Freight Report: $JBHT Earnings Miss—But the Real Story Beneath1/ 🚛 Freight Report: NASDAQ:JBHT Earnings Miss—But the Real Story Lies Beneath
J.B. Hunt Transport Services posted Q4 FY24 earnings: $3.15B revenue (-5% YoY) and $1.53 EPS (missed $1.63). Shares slipped 1.5% after hours—but is this a turnaround waiting to happen? 🧵👇
2/ Full-Year Wrap-Up 🎯
Revenue: $12.09B (-6% YoY)
Operating Income: -16%
EPS: -20%
Not great, right? But they bought back 489K shares in Q4, showing commitment to shareholder value. A rebound play in disguise?
3/ Valuation Check: Does NASDAQ:JBHT Have Room to Run? 🤔
P/E ratio: 21.96, near sector average.
Analyst price target: $189.09 = upside potential.
But here’s the kicker: NASDAQ:JBHT ’s return is -2% this year, while the S&P 500 gained +26%. Market mispricing? 💎
4/ Sector Face-Off 🔥
Competitors: Old Dominion Freight Line ( NASDAQ:ODFL ) & XPO Logistics ( NYSE:XPO ).
NASDAQ:JBHT trails peers in total return but bets big on diverse services & tech. Will innovation reignite growth?
5/ Risks to Watch ⚠️
Economic Sensitivity: Freight demand drops with downturns.
Fuel Costs: Volatility = profit pressure.
Regulation: Green laws hike costs.
Overcapacity: More trucks, fewer profits.
6/ What Keeps NASDAQ:JBHT Rolling? 💪
Broad transportation services = stability.
Tech investments = operational gains.
North American brand power unmatched.
Strengths like these keep them in the game, but the clock’s ticking to outmaneuver competitors.
7/ Strategic Leverage 🚛✨
E-commerce growth = last-mile logistics opportunity.
Expanding rail partnerships = intermodal advantage.
Strategic acquisitions could boost service lines.
8/ What’s Next for NASDAQ:JBHT ?
Q4 was a miss, but the pieces for a rebound are there: cost discipline, e-commerce tailwinds, and tech-driven growth. Can they deliver?
9/ What’s your take on NASDAQ:JBHT ? Let us know below!
🚀 Buy for the long term
🔄 Hold and watch
🚫 Too risky, avoid
Earningsseason
$UNH Earnings: First Report Since Tragedy in NYCUnitedHealth ( NYSE:UNH ) reports tomorrow at 5:55 AM ET with Wall St. expecting EPS of $6.92 and revenue of $101.1B. The company has consistently beaten estimates over the past 2 years. From 2013-2023, EPS grew from $5.59 to $24.12.
Key focus areas: medical cost trends, Medicare Advantage growth, and the impact of leadership changes following recent events. This quarter’s call will attract more than just investors.
Earnings Season Cranks Up for Gainless S&P 500. What to Expect?The S&P 500 SPX is now showing nearly zero growth since Election Day, November 5. Markets were euphoric to see Donald Trump win the White House for another four years and pushed the S&P 500 to the rarefied air of 6,000 points and above. But that’s not the case anymore.
A flurry of data has poured cold water on that breakneck rally, including the latest nonfarm payrolls, which showed employers tapped a whopping 256,000 workers in December, far outpacing expectations of 156,000. The news fanned fears that the Federal Reserve might take its time in cutting interest rates — every investor’s biggest concern right now.
It’s up to the earnings season to rejuvenate a falling stock market. To many, the fourth-quarter earnings updates will be the most consequential event as it will also mark President Joe Biden’s departure and the arrival of the main character, Donald Trump.
First through the door, as is tradition, are the heavyweight players on Wall Street. This week traders will get to see the earnings results from big banks including JPMorgan JPM , Wells Fargo WFC and Goldman Sachs GS . In addition, the world’s largest asset manager BlackRock BLK will also post its performance.
The banks’ updates will provide a glimpse into investor appetite for big-shot dealmaking, business sentiment and also how daring and bold consumers were in their spending activity. Things like net interest income — how much the bank earned on interest after paying out deposits — will be a key gauge for the banking system’s health.
