Get started

Economic Cycles

AAPL 1.22.2025 IdeaMy assessment is a fair price on the stock of $230 per share. AAPL now sitting at $222.5, I believe there is a high probability for a 5% up move within a few months. Entry would be favorable if AAPL =< $220. I would enter direct shares here. AAPL is of those companies that will be affected by tariffs. However, AAPL has benefitted from expanding its services economy. In other words, AAPL is not reliant on iPhone sales to drive their FCF. This opportunity is one for those looking for a discount on a MAG 7. Just be patient! But be flexible and anticipate further disruptions.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by SRNceo
KAS Cycle Update 01/31- Completing the Feb to Beginning of MarchKaspa is about mid-way through its current 60-day cycle. As it did not show particular strength after the last cycle low, I suspect it will chop around until the next daily cycle low (DCL), which should also be a Weekly Cycle Low (WCL). To show that this year-long range has been an ACCUMULATION pattern rather than a DISTRIBUTION pattern, Kaspa has to stay above 0.10 and DEFINITELY not lose the lower box. Invalidation of a distributive top will be confirmed if it breaks above the most recent blue trendline. From the longer trendlines (the strong red below and the upper blue), Kaspa is currently in a compression wedge. The next DCL/WCL should be telling. If Bitcoin (still the king) can show some strength (it is also coming up on a DCL/WCL), Kaspa should follow, and the next DCL/WCL, when confirmed, should be a great entry point for a long. The yellow path is my current expectation of Kaspa's path (bullish bias). Thanks, Uncle Camel (CamelFinance,) for the insights on cycle theory.
Long
by jtmac58
GOLD/XAUUSD Aiming for New Highs? While the US and BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) aren’t in a formal trade war, tensions are rising. BRICS nations are working to reduce reliance on the US dollar, challenging its dominance in global trade. This “de-dollarization” effort and geopolitical shifts, like sanctions on Russia and US-China disputes, are fueling uncertainty. The USD surged by over 7.1% and was the only currency to see a positive growth in 2024. What This Means for Gold? Gold thrives during uncertainty. As BRICS push for alternatives to the dollar and tensions with the US escalate, demand for gold could rise: Hedge Against Currency Risks: If BRICS reduce dollar usage, the dollar might weaken, boosting gold’s appeal. Geopolitical Tensions: Gold is a safe-haven asset investors flock to during economic instability. Global economic shifts are driving gold’s narrative. Trade wisely! Apex out!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Apexfx_Alpha
BTC | Developing Distribution Pattern | FractalsWe're looking at a disjointed channel dating back from 2019 capturing all the last two cycle tops and bottoms without having to use the log scale This distribution pattern caught my eye as it seemed very similar to the fractal top in 2021 and of course we can spot partial fractals of distribution all over the chart like the ones I circled in yellow As we trade in this top like area we have to remember BTC is a Risk-On asset and is sensitive to economic data Lets take a look at altcoins CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 at the bottom, we can notice that every time there was a developing continuation pattern, perhaps a bullish flag in this scenario, BTCs price slows down with CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D looking weaker within the 60 - 65% zone Seeing this I dont think we'll see a 70% dominance with alts looking to rise from the dead and to shoot for for the moon🌝 🎯My relevant post shows targets of $115k BTC from the falling wedge breakout also in confluence with a fib extension eyeing at the same level as the flag pole target, 100% We can also overshoot to around $120k One more thing when we line up TOTAL3s bullish patterns with BTCs price you'll notice BTC starts to underperform and while ALTs look to over perform We all know what happens after ALTs hit the moon and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD may be telling us something is coming soon. Stay tuned for more BTC updates and lets get through this together🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Nathanl19
SL Elliottwave AnalysisChart technically, I believe we had a nice impulsive run in 2021, completely the wave 3. Followed by a wave-4 flat correction. Now im anticipating, wave-4 has bottomed in Dec 24 and the price is now starting to rise towards new ATH‘s. Sanlorenzo (Yacht Business) is a rather unknown company. But a true gem IMO. They had good growth over the past years and are showing great financials, with solid net-margins. Insiders where buying this stock aggressively (pricerange marked in green).
MIL:SLLong
by PF_Analysis
WILL BULLISH ORDER CANDLE ABLE TO REVERSE AUDUSD?AUDUSD pair now hovering over the bullish order candle. Will this be sufficient for the pair's bullish reversal to test its recent swing high? Goto LTF to establish bullish market structure; else, pair may still go further down. N.B! - AUDUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #audusd
Long
by BullBearMkt
How This 3 Step System Works In A ReversalThe power of a reversal is something you will see inside this video In this video you will see the reverse pattern combination with the rocket booster strategy to show you how to trade Forex Not to mention that the Fed interest rate decision did influence the prices of some assets in the stock market In this case we are looking at CAPITALCOM:GBPUSD This video will educate you and show you how to trade Forex using a reversal pattern Rocket boost this content to learn more Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies Also feel free to use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money
Short
by lubosi
Potential trade setup on GBPUSDWe are looking at a short trade on GBPUSD based on the stretch strategy. There is trend,stretch and direction alignment with this trade on both 1h and Daily TF. Late entry was taken on price breakout after retracement. There is a high probability for range,previous daily high and range to be formed to the downside. We will exit the trade once range has been achieved. Trader Order Details: GBPUSD(Short) E - 1.2407 SL - 1.2428 T - 1.2387 We will be tracking this move and updating the post as we go along on the charts and on video. Keep a look out for it traders.
Short
by masterthemarkets2010
Bitcoin Long-term Holder CyclesViewing market cycles through the lens of long-term holder behavior can provide valuable insights. This chart tracks the collective balance of long-term holders, highlighting periods of accumulation (green) and distribution (red) across different market phases. Distribution phases align with bull markets, and we are currently in one. The duration of these phases can offer clues about what to expect in the current cycle—assuming market dynamics remain consistent. The first accumulation phase lasted approximately 1,000 days , followed by the second at ~820 days , and the third at nearly 800 days . The first distribution phase lasted ~530 days , the second 420 days , and the current one has reached 385 days so far. At first glance, this may suggest a contracting cycle. However, with only three data points, it's premature to establish a definitive trend. A more prudent assumption is that the current distribution phase will follow a similar duration to previous ones—likely spanning 400 to 550 days. For illustration, if this distribution phase were to last 500 days, it would place its end around mid-May. However, this still leaves the most critical question unanswered: how does this relate to price? Historically, distribution cycles tend to end after market cycle peaks. As prices decline, long-term holders gradually slow their selling and begin accumulating again. This suggests that a market cycle peak before May should be considered a logical scenario within the current cycle.
INTOTHEBLOCK:BTC_HODLERSBALANCE
by IntoTheBlock
4