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EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 11, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar experienced sustained bearish sentiment during this week's trading session, reaching our reignited Inner Currency Dip of 1.090. The prevailing selling pressure towards the support level of 1.079 is temporarily halted. A transient rebound is anticipated due to the significance of completing the Inner Currency Dip. However, considering the current bearish price action, the probability of further declines to the support level of 1.079 remains substantial.
by TradeSelecter
Is a New ECB Rate Cut Just Days Away? European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde signaled that weaker-than-expected inflation will be on the agenda at the central bank’s October meeting next week. This has fueled speculation that policymakers could move to cut rates again. For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox. Germany’s sluggish growth has added to the ECB’s challenges. While other parts of the eurozone are showing signs of recovery, Berlin issued a stark warning this week, forecasting its economy will contract for a second consecutive year—a major drag on the region’s broader outlook. Technical signals also potentially point to downside risks. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching oversold territory, and a break below the 1.0900 level could see traders targeting the 200-day moving average near 1.08710
by BlackBull_Markets
EURUSD weakens due to ECB's dovish stance The Eurozone Retail Trade (Aug) increased by 0.2%(MoM), reaching a five-month high in line with expectations. However, the annual figures fell below expectations, indicating a general decline in consumer spending. In contrast, German factory orders experienced a significant 5.8%(MoM) decrease (previously 3.9%, consensus -1.9%). These conflicting economic indicators may compel the ECB to adopt a cautious stance by prioritizing growth and could result in additional monetary easing, potentially leading to a weakening of the euro. EURUSD broke the 1.1000 threshold and consolidated near the 1.0980 level. EMA21 has death-crossed EMA78 and widened the gap between them, indicating a bearish trend. If EURUSD sustains below 1.1000 and breaks 1.0950, the price may fall further to 1.0870. Conversely, if EURUSD breaches the 1.1000 threshold and EMA21, the price could rise to 1.1050.
by inkicho_exness
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 4, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar exhibited significant bearish sentiment during this week's trading session, and uncertainty prevailed regarding the currency trajectory amid Dead-Cat rebound activity. Three critical support levels were breached: Mean Support at 1.111, 1.108, and 1.101, ultimately stabilizing at the pivotal Mean Support of 1.097. The prevailing short-term buying pressure propels the currency towards a potential upward movement to the Mean Resistance level of 1.103. Nevertheless, the likelihood of further declines to the supplementary Inner Currency Dip at 1.090 remains strong, given the current interim price action.
by TradeSelecter
Will the ECB's dovish stance put downward pressure on the euro? EURUSD has remained range-bound between 1.1100~1.1215 for the week amidst escalating debates on whether the ECB will implement further rate cuts. Germany's September CPI has dropped to 1.6% YoY, down from the previous month's 1.9%. Market expectations indicate that the eurozone's CPI will decrease to 1.9% in September from 2.2%, marking the first time it has fallen below 2% since July 2021. A sustained decline in eurozone CPI could prompt the ECB to lower interest rates, exerting additional downward pressure on the euro. Since last week, EURUSD has consolidated in the 1.1110-1.1215 range. After breaking EMAs, the price awaits an additional catalyst for a bounce back. If EURUSD recovers above EMA21 and breaches 1.1215, the price could surge to 1.1270, the highest since Jul 2023. Conversely, if EURUSD breaks the support at 1.1110, the price could fall further to 1.1050.
by inkicho_exness
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has exhibited volatile fluctuations in the current trading session, encountering resistance at the pivotal Key Resistance level of 1.119 with a possible extension to retest the completed Outer Currency Rally of 1.124. This pattern reflects uncertainty regarding the currency's trajectory amidst the ongoing Dead-Cat rebound activity. The prevailing short-term buying pressure is directing the currency towards a potential downward movement to the support level of 1.111, with the prospect of further declines to supplementary support levels at 1.108 and 1.101, given the present interim price action.
by TradeSelecter
BTC - 9/24/2024Historically, unemployment and inflation tend to alternate each other- hence the Philips inversion curve and other trading philosophies. Inflation is not necessarily under check in my opinion, but retail and establishments are eyeing up entries here as central banks like the ECB, BOJ, and Fed start cutting their interest rates as job numbers have arguably seemed to look good. In any case, I see cash injections in the economy and eased lending leading to some faith for a bullish scenario. The last time inflation and unemployment alternated severity, it caused a pretty substantial drop in BTC prices before a super-cycle. I'm bullish on the cycle overall.
