NFLX ShortPerhaps the earnings on Thursday causes this to break to the upside with a surprise, but the technical indicators are suggesting a drop which could bring us to the $285 range. Should this break lower we could see the $150 range again.
While I understand there are several analysts predicting a bullish run with NFLX, it would not be a rusprise to see this move dowards in the near term.
(This is not financial advice, it's strictly personal perspective)
Earningsreport
AMZN: Moving into A Buy Zone?The Weekly Chart of AMZN shows that the stock has dropped into a strong support price level with a risk that there could be a Dark Pool Buy Zone here. The share price is now below fundamental values.
With a month before AMZN reports earnings, it will be interesting to see how the stock behaves; it will reveal how well AMZN is recovering from the hyper revenues created by the stay-at-home orders and stimulus checks of the pandemic. This is the last quarterly report that will be skewed with the revenues and earnings from the pandemic anomaly.
This company MUST provide a dividend soon.
DBS rallies ahead of tomorrow's earnings reportThe stock has been performing well ahead of its earnings reports, thanks to the news that DBS will be the bank to utilise MaxxDigital – a digital asset platform that provides risk and FX solutions for institutions. Whilst Singapore’s regulators continue to clamp down on crypto trading for retailers, Singapore wants to become a digital-asset hub within the financial sector – and this could be the first step of many which help them do just that.
DBS rose 3.6% on Friday following the announcement and has extended those gains to around 6% at the time of writing from Friday’s low.
According to Reuters, 13 analysts recommend DBS stock for a ‘buy’ (4 of which are a strong buy) with 4 holds and no sell recommendations. The stock currently trades at 34.58 and has a median price target of 39.11 (+13%).
DBS Daily Chart:
The daily chart shows that DBS performed a strong breakout (with high volume) from its sideways range after prices found support at the 200-day and 50-day EMA’s. And that suggests it could be part of the bullish trend from the July low. However, there are a couple of warning signs that it may need to retrace a little before continuing higher.
A bearish pinbar formed on Monday with low volume, and yesterday’s price action struggling to convincingly push higher. Gap resistance, $35 and the monthly R1 pivot point are nearby and RSI (2) is overbought - which can indicate a near-term turning point. With that said, the RSI(14) is over 50 and trending higher with prices, which is another reason we suspect any move lower is part of a retracement before prices head for the high around 36.30.
Of course, earnings can be full of surprises and we may need to see DBS beat estimates for it to trade directly higher. Otherwise – assuming earnings is not too disappointing – it could help with a desired pullback, where we would seek bullish setups around the monthly pivot / prior breakout range.
Norwegian Cruise Line Possible 60% DropIf earnings are perceived as relatively good to the shareholders then the share price will most likely catapult through the almost-year-old resistance trend line. If earnings are perceived as bad to the shareholders then earnings will most likely move towards the bottom resistance line (Most likely to happen). Before making a position I would wait until after earnings to capitalize, as the earnings will most likely be terrible just based on the past four earnings reports, but there is more money to be made if you are able to fundamentally analyze the stock prior to the earnings release and determine the stock's earnings report possible results based on cash flow or what ever fundamental analysts do.
SPY to New LowsMarket Makers are selling off large caps and shifting funds into Indexes in order to hold the market up for a complete exit on large caps since they'll be hit the hardest by a crash event and another rate hike. Apple earnings are today after hours, and appear to be the last decider for this earnings weak, amazon and apple both hold the largest weight for SPY. Meta down, Microsoft down, Tesla down, Google down, Apple & Amazon are Spy's last hope, and based on not going against the trend, I'd assume these two giants do like Meta, Google, Microsoft, & Tesla. Slight chance this gets manipulated since apple is the largest holding of a lot of investors but I believe they must be exiting apple shares while pumping the indexes to maximize the exit position.
GDP was higher than expected, which can add fuel to the fire of another rate hike that can tank the market further down, US Dollar needs to go up from here, very overextended to be honest, and could lead to a ripple effect, a huge parabolic sell off.
AMZN - BULLISH SCENARIONASDAQ:AMZN Giant, rated as one of the most stable blue chips out there. Unless the earning report is way below expectations the price is likely to bounce off the support levels from before the split action 5 months ago and transit into a trend reversal formation.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses
APPLE - BULLISH SCENARIONASDAQ:AAPL has a "high" Earnings Quality Ranking for the 36th consecutive week. Earnings quality refers to the extent to which current earnings predict future earnings. NASDAQ:AAPL Introduces Next-Generation iPad Pro, Supercharged by the M2 Chip on the 18th, and the news was reflected in trend reversal formation on the chart.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Tesla earnings are everything tomorrow!Traders,
Do not underestimate an earnings miss on Tesla tomorrow. Earnings est. is $1.00. If missed:
1. It could trigger the start of the massive bearish H&S pattern.
2. It will bring down the Nasdaq with it.
3. Nasdaq will bring down other indices like the SPX.
4. SPX coming down could break its critical support that has held up thus far.
5. Investors tend to correlate stocks like Tesla to crypto. An alarming report can levy more significant damage to bitcoin and crypto than its already incurred.
