SAREGAMA INDIA LTD have Broken its Long Retrestment LevelCompany is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 29.6% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 36.0%
Company’s Operating Revenue for Q4 FY24 stood at Rs 2,631 Mn growing at 29% both on YoY as well as QoQ basis, with a strong adjusted EBITDA of Rs.864 Mn registering a YoY growth of 40%.
Company delivered a PBT of Rs 760 Mn with a 31% YOY growth.
Company’s Revenue from operations for FY24 stood at Rs 8,030 Mn with a strong adjusted EBITDA
of Rs. 3,029 Mn with a margin of 38%.
Company delivered a PBT of Rs 2,708 Mn with a 34% Margin
and PAT of Rs 1,976 Mn for FY24
Key Operational Highlights:
➢ The company’s strong performance is led by growth in music licensing on account of strong
advertisement revenues driven by its investment in new music and the revenues generated
through the artist management vertical
➢ This quarter saw music release of A.R.Rahman and Diljit Dosanjh’s Chamkila, Ajay Devgn’s
Maidaan, Ram Charan and Kiara Advani’s Game Changer, Yami Gautam’s “Article 370”,
Mohanlal’s Malaikottai Valliban, Diljit Dosanjh single Love Ya, multiple songs by Bhojpuri star
Neelkamal, Pawan Singh and Gujrati’s No.1 singer Rakesh Barot.
➢ During the Quarter, Company released 290 plus Originals and Premium Recreations
across Hindi, Bhojpuri, Gujarati, Punjabi, Tamil, Telugu, Malayalam, Marathi and
Bengali languages. Company also released 2,000 plus derivatives (LoFi, Trap Mix,
Cover, Acoustic etc.) which is driving the popularity and growth of its catalogue.
➢ The other highlight of the quarter was the use of our songs for Shahid Kapoor and Kriti Sanon
starrer 'Teri Baaton Mein Aisa Ulhja Jiya' (Hindi), for Mahesh Babu’s 'Guntur Karam’(Telugu),
for Dulquer Salmaan’s'King of Kotha’ (Malayalam) etc. and by brands like HUL Lux, Meesho,
Junglee Rummy, Andrex etc. in their ad films.
➢ Riding on the success of its Tamil Serial “Ilakkiya”, Company started its Malayalam remake
“Mangalyam Thanthunanena” on Surya Tv. We released “Crushed Season 4” series from Dice
of Pocket Aces on Amazon mini-TV.
➢ In Q4FY24 Yoodlee released Mohanlal starrer “Malaikottai Vaaliban” , Tovino Thomas starrer
“Anweshippin” in Malayalam and Gippy Grewal “Warning 2” in Punjabi.
➢ Digital footprint across Saregama owned and controlled channels touched 239Mn followers
and subscribers across YouTube, Instagram and Facebook.
Editorschoice
Pacific Industries Ltd Looking Good After Long CorrectionLooking Good For Long-Term Holding .
Good Fundamentals and Business Model
Stock is trading at 0.34 times its book value
CMP @ 215.30 AND BOOK VALUE @ 629
Quarterly Results Out as.....
Item YOY Mar 2024
Sales ⇡ 47% 59.6
EBIDT ⇡ 309% 5.34
Net profit ⇡ 186% 4.72
EPS ⇡ 187% ₹ 6.85
Positive factors
• Sustained Improvement in scale of operations marked by total operating income (TOI) above Rs.350 crore along with PBILDT
margin above 13% on sustained basis.
• Improvement in working capital cycle below 100 days.
Key strengths
Experienced and qualified management with strong group presence
Mr. Jagdish Prasad Agarwal, Chairman and Managing Director of PIL, has more than three decades of experience and looks after
overall affairs of the company. He is assisted by Mr. Kapil Agarwal, Executive Director, who has around 13 years of experience in
the industry. Further, the promoters are supported with the experienced second-tier management. The company belongs to
Udaipur based Geetanjali Group and group concerns include Ojaswi Marbles and Granites Private Limited, Geetanjali Marble,
Krishna Marble, Pacific Exports, Pacific Leasing and Research Limited, Yash Processors Private Limited, Pacific Iron manufacturing
Limited, Chaitanya international Mineral LLP and Geetanjali University.
