Economic Cycles
EurAud update.Good day traders, I’m back with yet another update on EurAud. In the description I will tag my previous setup on EurAud to show you where we are in price and I left the drawings as they were to help you understand price more.
On Monday price opened with that same bullish flow and pushed till the low of the volume imbalance as expected but as we can see that FVG was able to hold price above. From the original setup what price did yesterday was expected Thursday or Friday the latest, so since price did not go for that 1st.PFVG on Monday and Tuesday, we can now expect price to go for that level.
If we take a closer look at that leg higher from that FVG, we have a balanced price range that we can expect price not to respect.
VRNA Likely Wyckoff Distribution with Topping pattern - SHORT!VRNA has had a Parabolic Run higher with Price > 2 Standard Dev from Mean for 11 WEEKS before showing weakness and Selling to $48 range. Price is forming a pretty picture perfect WYCKOFF Distribution. I believe we have just had the UTAD (Up Thrust After Distribution) Likely, we have lower prices in store.
Target Price $41.36.
Trade what you see.
Gold’s Multi-Decade Supercycle: $13,000 Is Not a Meme, It’s MathThis is not just a chart — it’s a map of the global financial psyche, spanning over 50 years of inflation, war, debt, and monetary decay.
What you're seeing is the multi-decade logarithmic structure of gold, starting from under $40 in the early 1970s to projections reaching above $12,000 and even $13,000 in the coming decades.
Each impulse, each correction, and each consolidation phase corresponds not only to technical patterns but to shocks in the global system:
📈 Key Historical Milestones:
1970s – Oil Crisis / End of Gold Standard → First explosion to $873
2001–2011 – War & Debt → From $254 to $1,900
2011–2018 – Lull Before the Storm
2020+ – Pandemic, ETF Adoption, Rate Chaos → New breakout in progress
Now, price is respecting a decades-long logarithmic growth line, with clear projected fractals suggesting:
🎯 Projected Price Milestones (Based on Structure):
Phase Target
Current Range Completion ~$3,800–$4,300
Mid-Term Expansion ~$5,800–$7,700
Final Supercycle Top ~$12,600–$13,000
This chart doesn’t claim time precision — it outlines magnitude. And magnitude matters when trust in fiat is collapsing faster than central banks can lie.
🔥 The Real Message:
Every dip in this chart was political calm.
Every pump was systemic collapse.
If you're waiting for gold to “correct,” maybe the world needs to break first.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell.
It’s a macro-technical exploration of long-term capital flow and systemic risk.
Stay sharp. Stay solvent. Stay golden. 🪙
Trade safe and stay profitable.
Aptos Long Term ViewAptos taken out almost all liquidation from below side, it can fall more towards 3.5$ to take out all new buyers and then push towards 15$, remember 15-16$ is an unmitigated zone, sooner or later this imbalance zone will be filled. So if your an investor and want easy 3x gain then buy apt from 5$ 2nd entry 4$ and last buying from 3.5$, ignore lower timeframe volatility and BTC movement, these entries are easily achievable if market crashes by any chance so you can close your position at breakeven. While 7.19-7.50$ area is crucial to break, once this zone is broken there is nothing upside that can stop Aptos from hitting 15$. Any daily candle closing above the marked zone will confirm trend shift, before this trade setup is like high risk n reward. While I'm very confident on Aptos that it will hit 15% mark.
[ TimeLine ] Gold 12-13 May 2025Hello everyone,
📅 Today is Friday, May 9, 2025
📌 Upcoming Signal Dates:
• May 12, 2025 (Monday)
• May 12 & 13, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday)
🧠 Trading Plan & Notes:
✅ Gold has experienced a sharp reversal of over 1,650 pips, falling from 3435 to 3270
⚠️ If the upcoming Hi-Lo range is wide, consider reversal entries or setups based on Fibonacci retracement levels
✅ I will be trading both signals as part of my ongoing research and strategy
⚠️ If you're feeling risk-averse or uncertain, it's totally fine to skip the May 12 & 13 signals
📋 Execution Plan:
🔹 Wait for the price range from the specified candles to fully form (marked by green lines on the chart)
🔹 Entry will be triggered on breakout, with a 60-pip buffer
🔹 If the trade hits Stop Loss (SL), cut/switch and double the position on the next valid setup to attempt recovery
📉📈 Chart Reference:
🔗 TradingView URL Code: TV/x/Au2Hjg0M/
Solana possible reject off the 21 smaThis is just an observance that I've made. The last time we rejected off this 21 sma, we dropped 93% to the bottom. I am by no means a bear, but I like to read what the charts are telling me. Bitcoin rejected in the same exact way last cycle but blew through it this cycle. Maybe this will change things. Let's just keep on eye on it.
XAUUSD (GOLD) favors rally to new highXAUUSD (GOLD SPOT) ended the double correction at 3120.205 low and expect continuation in daily bullish sequence targeting 3635 high. Above 3120.205 low, it expects at least 3 swing bounce or continue bullish sequence. A break above trend channel will confirm the more upside.
Bitwise Bitcoin ETF | BITB | Long at $46.25It definitely should get everyone's attention when a US Senator (David McCormick) is willing to dish out up to $600,000 in a Bitcoin ETF ( AMEX:BITB ):
Feb. 27: Bought $50,000 to $100,000
Feb. 28: Bought $15,000 to $50,000
March 3: Bought $50,000 to $100,000
March 5: Bought $15,000 to $50,000
March 10: Bought $50,000 to $100,000
March 11: Bought $15,000 to $50,000
March 13: Bought $15,000 to $50,000
March 20: Bought $50,000 to $100,000
Something may be brewing this year with the "U.S. crypto reserve" and I'll throw down a couple grand at $46.25 with a self-proclaimed wild prediction into 2026: Bitcoin to $120,000.
