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No secret‼️👀😉🔴inflation🔵rate⚫️marketsNo secret‼️👀😉 🔴inflation up⬆️ 🔵rate hikes⬆️ ⚫️markets down⬇️ 🔴inflation down⬇️ 🔵rate cuts⬇️ ⚫️markets up⬆️ Bitcoin and Crypto equal markets like DowJones NASDAQ and Co Chart 1 1972 - 1986 Chart 2 current situation - see update What do YOU expect in points of inflation? Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗 ⬇️⬇️⬇️ Likes and Follow for updates appreciated🤗 Disclaimer: Not financial advice Do your own research before investing The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
TVC:DJI
by Crypto4Everybody
1
$SPX 3 Day Chart 2008 GFC Crash OverlayHistory never repeats but sometimes rhymes right? 2008 MBS bubble dropped the S&P 500 56% from the ATH, assuming we have an everything bubble after 6+ Trillion QE injection since 2020, I see similarities to the Great Financial Crises. Powell made it very clear yesterday, more hikes for longer if inflation is not brought down to 2% target so how will they ever pivot without dropping inflation quickly? Inflation YOY around 7% "according to CPI" assures corporate earnings collapse going forward IMO, so I think the market is over priced Early Pivot or no Pivot. Laszlo, MMGinvest 12/15/2022
SP:SPX
by Laszlo-MMG
4
Why the CPI Report Matters and Could be a Bullish Catalyst As long as inflationary expectations remained low after Jerome's last speech where he spoke about softening the increase in interest rates, which may or may not be the case, there is a good chance that inflation ticks down. This would confirm a 50bp hike for December, easing monetary policy and providing room for equities to continue their rally. While I think a lower CPI report is more likely in the near-term than a tick up in inflation, with a possible higher than 50bp increase and a decline in equites, it could go either way. Later, when the lagging effects of QT are felt, I expect a further decline in the market as discussed in my previous thesis. It is also possible that inflation stays near its current 7.7%, in which case there may not be too large of a response in equity markets tomorrow. The bigger the move in CPI, the bigger the move in equites. VIX is inching up in anticipation of this binary event. I am linking this thesis with "long" because I believe the negative CPI trend will continue and result in a near-term rally, but this is only because I feel there is a higher probability of this occurring, not that it is by any means certain. InTheMoney
AMEX:SPYLong
by InTheMoneyAdam
8
Economic Outlook for 10-15 years aheadMy Economic Outlook for 10-15 years ahead The rare double-dip recession October CPI report shows Inflation slightly decreased to 7.7% and The Fed already made a statement to decrease The Fedfunds Rate. Potential Fed pivot approximately will occur in Q1 or Q2 of 2023. That will be the time of disinflationary period or maybe we are already in by now. What to be expected in disinflationary period is stock market drawdown will continue, rising unemployment, more business entities will collapse, fewer job openings, in short 2023 will be dark especially in the US. Technically it is a recession. The good news is inflation can be pushed back to 2% area and from there QE can be restarted. Most people that already tired by long economic drawdown are strongly craving for bull market. Productivity will rise again along with its economic and secondary leverage and a creeping up inflation leaving the 2% area. An inherent nature of capitalism. The question is what will be the destiny of Petrodollar as its losing control over the total international trade volume. The rapid change of global power dynamics which spearheaded by BRICS+ economy has substantially diminish the Dollar hegemony. The regional powers that have control over the world commodities are grouping up to create a new, commodity-backed currency. In addition to that there is a strongly rising tension between Russia and NATO. More than 50 years ago, the US left the Bretton-Woods System and to keep the US dollar relevant as global reserve currency, Petrodollar was introduced and rapidly embraced by the OPEC which consequently making the US Dollar became the world's most traded currency. That is the underlying value of the Dollar besides of debt. But the current astronomical $30+ Trillion of government debt and the weakening of Petrodollar globally has come to a critical question of what will be the next US decisive move? Chaos has to be applied first to disrupt any potential challenger to the US Dollar, and from there a revolutionary economic policy has to be implemented. Worst case scenario is the new Great Depression can manifest after almost 100 years since its first occurrence in 1929. Note: This economic outlook which also the same with any version of economic outlook is subject to a high degree of uncertainty. This post is mean for educational purpose only.
TVC:SPX
by derahmanov
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of December 9, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook Outer Index Rally 4140 is currently postponed. The downtrend sentiment points to a newly created Mean Res $3965, with the possibility of a support level of the Mean Sup 3860 emerging first as the primary target destination. The upside target to the Mean Sup 3965 is probable once the dip to the Mean Sup 3860 is completed. Of course, the question is always “Which way will this puppy break from the current position?”
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
1
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of December 9, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook: The euro dollar hit our target of the Mean Res 1.0585 twice this week. Advancement to the Key Res 1.0780 is getting more realistic and inevitable. The upcoming prevailing down path points to the new Mean Sup 1.0450 and extended Mean Sup 1.0330. However, once the current down sentiment occurs, a furious decline to the additional Mean Support levels may likely happen. Of course, the question is always “Which way will this puppy break from the current position?”
