TSLA Earnings After HoursTSLA reports earnings today after hours. QQQ is pretty overbought, but TSLA has been hammered down lately. Really interested to see what they do. I'm technically long shares, but not getting overly optimistic. Gapping down seems to be the crowded trade at the moment. We'll see after the bell!
Earningsreport
Uninspiring Technical Patterns Ahead of NFLX EarningsLike many others, NASDAQ:NFLX has shifted to a wide sideways trend ahead of its earnings report today after the close. There is no pre-earnings run here. Current volume and price trend are not patterns that inspire a good earnings surprise.
HFTs are always watching news ahead of open on high-profile stocks to get ahead of retail market orders. A gap is likely at tomorrow's open.
Decide: Buy or Sell - Netflix vs. Tesla EarningsSome analysts anticipate that Netflix's stock could reach a new 52-week high above $500 per share following the release of its fourth-quarter earnings report this Tuesday. The $506 mark is considered a target, representing the price it fell to at the beginning of 2022.
Positive sentiment towards Netflix has grown as profit estimates have been revised upward 17 times since the last earnings report. The company's revenue is expected to increase by 11% annually to $8.71 billion, driven by the introduction of a new, lower-cost, ad-supported basic subscription tier and efforts to combat illegal password-sharing.
If the forecasted revenue materializes, it will mark the highest quarterly sales total in Netflix's 17-year history, representing an 11% increase from the previous period to $8.7 billion.
However, this quarter's earnings might not live up to the company’s last earnings call, which generated a ~15% bump.
Meanwhile, Tesla's fourth-quarter update, scheduled for release on Wednesday after the close, may have a different trajectory. Tesla shares declined by 4.4% after the last earnings report, experiencing their third consecutive earnings-reaction-day selloff.
A fourth occurrence is possible, although it's also possible that the bottom is in. It will likely come down to whether investors are disappointed in their forward guidance for the first quarter of 2024
Tesla's margins are expected to face pressure due to its ongoing price-slashing strategy in recent quarters. However, this might already be factored into the current stock price.
TSLA has shown a pattern of lower highs and lower lows since the peak in July 2023, and it remains to be seen if support will materialize at its support levels of $200 and $194.
Tesla reporting this week! $TSLATesla will report as soon as this Wednesday, Jan. 24, after the market close. Personally, I don't plan any trading activity here before the report. But at the moment the stock is in a technically interesting zone.
I see a double technical pattern here - Inv. Head and Shoulders. Based on the structure of the daily chart, the price is now in a potential right shoulder (RSh) zone, which could be a good area to start a position.
Meanwhile, the entire daily structure is a right shoulder (WkRsh) for the weekly pattern, which gives the current price zone more strength.
Of course, the report could break the technical pattern, but I will be watching and waiting for one of my triggers to occur.
MSTR Evening Star Poses Whipsaw Risk"Evening stars" are not as reliable as they used to be. They occur after heavy speculation and a steep angle of ascent. A few days ahead of earnings, NASDAQ:MSTR could not break through the resistance above.
The Gap up was HFT driven. This stock has a lot of retail interest at the moment, with every eye on AI. But the selloff from last quarter's reporting season is creating resistance on the daily scales. It is a very pricey stock for this market condition and the emotional state of most investors.
MSTR is likely to gap on earnings news as there are leaks out that it is going to be a blockbuster earnings report.
Pro Trader Patterns for Swing TradingThis important exchange has been doing very well with options and futures contract sales.
NASDAQ:CME had a classic pre-earnings run up fueled by professional traders swing trading, out of a platform support level.
The retracement was only a sympathy move with retail knee-jerk reactions due to the fear around the stock market at this time, not an indication of the company's earnings report or growth potential.
The stock is not at its all-time high level yet, so it can run further before slamming into strong resistance.
On the monthly chart, it has a Double Trough on DPO, which is a strong indication for the stock's long-term cycle.
IBM: A Risky Earnings TradeNYSE:IBM Reports after the market closes today. It is probably at or near its fundamental levels even if the report is weak.
The chart shows a strong support level as the stock price is at the neck of the bottom completion level.
IBM is in a long term trading range when viewed on a long term trend. The problem is a weak CEO who has failed at reinvention and a stock that is pricey for its growth potential.
However, it has more upside potential than downside. It would take a really negative report to create a strong run down. That is not likely.
