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Elliott Wave Expects Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) to Continue HigherShort Term Elliott Wave in Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) suggests it shows a bullish sequence from 4.20.2024 low favoring more upside. Up from 4.20.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 461.5 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 443.06. The ETF has extended higher in wave 3. Internal subdivision of wave 3 is unfolding as a nesting impulsive structure. Up from wave 2, wave (i) ended at 455.58 and wave (ii) ended at 447.9. Wave (iii) higher ended at 465.55 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 460.54. Last leg wave (v) ended at 465.74 which completed wave ((i)) in higher degree. Pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 461.5 and the ETF has extended higher. Up from wave ((ii)), wave i ended at 465.19 and wave ii dips ended at 462.03. Then it rallied higher in wave iii towards 478.28 and wave iv pullback ended at 473.80. Last leg wave v ended at 478.95 which completed wave (i) in higher degree. The ETF then pullback in wave (ii) towards 474.42. Near term, as far as it stays above 461.51, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Elliottwave-Forecast
14
Four Factors Driving Gold Prices Relative to Silver2600 years ago, the Anatolian Kingdom of Lydia minted the world’s first gold and silver coins. In doing so, the Lydian King Alyattes and his successor Croesus introduced the world’s first exchange rate: the gold-silver cross. Like any cross rate, the amount of silver that can be purchased with an ounce of gold is driven by both demand and supply-side factors, and the cross rate is anything other than stable. Sadly, we don’t have the time series of the gold-silver ratio dating back to ancient times, but we do have data going back to the launch of gold futures on December 31, 1974. Since the mid-1970s, one ounce of gold bought anywhere from 17 ounces to as many as 123 ounces of silver (Figure 1). Figure 1: The amount of silver an ounce of gold can buy has been highly variable In addition to the impact of monetary policy, which we have covered here, the gold-silver ratio appears to be governed by four other factors: Relative volatility and the silver beta Fabrication demand and technological change Gold’s use as a monetary asset Supply-side dynamics Relative volatility and beta To borrow an expression from the equity markets, silver is the high-beta version of gold. First, silver and gold prices usually have a strong positive correlation. Since 2004 the one-year rolling correlation of their daily price moves has hovered around +0.8 (Figure 2). Second, silver is more volatile than gold. As such, when gold prices move up, silver tends to move up more, thereby lowering the gold-silver price ratio. By contrast, during bear markets, the gold-silver ratio tends to rise. Figure 2: The correlation of gold and silver price changes has hugged +0.8 since 2004. For example, when gold and silver prices peaked in September 2011, one ounce of gold bought fewer than 32 ounces of silver (Figure 3). In the ensuing bear market, the ratio rose to as high as 124 ounces of silver per ounce of gold. The ratio snapped back to 64 in 2020 as gold and silver rallied early in the pandemic. In 2024, as both metals have rallied, silver has outperformed, rising 23% in the first five months of the year compared to 12% for the yellow metal. Figure 3: Positive correlation plus much higher volatility give silver a high beta to gold Fabrication Demand and the Impact of Technological Change What is curious is that while gold and silver have rallied thus far in 2024, gold broke to new record highs of nearly $2,500 per ounce whereas silver prices remain 40% below their twin 1980 and 2011 peaks despite having outperformed gold since 2020 (Figure 4). The reason may lie in technological advances. Figure 4: Gold has hit records in 2024 while silver is still 40% below its 1980 and 2011 record highs Even before the Lydians minted the first gold and silver coins around 600 BCE, both metals had been used to make jewellery: silver since around 2500 BCE and gold since 4500 BCE. Some things don’t change. Even today, the primary use of both metals is to make jewellery. Yet, thus far this century, silver has been buffeted by two sets of technological developments: the digital revolution and the energy transition. Both have impacted the relative gold-silver ratio. In 1999, photography used 267.7 million troy ounces of silver which accounted for 36.6% of that year’s total silver supply. By 2023 photography used only 23.2 million ounces of silver or about 2.3% of 2023’s total supply due to the rise of digital photography. Meanwhile, silver’s use in electronics and batteries grew from 90 million ounces to 227.4 million ounces or from 12.3% to 22.7% of silver’s total annual supply, partially offsetting the decline in traditional photography, which may partially explain why silver has struggled to hit new highs in recent years even as gold has set records. The good news for silver, however, is that it is finding new use in the energy transition. Over the past few years silver has seen strong growth coming from solar panels, which accounted for 20% of 2023 silver demand, up from essentially nothing in 1999 (Figure 5). Solar panels may explain in part why silver has recovered relative to gold since 2020. Figure 5: Battery and solar panel demand have grown as photography demand has shrunk If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com By contrast, gold fabrication demand has shown itself to be immune from recent technological developments and is still overwhelmingly dominated by jewellery demand, with electronics, dental and other uses absorbing just 17% of annual gold mining supply (Figure 6). The differences in silver and gold fabrication demand underscores that gold is considered the purer of the two precious metals. Figure 6: Gold fabrication demand has remained little changed Gold and global monetary policy Indeed, central banks around the world treat gold as money while they largely ignore silver (Figure 7). They hold a combined 36,700 metric tons of gold, the equivalent of 1.2 billion troy ounces or 13 years of global mining output. Moreover, central banks have been net buyers of gold every year since the global financial crisis. Figure 7: Central banks have been net buyers of gold since the global financial crisis Central bank buying of gold since 2009 contrasts sharply with their tendency to be net sellers from 1982 to 2007. Central banks’ accumulation of gold suggests that they want a hard asset to complement their foreign exchange reserves of dollars, euros, yen and other fiat currencies, a view that appears to have been reinforced by on-and-off quantitative easing since 2009 and increased use of financial sanctions. Central bank buying impacts gold prices directly, but only boosts silver prices indirectly via the gold market. The supply side of the equation Central bank gold buying reduces the amount of gold available to the public. Over the past decade, central bank buying has removed the equivalent of 8%-20% of new mining supply from the gold market each year (Figure 8) which may also explain why the gold-silver ratio rose significantly from 2011 to 2020 and why, even today, it remains at 2x its 2011 level. Figure 8: Net of central bank buying, gold supply has stagnated since 2003 Total gold supply net of official purchases has stagnated since 2003. Meanwhile, silver mining supply peaked in 2016 and gold mining supply peaked the next year (Figure 9). The fact that new supply is arriving on the market more slowly than in the past may be bullish for both gold and silver. Figure 9: Gold and silver respond negative to changes in each other’s mining supply. Our econometric analysis shows that gold and silver prices are negatively correlated with changes to one another’s mining supply. A 1% decrease in gold mining supply, on balance, boosted gold prices by 1.9% and silver by 3.0% from 1974 to 2023. A 1% decease in silver mining supply boosted the prices of the metals by 1.3%-1.6% (Figure 10). Secondary supply appears to respond to price rather than drive it. Higher prices incentivize more recycling, but recycled metal doesn’t appear to depress prices as it doesn’t bring any new metal onto the market. Figure 10: Secondary supply responds to price rather than drives it What connects the two markets is jewellery. Because gold is 70x as costlier than silver, when prices rise, demand for gold jewellery falls while silver’s jewellery demand is relatively unresponsive to price because it costs much less. Gold and silver can be seen as a sort of binary star system where the two stars orbit a common center of gravity or barycenter. Gold is the larger, more stable and more influential of the two, but it is by no means immune from silver’s pull. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com By Erik Norland, Executive Director and Senior Economist, CME Group *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by CME_Group
4
TSLA / NVIDIA / INTC - The rotation trade?TSLA has been upderperfing the market, but is now showing some signs of potential life since Elon musks pay package was approved. A bullish breakout pattern is on watch. NASDAQ:INTC looks ready for a bullish move. Just like NASDAQ:ADBE & NASDAQ:TSLA popped on earnings, it looks like NASDAQ:INTC could be the next oversold S&P500 stock to bounce. If we see any weakness in NASDAQ:NVDA we may see capital rotate into other cheaper semis. S&P500 setting nee ATH.
NASDAQ:NDX
by Trading-Capital
5
Options Blueprint Series: Swap Strategies for High VolatilityIntroduction CME Group Gold Futures have always been a cornerstone in the commodities market, offering investors and traders a way to hedge against economic uncertainties and inflation. With the current market environment exhibiting heightened volatility, traders are looking for strategies to capitalize on these fluctuations. One such strategy is the Straddle Swap, which is particularly effective in high volatility scenarios. By utilizing the Straddle Swap strategy on Gold Futures, traders can potentially benefit from price swings driven by news events, economic data releases, and other market-moving occurrences. Strategy Explanation The Straddle Swap strategy is designed to capitalize on high volatility by leveraging options with different expirations. Here’s a detailed breakdown of how this strategy works: Components of the Straddle Swap: 1. Buy one call option (longer expiration) This long call option benefits from upward price movements in Gold Futures. 2. Sell one call option (shorter expiration) This short call option generates premium income, which offsets the cost of the long call option. As it has a shorter expiration, it benefits from faster time decay. 3. Buy one put option (longer expiration) This long put option benefits from downward price movements in Gold Futures. 4. Sell one put option (shorter expiration) This short put option generates premium income, which offsets the cost of the long put option. It also benefits from faster time decay due to its shorter expiration. Rationale for Different Expirations: Longer Expirations: The options with more days to expiration provide a longer timeframe to capture significant price movements, whether upward or downward. Shorter Expirations: The options with less days to expiration decay more quickly, providing premium income that reduces the overall cost of the strategy. This helps mitigate the effects of time decay on the longer-dated options. Market Analysis Using TradingView Charts: To effectively implement the Straddle Swap strategy, it’s crucial to analyze the current market conditions of Gold Futures using TradingView charts. This analysis will help identify optimal entry and exit points based on volatility and price trends. The current price action of Gold Futures along with key volatility indicators. Recent data shows that the 1-month, 2-month, and 3-month Historical Volatilities have all been on the rise, confirming a high volatility scenario. Application to Gold Futures Let’s apply the Straddle Swap strategy to Gold Futures given the current market conditions. Identifying Optimal Entry Points: Call Options: Buy one call option with a 100-day expiration (Sep-25 2024) at a strike price of 2370 @ 64.5. Sell one call option with a 71-day expiration (Aug-27 2024) at the same strike price of 2370 @ 53.4. Put Options: Buy one put option with a 100-day expiration (Sep-25 2024) at a strike price of 2350 @ 63.4. Sell one put option with a 71-day expiration (Aug-27 2024) at the same strike price of $2350 @ 52.5. Target Prices: Based on the relevant UFO support and resistance levels, set target prices for potential profit scenarios: Upper side, target price: 2455. For put options, target price: 2260. Potential Profit and Loss Scenarios: Scenario 1: Significant Upward Movement If Gold Futures rise sharply above 2370 within 100 days, the long call option will generate a potentially substantial profit. The short call option will expire in 71 days, limiting potential losses. Scenario 2: Significant Downward Movement If Gold Futures fall sharply below 2350 within 100 days, the long put option will generate a potentially substantial profit. The short put option will expire in 71 days, limiting potential losses. Scenario 3: Minimal Movement If Gold Futures remain relatively stable, the premiums collected from the short options (71-day expiration) will offset some of the cost of the long options (100-day expiration), minimizing overall losses. Further options could be sold against the long 2350 call and long 2350 put once the shorter expiration options have expired. Specific Action Plan: 1. Initiate the Straddle Swap Strategy: Enter the positions as outlined above following your trading plan, ensuring to buy and sell the options at the desired strike prices and expirations. 2. Monitor Market Conditions: Continuously monitor Gold Futures prices and volatility indicators. Adjust or close the strategy if necessary based on significant market changes. 3. Manage Positions: Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. If the market moves favorably, consider exiting the positions at the target prices to lock in profits. 