Bitwise ETF Targets:
$50.00
$55.00
$60.00
$65.00
BTC Primary trend. Secondary - expanding triangle.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Linear for clarity. Now the price is in consolidation in the key resistance zone of the "psychology 100" zone. Everything is as before, nothing new.
The price moves from dynamic zones of support and resistance of the large channel, and with the observance of the proportions of decreasing % from the previous maximums and minimums, adhering to a conditional 4-year cyclicality. Which is also initially embedded in the Bitcoin halvings, and the understanding of increasing demand, with a decrease in supply through halvings (but, here is a nuance with ETF, that is, conditionally with "fake bitcoins", which significantly increases the supply).
With a huge degree of probability, in the next cycle (possibly the final one), Bitcoin will be driven above or around $ 1 million, depending on the maximum that will be set in this cycle. Perhaps it will be much higher (parabolic growth as at the end of 2017) than the average distribution price. Mass digitalization is underway... and there are more and more dollars, they need to be somehow utilized in the future.
I specifically refreshed the old ideas of the main trend (2 and 3 years ago published) of this scale, and made it on a linear chart, for greater visualization of the trend direction and patterns that are formed on a smaller scale.
BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and halvings. 1 07 2022
BTC/USD Halving 518 When will the minimum and maximum price be cycles. 27 09 2023
EGX30 Neutral Zone AnalysisEGX30 stock is currently in a neutral zone, between the 31,970 resistance line and 31,424.07 support line, reflecting the buyers' and sellers' wait and taking their time for market analysis, especially with the investment atmosphere that is full of unaligned points of view. In case of taking an upward trend, it is expected not to breach the resistance line at 32,464.493 points, but in case of falling, it's expected not to break the support line at 29,989.245.
BTC | New ATH Incoming | + 135% ??A very interesting fractal from 2021 lead to a 135% increase - and a new all time high.
Bitcoin has been following similar patterns to the bullish twin-peaks in 2021. After a multi-month correction, the price proceeded to increase another 135% over the next few months. Some weeks fast, and some weeks sideways.
Is it possible that BTC follows a similar pattern - and increase another 135%, all the way to 170k?
Hec, I'd even be happy with just a 100% ! That would lead us up to around 149k, which can also be considered a phycological resistance zone.
While you're here! Check out this post on PEPE:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
DXY 1W Forecast until the end of MAY 2025Up-trend will resume and last until the end of February 2025 topping no higher than 114. Current bottom is in at 105.9
Hence, it shouldn't fall below.
After February a consolidation period of 1,5 months will trap price action between the bottom of 122.16 and upper level of 114.9
The spring squeezed during consolidation will provide enough energy for further upwards movement starting in the end of April 2025. This will ignite a chain of devaluation of national currencies followed by epidemic inflation across the globe. This will finish/cool-down at DXY reaching the mark of 148.
New reality after May 2025?
ENA is repeating a bullish fractal (1D)Look at the red, white, yellow, and green boxes in order, and then pay attention to the white trigger lines. You’ll notice that the previous phases | the end of the bearish trend (red box), followed by a bullish move for breakout (white box), then a pullback (yellow box), and finally the main bullish move (green box) | are now repeating.
Also, the price is currently sitting within the trading range marked by the two green lines, which is a key area. After the pullback is completed, a bullish wave is expected to begin, potentially reaching at least around the previous all-time high (ATH).
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin Dominance $BTC.D just bounced off the 62.0%Bitcoin Dominance just bounced off the 62.0% zone and held the 100 EMA.
Altcoins had a moment — but the tide may be turning.
📉 Pullback held above key demand (61.0%–61.5%)
📊 Now reclaiming 62.7% with EMAs curling up
💥 Break above 63.5% = renewed pressure on alts
Bitcoin SeasonalitySince 2013, the distance between each Bitcoin bottom and peak is approximately 205 weeks. Similarly, the distance between the peak and the bottom is approximately 52 weeks. In addition, when the Fibonacci correction is applied to each bear season, the new target appears to be the 1.618 region, so Bitcoin currently has the potential to run to 148k. As long as seasonality continues, the peak will come at the end of 2025.
History repeats itselfOANDA:EURUSD
Here’s a technical analysis of the higher timeframes, specifically the monthly chart for EUR/USD.
As clearly visible, price action is currently moving within a respected descending channel. The saying "history repeats itself" seems particularly relevant here, especially in the context of Trump’s presidency. While this topic has been discussed frequently, I wanted to highlight the striking similarities once again.
The current market cycle closely mirrors the previous one from 2016-2017 — in terms of structure, timing, and volume. At present, we appear to be in the distribution phase, which is far from complete.
It’s quite plausible that we may see further downside before another significant move to the upside begins. If we take the 2017 distribution phase as a reference (lasting approximately 300 days), the current phase has only been unfolding for around 80-100 days.
Of course, there is no guarantee that price will rise again — but I consider it very likely that this market cycle has not yet fully played out. Technical analysis on higher timeframes often provides stronger probabilities and a clearer picture of the overall trend.
On the right-hand side of the chart, I’ve marked a weekly imbalance (not directly visible on the monthly chart), which aligns with the 50% retracement level of the Fibonacci tool. I view this confluence as a strong potential entry for a swing trade targeting the upper boundary of the descending channel.
This outlines my current trading outlook.