$GBIRYY -U.K CPI (September/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 1.7%
source: Office for National Statistics
-Annual inflation rate in the UK fell to 1.7% in September 2024, the lowest since April 2021, compared to 2.2% in each of the previous two months and forecasts of 1.9%.
The largest downward contribution came from transport (-2.2% vs 1.3%), namely air fares and motor fuels.
Fares usually reduce in price between August and September, but this year this was the fifth largest fall since monthly data began in 2001.
Also, the average price of petrol fell to 136.8 pence per litre compared to 153.6 pence per litre in September 2023.
In addition, prices continued to fall for housing and utilities (-1.7% vs -1.6%) and furniture and household equipment (-1% vs -1.3%) and cost rose less for recreation and culture (3.8% vs 4%) and restaurants and hotels (4.1% vs 4.3%).
Meanwhile, services inflation slowed to 4.9%, the lowest since May 2022, from 5.6% in August. On the other hand, the largest offsetting upward contribution came from food and non-alcoholic beverages (1.9% vs 1.3%).
Economy
$CNIRYY -China's CPI (September/2024)ECONOMICS:CNIRYY
Inflation Data (September/2024)
source: National Bureau of Statistics of China
-China’s annual inflation rate stood at 0.4% in September 2024,
below market forecasts and August’s figure of 0.6%.
This was the 8th month of consumer inflation but was the lowest print since June,
highlighting the need for more policy support from Beijing to address growing deflation risks.
Non-food prices declined by 0.2%, following a 0.2% rise in August as the cost of transport shrank further (-4.1% vs -2.7%) due to lower crude oil prices.
Also, housing prices edged down (-0.1% vs flat reading) amid government efforts to further regulate the property market. Meanwhile, cost slowed for health (1.2% vs 1.3%) and education (0.6% vs 1.3%).
On the food side, prices rose for the second month, with the rate of increase the fastest in 20 months (3.3% vs 2.8%).
Core consumer prices, excluding food and energy costs, increased 0.1% yoy, the smallest rise since February 2021, after a 0.3% gain in August. Monthly, the CPI was unchanged, compared with consensus and August’s print of a 0.4% rise.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 11, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the previous week's Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of October 4, it was observed that the index maintained considerable strength at the Mean Sup 5700 on Monday. The remaining days of the weekly trading sessions have demonstrated substantial and vigorous progress, surpassing the previously completed Inner Index Rally at 5763 and its progress towards the Outer Index Rally at 5840. The upcoming trading session will demonstrate further sentiment regarding the bullish sentiment to hit the 5840 target. However, recognizing that achieving the 5840 mark will incite a volatile downward price action is crucial.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 11, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar experienced sustained bearish sentiment during this week's trading session, reaching our reignited Inner Currency Dip of 1.090. The prevailing selling pressure towards the support level of 1.079 is temporarily halted. A transient rebound is anticipated due to the significance of completing the Inner Currency Dip. However, considering the current bearish price action, the probability of further declines to the support level of 1.079 remains substantial.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 11, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Bitcoin "Interim Squeeze" channel underwent retesting during this week's trading session. It exhibited upward movement to Mean Res 64000 and subsequent downward movement to Mean Sup 60200, and it is currently poised to return to Mean Res 64000. A breach of this critical resistance level will catalyze a movement towards the Inner Coin Rally 67000 target, accompanied by further upward momentum, with the primary objective being the subsequent Inner Coin Rally identified at 69300. However, failure to achieve this rally will result in a downside interim bearish sentiment, leading to a decline in the coin's price to the Mean Support level of 58000 and possibly an Inner Coin Dip of 55500. Only then will the primary recovery and advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement be realized.
$USSIRY -U.S CPI (September/2024)ECONOMICS:USIRYY
US Inflation Rate Slows Less Than Expected
source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
-The annual inflation rate in the US slowed to 2.4% in September,
the lowest since February 2021 but surpassing market expectations of 2.3%.
Compared to the previous month, the CPI increased by 0.2%, the same as in August.
Meanwhile, annual core inflation unexpectedly rose to 3.3%, while the monthly gauge remined at 0.3%.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 4, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the preceding week's Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of Sep 27, the index adhered to the anticipated behavior by attaining the robust support level at Mean Sup 5700. This notable resurgence in the primary trend will likely prompt a robust bull movement toward the completed Inner Index Rally at 5763, with a high probability of surpassing it and progressing towards the awaited Outer Index Rally at 5840 within the upcoming trading session. It is imperative to acknowledge that reaching these objectives will trigger a volatile downward sentiment price action.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 4, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar exhibited significant bearish sentiment during this week's trading session, and uncertainty prevailed regarding the currency trajectory amid Dead-Cat rebound activity. Three critical support levels were breached: Mean Support at 1.111, 1.108, and 1.101, ultimately stabilizing at the pivotal Mean Support of 1.097. The prevailing short-term buying pressure propels the currency towards a potential upward movement to the Mean Resistance level of 1.103. Nevertheless, the likelihood of further declines to the supplementary Inner Currency Dip at 1.090 remains strong, given the current interim price action.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 4, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The "Interim Squeeze" of Bitcoin has witnessed a significant decline to our Mean Support levels at 64400 and 63100, as well as the newly established 60200. On the upside, the cryptocurrency is approaching the critical Mean Resistance level of 64000. A breach of this pivotal level will trigger the movement to the Inner Coin Rally 67000 target, accompanied by further upward momentum, with the primary objective being the subsequent Inner Coin Rally identified at 69300. Nevertheless, the prevailing market interim bearish sentiment anticipates a drop to the Mean Support level at 58000, with the potential for an extension to the Inner Coin Dip 55500 before initiating the primary recovery and progressing into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement.
CNY/USD Trend since 06 2007. Channel. Reversal zone.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. At the moment, the currency is stronger than the dollar.
The main trend is a descending channel. The price is in it now.
Secondary trend — breakout of the descending trend line. Price growth to the median of the channel, and in case of its breakthrough, to the resistance. If not, then a pullback to the lower zone of the channel.
Local trend — The nearest events and news background, which can affect (not necessarily) locally (movements to the median of the channel, i.e., the middle, if it is positive) on the yuan rate. This, in less than 1 month, namely from October 22 to 24, 2024 will be held 7.16 XVI BRICS summit (short for Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) in Russia in Kazan.
Line graph for visualization.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index has recently exhibited a classic gap-fill pattern, reaching 5739 with an adjusted Index Rally to 5763 during the current week's trading sessions. However, there is a strong likelihood of a retracement to the newly established Mean Support at 5700 in the upcoming week. This potential retracement could lead to a further descent to the subsequent Mean Support level at 5620, potentially disrupting the current trajectory. Conversely, a substantial rebound to the Outer Index Rally at 5840 may intercept an anticipated downward trend, nullifying the projected decline.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the recent weekly market activity, Bitcoin surpassed the completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900 but encountered resistance before reaching the subsequent significant target, which was noted at 67000. However, the prevailing market sentiment suggests a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 64400, with the possibility of an extension before commencing the primary recovery and advancing into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the current week's trading sessions, the S&P 500 Index has demonstrated significant fluctuations, breaching the Mean Resistance level of 5648 and attaining the Inner Index Rally level of 5666 and the Key Resistance level of 5667. The index is on the verge of achieving the targeted Inner Index Rally at 5739. Yet, a potential retraction to 5620 in the upcoming week's session, with the prospect of further descent to the subsequent Mean Support indicated at 5552, could disrupt this progression. Conversely, an expected downward trend may be intercepted by the realization of a robust rebound to the Inner Index Rally at 5739, negating the anticipated decline.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar has displayed significant volatility within the defined range of Mean Support at 1.101 and Key Resistance at 1.119. This behavior reflects uncertainty regarding the currency's trajectory amidst the ongoing Dead-Cat rebound activity. The prevailing transient buying pressure is steering the currency towards a downward retreat to the support level of 1.111, with potential further retreats to supplementary support levels at 1.108 and 1.101 in light of the ongoing interim price movement.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The current market activity exhibits a robust recovery from our Mean Support level at 57300, surpassing the Mean Resistance of 60500. It is poised to achieve our secondary rebound target: the Completed Interim Coin Rally denoted at 64500. Nonetheless, prevailing market sentiment suggests a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 61900 before initiating the primary recovery and progressing into the subsequent phase to retest our completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900 and beyond.
$USINTR -Fed Cuts Rates by 50 BPS ECONOMICS:USINTR
- The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate by 50bps to 4.75%-5% in light of the progress on inflation and the balance of risks.
It is the first rate cut since March 2020 after holding it for more than a year at its highest level in two decades.
Will Feds decision of cutting 50bps tumble the markets in spite of fear for U.S and Global Markets indicating Recession brewing around the corner ?
$GBIRYY CPI (August/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY CPI Data (August/2024)
'UK Inflation Rate Steady at 2.2%'
source: Office for National Statistics
- Annual inflation rate ( ECONOMICS:GBIRYY ) in the UK steadied at 2.2% in August 2024,
the same as in July, and in line with expectations.
The largest upward contribution came from air fares while the biggest downward contributions came from prices for motor fuels, and restaurants and hotels.
Compared to the previous month, the CPI rose 0.3%,
following a 0.2% fall in July and also matching expectations.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout the trading sessions of the current week, the S&P 500 Index has exhibited notable resilience, demonstrating a movement toward the Mean Resistance level of 5648 and the Key Resistance, and completed the Inner Index Rally level of 5666. A resilient rebound to this level in the upcoming week’s session is highly likely, with the possibility of further movement to the subsequent Inner Index Rally at 5739. Conversely, an anticipated downward movement toward the targeted Mean Support level of 5557 is expected upon achieving a resilient rebound.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar exhibited a modest decline, briefly breaching the predefined support level of 1.103 and decisively transitioning to the freshly established resistance level of 1.110. The transient selling propels the currency downwards to the support level of 1.101, with a potential extension to the supplementary support levels of 1.097 and 1.091 amidst the interim price movement.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The recent market activity demonstrated a resilient rebound from our Key Support level at 53000, surpassing the Mean Resistance levels at 56700 and 59700 and peaking at the newly established Mean Resistance level at 60500. Current market sentiment indicates a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 57300 before initiating the primary rekindled rebound and progressing into the second phase to retest our completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900.
DIA bear put spreadMY GAMBLE, Fed is NOT cutting rates next week. (No chance) 0
This would be seen as Election/political interference. The markets have been going up nicely the last week and I want to play some bear positions.
There is no weakness in employment
And inflation is present and not at 2% target.
IF THEY cut rates, they will have to 'make up a reason'.
$EUINTR -ECB Cuts Interest Rates for 2nd Time
- The European Central Bank cut the key deposit interest rate by 25bps to 3.5% as expected, after a similar reduction in June, and a pause in July, reflecting an updated inflation outlook and better transmission of policy.
At the same time, the interest rates on the main refinancing operations and the marginal lending facility were lowered to 3.65% and 3.90% respectively.
source: European Central Bank