EAT Brinker International Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NU Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 40usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $3.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
EAT
NEW SERIES! Some Picks of Stocks From Restaurant Industry!Hi,
I would like to start covering different sectors/industries and selecting stocks that are or may be relevant in the future from the point of view of technical analysis.
Starting with Restaurants, searched out more than 60 companies, and here are some picks which are technically "the best ones".
Obviously, Do Your Own Analysis! To be said I don't invest them all, I'm only interested in a few of them, these are just some ideas that you should consider. Do your fundamental analysis and I will bet that it narrows the selection quite strongly because this industry is risky. Still, rewards might be also quite decent ;)
If you like this kind of series then name the next industry/sector in the comment section that might look interesting for you! Name it, tell me why you name it!
1. BJs Restaurants (BJRI)
BJ's Restaurants is involved in the business of owning and operating restaurants. The company operates in one operating segment that is casual dining company-owned restaurants. It has a geographic presence only in the United States of America.
2. Bloomin Brands (BLMN)
Bloomin Brands Inc operates as a casual dining restaurant company. Its brand includes Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse and Wine Bar. The company owns and operates its restaurants, and the remainder is franchised. It derives revenue mainly from the United States, but the company has a presence in Brazil and South Korea with company-owned Outbacks and Carrabbas. In addition, it also has exposure to several countries, predominantly in Asia, principally through franchising.
3. The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)
Cheesecake Factory owns and operates restaurants in the United States and Canada under brands that include The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and a collection within the Fox Restaurants Concepts subsidiary. The company's international presence, in the Middle East and Mexico, is through licensing agreements with third parties. The company also has a bakery division that produces cheesecakes and other baked products for sale in its restaurants, international licensees, and third-party bakery customers. The company has four operating business segments: The Cheesecake Factory restaurants, North Italia, other FRC, and others. Most of the company's revenue comes from The Cheesecake Factory restaurants segment.
4. Chuy's Holdings (CHUY)
Chuy's Holdings Inc operates Chuy's, a restaurant concept offering a distinct menu of authentic, freshly prepared Mexican and Tex-Mex inspired food. It offers the same menu during lunch and dinner, which includes enchiladas, fajitas, tacos, burritos, combination platters and daily specials, complemented by a range of appetizers, soups, and salads. The company also offers a full-service bar in all of its restaurants providing its customers with a range of beverage offerings.
5. Briner International (EAT)
Brinker International Inc operates casual dining restaurants under the brand's Chili Grill and Bar (Chili's) and Maggiano's Little Italy (Maggiano's). Chili's falls in the Bar and Grill category of casual dining. Its menu features Fresh Mex and Fresh Tex favorites including signature items such as slow-smoked baby back ribs, craft burgers, fajitas, and famous bottomless chips and salsa paired with tableside guacamole. Maggiano's is an Italian restaurant brand with a full lunch and dinner menu offering chef-prepared, such as appetizers, chicken, seafood, veal and prime steaks, and desserts. The company generates maximum revenue from Chili's segment.
6. Yum China Holding (YUMC)
With almost 10,600 units and USD 9.5 billion in systemwide sales in 2020, Yum China is the largest restaurant chain in China. It generates revenue through its own restaurants and franchise fees. Key concepts include KFC (7,166 units) and Pizza Hut (2,355), but the company's portfolio also includes other brands such as Little Sheep, East Dawning, Taco Bell, Huang Ji Huang, COFFii & Joy, and Lavazza (collectively representing about 985 units). Yum China is a trademark licensee of Yum Brands, paying 3% of total systemwide sales to the company it separated from in October 2016.
Keep in mind fundamental analysis tells you WHAT to buy, technical analysis tells you WHEN to buy.
I gave just some ideas about when to buy but you have to do your own analysis what to buy and whether to buy at all!
Hopefully, you like it and it would be awesome to start another series about stocks and sectors considering technical analysis- and do not forget to name your favorite sector on the comment section!
Regards,
Vaido
$EAT Bullish Unusual Options Activity$EAT Brinker International, Inc. - Possible downtrend breakout closing above the 9d today.
Bullish Unusual Options Activity
$1M bet placed on $75 July OTM calls today (7x OI)
Near term target: $76-$78 range by early May
Note: This is NOT investment advice. Educational only.
