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Economic Cycles

Buy the Rumor, Sell the News?? - Ethereum ETF ThoughtsWhy isn't ETH pumping right now? Here are some possible reasons: No capital inflow: The ETFs haven't started yet, so there's no fresh capital inflow. Early buyers: Since the SEC decision earlier this week, many have already bought what they wanted. Regulatory hurdles: Only the 19b-4 filings were approved today, not the S-1 forms. In contrast, the Bitcoin ETF approval had the S-1 forms ready, allowing for a quick trading start. Delegated authority: The approval by "delegated authority" could still be challenged within the next 10 days. A comparison with the BTC ETF launch: Price increase Q3 last year: Much of it due to speculation that a spot BTC ETF was imminent. Market volatility from Cointelegraph post: Notorious events like the Cointelegraph posts on October 15 caused significant market volatility. Serious discussions in January: Suddenly, it became likely that the ETF would be approved that month. BTC ETF approval: The SEC approved the BTC ETF on Wednesday, January 10. Immediate +5% pump: An immediate +5% pump, followed by a significant selloff that lasted almost 2 weeks and severely impacted the market. Recovery and new ATH: BTC recovered around 39k and almost doubled to a new all-time high. Possibility for Ethereum: Buy the Rumor: Massive price increases in anticipation of the event. Sell the News: Market downturn as the event is already priced in. Delayed Fuse: Long-term bullishness is processed by the market over a longer period. Summary and Conclusion: While the exact behavior of the market is not 100% sure, historical patterns show that such events often follow predictable cycles. The "Buy the Rumor" phase leads to significant price increases, followed by a "Sell the News" reaction once the event occurs. Long-term, a "Delayed Fuse" phase may occur, where the market processes the long-term positive impacts of the event. The Ethereum ETF could play a crucial role in establishing Ethereum as a significant asset in the long term. With increasing acceptance and institutional interest, we could see sustainable price increases and broader adoption of Ethereum-based applications. The potential for DeFi (Decentralized Finance) and smart contracts could be further promoted by the ETF.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by stromm_by_wmc
1
MEME COIN CYCLE - Total Meme Coin MC to $420BWe do not yet have a Meme Coin Market Cap index in TradingView but I am expecting Meme Coin Total Market Cap to reach ~$420B Market Cap at pico cycle top this cycle Reasons: - CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is basically playing out the 'OTHERS' market cap chart, just a cycle behind. -Instead of CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , you can change this to the Meme Coin market cap chart ( CRYPTOCAP:DOGE was basically the only meme coin in 2020 - CRYPTOCAP:SHIB came later). Currently Meme Coin Total Market Cap as of today 5/23/2024 is GETTEX:61B Market Cap ( CRYPTOCAP:DOGE MC is currently $23B) -2017 - #OTHERS MC peaked at GETTEX:70B MC. -2021 - #OTHERS MC peaked at 450B MC. -2021 - CRYPTOCAP:DOGE MC peaked at GETTEX:70B MC. -2024 - Meme Coins MC predicted to peak at ~$420B MC. CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , CRYPTOCAP:SHIB , CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , and CRYPTOCAP:WIF market cap index limited history, is the bright green line chart. Price is fractal, studying Market Caps is the alpha-leak. gl hf, make sure to book profits, NFA. - @CryptoCurb
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by CryptoCurb
Is Bitcoin on a Distribution or Accumulation range?I made this analysis of Accumulation and Distribution ranges on Bitcoin. On the current level we can clearly see its forming a range which can work as Distribution and go down at least a key level bellow as we can see on the horizontal lines. Or it can make a spring bellow the range and push up to a new level above new all time highs. The question is: We are now in a Distribution or Accumulation Range? What are your opinions?
