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All Employees to Population Flashing CAUTION!As I have been saying in chat. It is hard to increase revenues, profits, and EPS without more workers producing. We have seen that reality play out in the data. Deporting prime-age labor and imposing taxes on ourselves is certainly not going to help. There is only so much output an economy is capable of. Giving tax cuts to the rich certainly won't change how much output an economy can generate. Reciprocating tariffs certainly won't help exporters grow profit or create jobs. Caution is in order!
FRED:PAYEMSShort
by RealMacro
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.14.2024🔮 📅 Tue Jan 14 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core PPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.2%) 📊 PPI m/m: 0.4% (prev: 0.4%) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will hold and run higher. Weekly will pin it down. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Pullbacks here and there but will get bought up. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here...again. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXLong
by PogChan
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 01.08.2025🔮 📅 Wed Jan 8 ⏰ 8:15am 🧑‍🌾 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 139K (prev: 146K) ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Unemployment Claims: 214K (prev: 211K) 🎙️ FOMC Member Waller Speaks ⏰ 10:30am 🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -1.8M (prev: -1.2M) ⏰ 2:00pm 📜 FOMC Meeting Minutes 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: Slight rally higher and then chop out. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: A little more upside and then faced by some old-fashioned bearishness. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXShort
by PogChan
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.6.2024🔮 📣 Corporate News: 💻 Nvidia CEO's CES Keynote (Mon) on AI & Semiconductor Tech 🗓️ Schedule Note: Markets Closed Thu 🇺🇸 in honor of former President Jimmy Carter 📅 Tue Jan 7 ⏰ 10:00am 📈 ISM Services PMI: 53.2 (prev: 52.1) 📋 JOLTS Job Openings: 7.77M (prev: 7.74M) 📅 Wed Jan 8 ⏰ 8:15am 🧑‍🌾 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 131K (prev: 146K) ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Unemployment Claims: 210K (prev: 211K) ⏰ 2:00pm 📜 FOMC Meeting Minutes 📅 Fri Jan 10 ⏰ 8:30am 💰 Average Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.4%) 👷 Non-Farm Employment Change: 154K (prev: 227K) 📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (prev: 4.2%) #ces #trading #foryou #shorts #stockmarket #finance #daily NASDAQ:NVDA
SP:SPXShort
by PogChan
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 12.30.2024🔮 📅 Mon Dec 30 ⏰ 9:45am Chicago PMI: 42.7 (previous: 40.2) ⏰ 10:00am Pending Home Sales m/m: 0.9% (previous: 2.0%) 📅 Tue Dec 31 ⏰ 9:00am S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y: 4.1% (previous: 4.6%) 📅 Thu Jan 2 ⏰ 8:30am Unemployment Claims: 220K (previous: 219K) ⏰ 9:45am Final Manufacturing PMI: 48.3 (previous: 48.3) ⏰ 11:00am Crude Oil Inventories 📅 Fri Jan 3 ⏰ 10:00am ISM Manufacturing PMI: 48.3 (previous: 48.4) GAP ABOVE HPZ: Markets are playing traders like a fiddle. If it pumps then an impeding drop OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Tag the upper levels before drop into 5951 area GAP BELOW HCZ: This will cause extreme hedging which will drag the markets up higher before a dump lower #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPX
by PogChan
It's Make Or Break in less than 1HR for GBPUSD. Check back. If there is 1 pair that has caused some up-down-up-down crazy, frustrating, manipulated-maybe price-action, stealing the show the past month or so would be GBPUSD. Further falls over the past 16 hours or so, with USD$ rallying following CPI data for USA. Well now its Great Britain's turn with the data in less than an hour. GDP is being released in the UK. This is what it all entails for the Pound to bounce or fail further falls. I am tipping the former. au.investing.com 18:00 GBP Construction Output (MoM) (Oct) 0.2% 0.1% 18:00 GBP U.K. Construction Output (YoY) (Oct) 0.0% -0.4% 18:00 GBP GDP (MoM) (Oct) 0.1% -0.1% 18:00 GBP GDP (YoY) (Oct) 1.6% 1.0% 18:00 GBP Industrial Production (MoM) (Oct) 0.3% -0.5% 18:00 GBP Industrial Production (YoY) (Oct) 0.2% -1.8% 18:00 GBP Manufacturing Production (YoY) (Oct) 0.9% -0.7% 18:00 GBP Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Oct) 0.2% -1.0% 18:00 GBP Monthly GDP 3M/3M Change (Oct) 0.2% 0.1% 18:00 GBP Trade Balance (Oct) -16.10B -16.32B 18:00 GBP Trade Balance Non-EU (Oct) -5.31B Check back and I will give my impressions of 'sides' & possible trading action to take.
