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Economic Cycles

The most Bullish Bitcoin signal since 2017 and 2012On the above weekly chart of Bitcoin price action a signal not seen since March 2017 and previously November 2012 has printed. No one on the social media circles is talking about. You heard it here first, remember that ;-) What is it? Weekly hidden bullish divergence. It is the same signal that allowed us to long the S&P 500 from 3750 and the Nasdaq 100 from 11k while the internet was calling for Armageddon. (Both ideas below). Think of a regular bullish divergence as an oil tanker. They confirm and price action reverses trend providing a clean pivot in the market. Now think of the hidden bullish divergence as a speedboat. They come out of nowhere, completely unexpected by the market catching everyone off guard. Only two previous hidden bullish divergencies have printed on the weekly chart in the past. March 2017, 1900% rally followed and November 2012, 10000% rally followed Some of you may be familiar with the deterministic forecast from Steve of CCU and notice the ratio between the returns of the first two bull markets as 5.3. Thus leading us to determine the next market top is at $75k after a 360% rally. However that is not going to happen because of changes to the M2 supply as I’ve discussed elsewhere. The theory does not account for those changes, and as result invalidates an otherwise solid forecast. The market top is further up, have revealed this target elsewhere! Ww S&P 500 to 6k from 3750 Nasdaq 100 long from 11k
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by without_worries
24
Bitcoin Pre-Halving bull run from Jan 2023Hello Everyone, I want to share this amazing thesis that I found on the Bitcoin chart. Everything is on the chart but I want to clear some insights about this. First of all, all Bitcoin bullish cycles have two sub-cycles: pre and post-halving sub-cycles. I believe the bottom is NOT in yet but we are close to that and it will be clear before Dec 2022 and the Pre-halving phase will begin from Jan 2023. Let's take a closer look at previous bullish cycles. The first halving event occurred on the 28th of November, 2012. Bitcoin had a pre-halving bull run from the bottom which took 378 days and it pumped more than 522%. The second halving event occurred on the 9th of July, 2016. Bitcoin had the same pre-halving bull run from the bottom which took 539 days and it pumped more than 300%. The third halving event occurred on the 11th of May, 2020. Bitcoin had almost the same pre-halving phase which took 518 days and it pumped more than 200%. During this phase, the black swan event happened which was COVID-19 crash and I ignored this because it was unexpected. According to previous bull cycles, we can conclude Bitcoin will find the bottom in Q4 2022 and from there the pre-halving phase will begin and it lasts until fourth halving on 03 May 2024 which will be almost 478-540 days from the bottom. The bottom will be somewhere between $10k and $16k, No one knows the exact price but you can start DCAing below $16k (if we get there). The post-halving phase will take Bitcoin to new territory and I think it will be somewhere between $100k and $200k in 2025. Be patient and have your own plan. Trade safe. If you found this info useful, please share it with your friends, and don't forget to hit the boost button and follow me ;) Thanks.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ir0nhand
2
BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and halvings.The graph shows the main trend of bitcoin. Logarithmic chart. Timeframe 1 month. The main liquidity zone. The graph is linear (without “market noise”, i.e., without squeezes of minima and maxima for hamsters). The channel and all values are set according to it. Everything is extremely accurate (potentially accurate). All the same parameters, but candlestick chart. Pay attention to the timing of the halving and the evolution of the cycle . There are super resets before halvings, which are completely invisible on a large timeframe on a line chart after a short time. Pay attention to 17( 518 ) + 18( 547 ) and the treasured 1400. I am sure that in 1 year everyone will be very interested in the cryptocurrency and bitcoin market, in 2-3 years ( 123 ) up to 6 0% of market participants will no longer be interested (they will have completely different problems). In 6 years there will be no more than 6 0%. Secondary trend decline in the super cycle (the main, long-term trend), on a line chart, 1 month timeframe: 1) -81% 2) -75% 3) -67% (as of publication). #1 Super reset -44% after 1 cycle , already in the alignment zone (sideways, accumulation) the before BTC halving. Candlestick chart. Timeframe 1 month. All the same and the same “fear”, but on a line chart #2 Super reset -67 % (13). 2 cycle . Border closes, start of COD619 carnival, (hematria) 1.8 months before bitcoin halving and subsequent growth over +880 % (not from lows). From “fear hamsters” lows over + 1440 % (not liquid). Candlestick chart. Same on a line chart. Greed begets poverty. Focus on that part of the price chart of the cycle. The chart doesn't matter, what matters is what I can "silently" convey to you with it. It's important to understand what's important to you, what you want to guess, I'm not interested in that at all. It can't be a secret what's already been. It is simply reality. You don't have to understand the last paragraph. If you don't understand it, skip it and focus on the text above, the logical TA (probability game).
