Main Eur/Usd Analysis The price touched the support area set at 1.112 with a post-conference Draghi spike. Causing the stop loss closing on our trade. After it return immediately to the closing level of yesterday's session .
Technically, this pair is in a stalemate taking the last six months as a time reference. In fact, the trend has no longer taken a specific direction, continuing to move between the support at 1,112 and the resistance at 1,144. If a time frame of a year and a half is taken into consideration the direction of EURUSD tends to fall. And now we do not see changes of scenery. For the next year and a half we expect the main trend to be maintained and that as final target the area 1.08/1.06 can be reached. This with minor cycles which could also lead to significant bounces.
A new cycle should start with the next FED meeting at the end of July. Despite the spike a few hours ago that caused a false break in the support area, we expect a drop in the US currency for the rest of the summer. The objective is the upward break in the resistance zone at 1,144. The maximum extension of this first mini-cycle could be around 1,158. This level is identified by the EMA200 weekly which acts as a dynamic resistance of extreme importance for the short term.
Fundamental Analysis
At a fundamental level, the scenario that is taking shape is the following. Draghi stated that expectations on future rates are not the best. In fact, it expects that rates could remain unchanged (or even cut) for at least another year. In addition we could see a second edition of quantitative easing. The government bond purchase program, is being studied in Frankfurt.
These statements, once implemented, will negatively weigh for the Euro, which will devalue against the other majors. So for the next year and a half, as we said, we expect a continuation of the main trend on this pair. On the other hand, however, on the Fed side, the devaluation of its currency should, make EURUSD carry out this bullish mini-cycle. The market and investors expect at least two cuts of a quarter of a point by the end of the year.
To summarize
We expect a climb in the very short/short term. Eur/Usd is ready for the bounce and we recommend repositioning long with the final target of the 1,158 (intermediate targets 1,132; 1,144). Stop at 1.103
Ecb
Dax daily: 26 Jul 2019 Yesterday's session started by the gap closure, just as we pinpointed. The resistance at 12 576 was retested twice and then the price action was dominated by fundamentals. The ECB President Mario Draghi hinted a possible rate cut into negative values to tackle Eurozone's economic stagnation. This scepticism influenced the German stock index DAX as well and we saw this reflected by a prudent downfall by more than 250 points. The session was closed at 12 344.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 437, 12 470
Support: 12 338
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
The statistical probability of closing the gap is only 38%
Macroeconomic releases
14:30 CEST - USA - Advance GDP q/q
Today's session hypothesis
Yesterday's volatile activity has dramatically reduced our estimations and today's hypothesis. The moves were caused by fundamental news. The statistical application signifies the gap closure probability of only 38%, yet the price around 12 338 became a balanced consensus for market participants. That's one reason this zone could be retested today as well. Besides, we have enough room for the long correction all the way towards 12 437.
FED & ECB : Are we on the verge of a Paradigm Shift ?LINK to the article : www.linkedin.com
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Pound losses set for recoveryFollowing ECB's decision to keep rates on hold and President Draghi's comments aimed at giving confidence to the Eurozone, the common currency saw a sharp rise. However the pair price has now reached a point of saturation near 0.8955 which was previously a support level. The pound, although under Brexit-related pressures, is likely to push the price down to 0.8940. That level can be followed by 0.8920. In the case of further rise though, 0.8970 close to the lower band of the ascending channel will provide resistance.
Johnson and Pound, ECB and Euro, US and ChinaBoris Johnson becomes the UK's new prime minister and, made his first statement. Despite the apocalyptic forecasts, we could observe a pound growth on Wednesday. Once again, chances that Johnson will have enough support to implement the no-deal Brexit are extremely low. An agreement with the EU or a general referendum is more likely to happen. In any case, until October 31, it’s not necessary to expect “exit without a deal”. And this means that buying pounds with current prices is a safe enough trading strategy, that could provide more than a solid income with minimal risks. So our recommendation is unchanged - we are looking for points for pound purchases across the foreign exchange market entire spectrum.
