BTC 3 MONTHS LONG Starts, this week?Waiting for a last impulse 140 ds/3 months on INDEX:BTCUSD BITCOIN, this week could the 3 months BTC LONG START . Why? Let´s see:
- Channel with 4 elliot waves done. Looking for Wave 5.
- RSI 3D breaking out, like 1 year ago.
- RSI W Just about to Break out, like 1 year ago. Looking for confirmation.
- Rate Cuts this week, lets see.
www.tradingview.com INDEX:BTCUSD
Economic Cycles
Bitcoin Full InterconnectednessIn fractal analysis the randomness of price levels can be justified with the chart's historic HL coordinates.
We'll use the old structure below as a base for further cycle breakdown.
There are another two fib lines derived from angled trends, the fibs of which rhyme with chaos behind price action and cycle formation:
Steep fibs determine timing of high volatility change:
Note that they rhymed with other fib local wave measurement:
2013 ATH ⇨ Covid19 low related to pre-covid local high determines exact levels of support and resistance during the correction of pandemic fueled bullrun
What also deserves attention here is that direction of fibs which acted as support around 2019 and covid19 drop produces curve which mimics the support levels of 2023 growth.
So crossing below the support curve would be seen as first sign of bear market. Till that it has a time for growth justified by chart-based parabolic curve.
2 fibs derived from chart shows a decade of price & time interconnectedness which adds validity of the colored base structure.
This is important for scaling the fractal and estimating the boundaries of growth distinctive to the historic cycles.
SPY - L3 Bullish Daily Exhaustion SignalAMEX:SPY first level 3 bullish exhaustion signal on the daily since Jan 2016, when in marked the exact bottom. The other 3 times it happened in the past 30 years were during the 2000-2003 dot com bust.
Within 10 candles after the signal:
75% win rate
+3.5% average move
4 data points over 30 years
$SOL Dumps 60% - Is it Over !?CRYPTOCAP:SOL DUMPED OVER 60% ‼️
That’s after a 3,500% pump
from the bear market low in ’22.
Is it over!?
TL;DR - NO.
This is common after such an insane pump.
SOL Dec ’20 - May ’21
5,700% pump
71% correction
then another 1,290% pump
Let’s look at previous cycles with $ETH.
Dec ’16 - June ’17
6,380% pump
67% correction
then another 916% pump
Dec ’18 (bear market low) - May ’21
4,860% pump
62% correction
then another 185% pump
So you see my fine feathered friends,
there’s nothing new here.
Targets still remain $700-850 🤠
BTCUSDT During the American Session (Short from IFC)The price is in the premium zone on the 15-minute timeframe. An IFC bar has formed. A short trade from the IFC bar is possible.
In the inner block, a correction is expected: there is an opportunity to trade long against the trend up to the nearest liquidity.
Don't Panic! Good times around the corner for BitcoinGlobal M2 Money Supply
Global M2 has been leading BTC price action very closely by 10 weeks.
Roughly 12 days from today for upward price action to strongly resume, if the correlation holds.
A wick down to 73-74k is nothing to worry about. In terms of time we are likely very close to the bottom, if it's not already in.
You can use the indicator on your chart for free below.
Shout out to @Mik3Christ3ns3n for the original indicator.
Elliott Wave View: GBPUSD Extending Higher in Wave 5 ImpulseShort Term Elliott Wave View in GBPUSD suggests cycle from 2.3.2025 low is in progress as an impulse. Up from 2.3.2025 low, wave ((i)) ended at 1.2679 s the 1 hour chart below shows. Wave ((ii)) pullback unfolded as an expanded Flat Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 1.2603 and wave (b) ended at 1.2716. Wave (c) lower ended at 1.2557 which completed wave ((ii)) in higher degree. Up from there, wave (i) ended at 1.2614 and wave (ii) ended at 1.258. Wave (iii ) higher ended at 1.292 and wave (iv) ended at 1.286. Wave (v) ended at 1.294 which completed wave ((iii)).
Pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 1.2858 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Down from wave ((iii)), wave (a) ended at 1.287 and wave (b) ended at 1.294. Wave (c) lower ended at 1.2858 which completed wave ((iv)). Pair has resumed higher in wave ((v)). Up from wave ((iv)), wave (i) ended at 1.2966. Expect wave (ii) pullback to hold above 1.2858, and more importantly above 1.2557 for further upside. As far as pivot at 1.2557 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for more upside.
FPI: Irony Behind The DeclineFibonacci interconnection between Higher Low, Higher High and series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows. The side of breakout from this narrowing formation will determine the direction of trend. The fibonacci lines derived from the structure covers the limits of breakout wave.
If the price resumes its downtrend, I can only assume the market is still digesting the impact of deteriorating fundamentals. When I first learned about the situation, I could hardly believe it. Essentially, the anti-immigration and protectionist policies Nebraska’s farm owners voter for, have triggered a labor exodus, as migrant workers in masses preemptively abandoned farms to avoid impending ICE crackdowns. This sudden labor shortage lowered rental income potential and more importantly affected land valuations — both of which are fundamental drivers of financial performance. At the same time, the fact that the farms depend on fertilizers 90% of which come from Canada - adds another layer of uncertainty amid ongoing trade tensions. This raises the risk of input cost spikes that could further erode profit margins. As operating costs rise and productivity declines, farmland becomes an increasingly unattractive asset class, prompting investors to reassess the value of agricultural holdings. The result is a broad collapse in prices — ironically driven by the very political and economic decisions that were believed to protect these rural businesses. If this isn’t something out of parallel universe, I don’t know what is.
Sweet Spot To Sell The BTC Pullback In a strong downtrend. Every pullback on the 4hr and Daily chart will be hyped by the bulls & super cycle evangelists as a "WE'RE BACK" moment.
I will continue to take this same setup, selling Major swing highs on 4HR & Daily chart on BTC until the Daily Chart flips bullish. Until then or some news come out, we will remain in the downtrend until we hit the target shown in my last analysis, see link below.
Sleep Number Company | SNBR | Long at $6.99Sleep Number Company $NASDAQ:SNBR. Closed all existing open price gaps on the daily chart below its current rice. The overall downward trend is starting to flatten. They make all their products in the US and have minimal exposure to international markets (reduced risk around tariffs). Understandably, recession risks are high and such a company would be impacted. Plus, their debt is pretty high. This is a risky investment, but from technical analysis perspective, there could be a future rebound in the near-term. Thus, at $6.99, NASDAQ:SNBR is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$10.00
$12.00
Solana's important supporthello friends
Due to the heavy demand of Solana and the construction of new floors based on the market cycle, we expect a new floor within the specified range.
If we reach the support range of 105-110 dollars, we can buy with confirmation, of course, with capital management...
*Trade safely with us*
BTC Upward WedgeWedge patterna usually require 5 touch points to confirm the pattern. Which, officially, Bitcoin has done.
This upward wedge means revearsal for a bear market, while a downward wedge means reversal for a bull market.
We are still inside this wedge which means even though this pattern is hypothetically confirmed on BTC, we could either see a rally up through the wedge until it finally breaks, or we may even break now into the end of March if BTC continues sideways.
This pattern overall suggests that we are likely to see an early top for BTC if the pattern confirms in the next few weeks, otherwise there's still room for a late 2025 top for BTC even with the upward bearish wedge in play.