Get started

Economic Cycles

GBPUSD bears seems to be in controlIchimoku Analysis 1. Price vs. Cloud (Kumo): The price has sharply broken below the Kumo (cloud), confirming a bearish trend. The Senkou Span A (leading green line) is below Senkou Span B (leading red line), showing sustained bearish momentum. 2. Tenkan-Sen (Red Line) vs. Kijun-Sen (Blue Line): A bearish cross (Tenkan-Sen below Kijun-Sen) occurred earlier, supporting the downward move. 3. Chikou Span (Lagging Green Line): The Chikou Span is below price and cloud, affirming no immediate support in historical price levels. 4. Key Support & Resistance: Resistance: 1.2763 - 1.2786 (cloud top and recent highs). Support: 1.2600 (current psychological level), 1.2550 (minor support), and 1.2500 (major psychological support). Ichimoku Wave Theory The current price move forms a bearish N-Wave: 1. Impulse Up to 1.2786. 2. Correction Down to 1.2650. 3. Continuation Down to the current level (1.2600), with potential for a further leg down. A measured move projects a continuation of approximately 100-120 pips below 1.2600, aligning with 1.2500. Ichimoku Time Theory Time cycles (9, 17, and 26 periods) help predict the timing of price targets: 1. Breakout Timing: The breakout below the cloud occurred after 17 periods of consolidation. 2. Time to Targets: TP1 (1.2550): Likely within 9 periods (36 hours) from the breakout point. TP2 (1.2500): Likely within 17 periods (68 hours) from the breakout. Each period represents 4 hours (4H chart). Trade Setup 1. Entry: Sell on a confirmed break below 1.2600. Alternatively, enter on a retest of 1.2650 (Kijun-Sen level). 2. Stop-Loss: Above the Kumo at 1.2763 to protect against reversal. 3. Take-Profit Targets: TP1: 1.2550 (minor support) – expected within 36 hours (1.5 days). TP2: 1.2500 (psychological level and measured move target) – expected within 68 hours (3 days). 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Entry: 1.2600 SL: 1.2763 (163 pips) TP1: 1.2550 (50 pips) TP2: 1.2500 (100 pips) Conclusion The bearish structure, confirmed by Ichimoku Cloud, Wave Theory, and Time Theory, favors further downside. Expect TP1 (1.2550) in approximately 1.5 days and TP2 (1.2500) in 3 days. Monitor for a retest of 1.2650 or a clear break of 1.2600 before entering short positions. This setup aligns with Ichimoku's principles of combining price, time, and wave analysis for a comprehensive trade strategy.
Short
by Welburg_Trading
Altseason Awakes: The 2025 Crypto Bull Run Is Here!🚀 ALTSEASON 2025 STARTS NOW! 🚀 Altseason Setup – Breakout Confirmed, Uptrend Ahead! Chart Overview This chart highlights a significant trend reversal in the **OTHERS.D** (crypto market cap excluding the top 10) dominance percentage. A **downtrend breakout** signals that **Altseason** may be right around the corner in 2025! --- Key Observations 📉 Long-Term Downtrend Broken: - The grey descending trendline (dynamic resistance) has been breached after a long accumulation phase. - This marks the end of a 2+ year compression phase** (2022-2024), where altcoin dominance remained suppressed. 🟢 Accumulation at Support: - The market has shown strong **support** at **11-12% dominance**. - Multiple bounces (green arrows) in the red compression zone signal that buyers are stepping in. 📈 Bullish Projection – 20-22% Dominance: - Following the breakout, the chart projects a steady *uptrend* (green dotted line) toward 20-22% dominance** by 2026. - Cyclical patterns suggest that a major **Altseason** could begin in 2025, mirroring previous rallies. --- *Key Levels to Watch* 🔑 Support Zone : 11.0-12.0% (current range). 🔑 Target Zone : 20-22% dominance in the coming years. --- #Summary ✅ Altseason Setup Confirmed! The breakout from the descending trendline, combined with strong support at the 11-12% range, signals the start of a new **altcoin dominance cycle**. If this pattern holds, **Altcoins** may significantly outperform major cryptos in 2025-2027. --- 🚀 Trade Idea - Long-Term Strategy : Accumulate strong altcoin projects early in 2025. - Projection : Altcoin dominance to rise toward **20-22%** levels. --- ⚡ **Share your thoughts below! Are you ready for Altseason 2025?** ⚡ --- ### **#Altseason2025 #CryptoMarket #OTHERS.D #Altcoins #CryptoBreakout #TradingViewIdeas**
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.DLong
by Supachai-Taechapisit
2
BTC.D Top outHistory never repeats but it tends to rime quite well. If we use that saying as the base for this thesis then we should see BTC.D top out at between 69-78% dominance using the horizontal resistance at the previous dominance top (2021). To estimate this in a timely manner we plot the dates of the halvings and the date of BTC price ATH. To extrapolate the future cycle top we take the number of days from the halvings to the BTC price ATH and add them together and divide them by the number of cycle tops. x=(a+b+c)/3 Historically we find confluence in the RSI momentum oscillator were the strength of the BTC.D is weakening hence gaining momentum to the downside. If history rimes we are entering that part of the cycle within the next 3-6 months.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by lill_knaas
#SCF : MEDIUM LONG TERM ENTRYi have an important support area between 0.040 and 0.019. as long as we stay within that price range over the next weeks, the current bearish movement will remain healthy. i see a possible change in structure from bearish to bullish between december and january. 🎯 first target: 80% 🎯 second target: 132% 🎯 third target: between 240% and 280% this does not include the compounded interest from taking partial profits and reentries within the upward trend.
