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Economic Cycles

Getting Ready for a Strong Bull Market in ETHBTC!🚀 The pair seems to have bottomed out, and the arguments are increasingly favorable for an upward movement: 88.89% Bullish vs. 11.11% Bearish. Bullish Arguments: Monthly Bullish FVA Monthly Discount Array Weekly swing low being disrespected Daily swing low being disrespected Daily Bullish FVG respected Daily swing high being disrespected 4H swing high being disrespected 4H swing low being disrespected Bearish Argument: Monthly PCL being respected so far. 🔍 We are on the verge of a bull market. Remember to manage your risk and be masters of your emotions! Don’t hesitate to take profits and, most importantly, learn from your mistakes and successes. Let’s go for it! 💪
Long
by Jaytradermb
$BTC Historic ATH's / FibsNew discovered Fibonacci channel: '22 Lowest - current ATH The visualization of these channels enhances awareness regarding upcoming potential price reactions. Fibonacci Channels as Roadmaps: Utilizing Fibonacci ratios, steep channels delineate clear zones where Bitcoin has historically found support or encountered resistance. These ratios, fundamental to the Fibonacci sequence, are critical in estimating areas where price movements are likely to stall or reverse. Fib ratios splits the cycle into its phases:
INDEX:BTCUSD
by fract
2
Bitcoin 1H UpdateMEXC:BTCUSDT Apparently a correction has been started. The high of the structure confirmed by touching the IDM.i. If the 1H candle closed lower than IDM.i, we may expect price to drop further to the DP.i / ENG.i / EX.i otherwise the IDM.i grabbed and make a SCOB for us to enter another Buy Position and the target one is the high of structure (63850) and the second target is the MPL zone (64460). P.S: In the DPs & ENGs zones and grabbed IDMs we MUST get a confirmation signal to enter position which is SCOB or lower time frame (LTF) ChoCh. (EXs are confirmation-free entries) I will update Bitcoin regularly.. Take Care Aurio
by x-Aurio
Bitcoin / #Russell2000 📝The index of small companies is known for being highly dependent on bank financing. Therefore, of course, he is the main beneficiary of cheaper money after the rate cut. 👀What we see about correlations, CRYPTOCAP:BTC bull markets, coincide with the movement of this index as you can see, in the green zone on the Spearman indicator, 💡We can also see that Russell 2000 is far from its ATH, which is also a bullish sign, because small companies in the stock market grow quite predictably with GDP growth and increased liquidity, and in the current state is far from overheated.
BNC:BLXLong
by FeelsStrategy
DOGECOIN 2024 — A Massive Breakout Coming?Hello, fellow traders! I'm excited to share an intriguing analysis with you today. Let's explore how Dogecoin DOGEUSD might be following in the footsteps of Stellar's XLMBTC remarkable 2017 bear market and 2018 bull run. By comparing historical charts of Stellar with the current movements of Dogecoin, we could uncover patterns suggesting a significant breakout for DOGE this year and into the next. This insight might help you spot potential trading opportunities in the market. Stellar's 2017 Journey On the top chart, we have Stellar XLMBTC chart from 2017 and 2018: All-Time High (ATH) of 2017: Stellar reached its ATH, followed by a period of declining lower highs during the summer months. Accumulation Phase: Mid-autumn brought an accumulation zone, indicating consolidation before the next big move. Wedge Pattern Formation: A wedge pattern emerged, leading to increased bullish momentum. Breakout to New Highs: Post-wedge, Stellar entered a phase of higher highs, establishing a new ATH at the beginning of 2018. Dogecoin's Current Path Now, let's examine Dogecoin DOGEUSDT on the 3-day timeframe: ATH in May 2021: DOGE hit its ATH and then began a decline into a lower highs zone. Accumulation Zone Since Mid-2023: Like Stellar, DOGE was in an accumulation phase that lasted until 2024. Wedge Pattern Development: In 2024, DOGE formed a wedge pattern, with the price currently residing within this formation. Moving Averages Alignment: Interestingly, the moving averages on both charts behave almost identically, reinforcing the pattern similarity. What This Could Mean The parallels between DOGE and XLM suggest that Dogecoin might be bottoming out and could be on the verge of a significant breakout. While history doesn't always repeat itself, these patterns are worth paying attention to. What are your thoughts on this comparison? Do you think Dogecoin is set to follow Stellar's past performance? Share your insights or any questions you have in the comments below — I’d love to hear your perspective! Remember, the crypto market can be unpredictable. It's essential to protect your capital and manage risks appropriately. A fundamental risk management strategy is to use no more than 1% of your capital per trade. If you found this analysis helpful, please like this post and follow me for more cryptocurrency insights. Stay tuned for more updates!
