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EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 18, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar experienced sustained bearish sentiment again during this week's trading session, with the prevailing selling pressure completing our Inner Currency Dip of 1.083. A transient rebound is in progress to the Mean Res 1.090. However, considering the current bearish price action, the probability of further declines to the support level of 1.079 and the next Inner Currency Dip of 1.075 remains substantial.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 18, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Bitcoin ''Interim Rebound'' rammed through our Mean Res 66300 and Inner Coin Rally 67000 and rested at our Mean Res 68500 in this week's trading session, and it is currently poised to hit Inner Coin Rally 69300. A breach of this critical price level will catalyze a movement towards the all-time prices marked as Key Res 73200 and the completed Main Inner Coin Rally 73300. However, on the downside, the interim bearish sentiment may lead to a decline in the coin's price value to the Mean Support level of 66800 and possibly the Mean Support of 65300. Only then will the primary recovery and advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement be realized.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
$CNGDPYY - China's GDP (Q3/2024)ECONOMICS:CNGDPYY Q3/2024 source: National Bureau of Statistics of China -The Chinese economy expanded 4.6% YoY in Q3 of 2024, compared with market forecasts of 4.5% and a 4.7% rise in Q2. It marked the slowest annual growth rate since Q1 2023, amid persistent property weakness, shaky domestic demand, deflation risks, and trade frictions with the West. The latest figures came as Beijing had intensified stimulus measures to boost economic recovery and rebuild confidence. In September alone, there were some positive signs: industrial output and retail sales both saw their largest increases in four months, and the urban jobless rate fell to a three-month low of 5.1%. On the trade front, however, exports rose the least in five months while imports were sluggish. In the first three quarters of the year, the economy grew by 4.8%, compared with China’s full-year target of around 5%. During the period, fixed investment rose by 3.4% yoy, topping consensus of 3.3%.
ECONOMICS:CNGDPYY
by Mr_J__fx
$JPIRYY -Japan's CPI (September/2024)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY 2.5% (September/2024) source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications - The annual inflation rate in Japan fell to 2.5% in September 2024 from 3.0% in the prior month, marking the lowest reading since April. Electricity prices increased the least in three months as the impact of energy subsidy removal in May waned (15.2% vs. 26.2% in August), and the cost of gas rose much more slowly (7.7% vs. 11.1%). Moreover, costs moderated for food (3.4% vs. 3.6%), furniture & household utensils (4.8% vs. 5.2%), transport (0.1% vs. 0.2%), and culture (4.3% vs. 4.8%). Additionally, prices fell further for communication (-2.6% vs. -2.4%) and education (-1.0% vs. -1.0%). On the other hand, inflation remained unchanged for housing (0.7%) and healthcare (1.5%), while edging higher for clothes (2.4% vs. 2.3%) and miscellaneous (0.9% vs. 0.8%). Meanwhile, the core inflation rate hit a five-month low of 2.4%, down from August's 2.8%, compared with the consensus of 2.3%. On a monthly basis, the CPI declined by 0.3%, pointing to the first drop since February 2023.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$EUINTR -Europe Interest Rates ECONOMICS:EUINTR (October/2024) source: European Central Bank - The ECB lowered its three key interest rates by 25 bps in October 2024, as expected, following similar moves in September and June. The deposit facility, main refinancing operations, and marginal lending facility rates will now be 3.25%, 3.40%, and 3.65%, respectively. This decision stems from an updated assessment of inflation, which shows disinflation progressing well. In September, inflation in the Eurozone fell below the ECB’s target of 2% for the first time in more than three years. While inflation is expected to rise in the short term, it should decline toward the 2% target in 2025. Wage growth remains high, but pressures are easing. The ECB remains committed to restrictive rates to ensure inflation reaches its medium-term goal, using a data-driven, flexible approach without committing to a specific rate path.
ECONOMICS:EUINTR
by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY -U.K CPI (September/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 1.7% source: Office for National Statistics -Annual inflation rate in the UK fell to 1.7% in September 2024, the lowest since April 2021, compared to 2.2% in each of the previous two months and forecasts of 1.9%. The largest downward contribution came from transport (-2.2% vs 1.3%), namely air fares and motor fuels. Fares usually reduce in price between August and September, but this year this was the fifth largest fall since monthly data began in 2001. Also, the average price of petrol fell to 136.8 pence per litre compared to 153.6 pence per litre in September 2023. In addition, prices continued to fall for housing and utilities (-1.7% vs -1.6%) and furniture and household equipment (-1% vs -1.3%) and cost rose less for recreation and culture (3.8% vs 4%) and restaurants and hotels (4.1% vs 4.3%). Meanwhile, services inflation slowed to 4.9%, the lowest since May 2022, from 5.6% in August. On the other hand, the largest offsetting upward contribution came from food and non-alcoholic beverages (1.9% vs 1.3%).
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$CNIRYY -China's CPI (September/2024)ECONOMICS:CNIRYY Inflation Data (September/2024) source: National Bureau of Statistics of China -China’s annual inflation rate stood at 0.4% in September 2024, below market forecasts and August’s figure of 0.6%. This was the 8th month of consumer inflation but was the lowest print since June, highlighting the need for more policy support from Beijing to address growing deflation risks. Non-food prices declined by 0.2%, following a 0.2% rise in August as the cost of transport shrank further (-4.1% vs -2.7%) due to lower crude oil prices. Also, housing prices edged down (-0.1% vs flat reading) amid government efforts to further regulate the property market. Meanwhile, cost slowed for health (1.2% vs 1.3%) and education (0.6% vs 1.3%). On the food side, prices rose for the second month, with the rate of increase the fastest in 20 months (3.3% vs 2.8%). Core consumer prices, excluding food and energy costs, increased 0.1% yoy, the smallest rise since February 2021, after a 0.3% gain in August. Monthly, the CPI was unchanged, compared with consensus and August’s print of a 0.4% rise.
ECONOMICS:CNIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 11, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the previous week's Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of October 4, it was observed that the index maintained considerable strength at the Mean Sup 5700 on Monday. The remaining days of the weekly trading sessions have demonstrated substantial and vigorous progress, surpassing the previously completed Inner Index Rally at 5763 and its progress towards the Outer Index Rally at 5840. The upcoming trading session will demonstrate further sentiment regarding the bullish sentiment to hit the 5840 target. However, recognizing that achieving the 5840 mark will incite a volatile downward price action is crucial.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 11, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar experienced sustained bearish sentiment during this week's trading session, reaching our reignited Inner Currency Dip of 1.090. The prevailing selling pressure towards the support level of 1.079 is temporarily halted. A transient rebound is anticipated due to the significance of completing the Inner Currency Dip. However, considering the current bearish price action, the probability of further declines to the support level of 1.079 remains substantial.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 11, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Bitcoin "Interim Squeeze" channel underwent retesting during this week's trading session. It exhibited upward movement to Mean Res 64000 and subsequent downward movement to Mean Sup 60200, and it is currently poised to return to Mean Res 64000. A breach of this critical resistance level will catalyze a movement towards the Inner Coin Rally 67000 target, accompanied by further upward momentum, with the primary objective being the subsequent Inner Coin Rally identified at 69300. However, failure to achieve this rally will result in a downside interim bearish sentiment, leading to a decline in the coin's price to the Mean Support level of 58000 and possibly an Inner Coin Dip of 55500. Only then will the primary recovery and advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement be realized.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 4, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the preceding week's Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of Sep 27, the index adhered to the anticipated behavior by attaining the robust support level at Mean Sup 5700. This notable resurgence in the primary trend will likely prompt a robust bull movement toward the completed Inner Index Rally at 5763, with a high probability of surpassing it and progressing towards the awaited Outer Index Rally at 5840 within the upcoming trading session. It is imperative to acknowledge that reaching these objectives will trigger a volatile downward sentiment price action.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 4, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar exhibited significant bearish sentiment during this week's trading session, and uncertainty prevailed regarding the currency trajectory amid Dead-Cat rebound activity. Three critical support levels were breached: Mean Support at 1.111, 1.108, and 1.101, ultimately stabilizing at the pivotal Mean Support of 1.097. The prevailing short-term buying pressure propels the currency towards a potential upward movement to the Mean Resistance level of 1.103. Nevertheless, the likelihood of further declines to the supplementary Inner Currency Dip at 1.090 remains strong, given the current interim price action.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 4, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The "Interim Squeeze" of Bitcoin has witnessed a significant decline to our Mean Support levels at 64400 and 63100, as well as the newly established 60200. On the upside, the cryptocurrency is approaching the critical Mean Resistance level of 64000. A breach of this pivotal level will trigger the movement to the Inner Coin Rally 67000 target, accompanied by further upward momentum, with the primary objective being the subsequent Inner Coin Rally identified at 69300. Nevertheless, the prevailing market interim bearish sentiment anticipates a drop to the Mean Support level at 58000, with the potential for an extension to the Inner Coin Dip 55500 before initiating the primary recovery and progressing into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
CNY/USD Trend since 06 2007. Channel. Reversal zone.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. At the moment, the currency is stronger than the dollar. The main trend is a descending channel. The price is in it now. Secondary trend — breakout of the descending trend line. Price growth to the median of the channel, and in case of its breakthrough, to the resistance. If not, then a pullback to the lower zone of the channel. Local trend — The nearest events and news background, which can affect (not necessarily) locally (movements to the median of the channel, i.e., the middle, if it is positive) on the yuan rate. This, in less than 1 month, namely from October 22 to 24, 2024 will be held 7.16 XVI BRICS summit (short for Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) in Russia in Kazan. Line graph for visualization.
Long
by SpartaBTC
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S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index has recently exhibited a classic gap-fill pattern, reaching 5739 with an adjusted Index Rally to 5763 during the current week's trading sessions. However, there is a strong likelihood of a retracement to the newly established Mean Support at 5700 in the upcoming week. This potential retracement could lead to a further descent to the subsequent Mean Support level at 5620, potentially disrupting the current trajectory. Conversely, a substantial rebound to the Outer Index Rally at 5840 may intercept an anticipated downward trend, nullifying the projected decline.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the recent weekly market activity, Bitcoin surpassed the completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900 but encountered resistance before reaching the subsequent significant target, which was noted at 67000. However, the prevailing market sentiment suggests a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 64400, with the possibility of an extension before commencing the primary recovery and advancing into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the current week's trading sessions, the S&P 500 Index has demonstrated significant fluctuations, breaching the Mean Resistance level of 5648 and attaining the Inner Index Rally level of 5666 and the Key Resistance level of 5667. The index is on the verge of achieving the targeted Inner Index Rally at 5739. Yet, a potential retraction to 5620 in the upcoming week's session, with the prospect of further descent to the subsequent Mean Support indicated at 5552, could disrupt this progression. Conversely, an expected downward trend may be intercepted by the realization of a robust rebound to the Inner Index Rally at 5739, negating the anticipated decline.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar has displayed significant volatility within the defined range of Mean Support at 1.101 and Key Resistance at 1.119. This behavior reflects uncertainty regarding the currency's trajectory amidst the ongoing Dead-Cat rebound activity. The prevailing transient buying pressure is steering the currency towards a downward retreat to the support level of 1.111, with potential further retreats to supplementary support levels at 1.108 and 1.101 in light of the ongoing interim price movement.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The current market activity exhibits a robust recovery from our Mean Support level at 57300, surpassing the Mean Resistance of 60500. It is poised to achieve our secondary rebound target: the Completed Interim Coin Rally denoted at 64500. Nonetheless, prevailing market sentiment suggests a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 61900 before initiating the primary recovery and progressing into the subsequent phase to retest our completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900 and beyond.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter