Fib Retracement to $55,000 before retesting $69,000 ATHLocal top matched random line from 2020.
Trend-based Fibonacci extension along with other trend lines indicate possible retracement to $55,000 or $52,000 before retesting $69,000 ATH.
I think there is a low, but existent possibility of BTC dropping to the $40,000 resistance if there is some really bad news somewhere.
Economic Cycles
Buy Position on #BTC 1H has been Triggered..MEXC:BTCUSDT 1H
As I Wrote yesterday we had to wait till price dip down to the DP.i point of interest box.
then we got a confirmation signal to get into a buy position.
as you see my chart, we have a SCOB type confirmation signal.
then we can buy here on a 2.6 Risk to Reward (R/R) position.
Hope you enjoy the ride..
I will update Bitcoin regularly..
Take Care
#BTC #Crypto
Bitcoin Buy Signal (1H)MEXC:BTCUSDT
As we knew before that when IDMs got grabbed,
after getting a SCOB on our structure time frame,
or wait for a ChoCh on the lower time frame (which now the LTF is 5 mins chart),
we can get into the position (which here is a Buy Position).
And now we had a ChoCh on the 5 mins time frame on Bitcoin which allows us to open a Buy Position.
P.S: Money & Risk Management is Crucial, Because nothing's certain in the market. :)
I will update Bitcoin regularly,
Follow me on TradingView for more.
Happy trading..
Cheers,
Aurio
Bitcoin 1H Buy Position SignalMEXC:BTCUSDT
As soon as the IDM.i has been grabbed, we waited for the SCOB to form.
And a few hours ago the SCOB has been formed and it allowed us to enter the Buy Position.
The target is reward 2 and 3 at least.
But always remember:
Trading is a long-term game which is survival depends on the Risk & Money Management we planned before.
"KEEP CALM & OBEY YOUR PLANS."
I will update Bitcoin regularly.
Happy trading..
Cheers,
Aurio
#Crypto #Trading #Bitcoin #markets #Finance #Forex #BTC
Buy Position on GBPusd (Reward 6.5)OANDA:GBPUSD
In order to the EX zone in 4H time frame,
We go to 15m time frame to enter the buy position more efficiently.
Note: In EX zones, we can enter the position without any confirmation, but we always get better win rate by waiting for a confirmation signals to form.
The confirmation signals in my strategy (Tactical Smart Money) are two kind:
1. SCOB (single candle order block)
2. ChoCh in lower time frame
As always: Make sure you have a good partial exit plan, AND
"KEEP CALM & OBEY YOUR PLANS."
Happy trading..
Cheers,
Aurio
#Crypto #Trading #Bitcoin #markets #Finance #Forex #BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Buy Position (REWARD 9) opportunity on GOLD 1HOANDA:XAUUSD
As you can see
Gold is on a important level on weekly time frame.
Which could hit the last ATH and then rest for a few weeks/months.
So that now we can take a Buy Position on 1H time frame to the new ATH (Minor Extreme mentioned as EX.i).
Its Reward to Risk is about 9 to 1, But it's better to save some profits after Reward 2-3 and higher.
In other words, the more rewards we get, the less position size we should have.
Make Sure You Have a Good Partial Exit Plan.
"KEEP CALM & OBEY YOUR PLANS."
I will update Bitcoin regularly.
Happy trading..
Cheers,
Aurio
#Crypto #Trading #Bitcoin #markets #Finance #Forex #BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Buy Position on BTCusdt 1HMEXC:BTCUSDT
Why should we buy here?
Simply because this MPL is our last POI we have on Major Structure in 1H time frame.
As you can see
Also we can open 2 position at the same time and price, but manage them differently.
In other words we can set partial exit at 2.5 reward & 7 reward.
It is better to have 2 targets, not more and not less..
"KEEP CALM & OBEY YOUR PLANS."
I will update Bitcoin and Gold regularly,
Happy trading..
Cheers,
Aurio
#Crypto #Trading #Bitcoin #markets #Finance #Forex #BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC
#BTCUSD Monthly Cycle ComparisonsAugust 2024 has produced another successful (so far!) retest of the ~60 level on RSI on the monthly Bitcoin chart. The last two cycles have seen a cycle top 16 months and 14 months after the successful retest and gains of ~28x in 2017 and ~6x in 2021.
Just an observation really and past performance is no guarantee of future results but 14-16 months from now would take us to October - December 2025.
Fun times ahead hopefully!
Following lines
interpretation of the patterns
Good evening sirs , today we will be doing analysis of candlesticks with pivot points and cycles.
Please be sitting in your seats to receive it well better!
for further instructions see attached notes
see attached notes for further instructions
see included instructions for notes to further instructions
see further instructions for attached notes regarding further instructions on how to see attached notes (that may or may not contain) further instructions.
Weekly Forecast: A High Volume Week Ahead!Common themes across the board with daily rallies that need to exhaust sooner or later and price approaching (if not already in) weekly EPD levels which overlap with Order Blocks or Fair Value Gaps. With an abundance of opportunity in the market, be careful not to marry your bias by maintaining a neutral perspective on all pairs.