Speaking of the euro. Perhaps, he is today the “prospective candidate” for sales against the pound, as well as it is quite possible to buy it against the dollar. Markets cautious with that fact that today the ECB may start to reverse the easing of policy, therefore the euro is trading at the very bottom of the medium-term range. We do not think that it would happen. The ECB is quite a conservative Central Bank. It would rather wait for the Fed to lower the rate, obtain additional economic data, update its economic forecasts, and just after that n begin to act at the beginning of September may be, but not now. So its purchases against the dollar seem like a good trading idea. We are actively buying EURUSD - the risk/reward balance is too enticing: with stops 40-50 points with a potential profit 200 points.
Stops must be put up necessarily, because the Eurozone economy is in a bad form, and theoretically could provoke the ECB to act. Yesterday's data on the EU economic loco - in Germany came out weak. The PMI index in the production sector was only 43.1 (with the forecast was 45.2). the minimum level over the last 7 years (!).
The PMI index in the Eurozone manufacturing sector also came out below 50 and again worse than forecasts.
Unexpectedly the data on new homes sales in the USA came out quite positive( which grew by 7.0% to 646,000 (expected + 5.1%)). However, we will not revise our position on the dollar and continue to look for points for its sales.
Meanwhile, the US and China are trying to get on well. On Monday, the US delegation is going to China to find a compromise. There is still no progress in the negotiation process, the IMF lowered forecasts for the growth of the world economy, again. Forecasts in connection with the slow-down in growth of the world economy. was reduced by 0.1% to 3.2% and 3.5% for 2910 and 2020. So, purchases of the Japanese yen continue to be relevant.
Our trading recommendations for today: we will continue to look for opportunities for selling the dollar across the entire spectrum of the foreign exchange market, buying the pound against the dollar as well as against the euro, selling oil and the Russian ruble, and also buying the Japanese yen against the dollar. As for gold, buy it from oversold and sell in the overbought zone.
EURUSD near multi-month lows ahead of ECBThe US dollar strengthened against the euro this week as markets assess the likelihood of an ECB rate cut. We've already locked some profits of the earlier bull-move in our Trading Club and closed the remaining position until the dust in the market settles.
Bear in mind that, although the Fed took a dovish stance, there is an important difference between the position of the Fed and the ECB.
While the Fed wants to cut rates to move the US dollar lower, the US economy is still pretty strong unlike the European economy, particularly Germany.
The EURUSD pair triggered a H&S pattern that projects a profit target around the 1.10 level, and the pair is already near multi-month and multi-year lows.
A dovish ECB may send the pair below 1.11 and trigger a cluster of stop orders, in which case the 1.10 level will act as a magnet.
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ECB PreviewEURGBP, Daily
The risk of a surprise from the ECB has risen after yesterday’s round of weak PMI numbers,¹ which not only highlighted that the German manufacturing sector is sliding deeper into recession, but also that the fallout from global trade tensions and rising risks of a no-deal Brexit scenario is not limited to Germany. Today’s Ifo reading is unlikely to be much better and the doves at the ECB will likely push for a quick move. There ARE good reasons for Draghi to wait until September, when not only the next round of forecasts will be due, but also the outlook on the Brexit front should have become a bit clearer. Most importantly perhaps, the Fed cutting rates as expected next week would likely see markets expecting another follow up move from the ECB, although the doves countering that and easing measures from both the Eurozone and the US ahead of the summer lull in August should help market sentiment to stabilise. Ultimately a 10 bp cut from the ECB will not make much of a difference in real terms and the main merit for many will lie in the signalling effect. With that in mind Draghi will have to deliver a very dovish presser today to keep investors happy and a cut without a signal that there is more to come could have a more negative impact on markets than a very clear signal that the ECB is readying a comprehensive set of measures for September.
However, Draghi & Co. have been bold before, so it would be unwise to rule anything out. The Euro continues to trade softer ahead of the Rate Announcement at 11:45 GMT and the Press conference 45 minutes later.
Even EURGBP broke below the key 20-day moving average yesterday, to end 52 consecutive trading days above this important baseline.
We will be LIVE on our main Facebook page from 11:30 GMT for analysis of the key event
EURUSD - Short long term - Key data this weekOn our analysis on the 02.07 we were short EURUSD after a strong payroll and have since taken profit as the currency pair fell below 1.12. We are still short and long term we expected EURUSD to keep falling and believe it could fall to multi years lows below 1.08 by the end of 2019. This week could bring a significant amount of movement in the currency pair with the ECB on Thursday which could provide clues as to future EU monetary policy with Draghi to comment on potential rate cuts and further quantitative easing. Additionally US GDP data released Friday could impact the odds of a US rate cut and how aggressive the FED are in cutting rates. Therefore we hold our short position and will look for EURUSD to break 1.11 before taking further profit.
