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Fertilizer Industry As An Alternative S&P 500Greetings. S&P 500 Technical Analysis From a technical point of view, S&P 500 continues to move in wave 5 of diagonal A. Due to lower inflation in the US, there is a high probability that the Fed will slow down the rate hike and, as a result, investors will start buying assets with a higher level of risk. However, historically, after the Fed started to lower the interest rate, the price of the S&P 500 corrected by 30-50% before continuing its upward movement. The fertilizer industry as an alternative to the S&P 500 The fertilizer industry continues to be one of the most attractive in the stock market. In February 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine, which led to massive disruption in global commodity markets, including fertilizers. Before this event, the balance between fertilizer consumption and supply was determined by two factors, namely production incentives and also price competitiveness. I estimate that in the coming quarters, the balance between supply and demand for one of the most important commodities will be determined by the ability of farmers to buy fertilizer that has become very expensive. The increase in the price of fertilizers led to a significant increase in the margins of companies such as Nutrien, The Mosaic Company, and CF Industries Holdings, traded on the New York Stock Exchange, and the subsequent increase in dividend payments. Source: IFA, IFDC, market news sources Several reasons led to a sharp rise in the price of potash, phosphorus, and nitrogen fertilizers. The first and main reason is the sanctions against two key producing countries, namely Russia and Belarus. According to an IFA study, Russia accounts for about 25% of the world's supply of nitrogen fertilizers needed to increase crop yields. In addition, the share of Belarus and Russia in the sales of potash fertilizers is about 41%, which puts these countries in the top 3 in terms of production volumes. Source: IFA Fertilizer prices continue to be significantly higher than in previous years. For example, the price of potassium chloride amounted to $562.5 per ton in the 3rd quarter of 2022, which is 161.9% more than in the 3rd quarter of 2021. Source: Author's elaboration based on data from the World Bank Group In addition, the military conflict in Eastern Europe continues to be in an active phase and, as a result sanctions from Russia and Belarus will not soon be withdrawn. As a result, I believe that fertilizer stocks are still attractive assets for long-term investors and can become an alternative to investing in companies from the S&P 500. Disclosure: This article may not take into account all the risks and catalysts of the assets described in it. Any part of this analytical article is provided for informational purposes only, does not constitute an individual investment recommendation, investment idea, advice, offer to buy or sell securities, or other financial instruments. The completeness and accuracy of the information in the analytical article are not guaranteed. If any fundamental/technical criteria or events change in the future, I do not assume any obligation to update this article.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by NathanLive
3
US30 Sells Update - Interest Rates WeekThis was a US30 sell taken during the London session a day before the US Interest Rates news release. Technical Analysis (explained in detail in the video): 1. Price was making lower highs from higher timeframes and continued to show bearish momentum. 2. During the Asian session yesterday, the price consolidated at a psychological level and finally made a liquidity wick as it broke previous 4-hour and hourly lows. Fundamental and Market Sentiment Analysis: 1. Last week's CPI data showed inflation increasing, whereas the markets expected a slowdown or a decline in the price pressures. 2. The market started to price in potential higher interest rates this week. 3. Discussions around a full percentage hike started coming onto the table, and can that essentially mean a recession next year? This week's trades are purely off of the market sentiment leading to tomorrow's interest rate hike.
