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Economic Cycles

UMA 4 year long triangle violent breakout incomingIf you ever wonder what drives violent upward movement of altcoins when they make 30-50% daily gains for many days over the course of many weeks, this chart for UMA is a perfect example. The coin that has only dumped for over 4 years after the initial massive rally in 2021 is poised to repeat a similar path in 2025. Large volumes of desperate sell volume were registered earlier this year and marked the bottom and switch to macro uptrend for UMA. FA analysts gave up on the coin that powers Polymarket (the undisputed leader of onchain betting) assuming it will never pump. They simply ignored the fact that TA is the king and when you are in a downward movement, not bullish news will change the price action. However, when markets turn bullish and altseason comes, the projects with the strongest FA shine. Watch that triangle violently break out, Ripple style soon
CRYPTO:UMAUSDLong
by Goldsworth
Is a massive correction for alt tokens about to print?This is a short term forecast affecting anything inside the TOTAL2 market cap. That is the entire crypto market excluding Bitcoin. The crash is forecast to occur over the next 14-20 days. In four days from now a “life cross” will print on the above daily chart, it is inevitable. What is a life cross? It is when the 50 day simple moving average (blue line) crosses up the 200 day simple moving average (red line) AND Price action is above the 200 day simple moving average. The majority of market participants see this as a positive sign. A green light to enter long positions. However for you lucky what is it now wow 14,000 followers (thank you!), you’ll now know it is not what it seems. Like me you're scientific about all this and look left. But before we look left, I want you memorise how far TOTAL2 market capital is above the 200 day SMA, about 30% November 12th, 2023 life cross -10% correction Price action was 20% above the 200 day SMA February 18th, 2023 life cross -15% correction Price action was 15% above the 200 day SMA February 2020 and May 2020, -70% and -17% corrections Price action was 57% and 20% above the 200 day sma April 13th, 2019. Life cross -23% correction Price action was 34% above the 200 day sma In summary, the further price action was above the 200 day SMA the harder it dropped. We can infer that a 15-20% correction should be expected across TOTAL2. Use this low as an opportunity to collect your favourite token from emotional sellers. Ww
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by without_worries
65
DXY 1W Forecast until the end of MAY 2025Up-trend will resume and last until the end of February 2025 topping no higher than 114. Current bottom is in at 105.9 Hence, it shouldn't fall below. After February a consolidation period of 1,5 months will trap price action between the bottom of 122.16 and upper level of 114.9 The spring squeezed during consolidation will provide enough energy for further upwards movement starting in the end of April 2025. This will ignite a chain of devaluation of national currencies followed by epidemic inflation across the globe. This will finish/cool-down at DXY reaching the mark of 148. New reality after May 2025?
INDEX:DXY
by discarding
Long $TSLAI am getting 100% of my exposure currently through NASDAQ:TSLL , I am very bullish on this setup for Tesla. Bull catalysts: Trump Victory - if this happens, I assume TSLA will pump just because of their close relationship Federal EV Charging Re-compete - in the vein above, I don't see why Trump wouldn't open the failed federal funds of ~ SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B to companies to recompute the contract- obviously Tesla could actually deliver the network of chargers more efficiently than GM et al. QE - I overlaid the FFR on the bottom of this chart, since I think it is valuable information regarding the last time TSLA's face-melting rally began, it coincided with QE beginning. Their humanoid robots also could be something, but I am not as versed with them. Any other catalysts I'm missing?
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by httpz
EURCAD SELLEUR/CAD 4-hour timeframe with respect to Wyckoff market cycle stages and current price action. Here's the step-by-step evaluation: Wyckoff Analysis Distribution Phase: The chart shows a prolonged sideways range at the top (above 1.50), suggesting a distribution phase. This is evident from the multiple rejections at the resistance zone around 1.51679. The volume during this range shows spikes on bearish candles, indicating selling pressure by smart money. Markdown Phase: Following the breakdown from the range, the price formed a clear impulsive downtrend, completing a 5-wave Elliott pattern (labeled as 1 to 5 in the chart). The markdown culminated near 1.44886, which aligns with strong support and Fibonacci extension levels (1.618 at 1.45131). Volume increased significantly.
