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The TradingView Show: Volatility Spikes with TradeStationWelcome to our latest live TradingView show with TradeStation! Kick back and watch this show to learn about the key things that are moving markets and shaping the conversation as the summer trading season comes to an end. What will you learn in this show? Recent Price Action: We’ll analyze the market movements since the "carry trade crash" and see how this has affected various asset classes. Interest Rates: We'll explore the latest developments in interest rates and their implications for trading strategies. Dollar Index: Understand the current trends in the Dollar Index and how it influences currency movements. Currencies: We’ll break down recent changes in currency pairs and what they mean for traders. Then, we dive into a masterclass about Catalysts for Stock Movements, in which you'll learn about the key factors driving stock price changes. We’ll discuss 7 important catalysts to watch for, including: 1. Growth: Look at NVIDIA’s recent performance in AI chip sales. 2. Profit Margins: Examine how companies like META are improving their profitability. 3. Strategic Actions: Consider new leadership and strategic moves, such as Starbucks' new CEO. 4. Business Transformation: Explore how companies like Netflix and Microsoft are evolving their business models. 5-7. Other Key Factors: See how Apple's shift to services fits into the broader market picture. Here are some examples of these catalysts: Growth - Monitor trends like NVIDIA's AI chip sales. Profit Margins - Track profitability improvements, such as with META. Strategic Actions - Look out for major corporate strategies, like Starbucks' new CEO. Business Transformation - Note significant shifts, such as Netflix’s new ad feature or Microsoft’s cloud computing focus. Additional Catalysts - Keep an eye on other important factors like Apple’s expansion into services. Don’t forget to jot down this checklist and join us each month for the TradingView Show, where we spotlight community members and cover educational content across equities, AI, crypto, gold, forex, and more. Compliance and disclaimers: Important information: tradestation.com/important-information/ Disclosure options: theocc.com/Company-Information/Documents-and-Archives/Options-Disclosure-Document ETF prospectus page: tradestation.com/insights/etf-disclosures/
TVC:VIX
by TradingView
2
Volatility in Focus: A Trader's Perspective on S&P 500 Futures1. Introduction Volatility is a critical concept for traders in any market, and the E-mini S&P 500 Futures are no exception. Traditionally, traders have relied on tools such as the Average True Range (ATR) and Historic Volatility (HV) to measure and understand market volatility. These tools provide a snapshot of how much an asset's price fluctuates over a given period, helping traders to gauge potential risk and reward. ATR measures market volatility by analyzing the range of price movement, often over a 14-day period. It reflects the degree of price movement but doesn’t differentiate between upward or downward volatility. Historic Volatility looks at past price movements to calculate how much the price has deviated from its average. It’s a statistical measure that gives traders a sense of how volatile the market has been in the past. While these traditional tools are invaluable, they offer a generalized view of volatility. For traders seeking a more nuanced and actionable understanding, it's essential to distinguish between upside and downside volatility—how much and how fast the market moves up or down. This article introduces a pragmatic, trader-focused approach to measuring volatility in the E-mini S&P 500 Futures. By analyzing daily, weekly, and monthly volatility from both the upside and downside perspectives, we aim to provide insights that can better prepare traders for the real-world dynamics of the market. 2. Methodology: Volatility Calculation from a Trader’s Perspective In this analysis, we take a more nuanced approach by separating volatility into two distinct categories: upside volatility and downside volatility. The idea is to focus on how much the market tends to move up versus how much it moves down, providing a clearer picture of potential risks and rewards. Volatility Calculation Method: o Daily Volatility: Daily upside volatility is calculated as the percentage change from the prior day's close to the next day’s high, assuming the next day’s high is higher than the prior day’s close. Daily downside volatility is the percentage change from the prior day's close to the next day’s low, assuming the next day’s low is lower than the prior day’s close. o Weekly Volatility: Weekly upside volatility is determined by comparing the previous Friday’s close to the highest point during the following week, assuming the market went higher than the prior Friday’s close. Weekly downside volatility is calculated by comparing the previous Friday’s close to the lowest point during the following week, assuming the market went lower than the prior Friday’s close. o Monthly Volatility: Monthly upside volatility is measured by taking the percentage change from the prior month’s close to the next month’s high, assuming prices moved higher than the prior monthly close. Monthly downside volatility is calculated by comparing the prior month’s close to the lowest point of the following month, assuming prices moved lower than the prior monthly close. 3. Volatility Analysis The E-mini S&P 500 Futures exhibit distinct patterns when analyzed from the perspective of upside and downside volatility. By measuring the daily/weekly/monthly fluctuations using the trader-focused approach discussed earlier, we gain valuable insights into how the market behaves on a day-to-day basis. Key Insights: Trend Observation: The data reveals that during periods of market distress, such as financial crises or sudden economic downturns, downside volatility tends to spike significantly. This indicates a greater propensity for the market to fall rapidly compared to its upward movements. Implication for Traders: Understanding these patterns allows traders to anticipate the potential risks and adjust their strategies accordingly. For instance, in highly volatile environments, traders might consider tightening their stop losses or hedging their positions to protect against sudden downturns. 4. Comparative Analysis: Rolling Volatility Differences To gain deeper insights into the behavior of the E-mini S&P 500 Futures, it’s useful to compare the rolling differences between upside and downside volatility over time. Rolling Volatility Differences Explained: Rolling Analysis: A rolling analysis calculates the difference between upside and downside volatility over a set period, such as 252 days for daily data (approximately one trading year), 52 weeks for weekly data, or 12 months for monthly data. This method smooths out short-term fluctuations, allowing us to see more persistent trends in how the market behaves. Volatility Difference: The volatility difference is simply the upside volatility minus the downside volatility. A positive value suggests that upside movements were more significant during the period, while a negative value indicates stronger downside movements. Key Insights: Trend Observation: The rolling difference analysis reveals that downside volatility generally dominates, particularly during periods of economic uncertainty or financial crises. This confirms the common belief that markets tend to fall faster than they rise. Implication for Traders: Traders could use rolling volatility differences to anticipate changes in market conditions. A widening gap in favor of downside volatility may signal increasing risk and the potential for further declines. Conversely, a narrowing or positive rolling difference could suggest improving market sentiment and potential opportunities for long positions. 5. Volatility Trends Over Time Understanding the frequency and conditions under which upside or downside volatility dominates can provide traders with valuable insights into market behavior. By analyzing the percentage of days, weeks, and months where upside volatility exceeds downside volatility, we can better grasp the nature of market trends over time. Volatility Trends Explained: Percentage of Days with Greater Upside Volatility: This metric shows the percentage of trading days within a given year where the upside volatility was higher than the downside volatility. It highlights the frequency with which the market experienced more significant upward movements compared to downward ones on a daily basis. Percentage of Weeks with Greater Upside Volatility: Similarly, this metric calculates the percentage of weeks in a year where the upside volatility was greater than the downside. It provides a broader perspective on market trends, capturing sustained movements within weekly timeframes. Percentage of Months with Greater Upside Volatility: This metric reflects the percentage of months in a year where upside volatility exceeded downside volatility. It is particularly useful for identifying longer-term trends and understanding the market’s behavior over extended periods. Key Insights: Trend Observation: Historically, again, we can see the data shows that downside volatility tends to dominate, especially during periods of market stress. However, there are years where upside volatility has been more frequent. Implication for Traders: Traders can use these insights to adjust their strategies based on the prevailing market conditions. In years where downside volatility is more frequent, defensive strategies or hedging might be more appropriate. Conversely, in years where upside volatility dominates, traders might consider more aggressive or trend-following strategies. 6. Key Takeaways for Traders The analysis of the E-mini S&P 500 Futures’ volatility, broken down by daily, weekly, and monthly intervals, provides crucial insights for traders. Understanding the distinct patterns of upside and downside volatility is essential for making informed trading decisions, particularly in a market that often behaves asymmetrically. Practical Conclusions for Traders: Risk Management: Given the dominance of downside volatility, traders should prioritize risk management strategies. This includes using stop-loss orders, protective options, and other hedging techniques to mitigate potential losses during volatile periods. Strategic Positioning: Traders might consider adjusting their position sizes or employing defensive strategies during periods of heightened downside volatility. Conversely, when upside volatility shows signs of strengthening, more aggressive positioning or trend-following strategies could be beneficial. Timing Entries and Exits: Understanding the patterns of volatility can help traders better time their entries and exits. For instance, entering the market during periods of lower downside volatility or after a significant downside spike can offer better risk-reward opportunities. Adaptability: The key to successful trading in volatile markets is adaptability. Traders should remain flexible and adjust their strategies based on the prevailing market conditions, as indicated by the volatility analysis. By incorporating these insights into their trading approach, traders can better navigate the E-mini S&P 500 Futures market, enhancing their ability to capitalize on opportunities while managing risks effectively. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by traddictiv
6
Identifying Key Support and Resistance Levels: Beginner’s GuideWelcome to the market’s game of zig-zag. On the one side, we’ve got the bulls pulling prices up (doing the zigging), and on the other, the bears dragging them down (doing the zagging). Somewhere in there lies a delicate balance—where prices pause, reverse, or break through. These are support and resistance levels, and if you want to play in the big league and run shoulders with big sho(r)ts, you need to know how to spot them. Let’s dive in. Support and Resistance: The Basics Imagine the market as a ping-pong ball bouncing between two invisible walls. These invisible walls are called support and resistance . The floor is support—where buyers step in to catch the fall. The ceiling? That’s resistance, where sellers say, “Not so fast,” and push the price back down. Your job? Figure out where these walls are and use them to your advantage. Support is the price level where a downtrend could pause due to strong enough demand, or buying momentum. Think of it as a safety net—a level where the price stops its freefall, cushioned by determined buyers. Resistance is the opposite. It’s the price level where an uptrend might stall because sellers step in, seeing the price as overbought. It’s the market’s ceiling, and breaking through it can be tough. How to Spot Support and Resistance Here’s the good news: spotting these levels is easier than you think. Start by zooming out on your chart and identifying where price reversals have occurred. Where has the market consistently bounced up from? That’s your support. Where has it been smacked down? That’s your resistance. That’s also when everyone becomes a chartist and technical analyst—draw horizontal lines at these levels. And boom, you’ve just identified key support and resistance zones. But there’s more to it than just connecting the dots. Horizontal Levels: The Classics The classic way to identify support and resistance is to look for horizontal levels. These are price levels where the market has historically reversed multiple times. If the price has bounced off $50 three times, you’ve got yourself a solid support level. Likewise, if $75 has been a brick wall for the price, it’s a clear resistance level. Trendlines: The Dynamic Duo Horizontal lines are great, but what if the market’s trending? That’s where trendlines come in. Draw a line connecting the higher lows in an uptrend or the lower highs in a downtrend. These lines can act as moving support or resistance levels. They’re not just lines—they’re the market’s roadmap. Want to get things even more heated up? Look for channels by identifying the higher lows in the uptrend coupled with the higher highs. Apply the same but in reverse for downtrending markets—lower highs and lower lows is what makes up a channel. The Role of Volume Here’s where it gets a little spicy. You have to add volume in the mix. When you see a support or resistance level holding up with high volume, it’s like getting a thumbs-up from the market. If the price breaks through a level with high volume, it’s more likely to keep moving in that direction. Low volume? Don’t get too excited—it could be a fake-out. Psychological Levels: The Round Numbers Game Ever noticed how prices tend to stall at round numbers? That’s no accident. Humans love round numbers and the market is no different. Levels like $100, $1,000, or even $100,000 (did someone say Bitcoin BTC/USD ?) often act as psychological support or resistance. It’s not science—it’s market psychology. How to Trade Support and Resistance Now that you know where the walls are, or inflection points, let’s talk strategy. Trading support and resistance isn’t about guessing where the market will go—it’s about stacking the odds in your favor. Buying at Support (DYOR, tho) : When the price pulls back to a support level, it’s a prime buying opportunity. Just remember, you’re not the only one watching this level—fellow retail traders, professional money spinners and lots of algorithms are trained to chase trends. Use additional confirmation, like a bunch of indicators stacked together , before you pull the trigger. Selling at Resistance (DYOR, tho) : If the price rallies to a known resistance level, it’s time to think about selling. Again, wait for some confirmation—a rejection, bearish pattern, or a volume spike—to avoid getting caught in a breakout. Breakout Trades (DYOR, tho) : If a price breaks through support or resistance with conviction (read: strong volume), it often leads to significant moves. You can trade these breakouts, but be cautious of false breakouts. Nobody likes getting trapped. Final Thoughts Support and resistance levels are like the market’s heartbeat. They reveal where the big players are making their moves and where the action is likely to heat up. Whether you’re looking to jump in or bail out, these levels are your go-to guide. So, the next time you’re analyzing a chart, remember—those lines aren’t just random. They’re the market’s battle lines, and now, you’ve got the intel to trade them. Let’s wrap this up with some inspiration from legendary trend follower Paul Tudor Jones: “I believe the very best money is made at the market turns. Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you make all your money by playing the trend in the middle. Well for twelve years I have been missing the meat in the middle but I have made a lot of money at tops and bottoms.” Do you trade with support and resistance levels? Let us know your thoughts in the comment section!
Education
by TradingView
5
USOIL (H2) : THE USOIL TARGETTING USD 80.00 IN THE BULLISH TRENDUSOIL (H2) : THE USOIL TARGETTING USD 80.00 IN THE BULLISH TREND According to this technical analysis, the current trend indicates an upward movement for USOIL. Prices are trading above moving average intersections, and the MACD indicator shows positive signs. Considering this, we can consider buying from the current price of $75, with a profit-taking target around $76 per barrel. Additionally, some traders expect the price to rise further, potentially targeting the resistance area around $80. Keep an eye on the market developments and adjust your trading plan accordingly! 1. Technical Analysis: 1. Trend: The current trend for USOIL is bullish. 2. Moving Averages: Prices are trading above key moving averages, which is a positive sign. 3. MACD Indicator: The MACD indicator also shows bullish momentum. 2. Price Levels: 1. Current Price: $71.74 per barrel. 2. Profit Target: Consider buying with a profit-taking target around $75.57 per barrel. 3. Potential Upside: Some traders expect the price to rise further, potentially targeting the resistance area around $80.00. LIKE👍, COMMENT 💬 & FOLLOW ➕, these figures can encourage me to analyze more efficiently for you. My all followers are requested to support me, comment my ideas and share your thoughts in comment box and new comers are invited to follow and support me.
TVC:USOIL
by Ali_Explorer
37
PEPEUSDT.1DExamining the PEPE/USDT chart closely, I’ve identified several elements that stand out in the current trading environment. Here's a detailed analysis: Key Resistance and Support Levels: Resistance 1 (R1) at 0.00000693: This level is immediately noteworthy as the price is currently testing it. A break above could indicate bullish sentiment building in the short term. Resistance 2 (R2) at 0.00001377: Much higher than R1, reaching this level would suggest significant bullish momentum and a possible shift in market dynamics. Resistance 3 (R3) at 0.00001724: This is an optimistic target and would likely require a major catalyst or a shift in broader market sentiment. Support 1 (S1) at 0.00000379: If the price breaks below this level, it could lead to further declines as it represents the most recent low. Support 2 (S2) below the chart’s visible range: The presence of another support below S1 suggests a zone where buyers previously stepped in. Technical Indicators: MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD is currently below the signal line but close to a crossover. This could suggest that upward momentum is starting to build, especially if the MACD crosses above the signal line soon. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI stands at 41.90, which is below the midline of 50, indicating that the market might still be in a bearish phase or at least not strongly bullish yet. Chart Patterns: A downward trendline is evident, marking resistance levels that have capped price rallies. The current price action near R1 could be crucial; a decisive break above this trendline might suggest a trend reversal. Fibonacci retracement levels from a prior rise show significant levels at 0.561 and 0.727, indicating areas where the price found support or resistance before, aligning with our current levels. Conclusion: The current setup on the PEPE/USDT chart suggests caution with a watchful eye on potential bullish signals. A break above R1 and the downward trendline would be a positive sign, potentially leading to tests of higher resistance levels. Conversely, failing to overcome R1 could see the price retesting support at S1, with a risk of falling to lower levels if bearish pressure intensifies. Given the proximity of the MACD to its signal line and the RSI’s position, traders should remain alert for changes in momentum and adjust their strategies accordingly. Setting strategic stop-loss orders and considering the impact of broader market trends on PEPE’s price movement would be prudent.
by MarsSignals
3
The Basics of Becoming a Swing TraderIn this educational lesson, we will explain the concept of swing trading so that aspiring traders can learn how it works and what it means. Swing trading is considered a short to medium-term strategy that aims to trade specific market “swings” or oscillations within a broader trend. Swing trading is not day trading, and it is not long-term investing. Instead, it fits somewhere between those two disciplines. Swing trading typically spans a few days to several weeks and it begins with the trader spotting a large trend, finding a discrepancy in the current price within that larger trend, and then structuring a trade based on this intermediate price action. Swing traders primarily rely on technical analysis, using indicators and strategies to spot these specific swings within larger trends. Before we discuss the details of these indicators and other concepts, allow us to give you the basics one more time. Here are the key points: Timeframe: Medium term Analysis: Mostly technical Goal: Capitalize on moves within larger trends Example: Open a chart of USD/JPY ( USDJPY Chart — Dollar Yen Rate — TradingView ) and look at the trend since early 2021. Now, within that trend, look for the oscillations and swings that occurred, showing quick drops and then quick rises or vice versa. Swing traders look to spot these price movements within the overall trend, placing trades that last a few days to several weeks. Forex Swing Trading: Forex markets are ideal for swing trading due to high liquidity, typically tight spreads, and around the clock trading. Traders usually focus on momentum peaks and dips, rather than long-term currency value. Both concepts are unique to forex markets and make it ripe for swing trading. In addition, like all other markets, technical tools can be accessed in forex markets as well. If you’re interested in learning how specific indicators are used by swing traders, go give the following indicators a look: 1. A short to medium-term moving average like 5, 10 or 20 days. 2. MACD to research crossovers and divergence between price and moving averages. 3. Stochastic oscillators to look for overbought and oversold conditions. 4. Pivot Points to look for potential support and resistance levels on shorter time intervals. Thanks for reading our latest educational post about becoming a swing trader! Be sure to follow us for more updates and educational resources like this.
Education
by FOREXcom
1
Bitcoin: Resistance Now Back To Support?Bitcoin rejected the 56K support and is now testing 64K resistance. Read my previous article to learn how I described this scenario a week in advance. With price at a proven resistance, along with a couple of inside bars suggests momentum continuation higher BUT how much higher? With the coming week typically being the SLOWEST week of the year, expectations should be LOW as far as seeing a push back into the high 60KS. Based on the recent price history along with considering the broader context, I am anticipating the 64K resistance area sticks and price is more likely to see the 60K support over the coming week. Why this scenario over the countless possibilities? My reasoning is simple: the broader context has proven to be a range bound environment. In a range or consolidation, relevant support and resistance levels have a greater tendency to hold. That is the expectation, but whether the MARKET decides to agree with that is another story. This is precisely why having a routine way to CONFIRM the price action is key (this is what my Trade Scanner Pro is all about). The market is currently at a resistance, IF price action confirms a sell signal, the next support is around the 60K area (see arrow). I anticipate buying activity to confirm in such an area. To use this information effectively, you must have certain things figured out. For example, if you are a day trader, it is reasonable to look for sell signals across smaller time frames near the 64K area. Risk can range from 150 to 400 pts (1 min to 5 min time frame) while profit objectives can range from 200 to 500 points max. This is all determined by the parameters of the time frame you operate within. Getting short now and expecting a test of 60K because "its a big move" does NOT account for the associated risk and profit objectives of your relative time frame (Trade Scanner Pro calculates all of this). As I mentioned in my previous article, play the support/resistance levels or don't play at all. This is ESPECIALLY important this coming week which is typically the slowest of the year in terms of average volume. Slows grinds one way or the other, sharp movements one way or the other, lack of follow through, fake outs are all very common occurrences in such an environment. In my opinion, play small, recognize when you are WRONG fast and do NOT cling to hope. For beginners especially, if there is any time to take time off, this is the week. If you must trade, at least trade on paper and learn while protecting yourself from a very highly random market. For the majority of participants, this is a game of CHANCE not skill. The reason is they are misinformed into believing they are cultivating a skill which in reality has NOTHING to do with the outcome of their trade or action. For example, being able to read oscillators, interpreting news and recognizing patterns, etc. Like a slot machine, no matter how good you get at interpreting the animations, fancy images, sounds and buttons, you will have absolutely no effect over the outcomes of your bets. Does it have to be this way in the markets? No, but it is all a function of the quality of the information you choose to consume. Not all information carries the same value. Here's something to consider: IF most of the population has access to the same information as you, chances are it offers NO advantage which means your outcomes are likely random. The skill in this game is being able to recognize value that is overlooked by the broader population while being flexible enough to adjust to changes that only price itself can convey. If you are having a hard time, you are most likely believing the misinformation that you consume. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
19
Bullish rise?EUR/CHF is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.94637 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Stop loss: 0.93811 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.95768 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
8
Will the BTC downtrend continue? BTC has down trended for 6 months. When you look at the smaller charts it's less obvious because it's messy but when you look at the monthly chart it's clear as can be. The upside wicks are all lower. The downside wicks are all lower. We've made a series of lower lows and lower highs since the false breakout. If we break again, we're going to go through the level I marked as the critical break level while we were at the high. Read old post here; Real make or break level for BTC now. Would be a very good look for it if it could break the downtrend, but if we can't we might be getting close to the obvious yank on this. We might have been a through a 6 month period of baiting. Bringing in the bulls before the turn. If that's what's happening, we'd be close now.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by holeyprofit
184
NVIDIA, parabolic move in progressIn my previous posts on NVIDIA, i mentioned that we are heading north and its likely going to get steep as we move ahead. The larger term view is we are going to complete larger Wave 3(multi-year) and we are in last wave 5 of wave 3(Please refer to my other chart for larger term view). Now i have tried to put Livermore Speculative chart on same chart and as of now its following it. I have two targets. These targets are 204 and 306 which i got from fibonacci levels. This is not a trade recommendation or financial advise. Kindly consider proper risk management. If you like the idea, kindly like, share and subscribe. :)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by coding_thoughts
28
USDJPY - Trading The Ascending Triangle BreakoutAfter a nearly 2,000 pip plunge, USDJPY has found support & has started to reverse. We ended the week not only violating an important level of previous structure resistance, but we also had a breakout & are currently retesting an ascending triangle. This sets us up for a potential bullish (short-term) continuation opportunity & in this video I'll show you where I'm looking for price to potentially go to next. Questions, Comments, or Views on this pair, please leave them below as I love to talk trading. Hope you guys have a great weekend & keep you eyes out for more videos from me on this space. Akil
Long
by Akil_Stokes
10
How to Decode Market Days: Wide Range, Inside, and Outside DaysHey Traders! 👋 Let's break down some classic chart patterns that can clue you in on the market's next move. We're exploring Wide Range Days, Inside Days, and Outside Days today. These are your bread and butter for spotting potential volatility and directional shift s! Wide Range Days (WRD) These are the days when the market just can't sit still—volatility shoots through the roof, often without hitting new highs or lows. Triggered by unexpected news or a sudden surge in order activity, a WRD can signal that a peak or pivotal reversal is near. 💡 Tip: If the market closes near the high or low of a WRD, it’s a strong hint at continued movement in that direction. But remember, extreme moves often lead to a pause or reversal as the market catches its breath. Outside Days An Outside Day steps out of the shadow of the previous day, with a high higher and a low lower than the day before. This pattern often hints at a reversal, especially if it comes with high volatility. 💡 Keep in Mind: An Outside Day with low volatility and only slightly larger than the previous day is a weaker signal. It’s crucial to consider the context—what was the market like leading up to this? Inside Days 📈 Why They Matter: Inside Days are like the market taking a time-out, staying within the range set by the previous day. This pattern usually signals a decrease in volatility and can indicate a consolidation phase after a big move. Trading Strategy: Post-explosive move, if all the action has attracted everyone likely to buy in, the price might be too steep for new players, leading to a stagnant or reversing trend once the news fades or the market reevaluates. Wrapping It Up 🙌 Single-day patterns are just pieces of the larger market puzzle. They’re common but need discerning eyes to interpret correctly. Always corroborate these patterns with other indicators and market context to enhance your trading strategy. Remember, trading is not just about recognizing patterns but understanding the market's language. Keep refining your approach and stay ahead of the curve. Happy trading!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by MagnumStrategy
10
How to Use Fibonacci Retracements to Find Entry and Exit PointsAlright, traders, let’s talk about Fibonacci Retracements — the tool that’s part math, part mysticism, and all about finding those sweet spots for entry and exit. If you’ve ever wondered how seasoned traders seem to know exactly when to jump in and when to cash out, chances are they’ve got Fibonacci retracements in their toolbox (or they’re insider trading). What Are Fibonacci Retracements? Fibonacci Retracements are based on the famous ​​Fibonacci sequence — a string of numbers discovered in the 1200s by the medieval Italian mathematician Leonardo of Pisa (later nicknamed Fibonacci, meaning "son of Bonacci"). The sequence of numbers starts with 1, 2, 3, 5 and grows by adding the sum of the two previous numbers. These mystical numbers show up everywhere from pinecones and seashells to the human hand and the Apple logo and, of course, the charts. It all comes down to 61.8%, the golden child of market moves and corrections. But before you go off believing Fibonacci is some sort of market sorcerer, let’s break it down. The Key Levels 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% : These are the Fibonacci retracement levels you’ll see on your chart when you whip up the Fibonacci Retracement. They’re acting as the market’s pit stops — areas where the price could take a breather or reverse altogether. Traders use these levels to predict how far a price might pull back before resuming its trend. Put simply, it’s like finding the market’s sweet spot where it says, “Enough with the chit-chat, let’s bounce.” How to Use Fibonacci Retracements Identify the Trend : First, you need a clear trend — trace a price trajectory and make sure there is a well-defined and sustained move either up or down with a clear reversal at the end. No trend? No Fibonacci. Draw the Retracement : Stretch the Fib tool from the start of the move (swing low) to the end (swing high). If the trend is up, draw from low to high. If it’s down, high to low. Watch as those golden ratios light up your chart like a Christmas tree. Now you’ve got your levels mapped out and you can easily start looking for the potential turning points. Spot the Bounce : The series of horizontal lines on your chart — these are your Fibonacci levels, and they’re not just pretty—they’re potential support and resistance zones. When the price retraces to a Fib level, it’s decision time. Will it bounce, or will it break? The 61.8% level is the big one — the golden ratio. If the price holds there, it may be a sign that the trend could continue. If it breaks, well, it’s time to reassess. Think of it as the market’s line in the sand. Finding Entry Points Here’s where it gets interesting. Imagine the market’s been on a bull run, but then starts to pull back. You’re itching to buy, but where? This is where Fibonacci levels shine. When the price retraces to a key Fibonacci level (say 38.2% or 50%), it’s like the market is pausing to catch its breath. That’s your cue to consider entering a position. You’re aiming to ride the next wave up once the market finishes its coffee break at one of these levels. Nailing Exit Points On the flip side, if you’re already in a trade and looking to lock in profits, those same Fibonacci levels can be your guide for exiting. If the price is approaching a key level from below, it might be time to secure your gains before the market pulls another U-turn. For the bold and brave, you can even set your sights on the 161.8% level — this is where Fibonacci extensions come into play. It’s a target for when the market decides it’s not just going to bounce, but rocket into the stratosphere. Pro Tip: Fib Confluence Looking to up your game? Combine Fibonacci with other indicators like moving averages or trendlines. When multiple signals converge around a Fib level, it may be a strong confirmation that the trend could turn. Pay attention and always do your own research — fakeouts are real. Why It Works (and Why It Doesn't) Some say Fibonacci levels work because they’re rooted in natural mathematics. Others believe it’s a self-fulfilling prophecy because so many traders use them. And just like any strategy, it doesn’t work 100% of the time. The market has a mind of its own, and sometimes it just doesn’t care about your Fibonacci levels. But when they do work, they can give you a serious edge. The Bottom Line Fibonacci Retracements aren’t just a bunch of lines on a chart — they’re your reminder that maybe everything is indeed one from the universe’s perspective and there are naturally occurring patterns everywhere. Whether you believe in the math and the or just like the results, one thing’s for sure: Fibs can give you an edge in spotting when to hold back or lean forward. So next time you’re stuck wondering when to buy or sell, try the Fibonacci.
Education
by TradingView
12
Crypto and Bitcoin Market Update - Price Forecasts and MoreIn this video, I cover where I think the markets go next, including Bitcoin, ETH and Solana. And how the NASDAQ:IBIT has become similar to the !CME in terms of how price tends to fill any gaps. Nobody else is talking about this, but see for yourself and start tracking the IBIT gaps on a 4 Hour chart -- You'll be amazed. I also share potential paths, likely a dip first, then push higher toward ATH. And a new study I've been refining based on liquidity and timing cycles, showing we're very close to a major move upward in Bitcoin and the rest of the market. Howerver, I feel the biggest bang for your $ will be BTC, SOL, and ETH from here. Let me know what you think, and please like the video.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by BrettFogle
9
Entering into a resistance zone, watching for support to hold Ahoy, fellow chart sailors! 🚢 Looks like we're steering into some resistance waters at the moment. Here's the treasure map for today: The Resistance: We're bumping up against a notorious resistance level. Will it be the plank or will we sail through? Support Ahoy: Keep your telescopes on the support lines. If we start to sink, these are the levels where we might find some buoyancy. Volume Waves: Keep an eye on the trading volume. A surge could mean we're about to discover new lands (breakout), or it might just be a siren's song. Signal Flags: My indicators are fluttering in the wind. The RSI is hinting we might be overbought, but the MACD still waves the bullish flag. What flags are you flying? Trading Tactics: Bullish Buccaneers: If you're on the long voyage, maybe set your stop-loss anchors just below the key support. Bearish Brigands: If you're looking to short, wait for the cannons to confirm a breach below support. What's your game plan as we sail through this resistance? Drop your thoughts below! Let's navigate these waters together. 🌊 Keep your wits about you and may your trades be ever in your favor! Let's share our charts and insights. After all, a rising tide lifts all boats!
Long
by Blayno_MTOPS
11
GOOG Analysis: Short Opportunity on the Horizon?Hello Traders, I'm sharing my analysis for GOOG, breaking it down in the simplest way possible. Wave Patterns: The previous upward trend lasted 3x as long as the recent downtrend, which was 2x. By dividing the last uptrend into three equal periods (3x), I projected the future downtrend (2x) to mirror the previous wave structure (5x total: 3x uptrend and 2x downtrend). Based on this, I expect the downtrend that began on July 8, 2024, to potentially conclude around August 25, 2025. Regression Channel: I've drawn the main regression channel on the weekly chart. GOOG's price recently bounced from the channel's upper deviation line, dropping from 190 to 155, which is near the channel's middle line. I anticipate it could reach 175 before continuing downward, forming a new downtrend. Conclusion: Given these observations, I see a promising short opportunity, targeting the channel's lower deviation at 127. Let's keep a close watch on this setup! NASDAQ:GOOG
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by Eymen-GUVEN
6
AMD Rose 20% in Two Weeks. Here Is What Its Chart ShowsAdvanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD has gained some 20% in the past two weeks, rising in part on news of plans to buy privately held server maker ZT Systems for $4.9 billion. Where does technical analysis say the stock might go from here? The ZT acquisition, which AMD announced on Monday, appears to be all about keeping up with Wall Street darling Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA in the hot area of generative artificial intelligence, or “AI.” Chips designed by firms like AMD and NVDA perform all of the calculations that make generative AI possible. They are the brains of a network that stitches a multitude of servers together inside a data center. AMD is buying ZT for its expertise in this space, paying 75% cash and 25% stock in a deal the company expects to close next year. The company said in a statement announcing the deal that it plans to divest the part of ZT that manufactures servers, which is currently ZT’s primary revenue-producing business. AMD appears to just want ZT’s AI people. Now, AMD seems unlikely to catch Nvidia any time soon in the data center/cloud/AI race. But the ZT deal could help the company remain No. 2 in the space, biding its time and staying relevant and competitive. AMD has already come a long way since Lisa Su took over as president and CEO in 2014 (and as board chair in 2022). First it was PCs and CPUs, as AMD over time stole market share from once-dominant Intel $NASDAQ:INTC. Next AMD focused on gaming, GPUs and the data center. Now the company is taking aim at generative AI, once again doggedly pursuing an industry giant (NVDA) that has a big lead -- and an even bigger reputation. The game afoot only grows more complex, and the technology more advanced as time goes on. AMD’s Fundamentals As for fundamentals, AMD still has two months until it reports results for the current quarter in late October. Last month, the company posted second-quarter earnings that beat the Street on both the top and adjusted bottom lines, with 9% year-over-year sales growth. For the current quarter, the Street currently expects to see 32% year-on-year earnings growth and 