Here’s what’s coming from Wall Street’s household names (and some extra).
➡️ Wednesday, January 15, before the bell:
Citi C
Goldman Sachs GS
JPMorgan JPM
Wells Fargo WFC
BlackRock BLK
Bank of New York Mellon BK
➡️ Thursday, January 16, before the open:
Bank of America BAC
Morgan Stanley MS
U.S. Bancorp USB
Other earnings include UnitedHealth UNH .
Once markets digest the updates from the lending giants, the focus will shift to the next big thing — the Magnificent Seven . It’s a high bar once again for America’s most powerful corporate juggernauts.
Investors expect Mag 7 earnings to be up 22% from the same period last year while revenue is eyeballed to have grown 12.3%. The consensus views follow the elite club’s 32.9% earnings jump in the third quarter on revenue increase of 15.4%.
Fun fact: the Mag 7 members accounted for 23.1% of all profits in the S&P 500 for the quarter ending September. For the three months to December, they are expected to consume about a quarter of the earnings pie.
And for 2025, their market cap is projected to devour more than one-third of the S&P 500’s value, which is around $50 trillion. For the tech geeks, here’s the Mag 7 earnings slate:
➡️ Wednesday, January 29, after the closing bell:
Microsoft MSFT
Facebook parent Meta META
Tesla TSLA
➡️ Thursday, January 30, after the closing bell:
Apple AAPL
Amazon AMZN
➡️ Tuesday, February 4, after the closing bell:
Google parent Alphabet GOOGL
➡️ Wednesday, February 19 (tentative), after the closing bell:
Nvidia NVDA
Overall, the foresighted market gurus (i.e. the analysts) expect all companies in the S&P 500 to report a roughly 12% advance in quarterly profits compared to the year-ago quarter. For 2025, the consensus call is a 15% increase in corporate profits from last year.
There are, of course, the permabears among us who spell doom and gloom. They say that Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs could hinder corporate growth by raising prices for US companies that rely on overseas products. And if those companies decide to pass these costs to customers, then inflation might rear back up, throwing the markets into another painful cycle of higher interest rates.
What’s your take? Are you optimistic about the corporate earnings season? And are you excited to see more growth in 2025? Share your thoughts in the comments and let’s spin up the discussion.
LLY Earnings Preview: Breakout or Rejection? Key Levels to WatchNYSE:LLY moved from 761-799 this week, catching key support at that 761 level. NYSE:LLY closed as an outside week, bullish on the 15MIN-Week timeframe. This has the potential to be a really nice earnings run-up, if the 800 level can hold. As always do your own research, these are just ideas, not meant for investment advice.
Pre-earnings Run PatternBellwether of the ETF industry, NYSE:BLK reports Oct 11th and has already had a pre-earnings run. It is important to prepare ahead of earnings runs, which form 2-4 weeks ahead of the earnings release date. Dark Pools already know most of what is in the report. The long reversal tail candlestick signaled the probable run for a swing-style trade.
$AMZN: Fast Rebounds Reveal Fundamental Support LevelThe new technologies that Amazon is embracing, including robots/robotics, and a brilliant CEO keep this huge company moving forward.
The HFT-driven gap down in August was massive but the rebound was fast. This isn't the first time the stock has moved right back up to its prior quarter's fundamental support range, aka Dark Pool Buy Zone.
Now, NASDAQ:AMZN is slightly above that range to challenge the July high. A stock to watch ahead of its earnings report October 24th.
Maximize Gains with Options for $UBER: Option Chain Outlook The NYSE:UBER stock price had been in an uptrend until it reached around the $75 level, after which it entered a correction phase. The price is currently near a long-term upward trendline, which could act as strong support.
Volatility: The IVRank (Implied Volatility Rank) is 107.5, indicating that the current volatility is high compared to the values observed over the past year. The IVx value is 73.6, also indicating high volatility.
IVx 5-day Change: +7.8%, showing a significant increase in volatility over the past 5 days. This is common in the period leading up to earnings as investors prepare for the announcement.
