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USD/JPY may squeeze if Fed delivers dovish disappointmentUSD/JPY looms as a prime squeeze candidate should the Fed disappoint on extremely dovish market pricing, not only likely to benefit from the probable uplift in US bond yields but also recent shifts in market positioning. USD/JPY staged a decent reversal on Monday after slicing through the Dec 28 low of 140.273, printing a hammer candle on the daily. With RSI (14) nearing oversold territory and breaking the downtrend it’s been in since the start of September, directional risks may be shifting. I’m not rushing into a long trade just yet, but I am keen to see whether the price holds above 140.273 today. If it does, longs could be established with a stop around 139.60 for protection. Make sure you keep positioning front of mind given how volatile the pair has been recently. 143.63 looms as a suitable trade target with only minor resistance at 141.73 located in between. Good luck! DS
Long
by FOREXcom
11
The key to starting a trade is support and resistance points Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- As you study candles, you will learn about trend reversal sections. Therefore, rather than learning the shapes or patterns of candles, when you study them, you will be able to see the support and resistance points and sections made up of the selling area and trend reversal sections in a big picture. Therefore, rather than trying to memorize the shapes or arrangements of candles, it is important to see whether support and resistance points and sections are formed when such shapes, arrangements, and patterns appear. The same goes for other studies related to charts. - As you study candles, you will find that what you have studied appears in the sections where candles are gathered. These areas are drawn as horizontal lines to indicate support and resistance points. However, objective information is needed to conduct trading on the horizontal lines drawn like this. Otherwise, even the support and resistance points you drew will likely become useless lines if you conduct barrack trading because you don't trust them. Be careful because your psychological state will interfere with analyzing the chart. - The easiest way to obtain this objective information is the Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart. The Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart help you check the trend because they show fewer fakes and sweeps. (Heikin Ashi chart) (Renko chart) Among these, you can immediately see that the Renko chart is a bit easier to find support and resistance points. - You can think of the points near the end of the blocks on the Renko chart as having strong support and resistance points. Therefore, among the horizontal lines drawn on the chart above, the 2800.0 and 4000.0 points are the end points of three blocks, so they can be seen as strong support and resistance points. If you change the Renko chart to a regular candle chart, you can clearly see that it will form support and resistance points or sections. However, since the Renko chart changes the price in blocks, it is difficult to trade at this point. Therefore, the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart is good to use when analyzing the chart, but it is difficult to trade. - To compensate for this, we created a horizontal line at the price position using indicators (StochRSI, OBV, CCI, RSI) that have been used for a long time. The horizontal line connected to the current candle position plays the role of the current support and resistance point. And, since the longer the horizontal line, the stronger the support and resistance role, you can see that it plays the role of support and resistance even if it is not connected to the current candle. - The support and resistance points drawn on the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart are difficult to use for trading, but you can easily check the support and resistance section by looking at only the 1D chart. However, in order to display support and resistance points with a general candle chart, support and resistance points must be displayed on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. And, the order of charts with strong support and resistance is 1M > 1W > 1D charts. - When you look at the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts using the HA-MS indicator, horizontal lines like the above are displayed. You can display them by changing the line type or line thickness to make them easier to see and then proceed with trading. ---------------------------------------------------------------- The above content corresponds to the method of finding support and resistance points included in general chart-related books. Of course, it is different from the explanation in the chart-related book, but I explained how to use indicators to more clearly indicate support and resistance points. - Even if you trade with the support and resistance points above, it will not work well when you actually trade. This is because you are not familiar with the most important trading strategy in trading. In conclusion, the most important thing is to create a trading strategy, rather than finding the support and resistance points explained above, looking at the trend line, or looking at indicators. However, it is very difficult to create a trading strategy that fits your investment style from the beginning. So, you should practice creating a trading strategy that suits you while trading based on the information of the objective chart. In order to trade, you need to decide on the following three things: 1. Investment period 2. Investment size 3. Trading method and profit realization method The above three things must be determined. No. 1 and 2 are determined according to your investment style. Therefore, it is recommended not to change No. 1 and 2 after you start trading. 3. Based on the information of the actual chart, the buy section, sell section, and stop loss point are determined. In addition, the profit realization method can be determined according to the investment period. The profit realization method is: 1. How to get cash profit 2. How to increase the coin (token) corresponding to the profit There are methods 1 and 2 above. - In order to create a trading strategy, it is important to display all the information you want on the chart before starting the transaction. If you do not, and then display lines on the chart after starting the transaction, psychological factors will be added and displayed, so the possibility of not trusting the lines drawn after starting the transaction increases. To prevent this, it does not matter if you use the indicator added to the HA-MS indicator. The reason is because it is objective information. You should increase profits or reduce losses by adjusting the investment ratio while conducting the transaction using this objective information. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
4
SILVER | THE BIGGEST CUP & HANDLE OF ALL TIME!Apple’s Cup and Handle pattern in the early 2000s is often cited as one of the most significant. After a prolonged downtrend, Apple formed a large cup with a handle from 2000 to 2005, which, after breaking out, has continued to appreciate to this very day. However, Apple's pattern is nothing compared to the current Cup & Handle pattern that exists in silver, whether in size or price. I truly believe that silver is currently the most undervalued asset and will not only attain higher prices than most can imagine but will also rapidly begin to appreciate against gold, which currently has a ratio of 83.75 to 1. This ratio is irrational and unsustainable, as gold and silver are typically mined at a ratio of around 10 to 1. Even current U.S. Treasury Mint coins—Silver Eagles and Gold Eagles—have a current exchange rate of 50 to 1 at face value. Historically, under the gold standard and the Coinage Act of 1834, the ratio was set at 16 to 1. Although this will not happen overnight and could take a decade or more to come to fruition, the unnatural and irrationally low price of silver is coming to an end. The overinflated gold-to-silver ratio will continue to fall as price manipulation ends and true price discovery begins.
TVC:SILVERLong
by MetaShackle
39
You are not optimistic enough about #BTC!The US presidential elections, held every four years, are completely compatible with the CRYPTOCAP:BTC mega bull cycle! After the presidential elections held in 2012\2016 and most recently in November 2020, #bitcoin transitioned to the mega bull process! The issue of high interest rates on the Fed's side has now come to an end. With the easing of interest rates and the presidential election to be held in November, #Bitcoin will transition to the mega bull process!
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by EtherNasyonaL
51
Is your ETH and SOL working for you !?The crypto market never sleeps which means leaving your holdings stagnant could mean missing out on significant opportunities. So it’s time to ask yourself: Are your assets maximizing their potential, or are they just gathering virtual dust? You wouldn’t leave all your money in a low interest savings account, so why do it with your crypto? The idea is to put your investments to work, so they keep earning returns without you lifting a finger. I’ll walk you through exactly how to read it and use it to your advantage. But that’s just the beginning, we’ll also be covering: -Yield strategies: A breakdown of the strategies we use to generate yield. -Pros and cons: The advantages and drawbacks of each strategy. Not sure what options are best for you? Are you letting your capital sit idle? Worried about security risks? This analysis is about to change that .I’ll show you how to maximize your returns and crush those security fears, so you can confidently put your assets to work Let's dive right in and kick things off with the ‘crowd favorite’ of yield strategies: staking Staking is exclusive to Proof of Stake (PoS) blockchains and their associated tokens. Meaning you cannot gain staking yield from Bitcoin, for example, because it is a Proof of Work (PoW) blockchain. by staking your tokens like CRYPTOCAP:ETH or CRYPTOCAP:SOL , you receive a portion of newly minted tokens, effectively earning yield while playing a vital role in securing the network. If you’re not staking, you could be missing out on significant gains, with potential returns ranging from 3% to 18% APY. that’s why many investors choose to stake their assets rather than let them sit idle Staking has become a widely adopted strategy, with staking ratios (amount staked vs. unstaked) sitting between 20% and 80% on most POS blockchains In fact, a staggering $520 billion is currently staked across the top PoS blockchains, underscoring its popularity as a method for generating additional income. Assuming an average 5% reward rate, that equates to $25 billion in staking rewards. That’s massive. Despite the appeal of earning extra income through staking, becoming a solo staker can be technically challenging which is why staking providers like Lido, Rocket Pool, and Jito have emerged. They handle network validation for the rest of us, while maximizing our staking yield. Let’s break down the pros and cons of using a staking provider: Pros: ✅ Security and efficiency: Our tokens are put to work securely and efficiently, contributing to the network’s security without us having to manage it all ourselves. ✅ Maximized rewards: We earn the majority of staking rewards without needing to handle the technical complexities, making it a hassle-free way to generate income. ✅ Liquidity retention: We receive liquid tokens as proof of our staked assets, allowing us to stay flexible and use them in other DeFi opportunities. Cons: ❌ Fees: These providers typically charge a fee ranging from 8% to 25% for their validation services, which can slightly reduce your overall yield. ❌ Smart contract risks: There are inherent risks associated with smart contracts, such as bugs and/or vulnerabilities, that could potentially impact your staked assets. By weighing these pros and cons, you can decide whether outsourcing your staking through liquid staking providers is the right strategy for you. Ok, so if that’s the case how do we go about choosing the right liquid staking provider? Here are some key factors to consider when selecting a provider: 1/ Reputation and security Track record: Look for providers with a solid track record and a strong reputation in the DeFi space. Security measures: Ensure the provider employs robust security measures, such as smart contract audits. 2/ Total volume locked TVL: Check how much liquidity your chosen provider has attracted. TVL is a quick and effective measure of the broader market's trust in a provider, as it reflects the total amount of assets currently staked or locked in their protocol, valued in dollars. Feel free to use DefiLlama, which ranks all liquid staking providers by TVL. Simply select the blockchain you’re interested in, and you’ll see the top players in the space, giving you a clear view of where the most assets are being staked and which providers are leading the market. 3/ Yield rates Competitive yields: Compare the staking yields offered by different providers. While higher yields are attractive, they should not come at the expense of security or reliability. Fee structure: Be aware of the fee structure. Liquid staking providers typically charge a small fee for their services, which can impact your overall returns. 4/ Liquidity and flexibility Liquid staking tokens (LSTs): Check if the liquid tokens issued by the provider are widely accepted across DeFi platforms and have enough liquidity. The more integration and liquidity these tokens have, the better. Redemption options: Some providers offer instant or flexible redemption options for your staked tokens, which can be crucial if you need quick access to your assets. 5/ Decentralization and governance Decentralization: Providers that are more decentralized tend to be more resilient to risks such as regulatory actions or central points of failure. Governance participation: Some providers offer governance rights with their tokens, allowing you to have a say in the protocol’s future direction. This can be an added benefit for those interested in being more involved in the ecosystem. 6/ Community and support Active Community: A strong, active community can be a good indicator of a provider’s health and future prospects. Engage with the community to gauge the level of transparency and support. so while you trading and trying to maximize your gains Its good to stake some of your HODL bag as well
