War is a Racket | DFEN | Long at $28.00The war machine keeps turning. Profits will reign. Direxion Aerospace and Defense 3x AMEX:DFEN never fully recovered from pandemic lows, but world peace is (unfortunately) far from reach. The uptrend in the chart has commenced. Personal entry point at $28.00.
Target #1 = $37.00
Target #2 = $50.00
Target #3 = $64.00
Economic Cycles
Run of Lows Pending on USDZAR Before Breakout Higher 1D: Price reached equilibrium and began trading lower forming a new 4H impulsive leg.
4H: Price is in premium but with an order block resting above current price action, I'm anticipating a mitigation which open up opportunities to buy into the OB.
1H: Run of lows pending from 2 potential areas before a retrace candle to take longs.
I am betting big bucks on this hahaafter creating a manipulation and breaking a previous ''Higher Low'' I believe EU is still very much in a bearish trend because, as we can see, there is a lot below to attract the price to the downside. That being Imbalance and Liquidity in accordance with the trend.
nas100 Identifying Key Levels
The chart highlights several significant levels and zones that influence the current market behavior:
• PMH & PML: Previous Month High and Low, serving as significant resistance and support levels.
• PWH & PWL: Previous Week High and Low, indicating recent market highs and lows.
• PDH & PDL: Previous Day High and Low, indicating recent market highs and lows
• Daily FVG: Daily Fair Value Gap, indicating areas of market imbalance.
• BSL: Buy-side Liquidity, areas where buy orders are placed.
• SSL: Sell-side Liquidity, areas where buy orders are placed.
Long trade
Buy-Side Trade
21st July 24
Entry: 69,660.7
Profit Level: 69,660.7
Stop Level: 67,734.3
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.7
Time Frame: 15 minutes (TF)
Entry Time: 7:00 PM
Outlook According to Todayq News
Jul 20, 2024, 08:59 GMT+1
News Driver
Bitcoin (BTC) has hit its highest price in a month, backed by strong trading volumes for BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT).
This price movement coincided with a major IT outage caused by a software update from cybersecurity provider CrowdStrike, leading to widespread disruptions for airlines, banks, and businesses globally. This incident highlighted the resilience of decentralized systems like public blockchains compared to centralized networks.
Despite these gains, Bitcoin remains within a multi-month trading range between $56,000 and $73,000, supported by strong institutional demand for December $100,000 Bitcoin call options.
More importantly, Mads Eberhardt, a crypto analyst at Steno Research, expressed a bullish outlook for crypto assets for the second half of the year. Eberhardt, cited several tailwinds, including potential U.S. interest rate cuts, increased liquidity, regulatory clarity in Europe, and the possibility of more crypto-friendly U.S. leadership.
XRP retracementHi,
This is my first time sharing here, please be kind. This an assumption of the next move for XRP, short/mid-term imo.
Long-term XPR is bright ;)
Still learning, if you have any thoughts on what I could consider to improve my TA feel free to share in the comments.
Blessings to all and happy trading!
OPUSDT - Altcoin with GOOD UPSIDE Potential (Wyckoff)Using the Wyckoff Method has always been my go-to strategy when looking for buy's. The theory behind it is that basically the market goes up, down, sideways, and up again etc. You can dive into more detail by taking a look at volume and trendlines, but for today's analysis we'll keep it simple and focus on the good upside potential for OP.
The above clearly shows an excellent Elliot Wave Theory playout - 5 impulse waves up and the following three corrective waves - indicating the bottom is close.
The above is classic Wyckoff Method Theory together with the emotions at each phase. OP, according to the above, is very close to bottoming out - in other words, a great place for accumulation. During the previous phase, the price increased over 400% over the course of a few months. If you have the patience, it can be a great increase.
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BINANCE:OPUSDT
Long trade
18:00 PM
18th July 2024
Buy-Side Trade Details:
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.87
Entry: 1.10976
Profit Level: 1.11551 (0.52%)
Stop Level: 1.10858 (0.11%)
News driver:
Highlighted (Yellow Flag)
Australian Dollar Gets Limited Lift from Mixed Jobs Report:
July 18 - The Australian dollar was left directionless on Thursday after a jobs report provided mixed data, failing to clarify the outlook for a rate hike.
