Earnings Season Kicks OffS&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 10/13
Today marks the kick off of the Q3 earnings season, and a potential inflection points in the geopolitical risks with signs of potential ground operations to begin by Israel in Gaza. Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation - reiterated by this morning's CPI numbers, extremely strong jobs market, early signs of consumers beginning to scale back...yet, retail bullish positioning has increased this week again. Is this Fools rushing in where Angels fear to tread or retail investors having some crystal ball into the future that institutions don't have access to? Only time can tell.
However, our AI-driven models (since 2018 - not a "me too AI" bandwagon hopper) have negated the bearish bias yesterday, Tue. 10/10, based on the last two sessions' price action and in line with what we have been publishing for the last week or so: "Our models indicate 4310 as the level to close above for the current bearish bias to be negated". Now, this 4310 is the main support level and a daily close below that is needed for our models to turn bearish.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4402, 4384, 4371, 4361, or 4312 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4398, 4357, 4348, 4332, or 4308 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4380, 4375, or 4367, and explicit short exits on a break above 4353 or 4336. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 10:11am EST or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #softlanding, #higher4longer, #higherforlonger, #israel, #geopolitical, #earnings
Earningsseason
X United States Steel Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought X here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of X United States Steel Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 26usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.24.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SNAP Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SNAP here:
or ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and chart patterns of SNAP prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 13usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-7-28,
for a premium of approximately $1.34.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
BAC Bank of America Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BAC here:
Then analyzing the options chain of BAC Bank of America Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 30usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $0.83.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Q2 Earnings Releases Gain Momentum - Day 3S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 07/19
This week's earnings should shed some light on how the markets are shaping up in the wake of the sticky inflation. With a quarter-point rate increase almost a given, the July FOMC meeting may be a non-event, and earnings could be the driving force for the next few weeks.
Early earnings so far indicate strong earnings momentum. If the earnings continue to appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched. But, If the earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top.
The previously stated level of 4500-4505 is now a key area of support, and 4605-4610 is the upside target - and, next area of resistance - which could be tested in the near future if earnings momentum continues.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Aggressive/Intraday Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4561, 4556, 4538, or 4532 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4554, 4536, or 4529 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4559. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 09:31am EST or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings
Earnings Under Microscope - Day 2S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 07/18
This week's earnings should shed some light on how earnings are shaping up in the wake of the sticky inflation. With a quarter-point rate increase almost a given, the July FOMC meeting may be a non-event, and earnings could be the driving force for the next few weeks.
Early earnings yesterday and today indicate strong earnings momentum. If the earnings continue to appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched. But, If the earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top.
The previously stated level of 4500-4505 is now a key area of support to watch.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Aggressive/Intraday Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4548, 4530, 4513, or 4502 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4545, 4539, 4526, 4510, or 4499 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate no explicit exits for the day. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 01:16pm EST or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings
Q2 Earnings to Come Under MicroscopeS&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 07/17
The big banks have kickstarted the earnings season last Friday with JP Morgan and Wells Fargo, and are going to gain steam this week with other big names in Finance and Tech. This week should shed some light on how earnings are shaping up in the wake of the sticky inflation. With a quarter-point rate increase almost a given, the July FOMC meeting may be a non-event, and earnings could be the driving force for the next few weeks.
If early earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top; but, if the earnings appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched.
The previously stated level of 4500-4505 is now a key area to watch for both as a support and as a resistance level.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Aggressive/Intraday Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4526, 4520, 4513, or 4502 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4510, 4499, or 4490 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4523 or 4517, and short exits on a break above 4493. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:31am EST or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings
Earnings Kickoff In EarnestS&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 07/14
The big banks have kickstarted the earnings season with JP Morgan and Wells Fargo numbers coming in strong. Next week will give more insights into how earnings are shaping up in the wake of the sticky inflation. With a quarter-point rate increase almost a given, the July FOMC meeting may be a non-event, and earnings could be the driving force for the next couple of weeks.
If early earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top; but, if the earnings appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched.
The previously stated level of 4500-4505 is now a key area to watch for both as a support and a resistance level.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Aggressive/Intraday Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4532, 4518, or 4502 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4515, 4499, 4490, or 4480 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4528, and short exits on a break above 4493 or 4482. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 09:36am EST or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings
Preparing for the Earnings Season Kick Off Later this WeekS&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 07/10
Markets seem to be searching for a direction, getting ready for the earnings season to kick off later this week. If early earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top; but, if the earnings appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched. Until this clarity emerges, expect volatility and choppy markets ahead.
The previously stated resistance level of 4400-4410 continues to be in play as critical for the next directional leg.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Aggressive/Intraday Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4432, 4417, or 4402 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4409, 4397, or 4385 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4428 or 4414, and short exits on a break above 4388 or 4411. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 02:01pm EST or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings
MU Micron Technology Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MU here:
Or sold here:
Then Analyzing the options chain of MU Micron Technology prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 64usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-6-30,
for a premium of approximately $1.54.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Long Trade in CELHThe energy drink maker has always been a mover. The stock trends well and routinely makes 50% moves in a few weeks or months.
The stock was a big leader in 2022 and actually rose more than 100% in the middle of the bear market.
It has since pulled back but it is again showing a lot of strength.
Shares ripped through the 200-day moving average to reclaim their long-term uptrend on heavy buying volume. And after three inside days, it pushed to new highs on Friday.
CELH reports earnings Tuesday after the close. All signs point to them beating expectations, but I still wouldn’t risk the farm on it. I would prefer to buy Wednesday morning on a small gap higher.
Z Zillow Group Options Ahead of EarningsIn my opinion, Zillow, a well-known online real estate platform, is poised to witness a significant drop in revenue this quarter due to various factors.