4. Reevaluate Periodically: Periodically reevaluate the positions as the options approach their expiration dates. Make any necessary adjustments to the strategy based on updated market conditions and volatility. By following this type of trade plan, traders can effectively implement the Straddle Swap strategy, taking advantage of high volatility in Gold Futures while managing risk through careful monitoring and the use of stop-loss orders. Risk Management Effective risk management is crucial for success in options trading, particularly when employing strategies like the Straddle Swap. Here, we will discuss the importance of risk management, key techniques, and best practices to ensure that traders can mitigate potential losses and protect their capital. Importance of Risk Management: Minimizing Losses: Trading inherently involves risk. Effective risk management helps minimize potential losses, ensuring that a single adverse move does not significantly impact the trader’s overall portfolio. Preserving Capital: By managing risk, traders can preserve their capital, allowing them to stay in the market longer and capitalize on future opportunities. Enhancing Profitability: Proper risk management allows traders to optimize their strategies, potentially increasing profitability by avoiding unnecessary losses. Key Risk Management Techniques: 1. Stop-Loss Orders: Implementing stop-loss orders helps limit potential losses by automatically closing a position if the market moves against it. For the Straddle Swap strategy, set stop-loss orders for the long call and put options to exit positions if prices reach predetermined levels where losses would exceed the desired trade risk set by the trader. 2. Hedging: Use hedging techniques to protect positions from adverse market movements. This can involve purchasing protective options or futures contracts. Hedging provides an additional layer of security, ensuring that losses in one position are offset by gains in another. 3. Avoiding Undefined Risk Exposure: Ensure that all positions have defined risk parameters. Avoid strategies that can result in unlimited losses. The Straddle Swap strategy inherently has limited risk due to the offsetting nature of the long and short options. 4. Precision in Entries and Exits: Timing is crucial in options trading. Ensure precise entry and exit points to maximize potential gains and minimize losses. Use technical analysis key price levels such as UFO support and resistance prices, and volatility indicators to identify optimal entry and exit points. 5. Regular Monitoring and Adjustment: Continuously monitor market conditions and the performance of open positions. Be prepared to adjust the strategy based on changing market dynamics, such as shifts in volatility or unexpected news events. Additional Risk Management Practices: Diversification: Spread risk across multiple positions and asset classes to reduce the impact of any single trade. Other liquid options markets could be WTI Crude Oil Futures; Agricultural products such as Wheat Futures, Corn Futures, or Soybean Futures; Index Futures such as the E-mini S&P 500 Futures; and even Bond and Treasury Futures such as the 10-Year Note or the 30-Year Bond Futures. Position Sizing: Carefully determine the size of each position based on the trader’s overall portfolio and risk tolerance. Education and Research: Stay informed about market conditions, economic indicators, and trading strategies to make well-informed decisions. By incorporating these risk management techniques, traders can effectively navigate the complexities of options trading and protect their investments. Ensuring more precision with entries and exits, using stop-loss orders, and implementing hedging strategies are essential practices that contribute to long-term trading success. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
COMEX:GCV2024Education
by traddictiv
10
World's Top Companies: Who’s in the Exclusive $1T Club & Beyond?But wait, it gets even more exclusive than a mere $1 trillion! There’s a $2 trillion club with just a single player and a super-duper hyper-elite ultra club of $3 trillion. Can you name the participants? Being part of the world’s biggest companies isn’t easy. It may look easy — these corporate giants gain billions of dollars in market cap before you make your morning cup of coffee (especially if you’re drowsy after a late-night options trading action). In this Idea, we look at the dynamic docket of the world's most expensive companies, neatly stacked up in the TradingView Top companies list . The world has never seen so much money concentrated in a few select companies. Fun fact: all of them had humble beginnings like starting out of a garage and trying to get clients through cold calling — but ended up changing the world with things like the iPhone. Today, a total of seven companies are worth $1 trillion or more each and three of them boast a valuation of over $3 trillion each. Can you guess the common theme across all? It starts with “A” and ends with “I”. Artificial intelligence (AI) has been popping these stocks to record highs for months now. And there’s no sign of slowing down the insane growth. All of these companies, except for one that’s not based in the US, are listed in the broad-based S&P 500 index and make up about 30% of its total weight. Can you spot them in the S&P 500 Stock Heatmap ? Note that all numbers and rankings are measured by the companies' performances through mid-June of this year. Let’s roll! 1. 🧩 Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ) Microsoft is the world’s most valuable company worth a staggering $3.289 trillion. The software maker quickly swooped in to lead the AI race by backing ChatGPT parent OpenAI . It has invested $13 billion in the startup. Microsoft’s growth is largely driven by the adoption of AI across its product suite. Artificial intelligence-powered assistants such as Microsoft Copilot can operate without human intervention or direct commands, making companies’ lives easier and more productive. 💰 Market Cap : $3.289 trillion 🐮 Revenue : $211.91 billion (2023) 👶 How It Started : Microsoft's first major deal was with IBM in 1980. They developed the operating system for IBM's new computer, which they named PC DOS. The deal was worth $50,000. 2. 🧩 Apple (ticker: AAPL ) Apple has entered the chat. The iPhone maker just recently figured out how to play catch up in the AI race after doing virtually nothing for a year. Apple Intelligence — the company’s response to AI — got investors excited about the future growth prospects of iPhone sales and overall revenue generation. The AI announcement, made during Apple’s annual developer conference, helped lift its shares by 10% and propelled the company to the number one spot, dethroning Microsoft. Briefly, though . 💰 Market Cap : $3.258 trillion 🐮 Revenue : $383.29 billion (2023) 👶 How It Started : Apple traces its humble origins to Steve Jobs’s garage where he and another founder — Steve Wozniak, would test the products before selling them over the phone. A third founder — Ronald Wayne — was in the company for just 12 days and sold his 10% stake for $800. That stake today is worth more than $325 billion. 3. 