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Economic Cycles

Here's How You CONSOLIDATE Your Portfolio Into WinnersGoing through my entire portfolio to judge performance vs Solana, which has been my golden goose this cycle. I bought TSX:FIL in October 2023. If I put that money in Solana instead, I’d be up 345% vs breakeven right now. Obviously I’m selling that position here and flipping it into CRYPTOCAP:SOL How to compare: Jump onto TradingView and on the chart name type: BINANCE:SOLUSDT/BINANCE:FILUSDT You can swap out tickers and exchanges to compare your own portfolio.
Education
by jonnieking
Some Hopium for 2024 Cycle, Lets See How Well This Ages For FunComparing the 2 previous bull run cycles to the now current cycle using approximate scaling to compensate of overall size of each run. Notice the moving averages are relatively similar, also RSI, Stochastic and Aroon Indicators are in the same ballpark when considering scaling time for the higher capital size/price. Like most I felt we were further into the cycle but did consider the possibility if we were to drop and break the local parabolic curve we could just be setting up for a longer and larger bull cycle, especially since we had such an early start this time. Good hopium I suppose, and will see how good or bad this ages, will see if that scaling the chart will show some truth to my hypothesis, I am publishing this right after today's closing loss of the 200 MA on the Daily timeframe.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by SammyCasket
Bitcoin for long-term📈 **Analysis of EZ7_strategy** 🏆 In this comprehensive review, I have meticulously examined the confirmations provided by my trading strategy (based on price action) and have drawn the following conclusions. 1. The initial analysis suggests patiently awaiting the attainment of the channel ceiling, with a subsequent observation of an overbought condition in the RSI zone at the critical price point of $53,256. ⌛️ 2. The secondary analysis revolves around reaching the support floor at $28,580, serving as the primary support level, strategically aligned with the breaking zone of the bullish area at $28,580. 🎖️ 3. There exists a 50% probability of Bitcoin touching the price level of $18,387, introducing an element of uncertainty in the market dynamics. ✨ 4. Our primary target for resistance lies at the $64,485 level, with the secondary target closely aligned with the termination point of the second logarithmic function, reaching $80,000. 🚀 By leveraging these insights, investors can make informed decisions not only in Bitcoin but also in other cryptocurrencies. 🙏 Your support through likes and comments is crucial, empowering me to provide you with more refined and insightful ideas. ❤️🚀
Long
by ehsancrypto72
4
Bitcoin establishes new support level around previous ATH closeMany people have been losing sleep over the Bitcoin price action so I wanted to provide some technical analysis to show where we're possibly headed. I have a theory with data to back it up. If history repeats itself I believe Bitcoin has established a new baseline support level around $55k. If you take a look at the Bitcoin chart on an 8-week time interval going all the way back to 2015, you can see every new all time high has a similar period of around 3 years of retracing back to the same level, before breaking through it again. Then after breaking the previous all time high, a new support level is established and price doesn't drop below the newly established support level. On this 8-week chart the previous all time high candle didn't close above $55k in August 2021. So, we have had almost 3 years of retracing back to this level and finally broke through it in Feb 2024. If my theory is true and history repeats itself, I don't believe we will see Bitcoin fall below $55k as this has become the new baseline support level. *Of course, I could be wrong. Just a theory, not financial advice.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by joyfuldad
1
Bitcoin - The Marco MazeHistory doesn't necessarily have to repeat! I see a lot of history based derivation for the timelines and price as to when and how high or low bitcoin can sore. As exciting and adrenaline pumping as these ideas seem, the outcome will just be as good as any coin toss! The truth however is the "macro maze" above. I've taken sensible assumptions to derive on the timelines and humanly possibe price floors and ceilings! In this environment sensible assumptions can easily turn out to be the most major blunder, so as I always say, please do your own analysis! How to read the chart? It's quite simple, red is resistance or sell, green is support or buy. The intersections are where Bitcoin's price would likely be attracted to. There is no saying with precision when and where it would be. Kinda of like the Schrödinger's cat, you will only know when it happens. Anyone who says otherwise has a 50/50 chance of being right. Now, are you a trader or a gambler? Stay safe, peace out! Disclaimer: These are not trading signals. Trade at your own risk!
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by TulpenFieber
Intel (INTC) and NVIDIA (NVDA)Analyzing the historical highs and lows of stock market prices for Intel (INTC) and NVIDIA (NVDA) provides insight into their performance trends. Intel (INTC): - Historical Performance: Intel has experienced periods of strong performance, particularly during tech booms and innovations in computing. - Highs and Lows: Historically, INTC has seen peaks during technology expansion phases, such as the dot-com boom, followed by corrections during market downturns and competitive pressures. - Recent Trends: Despite volatility, Intel's stock price has shown resilience and has been influenced by market sentiment around its product launches and competitive landscape. NVIDIA (NVDA): - Historical Performance: NVIDIA's stock price has surged during periods of AI and gaming sector growth, driven by advancements in GPU technology. - Highs and Lows: NVDA has experienced significant highs during AI boom cycles and gaming industry expansions, with corrections during broader market downturns. - Recent Trends: The stock has shown strong growth momentum, reflecting market optimism around its technological innovations and market leadership in graphics processing. Decision Criteria: - Market Timing: If considering historical highs and lows, NVIDIA (NVDA) may appear more favorable for growth investors during periods of sector expansion and technological advancements. - Risk Management: Intel (INTC) could be perceived as a safer bet during market downturns or when seeking stability and dividends due to its lower volatility and higher dividend yield. Conclusion: - Intel (INTC): Offers stability, lower volatility, and potential value at historical lows, appealing to conservative investors and those prioritizing dividends. - NVIDIA (NVDA): Presents higher growth potential and market leadership in innovative sectors like AI and gaming, suitable for growth-oriented investors despite higher volatility.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by proc
GBP Areas of sensitivity - 1M to 4HrIn forex trading, understanding the dynamics of push and exhaustion cycles is crucial for effective market analysis and strategy development. A push cycle, also known as an impulse wave, occurs when there is a strong and sustained movement in the market, typically driven by significant news events, economic data releases, or large market orders. During this phase, prices move rapidly in a particular direction, creating a clear trend that traders aim to capitalize on. Traders often look for confirmation of the push cycle through technical indicators such as increased trading volume, momentum oscillators, and trend-following indicators like moving averages. The goal is to enter trades early in the push cycle to maximize potential gains. However, push cycles are inevitably followed by exhaustion cycles. An exhaustion cycle occurs when the momentum driving the push phase starts to wane. This phase is characterized by a slowing of price movement, increased volatility, and often, the formation of reversal patterns. Traders observe indicators like divergence between price and momentum, decreasing volume, and overbought or oversold conditions on oscillators to identify potential exhaustion points.
by KBFXABC
1
The Duration of the Current Bitcoin Bull CycleHow Much Longer Will the Good Times Last? In this chart, I highlighted 3 different cyclic frameworks. The dynamic time cycle which is shown as "grey/blue zigzag" extended into the future. It is a 186 day cycle pattern which was observed at any past parabolic move since 2010 in Bitcoin. It needs 5 repetitions in order to complete a parabolic up move. Count 5 is to be expected to arrive summer next year. I also marked the "static" view for that cycle with blue circle arcs at the bottom. The red is the nominal (average) 200days cycle. I added the seasonality cycles for Bitcoin at the top of the chart, highlighted with colored areas. The simple seasonality is always a bullish yearly start into May/June, follows by a flat June and bearish July-September pattern. Then bullish from October into end of the year. The bitcoin halving cycle impact is also shown with the pinkish vertical lines. The last one happened April 2024. During the first 100days period after the halving, there is no impact to be expected. But analyzing past halving cycles, there has always been a big-up-excess around 400days after the halving. Interestingly, all these 3 cyclic pattern are in alignment for the period October 2024 into May 2025 with a common bullish outlook. So we might get a flat to challenging summer 2024. But afterwards the cycle seem to vote for a continuation of the current bull cycle. At the bottom, I added my preferred cyclic-tuned dynamic cyclic RSI indicator. Which I have made public for everyone. ("cRSI") I presented more details on this analysis in my personal blog.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by StockMarketCycles
3