Price Skew: The 27.3% skew indicates that call options are more in demand, which could suggest that investors are expecting a bullish movement post-earnings. A solid skew suggests higher demand for call options, indicating a potential bullish sentiment among investors.
IVx (46 DTE): 73.6, indicating high volatility expected over the next 46 days. Volatility is likely to remain high around the earnings report, which is favorable for selling option premiums.
Exp.mV (46 DTE): The expected move over the next 46 days is $7.6, indicating that investors are pricing significant price movement after the earnings report.
PLTR Earnings Options Analysis: Strong SupportsCurrent Price Level: NYSE:PLTR is currently trading around 23.79 USD.
Options Data:
IVRank: 95.8, indicating that the current implied volatility is at the 95.8th percentile over the past 52 weeks.
IV% 5d Change: 16%, showing a significant increase in implied volatility over the past 5 days.
Exp. move at 46 DTE: 4.6% for options expiring in 46 days.
Price Skew: 31.8%, indicating the difference between the bid and ask prices of options.
Market participants overpriced call options by 31.8% for the September expiration, indicating bullish sentiment despite the significant panic in the markets today.
Support Level: There is strong support below the 4/8 level, which is crucial for put options.
The green line represents the strike price expected by the market based on the options chain for 46 days to expiration (46 DTE), around 18 USD.
The Delta 16 PUT level is below the 4/8 Murrey Math level, indicating strong support based on the status of the current optionchain.
Options Analysis for Caterpillar Inc. ($CAT)Key Levels and Indicators:
Current Price: $316.49
IV Rank: 129.5
IV (46 DTE): 58.7%
IV Change (5 Days): +10.2%
Expected Move (46 DTE): $31.4
Price Skew: 3.1% for PUTs (almost neutral)
The market appears to anticipate that the price of NYSE:CAT will remain above this strike price ($280) by the expiration date of 46 days (DTE).
A 5-day change in IV of +10.2% indicates increasing volatility possibly due to upcoming earnings or other significant events + today crash of SP500.
An expected move of $31.4 suggests that the market predicts CAT could move within a $31.4 range from its current price over the next 46 days.
The green horizontal line at $280 represents a critical support level at MurreyMath 2/8.
AMZN is at weekly and daily demand zones.NASDAQ:AMZN is at key weekly and daily demand zones which have held up for the past several months. The daily 100 EMA and weekly 20 EMA have served as strong demand zones on this entire move higher after last earnings season, and we have been swinging the stock long from these levels in the $170s, before scaling out at $190 and $200 targets. This dip into $182 is a great level to reload equity that was sold into targets for a potential move back to highs. The trade will be invalidated if it builds below these levels; however, entry here provides favorable reward-to-risk ratio.
$T cheapest good R:R earnings play2024-07-23 at 3DTE
NYSE:T Jul 26th 16/17 Put Ratio Spread
Options Overlay indicator and Options Screener in action.
Tomorrow before open : Earnings
Max loss: $2.5
Max profit: $97
Bp.req: $200
Bearish micro, bullish macro.
I expect that even in the event of a possible fall, the 4/8 will hold the price.
If it doesn't, then the upward macro trend.
So I went for a pretty safe-looking trade, with the green rage showing the range of returns, so I will sleep well :)
PUTS = CALLS equally priced for 3DTE.
$TFC Options visualization - Earnings at Monday After Close NYSE:TFC Earnings at Monday After Close
Hard PUT pricing skew
Interpolated DELTA16 is far below the STD1
4/8 could be act as support
08/16 at 27DTE
IVx is 35
Exp.move ±2.13
Put pricing skew: PUTs are +77%
more expensive at Exp.mv
09/20 at 62DTE
IVx is 29.5
Exp.move ±2.93
Put pricing skew: PUTs are +49%
more expensive at Exp.mv
NFLX shark harmonicNASDAQ:NFLX daily chart is showing a bullish shark harmonic, with the entry point at D corresponding to the critical daily 50 SMA. The first profit target at B corresponds to the daily 34 EMA, and the second target at C corresponds to the daily upper Bollinger Band. NASDAQ:NFLX starts off the NASDAQ:QQQ earnings season, and reports after market close on Thursday.