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
Will the Dollar Index Redefine Global Economic Equilibrium?In the intricate dance of international trade and geopolitical strategy, the Dollar Index emerges as a critical compass navigating the turbulent waters of economic uncertainty. The article illuminates how this financial barometer reflects the profound implications of proposed tariffs by the U.S. administration, revealing a complex interplay of currencies, trade relationships, and global market sentiments that extend far beyond mere numerical fluctuations. The proposed tariffs targeting key trading partners like Canada, Mexico, and China represent more than economic policy—they are strategic maneuvers with potential seismic shifts in global trade dynamics. As the Dollar Index climbs, reflecting the U.S. dollar's strength, it simultaneously exposes the delicate balance of international economic relationships. The potential consequences ripple through supply chains, consumer markets, and diplomatic corridors, challenging the post-World War II trade paradigm and forcing nations to recalibrate their economic strategies in real time. Beyond the immediate market reactions, these developments signal a broader philosophical question about economic sovereignty and interdependence. The tariff proposals challenge long-established multilateral agreements, potentially accelerating a transformation in how nations perceive economic collaboration. While the immediate impact is visible in currency fluctuations and market volatility, the long-term implications could reshape global economic architecture, prompting a reevaluation of the U.S. dollar's role as the predominant global reserve currency and testing the resilience of international trade networks.
INDEX:DXYLong
by signalmastermind
Is Global Oil Demand the Key to Energy Market Stability?In the intricate landscape of global energy markets, the question of oil demand remains a central enigma. Driven by a confluence of geopolitical tensions, OPEC+ production strategies, and economic dynamics, global oil demand is a complex tapestry that shapes the future of energy markets. Geopolitical events, particularly in the Middle East, have historically been a significant driver of oil price volatility. The recent escalation of tensions has once again underscored the delicate balance between geopolitical stability and global oil supply. As geopolitical risks rise, so too does the price of oil, impacting investors in oil-related securities like the United States Oil Fund (USO). However, geopolitical factors are just one piece of the puzzle. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, OPEC+, play a crucial role in regulating global oil supply. Their production decisions, often influenced by economic considerations and geopolitical pressures, can significantly impact oil prices and, consequently, global oil demand. Beyond geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ dynamics, economic factors also play a vital role in shaping global oil demand. The global economy, with its cyclical nature, influences energy consumption. During periods of economic growth, oil demand tends to increase, while economic downturns can lead to reduced consumption. The interplay between geopolitical risks, OPEC+ strategies, and economic factors creates a complex and dynamic environment for the global oil market. Understanding these intricate relationships is essential for investors seeking to navigate the challenges and opportunities presented by the oil sector.
AMEX:USOLong
by signalmastermind
Bitcoin 1H UpdateMEXC:BTCUSDT Apparently a correction has been started. The high of the structure confirmed by touching the IDM.i. If the 1H candle closed lower than IDM.i, we may expect price to drop further to the DP.i / ENG.i / EX.i otherwise the IDM.i grabbed and make a SCOB for us to enter another Buy Position and the target one is the high of structure (63850) and the second target is the MPL zone (64460). P.S: In the DPs & ENGs zones and grabbed IDMs we MUST get a confirmation signal to enter position which is SCOB or lower time frame (LTF) ChoCh. (EXs are confirmation-free entries) I will update Bitcoin regularly.. Take Care Aurio
by x-Aurio
Is the S&P 500's Bull Run a Mirage?The S&P 500's recent all-time high has ignited a frenzy of optimism among investors. However, as the market reaches unprecedented heights, questions arise about the sustainability of this bull run and the potential risks lurking beneath the surface. While the allure of soaring stock prices is undeniable, investing in a market at its peak carries inherent risks. The concentration of returns within a few dominant stocks (such as Nvidia, Alphabet, and Amazon), coupled with the potential for geopolitical shocks and economic downturns, introduces significant uncertainty. The dot-com bubble serves as a stark reminder of the market's cyclical nature and the perils of overvaluation. To navigate this complex landscape, investors must adopt a balanced approach. Diversification, coupled with a keen understanding of economic indicators, geopolitical events, and corporate news, is essential for making informed decisions. By recognizing the potential pitfalls and taking proactive measures to mitigate risk, investors can position themselves for long-term success in the ever-evolving market. The S&P 500's future remains uncertain, but by approaching the bull market with a critical eye and a strategic mindset, investors can navigate the challenges and capitalize on the opportunities that lie ahead.
