Get started

Economy

Bitcoin🟠and the Trimmed Mean PCE⚫️inflation rate👀The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation stable See the reverse of Bitcoin🟠and the Trimmed Mean PCE⚫️inflation rate👀 Do we see the next Top in PCE and a following #bullish momentum for BTC dear Crypto Nation😎 Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗 ⬇️⬇️⬇️ Likes and Follow for updates appreciated🤗 Disclaimer: Not financial advice Do your own research before investing The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
FRED:PCETRIM12M159SFRBDALLong
by Crypto4Everybody
⚫️Existing Home Sales🔵Home prices🔴Top S&P500Not an easy chart but give it a try dear Bitcoin and Crypto Nation Look at connections of different Tops in financial crisis 2008 and possible hints for near future: ⚫️Top Existing Home Sales precursor of 🔵Top Home prices precursor of 🔴Top S&P500 Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗 ⬇️⬇️⬇️ Likes and Follow for updates appreciated🤗 Disclaimer: Not financial advice Do your own research before investing The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
ECONOMICS:USEHS
by Crypto4Everybody
Shorting Palladium FuturesPalladium is in a strong downtrend right now. In fact, in the Trend Following Market Trends Barometer , it is the strongest trend with a value of over 70%. We are opening short positions at market price with a very strong risk management metric - as always - aiming to surf the downtrend and lose only 0.5% of our portfolio value if there is a pullback. Our target is around 1505, but the exit will be through volatility and trailing stops. As we can see, the trend has an RSI of 39.70 on the weekly chart. It is below the 210, 70 and 14 SMA's, and has broken a trend line support. There are opportunities to follow the trend. We can open more positions further if the trend remains bearish and close them on a percentage basis if sharp pullbacks occur. Again, it depends on volatility and trailing stops. The system is automated. Product. Palladium futures (NYMEX). No CFDs or other OTC derivatives for now. Position: Sell, market price. Stop loss: around 1 800 (trailing stop, we can re-enter if there is a pullback). Target: Around 1 500 (we won't manually close, the TL stop will). Resizing: We can open more positions if the trend is strong. Risk: High.
NYMEX:PA1!Short
by blockmas
ECONOMIC CYCLE & INTEREST RATESHello traders and future traders! The state of an economy can be either growing or shrinking. When an economy is growing, it typically leads to improved conditions for individuals and businesses. Conversely, when an economy is shrinking or experiencing a recession, it can have negative consequences. The central bank works to maintain a stable level of inflation and support moderate economic growth through the management of interest rates. What is an economic cycle? An economic cycle refers to the fluctuations or ups and downs in economic activity over a period of time. These cycles are typically characterized by periods of economic growth and expansion, followed by periods of contraction or recession. Economic cycles are often measured by changes in gross domestic product (GDP) and other economic indicators, such as employment, consumer spending, and business investment. Economic cycles can be caused by a variety of factors, including changes in monetary and fiscal policy, shifts in consumer and business confidence, and changes in global economic conditions. Economic cycles can also be influenced by external events, such as natural disasters or political instability. Understanding economic cycles is important for businesses, governments, and individuals, as it helps them anticipate and prepare for changes in the economy and make informed decisions about investment, hiring, and other economic activities. How is an economic cycle related to interest rates? Interest rates can be an important factor in the economic cycle . During a period of economic expansion, demand for credit typically increases, as businesses and consumers borrow money to make investments and purchases. As a result, interest rates may rise to control the demand for credit and prevent the economy from overheating. Higher interest rates can also encourage saving, which can help to balance out the increased spending that often occurs during an economic expansion. On the other hand, during a period of economic contraction or recession, demand for credit tends to decline, as businesses and consumers become more cautious about borrowing and spending. In response, central banks may lower interest rates to stimulate demand for credit and encourage economic activity. Lower interest rates can also make borrowing cheaper and more attractive, which can help to boost spending and support economic growth. Overall, the relationship between interest rates and the economic cycle can be complex and dynamic, and the direction and magnitude of changes in interest rates can depend on a variety of factors, including economic conditions, inflation expectations, and the goals and objectives of central banks and other policy makers. I hope you leant something new today!
Education
by m_maia14
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of December 16, 2022Outer Index Rally 4140 is currently being shelved. The downtrend sentiment points to a newly created Inner Index Dip 3785, with the possibility of extension to Mean Sup 3720. The Mean Sup 3860 is a stronghold for the time being, as specified in the S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For the Week of December 9. The upside target to the Mean Res 3912 is likely from the current position or once the dip is completed. Of course, the question is, “From which support/outcome level will this puppy break enacting finalization of the down movement?
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of December 16, 2022The euro-dollar rip through our Mean Res 1.0585 but could not punch to vital Key Res $1.0780. The newly created interim Mean Res 1.0680 is the catalyst to draw the currency to retest the Mean Res 1.0680 and hit the Key Res $1.0780 in the process. The prevailing down path points to the Mean Sup 1.0450 and mildly extended probabilities to Mean Sup 1.0330. However, once the current down sentiment occurs, a furious decline to the additional Mean Support levels may likely happen. Of course, the question is, “From which support level will this puppy break playing down movement position?