🧩 Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ) Nvidia is the highflyer technology company responsible for building out the infrastructure layer of the artificial intelligence revolution. Its coveted AI chips are the hottest commodity for all other technology giants and that’s where Nvidia’s power comes from. Earlier this month, Nvidia’s market value crossed $3 trillion for the first time, overtaking Apple and becoming the third company to ever breathe the rarefied air of so much money. First place coming soon? 💰 Market Cap : $3.244 trillion 🐮 Revenue : $60.92 billion (2023) 👶 How It Started : Jensen Huang, who never interviews wearing anything other than a black jacket, was cleaning tables and washing dishes at his local Denny’s diner. And that’s where he sat with his two friends — hardware savant Chris Malachowsky and software geek Curtis Priem — when he founded his chip making business Nvidia. 4. 🧩 Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL ) Alphabet, parent of search dominator Google, is taking on Microsoft in the rushed race to market an AI assistant. The company’s first generation AI bot, Bard, suffered a major blow at launch (it returned false information). Subsequent attempts failed to present any threat to ChatGPT so Alphabet rebranded it to Gemini. 💰 Market Cap : $2.194 trillion 🐮 Revenue : $307.39 billion (2023) 👶 How It Started : The founders, Larry Page and Sergey Brin, initially worked on their search engine project from their dorm rooms at Stanford University. They later moved to a garage in Menlo Park, California, which was owned by Susan Wojcicki, former CEO of YouTube. Google purchased YouTube for $1.65 billion in 2005. Today, YouTube generates that amount in two weeks. 5. 🧩 Amazon (ticker: AMZN ) Amazon, the ecommerce and cloud computing heavyweight, is riding the AI wave thanks to its cloud computing division Amazon Web Services (AWS). It’s the company’s cash cow, revenue generator, profit driver, or however you want to call it. For the most recent quarter, AWS hit $100 billion in annual revenue run rate — a financial metric that estimates future growth based on current performance. Or the opposite of "Past performance is no guarantee of future results." 💰 Market Cap : $1.911 trillion 🐮 Revenue : $574.78 billion 👶 How It Started : Amazon was founded by Jeff Bezos in 1994 after he left his analyst job at the hedge fund D. E. Shaw & Co, inspired by the rapid growth of the internet. He took the risk of selling things online and picked books due to their wide selection and ease of distribution. And the rest is history. 6. 🧩 Saudi Arabian Oil (ticker: 2222 ) An outlier in the rankings saturated by tech giants, Saudi Arabian Oil is the world’s largest oil producer. Also known as Saudi Aramco, it’s the single most important revenue source for the Saudi government (makes up 92% of its budget to be exact). In 2022, when energy prices boomed following the Covid lockdown, Aramco pocketed record profits of $161 billion. 💰 Market Cap : $1.783 trillion 🐮 Revenue : $440.80 billion (2023) 👶 How It Started : Saudi Aramco was established in the 1930s when Standard Oil of California discovered oil in Saudi Arabia and formed the California-Arabian Standard Oil Company. By the 1980s, the Saudi government had fully nationalized the company, renaming it Saudi Aramco. 7. 🧩 Meta Platforms (ticker: META ) Last on our list of $1 trillion companies and beyond is Meta Platforms, previously known as Facebook. The brainchild of Harvard dropout Mark Zuckerberg had a rough 2022 with more than 70% wiped out of its value and knocking it out of the $1 trillion club. The following year, 2023, was a lot more generous to the social media behemoth as it gained nearly 200% and jumped right back into a 13-digit valuation. The company was up another 45% for the first half of 2024. 💰 Market Cap : $1.279 trillion 🐮 Revenue : $134.90 billion (2023) 👶 How It Started : Facebook was initially called "Thefacebook" and was limited to Harvard students when it first launched on February 4, 2004. The company’s first office was Mark Zuckerberg’s dorm room. 📣 Let’s Hear from You! What’s your favorite pick of the world’s top seven companies ranked by market capitalization? Let us know in the comments!
NASDAQ:MSFT
by TradingView
4
You Need An Edge In The Markets - Tradingview Has The Tools!👉📈 In the video, we look at a EURUSD trade opportunity, but more importantly, we delve into essential features and tools available on TradingView, which can considerably enhance your trading edge. Here’s what we cover: ✅ 1: Multi-Chart Layout: - TradingView’s workspace allows you to view multiple charts simultaneously. This feature is particularly useful when analyzing currency pairs like EURUSD. - By comparing different timeframes or related assets, you gain a broader perspective on market dynamics. ✅ 2: Currency Indexes: - Currency indexes provide crucial insights. They help answer questions like: Is the EUR (Euro) truly under pressure? Is the USD (US Dollar) gaining strength? - For instance, even if the EURUSD pair appears bearish, understanding the individual currency strengths is vital. Sometimes, two currencies may be trending in the same direction with one slightly stronger than the other.. you might look to avoid trading the currency pair associated with this scenario. ✅ 3: Entry, Stop Loss, and Target Levels: - We explore how to identify optimal entry points, setting a suitable stop-loss, and define profit targets. 📢Leveraging TradingView’s tools, you can fine-tune your trading strategy and gain a real edge in the currency markets. 📢 Remember, steady conservative and consistant trading, along with rigorous risk management, is key. Happy trading! 🛡️🌟
Short
by fxtraderanthony
18
BTC looks ready to deliver a 9% moveBitcoin prices are currently stuck in a rectangle pattern. A break below $66,000 could potentially send prices down to $60,000, a drop of 9%. Conversely, a break above $72,000 could lift prices towards $77,970 per coin. Recent trends show a stronger dollar, particularly against the Euro and British pound. If this strength continues, it could negatively impact Bitcoin prices, potentially leading to a break below the $66,000 support level. Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 is up 7.5% from its last swing low on May 31st without a major correction. While shorting the Nasdaq 100 is a high risk idea, a pullback is likely and could influence Bitcoin, pushing it below the critical $66,000 support. If Bitcoin breaks out of this rectangle pattern, traditional risk management suggests placing a stop loss at the high of the breakout candle for a bearish break and below the breakout candle low for a bullish breakout. This strategy allows the price to return to the pattern but prevents it from moving too deeply, which could result in reaching the other side of the pattern. As always, do your own research and proceed with caution. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
by ThinkMarkets
46