PSHI is very low so less savvy investors own almost half the outstanding shares. This means trading the earnings report is riskier.
GOOG Sympathy Move Ahead of Earnings TodayThe run down to Monday was a sympathy run. It doesn't mean that NASDAQ:GOOG is headed for a bad report. Rather, retail investors are selling ETFs or moving money out of stocks into safe havens, or other adjustments to portfolios and 401(k)s. The selling dug into the most recent weak support level.
However, NASDAQ:GOOGL has not sent out any advisor in recent weeks regarding its earnings report. Any company this size, and as a veteran company of the stock market, would warn if earnings were going to miss the retail-side analyst estimates. So this is a sympathy move merely because the retail-side selling is moving big-name companies down at this time.
If it has a great earnings report, which the previous runs suggest , then the HFTs may trigger a gap up at open tomorrow. Alphabet had improvement in its quarterly report last quarter. Yearly revenues have been up for 4 years but earnings are up and down as it invests hugely in AI.
Think Before You Short: AMZN EarningsTraders need to check weekly charts when considering selling short stocks at this time. Many times there are strong support levels close to the current sold down price action.
The weekly charts also provide more data for day and swing traders to determine the all important RUN GAIN POTENTIAL. This must be calculated before any trade to determine the Risk versus Profit Potential for that trade, regardless of whether the hold time is a few minutes or several days for swing trading.
For many stocks, the recent selling down is not due to weaker earnings expectations but due to an overall reaction to retail news regarding international conflicts, US government uncertainties and regional wars.
The key element for trading stocks short-term is to understand where support will kick in and halt a sell short trade. Understanding the functionality and the strength or weakness of a support level is crucial to attaining a high-profit trade.
It is also a factor if you are waiting on the Dark Pool Buy Zone levels for getting into the stock for a run up from support levels.
Below is a chart of AMZN, which reports earnings on Thursday this week after the market close.
It shows that support is strong near the current price level. This indicates that the Dark Pool Buy Zone is within that technical price range. Selling short is inherently higher risk as the support level is a long-term trend strong support.
Why is it so strong?
1. There is a several-week price range that held the stock up.
2. Highs are a support mechanism when the stock market is not in a long-term downtrend. ALL
traders should know that this is not a bear market. Indexes are in a Trading Range.
3. The length of the candles is significant and relevant to the strength of the support.
GS Earnings and Institutional HoldingsNYSE:GS has had a sudden huge decline in its Institutional Holdings from last quarter--a whopping 12%. That's huge. This suggests that often the selling is from Buy-Side Institutions.
Goldman Sachs has a buyback program of 30 billion dollars underway, approved end of February 2023. The Buybacks started in March and have continued until recently. I showed the buyback activity on the daily chart in this article earlier this month.
The Support from corporate buybacks poses problems for selling short. The stock is also prone to HFT triggers with frequent gapping. The first Support level is just above the 2022 lows.
The company reported earnings this morning and gapped down at open but is holding onto the sideways range it's been in for 2 weeks so far.
However, Quarterly and Annual Reports are starting to show signs of weakness as this company struggles to reinvent.
NYSE:GS is also facing loss of revenues from IPO underwriting as the NASDAQ Private Market is undermining the high income usually generated from IPOs by underwriters.
IMO, the investment banking industry is slowly becoming obsolete as DeFi, Fintech, Blockchain technologies and Crypto currencies continue to advance and erode traditional revenue streams.
Buyback Patterns: GSAs the #3 most heavily weighted stock for the TVC:DJI , NYSE:GS was one of the drivers behind the run down this week.
In February, a buyback program of 30 billion was approved. Buybacks probably commenced in March and have been boosting the price up within the trading range until recently. It may be that the buyback money has been depleted.
Goldman Sachs reports Oct 17. Revenues declined last quarter. Earnings are up and down. So probably not a great earnings report for Q3. However, the stock has support at the black line, so it doesn't have huge downside potential.
ZS Zscaler Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold ZS here:
or reentered here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ZS Zscaler prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 175usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $14.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NIO - are the fundamentals good enough?Analysts have adjusted earnings estimates and thus, an earnings beat does not always translate to good prospects for some of the businesses:
Earnings Estimate Management
From the earnings forecast by Investing above, we can note the following:
The coming EPS forecast (for the period ending 06/2023) is worse than the previous period ending 03/2023.