OANDA:US30USD
by UnknownUnicorn4632978
Mini Course : Order Block Course Hi Trader's ,, How Are You Today ? Enjoy In Holiday ,, Buy Don't Forget To Learn Too In Holiday .. Let,s Take A Very Fast And Mini Course For : Order Block ,, First : What IS The Order Block Mean ? Answer : There Are Many concepts For Order Block ,, But the Real And Easily concepts For It Is " Order Block it's The Area There Banks And Big Companies Take There Orders From it " Second : How To Get It On Chart ? Answer : We Have 2 Patterns For It ,, Bullish And Bearish As You Se On Chart ,, In Bullish We Have 2 Way ,, In Down Trend We Get " Low ' High ' Lower High ' Higher High ' Lower High " Then Enter Our Trade Or In Also Down Trend We Get " Low ' High ' Lower Low ' Higher High ' Lower High " Then Enter The Trade .. In Bearish Pattern We Also Have 2 Way To Entry ,, In Up Trend We Get " High ' Low ' Higher Low ' Then Break Out The Low And Test It And Entry " Stop Lose Be Above The Area With 20 - 40 Pips Only IF You Get New Information From me ,, Please Like And Comment
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Fx_Vanguard
2
ETHUSDT: Aadil1000x 3-step formationHello traders! Welcome back to another episode with Analyst Aadil1000x. This is my old strategy and it is not the top-ranked strategy but yes it's in the top 5 ranks out of my 500+ strategies. This is a 3-step formation and this formation starts whenever there is a resistance that remains untested. "Every trendline and S/R level is formed to be broken and after a breakout, there must be a retest" Aadil1000x. What I mean by the statement is that if a trendline is too steep then it will be broken soon but too steep can not be retested. But if it's not too steep so whether the market reaches anywhere trendline will be tested. Same in Support/Resistance level it cannot remain untested. If we know the market will come back there so we can count the step so that we can catch the peak of the retracement. In the first two steps, we form the trendline from the bottom, and after every breakout towards the downside Market will rise. On third step we will form the breakout from the top and after a breakout towards the upside market will drop and will go back to the magnetic line. Now the 1126 level will work like a magnet and the market will be there soon. I am posting a chart of this formation as an example. Don't forget to give some boost and follow to stay connected.
Short
by Aadil1000x
7
COMMODITIES SEASONAL | GOLD & USOILHello Readers! Let's find out the monthly outlook of the two most essential commodities i.e Gold and USOIL Gold on Monthly charts favors bulls for the month of July.Technically the yellow metal has made double top and for last three months posted negative closing. We are optimistic this month as technically it is trading on the support trendline. USOIL (Crude Oil) monthly gives no clear indication for bulls or bears. However, if you observe closely the crude oil has hit its resistance and is trading near it. We are expecting a downward movement in black gold and pick entries in a lower timeframe Let us know what do you think of the idea in the comment section.
TVC:USOIL
by JustTradeSignals
2
Candlestick Cheat Sheet You Must To Know➡️ Hi Trader's Whats Up Today ? Am Feel Good With New Education Post Will Inform You Many Details About Candles And Price Action .. Let,s Start With " Bullish Candle Stick Patterns " ✅⬆️✅ 1- Hammer 2- Inverted Hammer 3- Dragon Fly Doji 4- Bullish Spinning Top 5- Bullish Kicker 6- Bullish Engulfing 7- Bullish Harami 8- Tweezer Bottom 9- Morning Star 10 - Morning Doji Star 11 - Three Line Strike Next Wave Will Be With " Bearish Candle Stick Patterns " ✅⬇️✅ 1- Hanging Man 2- Shooting Star 3- Grave Stone Doji 4- Bearish Spinning Top 5- Bearish Kicker 6- Bearish Engulfing 7- Bearish Harami 8- Tweezer Top 9- Bearish Abandoned Baby 10 - Three Black Crows 11- Evening Doji Star That' All My Friends And Show You In New Post ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Fx_Vanguard
Most Popular Types Of Candles How to Read Candlestick charts? Candlestick charts were originated in Japan over 100 years before the West had developed the bar charts and point-and-figure charts. In the 1700s, a Japanese man known as Homma discovered that as there was a link between price and the supply and demand of rice, the markets also were strongly influenced by the emotions of traders. A daily candlestick charts shows the security’s open, high, low, and close price for the day. The candlestick’s wide or rectangle part is called the “real body” which shows the link between opening and closing prices. This real body shows the price range between the open and close of that day’s trading. When the real body is filled, black or red then it means that the close is lower than the open and is known as the bearish candle. It shows that the prices opened, the bears pushed the prices down and closed lower than the opening price. If the real body is empty, white or green then it means that the close was higher than the open known as the bullish candle. It shows that the prices opened, the bulls pushed the prices up and closed higher than the opening price. The thin vertical lines above and below the real body is knowns as the wicks or shadows which represents the high and low prices of the trading session. --------------------------------------- 1- Hammer Candle Hammer is a single candlestick pattern that is formed at the end of a downtrend and signals a bullish reversal. The real body of this candle is small and is located at the top with a lower shadow which should be more than twice the real body. This candlestick chart pattern has no or little upper shadow. The psychology behind this candle formation is that the prices opened, and sellers pushed down the prices. Suddenly the buyers came into the market and pushed the prices up and closed the trading session more than the opening price. This resulted in the formation of bullish pattern and signifies that buyers are back in the market and downtrend may end. Traders can enter a long position if next day a bullish candle is formed and can place a stop-loss at the low of Hammer. ----------------------------------------- 2- Hanging Man Hanging Man is a single candlestick pattern which is formed at the end of an uptrend and signals bearish reversal. The real body of this candle is small and is located at the top with a lower shadow which should be more than the twice of the real body. This candlestick pattern has no or little upper shadow. The psychology behind this candle formation is that the prices opened and seller pushed down the prices. Suddenly the buyers came into the market and pushed the prices up but were unsuccessful in doing so as the prices closed below the opening price. This resulted in the formation of bearish pattern and signifies that seller are back in the market and uptrend may end. Traders can enter a short position if next day a bearish candle is formed and can place a stop-loss at the high of Hanging Man. ----------------------------------------- 3- Three White Soldiers The Three White Soldiers is a multiple candlestick pattern that is formed after a downtrend indicating a bullish reversal. These candlestick charts are made of three long bullish bodies which do not have long shadows and are open within the real body of the previous candle in the pattern. ----------------------------------------- 4- Inverted Hammer An Inverted Hammer is formed at the end of the downtrend and gives a bullish reversal signal. In this candlestick, the real body is located at the end and there is a long upper shadow. It is the inverse of the Hammer Candlestick pattern. This pattern is formed when the opening and closing prices are near to each other and the upper shadow should be more than twice the real body. ---------------------------------------- 5- Piercing Pattern Piercing pattern is a multiple candlestick chart pattern formed after a downtrend indicating a bullish reversal. Two candles form it, the first candle being a bearish candle which indicates the continuation of the downtrend. The second candle is a bullish candle which opens the gap down but closes more than 50% of the real body of the previous candle, which shows that the bulls are back in the market and a bullish reversal is going to take place. Traders can enter a long position if the next day a bullish candle is formed and can place a stop-loss at the low of the second candle. ---------------------------------------- 6- White Marubozu The White Marubozu is a single candlestick pattern that is formed after a downtrend indicating a bullish reversal. This candlestick has a long bullish body with no upper or lower shadows which shows that the bulls are exerting buying pressure and the markets may turn bullish. At the formation of this candle, the sellers should be caution and close their shorting position. Don't Forget To Like And Follow To Next Part
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Fx_Vanguard
WAVESUSDT - TURBO UPDATE!Price has printed an ATH on April 22 for 64$ with the strong parabolic move. The drop was more serious than the upside surge as the price lost around 90%. This creates panic amongst traders as they expect more from WAVES. This downtrend stayed approx 60 days and the price printed a LL of almost 4$. But from the previous 2 days, the Bulls stretched their muscles once again by putting so much Volume. Price has already tried to bypass the strong resistance area but finds it difficult. So keep following the price action as we expect a strong upside in upcoming sessions. Good Luck! Trade Accordingly.
W
by JustTradeSignals
4
BTCUSDT - CRITICAL LEVELS IN PLAY!BTCUSDT UPDATE: Bitcoin price is again flirting the range support and wants some Bulls volume. If we look at the previous action, when the price hit that zone it gets substantial volume around 100K.0 approx, and there is a strong pullback towards the top. Sooner or Later price will break that range, but we need to understand the price action established on the chart. Fear and Greed on a Low level since the Covid crash and Strong Project are vulnerable and a strong pullback is inevitable.
by JustTradeSignals
2