Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 30, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The coin following the completion of the Inner Coin Rally 30500 is gyrating between the newly created Mean Res 30800 and Mean Sup 29900, suggesting its higher price advancement. The upcoming primary target is Outer Coin Rally 31700, along with Key Res of the same price. We may be experiencing a brief pause before the next Outer Coin rally, 34000, based on the current trend. Alternatively, prices could drop significantly to Mean Sup 28700 before rebounding.
Economy
$TNX in range and a comparison of Yields around 2008#Yield is moving well today.
1Yr is bouncing back better than 2 and 10Yr.
$TNX is not bouncing as much but has not sold off as much as the others. The 10Yr is trading between 3.80 - 4.08.
Did we see the top in short term #yields a few days ago?
10Yr on the other hand did not break the most recent high. Interesting to say the least.
The last picture shows the highs of the 2 yr and 10 yr right before the crash of 2008.
Interesting that almost everything happened in the month of June. Even when it was 3 different years! Hmmm.
***
Now let's compare what yields did around the 2008 crash.
***
The 2yr yield peaked @ 5.28% and it did it much earlier. It was almost 2 years before the 10Yr yield did. The 2yr also formed a lower higher in 2007 (5.13%) & peaked in June 2008, much lower @ 3%, before the real crash happened.
The 10yr didn't peak until June 2008. way after short term rates peaked. We also see that the peak was around 4.3%.
Stocks peaked in Oct 07 and the lower high was May 2008.
***
We are seeing something similar today. However, IMO everything happens faster today. We're keeping a close eye on lower highs in short term yields and we could be seeing this now. Time will tell.
This data is just like other data. Just past info to help weather the current & future storms.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 16, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Reignited Rally continues to move forward this week, hitting our target Outer Index Rally 4412 and, by doing so, completing Inner Index Rally 4444. This suggests a couple of trading scenarios: The unconfirmed completion by Trade Selecter, the market severity will pull back to Mean Sup 4365, followed by a solid bounce to retest the developed and confirmed by Trade Selecter Key Res 4425. The second scenario will display Spooz regrouping within the vicinity of developing Key Res and penetrating higher by targeting Outer Index Rally 4480. Trade Selecter will closely monitor any updates and share any valid confirmation with you. (Please note that there will be no Daily Chart Analysis for the week of June 23. The next update will be on June 30).
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 16, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The euro-dollar price movement followed our projections as stated on Daily Chart Analysis For the Week of June 9 - the price action hit our initial upside target of Mean Res 1.082 and beyond by completing our Inner Currency Rally 1.096. The unconfirmed pivotal down move is in progress, with the mark aimed to mean Sup 1.080. Trade Selecter will closely monitor any updates and share any valid confirmation with you. (Please note that there will be no Daily Chart Analysis for the week of June 23. The next update will be on June 30) .
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 16, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The coin has invalidated our completed Inner Coin Dip 25800 and Mean Sup 25700. Doing so opened the down trading area envelope to Outer Coin Dip 23950. However, a reignited rally might take us to Mean Res 27300 and Mean Res 28250, respectively. Trade Selecter will closely monitor any updates and share any valid confirmation with you. (Please note that there will be no Daily Chart Analysis for the week of June 23. The next update will be on June 30) .
$EUR50 - Recession - Eurozone OANDA:EU50EUR is officially in Recession due to two consecutive
negative quarters in a row.
The Euro-Zone entered a Recession in the first quarter of this year and economists are not optimistic for the coming months.
Having said that, its Index OANDA:EU50EUR continues to hold its
head up high, but the question is, how much longer will it maintain to do so ?
Will the situation get better for Europe or domino
effect has just gotten started ?
TRADE SAFE
*** NOTE that this is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research and consult your Financial Advisor
before partaking on any trading activity based solely on this Idea .
$DXY -Wave 'B' Completed- It seems TVC:DXY found temporary Support
on the Bullish Cross Over in the last Week,
by testing it thrice and jumping around.
Concerning is the Change of Character (CHoCH) in Wave A
of A-B-C correction ;
by violating the last
Higher High of 103.3 (where fibb is taken).
However, this may only be a small issue regarding
Higher Time Frames Uptrend.