Short
by HoratiuBogdan
1
BITCOIN: Doing exactly what I predictedHi Everyone, Bitcoin is currently doing exactly as I predicted. We are having our double, shallower dip before the next wind of upside kicks off. We discussed we are at the same stage of the cycle as Nov-2024 and like clockwork we are heading into the late November / Early December double dip before a bull period kicks in. With short term SMAX above 50%, conditions are favourable to be building more long position. IF we see SMAX >60 and 70% then this is the perfect long set up, you won't get better prices. Cheers, Mangosteen
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by MangosteenBTC
Litentry $LIT Price/Time Update.As per the majority of the altcoins, the 5th of august represented a new price/time set up that yesterday, after almost 128 days, showed up a huge cycle closure. The pace of the price so far, wasn't enough strong to encourage the holders to aim very high targets and, in my opinion, it will be not higher than 3 $ before the end of the cryptomarket bull cycle. Personally I will hold AMEX:LIT till April 2025 as I have identified this date as the end of the bullish season of this altcoin. See you in the next crypto catch up. Math
by math_rave
3
BTC Keltner Channels (3-Wave Cycle)#Bitcoin Keltner Channels 📈 No one doubts that this cycle will be similar to a 3-wave one. In the last post, I said that I do not expect a fall in February and March, and even closer to the halving, the 2nd wave will begin to fade. 💡That's what happened. Now we can see how the correction begins, I do not expect strong drops below 50k now, but rather a transition to consolidation. Now everyone is expecting a halving and there will be more volatility in Bitcoin in the coming days, but it will start to die down in mid-May. 📝What to do now? Take a closer look at Ethereum, and altcoins and possibly rebalance the portfolio. You must be ready for the next move at the end of summer.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by FeelsStrategy
SPX - chatGPT does Gann# **SPX Forecast and Advisory Report** ### **Date**: December 8, 2024 ### **SPX Close**: 6090.28 **Prepared by**: --- ## **Introduction: Navigating the Path Ahead** As of December 8, 2024, the SPX stands at 6090.28, reflecting remarkable resilience amidst evolving economic conditions. This forecast report, grounded in Gann's legendary methodologies and refined through advanced analytical techniques, projects SPX price and time cycles through 2047. By leveraging historical low/high/low sequences (seven distinct sets of pivots), this report offers investors a clear and actionable roadmap for navigating the years ahead. --- ## **Price and Time Predictions (2024–2047)** ### **2024–2027: Optimism with Strategic Caution** - **2025**: - **Price Target**: ~6900 by mid-year, marking a strong continuation of the current uptrend. - **Time**: Potential short-term correction in **Q4 2025**; use this as a buying opportunity. - **2026**: - **Peak**: ~7200 in **late Q1 2026**, followed by a cyclical correction. - **Bottom**: ~6400 projected for **Q3 2026**, likely driven by macroeconomic pressures. - **2027**: - **Rebound**: Market recovery to ~7600 by **Q4 2027**, fueled by renewed growth and easing monetary policy. ### **2028–2032: A Pivotal Era of Growth and Volatility** - **2028**: - **High**: ~8000 in **Q2 2028**, with volatility increasing toward year-end. - **Correction**: Expect a pullback to ~7200 in **Q4 2028**, presenting an accumulation phase. - **2029–2030**: - **Breakout**: A new cycle high of ~8500 by **mid-2029**, with intermediate resistance near 8200. - **Correction**: A multi-quarter decline to ~7500 in **late 2030**, as geopolitical tensions weigh on sentiment. - **2031–2032**: - **Climactic Rally**: Surge to ~9000 by **mid-2032**, driven by structural economic shifts. - **Warning**: Early signs of a long-term cyclical peak emerging; expect heightened volatility into **Q4 2032**. ### **2033–2037: Approaching the Supercycle Top** - **2033**: - **Correction**: A significant pullback to ~8100 in **Q2 2033**, followed by a rebound to ~8600 by year-end. - **2034–2035**: - **Rally**: Renewed bullish momentum pushes SPX to ~9500 in **mid-2035**. - **Volatility Spike**: A sharp correction back to ~8800 by **early 2036**. - **2036–2037**: - **Supercycle Warning**: Major cyclical low at ~8300 projected for **mid-2037**, with signs of exhaustion in the multi-decade bull market. ### **2038–2042: The Generational Top** - **2038–2039**: - **Parabolic Advance**: SPX soars to ~11,000 by **late 2039**, as the final leg of the secular bull market unfolds. - **2040–2042**: - **The Ultimate Top**: Market likely peaks near ~12,500 in **early 2042**, signaling the culmination of the supercycle that began in 1932. - **Structural Shift**: Expect increased volatility and distribution patterns throughout 2042. ### **2043–2047: The Reset Phase** - **2043–2045**: - **Bear Market**: Significant declines to ~8500 by **2045**, reflecting the end of the supercycle. - **Opportunities**: Investors should focus on defensive strategies and prepare for a long-term market reset. - **2046–2047**: - **Bottom Formation**: The market stabilizes near ~7500 in **late 2047**, setting the stage for a new secular cycle. --- ## **Investment Strategies Based on Forecasts** ### **2025–2027: Growth with Tactical Adjustments** 1. Focus on growth sectors (technology, healthcare). 2. Use corrections in 2026 as buying opportunities, targeting recovery into 2027. 3. Diversify globally to mitigate geopolitical risks. ### **2028–2035: Exploit Bull Market Peaks** 1. Ride the bullish wave into 2035, but tighten risk management as volatility increases. 2. Reduce leverage and shift to value-oriented investments by 2033. ### **2036–2042: Prepare for the Supercycle Top** 1. Anticipate major market shifts after 2039; position portfolios defensively by 2041. 2. Consider allocating to commodities and alternative assets as hedges. ### **2043–2047: Seizing Opportunities in a Bear Market** 1. Accumulate high-quality assets during the anticipated bear market of 2043–2047. 2. Stay liquid to capitalize on undervalued opportunities during the market reset. --- ## **Conclusion** This report combines the wisdom of Gann’s methodologies with modern market dynamics to forecast SPX price and time cycles through 2047. Investors are advised to approach the market with both optimism and caution, capitalizing on growth while preparing for inevitable corrections and long-term structural shifts. --- This version keeps explanations concise while emphasizing actionable insights and predictions. It’s ready for your TradingView audience!
SP:SPXLong
by moleman340
GOLD SHOWING WEAKNESS, MAY LIKELY BE A SELL...A gold bullish rally into the highlighted area followed by another rejection will likely see gold declining towards 2500 in coming days. However, a close above 2720 will indicate gold's readiness to continue its bullish run. N.B! - XAUUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #gold #xauusd
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBearMkt