What you need to know to trade Twitter ahead of Thursday’s earniTwitter (NYSE:TWTR) is set to announce its first-quarter earnings results on Thursday and some analysts expect the microblogging platform to again incur losses on the back of its increased infrastructure and marketing spending amid tight competition.
Saturated market
The company, once among the most popular social media channels globally, has become old news particularly to young people with the emergence of platforms like TikTok and Snapchat (NYSE:SNAP).
Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) remains the market leader among social networking sites globally in 2022 in terms of the number of monthly active users, while Twitter has lagged far behind WhatsApp, Instagram, WeChat, TikTok, Snapchat, Telegram and Pinterest in terms of the number of users, according to data from Statista.
Stronger market competition over the past years has prompted Twitter to boost its spending on research and development, and sales and marketing over the recent years.
Losses mount
In 2021, Twitter’s R&D expenses ballooned 43% from 2020 to $1.25 billion, while sales and marketing costs surged 32% year on year to $1.18 billion. These pushed the company’s overall costs and expenses up 51% to $5.57 billion in 2021 and resulted in a net loss of $221 million for the whole year.
Still, the figure was down from a net loss of $1.14 billion in 2020 when the pandemic battered the company’s operations. For the first quarter of 2022, Twitter expects GAAP operating loss of between $225 million and $175 million, against an operating income of $52 million in the year-ago period.
Twitter also expects its quarterly revenue to range between $1.17 billion and $1.27 billion, up from $1.04 billion last year. Analysts expect the company to post a 22% jump in Q1 revenue to $1.57 billion, significantly up from the company’s targeted range. The analysts pegged Twitter’s earnings per share for Q1 at $0.33, down 13.2% from last year.
In the fourth quarter of 2021, although total ad engagements fell 12% year over year, Twitter still managed to rake in $1.41 billion in fourth-quarter ad revenue, up 22% from a year prior.
Musk’s $44 billion offer
Ahead of its earnings release on Thursday, Twitter became the subject of an acquisition offer from Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk. On Monday, the New York Times reported that Twitter is close to reaching a deal to sell itself to Musk after the latter launched an unsolicited go-private bid worth $54.20, or a total transaction value of ~$44 billion.
That figure represents a substantial premium from Twitter’s current $37 billion market value as of Friday.
Musk has made his plans for Twitter quite clear. Even before the billionaire built a 9.2% stake in the company for an estimated $2.9 billion, Musk has been vocal about how Twitter’s policies quash free speech. However, the Tesla CEO has been notorious in the past for making big market-moving stunts that lead to bigger regulatory concerns for companies that he control.
In his letter to Twitter’s board made public on Friday, Musk said "Twitter has extraordinary potential. I will unlock it.”
Earningsreport
Ignore the Noise... Recognize a Buying OpportunityAt the end of the day as long as this stays above 233.68 its a Buy.
- Bigger picture is NFLX can complete a Running Flat C wave if it stays above 233.68 (i.e. does not retrace more than 100% of wave B
- The 5 count of wave C has formed a wolfe wave with the equilibrium point slightly above where it looks like it will open today (i.e. supply = demand near 272)
- look for a bounce at open to test the equilibrium level:
If it breaks above it expect a run further to try and re-enter the wolfe channel [ Initial target 307 by May 2nd ]
If initial target is reached expect that momentum to carry it higher to test upper channel [ Intermediate Target 335 by May 24 ]
A breakout from wolfe channel will give it the setup to run Target = 475 by July 22nd . If this materializes I do not expect it to complete gap fill to 500s without undergoing a minor correction or a least consolidation first.
*** If NFLX has a sustained break below 233.68 it opens up a short opportunity - will re-eval. based on how it behaves in the 234-272 range. But subscribers, I assure you, have nothing to do with this. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Have a blessed day,
The Alpinist
What to expect with SQ stock earnings reportBlock Inc (NYSE: SQ), the point-of-sale payment provider formerly known as Square, is reporting its Q4 2022 earnings this Thursday, February 24.
What to expect with SQ stock earnings report?
The usual market dynamic of ‘good report = stock price rise’ and ‘bad report = stock price fall’ may not be entirely appropriate to expect after the report’s release.
As we have seen over the past month, a favourable earnings report does not necessarily mean that the market will respond favourably in turn. For one, when Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) reported its impressive Q4 2022 results on February 16, its stock proceeded to sell-off. As of writing, NVDA is down 12% since its earnings call as investors were all too happy to overlook its earnings beats and strong guidance for the next quarter.
On the flip side, an unfavourable report can sink SQ stock considerably more than at any time in the past. Investors have little patience for growth tech stocks at the moment, with US Federal Reserve rate hikes just around the corner and post-covid revenue surges seemingly coming to an end.
Will SQ suffer a similar fate to PYPL?
PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL), a leading competitor of Block, reported its own Q4 2021 earnings report three weeks ago, on the first day in February this year. While PYPL beat earnings expectations, its dismal guidance for Q1 2022 has helped tank the stock price 46% in 2022, YTD.
As of writing, SQ is not far off PYPL’s shocking price retreat. SQ’s stock price has lost 40% of its value, YTD.
An unfavourable report may push this loss into the 50s or even the 60s. Tech stocks dropping more than 20% in a single trading day is not unheard of this year, as you may have seen Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: FB) trim 25% (USD 230 billion) from its market cap on February 3.
Is there a buying opportunity with SQ stock?
According to several investment banks and analysts, including Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse, SeekingAlpa and MarketBeat, an even greater rout in the SQ’s share price may set investors up for a great long-term buying opportunity. SeekingAlpha and MarketBeat have price targets in the mid USD 200 range, which represent substantial upside potential.
Q3 Earnings Report Recap; TSLA, NFLX, JNJ, PGQ3 earning season is currently underway, and most high-profile companies are delivering revenue beats. Yet, Q3 revenue is not the only thing investors are watching. Investors are interested in revenue growth, customer acquisition, and pace of growth alongside the balance sheet. Inflationary and supply chain pressures that may affect the outlook of reporting companies are an additional concern for investors.
TESLA (NASDAQ: TSLA)
Reported: Wednesday, after trading
Revenue: $13.8 billion
Earnings per share: $1.86 profit per share (Non-GAAP)
Tesla’s Q3, 2021 earnings were, once again, record-setting for the Company. The Company is increasing sales and has stated it is on track to “achieve 50% average annual growth in vehicle deliveries” at a time when chip shortages are hampering other automakers ability to do so. Improving gross margins (up to 30.5%) was also a significant factor in Tesla performance in Q3.
Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX)
Reported: Tuesday, after trading
Revenue: $7.5 billion
Earnings per share: $3.19
The popularity of Netflix’s series Squid Game hadn’t completely filtered into the Company’s finances at the time of its Q3, 2021 earnings report. Yet, Netflix delivered a favourable report, with revenue coming in on par and subscriber growth beating expectations. Squid Game IP is estimated to be worth $900 million to Netflix and should help boost its Q4 earnings, which typically get a seasonal bump anyway.
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ)
Reported: Tuesday, before trading
Revenue: $23.3 billion
Earnings per share: $2.60
Johnson & Johnson’s Q3 earnings-per-share beat expectations, with revenue climbing 10.7% from the previous corresponding period. J&J increased its (bottom-end) revenue guidance for the full year from $93.8 billion – $94.6 billion to $94.1 billion to $94.6 billion. J&J noted that its Covid vaccine would be responsible for $2.5 billion at years end and $502 million of its Q3 revenue.
Proctor and Gamble (NYSE: PG)
Reported: Tuesday, before trading
Revenue: $20.3 billion
Earnings per share: $1.61
PG beat revenue estimates, increasing sales revenue by 5% over the last quarter, but expects to fall short of 2020 revenue. The consumer goods Company also noted that rising producer costs, particularly as it relates to shipping and raw commodity prices, has already had and is going to continue to have a larger-than-anticipated effect on its earnings. In response, PG has begun raising the prices of some of its premium products as a quick remedy to help offset its rising costs.
Earning Seasons continues next week:
There are plenty more juicy earning reports due next week.
Facebook, after the bell Monday
Microsoft, Alphabet, Visa, Texas Instruments, and AMD, after the bell Tuesday
Thermo Fisher Scientific, Coca-Cola, McDonald’s, and Boeing, before the bell Wednesday
Ford, after the bell Wednesday
Shopify, before the bell Thursday
Apple, Amazon, and Starbucks after the bell Thursday
REXR to continue higher!* Strong earnings quarter over quarter
* Strong up trend since inception
* Consolidated for a month after a move higher
* Retested the broken level as support with higher volume than average
Trade Idea:
* This would be a great time to enter a trade
* Or if you're looking for a discount, you can look for buying opportunities around the $61.70 area
$CASA strongest Q4 with record wireless revenueIn the fourth quarter of 2020, Casa Systems' revenue rose 7% year over year to $120.5 million. Adjusted earnings increased from $0.15 to $0.27 per diluted share. Your average Wall Street analyst would have settled for earnings of roughly $0.11 per share on sales near $107.5 million.
The company booked 26 purchase orders for 4G and 5G wireless systems in the fourth quarter, making wireless products the largest revenue generator in this period at 42% of total sales. That's a significant shift from the year-ago quarter, where cable broadband equipment accounted for a leading 48% of Casa's total sales.
Wireless sales nearly doubled in fiscal year 2020, while fixed telco network sales posted even faster growth of 150%. The laggard in Casa's portfolio these days is the cable networking segment, which CEO Jerry Guo sees as a "steady and consistent" contributor rather than a growth driver.
www.fool.com
“We had one of our strongest quarters with record wireless revenue and a healthy backlog to support our top-line growth in 2021,”
finance.yahoo.com
$JMP killer earnings $0.45 per shareJMP Group (NYSE:JMP) stock is soaring higher on Friday after releasing its earnings report for the fourth quarter of 2020 after-hours yesterday.
The most recent earnings report has JMP Group bringing in earnings $0.45 per share of on revenue of $53.62 million. Both of these are strong increases over the company’s EPS and revenue of 1 cent and $23.82 million from the same time last year.
Those positive results for the quarter are easily enough to explain why JPM stock is on the rise today. However, there’s more investors should note. It looks like the company is the target of investors looking to pump and dump it on the news. Talk on social media seems to back this idea up.
As a trader you have to understand the power of a catalyst. $JMP had killer earnings.
finance.yahoo.com
$VCRA provide outstanding Fourth Quarter 2020 Financial ResultsVocera Announces Fourth Quarter 2020 Financial Results
$VCRA Today reported total revenue of $56.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2020, an increase of 14% compared to last year.
GAAP net income of $0.1 million compared to a GAAP net loss of $(1.7) million last year
Non-GAAP net income of $9.7 million compared to $4.9 million last year
Adjusted EBITDA of $13.1 million compared to $6.9 million last year
Full-year bookings were $233.3 million, up 17% year-over-year
Deferred revenue and backlog combined of $173.9 million as of December 31, 2020, an increase of 28% over last year
Earnings per share were up 86.67% over the past year to $0.28, which beat the estimate of $0.20.
finance.yahoo.com
finance.yahoo.com
$AR hitting 52 week highs againThe fundamentals are going to be amazing for this company next week at the ER. Q4 was great but Q1 is a monster. We have bounced off 8 three separate times this week and each responded with a nice bounce. I don't see any reason for this momentum not to continue past the ER. Always make your own trades but this is by far my favorite!
Barclays Earnings go LONGBarclays earnings will push the price upwards tomorrow, they will still pay dividends even if their earnings report is weaker than expected. Expect either a straight push to the first target, or a follow along the trend line until the consolidation period is over and the big push out of the range occurs. Great long term hold especially with bullish divergence!
Look for bounce on Carnival Cruise Line in 46.50-48.10 rangeCarnival Cruise Lines has been dipping on news that one of its ships spilled 5900 gallons of gray water into the ocean at Port Canaveral. The incident doesn't actually pose any risk, however, because the EPA is not imposing any penalties. Accordingly, I expect CCL to recover soon, with a bounce in the 46.50-48.10 area.
Entertainment, leisure, and hospitality has been an extremely strong market segment for the last quarter, and CCL beat analyst estimates by over 20% on its last earnings report. The company's 4% dividend and approximately 11 P/E make it a good value even if the sector's outperformance doesn't continue in Q1, but there's no reason yet to expect a slowdown in this market segment.
AAPL Earnings Report Gap FailsAlthough Apple news claimed that the company “beat expectations,” the stock gapped up and quickly reversed, then moved down further. This is due to their Guidance for the next quarter. Many companies are able to beat the analysts’ estimates, but forecast lower for next earnings season.
Earnings season is open: bet on banksNext week starts the earnings season in the US (the second quarter of 2019). Leading US stock indices currently show historical highs, but analysts are quite skeptical about the upcoming financial results from leading companies.
According to a survey conducted by S&P Global Market Intelligence, it is expected that almost all 11 sectors of the S&P 500 index will show a decline in EPS (earnings per share ratio). For example, in the communication Services, as expected, EPS will decrease by more than 40% (expected change in Q2 EPS from year- earlier quarter), Materials sector will lose more than 20%, and even Information Technology sector is expected to show a decrease in EPS by more than 4%.
Explanations for this are as follows: a strong dollar lowers commodity prices and damages companies from the Materials sector; the trade wars between China and the US accompanied by US attacks on Huawei have led to problems for companies involved in Communication Services and Information Technology. Another problem is inflated capitalization (during a decade, American companies spent billions to buy their own shares, which greatly inflated the value of their stocks).
On the whole, the US stock market looks like a typical bubble, inside which, instead of air, is cheap money, which is the result of the ultra-soft monetary policy of the Fed since 2008-2009. Do not forget also about zero and negative rates in Japan and Europe, which redirected capital flows from the European and Japanese markets to the US stock market.
As a result, stock prices have rocketed to the sky, and it is very difficult to increase EPS further.
Almost the only sector of the S&P 500 index that is expected to show positive EPS change is Financials. So if you are planning to buy in the US stock market during the earnings period, then you should first pay attention to banks and financial companies. And since they are traditionally the first to report, then you need to act here and now. For example, Citigroup Inc. will report on Monday July 15, even before the market opens. JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo The Goldman Sachs will announce their financial results on Tuesday, and Bank Of America, U.S. Bancorp (USB), The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK) - on Wednesday.
What is the secret of Financials? Why do they show an increase in EPS, when everyone else goes under the water?
The monetary policy of the Fed has become the main driver of the financial success of banks in the United States. Until now, the increase in interest rates contributed to the growth of banks' profitability and, as a consequence, the growth of their financial indicators. The recent statements by the Fed about expected interest rates cut, in theory, should have led to negative expectations and a fall in bank margins. Instead these expectations have led to a significant decline in long-term rates, which has meant a jump in mortgage loan refinancing activity, which means more fee income for the banks.
Another argument in favor of banks in the current earnings season is the fact that bank stocks typically trade at significantly lower valuations to earnings estimates than that of the S&P 500. What is more interesting and surprising, the discount over the past five years has increased. Five years ago, the S&P 500 banks as a group traded at a weighted forward price-to-earnings ratio that was 72% of the valuation for the full index. Now the group trades at a forward P/E valuation 60% of the full index. That is, bank stocks, in fact, are traded at a discount, and therefore, relative to the market as a whole, they are undervalued.
In addition, according to Warren Koontz (head of value equity at Jennison Associates - manages $176 billion for private clients and mutual funds), the US banking sector is “in the best shape they have been in for 30 years in terms of balance sheets, the management of the companies and the capital they have to deploy”.
In general, the purchase of US bank stocks is now a kind of investment “combo”: in addition to the arguments listed above, they also give dividend payouts with “double-digit rates” growth and provide significant share buybacks. A company in another industry with those characteristics would be priced far higher than the banks are now.
And the last thing. According to analysts (the results of the FactSet survey), Wells Fargo & Co. has the greatest potential for EPS growth. (EPS is expected to grow by 20%), Bank of America Corp. (growth by 13%), Citigroup Inc. (an increase of 13%) and JPMorgan Chase & Co (10%). So stocks of these banks should be bought first.