In my view, it is critical Tesla does not break and confirm the break of its neckline here over the next few days! Earnings must be hit and the $212-$215 pps MUST hold or it could mean trouble. Watch this closely!
Stew
BABA - BULLISH SCENARIO China stocks are entering an exciting earning season combined with the upcoming major holidays. NYSE:BABA testing the 70s range and bouncing of March 22 lows. The political pressure, production shortages, and raise of materials have been dragging NYSE:BABA lower and lower. Optimistically recovering to the 110-130 range in the next 6 months is a very likely scenario, considering that range is still much undervalued.
Aspen upcoming earningsJSE:APN mini rally following a positive trading statement quickly fizzled. Aspen JSE:APN reporters that EPS will be between 32% - 37%. Audited results are coming this week, the numbers are expected to remain the same. The share is trading below key levels, the stock will need great numbers to push the price up, a promising setup is the price trading above R160/share. Otherwise, the downtrend in the stock will continue, especially if the price drops to R136/share.
Chinese Stocks Inverse H&S reversal? BABA had strong earnings and beat earnings expectations.
The stock popped and retraced back however it is showing nice support on that right shoulder along with XPEV and & NIO.
I like these stocks as a buy here and think they can easily reach the neckline resistance by the end of the month. They
They have all broke their respective downtrends.
XPEV & NIO have earnings this month and with many people converting to electric vehicles they could surprise us in a good way.
Im still skeptical on SPY at current levels so I would like to see how these stocks react on the next retracement/correction/continuation.
S&P where is heading to?After the strong employment data last week, with stronger inflation! where stocks is heading to?
Earning season will be key, not due to quarter earnings themselves, but due to the earnings and sales forecasts in the near future.
SP:SPX
NASDAQ:NDAQ
DJ:DJI
Pro Traders Take Profits on EarningsWhat happened today on the earnings announcement by PEP? Pro traders took profits against the retail crowd's buying on the news headlines that suggested an earnings "beat" for Q2. The retail buying causes the gap up at open, which is a prime cue to take profits on swing trades.
This was what we call a pre-earnings run. The earnings results don't matter as much as the technical setup a few weeks ahead of the earnings release. Swing trades were initiated at the reversal from the support at 155, confirmed by price and volume patterns at that time.
Now, with resistance overhead, where the initial target for this earnings play was, and the retail crowd causing a gap up at open on the earnings announcement, this is where professional short-term traders close long positions. This should not be construed as a good opportunity to short swing-style, however. It is an example of the execution of a long swing-style earnings strategy.
This is an example of TechniTrader's Relational Technical Analysis techniques for planning better trades.
Position & Swing Trading: Weekly ChartsIf you're position or swing trading, it is a MUST to study weekly charts to confirm:
1. IF a bottom is developing
2. WHERE the bottom will complete
...to plan trades with strong reward/risk ratios.
For example, let's take a look at EGLX, which had a gap up at open on its earnings release:
1. Note that today's gap up is from a lower low in the downtrend. This particular bottom is not confirmed just yet. When it makes a higher low is when there will be lower risk for an entry.
2. The first resistance is at 3.27, but there's stronger resistance at 4.44--once the stock's price sustains that level, then the bottom will be complete, which is the best time to consider position trade entries.
Both resistance levels should be considered for swing trading potential...
First ask: "Are there enough points to gain from your entry point to warrant the risk of the trade?" If no, then move on to the next opportunity; maybe put an alert at the next resistance level to revisit. If yes, then which resistance levels are likely to cause profit-taking?
A step-by-step checklist that looks further than the entry is important for not giving back profits just as soon as you make them. Learn more at my website.
SPX - Second BULLISH PLAN for the SP500Hello traders,
Today we are analysing the S&P500 where you can see everything on the chart.
**Like my previous analysis on S&P500, we are BULLISH, but for a different plan (the other one is a WXYXZ)**
After just finishing the ABC pattern , we might be entering the 5 purple of the V orange.
Therefore we have arround 4 objectives:
1- 4526
2- 4920
3- 5046 (strongest)
4- 5560
Tomorrow we will have the retail earnings, and it look very bullish for Walmart, Home Depot and Target, so it will be one of the factors why we will have big green candles this week!
