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Profitable Support and Resistance Strategy for Trading Forex This support and resistance strategy works on any forex pair and gold. It is simple and profitable and it is the best trading strategy for beginners. In this article, I will share with you a step-by-step guide for trading this strategy. You will learn entry rules and important theory. First and foremost, in order to profitably trade support and resistance levels, you need to know how to identify them. You should know how to distinguish a significant structure level. I believe that you should look for a strong support or resistance strictly on a daily time frame. That structure should be historically significant. It means that it should be respected by the market at least 2 times, with a strong and clear reaction to that. Here is the example of a key support on EURUSD. The underlined key level was respected as the resistance, first, then, after a breakout, it turned into support and a strong bullish reaction followed. Above, you can see a perfect horizontal resistance level that was respected 2 time in a row in the recent past. Support and resistance levels that I showed you are truly significant. But, trading more than 9 years, I realized that the historic reaction of the market to a key level is not enough to make it reliable. I found one more important condition that strengthen a key level - a market trend. We will trade only supports that align with the market trend, meaning that we buy from such a support, if only the market is trading in a bullish trend. In the example above, NZDUSD is trading in a clear bullish trend on a daily. If we buy the market from the underlined support level, we will take a trend-following trade. That will be the best support level for buying the market from. We will trade only the resistances that align with the market trend. It means that we will sell from the resistance, only if the market is trading in a bearish trend. Look at AUDUSD on a daily. The pair is trading in a bearish trend. The resistance that I underlined will be valid for selling from, because shoring from that, we will trade with the trend. Please, realize that if you sell the market that is in an uptrend from a resistance level, you will go AGAINST the trend. The probabilities of winning such a trade will always be lower. You can see the EURNZD went through a resistance level, completely neglecting that, because the market trend was bullish. Buying a key support in a bearish trend, we will take a trade against the trend. Such trades always have lower accuracy. A key support on EURCAD was easily broken because the market was trading in a bearish trend. Now, let's discuss th e entry point, stop loss placement and target selection. Once you identified a key resistance in a bearish trend, set a sell limit order on that. On EURGBP, the market is trading in a bearish trend on a daily. We see a significant resistance that meets our criteria. We should set a sell limit order on that. Stop loss for the trade will be 0.5 ATR. I simply take the default ATR settings with 14 Length. In our example, ATR is 27 pips. Our stop loss for the trade will be 14 pips above the entry level. Take profit for the trade will be the closest support. Here is the closest support that I spotted on EURGBP. It will be our TP level. You can see that the market perfectly reached the target. Once you identified a key support in a bullish trend, set a buy limit order on that. I see a perfect daily key support on EURJPY pair. The market is trading in a strong uptrend. A buy limit order should be set on that level. Stop loss for the trade will be 0.5 ATR. ATR is 139 pips. Our stop loss will be 70 pips. Take Profit will be the closest daily resistance. 311 pips of profit were made. Market trend is always your friend . The rule to trade support and resistance levels only in the side of the trend is very simple, but many newbie trades neglect that, and lose a lot of money. Try this support and resistance strategy, back test it on different forex pairs and let me know your results. Thanks for reading! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
20
Incoming 50% for Dogecoin ??**short term analysis - Days and weeks ahead** On the above 3 day chart price action has enjoyed a massive 320% rally over the last 2 months thanks to you know who. A number of reasons now exist to be “short”, despite the myriad of long ideas currently on the platform. 1) Price action prints bearish divergence. 2) Price action was recently outside the Bollinger Band. We know 95% off all price action trades around the mean, which is currently 50% below. 3) Remaining on the Bollinger Band notice the slight inward curve (red arrows)? This is informing you the current extension in price action is now exhausted. 4) Lastly, support and resistance. 20 cents was resistance for multiple months. Healthy market structure would see past resistance confirm as support before the continuation of the uptrend. Is it possible price action continues upwards and onwards? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww
Short
by without_worries
108
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can observe that yesterday, following the announcement of a potential ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel, gold experienced a significant drop, correcting by over 800 pips down to $2,605. This sharp decline created a major liquidity gap, which I anticipate will likely be filled as prices recover soon. Additionally, today we have the critical CB Consumer Confidence data release, which could significantly impact the market and trigger high volatility. Be cautious with your trades and manage your risk effectively! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
99
BITCOIN rejected on the 1st real Resistance of the Bull Cycle.Yesterday's brutal Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rejection caught the majority of the market off guard. There are a few fundamental reasons, there is the exhaustion of the post-election euphoria, there is the psychological weight of the $100000 barrier. However there is one major technical reason that has gone under the radar and we'll explain it to you below. ** The Fibonacci Channel and the 0.236 Fib ** As you can see on this chart, the underlying pattern has been a Fibonacci Channel going through the last 3 Cycles (including the current one). The pattern started with a strong rebound on its bottom (green circle) that formed the December 2013 Top. That Cycle Top was on the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the Cycle and that is a level that rejected rallies during Bull Cycles on June 24 2019 and May 11 2024. ** The '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' ** That is the Fib trend-line that (more recently) rejected the uptrend on November 22. We can call this the '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' as this is the first major rejection level that a Bull Cycle faces before the eventual Top. That high during the last 2 Cycles has been on the 0.0 Fibonacci level, technically the top of the Channel (red circles). The red spot on the current Cycle in late 2025 doesn't represent a projection but is an illustration for comparison purposes. ** Top timing and the 1W MA50 ** On a side-note, it is interesting to observe that the duration of each of the past Bull Cycles has been roughly 150 weeks (1050 days) so a repeat of this pattern would give us a High towards the end of September/ early October. It is much better to try to time the High and sell that put an actual price tag on it. Equally interesting is the fact that even though BTC is on a technical rejection, the current rally started on the August 05 2024 Low, exactly on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Technically, as long as this trend-line holds, the cyclical bullish wave should stay intact. But what do you think? Do you think the 0.236 Fib i.e. the '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' will extend the correction? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