Long
by TRADER_DIEGO_GUZMAN
VELOUSD 12/3/2024VELOUSD Daily Chart Analysis VELOUSD has exhibited distinct market cycle phases, presenting a strong bullish setup . Key Observations 1. Market Cycle Phases: o From April to July 2024, price underwent a steep downtrend, indicative of a distribution or markdown phase. o Between July and November, price transitioned into an accumulation phase, consolidating within a defined range. 2. Breakout Confirmation: o At the end of November/start of December, price broke out of the accumulation range. o A spike in volume supports the validity of the breakout, and the price has sustained its position above the resistance level for 7 consecutive days, signaling strong buying pressure. Trade Details • Position: Long • Entry: 0.13341 • Stop Loss: 0.11322 (15.13% risk) • Target: 0.22295 (67.12% potential return) • Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 4.43 Summary The breakout from the accumulation range, supported by volume and momentum, suggests a continuation of bullish activity. The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for long trades. Careful monitoring of the stop-loss level is recommended to protect against potential retracements.
COINBASE:VELOUSDLong
by rudcharts
3
DXY- Will it continue up into year's end?December is usually a bearish month for the USD. However, this time, the situation could be different. The USD seems well-supported by fundamentals, and the technicals are looking bullish. Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see that after the local high at 108, the index started to fall and broke below the support from the April-May highs (old resistance). However, after hitting a low at the 105.50 zone, the USD Index reversed, breaking above the falling trendline of the corrective falling wedge and also reclaiming the 106.40 resistance. At this moment, there is a high chance of upward continuation, and as long as the 106–106.40 zone remains intact, the outlook remains valid.
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Technical Analysis of XRP/USDT📊 Technical Analysis of XRP/USDT (Weekly Chart) Key Highlights: Long-term Ascending Channel: The chart shows a strong upward ascending channel highlighted by blue lines. 📈 The lower boundary serves as strong support, and the upper boundary acts as a key resistance. 🔵 Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance Zone: Between $2.6 and $1.9. 🟥 Support Zone: Around $0.96 and the lower boundary at $0.29. 🟩 600% Target: A potential bullish target of around $6.54–$6.39 has been identified. 🚀✨ ✅ Possible Price Movements: The price has recently rejected near the resistance zone and may retrace toward $1.9. 🔄 If the support level at $0.96 holds, a bullish rebound toward the channel’s upper boundary and the $6.54 target could occur. 📈💹 Breaking below critical support (below $0.46) may lead the price toward the channel's bottom, near $0.29. ⚠️📉 🎯 Trading Strategy Suggestion: Buy Entry: Near key supports like $0.96. 🟢 Stop Loss: Below the channel’s lower boundary or $0.46. ⛔️ Take Profit: Around $3.0, $6.54, or the channel’s upper boundary. 🏆 🛑 Important Note: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Always perform further research and apply proper risk management before making financial decisions. ⚠️
Long
by ehsancrypto72
Acw Ppi analysis Using previous price action of cpi week dec Taking Monday and Tuesday price action We note that price structure is very similar That said using trading view bar pattern tool we copy price action and place into current Thursday We note that structure is similar That said Thursday breaks Wednesday High , similar to Tuesday breaking Monday High We also note that Asia low is similar to Asia low Tuesday We expect Ppi to buy and possible target Nov nfp high leading to a possible ath break on the gc1! Futures contract
ACTIVTRADES:GOLDLong
by Alpha_Capital_Wealth
