Economic Cycles
ADA/USD Main trendThe main trend (to understand where the price is and what is the general trend). Logarithm. Timeframe 1 month. Price in a secondary downtrend is approaching a mirror support level (marked in yellow, former resistance).
Against the dollar on the monthly timeframe, there is now a large bowl with a handle, which I have displayed on this chart.
Pump/dump news.
Cardano's developers have activated the Vasil hard fork on the testnet. The Vasil hard fork was successfully completed on the Cardano testnet.
Vasil will enable faster block generation and increase the scalability of decentralized applications (DApps) powered by Cardano.
Vasil is expected to launch on the mainnet in about a month.
In other words, if the market allows, then in about 1 month a local pumping (trend reversal) is planned, if the market is sluggish, then Vasil will be canceled for some far-fetched reasons or the event will not be widely advertised.
Remember when the US congressional elections.
The same parameters on the line graph.
Secondary trend. Downlink zone. Timeframe 3 days.
ADA/USD Secondary trend.
Local trading situation Timeframe 1 days.
ADA/USD Local trading situation
LONG BTC📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍Entry: 60.252
🛑Stop Loss: 57.722
🎯Take Profit: 62.500 - 65.000 - 68.450 - 71.777 - 76.500
Maintaining the $58,000 Support Level 🔴:
This level acts as strong support. If the price cannot break this level and remains above it, the bullish trend is likely to continue.
Price Targets in the Bullish Trend 📈:
$62,497.20 Level: The first significant resistance level that the price may reach. If the price can break this level, the probability of continuing the bullish trend increases.
$65,008.07 Level: The second resistance level above $62,497.20. This level can be considered the next price target.
Colored Resistance Zones 📊:
The gray zone between $62,497.20 and $76,514.94 acts as a significant resistance area. If the price can break through this zone, it may reach higher resistance levels such as $71,773.98 and $76,514.94.
Candlestick Patterns and Trading Volume 📊:
Examining candlestick patterns near the $58,000 support level can provide indications of trend reversal and a return to the bullish trend. Additionally, trading volume can be an indicator of the validity of these moves.
Trading Strategy:
Traders can enter long positions by maintaining the $58,000 level and observing signs of a price rebound. Using a stop-loss below the $58,000 level is recommended to reduce risk.
Upon reaching resistance levels like $62,497.20 and $65,008.07, traders can take partial profits or use risk management methods such as trailing stops.
📈 Conclusion:
As long as the $58,000 level is maintained, the bullish trend remains intact. Traders can leverage this trend by focusing on the identified resistance levels and employing risk management tools to maximize their gains.
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Bitcoin All Time High NOT PRICED IN YETFor weeks now, I've been talking about why the all time high for Bitcoin is NOT YET in. (Proof here)
Here are the main reasons why.
👉 Elliot Wave Theory
I've been discussing EWT for many weeks alongside with the bearish M-Pattern that marked the beginning of the corrective wave (3-4). Once the corrective wave finishes, which I expected to be a multi-month playout, the final impulse wave up awaits us (4-5).
👉 Bitcoin-Dominance Increasing & ALTS Bottom
Considering MANY alts have seen bottom patterns after corrections (as discussed in the video), its safe to say the dump is over. But BTC.D is still increasing... If you want to further understand WHY this is a good sign, see HERE:
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KUCOIN:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
Annual Bitcoin Conference 2024==>>ExpectationsBitcoin moved as I expected in previous posts . The question here is whether the upward trend of Bitcoin continues or not!?
I apologize for the that the chart is a bit busy. I think all was needed😊.
🌐 Breaking News : As I was writing this post, the breaking news was that Joe Biden withdrew from the US presidential election, which can shock financial markets. 🌐
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) and Ascending Channel .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed the main wave 3 in the resistance zone , and now we have to wait for corrective waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In addition, if we look at the USDT.D% chart , we will notice that USDT.D% is near the Lower line of the Ascending Channel and the Support zone , which I expect USDT.D% to have a little upward trend in the coming days, which will also correct the cryptocurrency market.