34
How to Spot Crypto Gems & Sleeping Giants Before Their Big PumpEveryone wants to be the genius who snagged Bitcoin BTCUSD at $1 or scooped up Ethereum ETHUSD when it was cheaper than your morning latte. Spotting a crypto gem before it rockets to the moon is the holy grail of digital asset trading, a pursuit that blends Sherlock Holmes-level detective work with a pinch of gambling spirit. Before you dive into the crypto rabbit hole armed with little more than Twitter/X tips and Reddit whispers, let’s talk strategy. Because while you might get lucky chasing the next moonshot, a structured approach will give you far better odds. Let’s break it down 🤸‍♂️. What Exactly Is a “Crypto Gem”? First, let’s define the term. A crypto gem (or a sleeping giant) is not just any token with a buzz around it or an active Telegram group with “early adopters.” In a nutshell, it’s a project with solid fundamentals, a strong community and the potential to deliver real-world utility or disrupt an existing market. Think of it as a startup stock with global access, high risk and the potential for astronomical returns—assuming it doesn’t implode under its own hype. Spotting one in the vast sea of cryptocurrencies requires more than just coffee-fueled optimism and good vibes. You’ll need a keen eye, a skeptical mindset and the ability to tune out the noise of endless shilling. Step One: Research the Team Behind the Token When it comes to crypto, the team is almost everything. This isn’t just about having developers with LinkedIn profiles full of buzzwords; it’s about real-world credibility. Are they public and transparent? Anonymous developers might sound edgy, but they’re also a flight risk. Google “rug pull” if you need a refresher on why trust matters. Do they have experience in blockchain, fintech or relevant fields? A team with Silicon Valley cred or a history of building successful projects in tech (or even better—Big Tech) is a big green flag. Are there notable backers? Big-shot venture capital firms like a16z lend credibility. That said, even legends like Sequoia Capital got burned by FTX, so don’t let big names be your only criteria. Step Two: The Whitepaper—Your Cheat Sheet Think of the whitepaper as the project’s pitch deck, manifesto and homework assignment rolled into one. A good whitepaper will answer three critical questions and a great one won’t let you fall asleep before you finish it: What problem is the project solving? No one needs another tokenized version of something that already exists. Look for innovation, not replication. How does the technology work? You don’t have to be a blockchain engineer, but if the tech sounds like sci-fi or is overly vague, it might be all smoke and no fire. What’s the roadmap? This is big—promises of “future features” without timelines or specifics are red flags. A realistic, actionable plan is what you want. Pro tip: If the whitepaper reads like it was run through Google Translate three times, run. Or if it reads dry, dull and plain boring, it might’ve been churned out by none other than OpenAI’s chatbot ChatGPT. In this case, also run. Step Three: Community and Hype—The Double-Edged Sword The crypto community is both its greatest strength and its Achilles’ heel. A strong, engaged community can help drive adoption but blind hype can also inflate worthless projects. Check social media channels. Look at the size and engagement of the community. Thousands of followers mean nothing if they’re all bots. Beware of echo chambers. If every post is a variation of “TO THE MOON 🚀,” you’re probably dealing with a FOMO factory rather than a serious project. Gauge the vibe. Are people discussing real use cases, or is it all price speculation? Thoughtful discussions are a green flag. Step Four: Tokenomics—Follow the Money Tokenomics is the economic blueprint of a cryptocurrency. It answers key questions about supply, demand and utility and helps you understand where the crypto belongs. Is it memecoin or a DeFi token ? Or maybe something else ? What’s the total supply? A limited supply can create scarcity (à la Bitcoin), but infinite supply tokens often struggle to maintain value. What’s the circulating supply? Tokens locked up in vesting schedules or owned by the team can flood the market later, tanking the price. How is the token used? If the token has no clear utility, it’s just Monopoly money with better branding. Bonus points for projects that have thought about deflationary mechanisms, staking rewards, or other incentives for holding the token long-term. Step Five: Partnerships and Real-World Applications You know what’s better than promises? Receipts. Partnerships with established companies, platforms, or organizations lend credibility and show that the project is more than just a good idea on paper. Is the project solving real problems? A blockchain that speeds up supply chain logistics or enables decentralized finance for underserved communities has a tangible use case. Are there active collaborations? Look for integration with existing platforms, APIs, or other cryptocurrencies. Do the partnerships drive adoption? True partnerships should go beyond brand association and actively expand the project’s user base, utility, or reach. The Red Flags You Can’t Ignore Now that you know what to look for, let’s talk about what to avoid. Some warning signs are so obvious they might as well be written in neon: Overpromising. Claims of “guaranteed profits” or “the next Bitcoin” are the crypto equivalent of snake oil. Poor transparency. If the team, roadmap or financials are vague, think twice before you make your move. Lack of progress. If a project has been “in development” for years with nothing to show, you’re most likely looking at vaporware. The Role of Timing Spotting a gem isn’t just about finding a good project—it’s about finding it at the right time, before the pack. Ideally, you want to enter before the masses catch on but after the project has proven its viability. Pre-launch phases and early adoption stages often offer the best opportunities. To borrow a quote from hedge fund boss David Tepper: “I am the animal at the head of the pack. I either get eaten or I get the good grass.” That said, even if you manage to find that one true gem, it might take years for its potential to unfurl and take you to the moon. On another note, something fundamental might go wrong along the way—the project might change course and abandon its original mission, vision and goals. Wrapping It All Up Spotting a crypto gem before it hits the moon is hard work. And it mostly comes down to hours and hours of preparation, research and analysis before you hit the exchange and grab the coin. Also, not every gem will be a 100x moonshot, and that’s okay. Just make sure you set your priorities straight and align your expectations to the most volatile market out there. So, what’s your crypto gem you wanna tell us about? Or you’re still looking for it? Share your thoughts and tips in the comments—let’s uncover the next moonshot together!