ECB - Could the Euro's dive continue?By Andria Pichidi - July 23, 2019
All eyes will be on the ECB on Thursday with Draghi and Co set to confirm that the central bank is heading for additional easing measures as global growth slows down while global trade tensions escalate.
First quarter Eurozone GDP numbers came in stronger than expected, but were boosted by special factors including stock building ahead of the original Brexit deadline, as well as the later timing of Easter this year. Data since then suggests a marked slowdown in the second quarter and forward looking surveys leave the balance of risks firmly tilted to the downside. The above along with geopolitical trade tensions and ongoing Brexit uncertainty are weighing on confidence and adding to pressure on the ECB to ease policy again.
Some council members would likely want the central bank to cut rates now and this clearly is a “live” meeting with a non-negligible risk that the central bank lowers rates by 10 bp. However, if the ECB moves ahead of the Fed, the impact of the dovish signal would likely evaporate quickly if the central bank doesn’t follow up the Fed’s likely move at the end of July with yet another cut.
Against that background we see a somewhat greater chance, however, that the central bank will wait for September for the great reveal of a package of measures, that will likely include a rate cut as well as a mechanism to limit the impact of the negative deposit rate. This could involve setting an additional reserve “allowance” above the required reserves.
Source stories this month also suggested that the central bank is considering moving to a symmetrical inflation target rather than the current “upper limit”, which if set at 2% would create more room for temporary inflation overshoots over time, but mainly have a signaling effect at the current juncture.
In practice this may not change much as inflation has already been allowed to rise above the medium term limit but it will send a message that many believe will help to anchor inflation expectations. Officials are also looking into ways to expand the room for QE purchases and how to limit the impact of further cuts in the deposit rate, which already stands at -0.40%.
Unless things change decisively the central bank is expected to cut rates by 10 bp at the September meeting and a tiering of the deposit rate, where at least part of banks’ deposit with the ECB get preferential treatment and won’t face even higher “penalties” seems also under discussion, even if ECB studies suggest that the impact of negative rates on bank profits has been limited so far.
What about EURO?
Away from the economic side of things, EURUSD established a bearish outlook after coming off from a bullish June, and as it headed today a southwards move below the key Support level at 1.1180 (June 18 low and Neckline of Head and Shoulders formation pattern).
Hence, as market has retained a more circumspect view of Fed easing potential and as ECB is heading in the direction of the stimulus spigot, the move below 1.1180 today considered to be crucial, as it confirms the bearish view from technical perspective as well rather only from fundamental.
The breakout of bearish head and shoulders neckline for the first time, turns our attention towards second quarter of 2019 low area, at 1.1115-1.1135 area, with short term Support at 1.1159 (June’s low) and Resistance at 1.1210-1.1220.
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Preparing for ECB and UK Prime MinisterTrump said Thursday that a U.S. Navy ship had destroyed an Iranian drone in a “defensive action,” escalating already high tensions in the Gulf region. On the next day, Iran dismissed the report. So, investors’ reaction was expressed by rescuing in safe heaven assets and it is understandable. Later, the gold price was correlated with a decrease in the gold price. By the way, on Friday we recommended to sell gold, so those of our readers who followed our recommendation had to earn good money.
We have already recommended selling the oil (see our previous reviews) so, those of our readers had a chance to earn good money by selling oil (one of our main trading recommendation). So this week we continue to look for the opportunity to sell the asset, but be careful it is all about the unstable situation.
There was a lot of talk about a possible dollar intervention last week. It hadn't got to that part yet but the risk should be disregarded. The easiest and risk-free option to trade in such case is a short dollar. Moreover, at the end of the week, we are waiting for the outcome on US GDP. So this week we will continue to look for points to open short positions on the dollar. Primarily against the Japanese yen and the British pound.
This week (on July 24th ) a new prime minister should appear in the UK. Odds are about 100% that Boris Johnson is going to be. In this regard, attention to Brexit among participants of the foreign exchange market is increased sharply, which means pound volatility will increase significantly. Our midterm position - short-pound. But let us warn you, some days it is quite possible the pound could be sold out quite tough. Nevertheless, we do not doubt the final outlook for its growth.
We will buy a pound not only against the dollar but also against the euro. And against the euro, this can be done in double volumes. EURGBP has climbed very high, and its decline seems to us the most likely scenario. The reason for its sales may be the outcome of the ECB meeting, which will be announced this week on Thursday. If the Central Bank gives us a hint to easing monetary policy, sales in EURGBP cannot be avoided. So we took a medium-term short position in EURGBP and look forward to a jackpot.
Why I am going short on EURAUDEURAUD has reached to one of its strongest resistance zone. In the past few years price fell down sharply after reaching this point in several occasions. Now again market is in this area.
If you look at the oscillators like RSI, MACD, Stochastic on the chart to measure the energy of the market, you see divergences and RSI overbought which all means market doesn't have enough energy to break this resistance zone.
Based on price action and the Japaneese Candle Stick patterns we can easily see a few small candles has been shaped on that area which is showing buyers are not very strong to push the price higher. The last candle for yesterday is a kind of high test bar which has a long leg on its top and then a long red body indicated the pressure from sellers. As you see this candle went below the low's of its previous candle which is another selling signal.
Based on Elliot Waves we had an ABC correction when priced came down from this zone last time ( From Jan 2019 to mid Apr). After than a new set of 5 waves completed. If you test the idea with Fibonacci it confirms the 5 impulse waves are counted correctly.
From the fundamental analysis point of view, Mario Draghi said ECB could cut interest rates again or provide further asset purchases if inflation doesn't reach its target. He admits the only option to increase the rate is when inflation goes much higher than the target. So this sounds like a sell signal or at least not supporting a bullish rally for EUR anymore.
These are just a couple of signals we have to go short on EURAUD. The other possible scenario is EUR breaking this area upward which means our forecast failed, we change the position direction and get ready for a long position then, but we don't want to put much emphasis on this scenario as it is not really high probability.
EURJPY Long ideaThe price is currently within a descending trendline where I'm expecting an upside breakout.
It is also in consolidation within clear Support and Resistance levels, with the potential target being around the resistance zone.
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EURUSD Bullish ReversalA recurring Inverse Head and Shoulders is evident in the major currency pair, EURUSD.
As you can see there are various possibilities for the direction but the overall, favoured prediction is a bullish movement.
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EURCHF Likely To Fall Further After Support & Trendline Break!Oh make no mistake, technically most of the EUR related are starting to show a strong bearish pattern . EURUSD could tumble to 1.09000 level in the coming months even on the back of a weaker USD!.
The above link is shows the analysis behind the EURNZD which has a potential to drop . However since many central banks are shifting towards easing, typically in this scenario fundamentally makes the SAFEHAVEN FX currencies perform the best. CHF being one of the SAFEHAVEN alongside the JPY in my view would be best performers against the EUR in the coming months!
Have a look at the main chart weekly TF chart of the EURCHF. The horizontal lines are concrete support and resistance taken from the monthly TF. At the moment i am awaiting the monthly candle to close beneath the orange support located at 1.11000 level for added confluence. Furthermore, we have a long term trendline which has been violated on a weekly TF, for added confirmation that is why its advisable to wait for the monthly candle to close below orange line. This would confirm the broken support turned resistance and channel has been officially broken!
The next support lies at 1.06000 level, where the price could potentially head towards. This seems like a big PIP move but if you look at the fundamental factors, we are seeing the ECB shifting their monetary policy to accommodate the changes which would likely result in EURO depreciation over long term.
I am seeing the monthly would close comfortably beneath the support by the end of this month and then its advisable to execute the trade SHORT with the target of 1.06000 and RR of 1:1.
This just represent my analysis on this pair and i feel this a high probability trade setup in play. shall there be any trade entries i would post them in a new post.
Ascending Channel+H&S Pattern In Favor Of EURNZD Bears! Have a look at the main weekly TF chart of EURNZD pair. From here its clearly visible that the price is confined in an ascending channel which has been held on numerous occasions. However at the moment the price seems to be too aggressive to the downside and has potentially violated the channel pending today's weekly candle close!
The four horizontal red lines represent solid support and resistance levels taken from the monthly TF. Just below the trendline there lies a psychological 1.65000 support level , which in this case is a must to be broken level in order to confirm a bearish outlook. For this level to be broken i would personally prefer the monthly candle to close below 1.65000 level .