Forex Market Liquidity: Analysis and Implications for TradersForex Market Liquidity: Analysis and Implications for Traders The foreign exchange market is renowned for its dynamic and fast-paced nature. As traders navigate this landscape, understanding the concept of liquidity becomes crucial. In this article, we analyse its components, explore factors that influence it, measure and analyse its impact, discuss potential risks for traders, and present real-life examples to illustrate its implications. What Is Liquidity in the Forex Market? Liquidity in the forex market refers to the ease with which a currency pair can be bought or sold without causing a significant change in its price. Highly liquid assets are usually easily tradable, while less liquid assets may experience more considerable price fluctuations during transactions and bear higher spreads. Liquidity Components The liquidity of a currency pair is influenced by several factors, which traders need to consider when constructing a liquidity-proof trading strategy. These include the market depth, the bid-ask spread, and the trading volume. - Market depth represents the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels in the order book. A deep market with many orders at different price levels typically suggests higher liquidity. - The bid-ask spread is the difference between the highest price a buyer agrees to pay and the lowest price a seller agrees to accept. A narrower spread typically indicates higher liquidity, while a wider spread reflects lower liquidity. Traders often monitor the spread to gauge current conditions. - Trading volume refers to the total number of currency units traded within a specified period. Higher trading volume generally indicates greater liquidity, signalling a robust trend. Low trading volume could indicate liquidity issues. Risks for Traders Arising From Liquidity Levels in Forex Liquidity is a crucial consideration for traders as it directly affects transaction costs and the ease of entering or exiting positions. High levels generally result in lower transaction costs and less slippage, providing traders with potentially more exciting conditions. Additionally, liquidity may contribute to price stability, reducing the impact of large trades on prices. Low levels, on the other hand, can pose certain risks that traders must be aware of. In illiquid markets, larger trades can have a more pronounced impact on prices, potentially resulting in random price movements and unfavourable execution prices. Forex market liquidity implications suggest that low liquidity can lead to increased volatility, making it challenging to analyse price movements accurately. In low liquidity conditions, traders may also experience slippage and delays in order execution, impacting the efficiency of trades. Factors Influencing Liquidity in Forex Trading Various factors influence current market liquidity in the forex market, and understanding these dynamics is essential for traders: - Market Participants: The presence of a diverse range of participants, including retail traders, institutional investors, and central banks, contributes to liquidity. A balanced mix of participants often leads to a more liquid market. - Economic Indicators: Economic releases, such as employment data, GDP figures, and interest rate decisions, can significantly impact a currency’s trading activity. Traders often witness increased volatility before and after such data is released, affecting market liquidity. - Time of Day: Forex operates 24 hours a day, five days a week. Volume varies depending on the time of day, with peak liquidity during the overlap of major trading sessions. Forex Market Liquidity Indicators and Measures Assessing quantitative metrics is a fundamental initial step in a profound forex market liquidity analysis. Let’s discuss some popular indicators which can help evaluate the liquidity level using the trading volume: - On-Balance Volume (OBV): OBV assesses the strength of a price trend by evaluating the relationship between volume flow and price movements. Higher liquidity often accompanies stronger and more sustained price trends. - Volume Oscillator: When the volume oscillator is positive or above a specific threshold, it indicates that the recent trading volume has been relatively high. This may suggest that there is more liquidity in the asset. - Money Flow Index (MFI): The MFI considers trading volume as a component of its calculation. A high trading volume, when combined with significant price movements, can result in a higher MFI reading, indicating strong market participation and potentially higher liquidity. A low trading volume during price movements may result in a lower MFI reading, suggesting reduced liquidity and potentially less market interest. Price Gaps: In illiquid markets, there are fewer participants and lower trading volumes. In such conditions, price gaps are more likely to happen and can be more substantial. With fewer participants, it becomes challenging to match buyers and sellers efficiently. As a result, a significant order or news event can lead to a notable price gap when the market reopens. You can visit FXOpen and explore new trading opportunities for some of the most liquid currency pairs through the free TickTrader trading platform. Real-Life Examples of FX Liquidity To illustrate the importance of considering liquidity in a forex strategy and how it can impact trader behaviour, let’s consider some real-life examples: The 2015 Swiss Franc Depegging In 2015, the sudden decision by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to remove the Swiss Franc (CHF) peg against the euro had a profound impact on the forex. The depegging in January 2015 led to a sudden drop in value, causing not only an unprecedented shift in trading dynamics but also triggering a significant price gap. The market experienced a reduction in trading volume, highlighting the challenges of liquidity in the face of unexpected events. High Volumes During Trading Session Overlaps The EUR/USD currency pair experiences varying trading volumes throughout different global sessions, primarily influenced by the overlap of major trading hours. The chart below depicts the significant volume spikes occurring during the overlap between the European (UTC 08:00 - 17:00) and North American (UTC 13:00 - 22:00) sessions, commonly known as the "London-New York overlap." This period witnesses peak trading volumes, providing traders with optimal conditions for executing trades. Takeaway Understanding liquidity is paramount for traders navigating the complexities of the financial markets. By comprehending the components of trading activity and analysing influencing factors and their impact on real-life trading, traders may make more informed decisions to potentially reduce risks and optimise their trading strategies. You trade forex and commodity, stock, and index CFDs today by opening an FXOpen account! This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
8
Apple - Back to no.1 in the world!NASDAQ:AAPL is back to being no.1 in the world after rallying 11% in two days. After moving higher +25% over the past two months, Apple is now back to being the most valuable company in the world with a market cap of 3.4 trillion dollars. This means that Apple is now back to leading the indices but Apple is also retesting resistance. A pullback is definitely likely considering that trees do not grow to the sky, but the overall trend is simply clearly bullish! Levels to watch: $170, $215 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by basictradingtv
12
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 77.52 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 76.30 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 80.37 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
10
Crypto Coins Heatmap: The Ultimate Guide for Beginners (2024)Discover the easiest way to track, group and sort your favorite tokens in one place — the TradingView Crypto Coins Heatmap. Everyone — from the aspiring crypto enthusiast to the professional digital asset fund manager — needs it. Meet the ultimate cryptocurrency tracking and monitoring tool, the TradingView Crypto Coins Heatmap. What Is Crypto Coins Heatmap? Slick-looking, feature-rich, and aesthetically pleasing, the Crypto Coins Heatmap is a visual tool developed by TradingView. It displays the performance of crypto coins plastered over a single interface that allows users to keep tabs on price movements through color coding and percentage performance. Key Features Let’s start off with the basic features of the Crypto Coins Heatmap. 1. Color-Coded Performance Indicators Green indicates positive performance (coin go up — good.) Red indicates negative performance (bad coin — goes down.) Grey indicates slim to no price movement, typical for stablecoins. 2. Real-Time Price Data The heatmap is updated in real-time and shows the most current information so crypto geeks could know the price of everything all the time. 3. Market-Cap-to-Size Ratio The size of each crypto coin corresponds to its market capitalization, i.e. the more room it takes on the screen, the bigger the market value. Bitcoin ( BTCUSD ), the original cryptocurrency , takes up over half the entire screen because its dominance is over 50% of the total market’s worth. Key Functionalities What can you actually do with that data and can you customize it? Yes — let’s find out how. 1. Select Source At the top left, select “Crypto coins” and choose your preferred grouping. Crypto coins Crypto coins (Excluding Bitcoin) Crypto coins (Excluding Stablecoins) Coins DeFi 2. Size By Next up, hit the “Market cap” menu to arrange the digital assets by various sizes and parameters. Also, for a more detailed look, make sure to check the dedicated crypto market cap corner on the TradingView website. Market cap FD market cap Volume in USD 24h Total value locked Volume 24h / Market cap Market cap / TVL (total value locked) 3. Color By The third option from the top bar menu — “Performance” — shows you the tokens’ percentage return on various time frames. Performance from 1-hour to 1-year time frame. 24-hour volume change, measured in %. Daily volatility, measured in %. Gap, measured in % (previous day’s closing price to today’s opening price). 4. Toggle Mono Size The grid icon allows you to display all tokens in the same size. 5. Filter The filter icon is where it gets really precise — fine-tune your results by various size and performance metrics. 6. Settings The gear icon displays the layout settings and allows you to add or remove certain visual elements. Add or remove Title (by Description or Symbol). Add or remove Logo. Add or remove First value, measured in %. Add or remove Second value, measured in price or market cap. Color scheme: Classic, Color blind, Monochrome. 7. Share Icon Tell your crypto friends or cool uncle about this nifty interface by clicking on the Share icon to: Save image Copy link Share on Facebook Share on Twitter (X) 8. Heat Multiplier The x1 (by default) icon is the Heat Multiplier, which narrows down your search based on the percentage return on a given time frame. Play around with it to find out the biggest losers and winners in the crypto world. Why You Need the TradingView Crypto Coins Heatmap Interactive Charting Click on any token on the screen to bring up a detailed chart with all the key data you could want. Here’s an example of Ethereum’s ( ETHUSD ) interactive chart: Quickly grasp market conditions, sentiment, and trends with the intuitive interface. Comprehensive Market Overview Make precise comparisons between different cryptocurrencies to see how price performances stack up against each other. Final Considerations The TradingView Crypto Coins Heatmap is your gateway to current price data spanning all over cryptoland. Be sure to check it whenever you need a glimpse into the digital asset market and its volatile prices. And finally, maximize the heatmap’s potential by transferring the insights into your trading plan . Let us know if you use the Crypto Coins Heatmap — leave your comments below!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradingView
4
Injective Weekly AnalysisInjective (INJ) has been the biggest gainer of the week with a robust increase of 20.43%. After reaching an all-time high (ATH) of $53.01, INJ experienced a significant sell-off, filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the daily timeframe and touching a low of $18.70 before quickly bouncing back. Currently, INJ is trading within a range of $21.54 to $29, facing multiple rejections around the $29 mark. Despite these rejections, INJ is showing a slight bullish trend, forming higher highs and lower lows. If INJ manages to break out of this range, it could potentially surge to the next resistance level at $34. On both daily and weekly timeframes, moving averages strongly indicate a bullish signal, while oscillators remain neutral. Fundamentally, INJ is a strong asset to include in a portfolio. It is advisable to consider buying INJ during price dips to take advantage of potential discounts.
by Mudrex
12
Past Indications of uptrend health in the SPXEven when all empires fall, It's important to remember that as long as humanity in general continues to discover, explore, solve and invent, the better off we all are. That's why the price of indices always tend to go up. Even when they become stagnant, they eventually keep on increasing. The only thing that can revert this is a total collapse of society, which is unlikely in the present moment. Nevertheless, it's also important to observe the health of a trend. When price increases violently, then a correction is likely to occur. These corrections can be severe or simple technical resets. Technical resets are good for everyone as it allows new buyers to enter the market as well as provide good buying opportunities. However, circumstances can lead the price to not have reset but instead have a correction or a crash. The difference between the two is that a correction is slow to reach the bottom, while a crash is a sudden move downward. As one can see here leading up to the 2000 dot com crisis the uptrend was quite healthy, and it did a slight reset before going into euphoria, where price goes into the 3rd standard deviation range while pushing price higher and higher, before price lost momentum and eventually had a correction as the uptrend was way too aggressive. Meanwhile, leading up to 2008 crash there is a very aggressive uptrend, completely breaking into higher level deviations without going through the stages of a healthy uptrend. Causing the price to crash once the market realized that the system was still heavily corrupted by greed. However, since things throughout time do improve, this allowed for another aggressive uptrend to form which instead of running into a crash it went into a technical reset which latter became the longest bull market in USA history.
SP:SPXEducation
by DarkMessiah777
31
Top 3 Tips on How to Avoid FOMO Trading (Fear of Missing Out)Here you are, casually sipping your coffee and watching the clock go by while you wait for the market to open so you can buy a few shares of your new stock pick. Remember, you chose that one after deep research and careful planning. And then “ WHAM! ” Twitter notifications start flying. GameStop (ticker: GME ) is once again rocketing to the moon after some livestream on YouTube unleashes a huge buying spree. “MUST. GET. IN.” — you, probably, after you get your emotions shaken and stirred by something called FOMO. 🔔 What’s FOMO? FOMO is an abbreviation for Fear Of Missing Out. This little four-word phrase can throw your investment rationale, thesis and analysis out the window so it could settle in your prefrontal cortex where your brain goes to make life decisions. In this blog, we’ll talk about that little gremlin FOMO and what steps you can take to prevent it from overriding your emotions and decisions. And for the sake of your time, we’ll keep it short. Let’s go. 💡 Tip 1: Plan Your Trade Plan your trade in advance and don’t sink into the moment. Knowing your entry, take profit and stop loss before you move into your position will eliminate the urge to rush in when things get hot. 🔴 Problem: News Releases, Earnings Reports We all know how intense markets can get when there are news reports coming out. Company data such as earnings reports or some of America's top economic events , such as the widely anticipated nonfarm payrolls , or the Federal Reserve’s market-moving interest rate decisions can spur volatility and cause trading instruments to seesaw and fluctuate in both directions. And because these events are well-known in advance — the Fed only meets eight times a year — these moments can be an attractive invitation to make a profit. 🟢 Solution: Plan your trade and understand that news reports and earnings releases are a double-edge sword and even if the data supports a certain narrative, i.e. lower inflation = higher gold prices, this isn’t always the case. Take a step back, regulate your breathing and keep your emotions in check. Wait it out until the noise tones down. 💡 Tip 2: Avoid Revenge Trading Revenge trading is the trading you do when you want to get back at the market after getting smacked in the face with a loss. Next time you stare at a losing position, notice if you feel the urge to jump right back in and make up what you lost. That's revenge trading. 🔴 Problem: Losses and Missed Opportunities Taking a beating from Mr. Market can be a painful experience. Yet, not taking the loss the right way can lead to even more pain and wiped out funds. Whenever you’re staring at a losing position, you might be tempted to sell out and jump right back in an effort to make back what you lost. 🟢 Solution: Avoid revenge trading. Recognize that pesky feeling, which — whenever you lose money on a trade — makes you want to pare back your losses with one quick trade. That quick trade could be a) more aggressive (for more potential profit), and b) cost you even more money because you’ve been impatient. 💡 Tip 3: Don’t Chase the Pump Any pump usually has a strong pull, because it makes gains look easy. All you need to do is catch the speed train (or get onboard the rocket ship) and, boom, you're in profit. Although, it's not as easy as it looks. 🔴 Problem: Pump and Dump Schemes Quite often we see some little-known stock or a cryptocurrency with a small market capitalization perform some outstanding moves. It may shoot higher by 100% or more and that may trigger some FOMO in you, causing you to panic-buy and then watch your investment evaporate like snow in water. 🟢 Solution: Don’t chase the pump. It’s simple. A pump can play with your decision-making capabilities and cause you to make irrational choices out of the desire to join the volatility train. But many of those pumps end up as dumps. Pump and dump schemes are real — the gains go as quickly as they came and you don’t want any of that. Final Considerations Forming a deep emotional connection with the market isn’t a bad thing. This place is your passion and you’ve chosen to participate in it, together with its ups and down. What you should pay attention to is how you react to its changing moods and whether you behave logically or illogically to get what you want. Acting illogically can lead you to trip up so you want to distinguish that. Use your emotions to get rational inspiration and excitement about what you want to accomplish. 📣 Your Turn! Have you ever tripped up over a FOMO trade that hurt your account? What was your trigger and subsequent result? Let us know in the comment section below!
NYSE:GMEEducation
by TradingView
10
Weekly Analysis & Market Crash PredictionHere's a video going over what I'm watching heading into the week and what I expect leading up to FOMC. I'll do some more FOMC and market analysis before then as we get closer to Wednesday. Overall, I don't expect much, I think we'll have downside and chop until then. Either way, any moves made on Monday and Tuesday can be wiped out insantly on Wednesday, so I'll focus on some small day trades and averaging into longer dated puts for Monday and Tuesday most likely.
TVC:DXYShort
by AdvancedPlays
10
Using the Second Charts on TradingviewThis tutorial goes over the uses of the very low timeframe features that Tradingview offers, namely the 1 second through to the 30 second charts. The main advantage to these timeframes is that they permit you to clearly see whether your support and/or resistance levels are being held or are being rejected. This allows you to make a determination much quicker than if you are using higher timeframes. This can make or break your profit and setup and is quite an advantageous tool to utilize if you have access to these timeframe periods. In addition to visualizing support and resistance breaks/holds, the use of these smaller timeframe charts also allows you to apply methods such as the Heikin Ashi strategy much more effectively and quickly. If you are a scalper, it does add an insurmountable amount of value to your analysis. Thanks for watching and leave your questions and comments below! Safe trades everyone!
NASDAQ:METAEducation
by Steversteves
8
Bearish Reversal Insight AUDCAD Technical Analysis & Trade SetupThe AUDCAD currency pair is currently forming a Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern (XABCD), indicating a potential bearish reversal. Point D, the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), is aligned with a key resistance area and intersects a daily trend line, providing a strong confluence for a bearish bias. Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) and Key Resistance: Point D is identified as a critical area where the price is likely to reverse. This zone is reinforced by a key resistance level, adding validity to the bearish outlook. The intersection with the daily trend line further strengthens the likelihood of a trend reversal from this point. Entry Strategy: To capitalize on the expected trend reversal, the entry should be made at the breakout of the support level near 0.90450. This level is crucial as a confirmed breakout here would signal the start of a bearish trend. Stop Loss Placement: A stop loss should be placed above the resistance level at 0.91400. This placement ensures protection against potential false breakouts and market volatility. Take Profit Targets: The take profit targets for this trade are as follows: TP-1: 0.89500 TP-2: 0.88550 TP-3: 0.87600 These targets are strategically set at significant support levels to maximize gains while managing risk effectively. Conclusion: The formation of the Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern, combined with the confluence of the PRZ, key resistance area, and daily trend line, presents a compelling bearish setup for AUDCAD. By entering at the support breakout, setting a prudent stop loss, and targeting key support levels, this trade offers a favorable risk-reward profile for traders.