In fact, the EPS forecast is expected to be the worst at record -2.96 since 06/2022.
For the revenue forecast, it is expected to be lower than the previous quarter. It stands at 9.16B compared to the forecast of 11.93B from the previous quarter ending 03/2023.
This is in fact the lowest revenue forecast since 06/2022.
In the event that NIO beats both EPS & revenue forecast in the coming earnings, is the company doing better? In my opinion, it is a “NO”.
Beating such an estimate is not something to brag about as the company remains unprofitable with “falling” sales. It can be too early to call this a falling trend but the quarterly signs are there.
Conclusion
Before we embrace any content from news agencies or investing portals, let us do our due diligence.
One quarter does not define a trend and thus, looking at the business as a whole from afar can help to put some objectivity and remove the impact of seasonality. This will help to put things in a better context as we even out peaks from new launches and service offerings.
NVDA's Earnings Report: Strategic Positions to Consider Introduction:
It's time to rejoice as we dive into the exciting world of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) and explore the potential positions to consider after their recent earnings report. With the stock prices rising, let's embrace the positive vibes and strategize our moves to make the most of this profitable opportunity!
1. Riding the Momentum:
NVDA's earnings report has sent shockwaves through the market, propelling the stock prices to new heights. As traders, we can ride this momentum and capitalize on the upward trend. We can join the celebration by positioning ourselves to benefit from the stock's bullish run and potentially reap impressive profits.
1. Long-Term Growth Perspective:
NVDA has consistently proven its ability to innovate and adapt to the ever-evolving tech industry. With a strong focus on artificial intelligence (AI), gaming, and data centers, the company has positioned itself as a global leader. As the demand for these sectors continues to grow, NVDA's long-term growth prospects remain promising. Traders with a more patient approach may consider holding onto their positions, allowing them to enjoy the potential benefits of sustained growth.
2. Options Trading for Enhanced Gains:
For traders seeking a more dynamic approach, options trading can offer exciting opportunities. With NVDA's stock prices on the rise, options strategies such as buying calls or employing bullish spreads can help magnify potential gains. By leveraging these strategies, traders can amplify their profits while managing risk effectively.
3. Diversification for Stability:
While NVDA's recent earnings report has been impressive, it's always wise to maintain a diversified portfolio. By spreading our investments across different sectors, we can mitigate potential risks associated with any single stock. Consider exploring other promising companies in the tech industry or even different sectors, ensuring a well-rounded portfolio that can withstand market fluctuations.
4. Staying Informed:
As traders, staying informed is crucial for making sound investment decisions. Monitoring NVDA's news, industry trends, and quarterly reports will provide valuable insights into the company's performance. Additionally, monitoring the broader market sentiment and potential catalysts can help guide our positioning strategies effectively.
Conclusion:
With NVDA's earnings report driving its stock prices to new heights, it's an exciting time to be a trader. By capitalizing on the momentum, adopting a long-term growth perspective, exploring options trading, diversifying our portfolio, and staying informed, we can position ourselves for success and potentially reap significant profits.
Remember, trading is both an art and a science, and embracing a positive mindset while making informed decisions is the key to thriving in the market. So, let's celebrate NVDA's success and embark on this profitable journey together!
"Investors Await NVDA's Impressive Earnings PerformanceGet ready, traders! The highly anticipated earnings report from NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is just around the corner, and analysts are placing their bets on a target rise for this tech giant. If you want to make serious gains, now is the perfect time to consider going long on NVDA.
Analysts have been closely monitoring NVDA's performance, and the consensus is clear: they are expecting an earnings beat. This positive sentiment has fueled excitement among traders and for good reason. NVDA has a strong track record of delivering impressive results, and this upcoming report is expected to be no different.
With the demand for graphics processing units (GPUs) soaring, NVDA has been at the forefront of this technological revolution. NVDA's products have become indispensable in various industries, from gaming to artificial intelligence and data centers. As the world continues to rely on advanced technologies, NVDA's growth potential seems limitless.
But what does this mean for traders like you? Well, it presents an incredible opportunity to capitalize on NVDA's success. By going long on NVDA, you can potentially ride the wave of its target rise and reap the rewards.
So, how can you take advantage of this exciting opportunity? It's simple. Consider adding NVDA to your portfolio and position yourself for potential gains. With analysts betting on an earnings beat, now is the time to act.