Education
by moonypto
2
EdTech Unicorn Stride Surges: Strong Financials Fuel Rally!The EdTech revolution is progressing rapidly! As technology advances, internet access grows swiftly, and students seek innovative learning methods, the global EdTech market is flourishing. North America currently holds a significant 37.3% share, but regions such as the Middle East and Africa, Europe, and Asia-Pacific are gaining ground, fueled by government support, digital literacy, and a burgeoning middle class. It's an exciting time for digital learning, and there's even more to look forward to! ◉ EdTech Market Growth Outlook ➖ Valuation projected to rise from $220.5 million in 2023 to $810.3 million by 2033. ➖ Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.9%. ◉ Government Initiatives Supporting EdTech Sector The US Department of Education has allocated $277 million in new grants through the Education Innovation and Research program to enhance educational equity and innovation, particularly in areas affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, specifically focusing on STEM education and rural regions. Recognizing the enormous opportunity in EdTech, we're examining a stock that exhibits remarkable growth potential within the sector. ◉ Company Overview Stride Inc. NYSE:LRN is a tech-driven education service provider offering proprietary and third-party online curricula, software, and services in the U.S. and globally. Their products support personalized learning for K-12 students through virtual and blended public schools, individual online courses, and supplemental materials in subjects like math, English, science, and history. Stride also emphasizes career learning in fields such as IT, healthcare, and business, and operates tuition-based private schools. Additionally, they provide post-secondary programs in software engineering and healthcare under brands like Galvanize and Tech Elevator, along with staffing services. Rebranded from K12 Inc. in December 2020, Stride has been incorporated since 1999 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia. Investent Advice by Naranj Capital Buy Stride NYSE:LRN ● Buy Range- 77 - 80 ● Target- 115 - 120 ● Potential Return- 45% - 50% ● Invest Duration- 12-18 Months ◉ Market Capitalization - $3.31 B ◉ Peer Companies ➖ Graham Holdings NYSE:GHC - $3.23 B ➖ Adtalem Global Education NYSE:ATGE - $2.67 B ➖ Grand Canyon Education NASDAQ:LOPE - $4.04 B ➖ Laureate Education NASDAQ:LAUR - $2.25 B ◉ Technical Aspects ● Monthly ➖ The stock price initially faced resistance at $40 in 2011 but later found support at $17. ➖ Despite several attempts to break through resistance, the stock experienced significant declines. ➖ However, after a 12-year period, it finally broke out and rallied to a high of $84. ➖ Currently trading at $77.7, the stock is expected to continue rising in the near future ● Daily ➖ The daily chart indicates a clear uptrend in the price movement. ➖ An ascending triangle pattern has formed, and following the breakout, the price has retraced to the breakout level. ➖ At this moment, the price is attempting to find support at the 50 EMA. ➖ From a technical standpoint, the stock is resting at a support level, making it an attractive option for accumulation with a mid to long-term investment outlook. ◉ Relative Strength ➖ The chart clearly illustrates that Stride Inc. has greatly outperformed the US Smallcap 2000 index, achieving an impressive annual return of 82%, which is a notable achievement. ◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis ● Year-on-year ➖ In FY24, revenue surged by 11.3%, reaching $2,040 million, up from $1,837 million in FY23. ➖ EBITDA saw a substantial boost, climbing to $295.3 million in FY24 compared to $225.2 million the previous year. ➖ The EBITDA margin also experienced growth, rising to 14.47% from 12.26% in FY23. ➖ Additionally, diluted EPS witnessed an impressive increase of 57.91%, jumping to $4.69 in FY24 from $2.97 in FY23. ● Quarter-on-quarter ➖ In the latest June quarter, the company achieved a remarkable milestone with quarterly sales reaching an all-time high of $520.8 million. This marks a 3% increase from the $504.9 million recorded in the March quarter and a significant 10.75% rise compared to $470.3 million in the same quarter last year. ➖ EBITDA declined from $100.2 million to $82.3 million in the latest quarter, representing a 17.8% decrease. ◉ Valuation ◉ PE Ratio ● Current PE Ratio vs. Median PE Ratio ➖ The present price-to-earnings ratio for this stock is 16.2x, which is considerably below its four-year median price-to-earnings ratio of 18.9x times, indicating that the stock is currently undervalued. ● Current PE vs. Peer Average PE ➖ The stock presents a favorable valuation when considering its Price-To-Earnings Ratio of 16.2x, which is lower than the average of its peers at 18.3x. ● Current PE vs. Industry Average PE ➖ Stride appears to be offered at a more competitive price, featuring a Price-To-Earnings Ratio of 16.2x, which is significantly below the average of 19.2x for the US Consumer Services industry. ◉ PB Ratio ● Current PB vs. Peer Average PB ➖ The present PB ratio in relation to the average PB of peers indicates that the stock is somewhat higher, with a ratio of 2.8x in contrast to the peer average of 2.6x. ● Current PB vs. Industry Average PB ➖ When comparing the current PB ratio to the industry average, Stride appears to be considerably overvalued, exhibiting a PB ratio of 2.8x, while the industry average stands at 1.6x. ◉ Cash Flow Analysis ➖ The cash generated from operations has experienced substantial growth in fiscal year 2024, increasing to $278.8 million from $203.2 million in fiscal year 2023. ◉ Debt Analysis ➖ Stride has a total debt of $528.2 million, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44. ➖ The company generates sufficient interest income to exceed its interest expenses, indicating that interest payment coverage is not an issue. ◉ Top Shareholders ➖ BlackRock Inc. holds a significant ownership interest in this company, with a notable stake of 14.9%. This level of investment reflects BlackRock's confidence in the company's potential for growth and profitability. ➖ The Vanguard Group also maintains a considerable presence, owning 10.7% of the company's shares. ➖ Together, these two investment giants represent a substantial portion of the company's equity, indicating strong institutional support and interest in its future performance. ◉ Conclusion Upon examining Stride Inc.'s financial performance, we focused on essential metrics such as revenue growth, profit margins, and the stability of cash flow. Additionally, we assessed the company's future growth potential by looking into industry trends and the competitive landscape. As a result, we are confident that Stride Inc. is positioned to capitalize on new opportunities while effectively navigating challenges, making it an attractive option for both investors and stakeholders.
NYSE:LRNLong
by NaranjCapital
6
Fed’s Rate Decision to Set the Tone for Stocks, Gold and CryptoOfficials at the central bank are staying tight-lipped over the magnitude of the interest rate cut. What we know so far: there will be one. What we don’t know: is it going to be 25bps or 50bps? Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell (or JPow if you’re a cool kid) is most likely having a hard time sleeping these days. Lurking in the near distance, September 18 to be precise, is a decision he should make that has the power to slosh trillions of dollars across global markets. Stock valuations, crypto prices and the glow of gold all hinge on a single figure — the US interest rate ( USINTR ). Major central banks are on the move to unwind their restrictive monetary policies, especially when it comes to global interest rates . Investors have been trying to run ahead of the interest rate decision and position their portfolios to accommodate both a small casual trim to borrowing costs but also a bigger, juicier slash. Clashing opinions over the size of the interest rate reduction have been swaying the financial markets in recent weeks. Fed officials haven’t sent out any comms regarding that question so markets do what they do best — speculate. According to the FedWatch tool by CME Group, at the end of this week, investors were nearly even in their expectations for the upcoming interest rate cut with 55% calling for a 25bps (basis points) cut and 45% rooting for the fuller treatment of 50bps. In any case, this would be the Federal Reserve’s first cut to borrowing costs in more than four years. The benchmark rate in the US is currently sitting at a 23-year high of 5.5% — a level that has stayed flat since July. After a series of reports pointing to a wobbling economy — and on the back of mostly receding inflation — the central banking clique issued its uplifting guidance at their previous meeting, saying rates are about to go down when they meet again. But what they didn’t say — because they’re data dependent — is how much. A 25bps cut to interest rates would most likely be already priced in across the spectrum. Stocks, the US dollar, gold and even cryptocurrency are now acting as if this level of rate cut is factored in. Moreover, some investors might even be disappointed to see a rate cut of that casual magnitude. Buy the rumor, sell the news, maybe? A 50bps cut to interest rates could bring some needed fuel for the next leg up in stocks, gold and crypto. And, on the flip side, knock the dollar’s valuation. Lower interest rates make money more affordable, enticing investors, businesses and consumers to get more cash out of the bank and spend more freely on big-ticket purchases. Obviously, investors shove the cash into various markets. Businesses expand operations and build new products. And consumers, well, they buy the new iPhone 16 and jam what's left in meme stocks ? Perhaps even more importantly, lower interest rates help steer the economy, keeping it on an upward trajectory. Liquidity improves, because there’s more money flowing in the system, and valuations of public and private assets usually increase. Take gold ( XAU/USD ), for example. Gold hit an all-time high Friday morning, pumping above $2,570 per ounce . Driving the gains was the relationship between gold and the prospects of lower rates, which make bullion more appealing because they reduce the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset. At the same time, the US dollar loses some of its allure because the reduction in rates triggers a lower yield on dollar deposits. Bitcoin ( BTC/USD ) is another interest -ing candidate to join the rate interplay. The OG token has been increasingly correlated to macroeconomic factors and the rate decision is already seen impacting its price in a positive way. Stocks have been in choppy trading mode over the past couple of months largely due to the looming uncertainty about the looming rate-setting meeting. So what do you think it’s going to be — 25bps or 50bps? And how would it affect financial markets? Shoot your thoughts below!
SP:SPX
by TradingView
9
Gold Trading Strategy: A Professional Approach to XAUUSD 👀 👉 This comprehensive video presents a sophisticated trading plan for the XAUUSD (Gold/US Dollar) market, designed to maximize profitability through a structured approach. We delve into crucial aspects of technical analysis and leverage TradingView's advanced tools to gain a competitive edge in the markets. Key topics covered include: 1. Trend identification and analysis 2. Entry and exit criteria 3. Market overextension assessment 4. Discount entry strategies aligned with institutional positioning 5. Higher timeframe trend analysis combined with 4-hour chart entry points 6. Price action and market structure interpretation Our methodology emphasizes the importance of avoiding premium entries in bullish markets and instead focuses on identifying optimal discount entry opportunities. By aligning our strategy with institutional movements, we aim to enhance the probability of successful trades. The video provides a detailed exploration of various technical analysis components, including: - Trend analysis techniques - Market structure interpretation - Price action patterns - Overextension indicators - Traded Volume indicators - Multi-timeframe analysis (higher timeframe trend combined with 4-hour chart entries) This comprehensive approach to XAUUSD trading is designed to equip traders with the tools and knowledge necessary to navigate the gold market effectively and potentially increase their trading success. Disclaimer: Trading in financial markets carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before making any investment decisions. Trade responsibly and use proper risk management techniques. 📉✅
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by fxtraderanthony
17
Trading Near the Bells Part 1: The OpenWelcome to our 2-part series on how to trade the two most intense, liquid, and volatile periods of the trading day: the open and the close. These moments bookend the trading session and are critical for traders who thrive on fast-paced environments. In Part 1, we’ll focus on the open—the first hour after the market bell rings. We will explore why this period offers unique trading opportunities, examine key price patterns, and discuss proven strategies for capturing profit while managing risk during this high-volatility window. From gap trading to opening range breakouts, understanding the open is essential for those looking to capitalise on the rush of liquidity and order flow at the start of each session. The Significance of the Open The open is often the most critical time of the trading day. It sets the tone for the session as market participants react to overnight developments, including earnings reports, geopolitical events, and economic data releases. The first hour of trading typically sees a surge in volume as traders place orders based on these new inputs, creating significant liquidity and volatility. This influx of activity can result in sharp price moves, offering traders the chance to capture quick profits. Additionally, the open provides vital clues about market sentiment. The price action within the first 30-60 minutes can hint at whether the market will experience a trend day or a range-bound session. Understanding how to interpret and trade this period effectively can give traders a strategic edge, allowing them to capitalise on these early movements while managing risk appropriately. Three Strategies for Trading the Open 1. Gap and Go The "Gap and Go" strategy focuses on stocks or index’s that gap up or down significantly at the open and continue to move in the same direction. This strategy works best when the gap is backed by a fundamental catalyst, such as a strong earnings report, positive economic data, or a major news announcement. Gaps that are supported by solid news or events tend to continue in the same direction as they attract significant buying or selling pressure. Additionally, this strategy is most effective when the price is breaking out of a period of compression or a key level of resistance. For instance, if a stock has been consolidating under a major resistance level and gaps up on strong earnings, it is likely to trigger further buying as traders who were waiting for the breakout jump into the trade. • Key Setup: Look for gaps backed by a catalyst and breaking out of key technical levels. • Entry: Enter in the direction of the gap if the price holds above or below the opening range. • Stop-Loss: Set your stop near the gap level or below the opening range to protect against a quick reversal. Example Gap and Go: In this example, the S&P 500 gaps above both a descending trendline and a key resistance area at the open – backed by inflation data that had come in lower than expected. The gap holds within the first hour and continues to rise throughout the session, demonstrating how the early price action set the stage for the rest of the day. S&P 500 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 2. Opening Range Breakout (ORB) The Opening Range Breakout strategy involves identifying the high and low of the first 15-30 minutes of trading and looking for a breakout beyond this range. This strategy works best when the breakout aligns with the broader market trend. If the larger trend is bullish and the stock or currency pair breaks above its opening range, it indicates that the market is continuing in the direction of the prevailing trend, providing a higher probability trade. • Key Setup: Works well when the breakout is in line with the bigger picture trend. • Entry: Enter long if the price breaks above the opening range with strong volume, or enter short if it breaks below. • Stop-Loss: Place stops just inside the opening range to protect against false breakouts. Example ORB: In this scenario, the S&P 500 establishes a clear range within the first hour. A decisive break below this range leads to a cascade of selling pressure, indicating how the breakout set the tone for the rest of the session. S&P 500 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 3. Gap Fade The Gap Fade strategy involves trading against the initial gap, assuming the move is overextended or lacks a fundamental catalyst. This strategy works particularly well when the gap occurs without significant news or events to justify the price movement. Traders using this approach bet that the market has overreacted to the gap and that the price will reverse and "fill" the gap by moving back toward the previous day's close. Additionally, this strategy is effective when the gap coincides with a trend that has become extended on higher timeframes, suggesting that the market is due for a correction or reversal. For example, if a stock gaps up but has been in a prolonged uptrend and appears overbought on the daily chart, it may be primed for a pullback. • Key Setup: Best used when there is no significant catalyst behind the gap and when the trend is extended. • Entry: Short-sell if the gap appears overextended and lacks momentum, aiming to catch the reversal. • Stop-Loss: Set your stop above the high of the opening range for shorts (or below the low for longs) to limit losses in case the move continues. Example Gap Fade: In this example, the S&P 500 gaps higher but stalls at a key resistance area. The market fails to continue higher during the first hour, leading to a break below resistance and a downtrend for the rest of the session. S&P 500 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Conclusion The market open is a dynamic period full of opportunity for traders who are prepared to act quickly. Whether you prefer trading with the momentum of a Gap and Go, riding the trend with an Opening Range Breakout, or fading an overextended Gap, understanding the unique characteristics of the open is a crucial element of short-term trading. By using these strategies and adjusting them to the day's market conditions, you can navigate the volatility of the open with confidence and precision. In Part 2 we’ll dive into trading the close—the other bookend of the trading day with its own set of challenges and opportunities. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83.51% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500Education
by Capitalcom
2
How I Use Multi Timeframe Analysis to Capture LARGE Price SwingsDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. Trading involves real risk. Do your own due diligence. TUTORIAL: Today, I demonstrate the thought process and mechanical steps I take when trading my Multi-Timeframe strategy. We take a look at US Treasuries, which have offers a classic lesson in how to apply this approach. As you will see, throughout the year, this approach took some losses prior to getting involved in the "real" move which we anticipated. No strategy is perfect, and I do not purport this to be perfect. It is a rules based and effective way to read price. This strategy is great for people who don't have a lot of time to spend at the charts. I would classify this more as an "investing" strategy when utilizing the 12M-2W-12H timeframe. If you have questions about anything in this video, feel free to shoot me a message. I hope you have all had a great week so far. Good Luck & Good Trading.
CBOT:ZF1!Education
by Tradius_Trades
3
Q4 Bullish Continuation Bitcoin's price action continues to show a strong bullish trend. After multiple corrective pullbacks, the price has consistently rebounded within the established channel. We saw significant corrections of -20%, -22%, and -28%, yet BTC remains on course for a potential breakout towards the next major top in the $100K+ range. With strong support holding at GETTEX:46K and consistent higher lows, this chart highlights the resilience of Bitcoin and its potential for continuation to new highs. Let's see how the next leg unfolds! 🚀 #BTC #Bullish #Crypto
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by Hussdynasty
18
Is oil signalling a recession? Oil has really started to free fall. The death cross on the daily chart has occurred. this is where the 50 MA intersects with the 200 MA in a downtrend. This often implies more downside to the medium and long term but is often a great short term long signal. Usually when you get this signal the market makers bounce the stock or commodity a bit before taking it lower. We are hitting a massive multi year trend line going back to 2022 that should act as some support. XLE looks ready for 1 more down leg before a swing tradable low is in. Energy does have a tendency to fall precipitously so understanding oil can keep falling if investors fear the worst or a recession.
AMEX:XLE
by Trading-Capital
5
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 68.80 which is an overlap resistance. Stop loss is at 71.65 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 65.24 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
7
Identifying Entry Points in EUR/USD: A Simple RSI StrategyAs a former professional technical analyst at a major bank, I used to write daily reports on the euro vs. the US dollar. Today, I want to share a technique I often used to identify entry points in the market. Looking at the EUR/USD weekly chart, I’ve spotted a large symmetrical triangle that’s completed, with the market breaking higher. A common move in this pattern is a retest of the breakout point, which here would be a drop to around 1.0930. As long as the price stays above 1.0930, the pattern holds, and your outlook remains valid—this also helps define where to set your stop. Next, I zoom into lower time frames, such as the daily or 4-hour charts, to find potential entry points. I rely on the RSI (Relative Strength Index) to identify oversold conditions. If the daily chart shows no clear signals, I move to the 4-hour chart. Right now, the 4-hour chart is showing periods of oversold RSI, which is when I’d consider entering long positions. Remember, the price might not drop all the way to 1.0930, so you’ll need to decide when to enter the market. Using RSI and adjusting down time frames can help you make that call, with your stop already in place. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Long
by The_STA
4
Traders Turning to Traditional Stocks and Dow Jones In July, most markets reached their peak, followed by a three-day global meltdown after the Bank of Japan announced a 25 basis point rate hike. Since then, all have recovered, but only the Dow Jones has surpassed its July high, while the others have not. AI and tech stocks, particularly those in the Nasdaq, have lost their shine compared to traditional stocks like those in the Dow Jones. We will explore which sectors investors are gravitating towards this time and why they favor the Dow Jones over the Nasdaq this season. Micro E-Mini Dow Jones Futures & Options Ticker: MCL Minimum fluctuation: 1.0 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!Long
by konhow
6
What is Reward to Risk Ratio | Forex Trading Basics Planning your every Forex trade, you should know in advance the profit that you are aiming to make and the maximum amount of money you are willing to lose. In this educational article, we will discuss risk reward ratio - the tool that is used to compare your potentials losses and profits in Forex trading. What is Reward to Risk Ratio Let's start with an example. Imagine you see a good buying opportunity on EURUSD. You quickly identify a safe entry point, your take profit level and stop loss. From that trade you are aiming to make 100 pips with a maximum allowable loss of 50 pips. To calculate a reward to risk ratio for this trade, you simply should divide a potential gain by a potential loss: R/R ratio = 100 / 50 = 2 In that particular example, reward to risk ratio equals 2 meaning that potential gain outperform a potential loss by 2. Let's take another example. This time, you decide to short USDJPY. From a desirable entry point, you can get 75 pips rerward with a potential loss of 150 pips. R/R ratio = 75 / 150 = 0.5 Reward to risk ratio for this trade is 75 divided by 150 or 0.5. Such a ratio means that potential loss outperform a potential gain by 2. Positive and Negative Reward to Risk Ratio Risk to reward ratio can be positive or negative. If the ratio is bigger than 1 it is considered to be positive meaning that a potential gain outperforms a potential loss. R/R ratio > 1 If the ratio is less than 1 , it is called negative so that potential loss is bigger than potential risk. R/R ratio < 1 On the left chart above, the reward for the trade is bigger than a risk. Such a trade has positive reward to risk ratio. On the right chart, the risk is bigger than a reward. This trade has negative reward to risk ratio. Why? Knowing the average risk to reward ratio for your trades, you can objectively calculate the required win rate for keeping a positive trading performance. With R/R ratio = 0.5 2 winning trades recover 1 losing trade. You need at least 70% win rate to cover losses of your trading. With R/R ratio = 1 1 winning trade, recover 1 losing trade. You require at least 50% win rate to compensate your losses. With R/R ratio = 2 1 winning trade recovers 2 losing trades. You will need at least 35% win rate to cover losses of your trading. In the example above, the trading setups have 0.5 reward to risk ratio. In such a case, 2 winning trades will be needed to win the money back for 1 losing trade. Forex trading involves extremely high risk. Risk to reward ratio is a number one risk management tool for limiting your risks. Calculating that and knowing your win rate, you can objectively decide whether a trade that you are planning to take is worth taking. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
6
Unlock the 10 Core Lessons Every Trader Needs for SuccessYou know that feeling when you stare at the charts, convinced you’re about to strike gold, only for the trade to go so wrong, you wonder if the market gods have a personal vendetta against you? Yeah, we’ve all been there. But here’s the thing—it's not the market that's out to get you. It’s you. Let’s cut to the chase: trading success isn’t just about mastering candlestick patterns or finding the perfect strategy. It’s about mastering yourself. So, I’m laying out the 10 core lessons that can stop you from sabotaging your trades—and maybe even save you from throwing your laptop out the window. 1. Emotional Self-Control (AKA Don’t Be Your Own Worst Enemy) Ever taken a trade out of sheer frustration or FOMO? Spoiler alert: that’s your emotions talking, and they rarely have your back. Mastering emotional self-control is like giving yourself a built-in cheat code. Stay calm, stay cool, and you’ll stay profitable. Quick task: Next time you feel emotions kicking in, take a 5-minute break before making any trade decisions. Walk away, breathe, then come back with a clear head. 2. Every Trade is a Lesson (Yes, Even the Ugly Ones) Think that losing trade was a total waste of time? Wrong. Every trade, good or bad, is packed with insights. The market is your professor—start taking notes. You’ll find out where you’re tripping up, and trust me, you’ll trip less. Quick task: Start a trade journal. Write down not just the outcome of each trade, but your emotions and reasoning at the time. Review it weekly to spot patterns. 3. Mindset is Everything (Cue the Zen Music) You’ve probably heard it before, but it's worth repeating: mindset is everything. If you’re not thinking straight, your trades won’t be either. A positive mindset keeps you focused, even when the market is doing its best to mess with you. Quick task: Before your next trading session, spend 5 minutes visualizing success. Remind yourself why you’re trading and what you’re working toward. This will keep your mindset sharp. 4. Have a Plan (Because Winging It Doesn’t Work Here) If you’re going into trades without a solid game plan, you’re basically showing up to a knife fight with a spoon. Every trade should have a strategy, clear entry/exit points, and a reason behind it. Stop winging it—you’re better than that. Quick task: Create a simple pre-trade checklist. Include things like entry/exit strategy, risk level, and reasons for entering the trade. Stick to it religiously. 5. Adapt or Get Left Behind (The Market Isn’t Waiting for You) The market changes faster than your favorite Netflix series gets canceled. What worked yesterday may not work tomorrow. Be flexible, keep learning, and adapt. Otherwise, you’re going to be the guy stuck using strategies from 2010 in 2024. Quick task: Spend 10 minutes a day researching a new trading strategy or tool. Even if you don’t use it right away, expanding your knowledge keeps you adaptable. 6. Patience Pays (And Impatience Costs You Big Time) There’s no bigger account killer than impatience. Jumping in too early, exiting too late, chasing trades—it’s a recipe for disaster. Sometimes, the best move is to wait. Trust me, patience in trading is like waiting for that perfect slice of pizza—totally worth it. Quick task: Set up alerts for your key setups instead of staring at the screen, waiting for something to happen. This forces you to only trade when your setup is there, not when you’re bored. 