Furthermore, there is an almost complete H & S pattern on the chart , which would be complete when the trendline/channel breaks together with the 1.65000 level. In this case the potential 1.65000 turned resistance would also act as the neckline of the H & S . So to put all this together in favor of the bears there 3 concrete confluence factors to take this pair towards the next support that is present at 1.58000!
Fundamentally the Euro is weak at the moment and is predicted to get weak in the coming months, whereas the NZD shows a mixed outlook. So putting all this together the probability of this pair breaking down is HIGH.
Shall there be any updates regarding the trade entries i will post them in a new post. This just represents my outlook on this current pair
A Weaker EURO Could Send FIBER Towards 1.09000 Level !Have a look at the main weekly TF chart which shows the price of EURUSD confined in a long term held and respected wedge ! The blue horizontal lines are the nearby support and resistance levels taken from the monthly TF . Several months ago this pair formed a bearish H & S pattern on the weekly chart which was broken as the price started to accelerate downwards partly due the FED being hawkish as they raised the Interest rates this making the USD more stronger against the basket of major currencies.
When the price broke the neckline of the pattern where also the main support now turned resistance was present (1.14500) , the price should technically HIT 1.09000 where the next concrete support is present. However many months have passed by the price is typically rangebound with 1.145000 level now turned into a concrete resistance.
At the moment most of the major central banks have started to ease their monetary policy, most notably the FED as a 25BP rate cut is already priced into the market which would likely take place at the end of this month. With the trade war effects already visible across the world it has certainly sent fears of an impending US recession as the yield curve stays inverted. Therefore the markets are largely expecting the FED to ease further in 2020 too.
So all this theoretically should make the EURUSD spike higher but practically there has been little impact from the BULLS. While other currencies such as the SAFE HAVEN pairs (USDCHF, USDJPY) have all taken the HIT and talk about GOLD which has broken multi year records. THEREFORE THE MAIN QUESTION REMAINS: WHY IS THE EURUSD SO RESISTANT AND STRUGGLING TO CLIMB FURTHER BEYOND THE PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVEL OF 1.15?
The answer to this question is not so complicated but the consequences are certainly bad for the EURUSD! First of all USD is still the world's reserve currency and the demand for it wont fade that easily. To add to this for many, the USD is a SAFEHAVEN compared to the EUR. Furthermore, if the FED eases their monetary policy their interest rate differentials will still be higher compared to the EUR which inturn would make the demand for the greenback stronger. Thirdly, the EUROZONE economy is not doing so well for the past months as most of the fundamental data as below the expectations
As the ECB president mario draghi term comes to an end, the new to be appointed former president of the IMF could change the course of this pair in the coming year. But as for now i feel this pair would likely HIT 1.0900 which is a concrete support and after that it might rise further depending on the economic and monetary outlook in the EUROZONE and The U.S.
Short trend continuation on Eur/JpyIs it possible to see a price compression on EurJpy. In fact the price is moving within the channel between the static support identified by 61.8% of the Fibonacci retracement (placed at 120.05) and between the static resistance identified by 50% of the Fibonacci retracement.
Technically, so far, this pair is set downwards. This on short/medium term time frames. With the violation of the EMA 20 daily periods, the price appears to be destined to reach the support area. The one just mentioned. An intermediate target is the support of minor importance located at 120.85. On both daily, weekly and monthly time frames, there was a cross-over of the main EMAs (or 200 perodi with 20). This means that sales on the European currency have not ended. Investors are preferring to move capital to the Japanese currency.
This decline is also fundamentally justified. This because although the ultra-expansive monetary policy of the BOJ is already known and has not been changed for a long time. The ECB, according to Draghi's words and the macroeconomic data of the Eurozone, will also tend to be in the coming months more expansive than she already is. Causing a devaluation of the euro.
Our target is near the price of 120
EUR/JPY hammer on a dynamic and static support levelAs we can see from the chart above, the cross is right on a short-term dynamic support (trendline), which has been touched with a very sharp move. Moreover, this dynamic support coincides with a static support level (around 121.22), adding confluence to the analysis. However, before entering the trade, I'm waiting for a confirmation, which I expect to appear on lower time-frames.
