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Economic Cycles

The Daily Edge - 14th Feb 2025Bulls Hold Control as XAUUSD Targets Higher Prices Market Overview Thursday’s session confirmed bullish momentum, closing above Tuesday’s bearish open and establishing a new POI for long entries near 2910. Price opened and closed above 2900, forming a Short-Term Higher Low (ST-HL) at 2864 from Wednesday’s session. The weekly candle continues expanding bullishly, with 2942 as the first target and a possible extension to 3000. Key Observations Bullish structure intact: Thursday’s close above 2910 POI reinforces the uptrend. 4H chart confirms trend strength: Consolidation → Expansion → Retracement → Continuation pattern remains valid. Weekly expansion holding: Higher timeframe structure supports continued bullish momentum. Our Next Steps Manage long positions, holding as long as price respects the trend. Monitor 4H POIs at 2910 and 2920 for re-entry opportunities. Be mindful of pullbacks while momentum remains strong. How does recognizing higher timeframe expansion help refine trade entries and management? #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #PipsnPaper
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipsnPaper
The Daily Edge - 13th Feb 2025XAUUSD Holds Above 2900 as Bullish Momentum Builds Market Overview Price tested 2870-2880 POI, reacted with a strong buying wick, and closed above 2900. The weekly profile suggests further continuation into Thursday and Friday. Re-entered long positions at POI using 4H chart confirmation. Key Observations 4H Chart Confirmation: Price consolidated before breaking out, with a high-volume node near 2870 acting as support. Inside Bar Formation: Price is stalling above 2900, signaling a potential breakout or downside fakeout. Our Next Steps Holding long positions, targeting previous ATHs. Monitoring 4H breakout structure: A break above 2922 signals further expansion. A fakeout below 2905 may offer another long re-entry. Primary target: 2950 ATH, with 3000 as an extended target. How does the 4H chart help refine confidence in trade entries within a larger trend? #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #PipsnPaper
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipsnPaper
EUR/GBP -Precision Pays Off, TP Secured This EUR/GBP setup? No accident. Spotted the 5M CHoCH breaking the major Lower High—confirmation locked in. Saw the IDM sweep into my order block and knew exactly what was coming next. Waited patiently for that mini consolidation to break resistance, entered clean, and let the work I’ve put in speak for itself. TP smashed—planned, executed, delivered. This isn’t guesswork. It’s Smart Money flow mastered through hours of grind and focus. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
History is repeating itself for BNB...Hello Traders 🐺, Over the past few days, I’ve noticed that BNB is outperforming the overall market . After BTC.D consolidation , BNB started pumping , so I decided to publish an idea about it. When I opened the chart, I saw something magical unfolding—a true piece of art, honestly! So, as you can see in the chart, history is trying to repeat itself again . Let me explain it to you: After the formation of a double top , the price enters a consolidation phase , or even better to say, we see a correction . This phase usually coincides with the BTC season, where we observe the formation of a rising wedge. Then, the final phase begins when BTC.D starts dumping and the altcoin season kicks off . Right now, we are very close to breaking out of the rising wedge! 🚀 ( Remember, this is not financial advice, and always do your own research )
Long
by Kiu_Coin
AMD: Long-Term Structure For ResearchSince my line of work focuses on understanding and connecting scalable complexities, I require an interactive representation of the long-term market structure of an idea I published a while ago. These ideas will serve as a foundation for developing a probabilistic framework that accurately captures the underlying patterns and relationships governing price movements over time. And the only way to do that is through looking back how price reacts to those levels on the in the future. I'll use this research to enhance an indicator that would automatically output these levels based on historic price action before publishing it in pinescript. Source: Why I keep posting these unconventional analyses? I have a responsibility to those who follow my work, and I take that seriously. My goal is not just to share insights but to equip you with the knowledge and tools necessary to understand price dynamics at a deeper level — so you are never dependent on traditional technical analysts who share signals without worrying about potential negative impact. Many traders fall into the trap of relying on signals or surface-level analysis, only to find themselves caught in losing in the long-term. The harsh reality is that 90% of market participants fail — not due to bad luck, but because they adopt the same conventional strategies as the herd. You can't beat the market if you use same methods as majority operates on. Institutions using advanced trading algorithms are fully aware of the majority’s thinking patterns. They exploit predictable retail behavior, reacting to conventional technical analysis signals before the crowd does. This gives them a strategic edge, allowing them to absorb liquidity, trigger stop hunts, and manipulate price movements in ways most traders fail to anticipate. Blindly following common strategies ensures playing into their hands, reinforcing the cycle of retail losses.
NASDAQ:AMD
by fract
9
TOTAL2: When I’ll Deploy My Stables Back Into the MarketTiming the market perfectly is impossible, but using TOTAL2 and RSI, we can identify high-probability opportunities. Here’s my approach for the coming years. I bought during the last dip, but my exposure is still less than what I sold before the crash. Here’s why. Key Signals for Tops & Bottoms RSI Patterns: - Market Tops: Weekly RSI above 85 signals overheated conditions but does not always lead to an immediate reversal. - Market Bottoms: Weekly RSI near 30 has historically marked strong accumulation zones. - In the last seven years, RSI hit 30 only twice—2018 and 2022. I expect this level again within the next 24 months. My plan: I will deploy capital heavily when RSI approaches 30 again, securing long-term positions. TOTAL 2 Scenarios: What Comes Next? Scenario 1: Price Discovery - If TOTAL 2 flips 2021 highs, ETH and altcoins will likely reach new all-time highs. - Weekly RSI could exceed 85, potentially reaching 95, indicating extreme overbought conditions. - I will take profits aggressively at this stage while also using a DCA strategy, as precise timing is never certain. Scenario 2: Lower Highs Persist - If RSI fails to reach overbought levels, this cycle may be weaker than expected. - The 50 RSI zone is critical—if it aligns with oversold conditions on daily or 3-day RSI, it may present a selective buying opportunity. - I have already taken partial profits since November 2024 to manage risk in case of this scenario. Scenario 3: RSI Drop to 30 - This scenario appears likely within the next 24 months and would mark a bear market low. - If BTC, ETH, and TOTAL 2 all hit 30 RSI, I will fully deploy stables with high conviction, considering it a generational buying opportunity. Final Thoughts Summary: I will increase exposure once RSI confirms strong long-term buy zones, but I am managing risk in the meantime. What’s your take? Do you expect RSI to revisit 30?
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by DonVelarisTrading
When Alt-Season? Here's the Key FactorAlt-Season = BTC.D going down, but liquidity is king. Right now, I don’t believe we’ll see a true alt-season until the Fed starts QE. At the last FOMC meeting, Powell confirmed that QT will continue, meaning there is no reason to expect QE soon. For QE to return, something needs to break—whether in the stock market or the broader economy. Right now: - Stock indices are at all-time highs - The economy remains resilient But cracks could form later this year Possible triggers for QE: - A stock market correction - A credit event (bank failures, debt crisis) - A sudden economic downturn Why QE Matters for Crypto - QE (Quantitative Easing) = Fed buys assets → Lowers interest rates → Pumps risk assets. - QT (Quantitative Tightening) = Fed sells assets → Raises interest rates → Drains liquidity. Crypto thrives in QE environments—that’s why we had the last alt-season in 2021, during extreme money printing. In the chart, BTC.D is overlaid with Total Fed Assets. - When the Fed’s balance sheet expands (QE) → BTC.D drops → Alts pump. - When the Fed’s balance sheet contracts (QT) → BTC.D rises → BTC dominance increases. Bottom Line: For altcoins to outperform, we likely need another QE cycle. Without it, liquidity remains tight, and BTC.D stays high. What’s your take? Will QE return in 2024, or will the Fed hold the line?
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by DonVelarisTrading
2
Prepere yourself for buying opportunities ... So there we are ... CPI little bit higher than exceptating , powel clearly talks about monetary policy and Trump goin wild with tarrifs ... what to except in this macro&political economic driven environment ? I don't think it will grow to extreme values ​​now. Rather, there will be some more carving and from a short-term perspective an opportunity to buy at a good price ... Well, it is very important, at least for me in this environment of a trade war combined with a period when historically the Fed has raised rates and not lowered them as many expect. It is important to take profits and hold losses short and uncompromisingly exit losing positions. The year 2025 will be full of opportunities, which goes hand in hand with pain. What is heaven for one guy is hell for another guy. I am a fan of everyone who tries to make money in this environment and I hope to rob you of your money. Because that is what the market is about. Good luck and enjoy your game
TVC:VIX
by STLMfx
1
The Daily Edge – Feb 12, 2025XAUUSD Holds Momentum While 2900 Faces Rejection Market Overview Price continued higher but rejected 2900, leaving a long wick. Key re-entry zones: 2870-2880 POI (aligned with last week’s Thursday high and open). Tuesday’s low, which holds liquidity for potential continuation. Key Observations Rejection at 2900: Selling pressure present, but no major breakdown. POI at 2870-2880: A key liquidity area for long re-entries. 4H structure remains intact, showing a consolidation → expansion → retracement cycle. Next Steps Manage longs while price holds structure. Look for re-entries at 2870-2880 if price retraces. Expect continuation if support holds at POIs. How do you use market rhythms like consolidation, expansion, and retracement to improve execution? #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipsnPaper
USDJPY - Demand Ready for Lift-Off (Technical Analysis)As it stands we're currently holding short positions on USDJPY since last week. The current short term still suggests that this pair is bearish - We have seen lower lows and institutional manipulation to the upside as well, so we will continue holding our shorts until we see a reversal on the lower time frames. Previous Analysis: We traded down to the Daily demand levels (which price has now reached). The current price cycle indicates it's still distributing but now is the time to watch for potential bullish reversals - more-so when we combine this with our DXY analysis as well as current Geopolitical moves, we could definitely see a bullish surge in the next few days. Trading Considerations: All signs point to a pending bullish reversal, don't engage without considering the LTF trend, we would ideally like to see it reverse first. Trade what you see, not what you think you might. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. OANDA:USDJPY TVC:DXY
Long
by Apexfx_Alpha
2
Golden Cross Alert! Altcoin Season is Imminent!Hello Traders 🐺 A Golden Cross has just formed, signaling a massive bullish momentum ahead ! Historically, this pattern has led to explosive moves in the market, and this time might be no different! With BTC dominance reaching key levels and money starting to flow into alts, the long-awaited Altcoin Season could be just around the corner! ⏳💎 Are you ready for the ride? 🚀📈 Make Sure to read my Ideas about ETH and BTC.D !
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by Kiu_Coin
[ TimeLine ] Gold 4-5 February 2025Hello everyone, I will be using the high and low price levels formed on the following dates as entry points for my trades: February 4-5, 2025 and/or February 5, 2025 We will wait for the price range from these candles to form. The trade entry will be triggered if the price breaks out of this range, with an additional buffer of 40-50 pips. If the price moves against the initial position and hits the stop loss (SL), we will cut or switch the trade accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
The Daily Edge – Feb 11, 2025XAUUSD Approaching Key Levels – 2900 in Focus Market Overview Price broke above 2882 after printing a new ST-HL at 2834 closing above 2900, with 3000 as the next key level Key Zones 2870-2880: POI for re-entry if price retraces 2895: Intraday low – possible liquidity sweep 2890: Friday’s high – watch for reaction Next Steps Scale out risk, but prepare to re-enter at POIs Wait for retracements into key levels for confirmation Monitor 1H timeframe for setups near 2895-2890 & 2870-2880 Market Insight We are in the retracement phase—continuation or reversal next? How do you use retracements to refine execution? #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PipsnPaper
Altcoin Season - 2017 vs 2021 vs 2025OTHERS/BTC is a good barometer for "Altcoin Season" OTHERS charts the total market cap of every crypto excluding the Top 10 by market cap tokens BTC is charting BTC by market cap It's obvious we are in 4 year cycles, and obvious this season starts after BTC breaks all-time high. The idea is simple - BTC breaking all-time high increases awareness from the public. People then enter into BTC. After they enter into BTC, they look further down the risk curve (altcoins). 2017, then 2021, now 2025. The "Altcoin Season" typically lasts for ~1 year. Everyone in the crypto world is freaking out right now, calling for the cycle to be over with and that "altcoins are dead" --- this happens at this point every cycle. If you have been here for 8+ years, you will notice the same pattern repeating in people's emotions/psychology. Steady Lads, "Altcoin Season" is coming soon. - CURB (@CryptoCurb)
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by CryptoCurb
2