may lead to further downside. Investors should watch today’s earnings closely to gauge the stock’s next major move.
TRIP at a Make-or-Break Moment: Reversal Incoming?TRIP is currently testing a major descending trendline resistance around $18.85-$19.00, a critical level that could determine its next move. If price breaks and holds above this resistance, it may trigger a shift in trend, with the next key target at $27.15. However, failure to break out could result in a pullback to the $16.00-$17.00 support zone. The increasing volume suggests renewed interest, but the stock remains in a downtrend until proven otherwise. If momentum weakens here, a potential retest of lower supports near $12.00 could occur. This is a pivotal moment—either TRIP breaks out and signals strength, or it remains trapped within its multi-year downtrend.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve risk, and independent research or consultation with a professional is recommended before making any financial decisions.
Coca-Cola To Report Q4 Earnings Today Ahead of Market OpenCan the Beverage Giant Sustain Its Momentum?
Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) is set to report its fourth-quarter earnings results on Tuesday, February 11,2025 ahead of the market open. Investors and traders are closely watching the stock, which has already shown premarket strength, rising 0.20% early Tuesday morning. With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 60.84, market participants are anticipating a potential bullish continuation, provided earnings results meet or exceed expectations.
Strong Performance in 2023
Coca-Cola, a global leader in the beverage industry, has continued to demonstrate resilience despite economic uncertainties. In 2023, the company reported $45.75 billion in revenue, marking a 6.39% increase from the previous year’s $43 billion. Earnings also saw an impressive 12.28% growth, reaching $10.71 billion. This performance underscores Coca-Cola’s ability to maintain steady growth through product diversification and strategic market positioning.
Analysts remain optimistic about the stock, with 17 analysts giving KO a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The 12-month price target of $72.18 suggests a potential 11.82% upside from its latest price, reinforcing bullish sentiment ahead of the earnings report.
Technical Analysis
As of Tuesday’s premarket session, NYSE:KO is trending upwards, with its price hovering near $65, a key pivot and resistance level. Breaking this barrier could trigger a bullish rally, potentially pushing KO toward higher price targets in the coming weeks.
However, if earnings disappoint, a retracement may be in play, with immediate support aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $63. This level could serve as a critical point for a potential rebound, should selling pressure emerge following the earnings announcement.
What to Expect Post-Earnings
A strong earnings beat could propel KO further into bullish territory, confirming its upward trajectory and attracting more institutional interest. On the flip side, weaker-than-expected results may lead to a temporary pullback, offering a potential buying opportunity at key support levels.
$SHOP short idea (once again) - In advance of Earnings
Hi everyone,
I'm once again back to short NYSE:SHOP ..
It is not because I don't believe in the company, because I really do, but just like the first time,
I am targeting massive FVGs made by huge gaps in the chart as TPs, and utilizing an improved version of the first pattern of Earnings.
Just to summarise it so that everyone can understand it without having to go back to the first published idea, I've noticed how the Shopify stock tends to follow a certain pattern of buys and sells regardless of the results of Earnings.. now, I don't know if this is caused by buy backs or internal company stock operations or some other cause, but I've simply seen how it tends to alternate between buy and sell, and when, for example, for 2 earnings in a row a buy happens (the stocks trends up) then it is followed by an equal amount of sells (so 2 down trends).
Now.... could this just be odds and for the last 4 years this was just randomized and ended up doing exactly this? Idk maybe, but I'm not a genius in a lamp, so I'm speculating.
All I know is that:
- there are 2 massive gaps in the chart, worse than the last time,
- price is currently struggling to head higher (perhaps just waiting for Earnings to choose direction),
- we have just terminated one of those double down events where 2 selling earnings happened and right after 2 buy earnings happened,
Now... there are 2 ways to approach this, and these are the following:
1- The first method is to try and "predict" the top of the market by selling 3 days before of earnings just like the first time and hope for the down trend call to be true;
(something like this )
2- Actually wait till earnings day comes and wait for the 1d candle of the earnings day itself to close and tell if it was either a bullish or a bearish one and from the next day, start either buying or selling depending on the trend.
(something like this )
If you choose the latter, then you don't really have to worry about "predicting" the market and all you got to do is develop a entry strategy, you could either buy the dip/sell the top (depending on the trend of the earnings' candle) so that you can get the lowest entries, or you could just enter on each candle that moves the direction of the trend you are following (so for example if the trend is bullish, enter only on bullish candles close to follow your bias).
I'll post a follow up of the last entry option as I have developed a entry strategy to do just that, with the help of my friend @D499 who condensed it into an indicator (as I can't code).
I'll post comments to this post so that I can keep up with how things proceed and perhaps if the second scenario takes place I'll Live follow up so that all of you can see the idea.
Reminder, it's just an idea ;)
GOOG - google alphabet - tonight AMC earningsGOOG
tonight AMC is the earnings report
I would stay cautios and i don't hold for those earnings, on the contrary, I may buy some puts.
There is a bearish divergence in the hourly and 1D chart.
And there is an open gap between 177-183$
So cautios is needed in here.
NFA
GOOGLE $GOOG | AD DOLLARS & AI POWER, GOOGLE'S EARNINGS Feb4'25GOOGLE NASDAQ:GOOG | AD DOLLARS & AI POWER, GOOGLE'S EARNINGS ALPHABET'S EARNINGS Feb4'25
Google Zones:
Google BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $199.00 - $215.00
Google DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $193.50 - $199.00
Google SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $180.00 - $193.50
Google Trends:
Google Weekly Trend: Bullish
Google Daily Trend: Bullish
Google 4H Trend: Bullish
Google 1H Trend: Bullish
NASDAQ:GOOG earnings are set for Tuesday, Feb 4 (post-market), will the earnings report fuel further upside, or is a pullback on the horizon? All of my timeframes on my indicator show bullish trends. NASDAQ:GOOG has been in a strong uptrend since early December, gaining ~15% since Dec 9. Leading up to earnings, price formed an ascending pattern, breaking out past resistance on Jan 30. My bullish zone projects a ~6% upside, while the bearish zone mirrors this range.
I am linking my previous NASDAQ:GOOG analysis, from nearly a year ago.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Starbucks is attempting to break above 108!NASDAQ:SBUX is looking at a potential break to the upside after the stock forms a rounding bottom at the lower gap support of 89.22. Ichimoku has formed a three-bullish golden crossover and momentum is seen returning to the upside.
Directional movement index is supporting the bullish strength and Volume is in a healthy expansion.
Should there be any correction, the next support is at 93.88
SBUX LONG 28TH JAN 2025 READ NOTESSBUX is looking good here at current price with a clear price action.
I will go long here. When ever I am trading at current price then we need to understand that it would be a riskier trade comparing it to a regular trade. It can come back to $92 if it does not go up from here
Do not blindly follow anyone without understanding the risk involved.
NOTE:RISK MANAGED & I WILL GO LONG
Earnings Season Playbook: What Traders Should Know to Stay Ahead🏈 It’s Earnings Season — Game On
Earnings season is the market’s quarterly equivalent of the Super Bowl (with just as much action) or the Oscars (minus the red carpet but with just as much drama). Every three months or so (every quarter), companies parade their financial performances, guiding traders and investors through a rollercoaster of beats, misses, and that classic "in line with expectations" snooze-fest.
It’s exciting, nerve-wracking, and, if played right, potentially profitable. So, how do you navigate this high-stakes quarterly event? With a solid playbook and a lot less stress than you might think.
🌀 Know When Things Kick Off
Timing is everything. Earnings reports trickle in on a quarterly basis and are usually released after the regular trading session (for the most part) or before the opening bell (for the banks, mostly).
Having a scheduled earnings calendar means that traders have enough time to digest the numbers — or panic — before the next batch of updates. So make sure you keep an eye on the earnings calendar — you don’t want to be caught holding ill-fated shares if Tesla TSLA announces its profit margins have shrunk because of that quirky Cybertruck, right? Preparation here means knowing who’s reporting, when, and what the expectations are.
📝 Read Between the (Income Statement) Lines
Earnings reports are more than just numbers. Of course, revenue and EPS (earnings per share) are the headliners, but the juicy details often lurk in the fine print. Look out for annualized revenue growth (or shrinkage), profit margins, and forward-looking guidance.
If a company beats earnings but lowers its full-year forecast, it’s like winning the lottery but learning half your prize is in Monopoly money. Market-fluent traders dig deep and connect the dots rather than reacting to headlines.
💡 Forward-Looking Projections: The Market’s Guiding Light
Forward projections or guidance is among the most powerful tools companies use to set the tone. A quarterly performance is old news by the time it’s reported; traders want to know what’s next.
Positive guidance can send stocks soaring, while cautious language can sink even the strongest performers. For example, if a tech company beats earnings but announces reduced hiring or slower revenue growth projections, brace for turbulence. Think of guidance as the “what’s next” teaser for a Netflix NFLX series you can’t stop binging.
Btw, Netflix really outworked everyone in the last quarter.
☎️ Earnings Calls: Raw Market Reactions
Earnings calls are where the magic — or chaos — happens. CEOs and CFOs are tasked with selling their story to analysts and investors, balancing optimism with realism. Listeners keep an ear out for key phrases like … you know it … “AI,” “generative AI” and “AI data centers”.