Take Away: Restaurant Spending Continue to DeclineSeptember's retail sales increased less than expected, partly due to the 1.8 percent decline in restaurant spending. This was the worst decline since 2016. Partly blamed on Hurricane Florence, that static is likely to be tuned out and the trend of mean reverting to continue after Q2-18's record $3.5B in sales - the strongest in almost 30 years.
BLMN is expected to report earnings of .07 cents on October 29, but we should focus on the reality that comps are likely to disappoint following such a great second quarter. We're seeing weakening comps in strong companies like DPZ and DRI.
Moreover, Bloomin' has board & mgmt issues that remain unresolved.
I believe their is more of a macro play to restaurants, though. Real consumer spending has outpaced real disposable income two of the last four months, but there has been little movement in disposable income. Furthermore, food and beverage spending has followed both the trajectory of U.S. inflation and growth gains since the 2016 election.
Q4-18 could be a difficult one for U.S. consumers and restaurant spending could decline in order to fund other consumption.
Earnings matter, but this is a trend call.
Close to Retracing All Previous Gain, Lot's of News CatalystsWeed stock operating in the United States. Listed on the CSE, which is where it gets most of it trading volume. Reason I'm not entering now is because there were some heavy sell offs recently, and also because of the state of marijuana stocks in the United States. Most of the funding comes from Canadian investors though. It should get some laggard carryover once we start to close in on October from Canada legalization news pumping up the market again. Most marijuana stocks in Canada are in key support levels right now
Short-Mid term analysis of LTCI typed this already, but apparently my idea didn't publish, so this time it will be brief and joke-less.
Basically the daily RSI looks like a double bottom, but still in a downtrend (dotted line), so maybe if it goes sub-30 again we could see a strong push past resistance levels, which I see around 180-190. If there's sufficient volume, maybe a trend reversal is at play?! (PLEASE comment with any constrictive criticisms, I'm learning all I can).
My not-so-sure price targets are around 115, 105, and 100. I always play in conservatively, so I'm setting buys around.... not that low haha. As I get more familiar with trading and more confident in my abilities to analyze and click buttons, I'll place lower buys. For now, just gradually accumulating.
So far we are still in a downward channel, and my hope is that once/if RSI daily hits sub-30, we will see a bounce and break out of this forsaken bear market. May be a few days/weeks though. I'm still not sure at all.
Peace and hair grease.
P.S. this aint financial advice. DYOR. Remember that I'm a noob who still gets his ideas from Magic Poop Cannon and a few others. But this analysis was mostly done by me.
AUDJPY Butterfly formationSpotted Butterfly pattern on the uptrend, price will rally to and test the 38.2% retracement level before finding minor resistance and moving to the 50%. This level has proven to be an area of resistance in the past. Close or keep partial positions open for a potential break in the supply zone.
BWLD Buffalo Wild Wings above $169 bullishAs $BWLD maintains above $169 zone this is bullish for another leg up. I suspect distribution up here, but that does not mean another notch higher. It looks like investors have given BWLD a pass on the last quarter. Accumulation came back in just before the gap up. $200 looks good. Watch out after that with only 7% upside before more selling into strength by the street... in my opinion. So in conclusion... I would ride this to $200 then trim & trail if I had current position. Excess supply signals are piling up as you can see. in Sept - Oct 2014 Excess demand signals started calculating prior to the run after earnings then the short squeeze.
EAT Brinker short interest spikes at recent highs.$EAT Brinker Intl... relative to the casual dining segment is a leader in p/e, roe operating margins and sports a 1.89% div yield funded by massive debt. Debt/Equity = 189% vs BWLD 0.07. Operation margins are excellent vs the group but gross margins lag considerably. EAT currently trades at an astronomical 739.50 times book value vs BWLD 6.18 times. A little financial engineering? Borrow to pay dividends and buybacks... YES. I cannot justify a new position up here. Short interest has been rising since Sept 2014 but has dropped off somewhat since the beginning of the year. You can see the spikes as pro traders jump on any weakness. I would be more concerned about a plunge if EAT Brinker fails to engineer a quarter or two that beats the street's expectations. Always do you own due diligence.