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradingView
20
Quantum Mechanics & Market Behavior At this stage of my research, I would like to share the primary inspirations behind my style of analysis. As you've already noticed, I don’t create forecasts, as they are subjective and inherently disconnected from the objective nature of markets. Instead, I focus on predictions grounded in the captured dynamics of market behavior in order to actually get closer to its causality. "QUANTUM MARKET" In the unpredictable world of trading, price action often mirrors the strange principles of quantum mechanics. Concepts like wave function collapse, entanglement, chaos theory, the multiverse, and even the double-slit experiment provide a unique lens to understand why markets behave as they do—particularly when they defy the majority of forecasts and move in unexpected directions. The Collapse of the Market Wave Function In quantum mechanics, a particle exists in a state of possibilities described by its wave function until it is measured. When observed, the wave function "collapses" into one definite outcome. Similarly, in markets, price exists as a spectrum of probabilities, influenced by fundamental data, sentiment, and technical levels. These probabilities reflect the collective forecasts of traders, analysts, and institutions. The "collapse" of the market wave function can be likened to the moments when price unexpectedly moves against the prevailing sentiment, proving the majority wrong. For instance, when experts predict a bullish breakout, only for the market to reverse sharply, it resembles the moment a quantum system resolves into a state that surprises its observers. This metaphor highlights the fragile relationship between market expectations and actual outcomes. Just as the act of measurement influences a quantum system, the collective observation and positioning of traders directly impact market movements. The Multiverse of Price Action The Many-Worlds Interpretation (MWI) of quantum mechanics posits that every possible outcome of a quantum event occurs, creating branching universes for each scenario. This offers a useful metaphor for the multiverse of market possibilities, where price action simultaneously holds countless potential paths. Each decision by traders, institutions, and external forces influences which path the market ultimately "chooses," much like the branching of quantum states into separate realities. When the market takes an unexpected turn, it can be thought of as moving into a "branch" of the multiverse that was previously considered improbable by the majority. For example: A widely anticipated bullish breakout may fail, with the price collapsing into a bearish reversal. This outcome corresponds to a "parallel universe" of price action where the market follows a path contrary to the consensus. When they say market has its on path, chances are they're definitely referring to approach from Fractal Market Hypothesis. The moment traders observe the market defy expectations, their reality shifts into this new "branch," leaving the discarded probabilities as theoretical relics. While traders only experience one "reality" of the market—the observed price movement—the multiverse perspective reminds us that all potential outcomes coexist until resolved by market forces. Chaos Theory: The Hidden Order Behind Market Behavior Markets may appear chaotic, but their movements are not entirely random. Instead, they follow principles reminiscent of chaos theory, where complex systems display patterns that arise from underlying order. In trading, this hidden order emerges from the entanglement of price action—the intricate relationship between buyers, sellers, sentiment, and external events. Counter-oscillations of opposing forces, such as bullish and bearish sentiment that has stake in patterns. When these forces reach a critical point, they can produce dramatic reversals or breakouts. A fascinating aspect of this hidden order lies in the measurement of cycle intervals, which can decrypt the path and stops of price action. These intervals, often influenced by Fibonacci ratios, reflect the inherent chaos of the market while maintaining a surprising consistency. In chaotic systems, the ratios of results inherit the domestic chaos properties of the system itself. This means the measured intervals not only explain past behavior but also project future movements, where price has no option but to adhere to the golden ratio in its path, regardless of direction. Tools like Fibonacci Channels on TradingView combine these ratios with the angle of the trend, revealing fractal-based timing measurements that highlight potential trend shifts. These tools demonstrate how price action, driven by the chaotic yet structured forces of the market, aligns with these self-similar patterns over time. Entanglement and the Double-Slit Experiment in Markets Einstein described quantum entanglement as "spooky action at a distance," where the state of one particle instantaneously influences another, no matter how far apart they are. Markets also mirror another iconic quantum experiment: the double-slit experiment, which demonstrates how particles behave as waves when unobserved but collapse into definitive points when measured. In the double-slit experiment, an electron passes through two slits, existing as a wave of probabilities until observed. Without observation, it creates an interference pattern, suggesting it travels through both slits simultaneously. However, when measured, the electron collapses into a single state, taking a definitive path through one slit and landing at a specific spot on the detector. Price action behaves in a strikingly similar way. Just as an electron "feels" it is being observed and alters its behavior, ongoing price action appears to respond to the collective observation of millions of traders. Despite this intense scrutiny, price action frequently surprises both bulls and bears, defying expectations as if reflecting the duality of probability and definitiveness. When unobserved or in a state of uncertainty, markets exhibit wave-like behavior, oscillating between potential paths. Trends consolidate, creating a balance of opposing forces. However, as traders act on their observations—placing bets, setting stop losses, or predicting breakouts—price "collapses" into a definitive state, choosing a path that often defies the collective expectations of the market. Logical Deductions Understanding the market through the lens of quantum mechanics, chaos theory, and the multiverse offers valuable insights for traders: Expect the Unexpected: Just as a quantum particle's state cannot be precisely predicted, markets are inherently probabilistic. Even the most widely expected outcomes can collapse under the weight of unforeseen variables or simply change of incentive during overheat volatility. Beware of Herd Mentality: When the majority aligns behind a forecast, the market becomes entangled in their collective assumptions. This might create conditions for a dramatic reversal, much like how a quantum system shifts into an unanticipated state. Recognize Counter-Oscillations: Price action is driven by the push and pull of opposing forces. Trends often mask the tension beneath, and understanding these dynamics can help traders anticipate critical turning points. Measure Cycles with Ratios: Fibonacci-based tools, when combined with trend angles, reveal fractal rhythms and the frequency of reversals. These measurements help traders predict price shifts with greater accuracy. Embrace the Multiverse: Just as the Many-Worlds Interpretation suggests all outcomes coexist until resolved, traders should recognize that multiple possibilities are always present in the market. Being prepared for alternative scenarios helps mitigate risk and improve decision-making. General Interconnectedness: Markets are a dynamic interplay of order and chaos, shaped by the entanglement of opposing forces and the constant tension between consensus and contrarian dynamics. The collapse of the wave function—those moments when price defies expert predictions—reminds us of the deep complexities underlying actual behavior of masses. Through the lens of the multiverse, every market outcome can be seen as a branching reality, where the price action we observe is just one of many potential paths. By embracing this perspective, traders can better navigate the intricate dance of probabilities and entanglement, understanding that markets are not linear systems but ever-changing, interconnected realities. This mindset empowered me to thrive in the environment of duality, where adaptability and probabilistic thinking are the actual keys to understanding price mechanism in Financial Markets. Disclaimer: You don’t have to accept these observations as true. Always trust your own judgment and cultivate independent thinking. Personally, I find that the behavior of particles at the quantum scale is the closest phenomenon that mirrors the chaos of the market.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by fract
12
TradeCityPro | LDOUSDT The Layer 2 Leader with Highest TVL👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let's explore LDO, the altcoin with the highest Total Value Locked (TVL) on Ethereum, and analyze potential triggers for spot and futures trades. 🌐 Market Overview Bitcoin experienced a pullback during the New York session, accompanied by a rise in BTC dominance. This led to a deeper correction in altcoins, but the overall trend remains bullish. 📊 Weekly Timeframe LDO, a relatively new altcoin, hasn’t experienced a full crypto bull run yet. Its ATH of $4.053 was fueled by the Layer 2 hype. Since then, it broke its weekly uptrend and dropped to $0.924. LDO has been consolidating in a range between $0.924 and $1.339, forming an accumulation zone. This week’s candle is attempting to break both the upper range and a descending trendline. A close above $1.339 could trigger a rally, with a stop-loss at $0.924. 📈 Daily Timeframe After 110 days in the accumulation zone, LDO is breaking out above $1.345. Buyers are showing strength, as the price didn’t revisit the range’s lower boundary after the last rejection. Likely to enter overbought rsi territory if the breakout sustains, signaling continuation of the uptrend. For risk-takers, a stop-loss at $1.115 can be set for entries based on the daily timeframe. ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe The price is battling strong resistance at $1.408. Despite minor rejections, buyers remain dominant, with the price rebounding from the trendline support. 📈 Long Position Trigger: Open a long position after a breakout above $1.408, confirmed by increased volume and RSI entering overbought levels. 📉 Short Position Trigger: Even if short triggers appear, it's better to wait for pullbacks for long entries as the bullish momentum builds. 💡 BTC Pair Insight Like most altcoins, LDO has been underperforming against Bitcoin. However, it’s attempting a recovery, starting from lower timeframes. breakout above 0.0002083 BTC could signal a stronger rally against Bitcoin. However, current funds seem concentrated in other altcoins, so its pace might be slower for now. LDO holds the largest stake in Ethereum, giving it potential to self-support in the short term :) 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
16
Bullish bounce?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.5772 1st support: 0.5657 1st Resistance: 0.5915 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
5
XRP MID-TERM AND LONG TERM ANALISYSThere has been significant demand for analyzing Ripple. Upon examining the chart, it seems that Ripple is currently within a running triangle. Wave D may complete its movement by hunting the all-time high. Afterward, we could see a correction for wave E, followed by Ripple's post-pattern movement targeting a level above $15. Some might question whether Ripple can sustain such a market cap. We should emphasize that we rely on chart analysis and do not focus on fundamental issues, as fundamentals are reflected in the chart itself. When we reach wave E of the triangle, if we observe a clear and identifiable pattern, we can position ourselves on Ripple for the main move. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTO:XRPUSD
by behdark
34
Technical Analysis of BTC/USDT Charthello guys. Cup and Handle Pattern: The chart displays a well-formed cup and handle pattern, a classic bullish continuation signal. The handle has broken out, confirming the pattern. Target Projection: Using the depth of the cup, the target of the pattern is projected around $188,000. Fibonacci Levels: Price has surpassed the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $113,628, a strong bullish signal, with further resistance near $145,120 (0.5 Fibonacci extension). Breakout Confirmation: The breakout from the handle channel confirms bullish momentum. The price is trading above the psychological level of $90,000, supported by high trading volume. Trend Outlook: A bullish macro trend is indicated, driven by long-term upward momentum.