Long
by O_Positive
EURUSD Analysis: Anticipating a Slight Bearish Bias Towards 1.1!EURUSD Analysis: Anticipating a Slight Bearish Bias Towards 1.10000 (24/09/2024) As we analyze the EURUSD pair this week, a slight bearish bias appears probable, with a target near the pivotal level of 1.10000. Key drivers for this outlook include the recent economic data releases, central bank policies, and market sentiment. 1. Economic Data: Recent Eurozone economic indicators have shown mixed results, with weak manufacturing PMI figures suggesting slowing growth. Conversely, US economic data, particularly strong job numbers and retail sales, point to a robust economy, potentially strengthening the dollar. 2. Central Bank Divergence: The European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to maintain a dovish stance amid economic uncertainties, while the Federal Reserve appears committed to a tighter monetary policy. This divergence could exert downward pressure on the euro. 3. Market Sentiment: Increased risk aversion due to geopolitical tensions may lead investors to favor safe-haven currencies like the USD, further supporting the bearish outlook for EURUSD. In conclusion, the combination of economic fundamentals, central bank policies, and market sentiment suggests that EURUSD may trend towards 1.10000 this week. Traders should stay alert for potential market shifts and adjust their strategies accordingly. Keywords: EURUSD analysis, bearish bias, economic data, central bank policy, ECB, Fed, market sentiment, forex trading, trading strategies, 1.10000 target.
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar has displayed significant volatility within the defined range of Mean Support at 1.101 and Key Resistance at 1.119. This behavior reflects uncertainty regarding the currency's trajectory amidst the ongoing Dead-Cat rebound activity. The prevailing transient buying pressure is steering the currency towards a downward retreat to the support level of 1.111, with potential further retreats to supplementary support levels at 1.108 and 1.101 in light of the ongoing interim price movement.
by TradeSelecter
EURUSD extends uptrend due to dollar weakness EURUSD advanced to the 1.1140 level after breaching the descending channel’s upper bound as the dollar’s weakness intensified. EMA21 is widening the gap after golden-crossing EMA78, indicating an apparent bullish signal. If EURUSD holds above EMA21, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 1.1200 resistance. Conversely, if EURUSD fails to keep the 1.1100 support, where EMA21 intersects, the price could fall further to 1.1050.
by inkicho_exness
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar exhibited a modest decline, briefly breaching the predefined support level of 1.103 and decisively transitioning to the freshly established resistance level of 1.110. The transient selling propels the currency downwards to the support level of 1.101, with a potential extension to the supplementary support levels of 1.097 and 1.091 amidst the interim price movement.
by TradeSelecter
Euro rises after ECB cuts interest ratesThe euro has extended its gains on Friday. EUR/USD is trading at 1.1091 in the European session at the time of writing, up 0.13% today. The euro has climbed 0.7% since the ECB’s rate cut on Thursday. The European Central Bank delivered as expected on Thursday, trimming the key interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.5%. This was the second rate cut in the current rate-lowering cycle, as the ECB responded to falling inflation and a deteriorating eurozone economy. The war against inflation is largely won, which enabled the ECB to deliver the rate cut. Inflation in the eurozone has dropped to 2.2%, close to the target of 2%. The ECB updated inflation forecast was unchanged from June, with inflation expected to average 2.5% in 2024 and 2.2% in 2025 At a press conference, ECB President Lagarde reiterated that rate decisions would be made “meeting by meeting” based on economic data, essentially ditching forward guidance. Lagarde sounded somewhat hawkish, noting that wage growth remains high and the labor market is still resilient. The ECB is being cautious and has signaled it will take a slow approach to further cuts and the markets are looking at a cut in December. If economic conditions suddenly worsen, the central bank would have to consider a rate cut next month. The Federal Reserve meets next week and rate cut odds continue to swing wildly. The US producer price index eased to 1.7% y/y in August, down from a downwardly revised 2.1% in July and below the market estimate of 1.8%. This sent the odds of a half-point cut soaring to 41%, up from just 13% yesterday, according the CME’s FedWatch. The Fed meeting is live, with plenty of uncertainty as whether the Fed will cut by 25 or 50 basis points. EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.1099 and 1.1123 There is support at 1.1052 and 1.1028
by OANDA
EURUSDHello Traders! What are your thoughts on EURUSD? This currency pair is currently positioned below a key resistance zone. It is expected that after a brief upward correction, it will likely decline towards the specified level. Additionally, the European Central Bank’s monetary policy meeting, scheduled to take place in the coming hours, could serve as a key catalyst for this pair's movement. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
15
Pre ECB Rates Decision Analysis12th September (ECB Rates Pending) DXY: Climbing towards 102 resistance, could push higher if EUR weakens, needs to break 102.20 for further upside to 102.70 NZDUSD: Sell 0.6135 SL 20 TP 60 (Hesitation at 0.6110) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6685 SL 20 TP 60 GBPUSD: Sell 1.3030 SL 25 TP 60 EURUSD: Rates decision pending, straddle opportunity, Sell 1.0985 SL 20 TP 45 USDJPY: Sell 143.50 SL 50 TP 150 USDCHF: Buy 0.8585 SL 40 TP 80 USDCAD: Sell 1.3580 SL 30 TP 70 Gold: Needs to stay below 2520 for downside to 2500
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
Thoughts on EURUSD before the ECB rate. H4 12.09.2024Thoughts on EURUSD before the ECB rate I expect the euro to reach 1.0950-1.10 down to the area of option hedges and profile accumulation, and then continue to grow. Of course, there may be surprises, but this is my prior view. In detail we need to keep an eye on the new option fillings, they will tell us which areas will be hedged. The market is expecting a 0.25% rate cut, but the main movement will be given at the press conference on further ECB monetary policy plans. My subscribers and I closed our sales in the private channel yesterday.
Short
by KovachTrader
USD/JPY: Reversal Signal or More Downside? The Japanese yen has tested prices below 141, an eight-month low for the pair. But eventually pulled back above 142. From a technical perspective, this long wick might look to some traders to be the start of a small reversal before its eventual sojourn lower. Rom a fundamental perspective, US Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in a few hours ago lower than expected. Which means the US Federal Reserve might forgo a 50bps cut in favor of a 25bps next week. This might help support the US dollar in the face of yen strength. Now we have US Producer Price Index (PPI) to look forward to on Thursday. The Yen against Euro could be interesting to keep an eye on too in the lead up to the European Central Bank (ECB) decision. On Thursday, the ECB is expected to cut its interest rate to 3.5% from 3.75%.
by BlackBull_Markets
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 6, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar exhibited a rebound from the Mean Support level of 1.102. It effectively breached our Mean Resistance level at 1.109, establishing a newly created Mean Res 1.115. The transient selling pressure led to a significant downward movement and is anticipated to retrace back towards the Mean Support at 1.102, possibly reaching down to the interim level of Mean Support at 1.097 in the interim price action.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD: Will ECB Resume Rate Cuts Next Week? Futures markets are pricing in a US rate cut for September, with a 62% chance of a 25-basis point cut and a 38% chance of 50-basis points. The Fed’s dovish shift has helped the euro surge to its highest level in more than a year. Attention now shifts to the ECB’s 12 September rate decision. After cutting rates in June and pausing in July, analysts expect the ECB to resume easing amid slowing growth. However, ECB board member Isabel Schnabel, a key hawk, maintains that inflation concerns should take priority over growth concerns. For EUR/USD, bulls may target the December high of 1.1134 and July high of 1.1275, with support possibly near 1.1000.
by BlackBull_Markets
EUR/USD - ECB eyeing German, eurozone CPIThe euro has extended its decline on Thursday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1095 at the time of writing, down 0.22% on the day. The US dollar has rebounded against the euro this week, climbing 0.89%. Inflation is expected to ease in Germany and the eurozone, which could have significant impact on the European Central Bank rate announcement on Sept. 12. Inflation declined in German states and the national harmonized inflation rate is expected to fall to 2.1% y/y in August, down from 2.3% in July. The eurozone releases CPI on Friday. The market estimate for CPI stands at 2.2%, compared to 2.6% in July. The core inflation rate is expected to creep lower to 2.8%, down from 2.9% in July. A drop in inflation in Germany and the eurozone would support the case for another rate reduction next month. The weak eurozone economy and the fact that the Federal Reserve is also poised to lower rates have strengthened the case to cut rates. At the same time, concern about wage increases is a reason for the ECB to hold off on cutting rates. The Federal Reserve is poised to cut rates next month, which would mark the US central bank joining in the global trend of central banks lowering rates now that the threat of inflation has largely abated. Most FOMC members have come out in favor of a September cut but Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said on Wednesday that the Fed should wait for additional data before lowering rates as it would be a mistake to cut and then have to hike again. EUR/USD is testing support at 1.1087. Below, there is support at 1.1055 There is resistance at 1.1138 and 1.1170
by OANDA
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 23, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar showed strong upward momentum throughout this week's trading session. It reached our Key Resistance at 1.111 and completed the Inner Currency Rally at 1.112. Further buying pressure pushed the price to complete an extended Inner Currency Rally at 1.120, with the potential to reach the completed Outer Currency Rally at 1.124. Conversely, selling pressure at the current level could drive the price down to our Support level of 1.111.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar exhibited consistent upward momentum throughout the current week's trading session. It successfully retested the Mean Resistance level of 1.099 and the completed Inner Currency Rally at 1.100. The breakthrough of these thresholds led to the establishment of a new Mean Resistance at 1.104. A breach of this pivotal level may incite rapid upward movement, targeting the Key Res 1.111 and culminating in the completion of the Inner Currency Rally at 1.112. Conversely, the prevailing downward analysis projects a sustained descent toward a critical Mean Support level of 1.097.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 9, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar demonstrated consistent upward momentum during this week's trading session, reaching our Mean Resistance level of 1.094 and retesting the completed Inner Currency Rally at 1.094. The substantial breakthrough of these targets resulted in establishing a new Mean Resistance at 1.099 and a complete Inner Currency Rally at 1.100. The prevailing analysis indicates a sustained downward trajectory toward a critical Mean Support level of 1.089. The breach of this significant target may prompt rapid downward movements, potentially extending to target the subsequent Mean Support level of 1.079.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 2, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the most recent trading session, the Eurodollar displayed its ability to recover from the completed Inner Currency Dip of 1.082 and Mean Support levels of 1.081 and 1.078. The prevailing analysis indicates a sustained upward trajectory toward a Mean Support level and its associated completed Inner Currency Dip of 1.094. These critical targets may prompt swift downward movements toward a Mean Support of 1.083, potentially extending to target the subsequent Mean Support level of 1.078.
by TradeSelecter