Remember, trading involves risks, and you must do your due diligence before making investment decisions. However, with NVDA's solid fundamentals and a promising outlook, going long on this stock could be a strategic move that pays off.
Don't miss out on the potential gains that NVDA may bring. Take action now and position yourself for success. Whether you're a seasoned trader or starting NVDA, target rise is an opportunity you won't want to miss.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risks, and it's essential to consult a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
$NVDA Overextended Ahead of EarningsThe new bellwether for the semiconductor industry is reporting earnings Wednesday AMC, after the market close, which is not a good sign.
It could tumble down if even a minor negative is in that report.
The stock's trend is definitely overextended and at risk of being beyond its fundamental values.
IF NASDAQ:NVDA drops, so too will the NASDAQ:NDX and CBOE:SPX this week. NVDA is a heavy weight for these two indexes but not the Dow 30.
X United States Steel Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought X here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of X United States Steel Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 26usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.24.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Pre-Earnings Run in $UPSTNASDAQ:UPST has been running up speculatively after completing its bottom. It has mostly retail groups and smaller funds holding so that is why the stock has up and down days in an irrational trend pattern often. HFTs are in the mix regularly inspiring the speculation.
The company reports Monday of next week. Looks like Pro Traders used a swing trading earnings strategy and some took profits ahead of the report.
The stock has a low percentage of the shares held by institutions, so emotional trading candlestick patterns are problematic at times. It's important to buy and sell with the Pro Trader patterns in speculative stocks.
$APPL -Buy Opportunities - Apple Inc. ($APPL) nearing Support Trendline of its Rising Channel.
Looking for long opportunities in the short-term,
remaining positive TA speaking until the upcoming Earnings Report.
Until 3rd of August positive momentum has captured $APPL ;
(may be interreupted from Feds upcoming week Rate Hikes Decision)
SL is adjustable from here, with the nearest point being the last
Higher Low market structure,
or the previous ATH depending on your risk apetite.
Until the next one;
trade smart
TRADE SAFE
*** Note that this is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research and consult your own Financial Advisor
before considering partaking any trading activity based solely on this Idea
$TSLA -The Best to ever Race- Tesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) beat Earnings Report Date of Fiscal Quarter Q2/23 on 19th of July.
So far so good fundamentally speaking for Tesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA )
Moreover, jumping to the charts *3D(tf);
we can spot a Triangle being formed with its Apex approaching end soon.
Note how the red Trendline Resistance managed to reject the price by a lofty -12%
negative
Moving on the *Daily (tf)
short-term momentum is biased to the downside.
On the *Daily (tf) we can see a Bearish Pattern having formed (rising wedge)
which has broken to the downside with strong selling volume momentum above average.
(VRVP's POC sitting at 230-225$)
*D(tf)
SNAP Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SNAP here:
or ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and chart patterns of SNAP prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 13usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-7-28,
for a premium of approximately $1.34.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Stock Market Logic Series #6Use earnings reports to your advantage.
As I discussed in previous ideas, the big money at any given time will be entering the market or getting out of the market. Never both.
When the earnings report is good, and the stock falls down => big money used it as a good advertisement to get out.
When the earnings report is bad, and the stock goes up => big money used it as a bad advertisement to scare other people to sell him their shares, thus he gets it.
This is the logic, and this is what you would have done if you had a lot of shares to buy and sell.
Trading is a business and as such it has the same functions as regular business.
The beautiful thing about the earning of the BIG CAP stocks, is that they give you a very high probability of direction to the market indexes. This is a situation where you "know" the market is going to move a certain way. Most of the stocks will follow the index direction.
This gives you a very very good day trade opportunity.
TSLA is a big cap, so any move of her, will directly effect the indexes.
This is why it is important to be aware of the BIG CAP earnings reports.
If you monitor those earnings you will see that you can gauge with very good accuracy and confidence what the market will do on a specific day. And milk the market using a day trade technique.
I attach to you how the earnings report of TSLA which created a gap down.
Pulled all the other stocks down also.
This is not a coincidence...
Your thought process is:
- earnings report of BIG cap is out
- This will pull the market to certain direction and bias
- I "know" the bias with confidence
- Odds are in my favor this day :)
- Day trade
See the strong DOWN bias of all the stocks...
Moral of the story: You should be AWARE to the BIG CAP earnings report. It makes or breaks your day...