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Economic Cycles

Thesis — How XRP Could Reach Triple Digits Within 12 MonthsAbout a month ago, I pointed out a pattern that preceded XRP’s explosive bull run in 2017. That same pattern is now playing out almost identically — and if the fractal continues to hold, XRP could be gearing up for another major move. Frankly, the 4-hour chart is a near-mirror image of 2017’s setup. I’ve overlaid the original bar pattern onto today’s price action — the resemblance is hard to ignore. If this plays out: We could see a test of all-time highs within a week Double-digit XRP by mid-year Triple-digit XRP by late 2025 or early 2026 No guarantees, of course — but the structure is clear, and the setup is there. For context, I view the November rally as XRP simply reverting to where it would have been had regulatory pressure not artificially suppressed the price. That move wasn’t the bull run — it was a reset. Importantly, alt season still hasn’t kicked off (just look at BTC dominance), and XRP’s fundamentals are stronger than ever: Lawsuit behind us ETFs likely coming Ongoing partnerships Pro-crypto regulatory tone globally Technically and fundamentally, XRP has never looked better.
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by Drmagicman
Altcoin Market (OTHERS) Cycle Analysis: To the Moon !Let’s take a closer look at the previous bull cycle of the Others (Altcoin Market Cap excluding BTC & ETH) chart. Before the major upward move, the market declined for months, eventually finding strong support around the $170B level. After forming a higher low and a clear change of character (CHOCH), the market entered a sustained bullish phase. For 124 consecutive days, we witnessed a strong altcoin rally. As of now, price action appears to be mirroring that same structure — but with a potential to push even higher than the previous ATH. In this scenario, the target stands around the $470B level. As long as OTHERS holds above the $170B support, the altcoin market remains in recovery mode, and further upside is very much on the table. — Thanks for reading.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by vs_sayin
5
$BTC Post Death Cross PA Has NOT Confirmed 200DMA - Must Read!Throughout Bitcoin's history it has had 11 Death Crosses (50DMA crossing under 200DMA), and 10 of those times price has retested the 200DMA within ~3 months (with 1 outlier). Do you know what time it did NOT retest the 200DMA? You might have guessed it… this most recent death cross ☠️ The only outlier that price did not retest the 200DMA within ~3 months was in 2015, where it took nearly a year to retest. In that time, CRYPTOCAP:BTC ripped 200% just 75 days later, which marked the start of the PARABOLA. This is why I have been so adamant with sticking to my base case for Bitcoin’s next move. Is this time different? 🥸 Will it take nearly a year to retest the 200DMA? An interesting observation I found was that if we take 90D from the most recent death cross, it brings us out to July 6th, which is right around when the 90-day pause of tariffs is lifted 🧐 Having said all that, if PA confidently breaks above and confirms previous ATH (~$110k), I will lean towards the 2015 outlier for the 200DMA retest, which would put us into late Q1 2026. That would line up nicely with a suspected top of the cycle 🥲
INDEX:BTCUSD
by jonnieking
BTC/USD – 4H Quick AnalysisBTC just broke above the bearish OTE zone from the major retracement between 109K and 74K, confirming a strong bullish breakout. 📈 This aggressive move has shifted the market structure firmly to the upside, with momentum clearly in favor of buyers. 🔎 If we extend the Fibonacci levels from this breakout, the next major targets could be around the 130K region and potentially higher, assuming the current momentum holds. 💥 This breakout also indicates that liquidity has been reclaimed without a deep pullback, suggesting that buyers are confidently stepping in without waiting for lower prices. ⚠️ Key observations: No significant liquidity sweep below recent lows before the breakout – a sign of aggressive buying. Strong rejection of the FVG 4H, now acting as support if retested. Clear break of the bearish OTE, removing a major supply level from the market structure. 👉 As long as the price holds above 100K, the path to 130K+ seems increasingly likely, with minimal resistance in the way.
VANTAGE:BTCUSDLong
by BenMcyInsights
1
Nasdaq US100 Wave 3 Expansion Toward 31,606 in PlayNasdaq US100 has completed a significant wave cycle with a confirmed wave 1 in the broader Elliott Wave structure. Following this, price underwent a corrective wave 2 that extended from the $22,237 supply zone down to $16,334, marking the conclusion of the previous cycle’s correction. This structure now signals the initiation of a fresh upward impulse, setting the stage for a powerful wave 3 advance. The emergence of wave 3 will gain full confirmation once price successfully breaks above the external supply zone, reclaiming $22,237. If this breakout occurs with sustained momentum, the wave 3 projection targets an expansion toward $31,606, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension from the prior cycle. This forthcoming rally is anticipated to unfold in a five-subwave format, indicative of a high-momentum bullish leg. As long as price action remains above the key support at $16,334, the bullish cycle remains valid. All eyes should now be on the breakout structure and volume profile around $22,237, as it represents the gateway to a much broader impulsive move.
CFI:US100Long
by weslad
4
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week. On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25. We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear. In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
COMEX:GC1!Short
by LeapTrades
7
[ TimeLine ] Gold 12-13 May 2025Hello everyone, 📅 Today is Friday, May 9, 2025 📌 Upcoming Signal Dates: • May 12, 2025 (Monday) • May 12 & 13, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday) 🧠 Trading Plan & Notes: ✅ Gold has experienced a sharp reversal of over 1,650 pips, falling from 3435 to 3270 ⚠️ If the upcoming Hi-Lo range is wide, consider reversal entries or setups based on Fibonacci retracement levels ✅ I will be trading both signals as part of my ongoing research and strategy ⚠️ If you're feeling risk-averse or uncertain, it's totally fine to skip the May 12 & 13 signals 📋 Execution Plan: 🔹 Wait for the price range from the specified candles to fully form (marked by green lines on the chart) 🔹 Entry will be triggered on breakout, with a 60-pip buffer 🔹 If the trade hits Stop Loss (SL), cut/switch and double the position on the next valid setup to attempt recovery 📉📈 Chart Reference: 🔗 TradingView URL Code: TV/x/Au2Hjg0M/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
[ TimeLine ] Gold 5-6 May 2025📅 Today is Friday, May 2, 2025 📌 Upcoming Signal Dates: May 5, 2025 (Monday) or May 5 & 6, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday) 🧠 Trading Plan & Notes: ✅ Gold has undergone a significant reversal of over 2000 pips, from its ATH of 3500 down to 3200 ⚠️ If the upcoming Hi-Lo range is wide, consider reversal entries or setups based on Fibonacci retracement levels ✅ I will personally be trading both signals as part of my research and ongoing strategy ⚠️ If you're risk-averse or uncertain, it’s okay to skip the May 5–6 signals 📋 Execution Plan: 🔹 Wait for the price range from the selected candles to fully form (marked by green lines on the chart) 🔹 Entry will be triggered upon breakout, including a 60-pip buffer 🔹 If SL is hit, cut/switch and double the position on the next valid setup for potential recovery 📉📈 Chart Reference: 🔗 Copy & paste this code into TradingView URL: TV/x/C5zZyXar/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
EUR/USD Breakdown - Lesson in IDMTook a Loss here by misreading IDM on the 4H. Price was Breaking Highs, so I leaned bullish, but didn't wait for that full IDM sequence to confirm. Lesson: Take a few extra minutes to read the Higher TimeFrames Properly. No Rush. This week's blueprint is simple: patience, clean structure, strong inducement first. Also noting pair correlations: XAU/USD, EU, AND GU tend to move together. GJ/UJ on their own rhythm. #SmartMoneyConcepts #IDM #ForexDiscipline #ChartStudy #GrowthMindset
Long
by Juicemannn
BTC Elliott wave analysis 5/9/2025 (Big Picture)For me, I think that we are going to the End the wave 5 of the BTC Supercycle . As you can see , the wave that we are now have very small accumulation making it should be wave 5 rather than the begining of new cycle or the correction wave since both usually have large accumulation.The Gann fan suggest that the End of the wave 5 should be around 128,000$-132,000$. And after the time that it finish the wave 5 it would be coincided with the depression that many economist suggest that it would happen.Surprisingly, It also coinside with the Modern Elliott Wave theory suggesting that a Grand Supercycle wave five is nearing completion in the 21st century, likely leading to the deepest economic downturn since the 1700s.
Long
by jirapattinn