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Economic Cycles

4 year cycle inversion possibilityCurrently as it stands bitcoin's 4th cycle printed right translation (after Nov '25), market participants now are looking for where the top is going to be year 3 of the cycle. Based off of previous cycles we'd look for a November of 2026, 4 year cycle low. The main scenarios currently being considered 1. March local top, consolidation until October blow off 2. March top, lower high in October 3. Steady climb until A 4th scenario not often talked about is a cycle inversion in 2025. If a sell off of risk assets forcing the 4 year monthly cycle to invert where we would start the new 4 year cycle in 2025.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by limit_buy_69
3
Bitcoin Boom is overWith its high of $108,470 on December 17, Bitcoin hit the 1.00 extension in the red Z almost exactly and has been trading below its all-time high ever since. I am relatively certain that this high is unlikely to be broken for quite some time and that the dollar will remain very strong for the foreseeable future. Other currency pairs such as the euro and the pound also point to this. If you look at the previous corrections in Bitcoin, a run-up to the 61.8 retracement or even the 78.6 retracement is a logical target. Prices between USD 23,670 and USD 41,870 should then be reached before the bulls take over again. However, this is of course only based on past experience and things could turn out very differently. The only certainty is that Bitcoin will first have to correct to the 23.6 retracement at USD 83,277 before further price rises are possible.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Elliott-Waves-2_0
SOL | Waiting on ETH for NEW ATHSolana has barely made a new ATH - basically topping out at nearly the exact same place as the previous ATH made in Nov 2021. As Ii said in yesterdays update on ETH, there is no way BTC makes such a dramatic new ATH and ETH (and Solana) stay behind. We can expect SOL and ETH to increase when BTC continues to trade range above 95k. This could be another multi-month playout, although ETH usually peaks rapidly at the end of the cycle, which is noteworthy from yesterday's analysis. ___________________ BINANCE:SOLUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
Long
by CryptoCheck-
Kaspa DCL/WCL in sightKaspa is right in the timing window for a DCL (60-day cycle) ending Jan 9th. It has confirmed a break above the downward-sloping blue trendline. It has either put in a DCL/WCL already or still has a few days. (If it drops below 0.112450, the new DCL/WCL will be created). This will be a good sentiment reset and allow for strength upcoming. As always, BTC still dominates, so Kaspa PA can be impacted. After that, there is a high probability that we will see a Right-translated daily cycle (usually indicative of an uptrend). Bullish Bias. NFA - Opinion of the Author ONLY. JT
Long
by jtmac58
ETH | FRACTAL ATH $6000 | Bitcoin Overlay I'm still anticipating the new Ethereum All Time High . I just don't believe that BTC will make such a climb and ETH stays behind - it hasn't happened before, I don't believe it will happen this time. What has happened before, is an interesting topic - ETH usually makes its ATH AFTER the BTC rally, about when the cycle comes to an end. We see this playout during the past two peaks. Ethereum stays fairly low beneath it's own previous ATH , and shoots out above BTC just when the cycle ends. Using a fractal form the previous cycle, this puts an interesting target on ETH. _______________________ COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by CryptoCheck-
When to trade Dollars ($) to Euro's (€) and the other way aroundWhen exchanging dollars (USDT or USDC) for euros, it's best to do so when the dollar is strong against the euro, meaning you’ll get more euros for your dollars. The same goes for the reverse—if the euro is stronger, it's a good time to exchange euros for dollars (or stablecoins like USDT and USDC). For crypto, since stablecoins like USDT and USDC are pegged to the dollar, their value closely follows the dollar's movements. Pay attention to factors such as interest rates, inflation, and global economic events that affect the dollar's strength. If you're holding USDT or USDC and believe the dollar will weaken, converting to euros or another currency could be a good move. Similarly, if the euro weakens, you might exchange euros for dollars or stablecoins to benefit from a stronger dollar.
by Crypto_Warrrior
BITCOIN UPDATE 2025 | ALTSEASON | BTC.DWe'll kick of the first analysis of the new year by taking a look at BTC, and whether or not the conditions are met to say the ATH is in. Furthermore, let's loo at altseason by comparing the TOTAL3 chart and the Bitcoin Dominance chart. Many secrets lie in these charts if you overlap them, and look for patterns. Soon, I will be making an update on the top Altcoins to watch in 2025 so be sure to follow so you don't miss it! __________________
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoCheck-
3
IWM | Incoming Bull Run | LONGiShares Russell 2000 ETF seeks to track the investment results of the Russell 2000 Index, which measures the performance of the small-capitalization sector of the U.S. equity market. The fund generally invests at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its underlying index (i.e., depositary receipts representing securities of the underlying index) and may invest up to 20% of its assets in certain futures, options and swap contracts, cash and cash equivalents.
AMEX:IWMLong
by DivergenceSeeker
3
USD/JPY Short using a GANN Fixed Square & Andrews PitchforksWe have an interesting short setup on the Daily. The highest candle printed was on the 26th Dec 2024 (UTC+2). Although it wasn't a nice 'Signal' candle it has traded sideways ever since. From a technical/geometric lens we can see heavy resistance against the angles and arcs of this perfectly scaled Gann Fixed Square including 2 median line touches and a "sliding parallel" exhaustion gap. Note: The 26th Dec from an Astro perspective has very interesting planetary alignments including a Price and Time Square Out, however, the details of this is beyond the scope of this idea. Inevitably the market will decide.
Short
by inflectionpointtrader
SQ | Why Wallstreet is Bullish | LONGBlock, Inc. engages in creating ecosystems for distinct customer audiences. It operates through the Square and Cash App segments. The Square segment provides businesses the ability to accept card payments. The Cash App segment offers an ecosystem of financial products and services to help consumers manage their money. The company was founded by Jack Patrick Dorsey and James Morgan McKelvey in February 2009 and is headquartered in Oakland, CA.
NYSE:XYZLong
by DivergenceSeeker
doge buylimit "🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Long
by Golden_candle
Long trade 15min Buyside trade 1 Pair BTCUSDT Tokyo Session PM Mon 30th Dec 24 5.00 pm Entry 92437.9 Profit level 99899.3 (8.07%) Stop level 91750.6 (0.74%) RR 10.86 Reason: I assumed BTC had reached a pivotal demand zone on December 30th, 2024, as well as making a lower low since the 20th of December 2024 (look left) the current price action reflected in it seemed indicative of a buy-side trade. Target 100k for ultimate risk to reward following the narrative and seeing directional bias continuation to the upside.
Long
by davidjulien369
$BTC Cycle Elliot Wave AnalysisMore confluence on why this CRYPTOCAP:BTC cycle will perform similar to 2017 vs 2021. If we look at Elliot Wave theory, we can see the first cycle (red) had a long 3rd wave and somewhat truncated 5th wave. The second cycle (green) had a muted 3rd wave and extended 5th wave. The third cycle performed similar to the first, which makes me believe the fourth cycle will perform similar to the second cycle. It appears the ₿itcoin cycle flip-flops every other time. *NOTE* I used Closing Candles for when drawing EW to cancel out noise. **EW drawings are extremely subjective, hence why I don’t use often for analysis.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by jonnieking
Long trade 15min TF overview Pair SUSHIUSDT Buyside trade 2 Fri 3rd Jan 25 6.00 am Tokyo to LND Session AM Entry 1.4785 Profit level 2.2573 (52.86%) Stop level 1.4408 (2.55%) RR 20.66 The thought process for buyside trade: Price reached a critical price level along with buyside momentum observed on the 5nin TF. As well as seeing BTCUSDT play out to the buyside on the 30th of December 24, I assumed it was a reflection of directional bias and influence on this occasion for a buyside trade with SUSHIUSDT.
Long
by davidjulien369
PEPE Ready for Rebound after Multi-Week HiatusMarket update on COINBASE:PEPEUSD After a multi-week downtrend, PEPE looks like it is signaling an entry into breakout territory on the 4h view here. Look for some heavy waves during the next days or week timeframe, as there are many whales dumping millions into the market right now, ready to take blood in the choppy waters ahead. The overall trend should continue to rebound into positive territory now that the consolidation and down waves are signaling they are done here as two green indicators have popped on our chart, signaling entry now, or when you have the liquidity from resolving other open trades. In other news, watch out for COINBASE:PRIMEUSD which is also indicating a strong buy signal right now. There could also be potential synergy between PEPE and COINBASE:GIGAUSD meme markets where profits could be diverted from PEPE to GIGAchad empire for new Power Gym and Rolexes. Remember Habibi, never look for financial advice in camel's ass. The desert tests your will, not your strength. Viva El Pepe!
COINBASE:PEPEUSDLong
by CoinrabiaDeFi