CBOE:SPXShort
by signalmastermind
Why is the Canadian Dollar Outperforming Expectations?A Deep Dive into the Unexpected Resilience of the CAD In a landscape marked by economic uncertainty, the Canadian dollar has defied the odds, exhibiting remarkable resilience. This unexpected strength is a result of a complex interplay of factors, including the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, market dynamics, and global commodity trends. The Federal Reserve's Pivotal Role The Federal Reserve's shift towards a more accommodative monetary policy has been a key driver of the CAD's rally. The Fed's hints at potential rate cuts, especially in response to a weakening labor market, have weakened the U.S. dollar, boosting the appeal of other G10 currencies, including the CAD. This has created a favorable environment for the Canadian dollar, as investors seek higher-yielding alternatives to the U.S. dollar. Short Covering and Positioning Dynamics Another significant factor contributing to the CAD's strength is a wave of short covering. Traders had previously bet against the CAD, anticipating a divergence between the easing cycles of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada. However, as the U.S. dollar weakened and the CAD began to rise, these short positions became increasingly unsustainable. Traders were forced to unwind their bets, adding momentum to the CAD's rally. The Impact of Rising Oil Prices Canada's significant oil exports make it particularly sensitive to fluctuations in oil prices. The recent increase in crude oil prices, driven by geopolitical tensions and potential supply disruptions, has provided a further boost to the CAD. As a major oil producer, Canada benefits from higher oil prices, which can lead to increased exports and a stronger currency. Assessing the Risks and Challenges While the CAD's rally has been impressive, it is important to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could undermine its momentum. The Bank of Canada's rate cuts, although expected, could narrow yield differentials and put pressure on the CAD. Additionally, ongoing global uncertainties and subdued risk appetite could limit the loonie's upside potential. Key Data to Watch Several key data releases will be closely monitored in the coming weeks. Canada's GDP data will provide insights into the health of the Canadian economy and could influence the Bank of Canada's policy trajectory. Meanwhile, U.S. economic reports, such as PCE, will be watched for potential shifts that could affect the USD/CAD exchange rate. Conclusion The Canadian dollar's unexpected resilience is a testament to its strength in a challenging economic environment. While the current momentum is positive, investors should remain cautious and closely monitor key economic indicators. By understanding the underlying factors driving the CAD's rally and assessing the potential risks, investors can make informed decisions about their currency exposure.
Short
by signalmastermind
Title: Ringgit Rally Fuels Foreign Bond Inflows: A Deep DiveThe Malaysian ringgit has experienced a substantial appreciation, driven by robust foreign investment in the domestic bond market. A surge in capital inflows, totaling RM5.5 billion in July alone, has propelled the ringgit's performance. This analysis delves into the underlying economic factors driving this trend, examining key indicators and assessing the outlook for sustained growth. While the current trajectory is promising, investors must remain cognizant of potential global economic headwinds. Key Points: Strong foreign inflows into Malaysian bonds Ringgit's appreciation driven by multiple factors Deep dive into economic indicators shaping USD/MYR Assessment of Malaysia's economic fundamentals Cautious outlook amid potential global challenges Key Drivers of the Ringgit Rally: Currency Appreciation: Investors are buying bonds unhedged, betting on further ringgit gains. Strong Domestic Economy: Malaysia's economic robustness and expected interest rate stability bolster investor confidence. Global Factors: Anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts weakening the USD benefit the ringgit. Economic Indicators Influencing USD/MYR: Interest Rate Differentials: Higher local rates attract foreign capital, strengthening the ringgit. Inflation Rates: Low inflation supports currency value. T rade Balance: Surpluses strengthen the ringgit, reflecting Malaysia's export strength. Economic Growth: Domestic consumption and government spending drive economic growth, enhancing the ringgit's appeal. Political Stability: A stable political climate attracts investment, supporting the currency. Global Economic Conditions: Global trends and geopolitical events affect investor risk appetite and currency flows. Outlook: Malaysia's diversified economy, fiscal prudence, and growing middle class underpin the ringgit's strength. Efforts to boost foreign direct investment and exports further support currency appreciation. However, global uncertainties, US monetary policy shifts, and geopolitical tensions could introduce volatility.
Long
by signalmastermind
S&P 500: All-Time Highs and Potential DeclineS&P 500 (SPX) Technical Analysis The S&P 500 (SPX) has continued its bullish trend as anticipated the previous week, successfully reaching the projected target of 5450. However, it now appears poised for a potential decline. This Week's Outlook: The price is likely to experience a strong bearish correction as long as it trades below 5450, potentially reaching 5310 and 5260. However, the SPX is expected to consolidate between 5450 and 5260. Bullish Scenario: To initiate a new bullish trend, the price must close at least a 4-hour candle above 5450, targeting 5485. Sustained stability above 5450 would be required to confirm a bullish move towards 5550. Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 5450, it is expected to drop towards 5345 and 5310. A further decline could see the price reaching 5260. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 5450 - Resistance Levels: 5484, 5525, 5550 - Support Levels: 5372, 5320, 5261 Weekly Expected Trading Range: The anticipated movement range for this week is between the resistance at 5460 and the support at 5260. In summary, maintaining a position below 5450 suggests a bearish outlook with lower support targets in focus. Conversely, closing above 5450 could indicate a bullish reversal, aiming for higher resistance levels. Our Previous Weekly Idea: Fundamental Analysis:: Market Analysis: S&P 500 at All-Time Highs Amid Overbought Conditions Overbought Conditions Aren't a Sell Signal: A low VIX indicates an overbought condition, but it does not serve as a sell signal. Bullish Momentum in the S&P 500: The S&P 500 (SPX) is once again at all-time highs, with bullish momentum accelerating. Following a favorable interpretation of the consumer price index figures on Wednesday, the S&P 500 surged to new intraday and closing all-time highs. Fed's Impact and Market Reaction: Despite a somewhat lukewarm outcome from the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting later that day, which triggered some sell programs, the overall buying momentum remained strong. Positive Indicators Amid Overbought Conditions: Our indicators have largely remained positive throughout this phase and continue to signal bullishness. However, overbought conditions are starting to appear, which is expected given the strength of the rally.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
🔥🔥GOLD TO 2330🔥🔥❤️MY FOREX TEAM❤️ INFORMATION Gold price climbs steadily, eyeing Wednesday's $2,300 psychological figure amid high US Treasury bond yields and a soft US Dollar. Speeches from Federal Reserve officials, strong jobs data, and a dip in services business activity weighed on the American currency. Therefore, the XAU/USD spot price is at $2,295, refreshing all-time highs and gaining more than 0.60%. Recently, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated the US central bank has time to deliberate about rate cuts, given the strength of the economy and the inflation readings. He reiterated that if the economy evolves as expected, they will cut borrowing costs “at some point this year.” 💲BUY / SELL SIGNAL UPDATES SHORTLY💲 Follow channel for regular updates Everyone success..👍👍👍 ❤️MY FOREX TEAM - Technical Analysis Technical indicators SMA | EMA | MACD | SAR | VWAP | RSI | MARKET TREND | NEWS ❤️NOTE Gold price soars, supported by weakening US Dollar in face of high Treasury yields. XAU/USD was boosted by Fed Chair Powell hinting at rate cuts within the year, contingent on sustained inflation decline. Despite a strong job market as shown by ADP data, indications of a slowdown in services activity contribute to the precious metal's gains. ❤️MONEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT ⚡️ Only Trade With Risk Capital ⚡️ Cut Losses Short, Let Profits Run On ⚡️ Avoid Using Too Much Leverage ⚡️ Avoid Taking Too Much Heat ⚡️ Do Not Give in to Greed ⚡️ Take profit equal to 4-6% of your capital ⚡️ Stop lose equal to 2-3% of your capital
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by My_Forex_Team