by TradeSelecter
No secret‼️👀😉🔴inflation🔵rate⚫️marketsNo secret‼️👀😉 🔴inflation up⬆️ 🔵rate hikes⬆️ ⚫️markets down⬇️ 🔴inflation down⬇️ 🔵rate cuts⬇️ ⚫️markets up⬆️ Bitcoin and Crypto equal markets like DowJones NASDAQ and Co Chart 1 1972 - 1986 Chart 2 current situation - see update What do YOU expect in points of inflation? Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗 ⬇️⬇️⬇️ Likes and Follow for updates appreciated🤗 Disclaimer: Not financial advice Do your own research before investing The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
TVC:DJI
by Crypto4Everybody
1
$SPX 3 Day Chart 2008 GFC Crash OverlayHistory never repeats but sometimes rhymes right? 2008 MBS bubble dropped the S&P 500 56% from the ATH, assuming we have an everything bubble after 6+ Trillion QE injection since 2020, I see similarities to the Great Financial Crises. Powell made it very clear yesterday, more hikes for longer if inflation is not brought down to 2% target so how will they ever pivot without dropping inflation quickly? Inflation YOY around 7% "according to CPI" assures corporate earnings collapse going forward IMO, so I think the market is over priced Early Pivot or no Pivot. Laszlo, MMGinvest 12/15/2022
SP:SPX
by Laszlo-MMG
4
Why the CPI Report Matters and Could be a Bullish Catalyst As long as inflationary expectations remained low after Jerome's last speech where he spoke about softening the increase in interest rates, which may or may not be the case, there is a good chance that inflation ticks down. This would confirm a 50bp hike for December, easing monetary policy and providing room for equities to continue their rally. While I think a lower CPI report is more likely in the near-term than a tick up in inflation, with a possible higher than 50bp increase and a decline in equites, it could go either way. Later, when the lagging effects of QT are felt, I expect a further decline in the market as discussed in my previous thesis. It is also possible that inflation stays near its current 7.7%, in which case there may not be too large of a response in equity markets tomorrow. The bigger the move in CPI, the bigger the move in equites. VIX is inching up in anticipation of this binary event. I am linking this thesis with "long" because I believe the negative CPI trend will continue and result in a near-term rally, but this is only because I feel there is a higher probability of this occurring, not that it is by any means certain. InTheMoney
AMEX:SPYLong
by InTheMoneyAdam
8
Economic Outlook for 10-15 years aheadMy Economic Outlook for 10-15 years ahead The rare double-dip recession October CPI report shows Inflation slightly decreased to 7.7% and The Fed already made a statement to decrease The Fedfunds Rate. Potential Fed pivot approximately will occur in Q1 or Q2 of 2023. That will be the time of disinflationary period or maybe we are already in by now. What to be expected in disinflationary period is stock market drawdown will continue, rising unemployment, more business entities will collapse, fewer job openings, in short 2023 will be dark especially in the US. Technically it is a recession. The good news is inflation can be pushed back to 2% area and from there QE can be restarted. Most people that already tired by long economic drawdown are strongly craving for bull market. Productivity will rise again along with its economic and secondary leverage and a creeping up inflation leaving the 2% area. An inherent nature of capitalism. The question is what will be the destiny of Petrodollar as its losing control over the total international trade volume. The rapid change of global power dynamics which spearheaded by BRICS+ economy has substantially diminish the Dollar hegemony. The regional powers that have control over the world commodities are grouping up to create a new, commodity-backed currency. In addition to that there is a strongly rising tension between Russia and NATO. More than 50 years ago, the US left the Bretton-Woods System and to keep the US dollar relevant as global reserve currency, Petrodollar was introduced and rapidly embraced by the OPEC which consequently making the US Dollar became the world's most traded currency. That is the underlying value of the Dollar besides of debt. But the current astronomical $30+ Trillion of government debt and the weakening of Petrodollar globally has come to a critical question of what will be the next US decisive move? Chaos has to be applied first to disrupt any potential challenger to the US Dollar, and from there a revolutionary economic policy has to be implemented. Worst case scenario is the new Great Depression can manifest after almost 100 years since its first occurrence in 1929. Note: This economic outlook which also the same with any version of economic outlook is subject to a high degree of uncertainty. This post is mean for educational purpose only.
TVC:SPX
by derahmanov
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of December 9, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook Outer Index Rally 4140 is currently postponed. The downtrend sentiment points to a newly created Mean Res $3965, with the possibility of a support level of the Mean Sup 3860 emerging first as the primary target destination. The upside target to the Mean Sup 3965 is probable once the dip to the Mean Sup 3860 is completed. Of course, the question is always “Which way will this puppy break from the current position?”
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
1
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of December 9, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook: The euro dollar hit our target of the Mean Res 1.0585 twice this week. Advancement to the Key Res 1.0780 is getting more realistic and inevitable. The upcoming prevailing down path points to the new Mean Sup 1.0450 and extended Mean Sup 1.0330. However, once the current down sentiment occurs, a furious decline to the additional Mean Support levels may likely happen. Of course, the question is always “Which way will this puppy break from the current position?”
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 9, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook: Bitcoin is continuously (Very slowly) advancing toward our leading destination of the Mean Res $17,600 and subsequently to the Outer Coin Rally of $19,100: However, the pullback to Mean Sup $16,700 is very much likely before further upward advancement. The retest of the Key Sup $15,850 is low at this time, pending the above scenario being played out. Of course, the question is always “Which way will this puppy break from the current position?”
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin and US10Y-US02Y connectionUpdate on US10Y-US02Y Compare RVGI indicator❌cross and Bitcoin Still not a cross yet in the extreme area of this indicator that would mark a quite good entry for BTC But the next cross for a possible Entry point is ahead dear Crypto Nation💥🚀😎 Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗 ⬇️⬇️⬇️ Likes and Follow for updates appreciated🤗 Disclaimer: Not financial advice Do your own research before investing The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Crypto4Everybody