Zones to watch the weekk ahead for TVC:DXY ;
- Support to hold at 103.3 ;
(1 Fibb' level + S/R + EMA's Area
- Wave B Continuation completion after Impulsive Wave A
*Resistance at 0.618 Fibb's Golden Zone
(or a bit Higher zooming in on Smaller TF Order Block)
- Wave C continuation putting TVC:DXY @ 102.6 fibb level and trendline
$DXY -Ballads of Dollar $- Monitoring The Dollar Index TVC:DXY and constantly keeping an eye on its Price Action packed with Stories to Tell ,
is very important in your Trading Journey.
TVC:DXY its ;
The best Strategy,
the best Signal
the best Indicator
Why ?
Because it's a Dollar Story !
As the phrase goes :
'Paper Rules the World'
And so it does,
to the average man working 9-5 having no aspiration to know the dark valleys of this World.
And so it does,
regarding us that are involved in Trading Financial Markets.
While the most valuable of fiat currencies out there is The Mighty Dirty Dollar to whom the whole Economic System is based upon,
it's a must to be diligent and vigilant over The Dollar Index's TVC:DXY
price action stories.
TRADE SAFE
*** This is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research and consult your Financial Advisor
before partaking in any trading activity based solely on this idea
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 9, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Reignited Rally is continuing to move forward. The bullish price action is closing on Major Key Res 4330 with a follow-through to our long-time Outer Index Rally 4412 projection. Viewing the Pivotal Down Move prediction is based on the current price action, notwithstanding confirmation from the Trade Selector that will be given before implementing any strategies.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 9, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The euro-dollar price movement followed our projections as stated on Daily Chart Analysis For the Week of June 2 - the price action hit our initial upside target of Mean Res 1.076. The continuation of the pivotal rebound is expected to push to Mean Res 1.082 this week, following through the pivot move that will take us to Mean Sup 1.068 and possibly two extensions to fulfill our target next Inner Currency Dip 1.047 ultimately. Viewing the Pivotal Down Move prediction is based on the current price action, notwithstanding confirmation from the Trade Selector that will be given before implementing any strategies.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 9, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The coin has reached the Retest Dip price furiously banging on our completed Inner Coin Dip of $25,800 and Mean Sup $25,700 with follow-up today (Sat., June 10). However, we anticipate a significant shift in the market with the Restart of the Pivotal Rally, which could lead to a return to the mean Res $27,300 or even Mean Res $28,250. In the event of failure, the Continuation of the Down Trend will target our Outer Coin Dip of $23,950.Viewing the Pivotal rally prediction is based on the current price action, notwithstanding confirmation from the Trade Selector that will be given before implementing any strategies.
Global Economy RecapGood day traders. International news recap. This recap has a high probability of influencing the international economic trends for the next six months.
First, let us look at the trade balance of Mainland China, which stands at 452.3 billion yuan, compared to the previous value of 618.4 billion yuan (decreased by 26%).
Furthermore, the trade balance in terms of the US dollar is 65.8 billion dollars, compared to the previous value of 90.2 billion dollars (decreased by 27%). From this, we can see a weakening in Mainland China's trade volume by a quarter. It's a big decline!
Moving on to the United States, the trade balance for April is negative 74.6 billion dollars, compared to the previous value of negative 64.2 billion dollars. Declined by 16%! This indicates a weakening in US trade as well. I sense signs of an economic recession.
However, Mainland China is quick to act. Today, they have lowered the deposit interest rates by 10-15 basis points, injecting liquidity into the market to stimulate the economy.
Today is the 9th, and next week we should pay attention to the US CPI data (inflation data), as well as Wednesday's interest rate decision. According to CME's assessment of the probability of the Federal Reserve not raising interest rates on the 14th June stands at 78%.
Conclusion:
If next Tuesday's CPI data meets expectations or is lower than expected, coupled with no interest rate hike at 2PM on Wednesday, then gold, stock markets, and the cryptocurrency market will experience a short-term increase. However, in the medium to long term, we should be mentally prepared. The yield spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury bonds has reached 0.775%. Both Mainland China and the United States are experiencing a decrease in their trade balances, indicating signs of economic weakness. Recession MAY happen.
For reference.
$BTC - Bulls vs Bears All you need to know about #bitcoin and where it's at ,
Fundamentally and TA speaking ;
Fundamentally, there is a mixed feeling between Bulls and Bears.