As a result, corrective waves can continue until the start of the annual Bitcoin conference 2024 , and if Bitcoin breaks the Support lines , the Support zone($64,000-$62,280) , 100_SMA(Daily) and 21_SMA(Weekly) , we can wait for the CME Gap($60,845-$57,895) to be filled.
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Now, let's get some information about the Annual Bitcoin Conference .
The Bitcoin Conference(started in 2011) is an annual event where industry leaders, developers, and enthusiasts gather to discuss the latest advancements in Bitcoin and blockchain technology. The conference features keynote speakers, panel discussions, and networking opportunities, providing insights into the future of cryptocurrency, regulatory issues, and innovations in the space. It's a key platform for sharing knowledge, exploring new ideas, and connecting with others in the Bitcoin community.
My review from 2017 is that the market cap of the cryptocurrency is considerably higher than in the years before 2017.
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The year 2017:
Date: May 22-24
The main market trend: Bullish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): +7.66%
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The year 2018:
Date: May 14-16
The main market trend: Bearish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): -4.27%
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The year 2019:
Date: May 13-15
The main market trend: Bullish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): +11.87%
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The year 2020:Covid
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The year 2021:
Date: June 4-5
The main market trend: Bearish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): -5.6%
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The year 2022:
Date: April 6-9
The main market trend: Bearish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): -6.89%
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The year 2023:
Date: May 18-19
The main market trend: Bullish(in correction)
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): +2.00 %
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The year 2024:
Date: July 25-27
The main market trend: Bullish(in correction)
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): ❗️❓ %
What do you think about the annual Bitcoin conference in 2024? Will Bitcoin continue to rise?
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It can be concluded that when the general trend of the market is bullish , Bitcoin has increased during the annual Bitcoin Conference, this review is only based on past data. Another point is that Donald Trump will probably speak at this conference this year, so Bitcoin probably increase in the two days of the annual Bitcoin conference 2024.
But before holding the annual Bitcoin conference in 2024, we can wait for Bitcoin correction.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
ORDI: wait best for candle🟢 Buy Signal for ORDIUSDT 🟢
📍 Entry Point: 38.89 USDT
🎯 Target Prices:
- TP1: 39.50 USDT 🥇
- TP2: 41.90 USDT 🥈
- TP3: 45.73 USDT 🥉
- TP4: 50.35 USDT 🏆
- TP5: 55.65 USDT 🏆
🔴 Stop Loss: 34.76 USDT
📈 Technical Analysis:
After the price hit the support zone and pulled back to the downtrend line, a favorable position for entering a buy trade has been established. Multiple target prices have been set at different levels.
This analysis are based on the provided chart and may need revision with market changes. Always consider risk management and trade only with capital you can afford to lose. 📊💡
Wait for best positionATOMUSDT Analysis 📊
Key Levels:
Resistance Level: $7.116 🔴
Support Level: $5.051 🟢
Entry Level: Around $6.270 to $6.318 🚀
Take Profit Points (TP):
TP-1: $6.550 🥇
TP-2: $6.851 🥈
TP-3: $7.082 🥉
Trend Analysis:
Bullish Movement (Pump):
The chart indicates the best entry point after breaking the resistance at $6.318 🚀.
In this case, there is a strong probability of a bullish move that could push the price to the specified targets 📈.
Entry and Exit Points:
Entry: When the confirmed candle is around $6. 📥
Exit: At target levels $6.550, $6.851, and $7.082 depending on risk tolerance and profit goals 📤.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Around $5.744 to $5.713 ❌.
Profit Target: Up to 17% 📈.
Recommendations:
Profit Expectation: If you aim for a 17% profit, wait for the price to reach $7.116 🤑.
Entry Condition: It’s best to enter after confirming the resistance break and closing the candle above $6.318 ✅.
Position Management: Always consider your risk-to-reward ratio and stick to confirmed signals 🔍.
This analysis is based on the provided information and chart. Always conduct your analysis and review your strategies 📚. Also, never forget risk management 🛡️.
Live Trading Session 263: Open trade on BTC,Gold and moreIn this live trading session video,we look at our open positions on Bitcoin,Gold,potential trades coming up on the other instruments and the thinking behind them. The concepts you learn from this video are cross transferrable principles onto any strategy.