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Economic Cycles

TBT / TLT T Bill Inverse TreasuriesOn this daily chart of the ratio of TBT ( Treasury Bills Bearish ) to TLT ( the inverse Bullish) over time. This serves to accentuate shifts in prices from factors affecting them both but with opposite effects. Federal actions or even reports of economic data are some of those factors. This chart shows that about November 1st, TBT ad topped out and fell. They are inverses of one another . What makes one go down will make the other go up and viceversa. By February 1, TBT bottomed out and the ratio reversed. The cycle took 3 months. On a lower time frame, cycling would be more frequent. At present, it would appear to be time to sell TLT and / or buy TBT What applies to the TBT /TLT ratio would also relate to TMV / TMF as a ratio.
AMEX:TBTLong
by AwesomeAvani
EWT/USDT Major trend. Channel -93% US Energy Sector 11 2023Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Cryptocurrency in coinmarketcap: Energy Web Token. Of the liquid exchanges, it is traded on KuCoin, Kraken (USA), Gate.io. Downward channel. At the zone of its meridian a descending wedge has formed in the secondary trend. The percentages to the key zones of support/resistance levels are shown on the chart. It is more rational to work from the average buy/sell price, as we are already in the first capitulation zone. Decline from the low (liquidity) -93%. We are in the first so-called capitulation zone. This is not the maximum value for altcoins of such liquidity. The range of the maximum capitulation zone is shown on the price chart, which is the range of the downward volatility channel and understanding of market cycles and chart logic, i.e. price movement. Also shown on the chart are conventionally maximum averaged (from the average price) potential market phase targets (not "one-step" pump/dump due to low liquidity at good times, but specifically trends): 1) "participation" (bullish trend development towards the reset zone, i.e. distribution). 2) distribution. . Capitalization is low. There is no HYIP (the project and the meaning is different), it is not a one-step profit from nothing. Suitable for investment if you understand "who and for what", will or will not be able to realize the intended (not speculation, because it is easier to simply under the "hamster time" given the liquidity) is another matter. Fundamental basis . That is, what it is and what it is for. This is a so-called real project. It is not created for cryptocurrency hype and speculation (money from nothing). Until everything is ready, then the price does not matter. In the project previously invested a large capital not speculative, but more far-sighted direction, which is interested exactly in the development of the project's intent in the field of energy and control in the United States in the first place, and not in speculation. The Energy Web Token (EWT) is the operating token underlying the Energy Web Chain, a blockchain-based virtual machine designed to support and further develop applications for the energy sector. In times of blackout, it will be relevant. The Energy Web Token is a joint project between Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI) and Grid Singularity (GSy). Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI) is a leader in research and development in the energy sector. As a renowned think tank, RMI has been involved in many groundbreaking projects in the energy sector. By creating the Energy Web Chain, RMI wanted to harness the decentralized power of blockchain technology to enable participants in the energy sector to develop new decentralized solutions. Grid Singularity ( GSy ) brought blockchain expertise to the project. As a blockchain developer, GSy was the driving force behind the creation of the Energy Web Chain. Together with renowned experts, key Ethereum blockchain developers, experienced energy executives and energy regulators, GSy was an integral part of the EWT launch. Given that the Energy Web Chain network is designed for enterprise use , it supports state-of-the-art scalability and data privacy. The Foundation also recently released a comprehensive technology solution called the Energy Web Decentralized Operating System (EW-DOS). This allows users to monitor and manage their electrical systems online. Line chart to visualize this downward channel and the logic of the wedges in it. Secondary trend. Downward wedge zone. Time frame 3 days.
Long
by SpartaBTC
4
CPI Index Rises over 43% per decade on Average - Don't be Fooledby the Politicians, Talking heads and Bankers. Governments can only Tax, Borrow & Spend Central Banks can only Print & Lend. If this index were to rise by the average of 43% You are looking at the CPI Index hitting 372 by Jan 2030 There is every likelihood this decade, will be a higher than average inflation rise. You must save in scarce Assets #Gold & #Bitcoin You must continue to in invest in #Technology #ETH & #LINK come to mind.
FRED:CPIAUCSLLong
by BallaJi
Why Steve's 5.3 theory is not likely to play outMany have already heard about the Steve's (Crypto Crew University) 5.3 theory. This theory determines that the percentage gains throughout the bitcoin cycles are decreasing by a factor of 5.3, placing a top for bitcoin for this present cycle at roughly 80k. While I tend to agree with Steve's analysis, and actually find him one of the most accurate bitcoin analyst for this kind of technical analysis, sometimes I do disagree. This is one of this cases. Even though I still find this 5.3 factor a remarkable finding for the big swings he suggests, I don't think this data can't be extrapolated the way he is doing it. Very often in different kind of analysis people forget about the time factor. Most importantly, when talking about cycle analysis, one has to pay more attention to the significance of the term cycle, where cycle and time are directly related. To be more specific a cycle is the periodic repetition of price action during a specific time period. Bitcoin’s 4 years periodicity is very well known, with the bottoms marking the beginning of new cycles precisely every 4 years. And this is where I find Steve’s analysis might be wrong. While he considers the cycles from 2014 as being 4 year cycles, from 2010 to 2013 top his analysis include 2 cycles within a period of 3 years. Within this period, while many consider two cycles, it might be far from correct, and against the true meaning of the word cycle. If cycles periodicity is maintained since BTC’s inception, we can see that time for both tops and bottoms are perfectly aligned. If the 5.3 theory is applied now, we see three important things: 1) first cycle percentage factor is way higher than 5.3, roughly 10 times more; 2) in the second cycle we do have the 5.3 factor correctly assigned, and 3) we can only calculate two past percentage factors with the data we have, so no reliable trend can be determined at this point. What we do see is that the sizes of these green boxes are indeed decreasing (diminishing returns), but if we set the next top around 100k, it would still fit the trend perfectly. As conclusion, while there is no doubt we have a 5.3 percentage factor for some of the most important tops printed so far in BTC’ history, this shouldn’t be used to extrapolate the next cycle target since the periodicity of the first cycle was not correctly calculated. Time will tell. Let me know your thoughts.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by LittlePhi
2
WHEN to BUY CRONOS - Using BTC.D 🔁BITTREX:CROUSDT As seen from the CROUSDT chart, the Bitcoin Dominance Chart reveals many secrets when overlayed onto your altcoin chart. They key reason for this being the constant rotation of money in and out of Bitcoin, and into and out of altcoins. If you're looking for a more detailed explanation on when to buy altcoins, check out yesterday's update here: From the chart we can clearly see that Cronos has bottomed out, but is struggling to regain bullish momentum. As we overlay the BTC.D chart (yellow) we can see there is a negative correlation between the two - When BTC.D drops, CRO increases. And when BTC.D increases, CRO drops. This will hold true not only for CRO , but for other smaller market cap altcoins as well. This concludes that NOW is an excellent zone to buy Cronos, as the price is yet again in accumulation zone. An increase can be expected as soon as we see a dip in Bitcoin Dominance. ______________________ CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Long
by CryptoCheck-
1
🔥TON: Listing On Binance And $20 Soon❓It's Worth to Buy NOT🚀🔥 A lot of expectations about Toncoin and Notcoin listing on Binance. Is it worth to but TON now and wait $20 on possible Binance listing? 3 ways to withdraw your NOT from Telegram Do you need to buy NOT streight after the listing? These are the topics that most traders and investors are interested in. This is exactly what I talked about in detail in the video! 🎁 Check my trading ideas for the altcoins that are still at the bottom! like❤️ and follow
by Alex_Dehtiarov
GOLD LIKELY TO PULLBACK BELOW 2338 BEFORE ANOTHER TEST OF R2!Gold got rejected at R2 level projected and already formed double top which is likely to drive the metal down. A failure of support at S1 to hold gold's price will see metal price dropping below 2338 to test S2. Having said that, gold may encounter early support at 2352; and price is rejected at this level, we might see gold again testing R2. N.B! - XAUUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #gold #xauusd
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BullBearMkt
The Crypto Carousel: BTC, ALTS, and the Money Merry-Go-Round✅ Bitcoin Dominance, BTC, Altcoins ✅ Today we're diving into the fascinating world of money rotation within the cryptocurrency subclasses. We're talking about the rotation of cash between Bitcoin and altcoins, its younger, more diverse siblings. Imagine a pie where each slice represents a different cryptocurrency. The pie here indicates the total cryptocurrency market cap of both Bitcoin and altcoins, which can increase or decrease at any given time. In other words the TOTAL chart. - If BTC market cap increases but altcoin market cap shrinks (relative), the pie stays the same size. - If BTC market cap increase and altcoin market cap increases, the pie size increase and so forth. Total Market Cap ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL ) and BTC.D Now, imagine a big shiny carousel. Bitcoin is the majestic stallion at the center, while altcoins are the colorful horses surrounding it. Riders (investors) hop on and off, injecting money into the ride (buying) and taking it out (selling). This constant movement is what keeps the crypto carousel spinning. Let's break it down with visuals: Chart 1: The Bitcoin Rollercoaster This rollercoaster represents Bitcoin's price action, and also my view on where we are in the current cycle. (I believe we're in a multimonth correction, followed by the last impulse wave up). You'll need this to know where we are in the cycle right now / LOWER-STABLE: Chart 2: Bitcoin & Bitcoin Dominance Dance This chart shows Bitcoin's dominance, which is basically its share of the total crypto market capitalization (market cap = total value of all cryptocurrencies). When Bitcoin's dominance goes up (higher on the chart), it means investors are putting more money into Bitcoin, potentially at the expense of altcoins. Conversely, when dominance goes down, it suggests capital is flowing towards altcoins. The difference is clear: Chart 3: BTC.D vs TOTAL3 In this chart, we overlay the Total 3 Priceline (turquoise) on top of the Bitcoin Dominance chart. TOTAL3 shows us all alts except ETH. The Bitcoin Rollercoaster and the S&P 500: Imagine Bitcoin's price as a rollercoaster. When Bitcoin surges (line goes up), it can sometimes lead to increased investor risk appetite. This might entice some investors to move funds from the S&P 500 into riskier assets like Bitcoin, potentially causing a slight dip in the S&P 500. Conversely, when Bitcoin experiences a price drop, investors might flock back to the perceived stability of the stock market, potentially causing a rise in the S&P 500. So, is there a guaranteed correlation? Not quite. The crypto market is a complex beast. But by understanding the relationship between Bitcoin, altcoin prices and dominance, you can get a better sense of where the money merry-go-round might be headed. Remember, this isn't financial advice! Do your own research before making any crypto investments. But hey, with this knowledge under your belt, you're one step closer to navigating the world of crypto rotations! _______________________
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CryptoCheck-