They both have their solid case ;
Recently #bitcoin has been fueled in price by the Banking Crisis which is likely to continue,
and Feds may be on no support of banks bailout, as the US Debt Ceiling has reached it's climax and Congress seem to be very against expanding it furthermore.
All this Banking Craze might give #Bitcoin a real Bullish fundamental case when it comes to being applied as ;
' Be your own Bank '
... adding in to that, Technical Case of TA with 19.6K holding so far as a Higher Low from 15K
(which indicates a bullish uptrend momentum and a speculative Bottom there compared to previous Halving Cycles)
While with Bears on the other side foreseeing incoming looming times for Financial Markets
and a US Recession or a Global One (with BRICS coming forth united) adding high risk to TVC:DXY as a Global Reserve Currency.
China and Russia have been purchasing Gold heavily past year and ongoing through 2023
Bears have a real case as well as we've seen #bitcoin being highly correlated to Equities Sector of Wall Street, so it won't escape their gravity pull on Bearish Momentum.
Whatever happens between Bulls VS Bears
that is yet to be seen.
2023 has been so far the year of OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) and other precious metals due to Macro Economic Risks, Banks Meltdown, and Geo Politics (BRICS and Russia vs Ukraine ongoing war)
Bitcoin being an deflationary asset in it's nature , has out-performed them YTD with a high of 72% ROI .
Future belongs to the Bulls alongside deflationary assets.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 2, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The curtailed by US holiday trading week did not surprise us; see Daily Chart Analysis For the Week of May 26. On Tuesday, after hitting our initial target Outer Index Rally 4230 and weeding out the weak longs a day later, the swift rebound on Thursday retested the 4230 again, followed up on Friday by completing our second target of extended Outer Index Rally 4285. The next upside target is major Key Res 4330 and, down the road, extended Outer Index Rally 4412. The pivotal 4230, as tooted a few weeks ago, was ultimately canceled due to price action turning south prematurely on Friday, May 19, and not confirmed by Trade Selecter's targeted movement. On the downside, the price action might take us to Mean Sup 4180; however, the upswing to Key Res 4330, within the highest probability, will emerge first.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 2, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In our Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of May 26, the euro-dollar price movement followed our projections perfectly. On May 31, the price hit our initial down target of Inner Currency Dip 1.064, followed by a dead cat bounces to our Mean Res 1.075 target last Friday. The retest of the completed Inner Currency Dip 1.064 is in progress, with the strong possibility of falling further to Mean Sup 1.054.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 2, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's session, the coin has achieved the projected prices of Mean Res $27,500 and Mean Res $28,750 as outlined in the Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of May 26. Based on the current price action, the coin will likely test the Inner Coin Dip of $25,800 and potentially make a significant drop to the Outer Coin Dip of $23,950. The upside potential will address the Mean Res $28,250 as a ''Do That To Me One More Time''.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 26, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week's index did not surprise us with the swift rebound (Mean Sup 4110) and continued the reignited rally as specified in a previous couple of weeks of daily chart analysis. The price action is expected to reach our primary destination of the Outer Index Rally at 4230 and possible extension to Outer Index Rally 4285 and Major Key Res 4310. The pivotal at 4230 is not expected at this time unless confirmed by Trade Selecter price action within this upcoming trading week session - stay tuned.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 26, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week's eurodollar price action was lower, and the current trading pattern suggests the designated target of the Inner Currency Dip is 1.064 in the making, as indicated in last week's daily chart analysis, with the possibility of falling further to Mean Sup 1.054. We also anticipate a quick rebound to Mean Res 1.075 with the potential to reach Mean Res 1.082 upon completion of its main target.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 26, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading, the coin has successfully retested the Inner Coin Dip zone and is now expected to bounce back towards the newly established Mean Res $27,500 target. Furthermore, it is anticipated to continue its upward movement towards Mean Res $28,250 in the upcoming week, thereby reigniting the price action upward direction.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 19, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week's index has increased substantially in conformity with the S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of May 12. It is expected to reach our primary destination of Outer Index Rally at 4230. However, there's a possibility of a drop to Mean Sup 4161.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 19, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week's currency drifted lower with the stronghold of our Mean Sup 1.076. Based on the current trading pattern, this downward trend is in dead cat rebound mode targeting Mean Res 1.087. The designated target of the Inner Currency Dip is 1.064 in the cards.