Have fun and don't hesitate to look the other idea on S&P500 linked below
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And comment if you have any suggestion !
AMD Reports: Planning for Each ScenarioAMD reports after the close today and is expected to have strong revenues over last quarter. The chart patterns suggest some Pro Traders setting up ahead of the report.
The question is how far can it rise on the retail reaction to the report? Where are the sellers? See the red lines. 124 is the strongest resistance for the short-term trend, but there are potential stalling levels on the way up as well.
Earnings reactions can be a very short-lived event, so prepare to take profits when the pro traders do. They trade against retail.
What you need to know to trade Twitter ahead of Thursday’s earniTwitter (NYSE:TWTR) is set to announce its first-quarter earnings results on Thursday and some analysts expect the microblogging platform to again incur losses on the back of its increased infrastructure and marketing spending amid tight competition.
Saturated market
The company, once among the most popular social media channels globally, has become old news particularly to young people with the emergence of platforms like TikTok and Snapchat (NYSE:SNAP).
Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) remains the market leader among social networking sites globally in 2022 in terms of the number of monthly active users, while Twitter has lagged far behind WhatsApp, Instagram, WeChat, TikTok, Snapchat, Telegram and Pinterest in terms of the number of users, according to data from Statista.
Stronger market competition over the past years has prompted Twitter to boost its spending on research and development, and sales and marketing over the recent years.
Losses mount
In 2021, Twitter’s R&D expenses ballooned 43% from 2020 to $1.25 billion, while sales and marketing costs surged 32% year on year to $1.18 billion. These pushed the company’s overall costs and expenses up 51% to $5.57 billion in 2021 and resulted in a net loss of $221 million for the whole year.
Still, the figure was down from a net loss of $1.14 billion in 2020 when the pandemic battered the company’s operations. For the first quarter of 2022, Twitter expects GAAP operating loss of between $225 million and $175 million, against an operating income of $52 million in the year-ago period.
Twitter also expects its quarterly revenue to range between $1.17 billion and $1.27 billion, up from $1.04 billion last year. Analysts expect the company to post a 22% jump in Q1 revenue to $1.57 billion, significantly up from the company’s targeted range. The analysts pegged Twitter’s earnings per share for Q1 at $0.33, down 13.2% from last year.
In the fourth quarter of 2021, although total ad engagements fell 12% year over year, Twitter still managed to rake in $1.41 billion in fourth-quarter ad revenue, up 22% from a year prior.
Musk’s $44 billion offer
Ahead of its earnings release on Thursday, Twitter became the subject of an acquisition offer from Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk. On Monday, the New York Times reported that Twitter is close to reaching a deal to sell itself to Musk after the latter launched an unsolicited go-private bid worth $54.20, or a total transaction value of ~$44 billion.
That figure represents a substantial premium from Twitter’s current $37 billion market value as of Friday.
Musk has made his plans for Twitter quite clear. Even before the billionaire built a 9.2% stake in the company for an estimated $2.9 billion, Musk has been vocal about how Twitter’s policies quash free speech. However, the Tesla CEO has been notorious in the past for making big market-moving stunts that lead to bigger regulatory concerns for companies that he control.
In his letter to Twitter’s board made public on Friday, Musk said "Twitter has extraordinary potential. I will unlock it.”
Ignore the Noise... Recognize a Buying OpportunityAt the end of the day as long as this stays above 233.68 its a Buy.
- Bigger picture is NFLX can complete a Running Flat C wave if it stays above 233.68 (i.e. does not retrace more than 100% of wave B
- The 5 count of wave C has formed a wolfe wave with the equilibrium point slightly above where it looks like it will open today (i.e. supply = demand near 272)
- look for a bounce at open to test the equilibrium level:
If it breaks above it expect a run further to try and re-enter the wolfe channel [ Initial target 307 by May 2nd ]
If initial target is reached expect that momentum to carry it higher to test upper channel [ Intermediate Target 335 by May 24 ]
A breakout from wolfe channel will give it the setup to run Target = 475 by July 22nd . If this materializes I do not expect it to complete gap fill to 500s without undergoing a minor correction or a least consolidation first.
*** If NFLX has a sustained break below 233.68 it opens up a short opportunity - will re-eval. based on how it behaves in the 234-272 range. But subscribers, I assure you, have nothing to do with this. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Have a blessed day,
The Alpinist
What to expect with SQ stock earnings reportBlock Inc (NYSE: SQ), the point-of-sale payment provider formerly known as Square, is reporting its Q4 2022 earnings this Thursday, February 24.