7. Risk Management is Non-Negotiable (No, Seriously) If you don’t manage your risk, you’re playing with fire—and we all know how that ends. Set stop-losses, size your positions properly, and don’t gamble your entire account on a “gut feeling.” It’s not about how much you win, it’s about how little you lose. Quick task: Review your last 10 trades and check how well you stuck to your risk management rules. If you didn't, figure out why and correct it for the next trade. 8. Never Stop Learning (The Market Has Zero Chill) The market is constantly evolving, and if you think you’ve got it all figured out, the market is ready to humble you real quick. Stay curious, keep learning, and don’t let complacency be the reason you get left in the dust. Quick task: Dedicate 30 minutes a week to learning something new—whether it’s a new strategy, a new tool, or just reading up on market trends. Never stop sharpening the saw. 9. Balance Emotions with Logic (It’s Like a Jedi Mind Trick) This is where it gets tricky. You can’t trade on pure logic, but trading on pure emotion is just as dangerous. You need to find the sweet spot—where you can recognize your emotions, but let logic steer the ship. It’s like becoming a Jedi of your own trading. Quick task: Before you enter your next trade, ask yourself one question: “Is this based on emotion or strategy?” If it’s emotion, step back until you’re thinking clearly. 10. Focus on the Process, Not Just the Profits (Money is a Byproduct) Everyone wants to make money, but here’s the secret: focus on nailing your process. The profits will come as a result. If you’re constantly thinking about the money, you’re missing the point. Perfect your process, and let the money follow. Quick task: Pick one area of your trading process to improve—whether it’s your analysis, your entry strategy, or your risk management—and focus solely on that for the next week. Master the process, the profits will follow. Master these 10 lessons, and you’ll find yourself trading with more confidence, discipline, and success. Trading is as much a mental game as it is a technical one, and by focusing on these principles, you’re setting yourself up for long-term wins. Now, which of these lessons do you need to focus on in your own trading journey? Let me know below :)
Education
by TheFxAce
9
Apple Bets on iPhone 16 to Catch Up in AI Race. What's at Stake?Tech heavyweight carries a valuation of $3.4 trillion, making it the world’s most expensive company (on most days, thanks to volatility). But the consumer giant may be running out of ideas — its latest product event “It’s Glowtime” was a spectacle of colors, flashy lights, great camera work and editing. But the crowd went … mild. Apple (ticker: AAPL ) unveiled the latest model of its flagship product, the iPhone 16, at its product launch event “It’s Glowtime” on Monday. This wonder of technology, which changed how the world communicates (and sends memes), is now in its most advanced form flexing some solid AI muscle. The iPhone 16 is a bet on artificial intelligence — the Cupertino, California-based company is putting its hopes on the buzzy AI trend in an effort to convince users to dump their old non-AI phone for the first Apple smartphone built for AI. Chief Executive Tim Cook praised the new device, saying this latest model is designed “from the ground up” powered by Apple’s new AI software, Apple Intelligence . Users can get their hands on the iPhone 16 starting September 20 — just in time for the fourth quarter to show how big of a demand there is for this new device, starting at $799. The product launch event, streamed live on YouTube to more than 2.5 million viewers, didn’t lift Apple shares one bit. In fact, the stock was moving sideways to the downside before it recouped the 1.9% intraday loss and closed hugging the flatline at $220.91 a share. It wasn't a great day for the broader stock market , to be fair. So why the muted response from Wall Street and the investing crowds on Reddit’s messaging boards? There was merely anything new to surprise markets — most of the announcements were already old news, priced in and well baked in. What matters now is how well the iPhone 16 sells to the masses. The three months to December are generally strong selling time spans for the iPhone as more people are willing to shell out on smartphones for Christmas. But that could very well be the initial marketing spike followed by fizzled out revenue growth. That’s where Apple’s future hinges on its ability to keep cutting edge and think different . Backed by the power of AI, Wall Street will be looking for a boost to iPhone sales, which have been losing momentum in recent quarters. Now with the Apple Intelligence software jammed into the latest operating system, iOS 18, Apple is looking to compete for a market share in the burgeoning space for AI smartphones. The tech giant is not too worried about getting left behind. Its iPhone flaunts a loyal customer base, which generates about half of all company revenue. For the most-recent quarter, iPhone sales pulled in $39.3 billion from total sales of $85.5 billion. But in practice, Apple is already late to the party. Other mainstays in the upper echelon of tech have rolled out AI phones. Google launched its AI smartphone, Pixel 8, back in October. Samsung, Apple's international archrival running on Android, introduced the Samsung S24 in January, flexing powerful AI capabilities. Perhaps the biggest news at yesterday’s event was Apple’s foray into healthcare. A new use case has been discovered for the AirPods: they’ll be taking on the role of hearing aids, which makes the $250 Pro model a cheap product in the market for hearing aids. Other product releases, other than the iPhone 16, include the Apple Watch Series 10 with an updated design, and the Apple Watch Ultra 2 in a new color (looks like the Ultra team had an ultra easy job this year.) So, with that said, what makes you want to invest in Apple? Or maybe trade it? Is it the bright outlook in the AI smartphone race? Or the company’s search for innovation in healthcare? Share your thoughts below!
NASDAQ:AAPL
by TradingView
8