My Bias for the week is as follows:
DXY - LONG
EURUSD - SHORT
AUDUSD - SHORT
GBPJPY - LONG
USDJPY - LONG
Alarm for falling?In this post, I want to look at Sol from the upper time frame and in the next post we will go to the lower time frame😎
Cycles:
Let's start with cycles. In HWC (our big trend), the trend is upward
In MWC, the upward trend is weak
LWC is falling.
So, we can take more risk to climb, because it is the same direction with HWC and a little bit MWC, because the trend is weak, and for short position, we have to save profit quickly or put a big stop loss.🤔
Support and resistance:
Above the resistance of 175.67 we can continue the uptrend and below the support of 162.57 is a bit risky, for less than that we can consider 159 as support. It depends on your personality which one you choose, we can have a fall📉
Our general view of the chart was this. In the next post, we will go to a smaller time frame and a more detailed view🫡
BTC cycle measurements for BREAK OUT and ATHBREAK OUT from previous cycle’s ATH price
One of the cycle events that I feel is worth measuring is the event of breaking the previous cycle ATH and staying (well) above it. And the way that I measured this in the past I overlooked an important thing. I measured only when the dates the price first hit the previous ATH, and not to the later dates of when the price actually held above it, never to see it again. I feel like measuring from halvings makes most sense, but interestingly enough measuring from previous ATL and ATH, they all overlap.
With measuring this way, and giving weight to the idea of the cycles, I am now keeping an open mind that this event might happen between later Nov to late Jan 2025. (Thinking it won't happen until March seems unlikely to me, but who knows). In 2020, it was on Dec 13th, which is right in the middle of the measurements from past halvings.
Cycle ATH Time Frame
Same here, I think Halving to ATH seems like the best to measure, but I also measured ATL to ATH, and ATH to ATH. Once btc finally breaks and stays above 69k then we can also map out that for another time frame to ATH.
Call it last cycle PTSD, but I’m not as interested in digging into the price points or percentage gains. But as an attempt, I did measure ATH to ATH percentage gains. I don’t see any simple pattern here. C3 (2021 top) does seem like a heavy under-performing outlier. With some simple theories I came to very round numbers of 150k on the lower end, 250k being hopeful, and 280k on the higher end.
I label C3 as “cycle 3” which I’m referring to the 2020 cycle. C2 is the 2016 cycle and C1, 2012. Cycle One is probably 2008 to some people, I apologize for confusion.
AVN, Bullish Channel with Flag Breakout- Weekly Bullish Flag
- Breakout of flag
- Now trading in Bullish Channel
- Time cycle indicated
- A complete cycle takes around 220 days
- This cycle completed around 200 days
- New cycle and bullish moment is expected in next 20-30 days
- upcoming board meeting may trigger this cycle
- Buy suggested with SL of closing below 48
- Take profit on top of channel
- Ultimate target is 140
APT Short📈 Current Price and Trend:
The chart shows that APTUSDT is trading around $9.12.
A bullish trend started from a strong support level, as marked with the annotation "Start Latest bull-trend". The price has moved upwards within a channel, breaking through previous resistance levels.
🔄 Pullback to Breakeven:
A pullback to the breakeven zone (highlighted in red) around $9.57 - $9.97 is seen, which may act as a key resistance area if the price attempts to rise again.
🎯 Take Profit Targets (TP):
TP-1: $9.18 📌 – This level might be a short-term resistance where partial profit can be considered.
TP-2: $8.83 📉 – Another potential target within a downward trend.
TP-3: $8.30 📉 – This level aligns with the next support, where a significant pullback could happen.
📊 Key Support and Resistance:
Resistance: Near $10.73, marked by the upper trendline, and also around $9.57 - $9.97 (breakeven pullback zone).
Support: The next strong support level is around $7.49, where a trend reversal could occur if the price drops.
⚠️ Recommendation:
Long Position: Consider entry if the price holds above the breakeven zone with targets at TP-1, TP-2, and TP-3.
Short Position: If the price fails to hold above the breakeven zone, aiming for lower targets around $8.83 and $8.30 could be prudent.
This analysis combines key price levels, potential take-profits, and possible resistance and support zones as per the channel and trendlines shown.
$BTC.D Near 60% - Cue Altseason?Bitcoin Dominance continues to rip nearing its target of 60%
You can see the 2 major trendlines about to converge, similar to what we saw in March 2020 which was followed by more rate cuts.
We could expect CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to break trend, and fall under the 50WMA, cueing a short-term Alt season, and then Bitcoin stealing the show again with more institutional buying on the horizon.
This could bring one last shakeout to the Altcoin market, before BTC.D completely falls off a cliff and the entire market goes parabolic.
XRP signalBased on the chart provided for XRP/USD , here's an analysis of your trade setup:
Trade Analysis for XRP/USD:
- Entry Point (EN): 0.5399
- Stop Loss (SL): 0.5445
- Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.5347
- Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.5275
The chart illustrates a trading range where XRP is expected to move between support and resistance levels. The market shows signs of a possible rejection around 0.5445, suggesting an opportunity to enter a short position at 0.5399 with two potential profit targets, the first around 0.5347 and the second at 0.5275.
A stop-loss is set above the recent highs at 0.5445, ensuring risk management.