Bear signalsLooking for 22500 Im thinking. Banks trade the round numbers and the round numbers for nas are 125 point increments
Economic Cycles
COFFEE - My Commodity of ChoiceI've laid out a plan I'm looking at on one of my favorite commodities - COFFEE ☕😍
What makes it so hard is the predictability of the weather - nearly impossible for the future. However, it is odd to see that the price still bonces at key support and resistance zones, almost like any "stock". Which tells me regular market trading still applies despite the odd weather event.
The reason Coffee has fallen so hard over the past few months is supply - due to extremely favorable weather conditions, coffee supply is more than demand. Resulting, as market dynamics goes, in a drop of price.
It's unfortunate though that my favorite pack of beans at the supermarket has not gone down - weird how that works 🙄 I like a medium roast, Columbia single origin.
It's dropped -33% already, but I can clearly see the market structure entering bearish phase after the bullish phase, peak (the new high) and now likely a multi-month bearish season. The question is just where the price can bottom for such a well loved commodity.
I looked at past cycles, not too long ago we dropped roughly 44% during the bearish cycle, taking 2-3 years to move into accumulation before another impulse wave up. That places a target for entry exactly in the highlighted zone around $250ish.
But I wouldn't get too greedy on my favorite commodity, buying orders can't be too low either. This would likely have to be a multiyear hold. Pepperstone sells coffee on cash contract but I usually do futures. Pity that I didn't get in sooner, bullish cycles is also at least a 2 year journey. I'll sell when the weather is bad 😅
Next up? Chocolate for sure...
Bitcoin: Integration of Major BottomsUpdating former discovered connection from closeup.
Covid Low - 2022 Bottom
Using direction for fib channels
Like the previous cycles!Our basis is the Fibonacci retracement with 78%. The 78% level should be aligned with the previous peak.
XMR 3 Month Heikin Ashi Trend ChartWe have here a trend outlook chart for Monero on a 3 monthly timeframe (Heikin Ashi candlestick chart). XMR is one of a handful of high market cap coins which have showed signs of strength on a variety of indicators (despite high volatility with various other high market cap coins), including the positive MACD and RSI indicators as shown in this chart.
In addition, there has been significant buy volume in the 170 - 277 price range, as can be seen in the Price-Volume indicator to the right of the chart, keeping the price up.
Monero has withstood the political and economic turmoil in recent months making it a strong contender against some of the largest market cap coins. With the current price sitting at approximately USD$315, there is potential for further upside in the long-term.
_____________
This publication and the information contained in it are for educational purposes only, and is not meant to be nor does it constitute financial, investment, trading or other types of advice or recommendations.
A fall is on the horizon — watch out!OANDA:NZDUSD
Channel breakout confirmed, with sellers showing interest.
The price is now ideal for shorts — I’m jumping in.
It wants to fall on its own!OANDA:AUDUSD
The price’s failure to break out of the channel with strong candles, along with a double top, signals that sellers are stepping in.
It’s time to enter — let’s go! 💥
MINA : Is the shedding over ?Hello friends
Given the heavy fall of this and the prolonged price correction, you can now see that the price is supported within the specified support range, which is a good sign...
We have identified important support areas for you, where you can buy in steps and with risk and capital management.
We have also identified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
Banana zone starts when PMI is above 53.Check your charts to verify this fact.
Total 2 with the US Purchasing Managers Index overlain.
The PMI is one of the most reliable leading indicators for assessing the state of the U.S. economy.
Previous Banana zones have coincided with the PMI above 53.
so not just when the economy is growing, but when the economy has entered humming along approaching full acceleration.
This is when most people will feel confidence and WANT to take on more risk as they are most optimistic about the future when the economy is in this state of being.
DOW Jones go upCMCMARKETS:US30
Reaching the price level of 45,082.74 is inevitable. From the current closing price, there is a high probability of continuation toward the ATH.
However, the price levels 44,440 and 44,344.95 are also acceptable zones from which the move toward 45,082.74 may begin.
At the start of the upcoming week, as soon as the market opens, we are likely to move toward the ATH from one of these three levels.
SP500: Fib Channels on Fractal Corridors Research Notes
Testing angle of trendline which acts as support then defines resistance.
Structural reference
Pattern expressed in Fibonacci:
Ascending:
Descending:
Fib Channels on Fractal Corridors supposed to show alternative mapping method which differs from following approach.
Aptos Long Term ViewAptos taken out almost all liquidation from below side, it can fall more towards 3.5$ to take out all new buyers and then push towards 15$, remember 15-16$ is an unmitigated zone, sooner or later this imbalance zone will be filled. So if your an investor and want easy 3x gain then buy apt from 5$ 2nd entry 4$ and last buying from 3.5$, ignore lower timeframe volatility and BTC movement, these entries are easily achievable if market crashes by any chance so you can close your position at breakeven. While 7.19-7.50$ area is crucial to break, once this zone is broken there is nothing upside that can stop Aptos from hitting 15$. Any daily candle closing above the marked zone will confirm trend shift, before this trade setup is like high risk n reward. While I'm very confident on Aptos that it will hit 15% mark.
Preventing Holiday Schedule Glitches in Automated Futures Trade
Yesterday the market closed at 1:00 PM, and I still had two open positions. Normally my algorithm sends an “exit all” signal at 3:59 PM EST to close every futures contract, but it didn’t account for the holiday schedule. That glitch cost me $5,000 in just a few hours. Lesson learned.
Exactly as I expected Lower low Love to see it as I plane 💯😬
The chart followed my plan so perfectly, I’m starting to worry it’s stalking me...