As per the clarification submitted by PIL to stock exchange on February 21, 2023, Income Tax department has conducted inquiry
under section 132 and 133 of Income Tax Act, 1961 from February 16, 2023, to February 21, 2023. As conveyed by PIL’s
management to CARE Ratings, there have been no material findings from the inquiry conducted so far. As per disclosure made
to stock exchange, PIL will update stock exchange on material information of event, if any. CARE Ratings shall however continue
to monitor the developments of the case and its impact, if any on the credit profile of PIL.
Established track record of operations and diversified product portfolio
PIL was incorporated in the year 1989 and has a track record of more than three decades in the industry having established
relationship with its customers and suppliers. The company majorly exports its products to USA, Europe, Indonesia, Vietnam as
well as Middle East countries. Over the years, PIL has received various awards and certification, such as “Star Export House”
certification from the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, certificate of life member of All India Granite and Stone Association. It
also has membership of Centre for Development of Stones and Confederation of Export Unit.
Further, the company offers diversified products which includes variety of North Indian and South Indian granites in different
styles, color, size and pattern etc. Further, it has flexibility to manufacture different varieties of quartz slabs by blending resins
with quartz and other key materials to get slabs with desired colour, hardness and durability.
Location advantage with ease of availability of raw material and labour
PIL’s processing facility of granites is situated in Rajasthan and Karnataka which has the largest reserve of marbles & granites in
India with estimated reserves of 2075.64 crore cubic metres accounting of more than 91% of the total marble reserves of the
country. There are many units located in the cities of Rajasthan, Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh which are engaged in the business
of mining and processing of marbles and granites. Further, skilled labour is also easily available by virtue of it being situated in
the marble & granite belt of India.
Moderate profitability albeit moderation in scale of operations
PIL’s Total operating income (TOI) declined by 35% y-o-y to Rs. 184.11 crores as against Rs.285.40 crore in FY22. The decline
was on account of decrease in quartz sales due to levying of anti-dumping duty in July 2022 by U.S. Department of Commerce
and no sales from trading of iron ore in FY23. The anti-dumping duty was subsequently reversed in January 2023. In 9MFY24,
PIL achieved sales of Rs. 134.93 crores. PBILDT margin of PIL moderated by 322 bps to 7.55% in FY23 as against 10.46% in
FY22 on account of higher raw material cost as well as lower absorption of overhead costs. However, in 9MFY24, PBILDT margin
improved to 13.94% on the back of lower manufacturing expenses.
Comfortable capital structure albeit moderate debt coverage indicators
The capital structure of PIL improved with overall gearing of 0.43x as on FY23 end (1.25x in FY22). Improvement in overall
gearing was on account of successful completion of rights issue of Rs.47.53 crore in February 2023 which resulted in augmentation
of networth base as well as reduction in o/s debt with repayment of USL from directors/ subsidiaries and repayment of working
capital borrowings. The debt coverage indicators however continued to remain moderate in FY23 due to lower profitability with
PBILDT interest coverage of 1.72x (4.50x in FY22) and total debt/ GCA of 5.53x (6.20x in FY22)
Info Edge (India) Ltd Showing Strong Up-Side MomentumStrong operating businesses
Strong Operating Cash generation year with a run- rate of c1000 Cr plus (pre Tax) annually and growing.
Negative working capital due to advance subscription fees (Rs 925 cr as on 31/12/23)
Asset-light business models
"Zero" Debt.
Well Defined approach towards Financial Investments
AIF structure for eventual and self-sustained independent financial investment business.
Partnered with reputed Sovereign Fund (Temasek Holdings).
AIF contribution commitment is currently pegged at ~USD 212.5m
Funds created with a term of 12-14 years.
Established Dividend payout track record.
Formal dividend policy of paying 25%-40% of standalone cash PAT.
Track record of consistent dividend payout for last 16 years. Paid 28% of cash PAT as dividend till date.
Info Edge is India’s premier online classified company with a portfolio of brands. It owns various brands in different fields like naukri.com (online recruitment), 99acres.com (online real estate), jeevansathi.com (online matrimonial) as well as shiksha.com (online education information services). It also acts as an investor and has invested in many start-ups in the online space and is actively growing its investment portfolio.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 55.9% CAGR over last 5 years
B2B revenues (as on date) comprise ~90% of overall Naukri revenue and includes:
Resume database access (Naukri & iimjobs)
Job Posting (response management)
Employer branding (visibility)
Application tracking tools (Zwayam)
eHire - Resume short listing and Walk-ins
Assessment services (Do-select)
■ B2C includes revenue from
Job seeker services
Career enhancement services (AmbitionBox, Coding Ninjas, Naukri Learning)
BALAXI Pharmaceutical LTD is Showing Good Strength Can be Held
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 47.3%.
Debtor days have improved from 71.3 to 56.7 days.
Financial
Performance Commentary
6
Revenue
Higher contribution from the pharmaceuticals business led to y-o-y growth of 20% in revenues for FY23
compared to FY22. The share of LATAM markets increased to 40% of pharmaceutical revenues, highlighting
our ability to quickly expand geographical presence. Key contributions to growth came from recently
launched operations in markets like Honduras and El Salvador that are showing stronger demand for our
products apart from substantial growth in Guatemala and Dominican Republic. Our pharma business in
Angola continues to generate strong cash flows that are being re-invested for expanding into new markets
EBITDA
During the year, operating EBITDA stood at Rs. 59.17 crore, a growth of 7.2% y-o-y. This was on account of
increasing contribution from LATAM markets and expansion into newer geographies. EBITDA margin has
declined by over 200 bps to 17.6% in FY23 - however, going forward with contribution from the newly
entered market rising, there should be a steady rise in our margins
Profit After Tax and EPS
During the year, Profit After Tax stood at Rs. 45.96 crore. Earnings per Share (EPS) for the year was recorded
at Rs. 45.81 compared to Rs. 47.66 in the previous year.
#SWSOLAR Closed Above its All Time High Long-Term Opportunity KEY HIGHLIGHTS FOR FY24
Unexecuted order value at INR 8,084 crore as of Mar 2024 compared to INR 4,913 crore as of Mar 2023
Company has received new orders / LOI in two projects worth -INR 488 crore during the quarter including being declared L1 for a second floating solar module project in the country
Company received its second international order in Q4 from Enfinity for a BOS project in Italy amounting to EUR 20 mn
We have received total orders/LOI in 13 projects worth INR 6,023 crore in FY24 compared to new order inflow of INR 4,387 crore in FY23
P&L of the company has begun to revive in FY24
Consol revenues up -51% YoY
Achieved positive consolidated EBITDA in FY24
Domestic EPC gross margins continue to operate within our target range
Achieved PBT/PAT profitability in 4QFY24
Rationalization of overheads continue to progress with FY24 overheads at -INR 333 crores compared to -INR 382 crores in FY23
The company has significantly de-leveraged the balance sheet in FY24
Total net debt of -INR 116 crore, compared to net debt of-INR 1.966 crore in FY23
No upcoming debt repayments till 3QFY25
#KIRLPNU just Broken All Time High With Good Fundamentals
Company has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 20.4% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 31.6%
Business Highlights
Order Board as on 1st April 2024 of Rs. 1,475 Cr., 28% more than last year.
FY 24 Operating Revenue @ Rs. 1,323 Cr.
24% Y-O-Y growth in PBT
Setting up of forging facility at Nashik as a part of vertical integration.
Launched new products —
Tezcatlipoca - a Centrifugal compressor
Atmos Aria - a off shelf screw compressor
Jarilo-A Bio - gas Compressor
#SOLARA Looking Good for Long-Term Holding around 1 YearStrengths:
Established market position in key APIs, along with strong customer and supplier relationships: Solara has a strong portfolio of APIs in key therapeutic segments, with expertise in anthelmintic, anti-malaria, anti-infective and non-steroidal anti- inflammatory. Furthermore, it has been increasing its focus on the non-steroidal anti-inflammatory segment by adding capacity and working on other therapeutic segments. Solara has a diversified customer base, with more exposure to regulated markets. Its longstanding presence in the industry has helped Solara build healthy relationships with customers and suppliers.
Moderate financial risk profile: Solara's financial risk profile is moderate marked by comfortable capital structure, albeit constrained by expected weakening of debt protection metrics. Gearing remained healthy at less than 1 time as on March 31, 2023, while networth was robust at Rs 1083.01 crore. However, networth and gearing are expected to deteriorate to Rs 835.98 crore and 1.09 times, respectively, as on March 31, 2024 led by net loss owing to the fire incident. Debt protection metrics, likely to be negative in fiscal 2024, are expected to improve in fiscals 2025 and 2026. Improvement in financial risk profile would remain a key monitorable.
Weaknesses:
Exposure to risks relating to strict regulations: Most of the products manufactured by Solara face increased inspections and regulatory actions by authorities, such as the US Food and Drug Administration (US FDA). Additionally, production of a few products involves waste discharge, which needs to be treated in effluent treatment plants (ETPs). Thus, Solara needs to invest continuously to upgrade ETPs and bring efficiency in the process to reduce waste discharge.
Large working capital requirements: Working capital requirements are sizeable as reflected in significant receivables and inventory of around 142 days and 156 days, respectively, as on March 31, 2023 and is estimated to be over 120 days each for fiscal 2024. CRISIL Ratings expects working capital requirements to gradually improve over the medium term with an increase in revenue contribution from the new plant. Correction in working capital requirements that shall aid liquidity shall be a key monitorable.
Volatility in operating profitability: Operating profitability fluctuated between 23.78% and 9.3% in the last 3-5 fiscal and in the current fiscal the company is making further losses due to the fire accident. Going forward, the ability of the company to demonstrate sustained improvement in operating margins will be a key sensitivity factor.
#HAL just Broken and Closed Above its Previous All Time High
Company has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 23.9% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 26.7%
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 29.6%
Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 98.4 days to 38.2 days
Strong order book providing healthy revenue visibility
HAL's order book remained healthy at ₹84,814 crore as on December 31, 2023 majorly contributed by manufacturing of various models of helicopters and aircraft of around 56,569 crore to be executed over the next five to six years. Major orders in the manufacturing segment pertains to supply of 83 Light Combat Aircraft-Mk1A version (LCA), 70 HTT-40, 6 LCA 10C/FOC, 4 Dornier apart from various aerospace structures for PSLV and GSLV. The ROH order book remained healthy at 28,277 crore and is expected to remain robust in the near to medium term as HAL undertakes the repair and maintenance work of aircraft manufactured by it for its entire life as well as for aircraft manufactured by others for which it has built infrastructure across the country. Furthermore, there remains visibility of future orders with strong order pipeline wherein orders for procurement of new platforms viz. Advanced Light Helicopter (ALH), Light Utility Helicopter (LUH), Additional Su-30, AL31 FP Engines and RD-33 Engines and mid-life upgrade of D0-228 Aircraft aggregating to 55,000 crore are in the advance stage of conclusion and are anticipated to be received within next three to siz months. In addition, orders for procurement of additional 97 Nos of LCA, 156 Nos of Light Combat Helicopter (LCH), 60 Nos Utility Helicopter-Maritime (UHM) including Performance Based Logistics (PBL) Contract, among others aggregating to 158,000 crore have been approved by the Defence Acquisition Council and the orders against the same are anticipated within next 18-24 months.
Given the significantly long tenure of its contracts, HAL enters into variable price contracts with its customers, Indian Airforce, Indian Army and Indian Navy, wherein the future escalation is built into the prices excluding forex fluctuation on procurement. The forex fluctuations are paid on an actual basis by the customers. This protects its margins from forex and raw material price escalation to a large extent. However, profitability may get impacted due to time or cost overrun in case there is execution delays at HAL's end.
Strong financial risk profile marked by healthy profitability and cash accruals and continued improvement in its
collection period
HAL continues to have a sizeable scale of operations and the TOI grew y-o-y by 8% to 26,397 crore in FY23 majorly on the back of increase in revenue from repairs and maintenance services. The PBILDT margin stood healthy at 25.68% in FY23. Income tax refund of 1193 crore and ₹973 crore further supported profitability in FY22 and FY23 respectively. The company earned gross cash accruals (GCA) of ₹7,000 crore in FY23 as against 5,634 crore in FY22. Its debt coverage indicators remain strong due to low reliance on external borrowings. The revenue contribution from manufacturing activities declined in FY22 and FY23 y-o-y, as majority of the manufacturing orders were completed, and the new contracts were under manufacturing and in development phase and delivery of the same is expected to be booked in FY25 onwards. Accordingly, its income is likely to get a fillip from FY25 onwards once deliveries start for 83 LCA Mk1A in a staggered manner.
In 9MFY24, HAL registered TOI of ₹15,612 crore and profit after tax (PAT) of ₹3,303 crore as against TOI of ₹14,433 crore and PAT of ₹2,970 crore registered in 9MFY23. CARE Ratings expects the profitability and debt coverage indicators to remain healthy, going forward.
The total receivables of HAL continued to remain below ₹5000 crore as on balance sheet date for past two years ended FY23 as it had realised substantial payment from government in FY22. The collection period has improved from 135 days in FY21 to 64 days in FY23. HAL also receives advances from its customers against the contracts which constitutes a stable source of funding its working capital requirement. The advances stood robust at 28,981 crore as on March 31, 2023 which further increased to *32,588 crore as on December 31, 2023. Timely realisation of dues and increase in advances has resulted in continued low reliance on debt to fund its working capital requirement. The same resulted in the overall gearing ratio of almost nil as on March 31, 2023.
The company has strongly articulated that going forward HAL's debt level is expected to remain low on the back of sustaining its
improved collection period.
#DLINKINDIA is Near to Break Previous All Time High
Company has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 28.0% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 39.8%
Strengths:
Established market position and strong distribution network: D-Link is the market leader in switches and wireless local area network (WLAN) products, with a significant market share. In fiscal 2019, the company introduced a series of high-end products for its enterprise business, including unmanaged long-term power over ethernet (PoE)/PoE plus switches; new generation layer 3 stackable managed switches with advance hardware and software enhancements for better performance, flexibility and ease of management; and industrial grade switches. D-Link has invested in state-of-the-art support infrastructure for both consumers and enterprises, which includes 10 D-Link-owned service centres with more than 50 experts in tier 1 cities, over 23 partner service centres with more than 40 experts in tier 2 / tier 3 cities, partner collection points in more than 105 cities and logistical support in over 190 cities. D-Link Technical Support Centres (DTSC) are manned by over 30 highly skilled engineers providing L1 to L3 support for all retail and enterprise customers.
Healthy financial risk profile: Networth was Rs 363 crore as on March 31, 2023, and is expected to increase over the medium term because of steady accretion to reserves and absence of debt repayment. Return on capital employed improved to 36% in fiscal 2023 as profitability increased. In the absence of any debt-funded capex, the financial risk profile is expected to remain healthy over the medium term.
Weaknesses:
Exposure to intense competition and risks inherent in the networking industry: D-Link mainly operates in the home and small and medium enterprise segments of the networking industry, where profitability is lower than that in the institutional sales segment. The latter is dominated by Cisco India and other new entrants. Profitability in the retail segment is constrained by intense competition and commoditised products.
Susceptibility to volatility in input price and currency: Copper, the key input for manufacturing cables is an open market commodity traded globally on exchanges, leading to volatility in its prices. Furthermore, fluctuations in currency also impact profitability, as the company imports about 30% of its traded products. Complete and immediate passing on of cost increases is difficult given the competitive pressure. The company experiences lag of 45-60 days in passing on price hikes. Hence, the operating margin will remain susceptible to fluctuations in raw material prices and currency. D-Link hedges currency exposure up to 70% of the total exposure by entering forward contracts.
Liquidity: Adequate
Cash accrual, expected at Rs 65-75 crore in fiscals 2024 and 2025, will support liquidity in the absence of any capex or debt obligation. Unutilised bank limit of Rs 10 crore will be adequate to fund the company’s fixed expenses. Cash surplus is expected to remain healthy over the medium term.
#GOACARBON
Company has reduced debt.
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 35.2%
Extensive experience, reputed clientele and established t rack record of operations
in the CPC segment
GCL is a part of Dempo Group, which was established in 1941. The group has diversified
operations with a presence in Iron Ore mining and exports, Construction, Publishing, Ship
Building, Travel and Trade, among others. GCL has more than five decades of track record in
the production of CPC and hence has an established market position amongst the leading
producers of CPC in India. The chairman of the company, Mr. Shrinivas Dempo has an
extensive experience of over three decades in the industry. GCL caters to reputed
companies among the Aluminium Industry, Graphite Industry and Steel Industry which includes
Hindalco Industries Limited (HIL), Vedanta Aluminium Limited (VAL), The Kerala Minerals and
Metals Limited (KMML), Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) to name a few. GCL has also
healthy relations developed over a decade with the various global raw material suppliers
such as Kuwait Petroleum Corporation, Oxbow Carbon & Minerals LLC, Mitsubishi Corporation
Limited among others.
Acuité believes that the established position in the industry and healthy relations with both
customers as well as suppliers will help the company to maintain a stable business profile in
the CPC segment.
Improvement in business risk profile
The business risk profile of the company witnessed improvement reflected by growth in
revenues during FY2023 and 9MFY2024. The revenue from operations of GCL improved to Rs.
1364.36 Cr. in FY2023 against Rs. 766.12 Cr. in FY2022. Further, the revenues
during 9MFY2024 stood in similar range at Rs. 606.42 Cr. The surge in the demand of
aluminium while tightening of its supply marked by geo-political issues and consequent
sanctions on Russia, which contributes almost 6 percent of the global aluminium supply, has
resulted in an implicit effect on the pricing of CPC. The average selling price of the CPC
during FY20-21 stood at around Rs. 22,000 per metric tonne which grew to Rs. 42,000 per metric
tonne in FY21-22, while as on 9MFY23 the average selling price stood as high as Rs.77,000 per
metric tonne.
Acuité believes that GCL’s operating performance is susceptible to the changes in pricing of
CPC and the same will remain critical for its future growth.
#GODREJAGRO
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 51.6%
Debtor days have improved from 37.4 to 22.4 days.
Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 58.6 days to 46.1 days
Strengths:
Diversified business presence: The company’s focus on diversification into newer segments such as palm oil, crop protection, dairy and poultry over the past 7-8 fiscals in order to lower its concentration in the animal feed business (revenue contribution down to around 49% for the first nine months of fiscal 2024 from 80% in fiscal 2012) supports its overall business risk profile and provides cushion against slowdown in any business segment.
In the first nine months of fiscal 2024, overall revenue saw modest growth of 2% year-on-year, largely on account of healthy volume growth in most of the business segments, apart from the business under the subsidiary, Astec Lifesciences, which faced competitive pressures for its key enterprise products. The volume growth was offset by negative or modest expansion in realisations, especially in the palm oil, poultry and animal feed segments, leading to a muted revenue growth.
Operating margin, however, improved on a year-on-year basis, to 7.7% for the first nine months of fiscal 2024, as against 5.7% for fiscal 2023, backed by lower input prices in dairy and poultry segments and higher operating levels in the animal feed and crop protection segments. The improvement in operating margin was the highest in crop protection segment, supported by strong volumes and realisations in the in-licensed product portfolio, apart from the dairy segment where operating margin improved substantially, on the back of lower milk procurement prices and operating efficiency, from operating losses seen last year. On the other hand, operating margin declined in the Astec Lifesciences segment, as it faced continued price erosion and subdued demand for its key enterprise product, despite robust performance by its contract manufacturing segment.
Dominant position in the domestic animal feed and palm oil segments: GAL enjoys a dominant position in the domestic organised animal feed industry with presence across various sub-categories such as cattle, broiler, layer, fish, shrimp and other feeds. The company's efforts are driven by research and development to achieve cost leadership and competitiveness, which have supported its volume growth. The segment continued to see traction across sub-segments, especially in cattle feed and aqua feed, during the first nine months of fiscal 2024.
Being the second largest consumer of palm oil in the world, India’s demand for domestic palm oil is expected to remain robust. The segment registered compounded annual growth rate of 16% over the eight fiscals through 2023, with healthy operating margin of above 19% over the period. Strong volume growth expected over the medium term, along with the longer shelf-life volumes coming from company’s newly set up oil refinery, would help keep operating margins healthy.
Strong financial risk profile: Financial risk profile remains strong as reflected in gearing of 0.48 time as on December 31, 2023 and interest coverage of 7.55 times in the first nine months of fiscal 2023, versus 0.44 times and 5.62 times, respectively, as on December 31, 2022. Debt levels declined slightly to Rs 1,203 crore as on December 31, 2023 from Rs 1,321 crore as on March 31, 2023. Debt levels are expected to remain range-bound over the medium term on the back of strong cash accruals from the business, despite the capital expenditure (capex) plan and working capital requirements, because of which the overall financial risk profile would remain comfortable.
Strong financial flexibility from being part of the Godrej group: GAL enjoys strong financial flexibility being part of the Godrej group and has the ability to raise debt at competitive rates and on short notice. It is able to directly derive implicit benefits being part of the Godrej group and without a formal arrangement of support with the parent, group companies or promoters.
#TalbroautoCompany has delivered good profit growth of 21.8% CAGR over last 5 years
Received new multi year orders
worth ~Rs 400 crores from
Domestic
and
Overseas
Customers across its business
divisions, product segments and
JVs. These orders are to be
executed over a period of next 5-
7
years. These orders will help
the Company increase its share
with existing customers and new
customers across geographies
benefitting the Company grow
and gain market share in the
coming years.
Received new multi years orders
worth ~Rs. 580 crores from both,
domestic
and
overseas
customers across its business
divisions, product segments and
JVs. T hese rders are to be
executed over a period of next 5
years commencing from FY25
onwards covering the company's
product lines
gaskets, heat-
shields, forgings, chassis and
rubber hoses
#ASIANENEGeographical Presence
The company has presence in India, Iraq, Nigeria, Myanmar, Indonesia & UAE.