What do DJI, SPX and NDX have in common?Well the obvious answer is that they are Major USA indices and they also share some of the big players as stocks which make up their composite Indices.
My answer the Question...
The beauty of Trading View is the ability to combine all sorts of aspects of trading information together, whether it be writing new scripts, combining indicators or in my case combing major indices together in Logarithmic view to get a new way of future price discovery (for SPX & NDX) by looking backwards or left at price structure on the next highest valued Indice.
As we know A.T.M all 3 Indices are at A.T.H's so at some point in the near future there will be a move higher into new price territory. The question then is where is the price target? Where is the next resistance level when there is no price structure to the left on that Indice?
What I noticed historically about these Indices is that past price structure (major highs and lows) from the higher valued Indice (Mostly DJI) is horizontally plotted forward into the future onto the lesser valued Indice. Like looking left historically at an instrument with a lot of data for support and resistance levels.
Obviously with DJI being the highest dollar value Indice and it also moving higher past its all time high at some point into unknown price territory, we will have to rely on its own price structure for support levels or Fibonacci levels for clues about were price will find resistance levels in the future.
On SPX and NDX though we have a different story. As these 2 Indices move higher into unknown price territory with no price structure of their own to the left looking back, we can use the past price structure of the higher dollar valued Indice (DJI) market highs and lows to assess future levels of resistance or to find future price targets.
With SPX we will be able to use NDX and also DJI to find future higher price targets and resistance.
With NDX we will be able to use DJI to find future higher price targets and resistance.
Some examples,
If you pull up these 3 indices on a line chart yourself you will find that with NDX and SPX the support levels for the Dotcom and GFC crash's were DJI's historical price structure levels from 1961-1981. $731-$965.
If you look at SPX the present high and previous equal high on 01/2022 you will find it is mirrored in price structure on NDX 2015-2016 period and that the 2000 Dotcom peak is acting as a support level $4380 for present SPX price structure. NDX 01/2022
If you go way back in time to the 1930's Great depression market crash you will find the Aug 1929 SPX high $32.50 was in fact a resistance level which became support level for DJI back in 1898 and 1903 respectively.
The major past Cycle Highs on the higher valued Indice prior to recession tend to be the resistance levels for for future highs on the lower valued Indices. Or resistance levels that were broken and became support on DJI became resistance dollar value levels for SPX and NDX.
It is obvious that vertically this 3 indices would show similar reactions to market shocks but I'm not quite sure why horizontally there are so many matching price support and resistance levels.
This is a Monthly Chart over a 130 year period so the levels are harder to see and not precisely dollar accurate but if you use a weekly or daily chart you will see the levels line up very well.
So, obviously in my head I'm wondering what the heck is happening here exactly?
Some of these older levels have played out over 50-60 years into the future on DJI to the SPX and NDX, more recently the time frame is reducing to around 10-20 years.
Fibonacci levels also work on this chart going from lowest value Indice at a recession low to next business cycle high on highest value Indice.
Maybe W.D Gann could explain this accurately for me....Like is there some sort of Fractal playing out here or do the Wall street crew already use this method or is it the madness of the crowd echoing forward through time unwittingly expressing human emotion into charts of financial greed and fear? Who knows? I'd like to hear Traders ideas about this phenomena.
Signs of strength for AMDAMD has been a laggard in the semiconductor space. However, since the bear market low it's been in a clear bull trend despite being outshined by NVDA.
It's discernible that AMD may have some cyclicality in its price action.
For the first 256 trading days from the 2022 low AMD found a high on day 161 and went into a bear trend until day 256. We are currently on day 164 since that last low. Originally I believed we topped early and would form a new low around day 256 like the last period.
AMD not rolling over back to 140 forming a base is a sign of strength. Who doesn't love a good catch up trade.
Aug 16 180C.
Invalidation is if we drop below 160.