Earnings Season to Show if Big Tech Stocks Can Justify AI HypeUpper echelon of tech realm is expected to report the most profits since early 2022 as the bar is set high thanks to the big promise of artificial intelligence.
Earnings season is about to hit fever pitch with the biggest names in the corporate world getting ready to deliver spring-quarter financial updates. The bar is set high thanks to the promise of artificial intelligence to rewire how businesses operate, spend and make money.
How high exactly? All S&P 500 companies collectively are predicted to knock out the biggest increase in profits in more than two years — year-on-year earnings growth is pinned at 8.8% for the quarter ended June, the highest since the first quarter of 2022.
Froth or Not?
Stakes are high. The upcoming string of earnings data will show whether big tech high-flyers can justify the AI hype that has propelled stocks to record after record . The S&P 500 has notched more than 36 all-time closing highs this year and is sitting on gains of more than 18% since it started trading in January.
The Big Dogs
Apparently, optimism is sweeping left and right, lifting valuations of companies big and small. A handful of them have been singled out as the biggest group of winners. And — you guessed it — they’re all involved in the AI narrative.
Chipmaking giant Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ) and a clique of big tech heavyweights are lined up to show if their earnings and revenue guidance will catch up to the sky-high valuations. Nvidia has more than doubled this year, soaring above $3 trillion in market value. Briefly, it became the world’s largest company . Its peers Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ), Facebook parent Meta (ticker: META ), Apple (ticker: AAPL ) and Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL ) have rocketed to records this year as well.
Heavy Concentration
The 10 biggest companies in the S&P 500 fill up about 37% of its worth, which presently gravitates toward $48 trillion. This said, these 10 titans of capitalism contribute 24% to the broad-based index’s earnings — the highest ratio since 1990.
To keep going with the numbers, before we dive into what’s coming over the next few weeks, the S&P 500 companies are trading at 21.4 times their projected earnings over the next 12 months. For comparison, the average multiple for a five-year stretch is 19.7.
It gets even more interesting when you zoom in and double click on five tech titans — Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Meta and Amazon. Their price/earnings multiples have ballooned to an average of 34 times projections, up from 28 times. The AI bellwether, Nvidia, has soared to 41 times, from 24 times in January.
Against that backdrop, analysts are quick to point out that a correction in stock prices may loom large if these corporate giants can’t beat out their earnings projections. Is there room for disappointment?
Stacked Up Against Expectations
Let’s go around the table and see what’s coming over the next few weeks. We’ll keep it tight so we’ll only look into the elite Magnificent Seven club .
July 23
Microsoft (ticker: MSFT )
Year-to-date performance: 23%
Revenue guidance: $64 billion
Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL )
Year-to-date performance: 33%
Revenue expectations: $79 billion
Tesla (ticker: TSLA )
Year-to-date performance: 0% ( find out the reasons ).
Revenue expectations: $20.16 billion
July 31
Meta (ticker: META )
Year-to-date performance: 44%
Revenue guidance: $36.5 billion to $39 billion
August 1
Apple (ticker: AAPL )
Year-to-date performance: 24%
Revenue expectations: $84 billion
Amazon (ticker: AMZN ) (date unconfirmed)
Year-to-date performance: 30%
Revenue guidance: $144 billion to $149 billion
August 21
Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ) (date unconfirmed)
Year-to-date performance: 168%
Revenue guidance: $28 billion
Let's Hear from You!
Are we going to see another blockbuster quarter of record revenue and profits? Or is the AI hype overblown and could this mean big tech may let us down? Share your thoughts below!
Pro Setups for Swing Trading Ahead of News: TSLANASDAQ:TSLA had a velocity run on the release of its production update for Q2. Velocity runs have gaps between candles which do not overlap. It is a run of enormous speculation to gambling mode and the professionals are taking advantage of it. Notice the pro trader setup candle patterns prior to the retail side getting the news.
Weakening Patterns: NVDANASDAQ:NVDA is over-speculated on the short-term and intermediate-term trends. It has minimal support nearby for holding for a position trade.
Without retail groups or smaller funds, the price action is weakening at this time. Nvidia doesn't report until May 22 which is very late in the season but for now, it has some minor rotation going on.
If it continues to hold above the black line, then it can pattern out the excessive price gains. This is not a strong sell short opportunity, but it is important to keep an eye on this stock for the next couple of weeks.
Why did HPE Breakout?As shown on the one-hour chart, in the last trading session, HPE broke out of its usual trading
the range being the blue high-volume area on the profile. This is with increased volatility as
shown by the indicator and the large top wicks on the rising green candles. Why did this
occur? Were traders simply buying anything in the IT sector vaguely related to AI after the
NVDA breakout? Does HPE have a role in artificial intelligence? Was this a sympathy play?
The Luxalgo Supply / Demand indicator shows supply immediately overhead. The wicks on the
last several candles show a defined level. This might be called a " tweezer top " Overall,
I see this as an excellent short setup to be played with either short selling or a put option as the
retracement seems inevitable.
Goldman Sachs, the Buyback King?Goldman Sachs, one of the very few giant financial services companies left, is intending to do the first mega buyback program that will exceed One TRILLION dollars into 2025. Gasp.
So the chart shows the initial buybacks commencing and the support of its stock price during the very dicey sideways trend.
The company reports earnings Monday, April 15. Enough time to catch another swing run to earnings if the current consolidation breaks out to the upside.
NYSE:GS is a Sell Side Institution and admits it is heavily vested in NASDAQ:NVDA and other big tech stocks at this time. GS benefits from higher interest rates holding through this year.
JPM Earnings Next Week: Will Buybacks Hold Up the Stock?NYSE:JPM reached New Highs recently with a huge number of buybacks driving the stock upward so fast and so high. The big bank has also been busy gobbling up regional banks for two years now. JPM's floor traders, trading aggressively in a few key industries, are doing well.
However, Revenues and Earnings were down last quarter over the prior quarter. And Volume is trending slightly lower over the quarter. An overextended run into earnings often sees profit-taking ahead of or on the day of the report.
Smaller funds are in speculative mode chasing the buybacks. Why did smaller funds rush to buy on earnings last quarter? Year over Year comparisons show revenues and earnings are up. Year over year often distorts current values.
What matters is the most current data, quarter over quarter, for the Buy Side Institutions.
COIN Completes First Post-IPO BottomAs the first of its kind, this young company has a bright future.
Weekly chart: NASDAQ:COIN has completed its first post-IPO bottom formation and is holding above the completion line despite some selling down in recent weeks.
The company reports Feb 15th. The fundamentals are most likely at or near the bottom completion level. The run up became over-speculated so a minor correction is underway that can dip into the completion level, but support from the bottom formation is strong with Dark Pool buy zone patterns.
The Big 4 Earnings Releases today (POSITIVE)The Big 4 Earnings Releases today (POSITIVE)
✅ Novo Nordisk ⬆️
✅ Mastercard ⬆️
⌛️ Qualcomm (released later today)
✅ Boston Scientific ⬆️
The chart shows expected & reported earnings & price action. IMO Mastercard looks particularly promising.
NYSE:NVO NYSE:MA NASDAQ:QCOM NYSE:BSX
The 4 Big Earnings Releases For Today (updated later)The 4 Big Earnings Releases For Today
I will update these charts later with there reported earnings and revenue. You can see that NASDAQ:MSFT leads the pack with relative strength.
Premarket Google and Microsoft are showing higher prices whilst Starbucks and AMD are showing lower premarket prices (see orange price bars)
NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:SBUX #earnings
PUKA
NVDA at the CES Ahead of Earnings Next MonthNASDAQ:NVDA moved up on the excitement around AI at the Consumer Electronics Show. We can see that Professional Traders were anticipating a breakout.
The stock should be able to begin some pre-earnings runs soon, as long as revenues and earnings continue to improve.
Volume Oscillators and Money Flow Indicators have been improving as Derivative Developers continued to increase inventory.