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by torricelly
1
Buckle up: I expect Gold to beat $2500 by the next week or twoHello, a quick on here. Gold continues its rally on strong China news and demand. It did exactly what I expected in my last update : 2 50% retraces and now as you can see on H4 a trend. I am already in big, otherwise I'd buy on a new touch of the trendline. We are entering the part of the cycle where it gets so strong I am unsure we'll even touch that line again. Gold is still not in the mainstream news, even traders are mostly ignoring it, I would say we are entering thrill/enthusiasm soon. Once the public steps in the arena that is when it gets stupid. Once that happens the price could go very high, $5000 is not that far fetched. Especially with inflation and distrust in the US dollar. Gold can absolutely reach 2500 in 1 or 2 weeks, it has had these rallies earlier this year I aim for a price higher than this, regardless of how long it takes, hopefully not too long. I am riding the short term waves, I believe there is money to be made there (and that's what I seem to be good at), I will take profit after a big rally (once it ends) but I'll leave some in longer term.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrRenev
1
This Cycle Take Profits! "Ladies and gentlemen, I'm excited to share with you that Bitcoin adoption is gaining momentum in institutional settings! Heavy hitters like Fidelity Investments, JPMorgan Chase, and Goldman Sachs are actively exploring cryptocurrency offerings. And it's not just them - real-world banks like Morgan Stanley and Bank of America are taking notice, filing patents for blockchain-related technologies. But that's not all - institutions like the Intercontinental Exchange and Nasdaq are building cryptocurrency trading platforms! Now, I know mainstream adoption is still in its early days, but these developments show a growing recognition of Bitcoin's potential in traditional finance. The future is looking bright, and I'm excited to see where this momentum takes us!"
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by AsadAftab
Bitcoin: BBW Squeeze ReturnBitcoin experiencing its tightest Weekly Bollinger Band Width squeeze since 2012. But before we dive into this, let's take a moment to get to know Bollinger Bands , which are a common tool in trading. These were created by John Bollinger back in the early 1980s to help us understand price volatility better. So, what makes up Bollinger Bands? If you'd like a visual, check this out: - The Middle Band: Typically, it's a 20-period simple moving average (SMA). - The Upper Band: This one is calculated by adding twice the 20-period SMA's standard deviation to the middle band. - The Lower Band: And the lower band is found by subtracting twice the 20-period SMA's standard deviation from the middle band. Now, let's talk about the Bollinger Band Width. You can see it here: This Width essentially measures the gap between the upper and lower Bollinger Bands. If it's narrow, it means low volatility, and if it's wider, it suggests higher volatility. Okay, back to Bitcoin and its Weekly Bollinger Band Width Squeeze. This recent phenomenon means that Bitcoin's weekly price volatility has tightened, reaching levels not seen since 2015-2016 So, what does this tightening mean? It implies that Bitcoin's price movements are getting more constrained, which might indicate that significant price swings are on the horizon. The last time Bitcoin went through such a squeeze was almost a decade ago, and it resulted in prices skyrocketing from $750 all the way up to $19,900. For traders and investors, low volatility might seem uneventful, but it often comes just before big market shifts. Keep a close eye on things as those Bollinger Bands start to widen out; Bitcoin could be gearing up for some noteworthy price action. To sum it up, Bitcoin's tightest Weekly Bollinger Band Width squeeze since 2012 hints at potential price increases. As traders gear up for what's next, it's a reminder that these calm periods can often lead to some pretty exciting opportunities.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by ArShevelev
4
What will be the future of NOT?As you know, NOT does not have data to review and cannot be analyzed. But this project was chosen as the 54st project of Binance Launch Pool With our previous reviews of the Binance Launch Pool projects, we found out that usually the symbols listed in this way in Binance underwent a time correction between 70 and 90 days and then moved upwards. We expect to see a trend change for NOT on the date between the two vertical lines on the chart. Note: For buying and risking, the price bottom is not clear, and only on the chart, we indicated the time of trend change schematically. When we reach the time to change the trend, we can enter the buy position by getting the confirmation and the trigger
by behdark
EURUSD IN HIGHER-HIGH & HIGHER-LOW MAY TARGET ABOVE 1.09500The pair has recently rallied above the bullish wedge and has been creating higher-high and higher-low for the past few days. IF fibre can rally above resistance at 1.09000, then the next target will be above 1.09500. N.B! - EURUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #eurusd #fibre
Long
by BullBearMkt