Long
by melikatrader94
25
100% upside The Best Level to BUY/HOLD TSLA🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour chart for TSLA. Strong push after the Trump elections victory recently, however expecting limited upside immediately going forward TSLA facing strong overhead resistance at 360/415 this will cap upside short-term. 🔸Almost 100% gains off the lows with this recent bullish rally, so expecting pullback/correction on profit taking intro key S/R zone at 360/415 usd. Having said that chart pattern looks strong and I expect more future gains in TSLA after the pullback. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: wait for TSLA to pullback after we hit overhead resistance at/near 360/415 usd, best reload zone bulls is 265/275 usd this is also an area with liquidity gap so will get re-tested before the bull run resumes. Final TP bulls +100% gains 500/550 USD. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
26
Some top triggers are getting heatedThe NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss), RP (Realized Price), and to a lesser extent, the CVDD (Coin Value Days Destroyed) are getting close to triggering. The last time a few top indicators on the BTI got close to triggering, we had a pullback. I think we see a continued rally near-term, but then a pull-back to cool off the indicators before they fully trigger...but what do I know? Notice that the risk has not yet reached 7, where the previous pull back occurred, but it is very close. Let's see if we are in a 2017 or a 2020-type cycle. Note: Extrapolating to a CRYPTOCAP:BTC cycle top is very difficult, but I think the BTI is the best shot I can come up with to do that. Using the risk value and the triggers of multiple top indicators should allow us to get close.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by Da_Prof
19
CrowdStrike Report Earnings Next Week. What Do Its Charts Say?CrowdStrike NASDAQ:CRWD will release Q3 earnings next Tuesday (Nov. 26) after the bell, unveiling results for a quarter that included the cybersecurity company’s July software update that sparked a worldwide network outage. Let’s see what the stock’s technical and fundamentals say ahead of the report. CrowdStrike’s Fundamental Analysis CRWD’s July 19 meltdown affected an estimated 8.5 million computers worldwide, leaving thousands of businesses and government agencies unable to connect to their systems -- sometimes for days. Some experts have described the incident as history’s worst computer outage, with published reports putting worldwide economic impacts at $10 billion. The meltdown badly hit cloud-services provider Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , while it also paralyzed systems at Delta Air Lines NYSE:DAL for days. Delta and CrowdStrike have since sued each other. Still, CrowdStrike impressed investors just weeks later in August when it reported Q2 results that included earnings and revenue beats. While acknowledging those numbers covered the three-month period that preceded the July 19 meltdown, the results showed 31.7% year-over-year revenue growth for the quarter. Management also issued reduced yet respectable guidance for Q3 despite the fact that that period would include July’s outage and its immediate aftermath. As I write this, the Street is looking for CrowdStrike to report $0.81 in adjusted earnings per share on $983 million of revenues for its latest quarter. Basically, Wall Street seems to have played it safe and kept its estimates within the guidance that management provided back in August. Beyond CrowdStrike’s Q3 earnings and revenues, investors will keep their eyes on the company’s subscription-driven revenue growth, annually recurring revenue, adjusted gross margin and module-adoption rates. The company’s Q2 numbers showed CRWD generated $1.3 billion in operating cash flow in the 12 months ended July 31. That included $162.8 million of capital expenditure (or “capex”), leaving CrowdStrike with $1.2 billion of free cash flow. However, the firm has not returned capital to shareholders via dividends or share buybacks. Looking over CRWD’s balance sheet, the company had $4.4 billion in cash as of July 31, with current assets totaling $5.9 billion. Current liabilities added up to $2.7 billion, creating a 1.9 current ratio. That seems quite strong. Also note that $2.4 billion of CrowdStrike’s current liabilities were in the form of unearned revenue, which isn’t a true financial obligation. If we adjust for this unearned revenue, the firm's current ratio as of July 31 would rise to 13.7 -- a truly jaw-dropping level as far as I’m concerned. Meanwhile, the company’s total assets as of July 31 hit $7.2 billion, of which intangibles represented only about 13.3%. Total liabilities less equity came to $4.3 billion, but that included $743 million in long-term debt that the firm could get rid of out of pocket if so desired. Another $745 million represented unearned credit. CrowdStrike’s Technical Analysis Here’s CrowdStrike’s chart going back roughly one year: The chart shows a regression model of a trend that had been in place from January 2023 until CrowdStrike’s outage hit in July, which caused the stock to sell off. July’s pullback took CRWD back to about $207.60 -- the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of its entire January 2023-July 2024 rally. Now, let's zoom in on the past six months: This chart shows CrowdStrike’s Fibonacci models drawn up in teal, with regression models for the stock in blue and red. On this time scale, readers will see that when CRWD rebounded from its early August low, the stock hit resistance at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of its January 2023-July 2024 move higher. However, CrowdStrike overcame that about two weeks ago. The stock has also developed a second trend that fits neatly into a regression model. CrowdStrike is heading into earnings trading above its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” denoted with a green line), 50-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a blue line) and 200-day SMA (denoted with a red line). That’s not a bad place to be. Additionally, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart’s top) looks very strong, but not quite overbought. CrowdStrike’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence (or “MACD,” marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) is leaning bullish as well. The stock’s 12-day EMA (the black line) is above its 26-day EMA (the gold line) -- and both are above zero. So is the histogram of CrowdStrike’s 9-day EMA (denoted with blue bars). For the purposes of trading CRWD going into and maybe out of earnings, all of the above created moving pivot at the current regression model’s upper trendline. That’s about $363 vs. the $357.55 that CrowdStrike closed at on Thursday. But mind you, while breaking this level is the key to CrowdStrike seeing higher target prices, CRWD has also failed to break through this rising line five times since late August. (Moomoo Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long CRWD and MSFT at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. 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NASDAQ:CRWD
