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Economic Cycles

DAR/USDT: Major Historical Levels Analysis| NEXT 1100% PotentialBINANCE:DAR/USDT - 1D TIMEFRAME 🎯 MARKET STRUCTURE: ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✦ CURRENT PRICE: $0.13873 (-2.07%) ✦ FIRST TARGET: $0.74760 (+525%) ✦ ULTIMATE TARGET: $1.65318 (+1,100%) ✦ TIMEFRAME: Daily/Long-term TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN: ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1. HISTORICAL CONTEXT: • Price at multi-year support level • Significant consolidation since May 2023 • Major historical resistance levels marked 2. KEY PRICE LEVELS: • Current Support: ~$0.13-0.14 • First Major Resistance: $0.74760 • Second Major Resistance: $1.65318 3. VOLUME PROFILE: • Current Volume: 29.45M • Low volume consolidation phase • Potential accumulation period STRATEGIC OUTLOOK: ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ LONG-TERM POTENTIAL: • Two major upside targets identified • Historical resistance levels as targets • Significant upside potential from current levels RISK CONSIDERATIONS: • Current downtrend needs reversal confirmation • Volume increase needed for momentum • Extended consolidation possible ENTRY STRATEGY: ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ • Wait for reversal confirmation • Look for volume expansion • Consider scaling in on breakout confirmations RISK DISCLOSURE: ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Trading involves substantial risk. This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly. #DAR #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTrading Tags: @TradingView Note: The significant upside targets are based on historical price levels. Always use proper risk management and position sizing.
DLong
by Supachai-Taechapisit
ETH Pump to 7300$Share You said: give me analysis and descript signal use emoji content for caption use 200 word in content ChatGPT said: ChatGPT Caption 🚀 Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction Alert 📊 | Key Levels & Scenarios for 2025! 🌐 Analysis & Signal The ETH/USD chart shows critical levels of interest as Ethereum gears up for potential moves: 1️⃣ Current Resistance: 🔺 At $4,718, Ethereum faces a major resistance zone. Breaking above this level could signal bullish momentum. Traders should monitor closely for volume confirmation. 📈 2️⃣ Support Zones: 🟢 First key support: $4,035 🟢 Deeper support: $3,159 If prices retrace to these levels, strong buy opportunities may emerge. 📉 3️⃣ Bullish Scenario: 🌟 A breakout above $4,718 could pave the way to a target of $7,382, signaling significant upward momentum into mid-2025. 🚀 4️⃣ Bearish Scenario: 🔻 Failure to hold $3,159 support may see ETH retest deeper levels around $2,946, requiring caution for leveraged positions. ⚠️ Trading Signal: Buy on dip at $3,159-$3,200 zone with a target of $4,710. Take profit zones at $4,718 and $7,382. Use a tight stop-loss below $2,940 to manage risk. 💡 Pro Tip: Watch market sentiment and news catalysts for ETH's next big move!
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by ahmadarz
9
NASDAQ-100 NEEDS MORE CLARITY TO MOVE INDEX FORWARD!Last week, the NASDAQ-100 established key levels for both sellers and buyers. As we head into the next trading week, price rejection at either of these levels will likely determine the index's direction. While the weekly outlook remains bullish, a bearish close this week could lead to further deterioration of the index. N.B! - NAS100USD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #nas100usd #nasdaq
OANDA:NAS100USD
by BullBearMkt
Bitcoin Dominance Cycles: Key Insights: Litecoin, Cardano, PLSDiscover the repeating cycles of Bitcoin dominance and how they correlate with altcoins like Litecoin, Cardano, and Pulsechain. This analysis reveals a potential peak in Bitcoin dominance by March, likely ahead of the broader market cycle top. Could this be the key to timing the market? Dive into the chart and uncover actionable insights for the coming months. 📈 Highlights: Bitcoin dominance historical cycles Altcoin trends aligned with dominance shifts Potential implications for March 2024 🔗 Add your thoughts and share if you find this valuable! #Bitcoin #Crypto #TradingView #Altcoins #Litecoin #Cardano #Pulsechain #CryptoCycles #BTCdominance"
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Tommetje
CRYPTO SUPER CYCLE 2024-2026:BEAR TO BULL ALL WHAT YOU NEED HERE🔄 CRYPTO MARKET CYCLES: MAJOR TRANSITION - FROM BEAR TO BULL 2024-2026 Technical Market Cycle Analysis: - Current price: $346.31 - Clear transition from bear to bull market - Three distinct cycles identified: BTC, ETH, ATLS Market Phase Breakdown: 📉 Bear Market (2022-2024): - Declining trend complete - Bottom formation validated - Accumulation phase ending 📈 Bull Market (2025-2026): - BTC cycle initiating bull run - ETH cycle following - ATLS cycle completing the sequence Key Observations: - "Traders confusion" zones marked at critical transitions - Clear cycle progression: BTC → ETH → ATLS - Market structure showing higher lows forming - Volume profile supporting bullish transition ⚠️ Critical Points: - Major market cycle shift in progress - Multiple timeframe alignment - Clear cycle rotation pattern - Historical pattern repetition 🔔 Market Intelligence: - Bull market projected until end of 2026 - Three distinct crypto cycles identified - Clear market phase transitions - Institutional accumulation evident #CryptoMarketCycles #BullMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #MarketPhases Want detailed cycle breakdown? 📊FOLLOW ME