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by ArShevelev
1
High Beta Bear | HIBS | Long at $22.00 (September Only)Historically, September is one of the worst performing months in the stock market. A hedge against my bets for this month is to buy shares of Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bear 3X AMEX:HIBS as a volatility play. The index provider selects 100 securities from the S&P 500 Index that have exhibited the highest sensitivity to market movements, or “beta,” over the past 12 months based on the securities’ daily price changes. This isn't "buy and hold" play, whatsoever - you'll loose. It's a short duration hedge using seasonality odds that *may* be in my favor (i.e., September sucks) Target #1 = $24.85 Target #2 = $26.00 Target #3 = $28.00+ A stop exists below $20.00.
AMEX:HIBSLong
by WorthlessViews
Return of Volatility IndexesIt's September 18 2024 10:51pm EST, just another Wednesday. Elections are creeping up and Chinese (HSI) markets are sparking uptrend. Somehow, American volatility indexes are evidently setting up for what appears to be a big return to the upside. Perhaps only a rare few have captured it? Who knows, but the cycles don't lie and neither do the high timeframe supercycles, which imply a reversal is overdue for the volatility indexes, including UVXY (ETF), VXX(ETN), and VIX and their corresponding denominations, just to name a few. In any event, it would be fair to say that after today's close and going forward, these volatility indexes are ready for takeoff. The catalysts are not exactly clear, though. Election alone can't spark them, and if Covid triggered the last significant run, what's next? This, only time will tell, but the 'vola' indexes are nonetheless ready for takeoff.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by JuanLagos94
1
Rate Cut Incoming. Buckle Up"What the Yield Curve and Fed Moves Mean for Your Next Trade." Historically, when the Federal Reserve lowers the federal funds rate while the yield spread is negative (also known as an inverted yield curve), it has often been an indicator of an impending market correction or recession. Let’s break this down: Historically, the bond market is a key indicator. Typically, long-term bonds offer higher yields than short-term bonds; This a healthy sign. When that flips and short-term yields surpass long-term ones, we get what’s called an inverted yield curve. This inversion signals that investors are getting nervous about the near-term economy. When the Fed then steps in to lower rates, they’re trying to stimulate growth, but it often comes too late. Looking back at past events: The dot-com crash of 2000: The yield curve inverted, the Fed cut rates, and a 35% market correction followed. The 2008 financial crisis: Again, the yield curve inverted, rates were cut, and the market saw a major downturn exceeding 50%. Going back even further, the same pattern held in the 1970s and 1980s. The big questions are: Why does this combination signal trouble? Will this pattern repeat itself again? While history tends to repeat itself, the data shows that when the Fed cuts rates with a negative yield spread, market corrections often follow. The inverted curve suggests tighter credit conditions, reduced lending, and lack of confidence, all piling on top of one another creating a recipe for disaster. Stepping back even further, we see that investor sentiment and the bond market tend to lead the way. Credit tightens, and companies cut back on spending. Another a perfect recipe for an economic slowdown and market drop. It's a familiar cycle. So lets buckle up.
TVC:DJIShort
by oh92
1