Short
by trading_jupiter
27
S&P 500 faces resistance ahead of crucial data and FOMC meetingThe bullish drive has been revived in US equity indices after a few weeks of downside pressure. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq both broke to new highs on Wednesday driven mostly by technology stocks. The ADP May employment report also helped revive some buying appetite as it came in below expectations. There isn’t a very good correlation between the ADP data and the non-farm payroll data released later today, but markets took benefit in the weaker reading as a sign of a possible cooling in the US labour market, which could allow the Federal Reserve to cut some time in the coming months. Money markets are assigning a 97% chance of no change from the central bank when it meets next week. But the ECB’s 25 basis point cut delivered on Thursday may have started to put traders in a better mood when considering the possibility that the Fed will actually be able to cut this year. For now, a 25-basis point rate cut is fully priced in by November, but Powell and his team have continued to be quite hawkish up until now, dampening hopes. Next week’s meeting will be a big test for markets as they’ll want an update on how the central bank expects things to unfold. Before the meeting, we’ll see the CPI data for May, another important market event. On the chart, the S&P 500 continues to show potential for upside movement, but the rise ascent is becoming more laborious. Thursday saw little movement for the index as traders took a pause ahead of the latest labour data released on Friday. There is likely to be a lot of focus on the wage component of the data, as wage inflation has been sticky in recent months, and a key reason stopping the Federal Reserve from cutting. If the data comes in softer than expected, then it is likely that we see further bullish follow-through in the S&P 500 and other major US indices. That said, the chart continues to show signs of being a bit over-extended so the extent of the move might be slightly limited. Traders will also be weary of the CPI data being released next week so they may want to hold off on being too bullish just yet. The majority of the move is likely to come after the FOMC meeting next Wednesday, especially if the bank starts to show a readiness to cut rates fairly soon.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by Capitalcom
6
Differences between paper trading & real money tradingMost people (including me sometimes) lack the right mindset, patience, and planning when it comes to trading. There is no magic technical indicators in trading, it all comes down to simple tools, just like my paper trading journey outlined in this BTCUSD chart. In the chart, I observed that: BTC was no longer trending as its price was ranging for nearly 50 days after the ATH; BTC momentum was weakening as it broke previous two horizontal support areas; Price came to the potential 120 EMA / trendline / downward channel support clusters. Since most of the time, asset price is ranging rather than trending, all we need to do is plot out the Fib levels in our chart and buy at support sell at resistance. You can see my major trades outlined in the chart. I did the same for other crypto symbols ETH & SOL at the same time. However, when it comes to real money trading, I would trade slightly differently. The mentality in paper trading is more aggressive. Usually in real money trading, when major support areas are broken, I would not fade a trend and try to catch the falling knife even you know there is potential support. What I'll most likely do is to wait for price breaks above the descending trendline (shows the strength) and look for opportunities in a potential 1-2-3 or 2B reversal pattern. In real money trading, I try to follow the trend most of the time (price stands above all the moving average) But in paper trading, you have to be the minority in the market to stand out from the competition, which usually means go against the market. Even though we know this looks like a fib range trading scenario, it's better to enter your fading trade after a lower high or higher low is created. In reality, make full use of the capital all the time is not recommended, especially when you about to trade against the current trend. Always try a small position first when doing so and build up your position along the way. However, in this competition, the forex pair EURUSD and SPX500 have low volatility, we have to trade maximum allowed quantity of each symbol in the hope of increasing account profits. Lastly, do not overtrade, which makes sense for both paper and real money trading. It's easier to do so in paper trading as people would worry much less about the profits/losses they have made. All in all, I'm just lucky enough to get the 2nd place in this competition, always respect the market and the market is always right.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Hakukuro
15
DAX rising weaklyMarkets rose on Wednesday, recovering losses from the previous session in anticipation of important data on regional activity and awaiting the ECB's latest monetary policy meeting. At the open, it was up 0.4%. It was followed by the French CAC40 and the FTSE 100 with 0.5% and 0.3% respectively, and finally the Spanish IBEX35 with around 0.4%. A rate cut of 25 basis points from record levels is expected today, heavily influenced and persuaded by signs of moderation in European inflation. The rapidly changing earnings outlook is what is driving this policy possibility. Doubts remain about what will be accepted going into the rest of the year after slightly better-than-forecast inflation data for the eurozone. The French PMI was similar to expectations overall, but services and composite details were slightly lower, the Spanish PMI slightly better than expected, the Italian PMI disappointed with its lower than expected data, and the German data provided relief by improving expectations. The overall Eurozone as a whole showed for the month of April a larger decline being -1% versus -0.5% expected and on an annual basis, -5.7% versus -5.1% expected. Today we have European Parliament elections across Europe, so PMI and production releases in Spain, Italy, France and Germany, which were expected to be better and did not meet expectations, will most likely affect the currency. Retail sales are expected to be negative due to the slowdown in consumption across Europe, so we will just want to see what the central bank tells us this afternoon. Regarding the German index, as we said, it has recovered its bullish mood this day. It has come out of the bearish trading zone of the last few weeks. Since Monday, the German spread has recovered 1.70%. We have to see if it will go back above the all-time highs this Friday or look to do so from next week onwards. What is clear on the chart is that the Trading Point is in the 17,000 zone, the shape being the bell of a possible triple bell with no excessive volume at its top, and the RSI at the moment is in the middle zone. For this reason it would not be unusual to see the German index pierce and pull back strongly to at least the area of 18,279 points approximately. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
GShort
by ActivTrades
5