Nonetheless, uncertainty remains high in the markets, as Christine Lagarde takes the place of Mario Draghi as head of the ECB, because of her background as a lawyer and not as an economist, but this is not her first expirience in the field of economics. In fact, she has previously served as Managing Director and Chairman of the Internetional Monetary Fund since 2011. However, she won't take charge before November, 1st.
Therefore, if I were to open a long position on this cross, I would either close it before the 25th of July (ECB interest rates decision), or move the stop loss (more on these details in a minute) to break even; while data on inflation in the Euro zone are to be released on Wednesday (Previous: 1.2% - Forecast: 1.2%).
Moving to more technical stuff, if confirmation was to be seen, I would open a long position with a target 123.35, and a stop loss of 120.83, with a Risk/Reward of 1:5.3. But there's another level of concern a bit under the target, the resistance zone of 122.4, which should be taken into account in case of a rally.
GBP/USD: Hot or Not ?GBP/USD: hot or not ? The trend remains downward in the short/very short term. After breaking down the static support at 1.264 identified by 23.6% of the Fibonacci retracement, the next target targeted on this currency pair is the support area at 1.25. Reachable today as analysts expect a recovery of the intraday US dollar ahead of the publication of positive nonfarm payrolls.
So technically, the price should go to test the support in the 1.25 area by todays closing and, should it be violated to the downside. It could mark a new period minimum in this 2019 going beyond the 1,237.
Basically this hypothesis is the most likely in the short term as the strong uncertainty around Great Britain due to Brexit. A rebound at the moment is not expected. Except for even more expansive scenarios of monetary policy from the Fed.
To summarize
GBP/USD: hot or not ? Maybe not. We recommend a short entry on this pair. The first target is in area of 1.25. The second target is in the intermediate area at 1,244. So the final one is at 1.237.
ECB signals, US threats, Roubini ’s predictions, and ruble limitDespite the extremely weak statistics from the Eurozone published on Monday and rather depressing data on producer prices, published on Tuesday, the euro tone was relatively good in the foreign exchange market yesterday. The reason was the information that the ECB is not ready to resort to additional monetary incentives. Therefore you should not expect to ease monetary policy.
Despite the record series of the US economic growth, a lot of experts continue to fear for the global economy a bright future in general and the United States in particular. So Nouriel Roubini in a recent interview noted that we might be headed for another recession. The world central banks have essentially exhausted their limit of instruments (it is simply impossible to easy monetary policy for many countries), and, at the same time, the debts of countries are increasing, which is a serious threat. The trade war is a trigger for recessionary processes says, Roubini.
The US seems to be interested in Europe, again. The United States, in an ongoing dispute over subsidizing the aviation industry (the European Union illegally subsidized Airbus Corp), is considering imposing tariffs on an additional 89 items with an annual trade volume of $ 4 billion, including cheese, pasta, whiskey, metals, and chemical products.
In this light, a sharp increase in gold is quite understandable.
Meanwhile, the majority of respondents believe that the ruble has reached its ceiling and it’s simply no way to grow to, Bloomberg's latest monthly survey found. In the future, the decline of the Russian currency is inevitable. Moreover, the state itself is interested in a weak ruble. Recall that the existing budget rule is aimed at artificially creating an imbalance in the foreign exchange market in favor of the dollar and against the ruble. For instance, since the fiscal rule has been imposed, the ruble fell against the dollar by almost 5%, but at the same time, oil prices rose by 17%. That is, the ruble becomes cheaper even if oil prices rise. Well, if they start to fall, it will just be cheaper as well but faster. In this light, it is useful to recall our constant recommendation to sell the Russian ruble on its any growth.
In terms of macroeconomic statistics, yesterday was relatively calm in terms of macroeconomic statistics. The index of business activity in the construction sector showed its lowest figures since 2009 (43.1, with forecast of 49.3).
Data on employment in the US from ADP is what we are interested in today. Recall that last time they signaled about future problems in the data from the NFP. So we closely monitor the indicator and prepare to sell the dollar in case of its failure. In addition, we are waiting for data on business activity and the trade balance in the United States.
Our trading recommendations for today: we are looking for points for sales of the dollar and the Russian ruble, as well as AUDUSD. We sell oil. We can not but note that gold current price is extremely attractive for sales, but do not forget to be careful.