Firstly, there seems to be a lack of interest among potential customers in utilizing their services.
Additionally, with interest rates currently high, it is possible that fewer people will be interested in purchasing homes, which could further impact Zillow's revenue.
These challenges, along with other market factors, make it a tough quarter for Zillow, and the company will need to navigate these challenges carefully to maintain their market position.
Now analyzing the options chain of Z Zillow Group prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 40usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $4.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
BA Gap Fill SetupBA 65m: Acute analysis potential gap fill to upside contingent on auction acceptance. Positive ER from UAL, expanded partnership with Invictus Games this morning, and ER next week catalysts for participants// 215.55 is a KL to be watched as it is where auction failure has occurred five times YTD// KLs 206.80, 208.77, 208.94, 210.13, 211.50, 212.56, 215.55// Beta 1.43, ATR 5.72, IV: 34.09%// Price at time of publish: 210.65
MS: Pre Earnings Run ExampleMorgan Stanley has a pre-earnings run moving up to its earnings report ahead of the open tomorrow. Last quarter had a similar setup for swing trading.
The Year over Year comparisons are no longer impacted by the benefits of the 2020 - 2021 pandemic, when a few stocks had way above normal revenues. This is making many companies show what appears to be far better earnings reports.
$SPY - April's Heating Up 👀🌡️ $SPY needs consolidation for potential H&S. Decisive break above gold TL may trend higher, or we'll see re-entry into zone. Will be adding a short lot near $410.48 level. Being mindful of this seasonal month so consolidation for SPY is crucial. Keep in mind, bank stocks kick off a new season of earnings in a few weeks.
How to Access Stocks Earnings Report in TradingViewWelcome back Traders!
TradingView has done an excellent job providing earnings information on individual stocks! If you are a new or existing stock market trader, you will find this information helpful
and I hope you learn something new.
Please support this education idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
$PLTR stalled after the gap fill, earnings upcoming$PLTR stalled after the gap fill, earnings upcoming
DIS Disney Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at theDIS Disney options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $115 strike price Calls with
2023-3-17 expiration date for about
$4.05 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$QQQ Predictions through Feb 1/23We have been building in strength and have reacted positively to earnings thus far. Along with positive market news the push is continuing to trend upward. However we are approaching the 1 Year Resistance point at 295. This chart shows 3 possible options ending the month of January and going into Feb 1. My potential entry points for each trade depend on the Pre Market movement on 1/27.
Bullish -
Goal: 300
Entry: (Pre Market) Above 294.37 on 1/27 OR (Pre Market) Above 294.01 on 1/30
If you are bullish and believe we can break the 1 year resistance line we could potentially see a boost up to 300. We have to break the resistance with enough momentum to see this happening. Also continued positive earnings/interest rate news.
Neutral -
Goal: 292-295
The volatility caused by earnings would be a major factor in this target. This assumes we gap up/down based on earnings reports and then reverse a little throughout the trading days.
Bearish -
Goal 285
Entry: (Pre Market) Below 291.39 on 1/27 OR (Pre Market) Below 290 on 1/30
Due to the high RSI and high resistance from our 1 year resistance line we could see a strong downward move. I have this breaking out of the 30 day trend channel. If we start downtrending I believe we have a selloff. Depending on the Jan. 31-Feb. 1 policy meeting regarding the rate increases.
JPM Earnings Reversal PatternJPMorgan Chase (JPM) reported earnings today for the 4th quarter. There was no surprise for the professionals and for the Dark Pool Buy Side Institutions. They already knew what the numbers would be.
Today's candle was not just a bullish engulfing candle. It is what we, at TechniTrader, call a major fundamental REVERSAL candlestick pattern.
This is a huge one-day reversal that started out as a High Frequency Trader (HFT) gap down on negative expectations from the retail side and social media telling traders to sell short JPM. Those retail day traders who tried to sell short JPM got whacked big-time. Margin calls are likely, as the sell short losses on this large of a reversal candle are huge.
Why did the stock price reverse so quickly? The outlined area of the sideways consolidation pattern reveals Professional Traders’ setups ahead of the earnings report. The stock dipped into this price level, and then buying commenced that is well above average for JPM stock.
$SPY $SPX $ES1! Analysis, Key levels, and Targets $SPY $SPX $ES1! Analysis, Key levels, and Targets
I honestly love TA so much. It’s so fascinating to me. Those who trade without TA, like say, just using the option chain, are really missing out on a cool thing….
Not a huge change since yesterdays update, but we did get into the gap but failed to fill it and were rejected at the Daily 200MA…
Tomorrow we have some Bank earnings (JPM, BAC) in premarket (8:30) and so will start the earnings season - and I’m super excited about it all…
I just want to add that I do love being bullish, but today I was driving around and really started to notice the amount of commercial real estate vacant with for lease signs… and I remember 07 and how that was the first signal that something was wrong….
I want to be bullish - but I just am not yet… but there are so so many amazing opportunities in a bear market… and if done right - this is where the generational wealth comes from….
I did add to my 410 put position in April… I’m now 8 deep with an average of 22.31 - I absolutely had to with VIX so low today - and I covered my short 379 puts expiring tomorrow for 97%, looking to sell for next week tomorrow….
And thanks so much for the super awesome support about the video… I will definitely be doing more of that soon!! Hopefully I’ll lean into doing mostly video… I know it’s a pain to read my long rambles sometimes… LOL… so it will be easier on all of us…
Have a fun day trading tomorrow, y’all… 💃🏻
P.S. Yes stupid willy looks like it might cross up… but I’m reading the weakness before it, all of the chop during the holidays as just that, holiday chop…. I don’t see much strength in that cross up and RSI and MacD aren’t supporting a cross up yet…. So lets see how these first earnings go…