It’s also where you’ll catch nuggets about new projects, market conditions, and management’s confidence—or lack thereof. Pro tip: Look for a transcript if the financial jargon on live calls makes you feel like you need subtitles.
🎡 The Volatility Playground: Trading Earnings Gaps
Earnings season is a volatility wonderland. Stocks can gap up or down significantly in reaction to results, creating opportunities for savvy traders. Trading these gaps requires a blend of technical analysis and fast decision-making.
Did the stock gap down despite a solid earnings beat? That might be a buy-the-dip moment. Conversely, a massive gap up can shout overbought. The trick is understanding the context of the move — is it justified, or is it speculative?
🐏 Avoid the Herd Mentality (or at Least Try to)
Earnings season brings out the FOMO. Traders see a stock soaring post-earnings and rush in, only to get burned when the euphoria fizzles. It’s tempting to follow the herd, but disciplined traders stay cautious.
Always ask: is this stock moving on fundamentals, or is it riding a hype wave? If it’s the latter, step back and let the dust settle — the market loves to overcorrect.
🖼️ Sector Trends: The Bigger Picture Matters
Earnings season isn’t just about individual stocks; it’s a pulse check on entire sectors. If a major bank reports a sharp jump in profits, it’s a bullish sign for the financial sector (yes, we’re talking about JPMorgan’s JPM latest quarterly update ).
Similarly, a blockbuster quarter from a tech titan might lift the entire tech space. By keeping an eye on sector trends, traders can spot opportunities and avoid pitfalls. Think of it as reading the room before making your move.
🎮 Play the Long Game
Earnings season isn’t just for day traders. Long-term investors can use it to reassess their positions and look for entry points. If a company misses earnings due to short-term challenges but maintains strong fundamentals, it might be a buying opportunity.
On the flip side, a stock riding high on hype but lacking substance could be a signal to exit. Patience pays off, especially when everyone else is chasing the next shiny object.
✍️ Wrapping It Up: Stay Sharp, Stay Informed
Earnings season is as unpredictable as the plot twists in Succession. But with the right preparation and mindset, it’s also a goldmine of opportunities. Do your homework, keep your emotions in check, and don’t be afraid to sit out if the setup doesn’t feel right.
So grab your coffee (or tea, no judgment), fire up your TradingView account, and get ready for the financial fireworks.
$ELV Earnings Preview: Oversold Potential + Key Metrics AheadEarnings Estimates: Analysts forecast an EPS of $3.82 for the upcoming quarter, indicating a 32% year-over-year decline. Revenue is projected at $44.67 billion, a 5.2% increase from the same period last year.
Oversold Potential: With an oversold score of 59%, NYSE:ELV appears attractive for accumulation.
PEG Ratio: The PEG ratio stands at -0.77, suggesting undervaluation despite negative growth.
Valuation Metrics: A forward P/E of 11.03, lower than the trailing P/E of 14.14, indicates potential undervaluation.
Revenue Growth: Positive quarterly revenue growth estimates point to resilient performance.
In the previous quarter, Elevance reported an EPS of $8.37, missing the consensus estimate of $9.66, but achieved a 5.3% year-over-year revenue increase to $44.72 billion.
Guidance: In the previous quarter, Elevance Health revised its full-year 2024 adjusted EPS guidance downward to approximately $33, down from the prior estimate of $37.20, due to challenges in its Medicaid business.
Despite these hurdles, Elevance's diversified portfolio and strategic initiatives position it for potential growth.
Stock Market Logic Series #11If you are not adding the pre-and-after-hours of trading on your chart, you don't actually see the full picture of your trading analysis.
A lot of times, the market makers will push the price on the pre/after-hours times on a light volume, and will define the true low or high of the day, where you could have gotten inside with a much better price and stop placement, so when the trading hours starts, you don't feel lost that you don't have a close risk point to put your stop at.
Also, in those outside-hours, you can clearly see a much more sensible picture where the trendlines are much more clear and it is clear what the price is doing.
Also, I don't even talk about when EARNINGS are happening... and there is a high chance for gap to happen in one direction or the other.
After a gap happens, if you only look on the trading hours, you have only the information of the first 5 min of the day so you have some estimation of what could be the high or low of the day, but looking at the pre-market you could see what are the possible true high or low of the day, which is completely different.
Also, after a gap happens, your indicators are "wrong", since they miss information.
As you go into a higher frame this becomes less important, but still... some crazy huge moves start in the pre/after-hours and the price just never comes back, it just flies to the moon. So why not position yourself at a better price with better stop placement?
The logic behind it, is that if BIG money wants a stock badly... he will buy it whenever it is possible and available before the other BIG money will snatch it from it...
Look how clear price action looks in this chart: