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Economic Cycles

[ TimeLine ] Gold 31 March - 1 April 2025Hello everyone, Today is Thursday, March 27, 2025. I will be using the high and low price levels formed on the following dates as entry points for my trades: March 31, 2025 (Monday), or March 31 & April 1, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday) Trading Plan: ✅ Wait for the price range from these candles to form (indicated by the green lines). ✅ Trade entry will be triggered if the price breaks out of this range, with a 60-pip buffer. ✅ If the price moves against the initial position and hits the stop loss (SL), we will cut/switch the trade and double the position size to recover losses. 📉📈 Below is the chart with the estimated Hi-Lo range of March 31 & April 1, 2025. You can copy the unique code and add it to the TradingView URL. 🔗 TV/x/IaLLLLcp/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
Skeptic | EUR/USD Breakdown: Key Levels & Trade SetupsWelcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic, and today we’re diving into a multi-timeframe breakdown of EUR/USD. We’ll analyze EURX (Euro Index) and wrap it up with some high-probability trade setups. Let’s get started! 🚀 EURX Analysis Looking at the EURX chart, after a secondary uptrend, we’ve formed an upward channel. When price enters a channel after a sharp uptrend, it typically signals a loss of momentum, increasing the chances of a continuation of the major downtrend—which is exactly what’s happening now. Currently, price is testing a key support at 1037.8 . This is a critical level, and if broken, we can expect further downside for EUR pairs. EUR/USD Technical Breakdown In the 4-hour timeframe, after the previous uptrend, EUR/USD has entered a consolidation phase. However, bearish momentum is more visible: ✔ SMA 7 is sloping downward and positioned above candles, reinforcing selling pressure. ✔ Given the EUR/USD and EURX analysis, we can afford to be more aggressive with short positions while remaining cautious with longs. Trade Setups & Key Levels 📉 Short Setup: Trigger: Break below 1.07124 Confirmation: RSI breaking support at 34.40 & increasing bearish momentum Target: Next support at 1.07154 📈 Long Setup: Trigger: Break above 1.09453 Confirmation: Strong bullish momentum & breakout of consolidation range ⚠ Important: These levels mark the highs and lows of the 4H consolidation zone, meaning whichever way price breaks, it’s likely to continue in that direction. Thanks for sticking around until the end—drop your thoughts in the comments & let me know your setups! See you in the next analysis <3
by SkepticWise
3
Skeptic | DXY Showdown: Battle at 104.403Welcome back, guys! 👋I'm Skeptic Today, we're diving deep into the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), analyzing key levels and potential triggers. 🔍 Recap & Current Structure: As highlighted in our previous analysis , the major daily support (0.618 Fib) held strong at 103.303 , with price reacting precisely at this level. Currently, the DXY is testing a critical 4H resistance at 104.403 , which aligns with: A 4H consolidation range breakout zone A potential fakeout trap if price fails to sustain momentum The RSI (65.92) suggests building bullish momentum, but confirmation requires a clean break above 104.403. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup): Trigger: Break & close above 104.403 Confirmation: RSI holding above 65.92 Invalidation: Rejection + close back below 104.000 📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup): Trigger: Rejection at 104.403 + drop below 103.936 Confirmation: RSI reversal below 50 + bearish 4H candle close ⚠️ Key Notes: Fundamentals: Recent economic data favors dollar weakness—trade longs cautiously. Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging—wait for confirmed breaks. Stay sharp, and I’ll see you in the next analysis!
TVC:DXY
by SkepticWise
3
$SPY Bullish Next WeekHere we are in a red market, a market correction some might say. We all know AMEX:SPY is about as trendy as it gets, despite all the macroeconomic headwinds that we currently are enduring, I am seeing a green week ahead. Follow that trend line of the past year, in the twos it has retreated, an average of 7.5% increase occurred in the following 15 trading day. It seems that investor confidence has increased this past week especially with the strong push to end the week. Also, volume of this 15 day segment is 24% ahead of the pace of those previous 15 dat segments - Could we see major green next week?