Like, chill Solana, I was just kidding when I said “do exactly this!” 😂📉📏
JPM: Internal CadenceResearch Notes
Testing coordinates of full fractal cycle for deterministic properties. If we base our core measurements (0; 1) on that shape:
Interference Pattern I - adjusted to the angle of building blocks
Interference Pattern II
Interference Pattern III
This explains all Fibonacci channels shown in interactive chart.
Dow’s fighting hard for that breakoutDow Jones is moving within a bullish channel
with low selling pressure —
strong legs pushing toward the top.
I’m expecting another solid bullish leg.
BLACKBULL:US30
Crypto Tide Rising: Will TOTAL Market Cap surf past $5T?In November 2024 the crypto ocean was calm, hovering near $2.25T . Then, in a short time, fresh capital poured in, daily volume spiked, and the tide lifted us to $3.65T by mid-December .
Two bullish buoys popped up:
▶️ The daily down-trend snapped on Nov 4th, triggering a 51 % climb;
▶️ The 50-day MA (orange) crossed above the 200-day MA (white) on Nov 7th, after a 64 % rally.
Fast-forward to June 4th 2025 . Another Golden Cross has just flashed, and price is again nudging that descending trend-line. If History rhymes: the line breaks and momentum matches 2024’s move, the TOTAL MC could vault toward $5T .
Keeping today’s dominance ratios, that target implies roughly $162 k BTC and $3.8 k ETH . Add rising Global M2 and stablecoin liquidity, a supportive macro backdrop, and we may be staring at the next great crypto swell.
Will the market catch this wave or will macro headwinds keep the tide in check?
Not financial advice. DYOR, Arrr!
ABC Flat correction? Verifiably had Elliot wave impulse wave that reach completion. Going sideways was the correction. There’s either gonna be a breakout, which is likely, Or a correction to the downside.
Since it is Fourth of July weekend, There’s plenty of room for global markets to greatly impact weekend trading. We’ll know by Monday, what Trump has said, what Elon has done, And with the wars results are.
Hold on tight.
Any correction to the downside is opportunity for institutions to further increase their anchor hold greater chunks of market liquidity.
That’s all for today.
Welcome back,
Sincerely yours
Paul Dorz
$JSEMRP - Mr. Price: Looking For New All Time HighsTrade summary:
Wave 4 low @ 18576 cps is the key invalidation level to maintain the bullish outlook.
MRP is in wave 5, which looks to be unfolding as an impulse pattern which is setting up for its 3rd wave advance.
AMD: Wave DimensionsProjection via Historic Wave Dimensions
Fractal Wave Marker with settings: core period of 60 and 1 Phi Scaling on1h TF AMD chart
From point of 3rd degree wave's reference:
If resistance curve is violated:
Mapping a cycle:
We hit. We failed. Now we drop.OANDA:GBPAUD
Inside this price channel, the market is forming a flag in an attempt to break out.
But given the market cycle and three failed breakout attempts,
I believe it's time for sellers to take control.
📉 I’m siding with the bears on this one!
Bitcoin’s not done dropping. Selling pressure’s still on!Welcome aboard ✌️
In order for Bitcoin to climb higher, we first need a deeper correction.
Right now, price is stuck inside a channel — and it’ll take stronger momentum to break out.
🔻 So for now, I’m expecting further downside. Stick with me and don’t miss this bearish wave!
BINANCE:BTCUSD OANDA:BTCUSD
AXON: Navigating Support After Short-Term Trend ReversalAXON: Navigating Support After Short-Term Trend Reversal
Overall Trend and Channels:
The stock has been in a clear uptrend since late February/early March, characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Two ascending channels are identified:
A red diagonal band labeled "Short-Term Support, multiple times already tested" represents a steeper, more immediate trendline that the price has followed closely.
A blue diagonal channel appears to define a broader, less aggressive uptrend, encompassing the price action over a longer period.
Recent Price Action and Breakdown:
The most recent price action, highlighted by the upper blue ellipse, shows a significant red candlestick indicating a strong down move. This candlestick has clearly broken below the "Short-Term Support" (red diagonal band).
This breakdown suggests a loss of immediate bullish momentum and a potential shift into a corrective or consolidation phase after an extended rally. The current price of 777.05 is now below this previously established dynamic support.
Identified Support Levels:
Potential Area 700 to 715 (Green Horizontal Box): This zone is marked as the "Potential Area to look at if price drops" and "Ideal Level." It represents the next significant horizontal support level that the price could test if the current decline continues. This area also appears to align with the lower boundary of the broader blue ascending channel, providing confluence and strengthening its significance as potential support.
Earnings Volatility Area 650 (Green Horizontal Box): This level is identified as a potential support that "Earnings volatility can trigger." This suggests it's a known historical support that might be tested under conditions of significant selling pressure, such as a negative reaction to earnings reports.
Key Support Area 575 (Green Horizontal Box): This is the lowest and appears to be the strongest support level highlighted on the chart, labeled as "Key Support Area." This typically implies a major historical turning point or a strong accumulation zone where buyers have previously stepped in forcefully.
Historical Volatility and Support Tests (Lower Blue Ellipses):
The middle blue ellipse around late February highlights a prior instance where the price experienced a sharp decline, breaking through an earlier support level (likely the upper boundary of the blue channel that turned into resistance after breaking above it later on) before finding temporary support.
The bottom blue ellipse in early March highlights a substantial plunge in price that tested and found strong support at the "Key Support Area 575," followed by a significant bounce. This confirms the historical importance and strength of the 575 level.
In summary, the chart indicates that AXON has recently broken down from its immediate short-term uptrend. Technical analysts would now be observing whether the price finds support at the 700-715 zone, which is reinforced by the broader trend channel. Further downside could test the 650 area (potentially triggered by earnings), with the 575-level serving as a critical, long-term historical support floor.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