Business Areas
1. Seismic Services - The co. is a leading service provider of 2D and 3D Seismic services with extensive industry experience of over 25 years.
2. Production Facility Construction - The company creates high quality onshore and offshore oil & gas production facilities for various clients.
3. Production Facility O&M - It has extensive experience and expertise in turnkey operation & maintenance (O&M) of onshore and offshore oil and gas facilities.
4. Energy Infrastructure - It has forayed into energy infrastructure segment like rapid loading and handling system of coal & minerals. It also got an order from Coal India Ltd in FY21 for construction of rapid loading and material handling system with O&M for 5 years.
Client Base
As in June 21, the company is undertaking projects and providing services to various clients i.e. Vedanta, ONGC, Oil India, Coal India, Oilmax Energy (promoter) and Amni International.
Company is almost debt free.
Company is expected to give good quarter
Debtor days have improved from 224 to 163 days.
#HPLHPL Electric & Power Ltd
ABOUT
HPL Electric & Power Limited is a leading electrical equipment manufacturer in India operating for the past 40 years. The Company has significant presence across five key product verticals of electric equipment – metering solutions, modular switches, switchgears, LED lighting and wires
and cables. It caters to a wide spectrum of customer segments, such as power utilities, government agencies, and retail and institutional customers, with a strong brand recall as a trusted electrical brand.
It exports its finest engineering goods to more than 42 countries in regions of Asia, Africa, Europe, UK and Indian Sub-continent through the overseas logistic partners.
KEY POINTS
Market Share
The company is the largest manufacturer of on-load change-over switches with a 50% market share in the country. It also has a market share of 20% in domestic electric meters market. It also has 5% market share in the Low-voltage Switchgear Market. It is the 5th largest LED manufacturer in the country.
Manufacturing Capabilities
The Company has seven manufacturing facilities at Gurugram, Jabli, Kundli & Gahraunda with end-to-end capabilities. Its well organised supply chain is supported by 21 warehouses across India . Its manufacturing process is supported by 2 R&D facilities in Gurugram & Kundli with more than 100 engineers.
Established Distribution Network
HPL has established a pan-India distribution network with 900+ authorised dealers and 45,000+ retailers across India in order to reinforce its brand presence and leverage on the growing potential of India’s electrical equipment industry in metros and Tier I and II cities.
The company plans to increase the retailers to 1,00,000 by March 2025
Revenue Breakup
Metering products contributes 53%, the rest is from Consumer & Industrial 47%.
Orderbook
The company has a strong order book of Rs1500+ cr with meter & systems contributing 82% and the consumer and industrial segment contributing 18% of the current order book.
#ESCORTSCompany is almost debt free
New Products
During FY22, the Co launched six new tractor variants under the Powerhouse series with improved power, fuel efficiency, application suitability and lower maintenance features. Under the railways equipments vertical, the Co launched Emergency pull box, Coupler (Rev # 3) and Metro Dampers (Chennai Metro).
Focus
The Co. is actively pursuing the development of the Electric Vehicle (EV) market, products and technology. It is investing and building capabilities in next-generation digital technologies under the Rajan Nanda Innovation Lab.
#RAYMONDRaymond Realty
The company started phase 1 of the real estate business in Feb 2019.It has planned development of 20 acres of residential development − Phase 1: ~14 acres of development
Total 10 towers with ~2.7 mn sq. ft of saleable area Total units planned for sale: 2,976.
Cumulative bookings of 1,173 units till Dec-20
The company received ~Rs.1610 crs as booking value in Real estate in FY23. In total , Raymond received total booking value of ~ ₹3,900 Cr. within 4 years of launch
Debt Reduction
The company reduced its debt by ~Rs. 400 crs to Rs. ₹689 crs. as of FY23.
PROS
Company has delivered good profit growth of 37.4% CAGR over last 5 years
Debtor days have improved from 62.0 to 33.1 days.
Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 71.5 days to 55.3 days
XAUUSD Long, Inflation Correlation With The DollarDear Ziilllaatraders,
We could see inflation numbers coming out of the PCE price index. These numbers were lower than the previous numbers.
When inflation numbers trend lower, it can lead to a bearish sentiment for the Dollar and a bullish outlook for gold. The relationship between lower inflation and the movement of these assets can be explained by the following factors:
Monetary Policy and Interest Rates:
Lower inflation rates may prompt central banks, like the Federal Reserve in the United States, to adopt a dovish monetary policy stance. In response to subdued inflation, central banks are more likely to keep interest rates low or even implement rate cuts to stimulate economic growth.