BTC DOMINANCE- BEARISH AFLife and Trading: Decisions Shape Outcomes Life can shift dramatically in a single day—either for the better or worse. Everything boils down to the decisions you make, whether in heated moments or calm reflection. When chaos and panic dominate, your best refuge lies in creativity, knowledge and balls. During the recent shakeout, I stayed silent—not because I lacked an opinion, but because moments like these require clarity. It’s like a car crash—you first ensure your safety before analyzing the damage. So, I distanced myself from the noise and dove deep into the charts. Key Observations: Bitcoin Dominance Bitcoin dominance, a critical indicator during altcoin crashes, was rising but met resistance at significant levels. Bearish arguments at that time included: Weekly Bearish FVG respected Daily Bearish FVG respected Trendline retest confirming the break Current Bearish Arguments: PMH & PML respected PWH & PWL respected Weekly and Daily Bearish FVG respected 4H swing highs/lows respected 4H Bearish FVG respected Strategy: Given these signals, it’s tempting to go all-in on altcoins. However, I anticipate a ranging market until Christmas, followed by a dip below the 50% level—a precursor to a true altcoin bull market. Be cautious: I expect another shakeout around December 18 or 23, where I plan to take significant positions. Always have a clear entry and exit plan to navigate these volatile waters. Follow me to stay updated, and remember—this market rewards patience and preparation. God bless you. -Jay
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Jaytradermb
Elliott Wave View: APPLE (AAPL) Continue Rally In Bullish SequenShort Term Elliott Wave view in APPLE (AAPL) suggests that rally from 8.05.2024 low is incomplete & should continue upside as the part of daily bullish sequence. It is showing 3 swing higher since August-2024 low & expect more upside against 11.04.2024 low. It ended (1) at $237.49 high as diagonal & (2) correction at $219.71 low. Within (1), it placed 1 at $232.92 high, 2 at $213.92 low, 3 at $233.09 high, 4 at $221.14 low & finally 5 ended at $237.49 high as (1). Within (2) correction, it placed A at $227.30 low, B at $234.73 high & C at $219.71 low near 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of (1). Above (2) low, it favors upside in (3) of ((1)) & can extend towards $261.29 or higher levels before major pullback may seen. Above $219.71 low, it placed 1 of (3) at $230.16 high, 2 at $225.71 low & favors upside in 3 of (3). Within 3, it placed ((i)) at $235.65 high, ((ii)) at 233.26 low & ((iii)) at $250.80 high as extended wave. Short term, it favors upside in ((v)), if ended ((iv)) at $246.02 low, which already reached between 0.236 – 0.382 Fibonacci retracement area of ((iii)). It needs price separation to confirm the view of further upside. Alternatively, if it extends lower from current level, it can either extend ((iv)) or 4 pullback in (3) as discussed in video. But in either the case, it should extend higher to finish sequence started from 11.04.2024 low as (3). We like to buy the pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings at extreme areas, when reached. It expects more upside towards $261.29 or higher levels, while dips remain above 11.04.2024 low.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Elliottwave-Forecast
AAVE to 400$📈 Trend: The chart shows an upward trend within a channel. 🛑 Resistance: Key levels appear around $200 (🔍 "Wait for break $200"), $251.69, and $360.28. 🟢 Support: The highlighted level at $175.55 acts as a significant support zone. ⚠️ Breakout Watch: A breakout above $200 could signal further upward momentum. 🔺 Targets: Next potential resistance levels after $200 are $251.69 and $360.28. Summary: 🚀 Wait for confirmation of a breakout above $200 before entering a long position. If it holds, watch for movements toward the higher resistance levels. 🛡️ Protect against drops near $175.55.
Long
by ahmadarz
Ethereum time to shine-Swing trading LONGEthereum: Your Time to Shine BINANCE:ETHUSDT Ethereum, it’s your moment. You’re in a prime setup for traders, where psychology is playing a crucial role. As Bitcoin consolidates sideways, Ethereum is retesting a key zone, preparing for what could be its true breakout. This is your time to shine. Remember, this is not financial advice. Always use a responsible risk management strategy. My trade is targeting the ATH zone, where I plan to take profits and wait for a similar setup to reposition myself strategically
Long
by Jaytradermb
2
TSLA: PatternsREGULARITIES: Fractal Cyclicality Before offrange breakouts it completes 2 sub-cycles Distinctive cup on top 1st sub-cycle and inverted one at the start of 2nd sub-wave (separating the phases) Fib Mapping: Fractal I Fractal II Fractal patterns are approximations and are not solely about predicting price movements on the Y-axis; they also encompass the frequency of reversals on the X-axis. The timing of smaller cycles, which serve as the building blocks of these patterns, holds greater significance than the overall composite price changes.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by fract
18
UMA 4 year long triangle violent breakout incomingIf you ever wonder what drives violent upward movement of altcoins when they make 30-50% daily gains for many days over the course of many weeks, this chart for UMA is a perfect example. The coin that has only dumped for over 4 years after the initial massive rally in 2021 is poised to repeat a similar path in 2025. Large volumes of desperate sell volume were registered earlier this year and marked the bottom and switch to macro uptrend for UMA. FA analysts gave up on the coin that powers Polymarket (the undisputed leader of onchain betting) assuming it will never pump. They simply ignored the fact that TA is the king and when you are in a downward movement, not bullish news will change the price action. However, when markets turn bullish and altseason comes, the projects with the strongest FA shine. Watch that triangle violently break out, Ripple style soon
CRYPTO:UMAUSDLong
by Goldsworth
Is a massive correction for alt tokens about to print?This is a short term forecast affecting anything inside the TOTAL2 market cap. That is the entire crypto market excluding Bitcoin. The crash is forecast to occur over the next 14-20 days. In four days from now a “life cross” will print on the above daily chart, it is inevitable. What is a life cross? It is when the 50 day simple moving average (blue line) crosses up the 200 day simple moving average (red line) AND Price action is above the 200 day simple moving average. The majority of market participants see this as a positive sign. A green light to enter long positions. However for you lucky what is it now wow 14,000 followers (thank you!), you’ll now know it is not what it seems. Like me you're scientific about all this and look left. But before we look left, I want you memorise how far TOTAL2 market capital is above the 200 day SMA, about 30% November 12th, 2023 life cross -10% correction Price action was 20% above the 200 day SMA February 18th, 2023 life cross -15% correction Price action was 15% above the 200 day SMA February 2020 and May 2020, -70% and -17% corrections Price action was 57% and 20% above the 200 day sma April 13th, 2019. Life cross -23% correction Price action was 34% above the 200 day sma In summary, the further price action was above the 200 day SMA the harder it dropped. We can infer that a 15-20% correction should be expected across TOTAL2. Use this low as an opportunity to collect your favourite token from emotional sellers. Ww
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by without_worries
65
DXY 1W Forecast until the end of MAY 2025Up-trend will resume and last until the end of February 2025 topping no higher than 114. Current bottom is in at 105.9 Hence, it shouldn't fall below. After February a consolidation period of 1,5 months will trap price action between the bottom of 122.16 and upper level of 114.9 The spring squeezed during consolidation will provide enough energy for further upwards movement starting in the end of April 2025. This will ignite a chain of devaluation of national currencies followed by epidemic inflation across the globe. This will finish/cool-down at DXY reaching the mark of 148. New reality after May 2025?
INDEX:DXY
by discarding
Long $TSLAI am getting 100% of my exposure currently through NASDAQ:TSLL , I am very bullish on this setup for Tesla. Bull catalysts: Trump Victory - if this happens, I assume TSLA will pump just because of their close relationship Federal EV Charging Re-compete - in the vein above, I don't see why Trump wouldn't open the failed federal funds of ~ SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B to companies to recompute the contract- obviously Tesla could actually deliver the network of chargers more efficiently than GM et al. QE - I overlaid the FFR on the bottom of this chart, since I think it is valuable information regarding the last time TSLA's face-melting rally began, it coincided with QE beginning. Their humanoid robots also could be something, but I am not as versed with them. Any other catalysts I'm missing?
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by httpz
EURCAD SELLEUR/CAD 4-hour timeframe with respect to Wyckoff market cycle stages and current price action. Here's the step-by-step evaluation: Wyckoff Analysis Distribution Phase: The chart shows a prolonged sideways range at the top (above 1.50), suggesting a distribution phase. This is evident from the multiple rejections at the resistance zone around 1.51679. The volume during this range shows spikes on bearish candles, indicating selling pressure by smart money. Markdown Phase: Following the breakdown from the range, the price formed a clear impulsive downtrend, completing a 5-wave Elliott pattern (labeled as 1 to 5 in the chart). The markdown culminated near 1.44886, which aligns with strong support and Fibonacci extension levels (1.618 at 1.45131). Volume increased significantly.
Short
by HoratiuBogdan
2