16% revenue gains. If achieved, the results could represent AMD’s hottest quarter for sales growth since 2022, as well as its best earnings growth in even longer than that. Of course, AMD’s data center will have to lead if that’s going to happen, and Wall Street would like to see the company’s gap with Nvidia close just a bit among the firm’s higher-tech chips. AMD’s Technicals In the meantime, what might AMD’s chart tell us? Let’s take a look at where things stood as of Tuesday: The chart above shows a so-called “falling wedge” pattern, which historically denotes a bullish reversal. This pattern began back in March and continues to the present. Readers will also note that AMD has just retaken its 50-Day Simple Moving Average (the blue line in the chart above) and is now trying to retake its 200-day Simple Moving Average (the red line) as well. That makes the 200-Day SMA the stock’s current pivot point -- $156.78 as of Tuesday. In support of this set-up, AMD has a Relative Strength Index reading of 60, as denoted by the gray line above. That’s strong but not technically overbought, and is still rising in the chart above. We also have a Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) where the histogram of AMD’s 9-Day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” denoted by the blue bars at the bottom of the chart above) is already in positive territory. Meanwhile, AMD’s 12-day EMA (the black line above) has already crossed over the 26-Day EMA (the gold line). This crossover is typically a bullish sign, and would mean even more if the two averages were already in positive territory to go along with the stock’s positive 9-Day EMA. That's not very far from happening. Perhaps a push above the 200-Day SMA would bring in some capital if portfolio managers felt forced to increase their exposure. (Full disclosure: Moomoo Markets Commentator Stephen Guilfoyle was long both AMD and NVDA at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NASDAQ:AMD
by moomoo
2
Nvidia Q2 2024 Earnings PreviewAI Juggernaut Nvidia’s highly anticipated Q2 2024 earnings report is just one week away, scheduled for release after the market closes on Thursday, 29 August, at 6.20 am (AEST). Q2 performance expectations Revenue: $28.544 billion Revenue growth: 211.31% year-on-year (YoY) Earnings per share (EPS): $0.64. Highlights of the previous quarter Expectations are high for Nvidia’s Q2 earnings, given the company’s leadership in several key growth markets. Over the past year, Nvidia has experienced significant demand across various end markets, driven primarily by data centres and gaming. In data centres, the adoption of AI and machine learning has propelled strong sales of Nvidia’s specialised GPUs and networking products. Additionally, the company has benefited from shifting enterprise workloads to the cloud. NVidia’s gaming segment continues to thrive, supported by the rise of eSports, game streaming services, and blockbuster game releases optimised for NVIDIA hardware. What to expect Nvidia’s data centre segment, which includes sales of GPUs, networking gear, and AI software, is expected to grow further as major hyperscale customers like Amazon AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Alphabet GCP increasingly adopt Nvidia chips for AI workloads. Ongoing demand for Nvidia’s latest GPUs for gaming and creative applications is anticipated to remain a key driver of revenue growth. Nvidia’s automotive computing platforms are gaining traction with more electric and autonomous vehicle manufacturers, further boosting demand for the company’s chips. Additionally, the company’s Omniverse 3D simulation platform has seen triple-digit customer growth over the past year, indicating potential future gains in enterprise software. Potential challenges to watch for Supply chain constraints: while improving, may still limit upside potential. If foundry and component shortages persist, Nvidia might struggle to meet elevated demand, which could disappoint investors. A slowdown in the PC market: due to challenging macroeconomic conditions may weaken performance in the graphics segment, dampening overall earnings growth. Economic uncertainty: could also curb business spending if conditions deteriorate, disproportionately affecting Nvidia's data centre and enterprise segments. Increasing competition: from companies like AMD and Intel, which are also investing heavily in AI-focused chips, along with big tech and automotive firms developing their own AI chips, could potentially reduce demand for Nvidia’s offerings. Despite these risks, Wall Street remains bullish on Nvidia stock heading into the Q2 earnings report. Investors are focused on Nvidia’s long-term potential in AI, high-performance computing, autonomous vehicles, and the metaverse. Success in these areas is expected to drive share price momentum post-earnings. Nvidia Technical Analysis Nvidia’s share price is up over 159% year-to-date and has almost fully recovered its 35% drop from June to August. The recovery puts Nvidia’s all-time high of $140.76 firmly in focus in the lead-up to next week's earnings, with a sustained break above here opening the way for a push towards $150. On the downside, there is a strong band of support at $100 before the $90.69 low of early August. Not far below here resides the 200-day moving average at $85.26.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by IG_com
3