A dovish monetary policy typically results in a weaker DXY as lower interest rates reduce the currency's yield attractiveness for investors.
Currency Depreciation:
Lower inflation can erode the purchasing power of a currency, leading to depreciation relative to other currencies. In the case of the dollar, if inflation remains subdued, the value of the dollar may decline, making it less valuable in the foreign exchange market. This depreciation can drive a bearish trend for the Dollar.
Safe-Haven Demand for Gold: Gold is often considered a safe-haven asset, particularly during times of economic uncertainty and low inflation. When inflation is low, investors may become concerned about the potential erosion of the value of paper currencies and seek a hedge against currency devaluation. As a result, demand for gold as a store of value and an inflation hedge increases, leading to a bullish trend in the price of gold.
Real Interest Rates:
Lower inflation can also impact real interest rates, which are nominal interest rates adjusted for inflation. When inflation is low, real interest rates tend to be higher, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive to investors seeking positive real returns.
This shift in interest can contribute to a bullish gold market.
Conclusion:
The correlation between lower inflation numbers and a bearish Dollar, as well as a bullish gold market, is driven by the impact on monetary policy, currency depreciation, and the increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset and inflation hedge. Traders and investors should closely monitor inflation data, central bank policies, and overall market sentiment to gauge the potential movements of the Dollar and gold.
As always, it's important to use proper risk management as I always tell you people.
Feel free to ask any questions.
Greetings,
Ziilllaatrades
Fertilizer Industry As An Alternative S&P 500Greetings.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
From a technical point of view, S&P 500 continues to move in wave 5 of diagonal A. Due to lower inflation in the US, there is a high probability that the Fed will slow down the rate hike and, as a result, investors will start buying assets with a higher level of risk. However, historically, after the Fed started to lower the interest rate, the price of the S&P 500 corrected by 30-50% before continuing its upward movement.
The fertilizer industry as an alternative to the S&P 500
The fertilizer industry continues to be one of the most attractive in the stock market. In February 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine, which led to massive disruption in global commodity markets, including fertilizers. Before this event, the balance between fertilizer consumption and supply was determined by two factors, namely production incentives and also price competitiveness. I estimate that in the coming quarters, the balance between supply and demand for one of the most important commodities will be determined by the ability of farmers to buy fertilizer that has become very expensive. The increase in the price of fertilizers led to a significant increase in the margins of companies such as Nutrien, The Mosaic Company, and CF Industries Holdings, traded on the New York Stock Exchange, and the subsequent increase in dividend payments.
Source: IFA, IFDC, market news sources
Several reasons led to a sharp rise in the price of potash, phosphorus, and nitrogen fertilizers. The first and main reason is the sanctions against two key producing countries, namely Russia and Belarus. According to an IFA study, Russia accounts for about 25% of the world's supply of nitrogen fertilizers needed to increase crop yields. In addition, the share of Belarus and Russia in the sales of potash fertilizers is about 41%, which puts these countries in the top 3 in terms of production volumes.
Source: IFA
Fertilizer prices continue to be significantly higher than in previous years. For example, the price of potassium chloride amounted to $562.5 per ton in the 3rd quarter of 2022, which is 161.9% more than in the 3rd quarter of 2021.
Source: Author's elaboration based on data from the World Bank Group
In addition, the military conflict in Eastern Europe continues to be in an active phase and, as a result sanctions from Russia and Belarus will not soon be withdrawn. As a result, I believe that fertilizer stocks are still attractive assets for long-term investors and can become an alternative to investing in companies from the S&P 500.
Disclosure: This article may not take into account all the risks and catalysts of the assets described in it. Any part of this analytical article is provided for informational purposes only, does not constitute an individual investment recommendation, investment idea, advice, offer to buy or sell securities, or other financial instruments. The completeness and accuracy of the information in the analytical article are not guaranteed. If any fundamental/technical criteria or events change in the future, I do not assume any obligation to update this article.
BTCUSDT 15m TF AnalysisA symmetrical Triangle is formed and is at the end position of being brokenup or brokendown.
Let's wait for the perfect time of entry either into a short trade of long trade, depending on the next move.
I am Bearish on BTC till the next Year. No longterm bullish momentum is gonna occur in BTC Price action.