by moomoo
7
Understanding Leverage in Forex: Steep Risks and Big RewardsLeverage is the not-so-secret sauce to accelerate your gains at breakneck speed or blow up the entire operation if you don’t know what you’re doing (or you just want too much.) It’s a simple concept with profound implications—a multiplier that lets traders control positions far larger than the capital they actually have. Sounds like a dream, right? But in forex , dreams can turn into nightmares faster than you can say “margin call.” Let’s unravel this seductive, high-stakes game changer. ❔ What Is Leverage? “We were always leveraged to the hilt when we bought something and ran out of money, we would look at the portfolio and push out whatever appeared to be the least attractive item at that point,” explains Jim Rogers, George Soros’s partner, in Jack D. Schwager’s book “Market Wizards: Interviews with Top Traders.” At its core, leverage is borrowed capital. When you trade with leverage, you’re essentially using your broker’s money to amplify the size of your position. Let’s say you want to invest $1,000 and use a leverage ratio of 100:1. This means you can control a position worth $100,000. A small 1% movement in your favor equals $1,000 in profit—doubling your initial investment in a single move. Sounds good, doesn’t it? But here’s the catch: leverage works both ways. A 1% move against you wipes out your entire $1,000. It’s the double-edged sword that can turn modest accounts into heavyweights—or into dust. 🧲 The Allure of Amplified Gains Forex traders are drawn to leverage like moths to a flame, and for good reason. The ability to turn small price movements into significant profits is exhilarating and means you don’t have to chip in gargantuan amounts of cash to make bank. In a market where currency pairs often move fractions of a percentage daily, leverage is what makes those movements meaningful. Without it, most traders would struggle to eke out gains worth their time. Consider a scenario where you’re trading a major currency pair like the EUR/USD . The price moves 50 pips in your favor, and each pip is worth $10 on a standard lot. Without leverage, you might only afford a micro lot, making your profit $5—not exactly a game changer. But with 100:1 leverage, you control a full lot, turning that $5 into $500. Suddenly, your modest deposit has real firepower. This potential for outsized returns is intoxicating, especially for new traders. But like any powerful tool, misuse can be catastrophic. 💣 The Flip Side: Risks That Loom Large If leverage is the hero of ever-moving forex trading space , it’s also the villain. For every dollar it helps you earn, it can take away just as quickly. While a 50-pip move in your favor feels like striking gold, the same move against you might be a financial disaster. Even seasoned traders aren’t immune to the dangers of leverage. The forex market is inherently volatile, with prices influenced by everything from central bank policies to geopolitical tensions. Leverage amplifies these fluctuations, turning minor market noise into account-draining chaos if you’re not prepared. Here’s the brutal truth: most traders underestimate the risks of leverage. Maybe because it’s so common they’ve gotten used to it. Overleveraging—taking on more risk than your account can handle—is the silent account killer. And it doesn’t take a market meltdown to wreck your balance. A sudden spike caused by unexpected news or a tweet can trigger a margin call, leaving you with nothing but a hard lesson. 🤙 Margin Calls: The Grim Reality Let’s talk about margin calls, the dreaded phone call (once upon a time) no trader wants to receive—except it’s not a phone call anymore. It’s an automated popup notification from your broker informing you that your account equity has fallen below the required margin. Essentially, you’ve run out of money to sustain your positions and the broker is stepping in to close them before you owe more than your account balance. This is where overleveraged and undercapitalized traders often meet their doom. A market move that would’ve been a minor setback on a properly sized position becomes a catastrophic loss when leverage is maxed out and equity is dried up. The lesson? Never let your enthusiasm for big trades overshadow your need for risk management. 🎯 Mastering Leverage: The Balanced Approach Leverage isn’t inherently bad—it’s neutral. Like any tool, its impact depends on how it’s used. Successful traders respect leverage. They don’t treat it as a shortcut to riches but as a calculated risk multiplier. Risk management is the cornerstone of surviving—and thriving—in a leveraged environment. This includes using stop-loss orders to limit potential losses, never risking more than an acceptable percentage of your account on a single trade and maintaining sufficient margin to weather market fluctuations. And let’s not forget the importance of choosing the right leverage ratio. Many brokers offer leverage as high as 500:1, but that doesn’t mean you should take it. A lower ratio, like 10:1 or 20:1, gives you more breathing room and reduces the chances of wiping out your account. And if you decide to go for the upper echelons of leverage, say 100:1, then you should consider scaling down your positions to get that same breathing room. 🤔 The Psychology of Leverage Leverage does more than magnify financial outcomes; it amplifies emotions too. The thrill of quick profits can lead to overconfidence, while the fear of losses can paralyze decision-making. Understanding your psychological tendencies is crucial when trading with leverage. Patience and discipline are your best allies. Stick to your trading plan, avoid impulsive decisions, and don’t let the lure of high leverage cloud your judgment. The goal here isn’t just to make money once or twice—it’s to stay in the game for as long as possible. So, how do you handle leverage? Are you the as-good-as-your-last-trade trader or you’re the more cautious, risk-averse type? Comment below and let’s spin up the discussion!