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 9, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook: Bitcoin is continuously (Very slowly) advancing toward our leading destination of the Mean Res $17,600 and subsequently to the Outer Coin Rally of $19,100: However, the pullback to Mean Sup $16,700 is very much likely before further upward advancement. The retest of the Key Sup $15,850 is low at this time, pending the above scenario being played out. Of course, the question is always “Which way will this puppy break from the current position?”
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin and US10Y-US02Y connectionUpdate on US10Y-US02Y Compare RVGI indicator❌cross and Bitcoin Still not a cross yet in the extreme area of this indicator that would mark a quite good entry for BTC But the next cross for a possible Entry point is ahead dear Crypto Nation💥🚀😎 Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗 ⬇️⬇️⬇️ Likes and Follow for updates appreciated🤗 Disclaimer: Not financial advice Do your own research before investing The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Crypto4Everybody
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of November 25, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook Outer Index Rally 4060's upside target (As shown on Chart Analysis For the Week of November 18) with the additional target is potential #2 Outer Index Rally 4140. The current sentiment is confirmed by the obsoletion of the Mean Res 3995; The downside target to the newly created Mean Sup 3948 is very probable before a major rally to the above outcome. The possibility of extension to Mean Sup 3745 and beyond is delayed in the foreseeable future.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
2
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of November 25, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook: Eurodollar declined to our Mean Sup 1.0285 as specified on the EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For November 18 chart followed by a rebound to strategic completed and retested Inner Currency Rally 1.0380. The current prevailing down path is pointing to the new Mean Sup 1.0237. The current down sentiment is prone to further declines: Mean Sup 1.014, 1.000, and 0.975. The down-trend projects for the Next Outer Currency Dip of 0.937 is being delayed.
by TradeSelecter
What are new-home sales and why do they matter to the economy?Upcoming week we have two important major events happening for the U.S , one of them is the new-home sales. But what exactly are new-home sales, and why do they matter? In this post, we'll break down what new-home sales are and explain why they're so important to the overall health of the economy. You also be more prepared and informed why the market moved in a certain way. Lets move on... What are new-home sales and why do they matter to the economy? New-home sales are a measure of trading activity in the market for newly built homes. The new-home sales data are important leading indicators of economic activity, providing timely information on changes in the demand for new homes, which directly affects decisions regarding investment, production, and employment. The data on new-home sales also provide valuable information on the market fundamentals that are shaping trading conditions in the market for newly built homes. The data can be used to inform decision-making about pricing, product mix, and other strategic considerations. In addition, the data can be used to assess market conditions and identify emerging trends. As such, new-home sales data are an important tool for monitoring and understanding the health of the economy.‍ See historical graph here: fred.stlouisfed.org Impact of new-home sales When new-home sales activity levels rise, it has a positive impact on the economy as a whole. For consumers, this increased activity level leads to currency being put back into circulation. When builders see an increase in new-home sales, they are able to reinvest that currency into building more homes, which in turn provides more jobs for other industry players. The increased activity also has a positive impact on the stock market and it's currency, as builders and other companies who stocks are traded publicly see their stock prices increase. This provides more stability in the markets and can lead to more investors feeling confident about putting their money into the markets. Ultimately, when new-home sales activity levels increase, it provides a boost to the economy as a whole.‍ New-home sales are an important economic indicator because they signal overall consumer confidence and spending. Increased new-home sales activity levels have a ripple effect throughout the economy, benefiting consumers, builders, and other industry players. We shall see what impact the new-home sales will have this week on EURUSD. We can currently see we are stuck in a range between support and resistance - let's see what the week will bring. Trade safe around these hours! Cheers.
Education
by vuetratrading
7
Bitcoin in connection to Home Sales 🚨🚨Update: Bitcoin in connection to Home Sales We just saw a channel break dear Crypto Nation - last time seen at Corona sell-off🚨🚨 If Home Sales find the way back into the channel BTC might recover as well Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗 ⬇️⬇️⬇️ Likes and Follow for updates appreciated🤗 Disclaimer: Not financial advice Do your own research before investing The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
ECONOMICS:USEHS
by Crypto4Everybody
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of November 18, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook Outer Index Rally 4060's upside target (As shown on Chart Analysis For the Week of November 11) is currently in progress along with potential #2 Outer Index Rally 4140; however, the newly created Mean Res 3995 is in the interim a roadblock. The downside selected target to Mean Sup 3915 is very high once the completion(s) is triggered, with the possibility of extension to Mean Sup 3745 and beyond - in the foreseeable future.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of November 18, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook: Following the strong Eurodollar rebound the previous week, the currency completed our designated target of the Inner Currency Rally 1.038 this week, as specified on the EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For November 11 chart. Since completing the target, the Eurodollar is in retreat mode to Mean Sup 1.0285, potentially followed to a completed Inner Currency Rally of 1.038 retests one more time. The prevailing down move is prone to pull back to our additional Mean Sup 1.014, 1.000, and 0.975. The down-trend projects for the Next Outer Currency Dip of 0.937 for the foreseeable future is being reignited.
by TradeSelecter