NOTCOIN: best analyticsThe most complete technical analysis of NatCoin from Ahmadarz group📊 In the weekly time frame, we don't have more than 4 candles for analysis, and the fourth candle closes in another day, so trusting the general trend of the chart is not very reliable. In the first candle, we can see that the historical ceiling of NatCoin has been reached and other candles are closing in the heart of this candle, which shows the trading range of this chart. The most important support in this time frame can be considered the price of $0.0587, which is the price floor of the candle two weeks ago. In the resistance areas, we consider the last two highs, one of which is the historical ceiling of $0.037 and the next ceiling of $0.02940. In order to check the price, we can refer to the powerful candle of the previous week, which was formed after a doji candle, and we can still consider the overall trend to be bullish. In the daily time frame with more candles compared to the weekly time frame, it is possible to analyze better and consider the price nodes from which the price return has occurred as support and resistance areas and draw the important areas. We consider the price ceiling or the main resistance as the resistance of $0.037, the next resistances that form an important area are between the prices of $0.026635 and $0.029400. For two-zone support areas, we have considered four prices, the first area between the prices of $0.012962 and $0.011223, and the second area between $0.005287 and $0.004500 are considered important floors for price support. The four-hour time frame can be considered the best time frame for technical analysis of NatCoin because it has almost formed good areas for technical analysis. The areas of the daily time frame are considered to be among the most important areas in this team frame, and if we take a closer look at the chart, we will notice that a short-term downward trend has formed, and to stabilize this trend, the price floor of $0.01824 must be broken so that it can be done with strength. More after the pullback to the level of $0.01833, the price will decline to the next support, which is $0.013. In the upward direction of the trend, we have a strong resistance of $0.02187, and for the price to rise, a large candle should be struck from this price to reach the daily resistance area at the price of #0.026635. For this celebration and price prediction, we should go to the weekly time frame and consider the last trading range in the daily time frame with the same large bullish candlestick of two weeks ago, and consider a similar movement width in the ceiling from the same candlestick. By identifying the price at the ceiling of the second movement width or the so-called second movement leg, the price of $0.018204 was obtained, which cannot be too much attached to this price because it should increase at least 9 times or 900% from the current price, but if If the price level of $0.037 is broken, this number is not too far from the new historical ceiling. I hope you have made full use of this analysis and always keep in mind that technical analysis is done after checking the detailed fundamental analysis on the token you are going to invest in. This analysis is only the opinion of the analysis team of Ahmadarz Academy and is not considered to be any offer to buy or sell NatCoin, so if you rely on our team's analysis, be sure to apply risk and capital management to your assets, because Ahmadarz Group is responsible for profits and losses. you don't have⚠️
by ahmadarz
2
Bitcoin to $100kIn October 2025, I think Bitcoin will hit $100k before retracing back to around the $60k mark (previous highs become new resistance). Over the last few cycles, we can see a pattern form -- highlighted by the coloring of the squares that make up each period in the cycle. There are three such periods. The purple box is the draw-down from the previous high a.k.a. the fear cycle. The yellow box is mid-cycle, where buying pressure starts building and we have several large shorter-term retracements. The green box is the greed cycle -- when everyone and your grandma wants in. We're still in the yellow, which means there's a strong possibility of returning to the $50k or even $40k levels in the shorter term. I predict the top of this bull run will be somewhere between mid-October to mid-November 2025, which means there is still plenty of time to keep buying. Good luck!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by rogomezpalacio
Gold vs the 10yr yieldThis is a ratio chart. Gold is on top 10 year Yield is on bottom in the middle you can see the ratio between gold prices and the 10yr yield rising and falling. As you can tell, when the ratio reaches a low, gold prices tend to rise and yields tend to fall. Vice/versa when the ratio is at a high, Gold prices tend to fall, and yields tend to rise. Of course the ratio chart is not "CAUSING" the prices to rise or fall. In my humble opinion, we are relatively close to the long term low point on the ratio chart. Meaning that either gold prices should rise and or yields should fall, and or both maybe... Barrons has recently published a piece saying that rising supply of gold could contribute to prices ending the year around 2100. usd This would be a drop in price, and doesn't fit in with my narrative. It might be interesting to see how this ratio plays out, and perhaps it will help you form a bias for your next Gold trade!
AMEX:GLDLong
by Sacyourking
NG1! (Natural Gas) - Price Action in Phase 3 of Prev 18.6 Yr CycNG1! (Natural Gas) - Price Action in Phase 3 of Prev 18.6 Yr Cycle. We're now in Phase 3 of the current 18.6 Year Real Estate Cycle. Previous price action does not guarantee future results, and we can already see it's acting differently. So just putting this up for curiosity's sake. Phase 3 in last 18.6 yr cycle saw PEAKS at: - 13 months in (major - ~4.5 Fib) - 33 months in (minor - 0.5 Fib) - 44, 45, 47 (major x2) months in (major - 1.618 or 4 fib depending how you measure) - 78 months in (major - 1.618 Fib) Phase 3 in last 18.6 yr cycle saw BOTTOMS at: - 7 months in (minor - 0.618 fib - front run) - 20 months in (0.81 fib) - 32 months in (0.96 fib) - 36 (0.76 fib), 40 months in (0.81 fib - front run) - (minor) - 56 months in (0.82 fib, HTF bottom to top) - (major) - 67 months in (0.81 fib) - (major)
NYMEX:NG1!
by Savwire1