Education
by TradingView
9
Nvidia - Launching The Final Bullrun!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) can still rally another +40%: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After rejecting the channel resistance in June, July and August of 2024 and correcting about -40%, buyers immediately stepped in and pushed Nvidia much higher. There is a quite high chance, that we will see a final blow off rally, squeezing out the last remaining bears. Levels to watch: $200 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
34
DOGECOIN ( 0.55$ ) is uploading Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Dogecoin, 📚💣 We are likely to witness a 37% rise in the coin’s price soon, though short-term bearish movements or consolidation phases could occur before the major uptrend. These patterns are often seen before a significant surge. 💡🙌 To better manage these fluctuations, I’ve highlighted key support levels using Fibonacci retracements. Recently, the coin surpassed several long-standing resistance levels, signaling an important shift. 💡📚 This is a key development, as the coin gains momentum with higher trading volumes and growing social media influence. 💡🎇 🧨 Our team's main opinion is The coin is poised for a 37% price increase, despite potential short-term fluctuations, as it gains momentum with key support levels and increasing market influence.🧨 Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
Long
by MadWhale
30
Dynamic Relationship Between Bitcoin and CoinbaseGreetings, esteemed readers. Today, we shall delve into the profound and intricate relationship between Bitcoin and Coinbase. It is my earnest hope that you will find this discourse both enlightening and engaging. The Interdependence of Coinbase’s Equity Valuation and Bitcoin’s Market Dynamics-: The nexus between Coinbase's stock performance and Bitcoin's market valuation offers a compelling illustration of the interplay between cryptocurrency markets and traditional equity spheres. As one of the preeminent cryptocurrency exchanges, Coinbase's financial trajectory is inextricably linked to Bitcoin's price fluctuations and the broader crypto milieu. This symbiosis stems from Coinbase's operational foundation and the intricate financial mechanisms tethering the two. 1. Coinbase’s Revenue Architecture-: Coinbase accrues its income predominantly from transaction fees, custodial services, and auxiliary crypto-related operations. A substantial portion of its revenue model hinges on trading volumes, which are profoundly influenced by the oscillations in Bitcoin’s valuation and the crypto market’s inherent volatility. Ascendant Bitcoin Valuations: An upward trajectory in Bitcoin's price galvanizes retail and institutional investor interest, catalyzing heightened trading activity on Coinbase’s platform. This surge amplifies revenue inflows and, by extension, bolsters the company’s stock performance. Depressed Bitcoin Valuations: Conversely, during bearish market phases or periods of price stagnation, trading activity tends to wane, thereby contracting revenue streams and exerting downward pressure on Coinbase’s share price. 2. Correlative Dynamics Between Bitcoin and Coinbase Equity-: Empirical evidence suggests a pronounced positive correlation between Bitcoin’s price dynamics and Coinbase’s share valuation. Robust Bitcoin performance often translates to multifaceted benefits for Coinbase: Enhanced Trading Volumes: Bullish Bitcoin trends entice heightened investor activity, resulting in elevated transaction frequencies. Augmented Market Optimism: An appreciating Bitcoin price engenders a more sanguine market sentiment, which is advantageous to entities like Coinbase that are emblematic of the cryptocurrency sector. Institutional Engagement: Bull markets in Bitcoin invariably attract institutional capital, with regulated exchanges such as Coinbase serving as their primary operational venues. 3. Volatility as a Revenue Catalyst-: Bitcoin’s price volatility is a pivotal determinant of Coinbase’s financial outcomes. Volatility, irrespective of its directional bias, acts as a stimulant for trading activity: Intensified Volatility: Sharp fluctuations in Bitcoin's valuation—whether upward or downward—propel trading volumes, thereby amplifying Coinbase's revenue streams. Muted Volatility: Periods of relative price stability often precipitate a diminution in trading activity, adversely impacting Coinbase’s revenue generation and share valuation. 4. Exogenous Influences on the Bitcoin-Coinbase Nexus-: While Bitcoin serves as a cornerstone for Coinbase’s financial performance, other variables also modulate this interconnection: Cryptocurrency Ecosystem Trends: The valuation and trading activity of other significant cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum, exert ancillary influences on Coinbase’s revenue architecture. Regulatory Shifts: Alterations in regulatory landscapes can simultaneously affect Bitcoin’s valuation and Coinbase’s operational framework. Firm-Specific Developments: Strategic initiatives, partnerships, and financial disclosures unique to Coinbase may engender deviations in its stock performance independent of Bitcoin’s market trends. 5. Risks in the Symbiosis-: The dependence of Coinbase’s equity on Bitcoin’s performance is fraught with risks: Bitcoin-Centric Exposure: The firm’s disproportionate reliance on Bitcoin-centric revenues exposes it to market downturns and regulatory adversities. Competitive Pressures: The proliferation of alternative cryptocurrency exchanges threatens to erode Coinbase’s market share, diminishing its revenue potential even amidst Bitcoin bull markets. Regulatory Vulnerabilities: Both Bitcoin’s valuation and Coinbase’s operations remain susceptible to abrupt regulatory shifts, which could destabilize their interdependence. 6. Prognostications for the Future-: As the cryptocurrency domain matures, the interplay between Bitcoin and Coinbase may undergo recalibration: Revenue Diversification: Coinbase’s foray into staking, institutional services, and NFTs aims to mitigate its dependency on Bitcoin-driven revenues. Institutionalization of Crypto: The progressive institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies could stabilize Coinbase’s revenue streams. Market Equilibration: The maturation of the cryptocurrency ecosystem might temper Bitcoin’s extreme price oscillations, leading to a concomitant stabilization in Coinbase’s equity performance. Conclusion-: The intrinsic linkage between Coinbase’s share valuation and Bitcoin’s market dynamics is both potent and multifaceted. While this connection offers substantial growth opportunities, it also entails significant vulnerabilities. As Bitcoin maintains its preeminence within the crypto sector, Coinbase’s strategic initiatives to diversify its offerings may gradually attenuate its reliance on Bitcoin. Nonetheless, for the foreseeable future, Bitcoin’s price trajectory will remain a critical bellwether for Coinbase’s equity performance. Best Regards- Amit Hope you like this publication.
Education
by AMIT-RAJAN
12
EUR/USD and the Fakeout Swing Reversal PatternThe Fakeout Swing Reversal pattern is a straightforward and robust candle pattern that has stood the test of time. In this analysis, we’ll explore how the pattern has recently appeared on EUR/USD’s daily candle chart, examining both its successes and failures while identifying the key factors that influence its performance. What is the Fakeout Swing Reversal Pattern? The Fakeout Swing Reversal pattern is a technical setup that captures moments when price fakes a breakout beyond a key swing high or low, only to sharply reverse. This pattern is particularly effective when the fakeout occurs within two candles, signalling that the market’s initial push was unsustainable and trapping traders on the wrong side. Bullish Scenario: The bullish Fakeout Swing Reversal begins with price breaking below a key swing low, seemingly triggering a downside move. However, within one or two candles, the price sharply reverses and closes back above the swing low, signalling a potential upward reversal. The psychology here lies in trapping short sellers who entered on the perceived breakout, forcing them to cover as buyers regain control. Bearish Scenario: In the bearish version, the price breaks above a key swing high, appearing to continue an uptrend. Yet, within one or two candles, it reverses and closes back below the swing high, indicating bearish momentum as long traders scramble to exit. Fakeout Swing Reversal Pattern: EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Key Elements for Execution • Entry Trigger: Traders typically enter after the reversal candle closes, confirming the fakeout. • Stop Placement: Stops are often placed just beyond the extreme of the fakeout candle, keeping risk tightly managed. • Targets: Initial targets may be the midpoint of the prior range or a key support/resistance level, with traders adjusting based on market conditions. Successful and Failed Signals: A Reality Check No pattern works flawlessly every time, and the Fakeout Swing Reversal is no exception. Successful signals offer strong potential, but managing failed trades is equally, if not more, critical. How you handle losses defines your trading discipline and long-term success. On EUR/USD’s recent daily chart, we can identify several instances of this pattern, showcasing its effectiveness in both bullish and bearish scenarios. Some of these signals led to rewarding reversals, while others quickly invalidated, reminding us of the need for a clear plan to handle both outcomes. Examples: EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Factors Influencing the Pattern's Effectiveness Several elements impact the success of the Fakeout Swing Reversal pattern: 1. Momentum Leading into the Test: Strong momentum approaching the swing high or low can increase the likelihood of a breakout. 2. Strength of the Fakeout: A sharp rejection after the breakout adds credibility to the reversal. 3. Prevailing Trend: Patterns aligned with the long-term trend often have a higher probability of success. Managing Trades: Cutting Losers and Letting Winners Run Cutting Losers Early: When this pattern works, it tends to work quickly, so if the reversal doesn’t play out promptly, consider exiting early. By cutting losers short, you keep the size of your average losing trade small, preserving capital for better opportunities. Letting Winners Run: Reversal trades inherently go against short-term momentum, making it challenging to let winners run. However, traders can manage this by taking partial profits at key levels and moving their stops to break even. This approach protects gains while allowing the trade room to capitalise on a sustained move. By understanding the nuances of the Fakeout Swing Reversal pattern and applying disciplined risk management, traders can add a robust swing trading strategy to their trading arsenal. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Education
by Capitalcom
4
How I identify the best forex pairs to trade:Here is how I identify the best forex pairs to trade: In the top left panel, the indicator 'Compare Forex' displays the PERFORMANCE of each major currency. The USD (red line) has been the strongest currency for the past 2 months on H6 charts. By identifying the strongest currency, all that remains is to trade the USD against all the other currencies since they are weaker. = Smooth stress-free charts. I look at my trades 2-3 times a day to see if they are still blue or red. Takes a few minutes.
Education
by ascension
13
Treasury yields at a crossroads? The implications for marketsThe long end of the US Treasury curve has been influential for FX markets recently. The rolling 10-day correlation between US 10-year yields with the DXY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY is either strongly positive or negative. Even gold shows a notable -0.73 correlation, highlighting the influence of long bonds on broader markets. Given the inverse relationship between bond yields and prices, it’s no surprise that the correlation between 10-year yields and 10-year Treasury futures (shown in orange, left-hand pane) has been nearly perfectly negative over the past two weeks. In terms of directional risks for yields moving forward, the right-hand pane showing US 10-year Treasury note futures is instructive. The price remains in a downtrend, repeatedly rejected since being established October. If this trend persists, it signals lower prices and higher yields. That said, with the bullish hammer candle from the lows last week, coupled with RSI (14) and MACD which are providing bullish signals on momentum, you get the sense we may be in the early stages of a turning point. If we were to see the price break the downtrend, resistance may be encountered at 113’00, a level that’s been tested from both sides in recent weeks. If that were to give way, it points to an environment of a softer US dollar and kinder conditions for longer duration assets and commodities. Good luck! DS
CBOT:TN1!Education
by FOREXcom
1