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by SpartaBTC
20
Bitcoin and the end of the bull cycle!At this moment, many might start reading this article thinking that the bull cycle is over, but that’s not the reason I’m writing. My intention here is to provide you with advance notice of the temporal zones where you should seriously consider realizing profits from your hold portfolios and even be prepared to look at selling in the market. In the last cycles, this pattern has repeated, allowing us to replicate the projections. In the first cycle back in 2012, after marking the bottom and the Halving, the price moved parabolically in two structures: the first, marked in aqua green, represents the post-Halving effect; the second, in red, represents the full euphoria effect. This behavior repeated in the 2016 cycle and also in the 2019 cycle: What’s most interesting is that, in all cases, the time between the market bottom and the Halving is exactly the same as the time between the Halving and the market top. This is what I want to share with you: the points where the temporal zone suggests a possible inflection of movement or phase change. This shows us that until mid-March 2025, we will be experiencing the post-Halving phase, and after this phase, we will enter the euphoria zone. The possible inflection point of the cycle should occur around mid-September 2025. This study is based on analyzing the Fibonacci temporal zone and projecting the cycle based on symmetrical time behaviors from the past. This is not a guarantee that we will follow the exact same trajectory, but rather an additional basis for you to measure your exposure time to the cycle.
BNC:BLX
by leandrosander_
Bitcoin not due yet to go into full degen bull market modeIf history repeats itself - and so far history has repeated itself for Bitcoin every 4 years, we have not seen the true face of the Bitcoin bull market yet. Let's have a closer look at where and when things could really go ballistic to the upside by analysing its so-called logarithmic regression: You will see 3 different areas of importance on this chart: 1. A purple line showing the current "fair" price of Bitcoin according to the regression 2. A green channel marking the price area where Bitcoin should spend most of its time 3. A red channel marking the projected blow off tops for each bull run The pattern we usually see is that after a top somewhere within the red channel Bitcoin eventually falls back to the green channel (and sometimes below it) to then settle roughly around the purple line at the time of the halvings. What do these findings tell us about the current state of the bull market? Let's look at the price behaviour after the halving of 2016 and 2020.... It took Bitcoin around 300 days after the 2016 halving and 220 days after the 2020 halving to finally breach the green channel to the upside and go into, what I call, full degen frenzy bull market mode. This is the area between the green and red channel, where prices go ballistic and influencers on social media will talk about the how everything will be different this time and how everything is only going up from now on. As you can see Bitcoin currently is still quite far away from leaving the green channel to the upside. In fact if it would go into full frenzy bull market mode right now we would need to see prices well above 90,000 USD. If history repeats itself again and we can expect the price to leave the green channel to the north sometime 220 to 300 days after the halving. That would be sometime between November 2024 and February 2025 - the top of the green channel will then be around 100,000 USD. Price will then probably rise rather quickly to the red channel again where it will eventually top out and, once again, enter a bear market. Top prices should be somewhere between 200,000 USD and 300,000 USD in 2025. It is then time to get out of the market and go into hibernation once again to come back once the lower green band of the logarithmic regression is reached. The good news is....with prices currently around 67,500 USD there is still plenty of money to earn even until reaching the phase where the price of Bitcoin will really go ballistic. The bad news is... most people will be left behind and will probably fomo into Bitcoin (or the worse alternative: Altcoins) at prices between 150,000 USD and 200,000 USD. This, of course, is just my own opinion and no financial advise!
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoForMoney
3