The Day AheadMacro Data:
US June factory orders fell 9.3% due to a big drop in aircraft orders. Excluding transport, orders rose 0.2%, but core capital goods fell 0.7%, pointing to weaker business investment. Manufacturing PMI stayed in contraction for a 4th month.
Japan July monetary base fell 3.9% y/y, showing reduced liquidity despite steady interest rates.
Switzerland July CPI was flat, with annual inflation at just 0.1%, staying very low.
Earnings:
Palantir expected strong revenue growth (~+38% YoY) from government and commercial AI work, but valuation is high.
Vertex seen with steady sales and profits from its drug portfolio.
MercadoLibre expected ~28–29% YoY revenue growth from e-commerce and fintech.
Williams Cos forecast stable earnings from energy infrastructure.
Mitsubishi UFJ reports later this week.
Conclusion:
US data points to slowing manufacturing and business investment.
Japan’s monetary base drop signals gradual tightening.
Switzerland’s inflation is very subdued.
Earnings focus is on high-growth names like Palantir and MercadoLibre—markets will watch if results can justify rich valuations.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Econimicdata
The Day AheadKey Economic Data
US Q1 GDP (2nd estimate)
Critical gauge of US economic strength. A stronger print supports the USD and Treasury yields; a weaker print could increase rate cut expectations.
US Initial Jobless Claims
Weekly labor market barometer. Higher claims may signal softening employment, boosting rate cut speculation.
US April Pending Home Sales
Forward-looking housing data. Affects homebuilder stocks and rate-sensitive sectors.
Japan May Consumer Confidence Index
Influences JPY and Nikkei futures. A strong number supports risk sentiment in Asia.
Italy May Consumer & Manufacturing Confidence, March Industrial Sales
Could affect EUR and European equity indexes, especially if significantly diverging from consensus.
Canada Q1 Current Account Balance
Impacts CAD. A stronger balance may support CAD crosses; relevant for BoC watchers.
Central Bank Activity
Fed Speakers: Barkin, Goolsbee, Daly
Market-sensitive remarks possible, especially around inflation, labor market, and rate path.
Key for interpreting near-term FOMC expectations.
Earnings Reports
Major reports: Costco, Royal Bank of Canada, Dell, Marvell, Zscaler, Gap
These span retail, finance, tech, and cybersecurity.
Potentially high-impact for:
Retail sentiment (Costco, Gap)
Tech momentum (Dell, Marvell, Zscaler)
Financial sector positioning (Royal Bank of Canada)
Bond Market
US 7-Year Treasury Note Auction
Important for yield curve positioning.
Weak demand may steepen the curve; strong demand could support duration plays.
Trading Takeaways
Macro setup: GDP + claims = key risk barometer for USD and yields.
Volatility catalyst: Earnings after-hours may drive post-market Nasdaq and futures volatility.
Bond traders: Watch auction tail and bid metrics closely; implications for near-term Treasury direction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.