What to expect with SQ stock earnings report?
The usual market dynamic of ‘good report = stock price rise’ and ‘bad report = stock price fall’ may not be entirely appropriate to expect after the report’s release.
As we have seen over the past month, a favourable earnings report does not necessarily mean that the market will respond favourably in turn. For one, when Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) reported its impressive Q4 2022 results on February 16, its stock proceeded to sell-off. As of writing, NVDA is down 12% since its earnings call as investors were all too happy to overlook its earnings beats and strong guidance for the next quarter.
On the flip side, an unfavourable report can sink SQ stock considerably more than at any time in the past. Investors have little patience for growth tech stocks at the moment, with US Federal Reserve rate hikes just around the corner and post-covid revenue surges seemingly coming to an end.
Will SQ suffer a similar fate to PYPL?
PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL), a leading competitor of Block, reported its own Q4 2021 earnings report three weeks ago, on the first day in February this year. While PYPL beat earnings expectations, its dismal guidance for Q1 2022 has helped tank the stock price 46% in 2022, YTD.
As of writing, SQ is not far off PYPL’s shocking price retreat. SQ’s stock price has lost 40% of its value, YTD.
An unfavourable report may push this loss into the 50s or even the 60s. Tech stocks dropping more than 20% in a single trading day is not unheard of this year, as you may have seen Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: FB) trim 25% (USD 230 billion) from its market cap on February 3.
Is there a buying opportunity with SQ stock?
According to several investment banks and analysts, including Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse, SeekingAlpa and MarketBeat, an even greater rout in the SQ’s share price may set investors up for a great long-term buying opportunity. SeekingAlpha and MarketBeat have price targets in the mid USD 200 range, which represent substantial upside potential.
Q3 Earnings Report Recap; TSLA, NFLX, JNJ, PGQ3 earning season is currently underway, and most high-profile companies are delivering revenue beats. Yet, Q3 revenue is not the only thing investors are watching. Investors are interested in revenue growth, customer acquisition, and pace of growth alongside the balance sheet. Inflationary and supply chain pressures that may affect the outlook of reporting companies are an additional concern for investors.
TESLA (NASDAQ: TSLA)
Reported: Wednesday, after trading
Revenue: $13.8 billion
Earnings per share: $1.86 profit per share (Non-GAAP)
Tesla’s Q3, 2021 earnings were, once again, record-setting for the Company. The Company is increasing sales and has stated it is on track to “achieve 50% average annual growth in vehicle deliveries” at a time when chip shortages are hampering other automakers ability to do so. Improving gross margins (up to 30.5%) was also a significant factor in Tesla performance in Q3.
Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX)
Reported: Tuesday, after trading
Revenue: $7.5 billion
Earnings per share: $3.19
The popularity of Netflix’s series Squid Game hadn’t completely filtered into the Company’s finances at the time of its Q3, 2021 earnings report. Yet, Netflix delivered a favourable report, with revenue coming in on par and subscriber growth beating expectations. Squid Game IP is estimated to be worth $900 million to Netflix and should help boost its Q4 earnings, which typically get a seasonal bump anyway.
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ)
Reported: Tuesday, before trading
Revenue: $23.3 billion
Earnings per share: $2.60
Johnson & Johnson’s Q3 earnings-per-share beat expectations, with revenue climbing 10.7% from the previous corresponding period. J&J increased its (bottom-end) revenue guidance for the full year from $93.8 billion – $94.6 billion to $94.1 billion to $94.6 billion. J&J noted that its Covid vaccine would be responsible for $2.5 billion at years end and $502 million of its Q3 revenue.
Proctor and Gamble (NYSE: PG)
Reported: Tuesday, before trading
Revenue: $20.3 billion
Earnings per share: $1.61
PG beat revenue estimates, increasing sales revenue by 5% over the last quarter, but expects to fall short of 2020 revenue. The consumer goods Company also noted that rising producer costs, particularly as it relates to shipping and raw commodity prices, has already had and is going to continue to have a larger-than-anticipated effect on its earnings. In response, PG has begun raising the prices of some of its premium products as a quick remedy to help offset its rising costs.
Earning Seasons continues next week:
There are plenty more juicy earning reports due next week.
Facebook, after the bell Monday
Microsoft, Alphabet, Visa, Texas Instruments, and AMD, after the bell Tuesday
Thermo Fisher Scientific, Coca-Cola, McDonald’s, and Boeing, before the bell Wednesday
Ford, after the bell Wednesday
Shopify, before the bell Thursday
Apple, Amazon, and Starbucks after the bell Thursday