Business sentiment turning up which is usually bullish Since the 70's, a significant improvement in the US business sentiment, as measured by the US NFIB Business Optimism Index, usually translated in a higher S&P500 in the following months and year. The only exception being 2021 when the pandemic put a halt to the rise in the stock market (but did recovered quickly).
I used a cross of the 12-month rate of change above 6%.
The most recent datas is showing the best improvement in business sentiment since the early 80's.
This bodes well for a continuation of the bull market in the coming months.
Economy
$CNGDPYY -China 2024 GDP Meets Official Target ECONOMICS:CNGDPYY
Q4/2024
- The Chinese economy expanded by 5.4% yoy in Q4 2024, topping estimates of 5.0% and accelerating from a 4.6% rise in Q3.
It was the strongest annual growth rate in 1-1/2 years, boosted by a series of stimulus measures introduced since September to boost recovery and regain confidence.
For full year, the GDP grew by 5.0%, aligning with Beijing's target of around 5% but falling short of a 5.2% rise in 2023.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the recent trading session, the S&P 500 attained our designated downside target of Mean Support at 5775, which initiated a robust rally. This rally enabled the index to reach our target of Mean Resistance at 5920 and advance further to the newly identified Mean Resistance at 6035. The market is currently exhibiting strong and consistent upward movement. The bullish trend appears poised to continue towards our subsequent target, the Outer Index Rally at 6123, which will be approached via Key Resistance at 6090. Following that, additional targets of 6233 and 6418 are also anticipated. However, it is essential to acknowledge that reaching the initial rally level and the subsequent targets will result in a price pullback. Such a pullback is expected to prepare the market for the next phase of the bullish trend.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar has seen a notable increase in volatility during this week's trading session after completing our significant Outer Currency Dip at 1.020. The interim rebound reached our target of the Mean Resistance at 1.030, as outlined in last week's chart analysis. We are now anticipating a retest of the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.020, with additional extension levels at Outer Currency Dips of 1.016 and 1.005, respectively.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has reached our significant Key Resistance level of 106000 during the current week's trading session. This development signals a retest of the completed Outer Coin Dip of the 108000 cryptocurrency before the expansion of the continued upward movement. Nevertheless, an interim decline may likely occur, leading down to the Mean Support level of 100000, with a potential further extension to the Mean Support level of 95000 before any resurgence in the bull market occurrence.
$USIRYYY -U.S Inflation Rate (December/2024)ECONOMICS:USIRYY
December/2024
source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
-The annual inflation rate in the US accelerated for the third consecutive month to 2.9% in December, as expected.
On a monthly basis, the CPI rose by 0.4%, exceeding expectations of 0.3%.
However, annual core inflation slightly decreased to 3.2% from 3.3%, below the anticipated 3.3%. The monthly core rate also eased to 0.2% from 0.3%, in line with expectations.
$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate (December/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
December/2024
source: Office for National Statistics
-Annual inflation rate in the UK unexpectedly edged lower to 2.5% in December 2024 from 2.6% in November, below forecasts of 2.6%. However, it matched the BoE's forecast from early November.
Prices slowed for restaurants and hotels (3.4%, the lowest since July 2021 vs 4%), mainly due to a 1.9% fall in prices of hotels.
Inflation also slowed for recreation and communication (3.4% vs 3.6%) and services (4.4%, the lowest since March 2022 vs 5) and steadied for food and non-alcoholic beverages (at 2%). Meanwhile, prices decreased less for transport (-0.6% vs -0.9%) as upward effects from motor fuels and second-hand cars (1%) partially offset a downward effect from air fare (-26%).
Also, prices rose slightly more for housing and utilities (3.1% vs 3%). Compared to November, the CPI rose 0.3%, above 0.1% in the previous period but below forecasts of 0.4%.
The annual core inflation rate also declined to 3.2% from 3.5% and the monthly rate went up to 0.3%, below forecasts of 0.5%.
USD Index (DXY) Soars to 2-Year High!🚀💵 USD Index ( TVC:DXY ) Soars to 2-Year High! 📈
The U.S. Dollar Index just hit above 110, a peak not seen since November 2022! Thanks to strong U.S. economic data, but is this the top or just the beginning? 🧐
Check out the trends on #TradingView for deeper insights! 🔍📊
#USD #DXY #ForexTrading #EconomicTrends
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.13.2024🔮
📅 Tue Jan 14
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core PPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.2%)
📊 PPI m/m: 0.4% (prev: 0.4%)
📅 Wed Jan 15
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core CPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.3%)
📊 CPI m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.3%)
📊 CPI y/y: 2.9% (prev: 2.7%)
📊 Empire State Manufacturing Index: -0.3 (prev: 0.2%)
⏰ 10:30am
🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -1.0M
📅 Thu Jan 16
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core Retail Sales m/m: 0.5% (prev: 0.2%)
📊 Retail Sales m/m: 0.6% (prev: 0.7%)
📊 Unemployment Claims: 210K (prev: 201K)
📊 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: -7.0 (prev: -16.4)
📅 Fri Jan 17
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Building Permits: 1.46M (prev: 1.49M)
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
On a gap up, we will hold and run higher.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
The markets will get a few days of a bullish run.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 10, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the recent trading session, the S&P 500 demonstrated a robust rally, exceeding a notable support level at 5872. This upward movement, however, resulted in a significant decline of the index to a critical support level at 5870 and lower lows. The volatility associated with this upward trend has introduced instability by destabilizing the bullish trend by flagging a new downward target marked at Outer Index Dip 5645. However, it is crucial to acknowledge that encountering subsequent support levels of Mean Sup 5770 may trigger a substantial rally, potentially leading to the Mean Res at 5920, before plunging again to drop toward the targeted level of 5645.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 10, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar has experienced a significant increase during this week's trading session, surpassing our initial target of Mean Resistance at 1.034. It then encountered strong resistance at a Mean Resistance of 1.043, leading to a notable pullback that brought it down to an Outer Currency Dip of 1.025 and lower. We are now looking at the next target at Outer Currency Dip 1.020, with additional extension levels at Outer Currency Dip 1.016 and 1.005, respectively. Reaching our first target, Outer Currency Dip 1.025, will likely trigger an interim rebound toward the designated level at Mean Resistance 1.030.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 10, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has surpassed our crucial Mean Resistance of 99500 in this week's trading session by plunging sharply back to a critical Mean Support of 91800. This decline suggests that a significant interim pullback may be underway, potentially bringing the cryptocurrency to the Outer Coin Dip 83400 before any resurgence in the bull market occurs. However, an interim strong upside move to Mean Res 97300 might be in the works.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 3, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this abbreviated trading week, the S&P 500 made a wild ride pullback against a very significant Mean Sup 5870. Subsequently, it rallied robustly, approaching our newly established target of Key Resistance at 5972. This upward movement is anticipated to stabilize or continue to rise, sustaining the bullish trend. However, it is crucial to acknowledge that encountering subsequent resistance may trigger a substantial pullback, potentially leading to the Mean Support at 5870, which remains a plausible scenario.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 3, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar has significantly declined in this week's abbreviated trading session, reaching the Outer Currency Dip level of 1.025. Consequently, the currency has rebounded robustly and is heading toward the Mean Resistance level of 1.034. Current analyses suggest that the Euro is positioned to continue its upward trajectory. Nevertheless, it is anticipated that a revitalized pullback will occur from this resistance level.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 3, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
As specified in the Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis for December 27, an extraordinary rebound bull movement occurred from the Mean Support of 91800. Current analysis suggests a high likelihood that the cryptocurrency will continue to advance, potentially testing the Mean Resistance level of 99500 and aiming for a retest of the completed Inner Coin Rally marked at 108000. Nevertheless, it is crucial to recognize the possibility of a pullback to retest the Mean Support level of 91800 again before any resurgence in the bull market.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this short trading week, the S&P 500 made significant gains and is approaching our main target, Key Resistance at 6090. This movement is expected to support the next phase of the interim rebound, with the goal of breaking through the Key Resistance level at 6090 and continuing the bullish trend. However, it's important to acknowledge that a retest of the Mean Support at 5870 is still a likely scenario.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin exhibited fluctuations within the newly defined Mean Resistance of 99500 and Mean Support of 91800. The analysis suggests a high probability that the cryptocurrency will experience a decline to the Inner Coin Dip 88500 prior to initiating a significant rebound. This rebound is expected to facilitate the re-establishment of its bullish trend. It is essential to consider that a rebound bull movement may indeed occur from the Mean Support 91800.
DAR/USDT: Major Historical Levels Analysis| NEXT 1100% PotentialBINANCE:DAR/USDT - 1D TIMEFRAME 🎯
MARKET STRUCTURE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✦ CURRENT PRICE: $0.13873 (-2.07%)
✦ FIRST TARGET: $0.74760 (+525%)
✦ ULTIMATE TARGET: $1.65318 (+1,100%)
✦ TIMEFRAME: Daily/Long-term
TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. HISTORICAL CONTEXT:
• Price at multi-year support level
• Significant consolidation since May 2023
• Major historical resistance levels marked
2. KEY PRICE LEVELS:
• Current Support: ~$0.13-0.14
• First Major Resistance: $0.74760
• Second Major Resistance: $1.65318
3. VOLUME PROFILE:
• Current Volume: 29.45M
• Low volume consolidation phase
• Potential accumulation period
STRATEGIC OUTLOOK:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
LONG-TERM POTENTIAL:
• Two major upside targets identified
• Historical resistance levels as targets
• Significant upside potential from current levels
RISK CONSIDERATIONS:
• Current downtrend needs reversal confirmation
• Volume increase needed for momentum
• Extended consolidation possible
ENTRY STRATEGY:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
• Wait for reversal confirmation
• Look for volume expansion
• Consider scaling in on breakout confirmations
RISK DISCLOSURE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Trading involves substantial risk. This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
#DAR #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTrading
Tags: @TradingView
Note: The significant upside targets are based on historical price levels. Always use proper risk management and position sizing.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading, the S&P 500 index exhibited considerable volatility after reaching our critical support level of Mean Support 5870. Subsequently, it demonstrated a robust upward recovery. This development is anticipated to facilitate the impending phase of the renewed interim rebound, with the objective of retesting the Key Resistance level at 6090, thereby paving the way for continuing the bullish trend. However, it is crucial to recognize that a retest of the Mean Support 5870 remains a great possibility.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar exhibited a bearish trend during the initial part of the week; however, it subsequently demonstrated a significant recovery by retesting the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.035. This renewed interim rebound is poised to drive the Eurodollar toward the Mean Resistance level of 1.051. However, it is crucial to recognize that a retest of the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.035 remains plausible.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin's spectacular pullback to Mean Sup 91800 is noted. We anticipate a rebound to the upside, targeting the key Resistance level of 106000. Nevertheless, it is essential to acknowledge that a retest of the Mean Support level 91800 remains a plausible scenario.
$JPIRYY -Japan's CPI (November/2024)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
(November/2024)
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- The annual inflation rate in Japan climbed to 2.9% in November 2024 from 2.3% in the prior month, marking the highest reading since October 2023.
The core inflation rate rose to a 3-month high of 2.7% in November,
up from 2.3% in October and surpassing estimates of 2.6%.
Monthly, the CPI increased by 0.6%, the highest figure in 13 months.