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by Supachai-Taechapisit
Is the Top In? Bitcoin's Diminishing ReturnsMany of us have seen the Bitcoin Rainbow chart before. Right now, it implies that there is still room for another leg higher. According to Blockchain Center's 2023 chart , the 'Is this a bubble?' price range is around $111,914 to $143,429. However, we also see the highs diminish over time. The first peak is outside of 'Maximum Bubble Territory,' the second reaching the same area, and the third hitting 'Sell. Seriously, SELL.' While this pattern suggests BTC may only reach 'Is this a bubble?' or 'FOMO intensifies' this cycle, there's another pattern that indicates 'HODL' might be as far as it goes. In the logarithmic chart above, we can see that BTC's price follows a pattern of diminishing returns. It has moved from low to high as follows (rounded): 1. 2010/2011: 0.01 to 31.91 = 3,191x 2. 2011/2013: 1.99 to 1,242 = 624x 3. 2015/2017: 162 to 19,785 = 122x 4. 2018/2021: 3,125 to 68,977 = 22x 5. 2022/2024: 15,479 to 108,367 = 7x That means the multipliers from low to high have decreased with the following factors: 624.12 ÷ 3,191 ≈ 0.1957 (a 5.10x factor decrease) 122.09 ÷ 624.12 ≈ 0.1955 (a 5.11x factor decrease) 22.07 ÷ 122.09 ≈ 0.1809 (a 5.52x factor decrease) 7.00 ÷ 22.07 ≈ 0.3170 (a 3.15x factor decrease) The most recent bullish run appears to be an outlier; if there'd been a 5.52x factor decrease from 22.07, that would've meant a rough 4x (22.07 ÷ 5.52) from the low, or a peak of 61,916. There are multiple ways to interpret this pattern, and why it may or may not be holding this time around: On the bullish side: It's 'different' this cycle A pro-crypto Trump administration/SEC chair shifts fundamentals Growing legitimisation of BTC in institutional and regulatory circles More funds flowing in via BTC ETFs Currency debasement means more demand for BTC The Rainbow chart indicates there's more room to grow The halving pattern is still playing out Search interest is below previous peaks on Google Trends , implying more potential interest On the bearish side: The culmination of bullish fundamental factors has overextended the pattern (much like how RSI can show an asset overbought for a long time before an eventual correction) A risk-on year for assets more broadly has dragged BTC up with it, taking it past the established pattern A larger market cap makes it harder to continue expanding exponentially as the market matures. BTC's market cap is $1.8t right now. There is diminishing marginal demand—those already interested in BTC have bought in, reducing the pool of potential buyers The Fear and Greed index has already reached levels see in previous peaks, like 2021 The feverishness surrounding meme coins is reminiscent of previous bubbles, like the ICO bubble and Dotcom bubble Discussion I think there are strong arguments to be made on both sides. On one hand, it's true that it really might be different this time around. There's certainly more institutional adoption and regulatory clarity than ever before, with Trump even talking about a strategic Bitcoin reserve. There weren't Bitcoin ETFs in previous cycles, and the halving pattern suggests a peak usually around 1-1.5 years later; it's only been 8 months since the halving in April. While the dollar will likely get stronger under Trump (potentially weakening BTC), there is the argument that weakening purchasing power in many countries is driving entities towards 'hard' assets, like gold, silver, and Bitcoin. Then there is the room for more retail investors to participate, given search results for ' Bitcoin ' and ' buy Bitcoin ' are lower than previous highs (though I will note that 2021 was also lower than 2017). Lastly, while the Rainbow chart does show diminishing peaks, it does suggest we could still hit 'Is this a bubble?' or higher. On the other hand, this recent run to $100k+ was mostly fueled by Trump's election win and his backing of crypto-friendly Paul Atkins for SEC chair. BTC jumped from around $69k on the day of the election—a bit above the top projected by the factor decrease pattern—and Trump's win may have temporarily distorted the pattern. It is also possible that the market is reaching maturity. Assuming that BTC will move to $250k in 2025 as some predict, its market cap would be around $4.9t. That would put it above Apple's market cap of $3.775t but still decently below gold's $17.6t . However, there's a reason gold is the most valuable asset in the world by market cap: it has historical, cultural, and social significance. Its durability and lustre meant it was used to decorate temples in ancient times and as a symbol of divinity. Over time, that led to it being valued as currency in ancient empires and eventually backing the dollar. In contrast, Bitcoin is relatively young; while feasible that it could eventually overtake gold and still remarkable that it's achieved such a large market cap in around 15 years, it does beg the question if $250k would be too far, too soon. After all, central banks are hoarding gold right now, not Bitcoin. This ties in with the reducing marginal demand for BTC. Those who already believe in its potential have bought in; while the number of participants is likely to go up over time, there don't seem to be many catalysts for many more to join in the near-term (besides rumours of a strategic BTC reserve). 