AMEX:SPYLong
by cbgreeeeennmm
9
ETH’s Secret Pattern Exposed! Why Is No One Talking About This ?Hello Traders 🐺 When I opened the ETH chart today and switched to the weekly timeframe, I saw something unbelievable with my own eyes! 🤯 That’s why I decided to share it with you, my friends. I truly believe there’s a very high chance for ETH to explode to a new ATH! Let’s break it down: Why am I still bullish and not talking about anything bearish these days? 🤔 ✅ The BTC.D Chart – The Most Important Factor BTC.D is sitting at its most critical resistance level. Not just one, but two bearish divergences have already formed on the weekly chart, signaling a potential reversal. I will also update my last idea about BTC.D, so make sure to follow me for upcoming updates! 🔔🔥 Other Reasons to Stay Bullish on ETH & Altcoins 💎 📉 Weak hands are leaving the market 💰 Inflation is falling, which means we could see rate cuts very soon 🏦 Quantitative Tightening (QT) is ending soon 🇨🇳 China is printing money, and the FED will likely turn the printers back on 📍 ETH/BTC is sitting at a key monthly demand area 📊 Binance has increased its ETH holdings by over $600 million just this week! These are the reasons why I remain extremely bullish on ETH and Altcoins. And now, let’s dive into the ETH chart—because that’s exactly why you’re here! ETH’s Repeating Pattern – A Bullish Setup! 🔄🔥 As you can see on the chart, ETH has a history of repeating the same pattern over and over again. 🌀 Back in 2020-2021, before the massive ETH & Altcoin rally, we saw a huge weak hands shakeout. Just before the shakeout, everyone thought ETH had formed a double bottom and was ready to fly—but then BOOM! 💥 A huge shakeout happened, followed by a rally to new all-time highs. 🚀 Now, the same pattern is unfolding again! We have an Inverse Head & Shoulders, which is a bullish pattern. Then, we saw a massive shakeout just below the previous low, causing a bullish divergence on RSI—and now, things are starting to change! 🔥📈 ✅ Make sure to act accordingly, my friends! 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Long
by Kiu_Coin
2
BTC’s Historical Pattern Is Back—Are You Watching ?Hello Traders 🐺 In this idea, I want to talk about a pattern that almost nobody is talking about these days—so make sure to fasten your seatbelt and get ready, because this chart is about to blow your mind! 💥📊 On the monthly chart, after breaking out from its previous ATH, BTC formed an ascending channel and started moving up steadily—not like a parabolic run. 🚀 Just when everyone thought the BTC rally was over and a bear market was incoming, BTC made its final explosive move, shocking the entire world. 🌍⚡ 🔍 So What Now? Are we about to experience a full year of bull market, or will this run last only 2–3 months? In my opinion, we’re entering the final phase of the BTC move. Historically, this phase is shorter than the major wave after halving, but percentage-wise, it’s often even bigger. And this time, we might witness the real explosion—because as I mentioned in my recent ideas, BTC.D is on the edge of collapse! 📉🔥 Considering all this, we can expect a massive pump in Altcoins market caps. Also, if you take a look at the Global M2, you’ll see there's more than enough liquidity to fuel the market and push it through the final phase of this bull run! 💰📈 So make sure to follow me to stay up to date with market movements—and ride the profit wave all the way up! 🏄‍♂️💎 and always remember : 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , But almost always profitable 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Kiu_Coin
Is altseason soon?Hi, traders 👋 I’d like to share my thoughts and observations regarding Bitcoin dominance and the timing of the long-awaited altseason. In general, I like to determine the phase altcoins are in by analyzing one of the oldest representatives of this group — Litecoin. Like other financial instruments, cryptocurrency tends to follow certain patterns. Although each cycle comes with its own unique characteristics, historical similarities are often present. Let’s take a look at the Litecoin chart. When reviewing the chart, we can see a number of similarities with the previous cycle. Based on this, and if we assume that markets are cyclical and certain chart patterns and behaviors tend to repeat, it appears we are currently either in the equivalent of March or September 2020. The case for March is supported by the fact that we haven’t yet seen a final liquidity sweep according to the Wyckoff model — the so-called “spring” phase. On the other hand, the case for September is supported by the timing following the end of the previous bear market phase. Now, let’s take a look at the Bitcoin dominance chart. In this cycle, the dominance chart has been showing clear and reliable chart patterns. The pattern that has been forming since November 21, 2024, could potentially be either a Wolfe wave or an ending diagonal triangle according to Elliott Wave theory. At the moment, waves 1, 2, and 3 are clearly visible, and wave 4 is currently in the process of forming. There is also a clear alternation between waves 2 and 4, which strengthens this observation. If the assumption about the Wolfe wave pattern is correct, we should still see one final push higher in Bitcoin dominance as part of wave 5. This would likely lead to a further decline in altcoins. In that case, referring back to the Litecoin chart analysis, it would confirm that we are currently in the equivalent of March 2020. I’m glad to share my observations with you.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CapitalHustle
1
Potenial inverse head and shoulders pattern for Bitcoin This is the scenario I’m believing in for the near term for BINANCE:BTCUSD . One more leg down to confirm the neckline around 78,300 USD. Quick reversal price action to retest the 92,300 USD (ish) level. If the breakout takes place to the upside, then I think we will retest the previous highs, with a higher probability of going much higher. Although I believe the tariffs will have a big impact on the USD (DXY index), which I believe will have a strong effect on BTC for the near term, around the coming 6 months. So, I believe the new high will most likely come in Q4 this year, making this cycle different from the historic crypto cycles. Although, there is still a chance that other countries will start to adopt more crypto-friendly policies for crypto or Bitcoin, making this thesis more uncertain. If the policies come out as positive, then I think there are good chances of reaching new highs earlier than Q4, 2025.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Liljan
DKNG Update | Crash AheadOne of the best fractal overlays I've seen with some Elliott Waves to go with it. Price is still in a uptrend but with growing sellers It'll come to an end similar to the last fractal. During the 3rd wave in the last pattern price experienced its first pullback at (B), and its second at correction wave 4 and the third after the last wave before we witnessed the last push in buyers. This current cycle price is in a similar stage with a swing low at (b) meaning that we could see another run-up towards major resistance ($63). This would be the final blow-off-top in general markets. TVC:RUT is already showing signs of weakness which works well with this TA example. When the time is right I'll do another TA for the downfall. For now I'm bullish but for the horizon I'm very bearish.
NASDAQ:DKNGLong
by Nathanl19
5