2017 was the first time BTC really went mainstream. Alongside relatively low interest rates and a weak dollar, FOMO drove the rally; BTC jumped more than 20x that year. 2021 was similar; cheap money, pandemic boredom, a broader awareness of crypto, and FOMO, pushed BTC to new ATHs. Looking ahead to 2025, there appear to be more bearish catalysts than bullish. Most notable is a Fed worried about inflation and whether it's appropriate to pause easing of rate cuts ( Deutsche Bank expects no cuts in 2025 , which while a bit extreme, is indication of the current state of affairs). At the time of writing, that's already pushed BTC down to GETTEX:92K from $108k. There is a US stock market that has risen over 60% since the start of 2023, compared to an average annual return of around 10-11% since 1980. There's also the promise of inflationary tariffs, discretionary spending cuts, rising yields, etc. all of which are the opposite of bullish signals. Combined with the Fear and Greed index hitting 94 in November (just under the 95 peak in early 2021, late 2021 saw peaks of 74) and extraordinary runup in memecoins recently—Fartcoin is worth $1.25 billion right now, up from $40 million at the end of October—the vibes are feeling a bit toppy. Conclusion In my opinion and on the balance of probabilities, the combination of the currently-overextended diminishing returns pattern and the fundamental factors described skews Bitcoin bearish from here. There are certainly many counter-arguments to be made and I respect the fact that markets can stay irrational for a long, long time and I could be completely wrong (along with the fact I have my own biases). But, I do think it's at least difficult for me to be bullish or buy into Bitcoin here. The risk-reward isn't great; maybe a 2x is achievable, and that also possibly explains a lack of further retail interest and the pump in meme coins recently. As an aside, it's interesting that this pattern would theoretically continue to produce diminishing returns until the multiplier eventually reaches near-zero. I don't think that would be how it works in reality, but it does indicate that Bitcoin could reach a ceiling as cycles continue. Does that imply the pattern has to break at some point, or that there is a true 'natural' high for BTC? I'd be interested to hear your thoughts. Thanks for reading. Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred based on this information. The opinions expressed are solely those of the author and are based on current data and analysis, which may not be accurate or complete. Always conduct your own research.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by pasojov
1
Bitcoin: Interconnectedness of Defining CyclesJust a followup analysis on scalable structure from "Natural Patterns & Fractal Geometry" ed idea. Additional Regularities: 2018 Downtrend Phase Fib Resonation: Fibonacci ratios are not just mathematical abstractions; they manifest in Bitcoin's market structure due to human behavior and market psychology. 2020 Uptrend Phase Fib Resonation: Unconventional use of Fibonacci ratios highlights areas where price has shown significant reactions. These levels act as dynamic support and resistance zones, underscoring the fractal and cyclical nature of Bitcoin's price movements. 2021 - Late 2022 Crash Metrics More detailed breakdown of emerging randomness: The repetitive alignment of market cycles with Fibonacci levels underscores Bitcoin's tendency to oscillate between predictable extremes, offering insights for timing entries and exits. Distinct cycles are clearly visible, separated by major tops (e.g., ATH in 2013, 2017, and 2021) and bottoms (e.g., the 84.12%, 72.26%, and 77.57% corrections). Each cycle adheres to Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, demonstrating a self-similar structure . Price expansions align with Fibonacci extensions (e.g., 1.618 and beyond), showing that Bitcoin’s growth phases are not random but rather guided by harmonic principles. The ascending channels mapped through Fibonacci ratios capture both the bullish and corrective phases, showcasing the market's bounded yet fractal rhythm . The percentage swings (+2484.44%, +12804.20%, +1692.21%, +600.07%) highlight the explosive nature of Bitcoin during expansion phases, followed by steep corrections. These as well align with Fibonacci proportions, providing a blueprint for market rhythm.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by fract
19